US30: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 46,689.60 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 46,759.66 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
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Trade ideas
DowJones pre US Open key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46908
Resistance Level 2: 47014
Resistance Level 3: 47210
Support Level 1: 46493
Support Level 2: 46409
Support Level 3: 46270
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US30 Possible False Breakout and Short-Term The US30 has recently shown strong consolidation near its top resistance zone, forming a new record high around 47,100. However, the breakout above this level appears to be losing momentum, raising the possibility of a false breakout.
If price fails to hold above 47,100 and shows signs of rejection, this could trigger a short-term corrective move each key support and resistance zone highlighted on the chart remains critical to watch. The market’s reaction — whether a clean breakout or a rejection — will likely determine the next directional move should the index respect the current resistance and reverse, the next significant short-term support to monitor is located near 45,500.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of luck.
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US30 H4 | Continuation Of Bullish MomentumBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price fall to the buy entry at 46,380.64, whichis a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 45,840.03, which is a pullback support.
Tak eporfit is at 47,070.78, which is a swing high resistance.
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Bullish continuation?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 46,388.60
1st Support: 45,835.17
1st Resistance: 47,231.62
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ANALYSIS OF THE CURRENT 5-YEAR BULL CYCLEWe would look at the 20 year cycle in the stock market, there are two individual 20-year cycles running together at a time. One cycle defines tops and the other identifies the major market lows. We would also look at the 20- year periodicity of repeating market fractals and the 5-year bull cycle that commences at the beginning of each 20-year cycle.
In subsequent updates we will identify the 8 - 13 subdivision of the 20-year cycle. To make the chart clean we have only indicated the cycle that defines bottoms. Top cycles will be identified in the description and both cycles combined on one linear scale to see how they relate to the 5-year bull cycle.
Our pivot point is taken at the 22nd August 1921 low.
First Cycle duration:
22/08/1921 - 27/04/1942 = (7553 days /1079 weeks /248.2 months)
= 20 years, 08 months, 05 days.
Cycle 2:
27/04/1942 - 25/06/1962 = (7364 days / 1052 weeks / 242 months)
= 20 years, 01 month, 29 days.
Cycle 3:
25/06/1962 - 16/08/1982 = (7357 days / 1051 weeks / 241.7 months)
= 20 years, 01 months, 22 days
Cycle 4:
16/08/1982 - 07/10/2002 = (7352 days / 1051 weeks / 241.7 months)
= 20 years, 01 month, 21 days
Cycle 5:
07/10/2002 - 10/10/2022 = (7308 days / 1044 weeks / 240.1 months)
= 20 years, 0 month, 03 days
By observation, cycle 3 and 4 have the same duration 7357 days while cycle 2 is (+7 days) off 7357 days, i.e 1 candle on the weekly timeframe. Now, looking at the beginning points of each cycle, within the identified ellipses we see a striking fractal that has been consistent in all 5 cycles.
Cycle 1 and 2
Cycle 3 and 4
Cycle 5 and 6
The 20-year cycle that defines tops are on :
27th May 1946
7th February 1966
24th August 1987
8th October 2007
XX - XX - 2027
Cycle 1 origin point is on 22/08/1921 but has a split focus at two points, one on the 1921 pivot and the other on the much popular May 1924 low.
Representing both cycles (Bottoms and tops)
This shows that between the two origin points is approximately a 5-year cycle
This cycle is actually an astrocycle and varies according to the changing speed.
By observation, Fractal 1 is very much identical to fractal 4 and fracal 2 very much identical to 5. A time span of 60 years averagely separate fractals 1 and 4 as well as 2 and 5. This leaves the 1962 - 1966 cycle, 60 years from 1962 puts the origin for the new identical fractal at the October 2022 low.
The above justifies that if the cycle is not inverted then a point on the current price action should not be broken. Also it negates the numerous calls for a crash that has been chanted since the 2020 low and never materialized.
HOWEVER, there is the 101-year cycle which alternate tops for bottoms and vice versa after its completion, and considering the pivot from 22/08/1921 the 101 years ended at the October 2022 low.
Interesting... check back as we would go through the numerical expansions that shed more light on what to expect forward, price levels, and time resistances.
Thanks for your time, all opinions are much appreciated, questions would be answered too.
