HSC+SH EUTo accomodate any attempt to reach pre ois high or weekly
Half session confirmation LDN 2nd moving 24 pips, flexed SL 2 pips to give trade breathing space in case atte.pted to reach Weekly high, aligns with DXY movement (reversing against strong holding support line) that might hold for one last time :)
Trade ideas
DXY Turning Bullish TVC:DXY Hammer candle through the bullish 0.382 combined with a macro demand line suggests this area will be moving on up soon. A shot to retest upper resistance is most likely underway. With the slightly lower low (Secondary Test) that printed in September, this area looks like accumulation and adds further bullish impetus (signaling risk-off behavior). High potential for a change in momentum for the U.S.$ and consequently capital in the market in the weeks/months to come.
-Not Financial Advice-
FOMC OutlookAs US–China trade war concerns ease, the market’s attention is turning to today’s FOMC meeting. The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, a move that is already fully priced in. The decision comes amid “rising risks in the labor market,” as emphasized by nearly all Fed members.
In addition to today’s expected 25 bps cut, markets are also pricing in another reduction at the December meeting. With inflation increasing more slowly than expected and Trump easing tariffs, the Fed now has greater flexibility to lower rates, aligning with our outlook.
Two main topics will be in focus at this meeting. The first is quantitative tightening (QT). The Fed slowed QT earlier this year, and based on Powell’s recent comments, it could slow further or even be halted entirely. The 10-year Treasury yield has already fallen below 4% in anticipation of such a move. The Fed is likely to announce the end of QT or signal that it will conclude soon. If the announcement did not come, it will be seen as hawkish.
The second topic is further rate cuts in 2026. Markets are pricing in two to three additional cuts that year. Powell’s tone regarding the 2026 outlook could be one of the key drivers of today’s market reaction.
The dollar index remains calm ahead of the meeting. After testing the long-term trendline from 2011 (white line), the dollar recovered above its 100-day moving average and has since turned flat. The 99.60–100.80 zone, previously a major support, now acts as resistance. The dollar is currently trapped between that resistance and the long-term trendline. Depending on the outcome of today’s FOMC meeting, the index could start to move either toward the resistance area or back to the trendline.
Dxy Analysis Pre-FOMC 29-Oct-25The Dxy has been rejecting the 99 level since last week.
With the lack of economic data due to US Government Shutdown, the markets main focus now is on todays FOMC meeting.
25Bps is already priced in, so what will be more important is the tone and forward guidance we could get from Jerome Powell.
* If we see a surprising 50Bps cut, or the 25 bps cut with dovish tone: this could lead dollar index to break below 98.3 & test the 97.3 level. Even with potential to break lower into the 96 price level once again.
* 25bps with neutral tone: Since already priced in, and nothing new will be given to the markets, Dxy could be testing the 99 level, and keep trading in a consolidation range between the 98 and 99.
* No cut, or 25bps with hawkish tone: Dxy could break above the 99 price level, with next area of interest to test which is the 100 level.
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Bearish reversal?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.93
1st support: 98.09
1st Resistance: 99.54
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Consolidation Ahead of FOMC
Dollar Index weakens ahead of FED rate decision today.
The market formed a symmetrical triangle pattern on a daily.
A breakout of one of its boundaries after an interest rate decision
announcement will accurately indicate a future direction of the market.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D29| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D29| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXY: DECODED ANALYSIS My technical analysis on DXY: It currently shows a bullish trend on the quarterly, monthly, and weekly charts. The target is $111.68.
This information is for educational purposes only.
Always DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
Note: TradingView does not allow showing certain charts that go beyond technical analysis.
US Dollar Coiled for Breakout ahead of the FedThe US Dollar is coiling just below resistance, with DXY trading within a contractionary range ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC rate decision. The index rallied nearly 3.5% off the yearly lows before stalling, with price consolidate within the first weekly range of October heading into the highly anticipated FOMC rate decision tomorrow. The focus is on a breakout of this range to drive the next directional move as we head into the close of the month.
Weekly support rests with the 61.8% retracement of the mid-September rally / 2025 low-week close (LWC) at 97.50/65. A break / weekly close below this threshold would threaten downtrend resumption toward the 2021 high at 96.94 and the June low at 96.37 – both areas of interest for possible downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached. The next major technical consideration rests 94.65/97- a key pivot-zone defined by the March 2020 swing low, the 78.6% retracement of the 2021 advance, and the 100% extension of the 2023 decline. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Weekly resistance is eyed at the 2023 low / 209 high / April low-week close (LWC) at 99.59/67 with bearish invalidation just higher at the 2024 low / LWC at 100.16/42- a breach / weekly close above this threshold is needed to suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger trend reversal is underway. Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range at 101.55 and the 52-week moving average at 101.98.
