Get started
DAX IndexDAX IndexDAX Index

DAX Index

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Seasonals

GER30 trade ideas

DAX (GER40) – New Short SetupThe DAX is currently trading around 24,150. On the 4-hour chart, price has dropped below the 10 EMA (red line) and failed to reclaim it, which is a bearish signal. The short-term EMAs (yellow and green) are flattening and starting to turn down, showing weakening bullish momentum. Trade Setup Entry: Around 24,150 – 24,160 Stop Loss: Above 24,224 (recent local high) Target 1 (T1): 24,000 Target 2 (T2): 23,488 Target 3 (T3): 23,053 Why I’m Short Price is now trading weak, also Nasdaq shows signs of a drop - which usually signals bearish momentum. Multiple failed attempts to reclaim the moving averages show that buyers are losing strength. The targets are based on clear historical support levels that have been tested multiple times. Summary I’m looking for a short entry around 24,150 – 24,160, with targets at 24,000, 23,488, and 23,053. If price breaks above 24,224 with conviction, the setup becomes invalid. No financial advice – just my personal trade idea.
VANTAGE:GER40Short
by Maxxchineee
10
Post-CPI DAX Short OpportunityExpecting the DAX to drop after the Eurozone CPI release. Trading cautiously and looking for short opportunities, ideally supported by the FVGs we see on the higher TFs. The Eurozone CPI shows how fast prices are rising in Europe. If we get a higher than expected, the ECB may keep rates high, which is usually negative for some stocks. For the DAX40, this can trigger a sell-off. After the release let's wait 15–20 minutes before trading. We can spot the real direction. Trade with caution traders! Share your thoughts Traders and remember this is not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Maroko86
Weekly Technical Analysis- Germany 40 is range-bound at 23,938, under its VWAP of 24,213. RSI at 41 signals weaker momentum. Support at 23,00 is being tested while resistance is 24,524. - UK 100 remains bullish but has pulled back from record highs down to its VWAP, trading at 9,193. RSI at 50 shows neutral momentum. Support is 9,042, resistance is 9,364. - Wall Street has entered a new bullish trend and is consolidating under record highs, last at 45,550 above its VWAP 44,948. RSI at 64 leans bullish. Support is 43,934, resistance 45,962. - Brent Crude is still in a choppy range, at 6,745 the price is back above its VWAP of 6,656. RSI at 51 reflects neutral momentum. Support stands at 6,490, resistance at 6,822. - Gold has broken higher, trading at 3,447 above VWAP 3,368 and near the top of its 4-month range. RSI at 68 demonstrates the fresh bullish momentum. Support is 3,293, resistance is being tested at 3,450. - EUR/USD is testing the highs, trading at 1.1692 above VWAP 1.1692. RSI at 54 suggests balanced momentum. Support is 1.1596, resistance 1.1735. - GBP/USD is consolidating in an extended correction of a bullish trend, trading at 1.3505 near VWAP 1.3500. RSI at 53 signals a stable tone. Support is 1.3405, resistance is 1.3581. - USD/JPY stays range-bound at 147.00, now just below the VWAP at 147.45. RSI at 47 reflects a neutral outlook. Support is 146.60, resistance 148.27.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
DAX 1H — Clean break of the descending trendline from 22–29 Aug.Context • Price has been capped by a well-defined descending trendline (orange-tagged lower highs) since last week. • Into month-end, the selloff lost momentum and compressed into a falling wedge/descending triangle against a 23,93x–23,94x demand (marked by EQL/“weak low”). • We’ve now impulsed through the local trendline and into the prior 1H supply band, flipping it to potential support. Structure & confluence on the break • Multiple BOS/CHoCH prints inside the wedge signaled absorption/basing before the break. • The breakout occurs around the 0.618 pullback area of the last minor leg, with a neat cluster of equal lows below (liquidity left behind), and room to the upside until the next heavy area: the higher, older trendline / “Strong High” zone. • Measured from the wedge height, the projection aligns with ~24,387 (shown on chart). Plan (not financial advice) • Bias: Long on breakout and/or retest of the broken trendline / prior supply. • Entry zone: 23,970–23,986 (retest/acceptance above the break). • Invalidation: 1H close back below 23,930–23,937 (back inside the wedge and under the micro base). • Protective stop: 23,902 (beneath the “weak low” and wedge base). • Targets: • TP1: 24,060 (first 1H supply & dashed mid-range). • TP2: 24,180–24,220 (prior EQH/dashed line). • TP3: 24,300 (round number & prior reaction). • Final: 24,387 (confluence with the higher trendline; your blue arrow). • R:R guide: From ~23,980 entry to 23,902 stop is ~78 pts risk; to 24,387 is ~+407 pts → ~5.2R if full target prints. • Management: Once price accepts above ~23,986, consider moving to BE; trail under each new 1H swing low as we stair-step up. Failure to hold 23,970 on the retest = stand aside and reassess. Alt (bearish) scenario • A sharp rejection from 24,06x–24,18x and a close back under 23,930 would turn the break into a fake-out, exposing 23,880 → 23,840 and, if that fails, the deeper demand around 23,80x. Heads-up (event risk this week) • Eurozone/Germany PMIs (Mon–Tue), Euro area flash HICP (Tue), Germany Factory Orders (Fri), and US NFP (Fri) can all inject volatility—size appropriately and be wary around release times. CFI:GER30
CFI:GER30Long
by KhaleelSuliman
4
DAX is under pressure DAX displays a relatively weak performance. Unlike US indices, it is moving for 2 weeks in a row in a declining trend, closing below the 20-day moving average. Volatility remains low, that’s why the decline of DAX is rather slow, but the acceleration of a bearish move might be accompanied by the increasing pace and the appearance of the large red distribution day. The next possible support is positioned at around 23600 price are Don't forget - this is just the idea. Always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
