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U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Bullish Pullback & Long Setup (2H Char1. Price Action & Structure The chart shows a bullish channel (red shaded area) where price has been making higher highs and higher lows since around September 18. Price recently reached the upper trendline of the channel and is now pulling back toward the middle/lower zone. 2. Key Levels Support Zone: Around 97.575 – 97.257 (blue labels). This is where the chart suggests a potential buy/long entry. The gray box marks the area where price is expected to reverse to the upside. Stop-Loss Level: Slightly below 97.257, around 97.238 (red level). If price breaks below this, it would invalidate the bullish setup. Target Point: 98.799 – 98.805 This is the projected move upward, shown with the big arrow. 3. Expected Scenario The zigzag line indicates that price may dip into the support zone, consolidate, and then bounce back up strongly toward the target point. This is a long (buy) trade setup with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio since the potential reward is much bigger than the stop loss risk. 4. Risk–Reward Ratio Risk (downside): Around 0.3 points (from 97.575 entry to 97.238 stop). Reward (upside): Around 1.2 points (from 97.575 entry to 98.799 target). That’s roughly 4:1 R:R — a very good trade setup if price respects the support zone. Summary ✅ Bullish Bias – Price is in an uptrend channel. 📉 Buy Zone: 97.575 – 97.257 📊 Target: 98.799 – 98.805 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 97.238 🎯 Expectation: Short-term dip followed by a strong bullish rally.
ICEUS:DXYLong
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
2
Dollar Index Holding Up But GBPUSD Might Change That...Dollar = Relative Game, Not Absolute Dollar Index isn’t just the USD — it’s USD vs a basket (mainly EUR, JPY, GBP). If the Fed cuts but ECB, BOE, and BOJ are also leaning dovish, the relative advantage doesn’t change; USD stays steady. The dollar has been consolidating because macro signals are mixed (Fed easing vs US resilience, inflation uncertainty, global growth divergence), and the euro/yen/GBP balance out. The market is waiting for a clear catalyst — usually a Fed decision, inflation report, or geopolitical shock to break the range.
TVC:DXYLong
by LegendSince
DXY Dollar Heist: Can You Escape @100?🔥 DXY Dollar Index Bank Heist Plan (Swing Trade) 🔥 Asset: DXY Dollar Index 💵Plan: Bullish 📈Thief Trading Style: Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️‍♂️ 🏦 The Heist Plan 🏦 Dear Thief OG's, Ladies & Gentlemen, get ready to pull off the ultimate DXY heist! 💰 We're using the Thief Layering Strategy to stack multiple limit orders and maximize our loot. Follow the plan, adjust to your risk, and let’s escape with the cash! 🚨 📈 Entry: The Break-In Strategy: Deploy multiple buy limit orders to layer your entries like a master thief 🕴️. Suggested levels: 98.00 💸 98.20 💸 98.40 💸 98.60 💸 Flexibility: Add more layers based on your risk appetite or market conditions 📊. Pro Tip: Set an alert on TradingView to catch the breakout or pullback at these levels 🚨. 🛑 Stop Loss: The Escape Route Thief SL: Set at 97.50 to protect your stash 🛡️. Risk Management: Adjust SL based on your lot size, risk tolerance, and number of layered entries ⚖️. Warning: Don’t get caught! This is a high-stakes heist—stick to your risk plan 🔥. 🎯 Target: The Getaway Police Barricade: Resistance at 100.30 🚓—watch out! Our Target: Take profits at 100.00 to escape with the loot before the market traps you 🏃‍♂️💨. 🧠 Why This Heist? The DXY is showing bullish momentum based on real-time market data 📡: Macro Factors: Strong USD demand driven by economic indicators (check COT reports, geopolitics, and intermarket analysis) 🌍. Technical Setup: Layered entries align with swing trade pullbacks and key support zones 📉. Scalpers 👀: Stick to quick long-side trades with trailing SL to lock in profits 💰. ⚠️ Trading Alerts: Stay Sharp! News Releases: Avoid new trades during high-impact news to dodge volatility traps 🚫. Position Management: Use trailing stop-loss to secure your profits and stay safe 🛡️. 💪 Boost the Heist! Hit the Boost Button to power up our Thief Trading Style! 🚀 Every like and view strengthens our crew, helping us rob the market with precision. Let’s make money and vanish like pros! 🤑 Stay tuned for the next heist plan, Thief OG’s! 🕵️‍♂️🎉
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by The-Thief
Dollar Finds Support Ahead of U.S. Data and GDP; SNB Leaves RateDollar Finds Support Ahead of U.S. Data and GDP; SNB Leaves Rates Unchanged The U.S. dollar stayed strong this week as traders waited for important U.S. jobless claims and GDP numbers that could guide the Federal Reserve’s next decision. On Thursday morning, the Dollar Index traded near 97.55 after touching a two-week high on Wednesday. The move came after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank faces a “challenging situation” as it tries to balance high inflation with a weak job market. Key U.S. Data in Focus Jobless claims due later today are expected to show around 230k, suggesting the labor market is still strong. GDP figures and PCE inflation data later this week will give more signals about economic strength. Several Fed officials are also speaking this week, which could move markets. Analysts say if jobless claims remain low, the dollar could get stronger because it means the Fed may delay more rate cuts. Europe and Switzerland In Europe, EUR/USD stayed flat near 1.1738. Analysts warn a fall below 1.1725 could push the pair down toward 1.1660. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) kept its interest rate at zero, stopping a series of seven straight cuts. After the news, USD/CHF edged up to 0.7958. Asia Updates USD/JPY slipped 0.1% to 148.69 after strong gains the previous day. BoJ minutes showed some members want to consider raising rates in the future. AUD/USD rose 0.2% to 0.6592 after Australian inflation came in higher than expected. Outlook The dollar remains supported as traders balance U.S. economic strength with Fed policy expectations. For now, the focus is on today’s jobless claims and GDP data, which could set the next move for the dollar. ✍️ By Md Golam Rabbani
TVC:DXYLong
by FXNEWSCLUB
DXY testing trend resistance after Powell comments The dollar clawed back some ground after Jerome Powell’s latest remarks, but I’m not convinced this bounce has legs. With the Fed now leaning dovish, the bias still favours more downside unless we see consistent cracks in the jobs market to justify the two cuts priced in for 2025. Powell reiterated on Tuesday that inflation risks are skewed higher while employment risks are tilted lower, adding: “Two-sided risks mean there is no risk-free path.” Translation: he’s keeping his options open ahead of the October meeting. Fed chatter will remain front and centre, with Mary Daly up later today, jobless claims tomorrow, and the key PCE inflation reading on Friday. The dollar index is now testing resistance around 97.60–97.80 area — a confluence of the 21-day EMA, broken support, and a trendline. Until this area breaks, it’s hard to get bullish. The broader picture of lower highs and lows still screams corrective. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
Dollar Headed Higher?Looking at the price of the dollar from a daily perspective, we can see that price accumulated for about 3 full trading weeks. Manipulation took place soon after, followed by 3 strong bullish candles. Now that bulls have entered the market after the manipulation, I fully expect the distribution to take place after retesting the bullish FVG. Since this is the dollar we're talking about, this price movement will most likely affect the price of other assets including Gold and dollar pairs. Targeting the daily POI/Medium BSL.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by TheTradingRegimen
Dollar Index Resistance & Support AnalysisDXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is trading around 97.71, holding within an upward channel after bouncing from the 97.00–97.10 support zone. The structure shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, the chart also highlights a potential “strong high” area near 98.20–98.40, where resistance from both Fibonacci retracement levels and channel tops converge. If DXY fails to break above this resistance, a retracement toward 97.20–97.00 is likely, with further downside risk toward 96.80 if that support breaks. Based on the current setup, short-term upside toward 98.20–98.40 is possible, but overall bias suggests a likely pullback (downside) after testing resistance, especially if momentum weakens near the channel top. 🔴 Sell Zone (Short Setup) - Sell Zone (Resistance area): 98.20 – 98.40 - Sell Trigger: If price tests and rejects this zone with bearish candles (reversal signals). 🟢 Buy Zone (Long Setup) - Buy Zone (Support area): 97.20 – 97.30 - Buy Trigger: If price holds above this zone and shows bullish reversal candles (hammer, engulfing, etc.). Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
TVC:DXYShort
by SibiSh
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Weekly 2025Summary: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has corrected down to the key 38.60% Fibonacci retracement zone and is currently showing signs of a potential bullish reversal, bolstered by a clear hidden bullish divergence on the MACD. This may signal a renewed rally toward key upside targets, especially if the 93.3–99.9 support Zone holds. Chart Context: Current Price: 98.864 Key Fib Support: 38.60% @ 99.906, 48.60% @ 93.310, 61.80% @ 87.476 Support Zone: 93.3–99.9 USD Hidden Bullish Divergence: Observed both in 2021 and now again in 2025 on the MACD Trendline Support: Long-term ascending trendline holding since 2011 Fib Extension Targets (Trend-Based): TP1: 115.000 TP2: 120.000 TP3: 126.666 Key Technical Observations: Fibonacci Confluence: DXY is bouncing from a strong Fib cluster between 93.310 and 99.906, historically acting as a reversal zone. Hidden Bullish Divergence: Suggests potential upside despite price weakness. Downtrend Retest: Price may revisit 93.3–87.4 before confirming full reversal. Breakout Pathway: Green dashed arrows outline the likely recovery trajectory toward 114–126 range. Indicators: MACD: Showing hidden bullish divergence and potential signal crossover. Trendline Support: Holding intact from 2021 low. Fib Levels: Used for retracement and trend-based extension. Fundamental Context: Interest Rate Outlook: If U.S. inflation remains controlled and Fed signals future hikes or sustained high rates, DXY strength may persist. Global Liquidity & Recession Risk: If risk aversion returns, the dollar may rise as a safe haven. Geopolitical Risks: Conflicts, trade tensions, or BRICS dedollarization efforts may create volatility. Our Recent research suggests the Fed may maintain higher-for-longer rates due to resilient labor markets and sticky core inflation. This supports bullish USD bias unless macro shifts rapidly. Why DXY Could Continue Strengthening: Robust U.S. economic performance & monetary policy divergence U.S. GDP growth (~2.7% in 2024) outpaces developed peers (~1.7%), supporting stronger USD The Fed maintains restrictive rates (4.25–4.50%), while the ECB pivots to easing, widening the policy and yield gap . Inflation resilience and Fed hawkishness Labor markets remain tight, keeping inflation “sticky” and delaying expected rate cuts; market-implied cuts for 2025 have been pushed into 2026 Fed officials (e.g. Kugler) emphasize ongoing tariff-driven inflation, suggesting rates will stay elevated. Safe-haven and yield-seeking capital flows With global risks, capital favors USD-denominated assets for yield and stability Why the Dollar Might Face Headwinds Fiscal expansion & trade uncertainty Ballooning U.S. deficits (~$3.3 trn new debt) and erratic tariff policy undermine confidence in USD Wall Street’s consensus bearish position. Major banks largely expect a weaker dollar through 2025–26. However, this crowded bearish sentiment poses a risk of a sharp rebound if data surprises occur barons Tariff policy risks Trump's new tariffs could dampen dollar demand—yet if perceived as fiscal stimulus, they could unexpectedly buoy the USD . Synthesis for Our Biases A bullish DXY thesis is well-supported by: Economic and policy divergence (U.S. growth + Fed vs. peers). Hawkish Fed commentary and sticky inflation. Safe-haven capital inflows. Conversely, risks include: Deteriorating fiscal/trade dynamics. Potential Fed pivot once inflation shows clear decline. A consensus that could trigger a short squeeze or reversal if overstretched. Philosophical / Narrative View: The dollar remains the world’s dominant reserve currency. Periodic dips often act as strategic re-accumulation phases for institutional capital—especially during global macro uncertainty. A return toward 120+ reflects this persistent demand for USD liquidity and safety. Bias & Strategy Implication: 1. Primary Bias: Bullish, contingent on support at 93.3–99.9 holding. 