NASDAQ September's Channel Up targets 24900.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the September 02 Low and at the moment it is unfolding its 2nd Bullish Leg following the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce on September 17.
Based on the previous 4H MA50 Bullish Leg, the sequence should peak below the 2.382 Fibonacci extension at a maximum +3.96% rise. Our Target is slightly below those at 24900.
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USTEC.F trade ideas
NAS100Scenario 1: If, after taking that liquidity, the price returns to 24,722.00, we could find a support area there from which the market may continue its upward move.
Scenario 2: If that previously mentioned zone doesn’t hold, the price could retrace back to the origin of the impulse, and then continue structurally without significantly compromising the underlying level (Flip Zone Box).
👉 In both cases, the targets remain those boxes above.
Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & FundamentalsNAS100 has just completed its move into the Discount PD Array zone I highlighted yesterday. On the 1H timeframe, I pointed out the prevailing bearish trend and marked this area as a key target. Once price tapped the zone, sellers lost momentum and buyers stepped in, shifting market control.
Now we’re seeing an inverse Z formation, with a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Breaker Block (BB) cutting across the structure. If buyers step in again, as they did in the earlier PD Array, my upside target will be 24,580.
Nasdaq slipped as investors balanced Fed signalsThe Nasdaq 100 (-0.87%) fell as tech stocks weakened. Uncertainty around Nvidia’s $100bn OpenAI deal led the reversal after Monday’s gains.
Powell’s comments added to caution: he repeated that risks remain on both inflation and jobs, but also admitted to “meaningful weakness” in the labour market. This helped bonds rally, but not equities.
Extra pressure came from US government shutdown concerns, while gold hit a record high ($3,764/oz) as investors shifted to a defensive.
Tech momentum cooled, and the Nasdaq slipped as investors balanced Fed signals, policy risks, and stretched valuations.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24830
Resistance Level 2: 24950
Resistance Level 3: 25055
Support Level 1: 24412
Support Level 2: 24300
Support Level 3: 24190
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US100 Trend Watch – Critical LevelsUS100 Update
On the low time frame, US100 is consolidating around the 24,603 – 24,655 zone after rejecting higher levels.
Key levels:
24,655 – 24,603 → short-term resistance zone. A breakout and hold above would confirm bullish continuation.
24,158 → main trend support. As long as this level holds, the broader bullish structure remains intact.
Upside scenario: If price breaks and sustains above 24,655, momentum could extend further to test 25,000+.
Downside risk: If price falls below 24,603 and especially under 24,158, risk increases for a deeper pullback toward 23,800 – 23,400.
📌 Summary
Above 24,655 → bullish continuation toward new highs.
Hold above 24,158 → uptrend structure remains safe.
Below 24,158 → deeper correction risk, next support at 23,400.
NASDAQ (US100) - ShortNasdaq (US100) currently trading at 24662.
We reached a high at 24767 and from there got a rejection. Multiple reasons here now for a continuation to the down side.
Entry: In rising channel at current levels.
Stop Loss: 24702
T1: 24418
T2: 24072
I'm expecting to see a break of this rising channel soon, may get some retest of the upper line till then which are great entry points.
No trading advise, just my opinion. Have fun.
NAS100 - Stock Market, After the Fed Meeting!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the drawn ascending trend line holds, we can expect the continuation of its previous upward path, but in case of a valid break, its downward path will be smoothed to the indicated support area.
A week filled with significant events in global markets came to an end, with the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points standing out as the most important development. Although this move temporarily boosted the U.S. dollar, it failed to reverse its multi-day downtrend. Fed Chair Jerome Powell sought to frame the decision as a “risk management” measure, but the dot plot indicated that policymakers hold a different outlook, keeping the possibility of further cuts by year-end alive.
Meanwhile, Paul Atkins, Chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), announced that in response to President Donald Trump’s request, he would propose a rule change to replace quarterly corporate reporting with semiannual reporting. In an interview with CNBC, he said this matter has been placed on the SEC’s immediate agenda. With Republicans holding a 3-1 majority on the commission, such a change could be approved by a simple majority vote. This move would disrupt the traditional reporting and disclosure cycle, making investors wait longer intervals for corporate financial information.
In a Truth Social post, Trump wrote: “This change will cut costs and allow executives to focus on running companies properly instead of worrying about quarterly reports.” He also added: “You’ve heard people say China takes a 50- to 100-year perspective on corporate management, yet we run our companies quarter by quarter. That’s not good at all!” Atkins stressed that the matter remains only a proposal for now and requires review, meaning it is not yet finalized. Significant lobbying efforts are expected around this issue.
Following a week dominated by central bank decisions, markets in the coming days will shift their attention to a wide range of inflation, industrial, and housing data. Alongside these releases, the speech of Steven Miran, the newly appointed Fed member, is set to be a pivotal moment for investors.
Monday will be packed with monetary policy remarks, with Andrew Bailey and Huw Pill from the Bank of England, Rogers and Kozicki from the Bank of Canada, and Williams, Musalem, Barkin, and Harker from the Fed scheduled to speak. Nevertheless, the spotlight will be on New York, where Miran will deliver a speech at the Economic Club at noon local time. Having consistently advocated for faster and deeper rate cuts, his comments are being watched closely by markets.
On Tuesday morning, the release of the preliminary S&P Global PMI for September will coincide with Jerome Powell’s first remarks following the recent FOMC meeting. A day later, U.S. new home sales data will be published.
Thursday will bring the Swiss National Bank’s monetary policy decision. At the same time, markets will receive final U.S. Q2 GDP figures, durable goods orders, weekly jobless claims, and existing home sales data.
The week will conclude on Friday morning with the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for August, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. On the same day, the revised University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey for September will also be released, offering a fuller picture of consumer confidence.
Currently, many leading financial institutions expect further consecutive rate cuts in the Fed’s two remaining meetings of 2025. In this context, upcoming speeches from key Fed members could shape expectations. Markets are particularly focused on comments from Waller and Bowman, who previously opposed Miran’s proposal for a 50-basis-point cut. On the political side, it is anticipated that President Trump will once again direct sharp criticism at Powell, a factor that could weigh further on market sentiment.
Separately, Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett, has fully exited its investment in Chinese automaker BYD, ending a 17-year-long position. The divestment followed a gradual reduction of shares starting in 2022, and according to Berkshire’s energy unit, the investment had fallen to zero value by the end of Q1 2025.
A company spokesperson confirmed that the position was fully closed. Meanwhile, BYD’s head of public relations expressed gratitude for Berkshire’s long-term support since 2008, noting that the ownership stake began shrinking in 2022 and fell below 5% by mid-2024. This investment is regarded as one of Berkshire’s most successful ventures in Asia.
NAS100 rising wedge breakdown short setup The NAS100 recently broke down from a rising wedge formation on the 1H chart, signaling potential bearish momentum. After failing to hold above 24,700, price rejected the upper channel and is now trading below the wedge support.
Here’s my thought process:
• Pattern: Rising wedge, a bearish reversal pattern.
• Rejection Zone: Price failed at 24,705 resistance, confirming sellers stepped in.
• Breakdown Confirmation: A clean break below wedge support increases bearish bias.
USTEC - Trading Edge TodayDear Friends in Trading,
🎯Trading Edge:
Tech leading breakout momentum with institutional accumulation above POC
Key Level: 24,800 (volume gap fill)
Pivot: 24,650 – 24,700
Bias: Bullish above pivot
Bull target: 24,800 → 25,000
Bear target: 24,600 → 24,400
Correlation: +88% with US30, +52% with Gold (Fed trade)
Risk Assets Alignment:
GOLD🔄USTEC🔄US30
✅Gold + USTEC + US30 all bullish above pivots = Fed dovish trade confirmed
✅Unusual Gold/equity positive correlation suggests monetary policy driving both higher
Assets Overbought:
🔴USTEC - 4HR Overbought Divergence Detected
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NASDAQ - setting up for Bearish SetupLooking for the bearish signal or the H4/Daily time frame, might get that final push for the D extension on the weekly timeframe, opening of the week might get a small pullback then continuation to the upside. Trade will be validated only if we get bearish PA setup on the H4/Daily. Looking for the setup to create a turn shape then can look for potential entries. If price does not present a bearish setup on the H4/Daily then the plan is no longer valid.
NasdaqNasdaq consolidated another support level at 24740 in today's session. If the price remains above this support, buyers remain in control, and we could reach 25000, an important level that could signal the end of the bullish rally. An H1 candlestick closing above 24800 could confirm continuation.
Here we go again, the 4th trade idea for NASDAQ.Trade what you see, not what you feel. After three consecutive wins on NASDAQ, let's see if this will be the fourth? I don't intend to show off here, but I want to learn to be more disciplined with my trading and increase my confidence. And who knows, this might also be useful for others.
US100 Breaks All-Time High – Bullish Targets Ahead!This 4-hour chart of the US100 (Nasdaq) shows a strong bullish trend supported by multiple breakouts (BO) and break of structure (BOS) signals over the past few weeks. After retesting and bouncing from key buyer activation zones, the price has consistently broken through previous resistance levels.
Most notably, the index has just broken above its previous all-time high around 23,976, signaling strong momentum and potential for further upside. The price is currently hovering near 24,089, with key short-term targets marked at:
Target : $24,284
Target : $24,396
Target : $24,511
These targets align with the upper boundary of a rising parallel channel, suggesting the bulls are in control for now.
The chart projects a continuation of this bullish move, with a stair-step rally expected if the current breakout holds. As long as the price stays above the breakout zone and respects the structure, the upside targets remain in play.
In short: US100 is showing solid bullish strength, breaking above its previous highs with clear upside potential.
Educational Idea.
Nasdaq - USTEC: Trading Edge TodayDear Friends in Trading,
Experimental Test Phase Week:
Correlation Logic & Daily Efficiency - GOLD🔄NASDAQ🔄DOW JONES
🔎 Previous Week Observations -
Strong accumulation & clustered trading between 24,300 – 24,350.
This is where most volume likely sat (clustered POC zone).
Breakout above 24,400 carried price strongly higher.
Current price (~24,615) is sitting above last week’s value area, riding momentum.
USTEC - 22Sept:
Pivot: 24,300 – 24,350
Bias: Bullish while above pivot
Bull targets: 24,700 → 24,900
Bear targets: 24,200 → 24,000
👉 Nasdaq leading tech momentum.
Stronger risk appetite = supports US30 as well, usually opposite Gold.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NAS100Success in forex and stocks comes from a combination of knowledge, discipline, and patience. Understanding market trends, economic factors, and company
fundamentals is crucial, but equally important is controlling emotions and sticking to a well-planned strategy. Continuous learning, adapting to changing conditions, and managing risk wisely can turn opportunities into consistent growth over time.
Consistency, not luck, separates successful traders from the rest.
NAS100 Technical Forecast: Key Levels & Traps🚀 NAS100 Technical Forecast: Key Levels & Traps 🐻
*Analysis as of Sept 20, 2025 (12:50 AM UTC+4)*
📊 Overall Market Context:
Price: 24,610. Geopolitical events remain a key volatility driver. Current price action suggests a cautious market seeking direction after recent moves.
🔍 Key Technical Indicators:
• RSI (14): Neutral zone (~50). No strong overbought/oversold signal.
• Bollinger Bands (20): Price near the middle band, indicating balanced volatility.
• Moving Averages: Watching for a potential bearish crossover on the 4H chart. Key resistance at the 50-EMA.
• VWAP: Current price trading around the session's VWAP; a break above signals intraday bullish bias.
🎯 Critical Support & Resistance:
• Immediate Resistance: 24,800 -> 25,000 (Psychological)
• Strong Resistance: 25,250 (Previous High)
• Immediate Support: 24,500 -> 24,300
• Strong Support: 24,000 (Key Level)
⚠️ Pattern Watch:
• Bull Trap Risk: A false breakout above 24,800 could lure buyers before a drop.
• Bear Trap Risk: A sharp rejection from 24,300 could trap sellers before a rally.
• No clear Harmonic or Elliott Wave pattern on lower timeframes; monitoring for setup.
📈 Intraday Trading (5M-1H Charts):
• BUY (Long): Above 24,650, targeting 24,800. Stop Loss: 24,550.
• SELL (Short): Below 24,500, targeting 24,300. Stop Loss: 24,650.
*Confirmation: Use 5-min RSI divergence and volume spikes.*
📉 Swing Trading (4H-Daily Charts):
• BUY Swing: On a bullish reversal candle at 24,300 support, target 25,000+. SL below 24,000.
• SELL Swing: On a rejection at 24,800 resistance, target 24,000. SL above 25,100.
*Wait for a 4H close above/below key levels for confirmation.*
🎲 Risk Management:
Always use a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Protect your capital.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY/SPX
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.