ICMARKETS:DE30Short
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
DAX GER40 Technical Analysis: Advanced Weekly Forecast# DAX GER40 Technical Analysis: Comprehensive Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategy & Weekly Forecast Current Price: 23,939.4 (As of August 30, 2025, 11:54 AM UTC+4) Asset Class: GER40 / DAX Index Analysis Date: August 30, 2025 --- Executive Summary The DAX Index (GER40) continues to showcase remarkable resilience, trading near historic highs at 23,939.4 points. Our comprehensive technical analysis reveals the index has achieved significant milestones, with recent data showing the DE40 reaching 24,084 points on August 28, 2025, despite a monthly decline of 0.55%. The index maintains an impressive 27.35% year-over-year gain, positioning it as one of Europe's strongest performers. Technical confluence suggests potential for further upside toward the 24,500-25,000 zone, contingent on ECB policy support and improving macro conditions. --- Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis Elliott Wave Analysis The DAX appears to be progressing through a complex corrective pattern within a larger degree bull market: Primary Count: Wave 5 of (5) within a Grand Super Cycle Alternative Count: Expanding diagonal formation in final stages Target Zone: 24,500-25,200 for primary wave completion Critical Support: 22,800 (Wave 4 low invalidation level) Long-term Projection: Extension toward 26,000-27,000 in 2026 Wyckoff Market Structure Analysis Current price action aligns with Wyckoff's Re-accumulation Phase: Phase: Late Stage Re-accumulation transitioning to Markup Volume Analysis: Institutional accumulation evident on pullbacks below 23,500 Price Action: Higher lows formation with narrowing consolidation ranges Composite Operator Activity: Large player absorption at key support levels W.D. Gann Comprehensive Analysis Square of 9 Analysis: - Current price 23,939.4 positioned near critical Gann square resistance - Next major Gann level: 24,649 (significant 360-degree rotation) - Time and price confluence: September 21-28, 2025 (Autumn Equinox influence) - Cardinal squares active at 24,000 and 24,321 Angle Theory Application: - 1x1 Rising Angle Support: 23,400-23,500 - 2x1 Accelerated Angle: 24,200-24,400 (next resistance cluster) - 1x2 Support Angle: 22,800-23,000 (major correction target) Time Cycle Analysis: - 90-day cycle completion due: Mid-September 2025 - Seasonal Gann Pattern: September-October strength historically favors DAX - Next major time window: October 15-25, 2025 Price Forecasting: - Immediate target: 24,200-24,400 - Extended target: 24,800-25,200 - Correction target (if triggered): 22,400-22,800 --- Japanese Candlestick & Harmonic Pattern Analysis Recent Candlestick Formations (Daily Chart) Doji Formation: August 28-29 showing indecision at resistance Long Lower Shadows: Indicating strong buying support below 23,800 Hammer Patterns: Multiple occurrences near 23,500-23,600 support zone Volume Confirmation: Bullish divergence with increasing volume on rallies Harmonic Pattern Recognition Bullish Gartley Pattern: Completion zone 23,200-23,400 (recent support test) ABCD Extension: Active pattern targeting 24,480-24,650 Butterfly Pattern Potential: Watching for completion near 24,800-25,000 Fibonacci Harmony: 1.618 extension projects to 24,756 from recent swing low Advanced Pattern Confluence Three Drives Pattern: Currently in third drive toward 24,200+ Cypher Pattern: Potential reversal zone at 24,500-24,800 Bat Pattern Setup: Monitoring for completion signals above 24,000 --- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Analysis Current Cloud Structure (Daily Chart) Price Position: Solidly above Kumo cloud (strongly bullish) Tenkan-sen (9-period): 23,847 (short-term trend line) Kijun-sen (26-period): 23,712 (medium-term trend support) Senkou Span A: 23,780 (leading span A) Senkou Span B: 23,445 (leading span B - key support) Chikou Span: Positioned above price action confirming bullish momentum Future Kumo (26 periods ahead): - Thick ascending cloud structure indicating continued bullish bias - Cloud support zone: 24,200-24,400 (future support levels) - Kumo twist anticipated: Mid-October 2025 Ichimoku Trading Signals TK Cross: Tenkan above Kijun (bullish signal active) Price vs Cloud: Above cloud with strong momentum Chikou Span: Clear above price history (confirmation signal) --- Technical Indicators Deep Dive RSI (Relative Strength Index) Analysis Daily RSI: 64.8 (healthy bullish momentum, not overbought) Weekly RSI: 58.3 (room for further upside) 4H RSI: 67.2 (approaching overbought but sustainable) RSI Divergence: No bearish divergence detected, momentum intact Bollinger Bands Analysis Current Position: Price testing upper band resistance Band Width: Expanding, indicating increasing volatility BB Squeeze: Recent breakout from squeeze formation %B Indicator: 0.78 (strong but not extreme reading) VWAP Analysis (Volume Weighted Average Price) Daily VWAP: 23,876 (current support level) Weekly VWAP: 23,654 (key support zone) Monthly VWAP: 23,423 (major trend support) Volume Profile: High volume acceptance above 23,500 Moving Average Structure 10 EMA: 23,789 (immediate dynamic support) 20 EMA: 23,712 (short-term trend support) 50 SMA: 23,534 (intermediate support) 100 SMA: 23,287 (key trend support) 200 SMA: 22,845 (major trend support) Moving Average Signals: - All major EMAs in bullish alignment - Golden Cross intact (50/200 cross maintained) - Price above all key moving averages --- Support & Resistance Analysis Primary Resistance Levels 1. R1: 24,000 (psychological and Gann resistance) 2. R2: 24,200-24,400 (2x1 Gann angle cluster) 3. R3: 24,500-24,650 (Harmonic completion zone) 4. R4: 24,800-25,000 (Major extension target) 5. R5: 25,200-25,500 (Long-term Elliott Wave target) Primary Support Levels 1. S1: 23,712 (Kijun-sen support) 2. S2: 23,500-23,600 (recent swing low zone) 3. S3: 23,200-23,400 (Harmonic support/Weekly VWAP) 4. S4: 22,800-23,000 (1x2 Gann angle/100 SMA) 5. S5: 22,400-22,600 (Major correction target) Volume-Based Support/Resistance High Volume Node: 23,400-23,600 (strong support zone) Low Volume Gap: 24,100-24,300 (potential fast move zone) Volume Resistance: 24,500+ (historical selling pressure) --- Multi-Timeframe Trading Strategies Scalping Strategy (5M & 15M Charts) 5-Minute Timeframe Approach: Entry Signals: Pullbacks to 10 EMA with RSI <35 Profit Targets: 30-50 points per trade Stop Loss: 20-25 points maximum risk Volume Filter: Require above-average volume on entries Time Window: Focus on 9:00-11:00 AM and 2:00-4:00 PM CET 15-Minute Scalping Strategy: Range Trading: Current range 23,850-24,050 Breakout Method: Volume spike above 24,050 for continuation Mean Reversion: Fade moves beyond 2.5 standard deviations from VWAP Risk Management: Maximum 3 trades per session, 1:2 risk-reward minimum Intraday Trading Framework (30M, 1H, 4H) 30-Minute Chart Strategy: Trend Following: Long above 20/50 EMA confluence (23,750) Pattern Trading: Flag and pennant formations near resistance Target Methodology: Initial 24,100, extended 24,300 Risk Parameters: 40-60 point stops, 2.5:1 reward-to-risk 1-Hour Chart Approach: Momentum Trading: MACD bullish crossovers above signal line Support Bounces: Long positions from 23,650-23,750 zone Resistance Testing: Monitor price action at 24,000 level Session Management: European session focus (8:00 AM - 5:00 PM CET) 4-Hour Swing Setup: Cloud Trading: Long positions on Ichimoku cloud support tests Elliott Wave: Ride Wave 5 extensions toward 24,500+ Fibonacci Levels: Use 38.2% and 50% retracements for entries Hold Duration: 2-5 days typical position holding period Swing Trading Strategy (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) Daily Chart Methodology: Breakout Strategy: Long on sustained breaks above 24,000 Pullback Entries: Accumulate on tests of 23,400-23,600 Target Progression: 24,200 → 24,500 → 24,800 Position Sizing: Scale in on multiple time frame confirmations Weekly Chart Analysis: Primary Trend: Remains strongly bullish above 23,000 Swing Targets: 24,500-25,000 zone for major profit-taking Risk Management: Weekly closes below 22,800 signal major reversal Monthly Chart Perspective: Long-term Trajectory: Multi-year uptrend intact Secular Bull Market: Target zones 26,000-28,000 by 2026-2027 Major Support: 21,500-22,000 zone (not expected to test) --- Day-by-Day Trading Plan: September 2-6, 2025 Monday, September 2, 2025 Market Status: Full trading session (US markets closed - Labor Day) European Focus: Increased volatility potential due to US absence Key Levels: Resistance: 24,000, 24,150 Support: 23,780, 23,650 Trading Strategy: Morning Session (9:00-12:00 CET): Range trading likely, fade extremes Afternoon Session (13:00-17:30 CET): Reduced US influence, European-driven moves Setup Focus: Long 23,750-23,850, Short above 24,100 without volume Risk Management: Reduced position sizes due to holiday conditions Tuesday, September 3, 2025 Market Outlook: Full global participation returns Key Events: German economic data releases, ECB officials speeches Strategy Framework: Breakout Focus: Monitor 24,000 level for volume-confirmed breaks Economic Data: German manufacturing PMI and employment data impact Entry Zones: Long 23,800-23,900 on pullbacks Target Areas: 24,150-24,300 on breakout scenarios Risk Considerations: - ECB policy communication sensitivity - German economic data deviation impact - Post-holiday volume normalization Wednesday, September 4, 2025 Market Outlook: Mid-week momentum session with ECB focus Key Events: Potential ECB policy signals, European inflation data Trading Approach: Trend Continuation: Above 23,850 favors further upside Policy Sensitivity: ECB dovish signals bullish for DAX Technical Setup: Watch for 1-2-3 reversal patterns at resistance Volume Analysis: Require institutional participation for sustained moves Thursday, September 5, 2025 Market Outlook: Pre-weekly close positioning Focus Areas: Technical level respect, institutional flows Strategy Elements: Resistance Testing: 24,200-24,400 zone critical Support Validation: 23,650-23,750 area strength Pattern Completion: Monitor harmonic pattern developments Risk-Off Scenarios: Safe-haven flows could pressure DAX Friday, September 6, 2025 Market Outlook: Weekly close dynamics, position squaring Key Considerations: NFP impact on global sentiment, weekly technical levels Trading Framework: Weekly Close: Above 23,900 maintains bullish structure Profit-Taking: Expect some long position liquidation Gap Risk: Prepare for weekend news flow impact Setup Preservation: Maintain positions with weekly support above 23,700 --- Macroeconomic & Policy Considerations European Central Bank Policy Impact The ECB's monetary policy stance remains crucial for DAX performance. Recent ECB decisions show the Governing Council decided to lower the three key ECB interest rates by 25 basis points in March 2025, with domestic price pressures continuing to ease, with wages growing more slowly. This dovish stance supports equity valuations and German corporate profitability. German Economic Outlook The German economic environment presents mixed signals. While economic activity is expected to broadly stagnate in 2025 and trade tensions are set to significantly weigh on exports, there are positive factors including Germany's fiscal stimulus supporting better growth prospects. Eurozone Growth Projections The broader eurozone context shows Real GDP projected to grow by 0.9% in 2025, 1.1% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027, with EA GDP growth to average 0.9% in 2025 and accelerate to 1.3% in 2026. Key Risk Factors 1. Trade Policy Uncertainty: Trade policy uncertainty over recent months is expected to reduce global growth 2. Global Trade Tensions: Ongoing US-China trade dynamics affecting European exports 3. ECB Policy Divergence: Potential policy normalization pressures 4. Geopolitical Risks: Eastern European tensions and energy security concerns --- Sector Analysis & DAX Components Best Performing Components Current analysis