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USNAS100 – Bearish Bias Below 25230 | Targeting 24850–24350USNAS100 | Overview Wall Street futures struggled for traction at the end of a wobbly week, as optimism around artificial intelligence—which helped drive markets to all-time highs earlier this year—has been tempered by growing concerns over monetization challenges and circular spending within the tech sector. Technically: The index maintains a bearish momentum while trading below the pivot line at 25230. Currently, price action suggests a possible break below 25010, which would confirm a continuation toward 24850, with an extended downside target near 24350. However, a 1H close above 25230 would indicate renewed bullish momentum, signaling a potential recovery toward 25430 and 25700. Pivot Line: 25180 Resistance: 25430 · 25700 Support: 24860 · 24760 · 24350 Outlook: USNAS100 remains bearish while below 25230, targeting 24850–24350 in the short term. A confirmed 1H close above 25230 would shift bias to bullish continuation, eyeing 25430–25700.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Nasdaq’s Battle at the Golden Support!On the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) chart, the index has pulled back after a strong rally to around 26,000, now testing a critical support zone near 25,000–25,200. This area is technically significant because it aligns with three key factors: 1. The main ascending trendline (blue line) 2. The 50-day moving average 3. A previous horizontal support level In the short term, if the index holds above 25,000 and forms a bullish reversal candle, it could rebound toward the next resistance around 26,200–26,500. The stop loss for this bullish scenario would be a confirmed breakdown below 24,800. However, if the price drops below 24,800 and stays there, a deeper correction toward 23,800–24,000 becomes likely — which aligns with the lower boundary of the medium-term channel. From a long-term perspective, as long as the index trades above its 50-day moving average (currently around 20,300), the primary trend remains bullish, with potential upside targets between 27,000 and 28,000. In short, this current zone represents the dividing line between trend continuation and a medium-term correction for the Nasdaq 100.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by isahebdadi
Why Markets Struggle After a Big Drop (NASDAQ Case Study)Understanding liquidity, distribution phases and market-maker behavior After the NASDAQ fell sharply from 25 000 to 24 000, many traders were surprised why the market suddenly stopped moving and started to “chop” around the same area. But this behavior is not random — it’s a structural problem inside the order-flow. 1️⃣ Markets can fall fast — but they cannot continue without liquidity Every trade in the market has a counter-party. If traders want to buy the dip, someone must sell to them. After a large drop, fewer participants are willing to sell at the new low prices. Institutions are often already hedged or already sold during the fall. Market makers cannot force liquidity out of thin air — they must create it. This leads to a distribution phase, where price stops trending and starts rotating around a key area. 2️⃣ Why distribution forms around the Point of Control (POC) When aggressive hedging is finished and volatility slows down, the market enters a phase where: Price rotates around the Point of Control (POC) Volume increases Market makers attempt to rebuild liquidity on both sides of the range This is not accumulation or re-accumulation — it is a liquidity-engineering phase. Market makers need enough: Buy-side liquidity above POC (stop losses of shorts, breakout traders, trapped buyers) Sell-side liquidity below POC (stop losses of longs, late dip-buyers, liquidation clusters) Without these pools, the market cannot initiate the next impulsive move. 3️⃣ The problem with sell-side liquidity after a big fall When NAS dropped from 25k → 24k: Most weak longs were already liquidated Many sellers closed positions or took profit Fresh shorts hesitate to enter at the lows Institutions are waiting for better prices This creates a liquidity vacuum. To solve this vacuum, the market “mirrors” trades inside the range: Price moves up → build stops above Price moves down → build stops below Repeated sweeps → fill both sides of liquidity Only after enough stop-loss clusters form, the market is capable of moving again with real momentum. 4️⃣ What this means for traders This is not a buy or sell signal. It’s an explanation of why the market becomes extremely slow, sideways or manipulative after a big impulsive move. In this phase: Breakouts usually fail Trend trading performs poorly Range traps occur frequently Market reacts strongly to liquidity pockets, not fundamentals The key is to understand what the market is missing: ➡️ Not direction. ➡️ Not fundamentals. ➡️ But liquidity. Until the liquidity pools are recreated, the next real directional move cannot start. 5️⃣ Final takeaway A strong decline does not end because “buyers step in.” It ends because no more sellers exist at those levels, forcing market makers to rotate price and rebuild the order-book. Learning to identify these liquidity-reset periods helps traders avoid: Chasing breakouts Entering too early Getting trapped during fake momentum Misreading sideways distribution as a reversal
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by Rendon1
1
NASDAQ Analysis – Recovery Expected After an Overextended DropYesterday’s sharp Nasdaq drop was surprising, especially considering Nvidia’s exceptional earnings, renewed confidence that we’re not in a bubble, and the strong labor data from NFP. Under normal conditions, the market would likely have reacted with a 2%+ rally. However, investors are now pricing in the idea that the Fed will not cut rates in December, which created fear-driven selling and an exaggerated move to the downside. Today, I would like to see a relief recovery, as the index has started to form a double-bottom pattern, a typical structure before liquidity grabs to the upside. If confirmed, price could push back up to take out recent highs. Historically, after large impulsive drops, the stock market tends to open in green, as investors take advantage of discounted prices. If momentum shifts, the Nasdaq could quickly reclaim lost ground.
