This is a quick follow up from early this morningI was freaking out over the pattern and the dxy and then it occurred to me that every time I do a trade and I want to get out of it... I basically get back into the dollar by default.... And that may be the reason the dollar is doing so badly is that there are a group of sharp traders exiting the gold and silver because they may understand that there is a reversal pattern and that they should liquidate their position in the gold and silver contracts...... This is clearly hypothetical in any case... I think there is value to the video that I did this morning and I hope that you take a look at it.
Trade ideas
DXY: Will Go Down! Short! 
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 98.437 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 98.260 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY ready to continue lower, buy EURUSD and coDxy has taken liquidity Buyside liquidity and it is now ready to continue lower. I was bullish till this point, I've now turned bearish. 
There are many reason for this analysis, 3 drive pattern, buyside liquidity purge, 4hrs BOS with displacement
TP 1 @ 98.1
TP 2 @ 97.45
TP 3 @ 96.2
Trade accordingly
Dxy will still turn bullish, I will update you then... Enjoy
US Dollar:  Wait For The +BOS, Then Buy It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 6 - 10th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:  USD Dollar
The USD is technically still bearish, trying to find support for higher prices.  A US government shutdown is not helping that case!  However, personally, I am still looking toward the upside.
Price is still holding at a bullish discount array, an +OB.  As long as the +OB is respected, I am looking for higher prices.
A bearish BOS will make looking for higher prices invalid.
So, let the market show its bias before entering a trade.  Look for the confirmations to its direction.  
Don't take trades inside the middle of consolidations!
Wait and react.  Do not predict.  
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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DXY – The Road to 100 Looks ClearIn my previous analysis on DXY, I mentioned that as long as the 97.60 zone holds, there are strong chances for an upside move and a possible test of the 100 level.
Indeed, the index reversed perfectly from that support area and has now broken above the interim resistance around 98.60, trading close to 99 at the time of writing.
Over the last three sessions, DXY has also completed an inverted Head & Shoulders pattern, with the neckline breakout confirming the bullish structure.
From here, the path toward the 100 zone appears clear and technically justified.
I maintain a bullish bias for the U.S. Dollar Index, which naturally implies a bearish outlook for EURUSD and GBPUSD in the short term.
DXY Target Achieved | Smart Money Model #1 Playing Out PerfectlyHello Billionaires!!
In DXY D1 Projection we know the bullish projection on DXY played out exactly as expected.
Price swept the short-term sell-side liquidity (SSL), filled the IFVG, and then launched upward through the FVG, completing the Model #1 structure.
Currently, price is trading inside the BPR (Balanced Price Range), showing that the target zone has been successfully reached.
🧠 Smart Money Logic:
SSL sweep → Market Structure Shift
IFVG + FVG = Strong Reaccumulation
Price delivered to BPR (Premium Zone)
Model #1 completion confirms bullish delivery
Now I’ll be watching for potential reaction or retracement from this premium zone before the next move develops.
#DXY #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #ICT #Forex #Liquidity #BPR #FVG #IFVG
DXY H4 CHARTWe are looking price making a rally targeting the marked supply area of the LTF price structure. It is important to note the many retail traders are coming into the market at this current price area which is late according our strategy. 
this rally in price will have a huge impact to the drop of the GOLD which is long over due. We will monitor the price action for better entry given price drops targeting our LTF DEMNAD AREAS.
DXY 1D - dollar waking up, but patience is keyOn the daily chart, the US Dollar Index is showing the first signs of recovery: a falling wedge breakout and trendline breach hint that bulls are slowly reclaiming control. Price has moved above the EMA, a short-term bullish signal.
Still, MA200 remains above, reminding us that the broader trend is not yet flipped. The ideal play here - wait for a retest of the breakout trendline to confirm buyers’ strength before jumping in.
If price holds above 99.70, the next upside targets sit around 100.19, 101.31, and 102.63.
But keep in mind - DXY loves to test patience. False breakouts are its favorite sport.
 Right now, the dollar looks ready to wake up, but maybe hit the snooze button one last time before the real move begins.
US DOLLAR TARGETS HITThe U.S. government is still shut down, so no fresh economic data is coming out. That means everyone’s trading half-blind right now—no jobs numbers, no inflation updates, just noise. But the chart still tells the truth. All the bullish dollar targets were hit exactly as planned, and now price is sitting right under that 99.8 key high. That’s the line that decides everything. If market makers push price higher than 99.8, the bullish phase stays alive a bit longer. If it fails there, we drop back into bearish discount territory, where value sits lower and sellers regain control.
Over the past four months, liquidity’s been building above those highs. Now we’re watching a classic stop run—price pushing up to take out weak hands before the real move begins. That’s why cross markets like stocks, gold, and crypto are slipping. The dollar’s acting as a safe spot while everything else bleeds. But the volume looks thin, which usually means manipulation, not genuine demand.
Without the usual USD data, it’s all a guessing game until the Fed minutes drop later today. For now, it’s simple: the 99.8 zone is the make-or-break level. Stay patient, read the structure, and let the chart talk. Price always moves to where orders are missing, and stops where they’re full. Follow that rule, and you’ll never feel lost in the noise.
DXY 30 SEPTEMBER 2025 BEFOREAnticipating the potential for Bullish DXY :
1. Looking for support to form around the key levels within a key trading session , should support fail to form at the key levels price could drop below 91.199
2. Should we get rapid and aggressive movement away from the key level i will target the recent Swing high at 98.605 for profit taking 
Dollar Index analysisThe Dollar Index has quite an interesting chart — on the higher cycle, it’s clearly bearish, while on the lower cycles, it’s showing bullish movement. This situation can significantly increase trading risk, making stop-outs more likely, especially on the Dollar Index itself and even more so on EUR/USD.