Good luck.
BUY EVERY DIP, HOLD FOR THE NEXT 7-MONTH CYCLE UNTIL OCTOBERThere are the current turmoil by tariffs and perceived recession, yet, the cycles strongly support a further advance from the March lows until October 2025. The bottom in March 2020 formed the base for the 5 year bull cycle nested within the larger 13 year cycle.
PRICE
The 2020 crash low formed at 18213.65, the decline in 2022 formed a bottom at 28660.94. We would have a price range Low - Low of (+10447.29 pts)
(28660.94 - 18213.65) = 10447.29 units
By projection if the range between the first two bottoms is 10447.29 we would expect the third bottom connecting three expanding points to be at 1.618 of 10447.29 points from 28660.94
28660.94 + (10447.29 x 1.618) = 45564.66
This makes the current top at 45073.63 through 45564.66 level a major support whereas its also a minor resistance for some correction and we expect price to move through this level.
TIME
Time connecting the three points 23/03/2020 - 03/01/2022 - 10/10/2022 with March 2020 as starting point would give us a time count (0.0 - 651 days - 931 days).
We find that between the two bottoms the top in Jan 2022 came in at 651 days. By projection we expect the next bottom to be at least 209 weeks or 1463 days from 10/10/2022 with a top located at a Phi variation of 651.
We would project a time range 1064 - 1099 days for a top and a decline into the third bottom 1463 days from 10/10/2022 and 2394 days from 23/03/2020. Trade safe, good luck.
THE BIG TOP ... THE MID-CYCLE CORRECTION COMES SOONTHE BULL IS NOT DEAD YET...
Alternate Cycle progression puts 1942 - 1947, 1982 - 1987. and 2022 - 2027 on the same phase of a larger 20-year cycle. This is the smallest growth cycle that completes in approximately five (5) years. It forms the first section of every alternate 20-year cycle and carves out a very identical fractal. This fractal remerges every 40 to 43 years. This is the basis of Gann's 43-year cycle repetition.
1942 - 1947 5-year cycle
1982 - 1987 Cycle
2022 - 2027 Cycle in progression
Putting the price and time advances into a cumulative progression suggests that we are getting closer to a first correction at 47200 level. It also suggests that the next time and price for the current cycle is measurable and quantifiable with a very slim margin for error.
27th October is a major timeline to watch
Beyond that we have March 2026
TRADE PLAN:
We will close all buy entries in October
We will buy again in May 2026 for another 2-year bull cycle.
Follow for more updates
Can the DJIA Maintain Its Momentum? A Strategic Long Setup📈 DJIA Money-Making Plan: Thief Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️♂️
🚀 Swing/Day Trade Setup for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD
Join the "Thief OG" crew with this bullish plan to navigate the market with precision! Using a layered limit order strategy, this setup targets smart entries and calculated exits while keeping risk management first. Let’s dive into the plan! 💥
📊 Trade Plan Overview
Asset: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD 💰
Direction: Bullish 🐂
Current Price (Sep 10, 2025): 45,711 🟢 (+0.43% from previous close)
Strategy: Thief Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️♂️
Place multiple buy limit orders at key levels to "steal" entries during pullbacks.
Suggested Entry Levels: $45,400, $45,500, $45,600, $45,700 (or customize based on your analysis).
Note: You can add more layers or adjust levels to suit your risk appetite. Flexibility is key! 🔧
Stop Loss (SL): $45,100 (Thief OG’s starting point).
Important: Adjust your SL based on your strategy and risk tolerance. This is a suggestion, not a rule! ⚠️
Target Price (TP): $46,600 (Escape before the "police barricade"!).
Note: Set your own TP based on your goals. Take profits at your discretion—don’t follow blindly! 💸
Risk Disclaimer: Dear Traders (Thief OG’s), this plan is a guide, not a guarantee. Always trade at your own risk and adjust SL/TP to your strategy. Protect your capital! 🛡️
🧠 Why This Plan? Thief Strategy + Market Insights
The "Thief" strategy uses layered limit orders to capitalize on pullbacks in a bullish trend, backed by solid market data. Here’s why this setup shines:
Thief Technical Strategy 🕵️♂️:
Layered Entries: Multiple buy limit orders ($45,400–$45,700) allow you to scale into the trade during dips, maximizing entry precision.