FX:NAS100Long
by Dan-Goldfx
NASDAQNASDAQ Analysis – Possible Early Pullback Before New York Session The Nasdaq may experience a short-term correction during the London session and pre–New York, especially after yesterday’s explosive 550-point rally driven by Nvidia’s strong earnings. Price is currently sitting on the 0.786 Fibonacci level, which is acting as a strong support and has been respected multiple times. At the same time, the index is positioned just below the descending trendline formed from the recent highs. The fractal structure has now been completed, suggesting we could see a small bearish move before the New York session potentially resumes the bullish trend. If price fails to break below the 0.786 support and instead breaks above the descending trendline, we could see continuation to the upside, targeting 25,300 in the next impulsive leg.
FX:NAS100Long
by Dan-Goldfx
NAS100 Breakout Watch: Compression Before Expansion The Nasdaq-100 index is trading at 25,130 , and the intraday price action is setting up what could be a high-probability move. Multiple technical frameworks are converging at a critical decision point. Let's dissect what's unfolding across the timeframes. 💹 Market Context & Structure We're observing a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the 1H chart that's been coiling for the past several hours. This compression zone between 25,080-25,185 represents a battleground between bulls and bears. The apex is approaching, which historically precedes volatility expansion. From a Dow Theory lens, the intermediate trend remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows intact on the 4H timeframe. The recent pullback appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the broader uptrend is still in play. Wyckoff Analysis 📉 The overnight action exhibits classic Wyckoff accumulation characteristics within our consolidation range. We've seen: Spring action down to 25,050 (stop hunt below support) Absorption of selling pressure with diminishing volume A Last Point of Support (LPS) forming around 25,090 This accumulation schematic suggests smart money positioning for the next markup phase. Wave Count Perspective 🌊 Elliott Wave structure indicates we're likely completing a wave (4) triangle correction within a larger impulse. The internal labeling suggests: Wave A-B-C-D-E triangle pattern nearing completion Wave (5) target zone: 25,350-25,450 Invalidation level: Break below 25,020 The alternation principle supports this count, as wave (2) was a sharp zigzag, making a triangle for wave (4) textbook behavior. Critical Levels & Zones 🎯 Upside Targets: T1: 25,245 (initial resistance + prior pivot) T2: 25,380 (Fibonacci extension 1.618) T3: 25,525 (measured move from triangle) Support Foundation: S1: 25,085 (triangle baseline + EMA cluster) S2: 25,020 (swing low + psychological) S3: 24,890 (major demand zone) Indicator Dashboard ⚡ RSI (1H): 52.4 - neutral, coiling with price Stochastic: Curling up from 35, bullish crossover forming VWAP: Currently at 25,118 acting as dynamic pivot Ichimoku: Price inside the cloud (equilibrium), Tenkan/Kijun bullish twist imminent Volume: Declining in range (typical pre-breakout behavior) Harmonic Setup Recognition A Gartley pattern completed at the 25,050 level with: - X: 24,890 - A: 25,280 - B: 25,050 (0.618 retracement) - D: PRZ achieved This harmonic structure aligns perfectly with our Elliott wave count, adding confluence to the bullish thesis. Actionable Trading Strategies 💼 Strategy 1 - Triangle Breakout: Entry: 25,190 (break above triangle resistance + retest) Target 1: 25,280 Target 2: 25,420 Stop: 25,080 Strategy 2 - Support Zone Buy: Entry Zone: 25,085-25,095 (limit orders) Target 1: 25,200 Target 2: 25,320 Stop: 25,035 Multi-Timeframe Sync 🕐 - 5M: Micro pullback entries and exits - 15M: Trend confirmation via EMA alignment - 1H: Primary pattern and trade direction - 4H: Structural bias verification The Bottom Line NAS100 is coiled like a spring at 25,130. The technical evidence suggests accumulation is wrapping up, with multiple methodologies pointing toward upside resolution. The 25,190 breakout level is your line in the sand—above it, the path opens to 25,400+. Below 25,080 invalidates the immediate bullish setup. Stay alert for the breakout, but don't force trades inside the range. Patience now equals profits later. ⚡ --- Risk Disclosure: Trading derivatives carries substantial risk. This analysis is educational only and not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by sunya