Right now, we need to see whether it can finally break through the resistance it’s been struggling with for several months and reach 100, or not. ✅
DXY Watching 98.800 Resistance as Shutdown Risks Weigh on DollarHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 98.800 zone. The Dollar Index remains in a broader downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price approaching a key daily resistance area.
Structure: The market has been forming lower highs, consistent with bearish momentum. The 98.800 level aligns with both structural resistance and trendline rejection zones.
Fundamentals: The ongoing US government shutdown continues to pressure sentiment around the Dollar. The longer the impasse persists, the higher the risk of fiscal strain and downside pressure on the USD.
Next move: Watching how price reacts around 98.800 — a rejection here could confirm further downside continuation in line with the prevailing trend.
Trade safe,
Joe.
DXY Breakout Confirmed — How Far Can Bulls Run?💰 Thief’s Heist: DXY Bull Raid in Progress ⚡ Layered Entry Strategy!
📈 Setup Summary
Asset: DXY Dollar Index (Cash)
📊 Bias / Plan: BULLISH — 0.786 Triangular Moving Average was breached by buyers → trend confirmation in progress 🚀
🎯 Thief’s Game Plan (Swing / Day Trade)
🕵️ Entry Plan — “Layered Thief Style”:
💎 Any price level entry is valid — flexibility is the Thief’s advantage!
🔹 Sample Limit Layers:
• 97.800
• 98.000
• 98.200
(💡 You can increase or reduce layers based on your own style — stack smartly!)
🧨 Stop Loss (Thief SL):
⚠️ 97.400 → This is the “Thief SL Zone”
👉 But you’re the mastermind — set your own SL if you prefer!
💰 Target Zone (TP):
🚧 Police Barricade at ~99.400 — strong resistance area + oversold trap likely
💨 Thieves escape with bags before the trap closes!
⚙️ Take profit partially or fully at your own comfort — be swift, be smart 🦅
🧩 Market Insight & Technical Reasoning
✅ 786 Triangular MA breach confirms bullish structure
✅ DXY strength often follows Treasury Yield push 📈
✅ Strong USD = Weak Gold & EUR/USD usually
✅ Oversold readings hint buyers ready to counter attack
🔗 Correlation Watchlist (Related Pairs)
Keep an eye on these for confirmation 🔍
💶  FX:EURUSD  → usually inverse to DXY
💷  FX:GBPUSD  → tracks EUR/USD correlation
💴  FX:USDJPY  → directly correlates with DXY
🥇 Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) → moves opposite to DXY
💵  TVC:US10Y  Yields → rising yields = bullish DXY
💡 Key Tip:
When EUR/USD & GBP/USD drop sharply + yields rise → DXY often continues its rally 🧭
⚠️ Notes & Thief Disclaimers
👑 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs):
I’m not recommending my SL or TP — make your own risk rules 💼
You can make money, take money, or just watch the play unfold 🎭
This is a “Thief Style” strategy, shared for fun & educational inspiration only 🧠
Always manage risk & protect capital first — thieves survive by escaping, not over-staying 💨
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Disclaimer: this is thief style trading strategy just for fun
#DXY #USDIndex #Dollar #Forex #LayeredEntry #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #TrendBreak #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #USD #TradingView #FXStrategy
US Dollar (DXY), strong rebound in 2026?The US Dollar is by far the weakest major currency on the FX market in 2025. But this situation could reverse in 2026 as the second year of the presidential term begins, a year that is historically unfavorable to risky assets and favorable to the US Dollar as a safe haven. Recall that during Trump’s first term, the first year (2017) saw a sharp decline in the dollar on the Forex, followed by a strong recovery in the second year (2018). 
Could we see a “bis repetita” scenario with 2026, the second year of the second term?
The chart below shows the US Dollar’s last place ranking among major FX currencies.
 1) The fundamental reasons that could support a rebound of the US Dollar in 2026 beyond the simple seasonality of the presidential cycle (midterms) 
Several fundamental factors could sustain a US Dollar rebound in 2026:
•	A shift in Federal Reserve policy could play a central role. If inflation persists or rises, the Fed could suspend or reverse the expected rate cuts, maintaining a yield differential favorable to the dollar and attracting foreign capital.
•	Stronger US growth compared to the rest of the world, driven by consumption, technology, and energy independence, would make dollar-denominated assets more attractive and boost demand for the currency.
•	An improvement in the trade balance, thanks to reshoring, higher exports, or lower imports, would support the dollar by limiting structural capital outflows.
•	Credible fiscal consolidation signals, such as a plan to reduce deficits, would strengthen investor confidence and ease concerns about public debt, contributing to a stronger dollar.
•	Increased political stability and greater predictability of economic policies, especially under a market-friendly administration, would reduce risk premiums and favor the US Dollar.
•	Higher demand for safe-haven assets in the event of geopolitical tensions (e.g., China-Taiwan or the Middle East) or a global economic slowdown would boost flows into the dollar.
•	Finally, the relative weakness of other major currencies — euro, yen, yuan — due to looser monetary policies or economic fragilities, would reinforce the dollar by comparison.
Together, these dynamics could create a structurally favorable environment for US Dollar appreciation in 2026.
 2) To validate a US Dollar rebound, we need a technical reversal signal on long-term charts, and this is not yet the case. Here’s what to watch for 
The historical weekly chart of the US Dollar shows how bullish reversals built up in 2018 and 2021. The conditions required are: stabilization of the dollar over several weeks, bullish divergences between price and momentum, a bullish reversal pattern, and finally, a breakout above resistance confirming the pattern.
At this stage, these elements are not fully in place, and the US Dollar remains bearish on FX as long as it stays below the 100-point resistance.
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Bullish bounce?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 97.96
1st Support: 97.49
1st Resistance: 98.77
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