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NAS100 Future (Continuous futures contract)NAS100 Future (Continuous futures contract)NAS100 Future (Continuous futures contract)

NAS100 Future (Continuous futures contract)

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USTEC.F trade ideas

NSDQ100 volatility, triple-witching could exaggerate swings.Nasdaq 100 Trading Drivers Macro backdrop: US data came in strong: Jobless claims fell to 231k (vs. 240k exp; prior 264k). Continuing claims declined to 1.92m (vs. 1.95m exp). Philly Fed survey surged to 23.2 (vs. 1.7 exp), an 8-month high. This eased US slowdown fears and reinforced risk-on sentiment. Equities: Nasdaq +0.94% → new record high. Tech/semis led: Intel (+22.8%) strongest S&P performer after Nvidia’s $5bn investment and US gov’t stake news. Philadelphia Semiconductor Index +3.6%. Momentum broadened → Russell 2000 +2.5%, first record high since 2021. Rates: Treasuries sold off on strong data → 10yr yield +1.7bps to 4.11%, 30yr +3.4bps. Higher yields a potential headwind if sustained. Event risk: Trump–Xi call (9 a.m. ET): key for TikTok’s US future & broader trade tone. Risk of mixed headlines given tensions (China soybeans skip, Gaza criticism, Taiwan aid freeze). BoJ surprise: announced unwind of $4.2bn/year ETF holdings → dampened global risk tone. US triple-witching: options/futures expiries today → elevated intraday volatility likely. Nasdaq 100 Trading Takeaway Bullish momentum intact: record highs fueled by tech & semiconductor leadership. Short-term watchpoints: Trump–Xi headlines and BoJ shift may inject volatility; triple-witching could exaggerate swings. Key risk: rising US yields may cap upside if bond sell-off deepens. Bias: Still risk-on / buy dips near-term, but position sizing should account for headline-driven volatility today. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24600 Resistance Level 2: 24710 Resistance Level 3: 24800 Support Level 1: 24210 Support Level 2: 24085 Support Level 3: 24940 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice. Key risk: rising US yields may cap upside if bond sell-off deepens. Bias: Still risk-on / buy dips near-term, but position sizing should account for headline-driven volatility today. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24600 Resistance Level 2: 24710 Resistance Level 3: 24800 Support Level 1: 24210 Support Level 2: 24085 Support Level 3: 24940 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NAS100Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) Performance on September Options Expiration Days (2015–2024) Based on historical data for the Invesco QQQ ETF (which tracks the Nasdaq-100), below is the daily performance on the third Friday of September each year—the standard options expiration day. The result is "Rise" if the closing price increased from the previous trading day's close, or "Fall" if it decreased. Data is sourced from reliable financial records, including adjusted closing prices. - 2015: Fall (-0.45%) - 2016: Rise (+0.32%) - 2017: Rise (+0.62%) - 2018: Fall (-0.20%) - 2019: Rise (+0.11%) - 2020: Fall (-1.18%) - 2021: Fall (-1.25%) - 2022: Fall (-1.69%) - 2023: Fall (-1.13%) - 2024: Fall (-0.19%)
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by HavalMamar
NASDAQ Futures (NQ) – Retracement Setup [Trade of Risk]Main dealing range bias remains long. However, a projected retracement dealing range is forming inside the macro structure. Price rejected the premium line (75%) with negative delta and LVN, showing lack of acceptance. Short trade idea is framed as a risk trade, valid only if this micro range develops fully before buyers step back in. 📌 Desk Note: This is not a bias shift — it’s a retracement play inside the larger bullish dealing range. Risk is defined, and the trade works only if sellers defend premium levels before continuation higher.
