DX.F trade ideas
Us Dollar Index
Hi traders
I will provide you with an analysis of dxy, maybe it will be useful.
Considering reaching the support zone as well as the bottom of the descending channel on the 4-hour time frame،I expect an upward trend (dollar strengthening)
Of course, a trend change may occur after a fake breakout and the trend may become bullish after reaching the number 96.
warninggggg
If today's and tomorrow's news, which are very important, invalidate this analysis, a new analysis will be presented soon.
DXY - Dollar Extended Wave DownNow, I am not one familiar with FOREX, and I'll start by saying, that this wavecount isn't the most likely especially with expected rate cuts on the horizon. We could have bottomed on the low the dollar made in June, however, that structure appears clearly corrective and I cannot ignore the solidity of it.
Again, we could transfer into a double or triple three to finish this last move, it's too soon to fully tell.
Just using this chart for context to my other plays not taking any trades.
First day of the week and Dollar dropWith the market opening, the Dollar Index continued its decline and reached a key support level. However, I think it could bounce from this area and move up toward the middle of the range. We’ll have to see how long this level can hold the price, since the Dollar Index has been bearish for quite some time. ✅
DXY Weekly Fundamental factors: The US domestic economy and the imposition of additional tariffs on consumer goods from China and Russia, as well as the confidence building of global opinion that the US will not start a war, all of these factors can help the index grow.
Technical factors: The oversold situation and the gap between the Keysin and Tensin lines increased, as a result, there is a possibility of price growth.
LIQUIDITY GAMES: DOLLAR HOLDS THE LINE WHILE CRYPTO SURGESWe head into a heavy news flow week with CPI Thursday and the FOMC next Wednesday. It’s easy to expect continuation of bearish economic data — but don’t think for a second that news alone will simply make price drop.
The dollar has been holding and absorbing both sides of the market for the past month. This kind of structure often creates the opposite effect of what headlines suggest. While traders lean bearish, the dollar could easily run higher into mid-range before rolling over.
We’ve seen this pattern before — gold rush movements and Bitcoin rallies that unfold without the dollar moving. It’s planned this way, building liquidity by trapping both sides.
From a CORE5 perspective:
– Structure → BTC is pressing toward the 124K liquidity zone, while DXY consolidates in balance.
– Dynamic Symmetry → rallies and pullbacks are aligned; watch for rotation if dollar squeezes higher.
– Volume & Order Flow → Bitcoin flows remain elevated, but sustainability hinges on post-CPI reactions.
– Confluence → Risk pairs remain vulnerable if DXY snaps higher, despite crypto’s relief bid.
Beaware - In weeks like this, price action around news is designed to confuse. Stay focused on structure and confluence, not headlines.
Trading is only fun when you’re on the winning side — guessing usually lands you on the other
DXY: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 96.860 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 96.957 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY FRGNT WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS - DXY Q3 W38 Y25🌍FRGNT WEEKLY CHART ANALYSIS - DXY Q3 W38 Y25
📊 DXY FRGNT Breakdown + Impact on GBP, EUR, and Cross Pairs
1. Higher Timeframe Context (Weekly)
Trend: Bearish → clear lower highs & lower lows since mid-summer.
Unmitigated Imbalance (IMB): 99–101 zone above current price → acts as a long-term liquidity magnet but not yet tested.
Bias: Weakness dominates until price proves otherwise.
2. Daily Timeframe
Supply Zone: 98.200–98.500 (aligns with Daily 50 EMA).
Demand Zone: 96.800–97.000 (next liquidity draw).
Expectation: Retrace into 98.2 supply, then continuation lower toward 97.0 demand.
3. Intraday (4H)
Supply Overlap: 97.800–98.200 (Daily + 4H confluence).
Structure: Still bearish, repeated rejections from the 50 EMA.
Projection: Price likely taps 98.0 area, then drives into 97.0 demand.
Summary
Bias: Bearish.
Watch for liquidity sweep above 98.0 → rejection → sell setups toward 97.0 demand.
🌍 Impact on GBP, EUR, and Cross Pairs
GBPUSD
Effect: Dollar weakness supports bullish setups.
Expect retrace into 1.2670–1.2720 demand before price extends higher.
Targets: 1.2800–1.2850, with potential stretch toward 1.2950.
Narrative: As long as DXY stays capped under 98.2, GBPUSD should continue higher.
EURUSD
Effect: Also benefits from USD weakness, though less aggressively than GBP.
