Nasdaq longLooking for longs again .
Asian lows have been swept.
Manipulation amd reversal to the upside.
USTEC.F trade ideas
NAS100 Pressure to the Downside Continues - Double Top RejectionPressure to the downside will likely resume today for NQ as we now have a double top rejection pattern as confirmation to short.
I am aiming for the daily demand zone for my TP.
NAS100 Sideways Market | Key Resistance Rejection Ahead?The NAS100 index is currently trading within a sideways market structure, holding between 23,000 support and 24,000 resistance.
Recent rejection at resistance shows sellers defending the upper range.
CHoCH and BOS patterns confirm short-term structure shifts.
If price fails to break and sustain above 24,000, a move back towards the 23,400–23,200 demand zone is possible.
Only a clear breakout above 24,000 would shift bias to bullish continuation.
This setup highlights a range-bound market where patience is key—watch for confirmation before positioning.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
USNAS100 Braces for Fed Decision – Key Pivot at 24,300USNAS100 – Overview
The Nasdaq is set for a highly volatile session as markets await the Federal Reserve’s rate decision later today.
Traders widely expect a 25 bps cut, but a surprise 50 bps cut—though less likely—would signal stronger confidence in stable inflation and U.S. economic health, fueling a strong bullish rally.
Even if the Fed delivers the expected 25 bps cut, the key market mover will be Chair Powell’s press conference and the updated dot plot, which could reshape expectations for future easing.
Technical Outlook
📉 Bearish scenario
While trading below 24,300, price shows potential for a pullback toward 24,115.
A confirmed break below 24,115 would extend the bearish move toward 23,870 → 23,700.
📈 Bullish scenario
Stabilization above 24,115 keeps the broader uptrend intact.
A breakout above 24,300 would confirm bullish momentum, targeting 24,550 → 24,700 → 24,850.
📌 Market Context:
50 bps cut + dovish Powell → strong bullish breakout above 24,300 toward 24,550+.
25 bps cut + cautious guidance → moderate moves; price may remain range-bound or retest 24,115 before resuming higher.
Hawkish tone → deeper correction toward 23,870 or lower.
Central bank week ahead!Central bank week ahead! We've got interest rate decisions out from the Bank of Canada, FED, Bank of England and Bank of Japan.
BoC 17/09 - 25bps cut 94% - First on the chopping board is the BoC who are set to reduce interest rates by 0.25%. This comes amid steady inflation, holding below the 2% target and below recent expectations for an increase, currently at 1.9%. They've also seen unemployment rising to 7.1%, the highest level since 2021. The BoC has acknowledged the weakening labour market but are expected to follow a wait and see approach after todays cut. Current rates 2.75%
FED 17/09 - 25bps cut 98% - The FED's first rate decision after some very rocky labour market data and a surprise dovish tilt from Powell at Jackson Hole. Inflation remains sticky but the FED has stated that their current focus is set on labour market weakness. As well as the rates, we will also receive updated economic and interest rate projections, likely to carry much more weighting and longer term direction. In the economic projections we'll be looking out for the dot plot, GDP, employment and inflation to gauge future expectations for FED rates. This could undermine or support the rate cuts to trade with caution. Current rates 4.25-4.50%
BoE 18/09 - HOLD 100% - The BoE is set to hold rates steady at 4.00% amid elevated inflation data and recently positive labour market data. Inflation data came in lower than consensus earlier this week but still remains well above target at 3.8%. In the previous BoE meeting we saw a surprise hawkish tilt in the way of MPC voting.
2 members shifted from voting to cut to voting for a hold and the scales are expected to remain fairly heavy on the hold side tomorrow. The member voting and minutes will provide much needed context to the potential hold to come. Current rates 4.00%
BoJ 19/09 - HOLD 87% - Rounding a busy week off with the BoJ who is set to hold rates at 0.50%. There has been some hawkish comments from the BoJ in recent times as inflation holds around 3.1% and unemployment recovers from 2.5% to 2.3% but amid political turbulence a bold move from the BoJ in this decision is less likely. However the other potential would be for a surprise rate hike with a current probability of 11%. The BoJ is no stranger to surprises so will be looking out for any action or comments made to support future JPY strength or weakness. Current rates 0.50%
These fresh rates provide the opportunity for divergences between monetary policy. This could park the continuation higher for pairs such as EURUSD and GBPUSD if the fed sticks to a more dovish tilt and supports this in their economic projections.
