GER30 trade ideas
GER30 (DAX 40)GER30 (DAX 40) Bullish Outlook
The DAX 40 is showing steady strength, with buyers stepping in around 23,500. Momentum is building, and if it pushes past 23,800, we could see it testing 24,000 soon.
Pullbacks to support might be great spots to consider entering long, keeping an eye on how the market reacts. Overall, the vibe is bullish and the trend is looking healthy.
DAX40 sideways consolidation support at 23400The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 – initial resistance
24116 – psychological and structural level
24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23250 – minor support
23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23950. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 remains range-bound at 23,751, trading under its VWAP of 24,029. RSI at 42 signals weaker momentum. Support at 23,455 is being tested while resistance is 24,604.
UK 100 remains bullish but has pulled back from recent highs down to its VWAP, trading at 9,224. RSI at 54 shows neutral-to-positive momentum. Support is 9,097, resistance is 9,347.
Wall Street continues in a bullish trend, consolidating below record highs, last at 45,487 above its VWAP of 45,243. RSI at 58 leans bullish. Support is 44,684, resistance 45,803.
Brent Crude is still in a choppy range, at 6,654 the price is hovering around its VWAP of 6,690. RSI at 47 reflects neutral momentum. Support stands at 6,492, resistance at 6,888.
Gold has surged higher, trading at new record highs, currently 3,612 above VWAP 3,570 and breaking out of its multi-month consolidation. RSI at 80 indicates strong bullish momentum. Support is 3,400, resistance 3,796.
EUR/USD is pushing towards recent highs and a possible triangle breakout, trading at 1.1726 around VWAP 1.1726. RSI at 56 suggests balanced-to-bullish momentum. Support is 1.1652, resistance 1.1796.
GBP/USD is still in an extended correction within a bullish trend, trading at 1.3510 near VWAP 1.3485. RSI at 53 signals steady momentum. Support is 1.3398, resistance is 1.3573.
USD/JPY stays range-bound at 147.71 stalling after a triangle breakout, now just above the VWAP at 147.12. RSI at 51 reflects a neutral outlook. Support is 146.53, resistance 148.66.
DAX gearing up for a breakout?The lengthy consolidation on the DAX means the German index is no longer technically overbought on the weekly and lower time frames. The monthly is still above 70.0 but with other global indices looking strong, the DAX could be about to break higher again.
For confirmation i would like to see a break above the bearish trend line and ideally a move above the next band of resistance between 23,900 to 24,100. If and when the DAX clears this area, any rounded retest of this zone from above could potentially offer a decent bounce trade, targeting new record highs.
Meanwhile key support continues to remain near the old highs of around 24,480 or so (shaded in blue).
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
At All-Time Highs - Can the DAX Power Higher or Time to Pause?GER40 Technical Analysis: 🇩🇪 At All-Time Highs - Can the DAX Power Higher or Time to Pause? ⏸️
Asset: GER40 (DAX 40 Index CFD)
Analysis Date : September 5, 2025
Current Closing Price: 23,654.5 (as of 11:54 PM UTC+4)
Timeframes Analyzed: 1H, 4H, D, W
Executive Summary & Market Outlook 🧐
The GER40 is trading at a historic high, showcasing a formidable bullish trend. 🚀 However, the price is now testing a critical psychological resistance zone near 23,700. The rally shows signs of minor exhaustion, with momentum indicators flashing overbought signals. This creates a classic tension between a potential breakout continuation and a healthy pullback. A decisive break above 23,700 could target 24,000, while a rejection may trigger a retracement to gather strength. This analysis provides a clear plan for intraday 🎯 and swing traders 📈.
📈 Quick Summary & Key Takeaways (TL;DR)
🔄 Market State: The DAX is at a critical Gann & Fibonacci confluence zone around 23,650. A decisive break above or below this level will dictate the next major move.
🎯 Primary Bullish Target: A breakout above 23,800 targets 24,200 - 24,500.
⚠️ Primary Bearish Target: A breakdown below 23,500 opens the path to 23,100 - 22,800.
📊 Key Indicator: RSI is neutral but showing early bearish divergence on the 4H chart, suggesting upward momentum is waning.
⭐ Trade of the Week: Short on a rejection from the 23,750-23,800 resistance cluster with a target towards 23,200.
Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 🔍
1. Trend Analysis (Daily & 4-Hour Chart):
Primary Trend: 🟢 Strongly Bullish. Price is well above all key Daily Moving Averages (200, 100, 50 EMA), which are fanned out and sloping upwards.
Short-Term Trend: 🟡 Bullish but Overextended. The recent ascent has been steep, suggesting the market may need a brief pause or dip to attract new buyers.
2. Key Chart Patterns & Theories:
Breakout & Consolidation: The index has broken above previous highs and is now consolidating near the peak. This can be interpreted as a bull flag formation, suggesting a potential continuation upon a breakout.
Elliott Wave Theory 🌊: T he rally from the last significant low appears to be a clear five-wave impulse. We are likely in the final stages of Wave 5. This implies that while the trend is up, a larger Wave (4) correction is becoming due. A typical retracement target for a Wave 4 is the 38.2% Fibonacci level near 22,800.
Ichimoku Cloud (H4/D1) ☁️: Price is trading high above the Cloud on daily charts, confirming the strong bullish trend. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is also clear of price, supporting the bullish bias. However, this extension suggests a pullback to the Cloud is possible.
Gann Theory ⏳: The 23,700 level represents a key psychological and mathematical resistance. A decisive break and close above it could open the path to the next Gann angle target.
3. Critical Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance (R1): 23,700 - 23,800 (Key Psychological & Technical Ceiling) 🚨
Resistance (R2): 24,000 (Projected Target)
Current Closing Price: ~23,654.5
Support (S1): 23,400 - 23,500 (Immediate Support & 21-period EMA) ✅
Support (S2): 23,000 - 23,200 (Major Support - 38.2% Fib & Prior Breakout Zone) 🛡️
Support (S3): 22,600 (50-day EMA & 50% Fib Retracement)
4. Indicator Consensus:
RSI (14-period on 4H/D): Reading is between 65 and 70, signaling overbought conditions. 📛 This suggests upside momentum may be slowing and warns against chasing longs at these highs.
Bollinger Bands (4H) 📏: Price is riding the upper band, a sign of strong momentum. A move back towards the middle band (20-period SMA) would be a healthy development.
Moving Averages: The bullish alignment (EMA8 > EMA21 > EMA50) is intact. The EMA 21 on the 4H chart acts as crucial dynamic support.
Volume & VWAP: Volume has been respectable on the breakout. The Anchored VWAP from a recent swing low shows price is extended, suggesting a pullback would be healthy.
Trading Strategy & Forecast 🎯
A. Intraday Trading Strategy (5M - 1H Charts):
Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play) ⬆️: A break above 23,700 with increasing volume could trigger a momentum move higher.
Entry: On a small pullback to re-test 23,700 as new support.
Stop Loss: Below 23,650.
Target: 23,900 (TP1), 24,000 (TP2).
Bearish Scenario (Rejection Play) ⬇️: Given overbought conditions, a rejection at this resistance is a valid setup.
Entry: On bearish reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Shooting Star 🌠) at 23,700.
Stop Loss: Tight, above 23,750.
Target: 23,500 (TP1), 23,400 (TP2).
B. Swing Trading Strategy (4H - D Charts):
Strategy: WAIT FOR A BETTER ENTRY. The risk/reward for new long entries at this resistance is not optimal. 🚫
Ideal Long Zones : A pullback to the 23,200 - 23,400 support confluence would offer a much higher probability long entry to ride the next leg up. ✅
Bearish Risk: A daily close below 23,000 would signal a deeper correction is likely underway, potentially targeting 22,600.
Risk Management & Conclusion ⚠️
Key Risk Events: European economic data (German Industrial Production, ZEW Survey) and ECB commentary are key drivers. 🔥 As a major export index, the DAX is also highly sensitive to global growth expectations and geopolitical developments.
Position Sizing: Due to the potential for increased volatility at key levels, always use conservative position sizing. Risk no more than 1-2% of your capital on a single trade.