NSDQ100 under pressure ahead o Nvidia earningsThe tech-led selloff continues to intensify, with the S&P 500 logging a 4th straight decline and NASDAQ-100 futures under pressure again this morning. The core drag remains AI valuation fatigue, with the Magnificent 7 down nearly 8% from their October highs and edging toward correction territory. Weak macro data and disappointing earnings added to the risk-off tone, pushing the VIX up to 24.7, its highest in weeks, signaling elevated demand for downside protection in mega-cap tech. Global equities are sitting at one-month lows as investors reassess whether the massive AI capex cycle will truly deliver near-term returns. That leaves Nvidia’s earnings after the bell as the pivotal catalyst: analysts expect >50% revenue growth, but with stretched positioning and fragile sentiment, the reaction may hinge more on guidance and sustainability of data-center demand rather than headline beats. Political noise is also picking up but has limited direct intraday impact on NDX for now. Trump’s White House meeting with Saudi Arabia and hints about his shortlist for the next Fed Chair add background uncertainty, though markets will focus more on how the Fed leadership outlook may influence the 2025–26 rate path. Bottom line for NDX traders: Sentiment remains fragile, volatility is elevated, and the near-term direction will heavily depend on Nvidia earnings. A strong print could stabilize AI/tech momentum; a miss or cautious outlook risks accelerating the correction in the mega-cap complex. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25093 Resistance Level 2: 25290 Resistance Level 3: 25510 Support Level 1: 24278 Support Level 2: 24095 Support Level 3: 23910 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NASDAQ 100 Sells The market is showing clear signs of bearishness, evidenced by consecutive breaks of previous lows and sustained higher-timeframe downside momentum. With the daily timeframe continuing to push lower—breaking both the previous weekly low and the current daily low—the broader structure supports further selling pressure. On the 4-hour (240) timeframe, momentum remains bearish, and price continues to form lower highs, reinforcing the downside bias. Although the market is currently ranging, this consolidation appears corrective rather than reversal-based. Because of this, I anticipate the market will likely continue selling, targeting lower pricing levels on the asset.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by Gatere_
US100 – Missed Entry, but the Structure Was Perfect. Market Structure The overall trend remains bearish. Price broke strongly below the previous Order Block, confirming sellers are still in control. 2. Order Block + Volume The bearish OB was formed by a strong impulsive candle with high volume — a clear footprint of smart money. Price retraced but missed the entry zone by just a few points. 3. Liquidity Before the major drop, price swept the liquidity above and instantly reversed. A classic pattern: liquidity grab → OB retest → sell-off. 4. Retest Logic Even though the entry was missed, the V-Shark OB structure remained perfectly valid. When you follow the right logic, another opportunity always comes — no need to FOMO. Conclusion A missed entry doesn’t mean a bad analysis. It simply means the market didn’t offer the exact fill. Discipline over impulse — always. Disclaimer For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. #VNShark #VSharkOB #OrderBlock #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceAction #Volume #Liquidity #US100 #NASDAQ #TradingView
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Mr-AQ