Risk Management: Suggested SL at $45,100 protects against unexpected reversals. Customize to your comfort level.
Profit Potential: Target $46,600 aligns with resistance levels and recent momentum. Exit strategically to lock in gains.
Fundamental & Macro Score: 7/10 (Solid Foundation) 🟢
Earnings Growth: Expected 7-10% for 2025, driven by strong corporate balance sheets.
Sector Strength: 10/11 S&P sectors up YTD, with tech and industrials leading.
Macro Environment:
Cooling inflation (CPI ~3.1% YoY).
Fed rate cuts expected, supporting growth.
Mild headwinds from tariffs and global trade risks.
Resilient labor market (unemployment 4.3%) and consumer spending fuel upside.
Trader Sentiment Outlook 😊:
Retail: 51% Bullish 🟢 | 34% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Optimism driven by dip-buying in tech and industrials.
Institutional: 45% Bullish 🟢 | 40% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Cautious positivity, focusing on corporate fundamentals amid policy uncertainties.
Overall Mood: Mildly positive, but stay alert for volatility from trade talks or inflation data.
Fear & Greed Index: 51 (Neutral) ⚖️
Balanced emotions: Not too scared, not too greedy.
Steady momentum, but watch for volatility spikes with upcoming data (e.g., inflation reports).
Market Outlook: Bullish 🚀
Bullish trend intact with no recession signals.
Expect modest single-digit % gains, led by earnings.
Stay cautious of pullbacks from policy news, but avoid shorting for now.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
S&P 500 CFD ( SP:SPX ): Tracks broader market trends, often moves in tandem with DJIA.
NASDAQ 100 CFD ( NASDAQ:NDX ): Tech-heavy index, great for confirming bullish momentum.
FX:USDJPY : Currency pair sensitive to U.S. economic data and Fed policy.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): Safe-haven asset; monitor for risk-off moves if sentiment shifts.
📝 Final Notes
This DJIA setup combines the tactical "Thief" layered entry strategy with robust market data to guide your trades. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and adapt the plan to your style. Let’s make smart moves together! 💪
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#TradingView #DJIA #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis
Dow Jones Bullish Strategy! Can the Market Break Higher?🚀 US30 Index Money-Making Plan (Swing / Day Trade) 📊
🧠 Trading Plan & Strategy (Thief Layer Style)
🚀 Approach: Bullish Hull Moving Average pullback plan — “bulls reloaded” for the next wave.
🎯 Entry (Layering Strategy): Multiple buy-limit layers → 45,200 • 45,300 • 45,400 • 45,500 (flexible to add more based on your own plan).
🛡️ Stop Loss: Reference point at 45,000. Adjust SL responsibly to match your personal risk tolerance & style.
💰 Target: Potential resistance zone (the “police barricade”) sits near 46,300. That’s where traders may consider taking profits.
📢 Note: This is an illustrative plan based on technicals — every trader should adapt TP/SL to their own strategy and risk appetite.
📊 US30 Market Report – September 4, 2025
📈 Current Price Snapshot
Trading near 45,000 points, up 0.05% today.
Strong monthly performance (+2.4%) and robust yearly gains (+17%).
Market showing resilience despite trade tensions.
😊 Retail Traders’ Sentiment
60% long vs 40% short → Tilted bullish.
Optimism driven by hopes for earnings growth & Fed rate cuts.
Caution remains due to tariff risks.
🏦 Institutional Traders’ Outlook
Cautiously bullish positioning.
Demand for equities continues, but with moderated exposure.
Buybacks + foreign inflows supporting price action.
🌡️ Overall Investor Mood
Neutral to positive tone.
Economic resilience balanced against policy uncertainty.
Healthy breadth across sectors, not just tech.
😨 Fear & Greed Index
Currently at 52 (Neutral).
Suggests balance — no extremes dominating.
Neutral setups often precede steady gains.
💹 Fundamental Score → 8/10
Strong corporate earnings (+12–13% growth projected next year).
Balance sheets remain solid.
AI & tech themes boosting key components.
Tariffs still a drag, but diversified exposure helps.
