DXY (SHORT)
Dollar pullback expected this week
5wave move completed/ ABC move NEXT.
because pairs like GBPUSD and EURUSD Are also showing bullish momentum confirming the weak USD.
Trade ideas
MISSED TRADE DUE TO BUSY WEEK. I missed a lot of trade due to busy week. 3 rr is enough to take the trade.
Potential bullish rise?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 99.41
1st Support: 98.61
1st Resistance: 101.92
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Higher timeframe outlook for DXY : 8 November 2025Monthly timeframe
Bias : Bullish
Analysis:
Price has formed a low in September 2025, creating a dealing range with the dealing range high forming in January of 2025. This has set a the dollar index in a relative discount condition warranting a bullish bias. Please do note this bullish bias is mainly enforced by lower timeframes which will be addressed below.
The current bullish draw on liquidity on this timeframe is the monthly bearish fair value gaps at 103.197 to 101.977.
Weekly timeframe
Bias : Bullish
Analysis:
Price has displaced above 99.563 and has closed above the high leaving a bullish weekly fair value gap. This is a key indication that price wants to tread higher and is driving the monthly narrative.
It is expected that price to retrace into this bullish weekly fair value gap within the next 1-2 weeks before heading higher towards the monthly draw on liquidity.
4 hourly timeframe
Bias : Initial bearish with an expectation of bullish reversal to the upside.
Analysis:
This week has seen the dollar index displace below 99.671, leaving a bearish 4H fair value gap. This is an indication that price is still looking to tread lower into further discount before a reversal upside.
Note the 4H bearish order block aligning with the monthly opening price for November 2025. This adds confluence that price would reach for this bearish 4H order block and lower taking out the low of 99.398 heading into the bullish weekly fair value gap.
As mentioned in the 4hourly bias, there is an expectation of bullish reversal. This is where the 4hour timeframe starts to align with the weekly and monthly timeframe.
It is expected that this bullish reversal will occur after price heads into the bullish 4H fair value gap at 99.225. A bullish reversal would be confirmed once there is a bullish market structure shift confirmed with a bullish 4h fair value gap, a bullish 4H balanced price range, or an intermediate term low forming after price reacts off the 4H buyside imbalance sellside inefficiency.
Side note s
- Should this analysis not pan out the next point of interest would be the bullish rejection block and propulsion block on the 4H chart. Should these not hold, the bias may turn bearish.
- This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. The financial markets carry significant financial risk.
- For ease of readability, please turn off all indicators in my chart. This can be done by using the Ctrl+Alt+H function. Should you see multiple charts you can view one chart at a time by clicking on the one chart while holding down the Alt button.
DXY idea 12.11.2025For the dollar index, I think that if the price breaks through the golden pocket, the price could reach the level of 100-100.5, which would be an ideal opportunity for a short from a confluence perspective. There is a weekly level and a value high here, and there is also a fibo of 0.786. For a long, I would see potential around the price of 97.7, where the wvap daily level and fibo of 0.382 are located nearby, for a broader context.
DXY– Potential Shift After Momentum StallThe dollar index has shown a strong climb followed by signs of momentum slowing at recent highs. Current price behaviour suggests the possibility of a corrective move developing after this consolidation phase, with downside continuation becoming more likely if bullish follow-through fails to materialise. We’ll be monitoring structure and momentum closely as the next leg unfolds.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis
Bullish USIndex/DXYTechnically looking at a bullish momentum. Price might consolidate inside the box pattern or just break or bounce inside the descending channel breaking out
dxy 4h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
DXY ( Doller Index ) I expect to see the dollar index begin to rise from these areas. The wave will take months, perhaps even two years, to reach the upward target
Weekly DXY Candle AnalysisIt’s been nearly 220 days that the Dollar Index has been trading below the key 100 level, and this week it managed to approach 100 with a relatively strong candle compared to previous ones.
If this week closes above 100, and next week also manages to hold above it, we can expect the Dollar Index to strengthen.
As long as the DXY hasn’t given a proper confirmation above 100, we remain sellers on the index.
DXYSo DXY showing great structure after failing to continue bullish as it did not break above the supply zone and now, moving bearish ensuring the to move towards previous demad zone which price created.
SL GU tradeMarket came down to Support zone to form a W suggesting a possible bullish reversal at the second hand of the W, correlating with WH+SH on DXY. Against Bias but setup is convincing, with good R2R (1:2)
Dollar Index Double Top!Within a 4-hour time frame, the DXY (Dollar Index) is forming a double top. There's a slight bullish divergence at RSI 14, which makes it a potential buy signal.
With FVG (Fair Value Gap), Buy Limit would be at around 100.03, and if taking Buy Stop (a more cautious approach), then the entry point would be at around 100.45.
SP500 Testing Do-Die Support Stocks are seeing a pretty strong and aggressive decline, interestingly right after Nvidia delivered earnings that beat expectations, so it looks like the market still wants to move lower as AI-related valuations in the tech sector are simply too high and the market needs a deeper retracement. What stands out is that the S&P 500 has now retraced perfectly back to that October 10th Friday gap, when we saw a massive 3.5% sell-off in just one session, so I’m wondering if this zone could act as an interesting support for a potential rebound.