2. Risk Scenario: Breakdown below 93.3 invalidates bullish thesis and targets 87.4–80 zones. Impact on Crypto & Gold and its Correlation and Scenarios: Historically, DXY has had an inverse correlation to both gold and crypto markets. When DXY strengthens, liquidity tends to rotate into dollar-denominated assets and away from risk-on trades like crypto and gold. When DXY weakens, it typically acts as a tailwind for both Bitcoin and gold. Correlation Coefficients: DXY vs. Gold: ≈ -0.85 (strong inverse correlation) DXY vs. TOTAL (crypto market cap): ≈ -0.72 (moderate to strong inverse correlation) Scenario 1: DXY Rallies toward 115–126 then, Expect gold to correct or stagnate, especially if yields rise. Crypto likely to pull back or remain suppressed unless specific bullish catalysts emerge (e.g., ETF flows or tech adoption). Scenario 2: DXY ranges between 93–105 then Gold may consolidate or form bullish continuation patterns. Then Crypto may see selective strength, particularly altcoins, if BTC.D declines. Scenario 3: DXY falls below 93 and toward 87 Then Gold likely to rally, possibly challenging all-time highs. Crypto could enter a major bull run, led by Bitcoin and followed by altcoins, fueled by increased liquidity and lower opportunity cost of holding non-USD assets. Understanding DXY’s direction provides valuable insight for portfolio positioning in macro-sensitive assets. Notes & Disclaimers: This analysis reflects a technical interpretation of the DXY index and is not financial advice. Market conditions may change based on unexpected macroeconomic events, Fed policy, or geopolitical developments.
TVC:DXYLong
by BitonGroup
DXY SELL PROJECTIONDXY (Daily Outlook) – Sell Projection The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been showing signs of exhaustion after its recent upward move, and price action suggests that a potential correction could be on the horizon. I am closely watching the 98.000 supply zone, which stands out as a critical resistance level on the daily timeframe. Should price retrace into this zone and show signs of rejection — such as bearish candlestick patterns or a shift in market structure — it would present a strong case for sellers to regain control. A sell from this region could set the stage for renewed downside momentum in the coming sessions. For traders, this projection carries important cross-market implications: if the dollar weakens from the 98.000 level, we can expect XXX/USD pairs to gain more buying power, particularly around the midweek trading period. This would likely support bullish opportunities in major USD counterparts such as EURUSD, GBPUSD, and potentially gold (XAUUSD). In short, patience and confirmation are key — waiting for DXY to tap into the supply zone and react will provide higher probability setups across USD-related pairs.
TVC:DXYShort
by Kosywilson
$DXY breaking down. Next level to watch 95. Year-end lows @ 90.Even if the Fed cutting cycle has just started, we are seeing major weakness in the TVC:DXY index prior to the easing cycle. It is quiet peculiar the bottom to top of the Fed hiking cycle matches exactly to the DXY index Cycle bottom in 2021 to cycle top to September 2022. With a drop in the Fed fund rate from 5.34% to 4.34%, which is close to 18%, and the DXY has also lost almost 17%. If the expectation is that there will be another 0.25% rate cut over the next few months which will takt the Fed fund rates to 4.09%, which is 23% from the recent highs of 5.34%. And surprisingly if we plot 23% lower from the ATH on the TVC:DXY Index then the index should reach 90 by the end of the year. Verdict: With Fed rate lowering cycle ongoing the TVC:DXY index will lose more strength. 95 remains our short-term target and TVC:DXY to reach 90 by year end.
TVC:DXYShort
by RabishankarBiswal