Bottom line: The U.S. Dollar is coiled just below resistance, and the focus is on a breakout of the 97.50-99.66 range for guidance heading into the close of the month. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 97.50 IF the Dollar is higher on this stretch with a breach above 100.41 needed to validate a more significant breakout in price.
-MB
DXY RISING TRENDLINE BELOW|LONG|
✅DXY Price is respecting the rising trendline, showing consistent higher lows. Expect bullish continuation toward the target zone after the retest, as price seeks to rebalance inefficiency left from prior impulsive moves. Time Frame 7H.
LONG🚀
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DXY Approaching 98.900 — Weak Labor Market Could Push Fed DovishHey Traders, in today’s trading session we’re monitoring DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 98.900 zone.
The index continues to trade within a descending channel and is currently in a correction phase, approaching the upper boundary near 98.900, which aligns with channel resistance.
Fundamentals: Recent data continues to show signs of a weakening U.S. labor market, with job growth slowing and unemployment ticking higher. This softening backdrop increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to adopt a more dovish stance in upcoming meetings, potentially weighing further on the dollar.
Next move: Watching for bearish confirmations around the 98.900 zone — rejection here could resume the broader downtrend.
💬 What’s your outlook on the Fed’s next move? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
DXY Long-Term big surprise revealed by Gold! Hi Guys,
I've been doing some research on the DXY and Gold charts and I've been reading news headlines
For the past 20 years and trying to link it with both DXY and Gold charts and I've found out
Some interesting facts that literally flipped the market upside down.
So I pointed each even with the corresponding candle and I would love to know what do you guys
Think about this so feel free to comment and share your opinion on what's really going on behind
The scenes.
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D28| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D28| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
DXY — The Market UpdateDXY — The Market Therapist’s Take
🧭 Context
The U.S. Dollar sits between 98.613 and 98.143 — the high and low from Tuesday, October 21.
That zone still controls the market’s psychology.
Price is absorbing every order above and below it — a quiet accumulation phase that looks like chaos, but isn’t.
The question isn’t “where next,” it’s “who’s still trapped inside.”
📐 Technical Map
Daily structure remains bullish range, while weekly and monthly dynamic maps stay bearish.
Four months straight, price has rotated through the same rhythm — collecting both buy and sell stops across cross-assets.
It’s not indecision; it’s design.
If 98.613 breaks, we open expansion higher.
If 98.143 gives way, next pivot becomes the target.
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
The dollar’s not crashing — it’s unwinding its old story.
For two years, the script was simple: high yields, safe haven, strong America.
Now, traders are rewriting the plot.
Prediction markets show a 40% chance of a U.S. recession in 2025.
Rate-cut expectations jumped from one to three.
Meanwhile, Germany’s €500 B infrastructure and defense plan signals a new fiscal identity for Europe — and money follows that kind of momentum shift.
📊 Volume & Order Flow Map
Volume tools mark 98.197 as the month’s Volume Key line.
Close above it, and the bias turns bullish — potential for expansion.
Close below, and we remain in a controlled range.
This is no accident — it’s liquidity engineering.
Volume flow reveals the intention behind every candle.
🎯 Plan
Price symmetry holds mid-range, trapping traders chasing both sides.
In this kind of terrain, in-and-out execution is survival, not fear.
Stay inside structure until the market itself declares direction.
The currency game isn’t random — it’s orchestration.
When you can’t hold bias, hold discipline.
When price hides intent, follow volume.
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D27| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D27| Y25 |
📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
TVC:DXY
Bullish reversal?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the major resistance.
Pivot: 98.55
1st Support: 98
1st Resistance: 99.53
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY Bullish move 99.00 (Readmore)...💹 #DXY Analysis (1H Timeframe) 💹
🟢 Bullish Momentum Building Up!
Price showing strong buying pressure from the key support zone at 99.00 📈
🎯 Technical Targets:
1️⃣ 99.300 – First target
2️⃣ 99.500 – Second target
📊 As long as price holds above 99.00, bullish bias remains intact.
#DXY #USDIndex #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingSetup 🚀






















