Bearish continuation Flag indicating Gold Fall towards 2665 $Short Entry Zone 2710-2700 Future contract
Profit taking zone 2665
Stop Loss( Risk 5% of equity) recommended because in this zone I prefer averaging trade with Max risk of 5% of equity
Bearish flag formation which indicate heavy price fall.
A **bearish continuation flag** is a technical chart pattern often observed in financial markets, indicating the potential continuation of a downward price trend. Here's a breakdown of the pattern:
Components of a Bearish Flag:
1. **Preceding Downtrend (Flagpole)**
- A sharp, steep decline in price that forms the "flagpole."
- Represents strong selling pressure.
2. **Consolidation Phase (Flag)**
- Following the decline, the price consolidates in a relatively narrow range.
- This consolidation typically takes the form of a small, upward-sloping rectangle or channel, showing a temporary pause in the trend.
3. **Breakout to the Downside**
- The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below the lower boundary of the flag, resuming the downtrend.
- The breakout is often accompanied by increased trading volume.
Characteristics:
- **Trend Direction**: Continuation of a bearish trend.
- **Volume**: Declines during the consolidation phase and increases on the breakout.
- **Duration**: Flags are generally short-term patterns, lasting a few days to a few weeks.
- **Measured Move**: The expected price drop after the breakout is often equal to the length of the flagpole projected downward from the breakout point.
Trading the Pattern:
1. **Entry**: Enter a short position once the price breaks below the flag's lower boundary.
2. **Stop-Loss**: Place a stop-loss above the upper boundary of the flag to limit risk.
3. **Target**: Use the length of the flagpole to estimate the target price for the trade.
Example in a Chart:
Visualize a steep price drop, followed by a slight upward or sideways drift resembling a "flag," and then another drop once the price breaks below the flag's support.
XAUTRY1! trade ideas
End of the 1 year Gold Run ?Are we looking at the end of the 1 year gold run that started in October 2023 at around 1600 all the way to 2800.
Are are seeing the top of the structure - and RSI weaknesses. It is my strong belief that Gold already saw its peak on the week of October 28th 2024. It has ample room to correct. A 32.5 correction should take it to the 2300 levels. A 50% move correction, which is an indication of a deeper correction should take it to 2200 levels.
Gold Outlook for December 2024Sticking with my conviction that we have indeed capped the high for Gold for 2024 and have already fulfilled a 30% retracement back into the overall range. We could potentially be ranging for the remainder of the year. I'm anticipating major breakouts within Q1 of 2025. If gold decides to breakout of its current range prior to 2025, then I would be anticipating a buy-side manipulation to take price lower towards the equal lows inside of Q3 of 2024. Let me know if you have any comments or questions below, or just your overall thoughts as well. Bless.
Gold Is GO! And Everything Lined UpThe open was above the Center-Line and everything else lined up nicely.
To me this is a fair Long, with a good Stop below the last MoMo Candle.
I like to take partial profits, so I have two in this case. The first at the 1/4 line, since price has a tendency to bounce there. The second one is the Upper-Medianline-Parallel (U-MLH).
Let the fireworks begin
2024-12-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold - Bullish but only until 2740ish. Bulls broke strongly above 2700 and the triangle is dead. Next stop is previous resistance around 2743. I do expect a pullback first, since the channel is obvious. Chart shows the preferred way for me.
comment : Bulls are in control again. My chart is very clear, so I won’t try to make stuff up in here. 2678 should not be broken again and next target for the bulls is 2743ish. I expect a pullback down to 2710 or even 2700 before another leg up. If we break above the current channel, we will likely print 2800 before end of Friday.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 2680 - 2745 (above that is 2800 next)
bull case: Chart tells the whole story for the bulls. Don’t make this more complicated as it is. Any pullback below 2710 is a decent buy with stop 2678.
Invalidation is below 2678.
bear case: Bears gave up once they could not reverse the market below 2670 again after y close and the early test down to 2683 in the EU session.
Invalidation is above 2745.
short term: Bullish. Look for longs near the lower channel line or 1h 20ema.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-24: Likely to close 2024 above 2800 but I do think the recent selling was the first hint that we will transition into a trading range soon.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying the double bottom near 2680.
Gold silver oil coffee12.10.24 there is some important follow-up on gold and silver. those markets have expanded. what this means is that trade location changes as well. when markets expand and contract this affects trade location for buyers and sellers. regarding coffee there is a two bar reversal pattern that suggests that the Market's going to trade lower a short position here with a small stop and then if we don't get stopped out we can make more judgments depending on how the market moves.
Gold break out to the top or for a retrace tomorrow or overnightGold went on a tear after gapping up and cleaning up the gap in the overnight session. With Daytrader pivots resistance levels being so close compared to yesterday it stands to reason one side or the other will be broken. Which side will it? We dont know. But if it breaks one side or the other we will be watching for a quick retrace to join in the right directions!
Gold Futures Trade Idea
Gold futures have broken out of multi-year resistance levels and are trading near all-time highs. After trending higher for most of 2024, the focus shifts to where prices will move in 2025 and the remaining weeks of the year.
Several macroeconomic factors will influence gold's trajectory, including:
1. Geopolitical landscape
2. Interest rates and inflation outlook
3. Supply and demand dynamics
In the next two weeks, significant data points and economic events will shape the market. Central banks worldwide are set to adjust interest rates. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates that the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 bps on December 18, 2024. Key considerations will include any shift in language about future rate cuts and the dot plot from the upcoming meeting. Additionally, the U.S. CPI report, due Wednesday, will be closely watched.
Key Levels to Watch:
Line in the Sand (LIS): 2673.80–2684.50
Resistance: 2740–2760
Support: 2552.50–2566.80
Three Possible Scenarios for Gold Futures Prices:
1. Bullish Break Above LIS:
A breakout and sustained hold above the LIS could push prices higher toward resistance levels. This scenario might be driven by softer CPI data on Wednesday and the Federal Reserve's dovish stance, including potential future rate cuts. A lower inflation environment could provide further tailwinds for gold.
2. Pullback Toward Support:
If prices break and hold below the LIS, clearing recent consolidation lows around 2630, a decline toward the support zone is likely. This scenario aligns with persistent inflation, leading to a "higher for longer" interest rate environment in 2025. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions under the new U.S. administration could shift focus toward domestic policies, potentially reducing gold's safe-haven appeal.
3. Range-Bound Price Action:
Gold prices could consolidate near current highs, trading within a range below all-time highs. This scenario reflects a lack of decisive inflows or outflows, with market participants waiting for clearer cues to shape the price trajectory in 2025.
As the year concludes, the interplay between macroeconomic factors and technical levels will determine whether gold continues its upward momentum, retraces to support, or stabilizes in a range. Stay tuned for key economic releases to guide near-term price action.
Disclaimer: The views expressed are personal opinions and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Derivatives involve a substantial risk of loss and are not suitable for all investors.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-9: Nothing PatternI'm visiting family most of this week and will be disrupted from my normal schedule for another 3+ days.
Please be aware I may not be as available for questions/comments as I usually am.
Please watch how the markets are extremely overbought at this moment and will likely fall into a pullback mode.
I don't expect this to be a big pullback - but big enough that you should consider locking in profits before the move plays out.
Get some.
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GOLD is out of range~!So why the hell am I on futures?
Why not!
Technical analysis is the same as always.
Difference is......
Someone gets funded!
For GC1! I am expecting a dip from this small range we are currently forming which will would be the liquidity hunt that is needed to burst into the level of 2.71k
The level expected is are consecutive daily open/closes with a POC of a range.