shows the champion of GERMAN STOCK INDEX (DAX) is XETR:ENR — it's gained 265.49% over the year, indicating strong sectoral divergence within the index. Sector Rotation Implications Technology Sector: Leading performance driving index higher Industrial Sector: Mixed performance due to export pressures Financial Sector: Benefiting from ECB policy normalization expectations Consumer Discretionary: Supported by potential wage growth and consumer spending --- Risk Management Framework Position Sizing Guidelines Scalping Positions: 0.5-1% account risk per trade Intraday Trades: 1-2% account risk maximum Swing Positions: 2-3% account risk per position Maximum Exposure: 8% total DAX-related risk at any time Stop-Loss Protocols Scalping: 20-30 points maximum loss Intraday: 50-80 points based on volatility Swing Trading: Below key support levels (23,400 for current longs) Technical Stops: Below major moving averages and pattern invalidation levels Profit-Taking Strategy Scaling Approach: Take 40% at first target, 35% at second target, hold 25% for extensions Trailing Stops: Implement after 2:1 favorable movement Time-Based Exits: Close positions before major ECB announcements Pattern-Based Exits: Honor harmonic pattern completion zones --- Weekly Outlook Probability Analysis Bullish Scenario (Probability: 65%) Catalysts: - ECB maintains dovish policy stance - German economic data shows stabilization signs - Technical breakout above 24,000 with volume - US-Europe trade tensions remain contained Price Targets: - Initial: 24,200-24,400 - Extended: 24,500-24,800 - Optimistic: 25,000+ Neutral/Consolidation Scenario (Probability: 25%) Characteristics: - Range-bound trading between 23,600-24,200 - Mixed economic signals from Germany - ECB policy uncertainty - Technical indecision at resistance levels Trading Range: - Upper Bound: 24,100-24,200 - Lower Bound: 23,500-23,600 - Strategy: Range trading, fade extremes Bearish Scenario (Probability: 10%) Risk Factors: - Significant deterioration in German economic data - ECB hawkish surprise or policy error - Major geopolitical shock - Technical breakdown below 23,400 Downside Targets: - Initial: 23,000-23,200 - Extended: 22,600-22,800 - Crisis: 22,000-22,400 --- Advanced Trading Techniques Correlation Analysis EUR/USD Impact: Strong positive correlation (0.72) US500 Relationship: Moderate correlation (0.58) with divergence potential Bond Yields: German Bund yields inverse relationship Commodity Exposure: Energy prices correlation through industrial components Options Market Insights Put/Call Ratio: Currently neutral, no extreme positioning Options Skew: Slight put premium indicating downside hedging Gamma Exposure: Positive gamma above 23,800, negative below Key Strike Levels: 24,000 calls, 23,500 puts show high open interest Institutional Flow Analysis Foreign Investment: Positive European equity flows from US institutions Pension Fund Activity: Rebalancing flows supporting DAX components Hedge Fund Positioning: Net long but not extreme levels ETF Flows: Consistent inflows into German equity ETFs --- For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade --- *This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always implement proper risk management and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.* Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor. ---
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
1
DAX40 support retest at 24000 ?The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 24000 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 24000 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24540 – initial resistance 24670 – psychological and structural level 24980 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 24000 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23790 – minor support 23600 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 23790. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
2
DAX: 50DMA break puts downside levels in playThe Germany 40 contract is trading through the 50-day simple moving average, a level that’s been tested frequently over the past month but never closed below until Wednesday. Should the price be unable to reclaim the level, a short setup may be in order. While some may be prepared to establish shorts beneath the 50DMA with a tight stop above for protection, the preference would be to see the price push meaningfully below 24000 given how many times it bounced from beneath the level when trading above the 50DMA over the past month. Bids may be found at 23800 and again at 23620, the latter coinciding with the uptrend running from the June swing low. Ultimately, however, 23400 screens as a more appealing target given it’s where the price bounced strongly from earlier this month. Of course, if the price were to reverse back above the 50DMA and close there, the setup could be flipped with longs established above and a stop beneath for protection. The downtrend from the record highs set on July 10 sits just beneath 24400 today, making that a potential target. 24530 is another, coinciding with where the price stalled on four separate occasions since July 23. RSI (14) is trending lower and now sits beneath 50, providing a slightly bearish signal. However, it’s yet to be confirmed by MACD, which remains in positive territory despite crossing over from above earlier this week. The overall momentum signal is therefore neutral, placing more emphasis on price action to guide trading decisions. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:GER40Short
by FOREXcom
Title: London Session Outlook – Push Up Before Down We are currently pushing off a 1H gap that has been respected. For the London session, I expect price to push up first to grab liquidity before continuing down. Watching closely for rejection around resistance to confirm the downside move. Price reacting to respected I HR Gap Expecting an initial push up (liquidity grab) Looking for continuation down afterward This is my outlook, not financial advice. Share your thoughts guys!