🌍 Macro Score → 7/10
US GDP growth cooling to 1.5%, but global rebound supports outlook.
Inflation ~2.9%; Fed rate cuts expected later.
Labor market stable, policy clarity could add upside.
🐂 Overall Market Outlook: Bullish Bias 📈
If support at 45,000 holds, potential move higher toward 46,000+.
Drivers: Strong earnings, Fed easing, broad rally.
Watch: Trade news headlines remain a key risk factor.
🔎 Why This Plan?
Hull MA pullback indicates momentum continuation.
Layered entries provide flexibility & better risk distribution.
Market sentiment + fundamentals align with bullish bias.
Resistance at 46,300 offers a clear take-profit zone.
📌 Related Pairs to Watch
CAPITALCOM:US30
FOREXCOM:SPX500
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100
TVC:VIX
TVC:DXY
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#US30 #DowJones #Indices #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingPlan #HullMA #LayeringStrategy
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Another BoS Confirmed
US30 updated the all-time high on Friday, breaking and closing
above a major daily horizontal resistance cluster.
It opens a potential for more growth now.
Next resistance is 47100.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DOW JONES ANALYSIS💸 DOW JONES 💸
Chart: 1H
Overall Trend: Bullish
Current Market Structure: Short-Term Bearish
After the initial gap up & bullish push, price has been ranging in a tight consolidation zone with small candles — indicating indecision.
Scenario 1:
Bullish Continuation (Preferred if Demand Holds)
• Price retraces into the GAP UP demand zone (≈ 46,770–46,730).
• Bullish reaction here (strong wick / engulfing candle) could provide a buy setup targeting:
• First target: 46,910–46,960 (recent high)
• Final target: New ATH zone (47,051–47,088)
Scenario 2:
Deeper Pullback
• If price fails to hold the gap demand zone, expect a deeper retracement toward 46,600–46,560, which is the next structural support.
✅ Summary:
The bias remains bullish, but a short-term retracement to fill the gap demand zone is likely before a push toward new highs. A clean rejection or bullish engulfing in that zone would offer a high-probability long setup.
Dow Jones US30 Analysis: Bullish Trend, Trade Plan📊 The US30 (Dow Jones) remains in a strong bullish trend, showing a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows on the 4-hour chart 📈. However, when viewed on the daily timeframe, price now appears somewhat overextended ⚠️.
🔎 Dropping down to the lower timeframes and applying the Anchored VWAP (AVWAP) indicator, it’s evident that price is trading well above VWAP, signaling a premium zone. The risk here is that traders may continue buying into strength without acknowledging that price could easily retrace back into VWAP.
💡 Remember — smart money buys at a discount, not at a premium. In bullish trends like this, patience is crucial.
📹 In the video, I outline my trade plan, which focuses on waiting for a healthy pullback and then looking for a bullish setup if the structure aligns in our favor. I’m not interested in chasing price when it’s this extended — instead, I prefer to wait for the retracement and enter at better value, reducing risk and improving trade quality 🎯.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk carefully.
$DJI📊 Key Market Predictions This Week
1️⃣ NY Fed Inflation Data (Tuesday): Prices in NY are already climbing inflation is back in the market.
2️⃣ Fed Meeting Minutes (Wednesday): Expect signals that the Fed is trying to better manage the economy. With the government shutdown, money and policy are being rearranged.
3️⃣ Powell Speaks (Thursday): His tone could set the stage for how aggressive or cautious the Fed will be moving forward.
4️⃣ MI Consumer Data (Friday): Sentiment may look steady as “buy now, pay later” options continue to keep spending alive.
5️⃣ Jobs Report (Friday, if shutdown ends): We could see a pickup, reflecting that investments are still entering the market despite uncertainty.
US30 Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the US30 next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 46.762
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 46.525
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Watch the Dow Industrial TrendlinesNext week 10/06/25 to 10/10/25 could see the convergence of two long- term Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) trendlines.
The trendline connecting the DJI January 2022 and December 2024 peaks is near the current DJI level.
Sometime prior support trendlines can become resistance.
The trendline connecting the bottoms made in October 2023, August 2024, and January 2025 converges with the peaks trendline next week!
The area of DJI 47,200 to 47,400 could be important resitance.
Watch the DJI trendlines!