Germany 40 Future Forum & Chats (BLACKBULL:DE40.F)

hirenkumark

4 hours ago

on hourly TF its making pin bar?

kunmore10

5 hours ago

Very bearish

luxixa

9 hours ago

time for new ath?

The-Thief

2 days ago

📉 THE TRADE PLAN: BEARISH CONFIRMATION
The bearish momentum is confirmed! Price has decisively broken out below the dynamic support line provided by the Triangular Moving Average, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
📛 Asset: GER40 "GERMANY 40"
🎯 Type: Swing Trade (Bearish)
✅ Confirmation: TMA Dynamic Support Breakout.

🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY: THE "THIEF" LAYER METHOD
We don't chase the market—we set strategic traps. This is the core of the "Thief" strategy: using multiple limit orders to layer into a position for a better average entry.

⚙️ Method: Multiple Sell Limit Orders (Layering)
🧩 Proposed Entry Layers:
Layer 1: Sell Limit @ 24,100
Layer 2: Sell Limit @ 24,050
Layer 3: Sell Limit @ 24,000

💡 Pro Tip: Feel free to increase or adjust these limit layers based on your own analysis and risk tolerance!

🚨 RISK MANAGEMENT: THE ESCAPE PLAN
🛑 Stop Loss (The Getaway Car): A logical "Thief Style" stop loss can be placed at 24,250. A move above this level invalidates the bearish structure.

🎯 Take Profit (The Loot): Our primary target is 23,700. This area has a strong confluence of:
The Triangular Moving Average acting as dynamic resistance.
Potential oversold conditions and bull traps.
Time to escape with the profits!
⚠️ IMPORTANT OG NOTE: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), I am NOT recommending you set only my SL or TP. It is YOUR own choice. You can make money then take money at your own risk. Manage your trades responsibly!

🔍 RELATED PAIRS & KEY CORRELATIONS
A master thief always scouts the entire area. Keep these correlated assets on your watchlist:
USDX (U.S. Dollar Index): A strengthening dollar can often pressure European equity indices like the DAX.
EURUSD: The DAX is highly sensitive to Euro movements. A weak Euro can be a double-edged sword, but a breakdown here often aligns with broader risk-off sentiment.
SPX (S&P 500): The DAX has a strong positive correlation with U.S. markets. A sell-off on Wall Street is likely to reverberate in Frankfurt.

The-Thief

3 days ago

🔍 Macro Economics
Interest Rates 💰: ECB Deposit Rate steady at 2% (Score: 7/10 - Stable hold supports calm)
Inflation 📉: Eurozone at 2.1% YoY (Score: 8/10 - Easing toward 2% target)
Economic Growth 📊: Germany Q3 GDP flat at 0% (Score: 4/10 - Stagnant exports drag)
Jobs Market 👥: Unemployment holds at 6.3% (Score: 5/10 - Persistent weakness)
Bank Orders 🏦: ECB balance sheet steady (Score: 6/10 - No major shifts in liquidity)
Overall Macro Score ⚖️: 6/10 (Balanced but growth concerns linger)

🌦️ Seasonal Tendencies
October/November Bias 📅: Historically bullish (avg +2% gains in Oct)
Key Pattern ➡️: Long-favoring window active - supports recovery potential

😊 Investor Mood Metrics
Retail Traders Outlook 🛒: Bullish lean (Crowd signal: 60% positive on dips)
Institutional Activity 🏛️: Neutral-positive (Signal: Steady buying amid caution)
Overall Mood Measure 📈: Cautious optimism (Investors eyeing ECB stability)
Fear & Greed Index (Germany Stocks): 47/100 (Neutral - Balanced fear, no extremes)

🐂🐻 Master Trader Outlook
Overall Score: Neutral (Hold steady | Watch inflation data for next tilt)
Pro Tip: ECB pause + seasonal lift counters growth stall - no rush to extremes.