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by Maroko86
5
GER30Trend:** Trading inside a **downward sloping channel** → short-term bearish bias. Resistance:** 24,350 – 24,500 (channel top). Support:** 24,100 – 23,900 (channel bottom). RSI:** \~47 → below neutral, showing mild bearish momentum. Volume:** Flat overall, sellers slightly stronger on down moves. **Outlook:** * Likely bearish toward **24,100 → 23,900** unless price breaks above **24,500** with strong volume. * Breakout above 24,500 = possible rally to **24,700 – 25,000**. 👉 Current bias: **Bearish within the channel**.
FX:GER30Short
by B9A-88652-NisarAhmad
Dax Bullish sideways consolidation?The DAX remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action indicating a potential oversold rally within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 23790 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 23790 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 24540 – initial resistance 24670 – psychological and structural level 24980 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 23790 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 23610 – minor support 23400 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the FTSE holds above 23790. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
GER30 H1 | Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistanceGER30 is rising towards the sell entry at 24,240.91, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside. Stop loss is at 24,396.95, which is a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 23,964.31, which is a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:GER30Short
by Tradu
GTradingMethod | GER40CASH (DE40) LONG SETUPI’m watching a possible inverse head & shoulders forming on the hourly chart and looking for a long entry if confirmed. It will also be a good time for reversal with Europe markets opening at the close of this hour. That gives it liquidity it needs to push up aggressively. Some of the variables I will be looking for is 1) The hourly candle to close in the entry range and 2) Lower volume on this candle versus the trough of the left shoulders. 📊 Trade Plan: Risk/Reward: 4.6 Entry: 24 236.3 Stop Loss: 24 194 Take Profit 1 (50%): 24 394 Take Profit 2 (50%): 24 480 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: Predefining your risk isn’t just a habit — it’s what keeps emotions out of trading and lets probability play out over time. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Make sure to follow me to catch the next update. If you found this helpful, give it a like 👍 and share your thoughts 💬 — I’d love to hear what you think! ⚠️ Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by GTradingMethod
2
Could the price reverse from here?DAX40 (DE40) is rising towards the pivot, which is a multi swing high resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 24,650.07 1st Support: 23,406.35 1st Resistance: 25,104.61 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:DE40Short
by ICmarkets
2
# GER40 Comprehensive Technical Analysis# GER40 Comprehensive Technical Analysis & European Geopolitical Strategy **Current Position**: 24,355.1 (Aug 23, 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4) * 🎯 Executive Summary GER40 at historically elevated levels showing strong annual performance (+30.45% YoY). Multiple theory convergence suggests continuation potential toward 25,000-25,500, but European geopolitical complexities and ECB policy uncertainty create mixed intermediate outlook requiring tactical approach. --- # 🇪🇺 EUROPEAN GEOPOLITICAL & FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROP *German Economic Context** *# Structural Factors *Industrial Powerhouse**: Manufacturing export dependency *China Exposure**: Significant trade relationship vulnerability *Energy Transition**: Green technology leadership opportunity *Demographic Challenges**: Aging population impact on growth *# Current Economic Health *GDP Growth**: Modest expansion amid global headwinds *Inflation**: Moderating but above ECB target *Employment**: Strong labor market supporting consumption *Export Performance**: Mixed due to global trade tensions *European Central Bank Policy Environment** *# Monetary Policy Stance *Interest Rates**: Restrictive levels impacting growth *QE Programs**: Reduced asset purchases *Forward Guidance**: Data-dependent approach *Currency Impact**: Euro strength affecting competitiveness *# Policy Risk Factors *Divergence from Fed**: Different inflation trajectories *Fragmentation Risk**: Southern European bond spreads *Banking Sector**: Credit conditions tightening *Political Pressure**: Member state fiscal concerns *Geopolitical Risk Matrix** *# Regional Tensions *Russia-Ukraine**: Ongoing conflict affecting energy/trade *Trade Wars**: US tariff policies under Trump administration *China Relations**: Balancing trade vs. security concerns *Brexit Aftermath**: UK-EU relationship stability *# European Integration *Fiscal Union**: Progress on common debt instruments *Defense Cooperation**: Increased military spending *Migration Policy**: Political stability implications *Green Deal**: Massive investment program impact --- # 📊 MULTI-TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL ANALYSIS *INTRADAY ANALYSIS (5M - 4H)** *# **5-Minute Timeframe Analysis** ** Candlestick Patterns *Current