1
NAS100 – Bullish Shift After LL → HL Structure Change (15M) Price created a final Lower Low (LL) followed by a clean Higher Low (HL), signaling the start of a trend shift. Market broke short-term structure with a fresh Higher High, confirming bullish intent. EMAs are compressing and starting to fan upward, showing building momentum. RSI is trending above the mid-line, supporting continued upside pressure. A small FVG (Fair Value Gap) below may act as support if price retests. Trade Plan Buy Zone: 24,600 – 24,630 Take-Profit (TP): 24,783.3 Stop-Loss (SL): 24,548 – 24,566 (below FVG + EMA cluster) Why This Setup Makes Sense Clear structure transition from bearish to bullish. Fresh HH confirms continuation potential. EMAs aligned upward with improving momentum. Clean upside liquidity target at 24,783. Invalidation Break and close below 24,548 invalidates the bullish structure.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fahimsafdar777
NAS100 Algo-Driven Breakout & Volatility Matrix# 🚀 NAS100 19th Nov 2025: 🐂 Algo-Driven Breakout & Volatility Matrix 📊 Asset Class: NAS100 (CFD SPOT) | Price: 24,472 | Time: 10:25 AM UTC+4 Executive Summary Bias: 🐂 Bullish Continuation / Momentum Breakout Signal: 🟢 Long on Consolidation Break Confidence: ⭐ High (Volume Confirmation) Technical Analysis Methodology Trend: The macro structure remains strongly bullish with price action respecting the ascending channel on the 4H timeframe. Intraday (15m/1H) reveals a Bullish Pennant contracting near all-time highs. 📈 Momentum: RSI (14) hovers at 58.0, indicating room for upside expansion before reaching overbought territory. ⚡ Volatility: Bollinger Bands are squeezing on the 1H chart, a precursor to a high-volatility expansion. VWAP is currently at 24,450, acting as dynamic support. 🌊 Patterns: A Cup and Handle formation is visible on the 1H chart, with the handle currently testing the 24,450 support zone. A successful breakout targets the 24,600 psychological barrier. ☕ Key Levels 🛑 R2: 24,650 (Fib Extension 1.618) 🚧 R1: 24,580 (Recent Swing High) 📍 Pivot: 24,472 (Current Price / POC) 🛡️ S1: 24,420 (EMA 50 / Handle Low) 🧱 S2: 24,350 (Key Structural Support) Actionable Trade Plan Strategy: Momentum Breakout & Trend Continuation 🚀 Entry 1 (Breakout): Buy > 24,510 (Volume Confirmation) Entry 2 (Pullback): Buy @ 24,425 - 24,440 Stop Loss: 24,380 (Below S1/Invalidation Point) Take Profit 1: 24,580 🎯 Take Profit 2: 24,640 🎯 Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by sunya
AI-bubble fears dragged USTEC lower. Alphabet (GOOGL) CEO Sundar Pichai added to the cautious mood, noting that the current AI boom shows signs of irrationality and warning that no company would be immune if the bubble bursts. Meanwhile, ADP data showed private-sector jobs falling by roughly 2.5k per week over the four weeks to Nov 1, fueling worries about a labor-market slowdown. Fed Governor Waller reiterated his support for a December rate cut, citing ongoing softness and stagnation in the labor market. This week’s NFP release may shape expectations for further Fed easing and add to market volatility. USTEC extended its downtrend, breaking below 24525. The diverging bearish EMAs indicate a potential expansion of the bearish structure. If USTEC breaks below 24300, the index could decline further toward the next support at 24000. Conversely, if USTEC closes back above 24525, the index may advance toward the next resistance at 25200.
ICMARKETS:USTEC
by inkicho_exness
NAS100 - Waiting for buy setup on 4hr timeframeTimeframes Used: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4H Current Market Condition: Nas 100 is a valid trade according to my system rules: Monthly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish Weekly: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish Daily: Price is above the Cloud → Bullish ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- What I’m Waiting For: I’ll be watching for the next 4H breakout opportunity. Price to break above the 4hr timeframe.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100Long
by Obreezy5