FPMARKETS:US100Short
by philipemav
Nas100 at Record Levels: Breakout or Fakeout?Technical Outlook Zone 1: Prior All-Time High / Breakout Resistance This zone represents the most recent all-time high area, which has now been tested and temporarily breached. It acts as a critical reference point: if bulls can secure sustained acceptance above this zone, it will confirm continuation into uncharted territory. However, any rejection here could turn this level back into supply and trigger corrective flows. Zone 2: Major Demand / Retest Support This area has been touched multiple times, confirming its role as a key intraday demand zone. Price has repeatedly found buyers here, making it a pivotal battleground between bulls and bears. As long as this zone holds, market structure remains bullish, but a breakdown below would shift momentum in favor of sellers and expose lower liquidity pools. Summary: US100 is now trading around prior all-time highs, which makes the market particularly sensitive. While the broader trend remains bullish, traders should exercise caution: at uncharted levels, price can become highly volatile, and fake breakouts are common. Careful risk management is advised when operating near these extremes. Sentiment: The Nas100 is trading at record highs, yet the underlying macro picture looks mixed. Recent data, including a sharp drop in private payrolls from the ADP report and an ISM Manufacturing PMI still below the 50-point expansion line, point to signs of economic weakness. Normally this would weigh on equities, but instead it has fueled expectations of imminent Fed rate cuts, pushing bond yields lower and channeling flows back into growth stocks. Momentum is further amplified by strong demand for technology and AI-related names, with investors treating them as structural winners despite stretched valuations. Breakouts above all-time highs have also triggered FOMO and systematic buying, which reinforces the rally. Overall, sentiment on US100 is bullish but fragile. The index is being driven more by liquidity, Fed policy expectations, and sector-specific optimism than by solid macro fundamentals. This creates strong upside momentum in the short term, but leaves the market exposed if economic weakness deepens or inflation surprises force the Fed to stay tighter for longer.
FPMARKETS:US100
by Kathrine_Sofie
Nas100 Trading ZonesTechnical Outlook Zone 1 - Potential sell zone / supply area Price is now trading below this level, which means the zone has shifted into a potential supply area. If the market retests this zone, sellers may step back in to defend it. Only a clean breakout and sustained hold above would flip the bias bullish and open the way for higher targets. Zone 2 - Yesterday’s low and consolidation This zone is an immediate support area. Price has reacted here before, and buyers will likely defend it again in the short term. A decisive break below would shift sentiment towards a deeper pullback and open the door for a test of Zone 3. Zone 3 - Strong buy zone This is the most significant demand area on the chart. It has shown strong buyer absorption in previous sessions and could provide a solid base for a rebound. If price revisits this level, aggressive buyers may step in, but a clean breakdown here would flip the overall bias to bearish. Overall, sentiment around the Nasdaq-100 is positive but cautiously optimistic. Technical indicators continue to point toward further upside, with moving averages aligned in a bullish structure and strong momentum in the tech sector driven by AI and growth expectations. At the same time, fundamentals remain supportive, as investors anticipate potential rate cuts and a stable inflation backdrop in the U.S. However, risks are still present. A significant share of retail traders are positioned short, suggesting that not all market participants are convinced of the rally’s sustainability. This creates a tension between institutional optimism and retail caution, which could lead to heightened volatility. In short, the Nasdaq-100 currently trades with bullish momentum and constructive fundamentals, but the market remains sensitive to macroeconomic data and external shocks that could quickly shift sentiment.
FPMARKETS:US100
by Kathrine_Sofie
Nasdaq100 Breakout Map – Bullish Targets Ahead?🕵️‍♂️ NDX/US100 “NASDAQ100” Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀 📊 Plan: Bullish Bias (Swing/Day Trade) 🎯 Entry Idea (Thief Layering Style): Using a layering strategy (multiple limit orders). My preferred buy zones are: 🟢 24,300 🟢 24,400 🟢 24,500 🟢 24,600 (Feel free to adjust/add layers based on your own style — flexibility is key.) 🔒 Protective Stop (Thief SL): ❌ Around 24,000 (but note: this is just my map, you can manage risk as per your own plan). 💰 Target Area (Profit Zone): 🚧 25,500 = strong resistance barricade + overbought region + potential bull trap. ✅ My preferred exit: 25,400 (just before the “police barricade” 🚓). ⚠️ Note for Thief OG’s: I’m not recommending to only follow my SL/TP. This is an educational trade map, not a fixed financial call. Adapt, adjust, and take profits your way. 🔑 Key Catalysts & Correlation Map: Tech Sector Strength: US100 often mirrors mega-cap tech momentum ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA ). Risk-On/Off Mood: Watch TVC:VIX — if fear spikes, layers may fill quicker. Dollar Impact: TVC:DXY weakness often fuels NASDAQ:NDX upside. Bond Yields: Higher yields = pressure on tech. Keep TVC:US10Y in your radar. 📌 Other Related Charts to Watch: SP:SPX / CME_MINI:ES1! → Correlated US equity benchmark. TVC:DXY → Inverse correlation (watch dollar moves). TVC:VIX → Volatility indicator for risk sentiment. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD → Risk sentiment cousin, moves with tech flows sometimes. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a Thief Style Trading Strategy Map — created for fun, educational purposes, and market observation only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk, ladies & gentlemen. 🕵️‍♂️💸 #NASDAQ100 #NDX #US100 #SPX #Stocks #Indices #Trading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #LayeringStrategy #ThiefTrader