Formation**: Consolidation after recent strength *Key Patterns**: *Hammer below 24,300**: Bullish reversal signal *Shooting Star above 24,400**: Profit-taking warning *Doji at 24,350**: Indecision at current levels *Volume Analysis**: Below average, suggesting institutional pause ** Technical Indicators (5M) *RSI(14)**: 55-60 (Neutral momentum) *VWAP**: 24,340 ± 20 (Dynamic support/resistance) *Bollinger Bands**: Middle band at 24,335, slight expansion *EMA(20)**: 24,325 (immediate support) ** 5M Trading Setup *Long Entry**: Break above 24,380 with volume >150% avg *Stop Loss**: Below 24,310 (70 point risk) *Target 1**: 24,450 (R:R 1:1) *Target 2**: 24,520 (R:R 1:2.4) *# **15-Minute Timeframe Analysis** ** Harmonic Patterns *Active Pattern**: Bullish Bat completion at 24,200-24,250 *ABCD Structure**: C-D leg targeting 24,450-24,500 *Fibonacci Levels**: - 61.8% extension at 24,480 - 78.6% extension at 24,550 - 100% extension at 24,620 ** Wyckoff Analysis (15M) *Phase**: Reaccumulation after markup *Character**: Smart money testing supply *Volume Pattern**: Lower volume on pullbacks (bullish) *Next Expected**: Continued markup if 24,250 holds ** 15M Strategy *Pullback Entry**: 24,280-24,320 support zone *Stop Loss**: Below 24,250 (30-70 point risk) *Target 1**: 24,420 (R:R 1:2) *Target 2**: 24,500 (R:R 1:4) *# **30-Minute Timeframe Analysis** ** Elliott Wave Structure *Primary Count**: Wave 5 of (3) in progress - Wave 1: 23,800 → 24,200 - Wave 2: 24,200 → 24,000 - Wave 3: 24,000 → 24,400 (extended) - Wave 4: 24,400 → 24,250 (shallow) - Wave 5 Target: 24,500-24,650 ** Alternative Count *Wave (5) of larger degree**: Targeting 25,000-25,500 *Correction Risk**: If above 24,600, watch for exhaustion *Invalidation**: Below 24,100 negates bullish structure ** W.D. Gann Analysis (30M) *Square of 9**: - 24,336 = 156² ÷ 10 (current level) - 24,649 = 157² ÷ 10 (next resistance) - 24,964 = 158² ÷ 10 (major target) *Time Theory**: Next major window Aug 28-30 *Angle Theory**: 1x1 Gann line at 24,000 (major support) *# **1-Hour Timeframe Analysis** ** Ichimoku Kinko Hyo *Tenkan-sen (9)**: 24,360 (dynamic resistance) *Kijun-sen (26)**: 24,280 (key support) *Kumo Cloud**: 24,150-24,250 (support zone) *Chikou Span**: Above price action (bullish) *Future Cloud**: Bullish configuration continuing ** Moving Average Matrix *SMA(20)**: 24,290 *EMA(20)**: 24,320 *SMA(50)**: 24,180 *EMA(50)**: 24,220 *SMA(200)**: 23,800 *Configuration**: All bullish alignment maintained ** 1H Position Strategy *Bull Flag Pattern**: Breakout above 24,400 *Entry**: 24,420 with volume confirmation *Stop**: 24,250 (170 point risk) *Target 1**: 24,600 (R:R 1:1.06) *Target 2**: 24,750 (R:R 1:1.94) *# **4-Hour Timeframe Analysis** ** Advanced Pattern Recognition *Ascending Triangle**: Base at 24,000, apex at 24,400 *Cup Formation**: Potential handle development *Volume Profile**: Point of Control at 24,200 *Key Levels**: *Major Support**: 24,000-24,100 *Minor Support**: 24,250-24,300 *Minor Resistance**: 24,400-24,450 *Major Resistance**: 24,600-24,700 ** 4H Swing Strategy *Pattern**: Bullish continuation setup *Entry Zone**: 24,200-24,300 on pullbacks *Stop Loss**: Below 24,000 (200-300 point risk) *Target 1**: 24,650 (R:R 1:1.2) *Target 2**: 25,000 (R:R 1:2.5) *Target 3**: 25,350 (R:R 1:4) --- # 📈 SWING ANALYSIS (Daily - Monthly) *Daily Timeframe** *# Elliott Wave Daily Structure *Supercycle**: Wave (V) from 2009 lows continuation *Cycle**: Wave 5 of (V) in final extension phase *Primary**: Wave (3) of 5 targeting 25,500-26,000 *Current Status**: Mid-stage of primary wave advance *# German DAX Historical Context *All-Time Highs**: Recently achieved new records *Long-term Trend**: Intact since 2009 crisis lows *Resistance Levels**: Psychological 25,000 critical *Support Structure**: 23,500-24,000 major zone *# Wyckoff Daily Analysis *Phase**: Late markup phase *Accumulation**: Completed in 2022-2023 bear market *Distribution Signals**: Not yet apparent *Professional Activity**: Continued institutional buying *# Gann Daily Forecasting *Annual Cycle**: Traditionally strong Q3-Q4 for DAX *Master Numbers**: - 25,000 (major psychological resistance) - 25,600 = 160² (Gann square target) - 26,244 = 162² (extended projection) *Time Cycles**: 180-day cycle bullish through year-end *Weekly Timeframe** *# Major Elliott Wave Structure *Grand Supercycle**: Wave (III) from 1932 lows *Supercycle**: Wave (V) of III in final stages *Long-term Target**: 27,000-30,000 (secular peak) *# Weekly Harmonic Analysis *Shark Pattern**: Potential completion 25,800-26,200 *Butterfly Extension**: Maximum target 26,500-27,000 *ABCD Projects**: 1.272 extension at 25,400 *# European Sector Leadership *Technology**: SAP, ASML driving performance *Industrials**: Siemens, manufacturing strength *Automotive**: Transition to EV leadership *Financials**: ECB policy sensitivity *Monthly Timeframe** *# Macro Structural Analysis *Primary Degree**: Final wave of multi-decade advance *Completion Timeline**: Peak likely 2025-2026 *Post-Peak Risk**: Significant correction potential *Demographic Headwinds**: Long-term growth challenges *# Monthly Indicators *RSI**: 65 (Elevated but not extreme) *MACD**: Bullish momentum continuing *Volume**: Institutional participation confirming *Breadth**: German mid-caps participating --- # 🎯 CRITICAL LEVELS & TARGETS *Immediate Levels (24-48 Hours)** *# Resistance Hierarchy *R1**: 24,400-24,420 (immediate ceiling) *R2**: 24,500-24,520 (psychological) *R3**: 24,650-24,700 (measured move) *R4**: 24,800-24,850 (extension) *# Support Framework *S1**: 24,280-24,300 (immediate floor) *S2**: 24,200-24,250 (key retracement) *S3**: 24,100-24,150 (major support) *S4**: 24,000-24,050 (critical psychological) *Short-term Projections (1-2 Weeks)** *# Bullish Scenario (65% Probability) *Target 1**: 24,600-24,750 *Target 2**: 24,900-25,100 *Target 3**: 25,200-25,400 *Catalysts**: ECB dovishness, China trade progress *# Bearish Scenario (35% Probability) *Target 1**: 23,800-24,000 *Target 2**: 23,500-23,700 *Target 3**: 23,200-23,400 *Catalysts**: ECB hawkishness, trade war escalation --- # 📅 DAILY TRADING STRATEGIES WITH EUROPEAN OVERLAY *MONDAY, AUGUST 26, 2025** *# European Market Context *ECB Watch**: Any policy communications from Frankfurt *China Trade**: German export sensitivity to Asian developments *Energy Prices**: Russian gas relationship impact *Euro Strength**: Export competitiveness concerns *# Opening Dynamics *Asian Session**: China performance critical for DAX *Currency Impact**: EUR/USD strength headwind for exports *Gap Assessment**: Likely modest gap based on overnight news *# **Trading Strategies** ** Setup 1: European Opening Gap *Gap Up Scenario**: Above 24,380 - Entry: First pullback to 24,350-24,370 - Stop: 24,310 (40-60 point risk) - Target: 24,480-24,520 (R:R 1:2) ** Setup 2: Export Sensitivity Play *USD/EUR Strength**: Headwind for German exporters *Strategy**: Fade strength on currency concerns *Entry**: 24,400-24,420 resistance *Target**: 24,280-24,320 ** Setup 3: China Correlation *Shanghai Performance**: Direct DAX correlation *Bullish China**: Long DAX continuation *Bearish China**: Defensive positioning *# Risk Management Monday *European Time Zones**: Active 8:00-16:30 CET *News Sensitivity**: ECB officials, German data *Position Size**: Standard risk given stable environment --- *TUESDAY, AUGUST 27, 2025** *# Technical Focus *Gann Time Window**: Potential reversal date *Pattern Completion**: Triangle/flag resolution expected *Volume Analysis**: Institutional participation critical *# **Primary Strategies** ** Setup 1: Breakout Confirmation *Above 24,450**: Acceleration likely - Entry: 24,470 with volume >150% - Stop: 24,380 (90 point risk) - Target 1: 24,600 (R:R 1:1.4) - Target 2: 24,750 (R:R 1:3.1) ** Setup 2: Failed Breakout *Rejection at 24,450**: Distribution signal - Entry: Break below 24,320 - Stop: 24,380 (60 point risk) - Target: 24,150-24,200 (R:R 1:2) ** Setup 3: Range Development *Consolidation**: 24,250-24,450 *Buy Low**: 24,280-24,320 *Sell High**: 24,400-24,430 *Stops**: Outside range limits --- *WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 28, 2025** *# Mid-Week European Dynamics *ECB Policy**: Watch for hawkish/dovish signals *German Data**: Industrial production, business confidence *Trade Relations**: US-Germany tariff developments *# **Strategy Focus** ** Setup 1: ECB Policy Response *Dovish ECB**: Bullish for equities - Target: 24,600-24,800 - Strategy: Buy pullbacks aggressively *Hawkish ECB**: Risk-off environment - Target: 23,900-24,100 - Strategy: Short rallies, defensive sectors ** Setup 2: German Economic Data *Strong Data**: Manufacturing strength confirmation *Weak Data**: Global slowdown concerns *Mixed Data**: Range-bound trading likely --- *THURSDAY, AUGUST 29, 2025** *# Pre-Weekend Positioning *Month-End Flows**: Institutional rebalancing *German Bund Impact**: Bond-equity relationship *Export Orders**: Forward-looking indicators *# **Advanced Strategies** ** Setup 1: Month-End Positioning *Strong Close >24,400**: Bullish monthly signal *Weak Close <24,200**: Caution for September *Volume Critical**: For signal validation ** Setup 2: Sector Rotation *Technology Leadership**: SAP, Infineon performance *Industrial Strength**: Siemens, manufacturing *Automotive Transition**: EV theme continuation --- *FRIDAY, AUGUST 30, 2025** *# Monthly Close Significance *Technical Importance**: Long-term chart patterns *Institutional Activity**: Quarter-end approaching *Weekend Risk**: European geopolitical developments *# **End-of-Week Strategies** ** Setup 1: Monthly Close Play *Above 24,500**: September bullish setup *Below 24,200**: Defensive September positioning *Volume Confirmation**: Essential for validity ** Setup 2: Weekend Risk Management *Geopolitical Headlines**: Reduce exposure if tense *Economic Calendar**: Major data releases Monday *Position Sizing**: Conservative over weekend --- # 🇪🇺 EUROPEAN GEOPOLITICAL SCENARIO PLANNING *Scenario 1: ECB Dovish Pivot (40% Probability)** *# Triggers *Inflation Decline**: Below 2% target sustainably *Growth Concerns**: German recession risk *Employment Weakness**: Labor market deterioration *# DAX Impact *Target**: 25,500-26,000 (5-7% rally) *Timeline**: 2-4 months *Sectors**: Banks negative, Tech/Growth positive *Currency**: Euro weakness, export competitiveness *# Trading Strategy *Growth Positioning**: Technology, discretionary *Export Play**: German multinational corporations *Rate Sensitive**: REITs, utilities outperform *Duration**: Long-term bullish positioning *Scenario 2: Trade War Escalation (30% Probability)** *# Catalysts *US Tariffs**: Trump administration aggressive stance *China Retaliation**: German export impact *Supply Chain**: Manufacturing