Look for longs around 1.0850–1.0880 demand.
Targets: 1.0950–1.1000.
Narrative: Similar structure to GBPUSD, but GBP is likely to outperform EUR.
EURGBP
Effect: GBP stronger than EUR → bearish bias.
Shorts valid below 0.8520, aiming for liquidity under 0.8430–0.8450.
Narrative: Even if both EUR and GBP rise against USD, GBP is leading.
Other USD Cross Pairs
USDJPY: Likely to weaken, targeting 144.50–145.00 liquidity.
USDCAD: Bearish pressure, could reach 1.3600 demand.
USDCHF: Lower toward 0.8850–0.8900 demand.
✅ Overall Picture
DXY Bearish = Favor longs on GBPUSD & EURUSD.
GBP stronger than EUR = EURGBP shorts are attractive.
JPY & CHF weak = Pairs like GBPJPY and EURJPY can push higher.
👉 In short: DXY’s weakness is the engine, driving GBPUSD and EURUSD higher. The Pound has the edge, making EURGBP a sell candidate while GBPJPY becomes a standout buy.
TVC:DXY
FRGNT
DXY: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 97.216 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 97.160 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Bearish momentum to extend?The US Dollar Index (DXY) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.63
1st Support: 97.12
1st Resistance: 100.21
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD Index Technical Outlook – Key Buy & Sell LevelsThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading inside a clear downward channel, showing a bearish market structure. Price is hovering near 98.23, just below the key resistance zone between 98.5 – 99.2, where Fibonacci retracement levels (0.382, 0.5, and 0.618) also align, making it a strong supply area. As long as price remains below this zone, the bias stays bearish, with potential downside targets at 97.5 and then 96.5, in line with the channel support and Fibonacci extensions. However, if buyers manage to push above 99.2, it would signal a possible trend reversal and shift the outlook towards bullish continuation. Overall, the structure suggests that the U.S. Dollar Index is more likely to face rejection near resistance and continue lower in the short term.
🔴 Sell Zone (Short Setup)
- 98.50 – 99.20 is a strong resistance area where price aligns with the Fibonacci retracement (0.382 – 0.618) and the upper channel trendline.
- Sell Trigger: If price shows rejection (bearish candles, wicks, or reversal patterns) within this zone.
🟢 Buy Zone (Long Setup)
- 97.50 – 96.50 area is the channel support and also near Fibonacci extension levels.
- Buy Trigger: Look for bullish confirmation (bounce, bullish engulfing, or rejection wicks).
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Bullish reversal at pullback support?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 98.01
1st Support: 97.53
1st Resistance: 98.65
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Is the DXY Poised for a Breakout?Analyzing the Bullish PotentialThe DXY (US Dollar Index) appears to be on the verge of a significant upward rally. Last week, I shared my analysis highlighting a potential trigger point for a long entry, which the price subsequently surpassed, confirming the setup. According to the latest COT reports, commercial traders have reached their highest net positions of 2023. Historically, whenever commercials hit new highs, it often signals the beginning of a bullish trend in the DXY.
Additionally, we observe that many currencies measured against the dollar have weakened recently, supporting my thesis of a continued upward move for the DXY. Seasonal patterns also point toward a potential bullish phase.
Is this the moment for the DXY to initiate a strong bullish trend? Only time will tell, but the technical and fundamental signals are aligning in favor of a possible rally.
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY)...one of the most important tools for a tradeHello TradingView community! Joseph here, just wanted to share some nuggets on the Dollar Index and how it has helped me in my personal trading and profitability in the markets.
In the video I go over
1. The significance of the USD in the markets
2. How using the USD index is necessary for correlation (multi-asset even)
3. How to use the USD index to help better time your own trades in the markets
So sit back, grab your notebook and take some notes because this information WILL help give you an immediate higher chance of success if applied!! Thanks for watching please boost/comment/follow my page for more trading nuggets!
Cheers!
DXY Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 97.736.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 99.022 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DXY Daily TF Consolidation Pending a Major BreakoutPrice has been ranging between a daily resistance and demand zone since the beginning of August. Another bounce in the demand zone this week will take price back to the resistance zone and if the resistance zone continues to hold then we short back to demand.
However, should resistance break, then the next target will be in daily supply. CPI should give us a better indication of should we get a break of this consolidation.
Personally I am leaning towards a bullish dollar for the short-term foreseeable future.