Other currency pairs such as AUDCAD and AUDNZD provide some clear divergence with the RBA holding higher rates and the BoC and RBNZ cutting with lower rates. Any clear pullbacks within these assets could provide opportunity to get long and hold through for a bigger move
Naz 100 .Bulls are there.Rez is loomingTrend is up.No sign of a turn as yet.Could quite easily pop higher
Nas100 – Today's Trading Zones Analysis 17 sep.Trading Zones
As price trades around all-time highs, the amount of historical data to build strong zones is limited. This makes the current levels less reliable, and traders should approach them primarily as guidance rather than decisive turning points.
Zone 1 – All-Time High / Yesterday’s High:
This area marks the recent record peak. While it can act as resistance in the short term, its strength is uncertain due to limited data. Price reactions here may be volatile and driven more by sentiment than structure.
Zone 2 – Yesterday’s Low:
A lighter support level that can provide intraday reactions but lacks deep structural confirmation. Best used as a reference point rather than a major decision area.
Zone 3 – Strong Support / High Profitability for Momentum:
This is the most significant zone on the chart, where strong buyers have previously stepped in. It carries a higher probability of triggering a strong reaction. That reaction could unfold as a bounce higher if demand holds, or as a sharp move lower if the zone breaks decisively.
All eyes are on today’s Fed meeting , where markets widely expect a 25bp rate cut. While the move is largely priced in, the real focus will be on Powell’s tone and the updated dot plot, which will guide expectations for the pace of easing ahead. Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously optimistic, supported by strong tech momentum and softer inflation data, but with price trading at record highs, volatility is likely to spike if the Fed delivers any surprises.
Is NASDAQ going for a correction or Stop Hunt?Are we on the right track? If I missed anything please let me know in the comments 🙏🏾
NAS100USD (SHORT)
Trendlines show resistance and price has rejected at Zone
Also Major Pivots Resistance Zone
NAS100Success in forex and stocks comes from a combination of knowledge, discipline, and patience. Understanding market trends, economic factors, and company fundamentals is crucial, but equally important is controlling emotions and sticking to a well-planned strategy. Continuous learning, adapting to changing conditions, and managing risk wisely can turn opportunities into consistent growth over time. Consistency, not luck, separates successful traders from the rest.
What Could Derail the Nasdaq 100 Uptrend?The chart shows the US100 (Nasdaq 100, daily timeframe) extending its bullish momentum within a rising channel. Here’s the breakdown:
Trend & Structure:
The index has been in a steady uptrend since rebounding from its April lows, with price action respecting the boundaries of the ascending channel. It remains above both the 50-day SMA (23,416) and the 200-day SMA (21,481), confirming strong bullish structure.
Support Levels:
The lower channel boundary around 23,500 is immediate dynamic support.
The 50-day SMA provides further backing below that.
A key horizontal support is at 21,150, near the 200-day SMA, which marks the broader trendline base.
Resistance Levels:
The upper channel boundary near 24,500 is the immediate resistance.
A breakout above this region could extend gains toward 25,000, the next psychological target.
Momentum Indicators:
MACD remains positive, confirming upward momentum.
RSI (68.7) is approaching overbought levels but still has room before signaling exhaustion.
Outlook:
The Nasdaq 100 remains firmly bullish, with higher highs and higher lows supporting the trend. While the RSI hints at stretched conditions, momentum remains strong, and as long as price holds above 23,500, the path of least resistance points toward 24,500–25,000.
-MW
Volume YepA repeating pattern whereby the Swing occurs bearish this time, but instead of a single eye, e wait for either a retracement to the gap that will form after the current 4H candle and continue bearish, or we wait to see what happens on a great bullish candle that we have that led to our setup failing, because that is where in this case Volume is.