Conclusion: The GER40 is bullish but testing a major ceiling. ⚖️ The trend is your friend, but the smart play here is patience. Swing traders should wait for a pullback to strong support before entering. Intraday traders can play the range between 23,500 and 23,700 until a decisive break occurs. The most probable outcome is a period of consolidation or a shallow pullback before the next major directional move. 📊
Overall Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 23,200 | 🟡 Neutral/Bearish between 23,650-23,700
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
DAX40 bulish continuation supported at 23950The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 23400 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 23400 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
23950 – initial resistance
24116 – psychological and structural level
24250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 23400 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
23250 – minor support
23094 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Dax40 holds above 23950. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dax - Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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GER30 H4 | Bullish reversal from major supportGER30 is reacting off the buy entry at 23,513.79, which is a multi swing low support and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 23,216.12, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 23,835.14, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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GER30/DAX30 - TIME TO GET RICHTeam, I have been patiently waiting for the market to consolidate
Here is the reason i am going long
Unemployment down from 6.20 to 6.00 couple 2 days ago
Inflation is under control at 2.1 - perfect
RETAILS come out shortly in 3 hours.
Let's go, if you're going long 23639 and 23600
STOP LOSS at 23460
Target 1 at 23700-23750 - take 70% profit and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 23800-23860
LETS KILL THE BEAST TOGETHER
DAX 40: Important Level Ahead of Index ReshuffleThe DAX is currently consolidating at a critical level on the higher timeframes. We’re seeing indecision in the market and the next move will likely depend on how London session plays out.
If price breaks above this consolidation zone → bullish confirmation.
If price rejects and stays below → bearish continuation.
No trade until we get a clear break and retest. London might just consolidate, so patience is key.
STOXX just announced the September reshuffle of the DAX (effective Sept 22). GEA Group joins the index, while Sartorius, Scout24, and Porsche AG exit. This increases the DAX’s industrial exposure and reduces its defensive healthcare/tech weight making it more sensitive to trends.
We’re at an important decision point. Wait for London to show its hand before committing.
Good luck traders and remember this is not financial advice =)
DE30/DAX Long Trade ICMARKETS:DE30 / XETR:DAX Long Trade
Entry: 23,390 - 23,630
TP-1: 24,025
TP-2: 24,150
This is good trade.
Don't overload your risk like Greedy gambler!!!
Be Disciplined Trader, what what you can afford.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: Trading is risky, only idea, not advice.
DEX 30 - Forecast🕰 Weekly
Sitting right on top of that weekly demand (22,700–23,200). Buyers are trying to defend, but if this floor gives way, we’re diving deeper. BOS is still intact from the upside, but momentum looks tired.
📉 Daily
Heavy drop straight into demand. Now the real question → do we bounce back into 23,700–24,000 supply for a cheeky rejection… or do we crack lower straight away? 👀
⏱ 8H
Clean ChoCH to the downside. Market tapped demand, so a little relief rally is on the cards. But watch that supply zone — sellers waiting up there with bags packed.
🎯 Outlook
Short-term → bounce into supply ✅
Mid-term → bearish pressure still in control 🔻
Lose 22,700 and we could easily hunt liquidity towards 22,000–22,300.
Bias : Short-term pullback → Mid-term bearish
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is in a neutral range phase, trading at 23,778, right around its VWAP of 23,790. RSI at 45.4 suggests softer momentum. Support is at 23,389, with resistance at 24301.
The UK 100 continues in a bullish impulsive phase, trading at 9273 above its VWAP of 9235. RSI at 57.2 supports ongoing strength. Support is at 9134, with resistance at 9336.
Wall Street remains bullish in an impulsive phase, currently at 45916 above its VWAP of 45508. The RSI at 60.7 indicates strong momentum. Support is at 45054, while resistance is at 45916.
Brent Crude continues to consolidate in a range, trading at 6698 around its VWAP of 6698. RSI at 50.2 reflects balanced momentum. Support is at 6535, resistance at 6884.
Gold has broken higher in a bullish impulsive phase, now trading at 3641 above VWAP 3614. RSI at 79.9 signals strong buying momentum. Support is 3402, resistance 3823.
EUR/USD is bullish and remains in a correction, trading at 1.17145 near its VWAP of 1.17145. RSI at 56.3 points to steady upside interest. Support is 1.16550, resistance at 1.18151.
GBP/USD is in a bullish correction phase, trading at 1.3585 above its VWAP of 1.3502. RSI at 58.8 suggests healthy momentum. Support is at 1.3400, resistance at 1.3590.
USD/JPY is range-bound, currently at 147.39 around its VWAP of 147.39. RSI at 48.6 shows a neutral market. Support sits at 146.60, resistance at 148.52.