Keep in mind that despite the weakness in stocks over the last few sessions, we are not seeing that much strength on the dollar as you would normally expect in risk-off; so if stocks rebound the dollar could also slow down, ideally around 100.35–100.65 where the upside could be limited at the upper side of a wedge formation. I really want to see how the market will close today, because if we get a positive reaction in stocks then we may have some reason for a bounce next week, but if not and the market fails to recover today, then I’m afraid we can see much lower levels on the S&P 500 while DXY invalidate the diagonal formation.
DXY General Trend Is Still Bullish But Pullback Highly ProbableThe trend is clearly still bullish. There is no sign yet of a reversal of a trend.
But a retracement is highly probable.
downtrend Given the price behavior in the current support level, possible scenarios have been identified. A downward trend will be formed upon the breakdown of the support zone.
DXY Potential Longs To 100.360DXY Has retraced to the key level that I anticipated at the start of last week , i am now anticipating potential longs to run above 100.360.
I noted a good initial reaction at the anticipated key level , i will now be looking for opportunities to go long.
DXY About to DROP? Massive Short Pressure Building for December!The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of short pressure, and price action looks like it’s gearing up for a potential bearish move heading into next week and early December. In this video, I break down what I'm seeing on the charts, how momentum is shifting, and the key levels I’m watching for confirmation.
If you’re trading USD pairs—UJ, UCHF, UCAD, EU, GU, AU, NU—this move could set the tone for early December volatility. Tap in so you don’t miss the setups forming right now.
#DXY #ForexAnalysis #USDollar #ForexTrading #MarketOutlook #DollarIndex #PriceAction #BearishSetup #FXTrader #TradingInsights #TechnicalAnalysis #ShortPressure #ForexMarket #WeeklyForecast #DecemberOutlook
2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar (Episode 2)2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar (Episode 2) 📉💵
📆 Feb 25 was just the beginning — and now we’ve got confirmation.
DXY couldn’t hold above structure, and the drop is on. What began as a quiet theme is turning into the macro headline:
The King Dollar is softening... on purpose.
🔍 Chart Context
• 🔴 Rejection at 112.3 — clean and brutal**
• 🔁 100.95 now flipped into resistance**
• 📉 Heading toward Target: 94.37** — the long-term structure low
The structure hasn’t changed — only the velocity has.
This isn’t a flash move. This is policy-meets-price.
🧨 Fundamentals: Trump’s Soft Dollar Doctrine
Back on January 23, Trump told the world exactly what he wanted:
“I’d like to see interest rates come down… a lot.”
“Oil down, prices down, inflation gone — and then rates down.”
Translation?
💵 A weaker dollar to fuel exports, ease debt loads, and juice the real economy.**
This is not weakness — it’s a recalibration.
Add in:
• Tariffs + labor policy inflation
• Pressure on Powell
• Geopolitical chess moves (Putin negotiations, Middle East detente)
→ and you’ve got a coordinated softening playbook.
📉 What’s Next?
• 🔹 Break 98 = Target 94.37 opens wide
• 🧱 If 94 cracks, we’ll re-assess — but for now, that’s the magnet
• DXY needs a miracle to reclaim strength without Fed resistance easing
2025 could be the year the dollar gets normalized by force — not finesse.
🔄 Perspective Shift 🔄
This isn’t dollar death — it’s dollar diplomacy.
Strong enough to hold global weight, soft enough to boost Main Street.
You think this isn’t coordinated? Look again. 📡
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
First episode:
⚠️ I’m not a financial advisor — just a philosopher with better chart vision than 99% of the noise out there. What I share is my view, not a signal. You trade? You’re responsible. Just don’t blame me when I’m right again.
US Dollar: Look For Buys As The Pullback Ends!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Nov. 17 - 21st.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD was in retracement last week. It looks like that may be ending, and a new bullish leg could potential start early this week.
Wait patiently for the bullish shift in the market at a key poi... like the Weekly +FVG highlighted in the video. The 1H TF should make this obvious, and look to long the USD against its currency counterparts.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
$DXY $BTCHope all is well and wishing you a wonderful 2025 Holiday Season.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC & TVC:DXY
In recent news, Bitcoin and the Dollar are currently priced at $86,466 & $100.26.
I believe the Dollar will increase through 2026-2027, as the economy reflects current labor markets, deflation, and "risk-off" equities, as investors seek safe harbor during troubling times.
From the historical price action, you can see the Dollar gaining strength, as CRYPTOCAP:BTC falls relative to the Dollar demand.
Vice versa, as the Dollar weakens, risk profile turns on and price action increases for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and other speculative assets.
I'm estimating TVC:DXY to reach $110-$115 (Average $112.50), which can place CRYPTOCAP:BTC around $62,000-$46,000 (Average $54,000).
God Speed,
JR
Gold may seek higher imbalances on the sessionWe have reached the previous forecast goal. Today is a much more convoluted range. It seems we can be bullish here but the resistance just above should be the target and no more.