NASDAQ | H1 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders,
I’m watching the Cash100 for a potential double top that could set up a short opportunity. Price is currently making higher highs while RSI is making lower lows — a clear sign of weakening buying momentum, also known as negative RSI divergence.
As further confluence, we have the FOMC tomorrow, and markets often prefer to de-risk ahead of such events. Also, there is a rising wedge on the S&P500 on the hourly chart and the chance that there is also a potential double top on the 30min timeframe.
✅ Conditions before entry:
- 30min candle must close within the range and at the correct level
- The closing candle must meet my required closure rate
- Ideally, volume should be lower (though I’ll allow an exception given it will be the U.S open)
- RSI should confirm with another divergence
📊 Trade Plan:
Risk/Reward: 2.9
Entry: 24,385.1
Stop Loss: 24,418.6
Take Profit 1 (50%): 24,290
Take Profit 2 (50%): 24,271
💡 GTradingMethod Tip:
Patterns like double tops are powerful, but they’re strongest when combined with momentum divergence. Always confirm multiple factors before entering.
🙏 Thanks for checking out my post!
Follow me for the next update and feel free to share your thoughts below — I’d love to hear them.
📌 Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Nas100 Trade Set Up Sep 16 2025www.tradingview.com
price is trading above PDH an made ATH with a big 4h FVG also inverted a 15m FVG so if we can stay closed below and retest the 15m IFVG i will look for sells to the 4h FVG
US100 Will Keep Growing!
HI,Traders !
#US100 is trading in an
Uptrend and the index broke
The key horizontal level
Around 23931.0 and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Of course. Here is the English translation of the US100 (Nasdaq Of course. Here is the English translation of the US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) analysis:
The US100 Nasdaq 100 Index, which aggregates the world's top technology and non-essential consumer giants, is a core benchmark for gauging growth stocks and market risk appetite. Its trajectory is highly correlated with U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy and is exceptionally sensitive to interest rate expectations; any clue about rate cuts can trigger significant volatility. The index's weight is heavily concentrated in the "Magnificent Seven," making their individual earnings reports and progress in the field of AI decisive driving forces for the index.
Currently, the index shows strong momentum after reaching new historical highs, but technical indicators are already showing signs of being overbought, with the 18,000 point level becoming a key psychological and technical resistance. High valuations make it more vulnerable to negative news shocks. Looking ahead, the US100 will be locked in a fierce battle between the narrative of AI innovation and the pressure of high interest rates. Whether the upward trend can continue depends on whether the giants' profits meet expectations and whether the Fed successfully executes a policy pivot. Investors should be wary of pullback risks amid high valuations and closely monitor the earnings of leading companies and inflation data.
NasdaqNasdaq continued to renew highs overnight. This overbought region is likely to trigger a pullback with profit-taking to the 24250 range. Today we'll see the Retail Sails economic data, which could be favorable for the technology sector and lead to 24500.
US100 Rally Supported by Fed Expectations and Cooling InflationUS100 Rally Supported by Fed Expectations and Cooling Inflation
From our last analysis, indices have continued to rise. The US100 already hit the first target and is now close to the second one.
With the market expecting multiple Fed rate cuts this year, bullish momentum stays strong and shows no clear signs of reversal.
This outlook is also backed by easing inflation data. Still, we should be cautious — since the move has already played out, it may be wise to secure profits before the FOMC meeting.
The US100 could rise further once the outlook becomes clearer, but it may also take some time before reaching new highs.
Next targets: 24,500 and 24,750.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
NAS100 Buy Entry’s Clean, R:R 2.00 — Setup Locked & Loaded!Hey traders,
Here’s my NAS100 setup based on the 1-hour chart:
🟢 Buy Entry: 23998.77
🔴 Stop Loss: 23884.81
🎯 TP1: 24045.42
🎯 TP2: 24097.67
🎯 TP3: 24225.56
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.00
Every like you drop is pure fuel for me to keep sharing these setups.
Big thanks to everyone standing by and showing support.
