Technical analysis for HBAR (HBAR/USDT) on a 4-hour chart + PRICTechnical Analysis by Blaž Fabjan.
Double Top Formation:
The chart highlights two potential tops, labeled as "TOP 1" and "TOP 2," suggesting a double top pattern. This typically indicates a bearish reversal after the second top, with price potentially dropping before continuing a new upward trend.
The neckline level where the price might break down after forming the second top appears to be in the range of approximately $0.054 or slightly lower.
Price Action and Next Move:
After the second top, the price might experience a pullback to a support level (likely the $0.052 - $0.053 range).
The blue arrow in the chart suggests a bullish continuation after the retracement, with an expected move to the upside targeting a higher resistance level around $0.065.
Momentum Indicators:
VMC Cipher B Divergences:
The divergence indicator signals some mixed momentum. There is both bearish and bullish momentum displayed in the indicator, but the red dots suggest potential downward pressure before any strong bullish continuation.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is currently at around 60.37, indicating mild bullish momentum but still below overbought levels (70). If the RSI drops to oversold levels during the retracement, this would present a buying opportunity.
Stochastic RSI:
The Stochastic RSI is showing a recent peak near the overbought zone (72.50), indicating that a retracement might be near as momentum cools down before continuing upward.
Trading Plan:
Short-Term Bearish Scenario:
Enter a short position if the price fails to break above the second top and breaks below the neckline around $0.053-$0.054. Set a target near $0.052, the potential support area. Stop-loss can be set above the recent high at around $0.056.
Bullish Continuation:
Look for a long entry after the expected retracement around the $0.052 area, once bullish momentum starts to pick up again. The ideal entry point would be around $0.0525, confirmed by oversold conditions in RSI or Stochastic RSI.
Target: $0.065, which is the next major resistance level.
Stop-loss: Place stop-loss below $0.050, depending on risk appetite, to limit potential losses.
Indicators to Watch:
Keep a close eye on RSI and Stochastic RSI to confirm when the price is reaching oversold levels.
Watch for any divergence in the momentum indicators that could signal a reversal of the trend earlier than expected.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2, aiming for higher rewards on the upside compared to the risk on the downside.
Adjust positions based on support and resistance levels, and be cautious of any news or updates regarding HBAR fundamentals.
This strategy takes into account the possibility of both short-term corrections and longer-term bullish continuation.