disruption *# Market Impact *DAX Target**: 22,500-23,500 (7-10% decline) *Timeline**: 1-3 months *Vulnerability**: Export-dependent companies *Safe Havens**: Domestic-focused sectors *# Trading Strategy *Defensive Sectors**: Utilities, consumer staples *Short Exports**: Automotive, industrials *Currency Hedge**: USD strength plays *Volatility**: Increased option premiums *Scenario 3: Energy Crisis Resolution (20% Probability)** *# Positive Developments *Russian Relations**: Diplomatic progress *Alternative Sources**: LNG infrastructure *Green Transition**: Accelerated renewable adoption *# DAX Implications *Target**: 26,000-27,000 (8-12% rally) *Leadership**: Energy-intensive industries *Currency**: Euro strength potential *Inflation**: Reduced energy cost pressures *# Strategy Framework *Industrial Revival**: Chemical, steel, manufacturing *Energy Transition**: Green technology leaders *Currency Play**: Euro strength beneficiaries *Long Duration**: Multi-year positive theme *Scenario 4: EU Integration Deepening (10% Probability)** *# Structural Changes *Fiscal Union**: Common debt issuance *Defense Integration**: Military spending increase *Capital Markets**: Single European market *# Long-term Impact *DAX Premium**: European integration multiple *Sector Benefits**: Defense, infrastructure, banking *Currency**: Euro as global reserve currency *Timeline**: Multi-year structural theme --- # ⚠️ COMPREHENSIVE RISK MANAGEMENT *European-Specific Risk Framework** *# Economic Risks *German Recession**: Export-dependent vulnerability *ECB Policy Error**: Premature tightening/easing *Energy Dependence**: Geopolitical supply disruption *Demographics**: Aging population, labor shortages *# Political Risks *Coalition Stability**: German government durability *EU Integration**: Member state disagreements *Populist Movements**: Anti-establishment sentiment *Brexit Aftermath**: Trade relationship evolution *Technical Risk Management** *# Position Sizing Framework *High Uncertainty**: 25-50% normal size *Moderate Risk**: 50-75% normal size *Stable Environment**: 75-100% normal size *Crisis Mode**: 0-25% normal size *# Stop Loss Methodology *News-Driven**: Wider stops during ECB meetings *Technical**: Support/resistance based *Time-Based**: Intraday management *Volatility**: ATR-adjusted stop distances --- # 📊 PERFORMANCE MONITORING & ADAPTATION *European Market Correlations** *# Cross-Asset Analysis *EUR/USD**: Inverse correlation with DAX exports *German Bund**: Flight-to-quality during stress *STOXX 600**: Regional market leadership *Commodities**: Industrial input cost sensitivity *# Sector Rotation Monitoring *Technology**: Global growth proxy *Industrials**: Domestic demand strength *Financials**: ECB policy sensitivity *Utilities**: Defensive characteristics *Economic Calendar Integration** *# High Impact Events *ECB Meetings**: Every 6 weeks, policy changes *German Data**: Industrial production, employment *EU Summits**: Political integration progress *Trade Negotiations**: Tariff policy changes --- # 🚨 CRITICAL DECISION POINTS *Immediate Technical Triggers (24-48 Hours)** *# Bullish Catalysts *24,450 Break**: Acceleration to 24,650-24,800 *Volume Surge**: >200% average confirms move *ECB Dovish**: Policy pivot supportive *# Bearish Warnings *24,200 Break**: Correction to 23,800-24,000 *Volume Divergence**: Distribution signals *Trade War News**: Export sensitivity acute *Weekly Watchpoints** *# Elliott Wave Validation *Above 24,600**: Wave 5 extension continuing *Below 24,000**: Correction wave beginning *Volume Pattern**: Institutional commitment level *# Geopolitical Escalation *Energy Crisis**: Supply disruption impact *Trade Tensions**: Export sector vulnerability *ECB Communication**: Policy direction clarity --- # 🎯 STRATEGIC FRAMEWORK SUMMARY *Base Case (European Stability - 40%)** *Range**: 24,000-25,000 for 2-4 months *Strategy**: Range trading, sector rotation *ECB**: Gradual policy normalization *Bull Case (Integration/Recovery - 35%)** *Target**: 25,500-26,500 by Q4 2025 *Strategy**: Growth momentum, technology leadership *Catalysts**: ECB cuts, trade progress, energy security *Bear Case (Crisis/Recession - 25%)** *Target**: 22,000-23,500 correction *Strategy**: Defensive positioning, safe havens *Triggers**: ECB hawkishness, trade war, energy crisis --- **⚡ EXECUTION SUMMARY**: GER40 at 24,355.1 represents strong YoY performance (+30.45%) but faces complex European geopolitical and economic crosscurrents. Technical analysis suggests continuation potential toward 25,000, but ECB policy uncertainty, trade tensions, and energy dependencies require careful risk management. Favor tactical trading over strategic positioning until clearer European policy direction emerges. Monitor ECB communications, German economic data, and trade developments as primary market drivers. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade) I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya.Trade world wide web shunya dot trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40
by sunya
DAX is forming an interesting short-term patternLooking at the technical picture of DAX, we can see that the German index seems to be preparing for a breakout. Maybe Powell's speech could be that catalyst? Let's find out. XETR:DAX MARKETSCOM:DE30 Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:DE30
by Marketscom