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by The-Thief
NAS100 - Stock Market Awaits Employment Data!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour time frame and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the upward momentum decreases, we can expect a correction to the demand range and buy Nasdaq in that range with an appropriate reward for the risk. According to reports released over the weekend, UBS stated that there is a 93% probability of the U.S. economy entering a recession this year. This figure implicitly suggests that the country may already be in recession, though some analysts remain skeptical of such a direct conclusion. UBS’s projection is based on indicators such as personal income, consumption, industrial production, and employment. The bank warned that the U.S. economy has reached “historically troubling levels,” though no outright collapse has yet occurred. Analysts at UBS described the economy as “weak, soft, and fragile,” while noting that a definitive declaration of recession has not been made. In the United States, an official declaration of recession is the responsibility of the Business Cycle Dating Committee at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), which typically makes such calls with a lag of 6 to 18 months after the recession has started. Their assessment relies on revised data covering GDP, employment, income, sales, and production, and they generally avoid premature decisions. In the meantime, policymakers and markets tend to act on real-time indicators such as GDP estimates, jobs data, yield curve signals, and credit spreads. In practice, traders react more strongly to price movements than to formal definitions of recession. Separately, Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at J.P. Morgan, dismissed Fed board member Steven Miran’s call for cutting rates to 2.5% or lower. The bank has maintained its forecast for gradual 25-basis-point cuts, targeting a range of 3.25% to 3.5% by early next year. A potential Supreme Court case involving Fed board member Lisa Cook has also emerged as a “wild card,” since a ruling against her could undermine the positions of other members as well. J.P. Morgan has warned that politicization of the Federal Reserve would leave the institution more vulnerable to pressure from a Trump administration on monetary policy. The U.S. dollar remained relatively strong this week, as investors continued to parse the Fed’s less-dovish stance. While the latest dot plot showed policymakers aligned with the market on two additional rate cuts this year, the median dot for 2026 pointed to only one more 25-basis-point reduction. By contrast, markets still expect as many as three cuts next year. However, following Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious tone on Tuesday—emphasizing that the Fed must continue balancing the competing risks of elevated inflation and a weakening labor market—investors scaled back some of their bets. Inflation risks remain significant. The OECD highlighted this week that the full effects of tariff hikes are still unfolding. What supports Powell’s cautious approach is that, despite signs of labor market weakness, the Fed’s own forecasts remain relatively optimistic, with economic activity showing resilience. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model projects 3.3% growth for Q3. Although last week’s inflation data failed to dampen market optimism for rate cuts—and equities continued their rally—the focus in the coming week will shift back to labor market conditions. The week begins Monday with pending home sales data. On Tuesday, the JOLTS job openings report and the consumer confidence index will be released. Wednesday brings private-sector employment data from ADP, followed by the ISM Manufacturing PMI. On Thursday, weekly jobless claims will be published as usual. All of these releases will build up to Friday’s critical nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report, widely seen as the market’s ultimate test.Investors will closely monitor whether recent labor market weakness persists, and whether the Fed can move another step toward a rate cut at the October meeting. Finally, the ISM Services Index will provide a more comprehensive picture of U.S. economic health. Ahead of the jobs data, traders may also take note of remarks from several Fed officials, including Vice Chair Jefferson, New York Fed President Williams, Atlanta Fed President Bostic, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee, and Dallas Fed President Logan. The ADP and NFP releases on Wednesday will likely provide the first snapshot of September labor market performance.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND