US30 Approaches 47,200 Support as Seasonality Favors Bulls!Hey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around the 47,200 zone. The Dow Jones remains in a broader uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching a key support and resistance area at 47,200.
We’d also like to highlight the strong seasonal tendency for equities during this period — historically, November has often provided a tailwind for the Dow as market sentiment improves ahead of year-end.
Watching closely for a potential bullish trigger at support.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Trade ideas
Dow jonesChart is self evident but let me explain.
Top of weekly channel 5yr resistance
(YELLOW)
Top of tariff rebound channel
(WHITE)
Outside weekly and daily bollingerband
Basically we are at extreme resistances really overbought.. imagine trying to break through something while being low on fuel.
The candle pattern " 3 white soilders" from the bullflag breakout has played out. The 4th candle usually completes the sequence
So now I think this is a channel trade and we head back to support 50sma or 47,000
From there if we lose 47,000 or 50sma then we head back to 44,900
Bullish continuation setup?The Dow Jones (US30) is declining toward the pivot level, which is an overlap support aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A potential rebound toward the recent swing high resistance could occur from this area.
Pivot: 45,746.42
1st Support: 43,977.09
1st Resistance: 48,012.20
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US30 Price decline within an overall bullish structureUS30 has shown a price decline within an overall bullish structure. Currently, price action suggests consolidation, indicating indecision between buyers and sellers. the index has pulled back but remains above key support zones, suggesting the potential for a rebound toward recent swing-high resistance levels.
If bulls maintain control, a continuation of the uptrend could follow after this consolidation phase. However, if momentum weakens, a deeper retracement could occur before any sustainable upside move resumes then Next expected target would be 47,550 to 48,025 lets see and how does price should react.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Market correction, filling gaps and money shiftIt is expected and have been waiting for it for few weeks.
the market needs to correct itself by:
- Institutions and large funds (market makers) to exit from high tech AI and overvalued stocks and leave them to bag holders.
- They already shorted the large AI stocks so they will make money anyway.
- Money Shift: Institutions and funds moving from high tech to other sectors.
- Dow Jones must fill the gaps left during the strong uptrend - marked in circles.
- This shift will take some time pushing the stock market down, I already shifted my investments to other sectors, 50% cash and waiting.
DowJones (DJI) IntraSwing & Future Level for 13th - 14th Nov 25✍🏼️ "Future IntraSwing Levels" mentioned in BOX format.
Useful to Tally / Recognize for Next day Trade Plan.
Useful to Tally / Recognize or sometime DETECT abnormal Movement of NIFTY for Next day Trade Plan.
Level description:
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
In depth Analysis will be added later (If time Permits)
DOW JONES to new All Time Highs and won't stop there!Dow Jones (DJI) has been trading within an aggressive Channel Up since October 03, which made today a new All Time High (ATH). This is its technical Bullish Leg following the Higher Low bottom near the 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
With a 4H MACD sequence identical to the previous Leg, it is possible to see a re-test of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) next but on the medium-term, a new Higher High of at least 48800 (the 1.5 Fibonacci extension as on the previous Bullish Leg) is expected.
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US30 – Buyers Defend Pivot | Holding 47080 Keeps Trend IntactUS30 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Bullish Bias Above 47080
US30 continues to trade with a bullish tone while holding above 47080, supported by stronger sentiment across U.S. equities.
Above 47080: Bullish continuation toward 47300 → 47460 → 47760.
Below 47080: Bearish correction possible toward 46910 → 46600.
Pivot: 47100
Support: 46910 · 46610 · 46450
Resistance: 47310 · 47460 · 47760
US30 remains bullish while above 47080, but a confirmed 1H close below this level could trigger a short-term bearish correction toward 46910–46600.
US30 : Bulls Regaining Control!After a clean correction, US30 (Dow Jones) looks set for another push upward. If structure holds, we could see momentum building toward new highs before the next potential pullback. Stay alert for confirmation around 47,400–47,600 levels!
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
DowJones important support retest at 46800Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 47433
Resistance Level 2: 47534
Resistance Level 3: 47636
Support Level 1: 46807
Support Level 2: 46690
Support Level 3: 46545
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones: Pressure Builds for a Topside BreakCoiling within an ascending triangle just beneath record highs, Dow Jones Industrial Average traders should be on alert for a potential bullish breakout.
The slingshot price action of recent days has delivered an obvious bullish message, with the three-candle morning star pattern completed on Monday proving prescient in signalling what was to come. Now trading just below 48,000—a level it’s struggled to overcome over the past month—we’re approaching what could be a key moment for medium-term directional risks. With the ascending triangle spanning thousands of points, a clean topside break could trigger significant upside.
With RSI (14) sitting above 50 but not yet overbought, upside pressure is strengthening. MACD is confirming, having staged a bullish crossover in positive territory earlier this week. The ducks are lining up for a potential bullish breakout.
Should we see a clean break above 48,000, longs could be established above the former highs with a stop beneath for protection. Unless we see a close above that level, the preference would be to wait for a pullback, test and bounce from the former highs using a shorter timeframe before entry.
While convention suggests a breakout from the triangle could eventually see the price trade north of 50,000, implying that could be a target, others may prefer to take their cues to exit from price action should an obvious topping signal or pattern emerge.
Even though a topside break is favoured, if the bullish move continues to stall around 48,000, there’s scope to flip the setup, allowing for shorts to be placed beneath the level with a stop above the highs, targeting 47,400 or the October uptrend. This screens as a lower-probability play given recent price and momentum signals despite previous success for shorts around these levels.
Good luck,
DS
Dow Jones Rises on Shutdown Optimism | Bulls Eye 48500 ZoneUS30 | Overview
The price pushed up sharply ahead of the expected end of the U.S. government shutdown, reflecting renewed optimism across equity markets.
This momentum suggests a continuation of the bullish trend, with buyers maintaining control as long as the price trades above 48020.
As long as price action holds above this pivot level, the index is likely to advance toward 48210, and a break above that zone could extend gains toward 48500.
However, if the price drops below 47850, a bearish correction may develop, targeting 47450.
Pivot Line: 48020
Resistance: 48210 · 48500
Support: 47850 · 47710 · 47460
US30 – Bearish Bias Below 46910 | Targeting 46600–46410US30 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Bearish Bias Below 46910
US30 reversed from recent highs and stabilized below the pivot zone at 46910, signaling renewed bearish momentum in the short term.
🔽 Below 46910: Bearish continuation toward 46600 → 46410 → 46000.
🔼 Above 47100: Bullish recovery possible toward 47220 → 47450.
Pivot: 46910
Support: 46600 · 46410 · 46000
Resistance: 47100 · 47220 · 47450
US30 remains bearish while below 46910, but a confirmed 1H or 4H close above 47100 would shift bias to bullish continuation toward 47450.
US30 H4 | Bearish Reaction off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently below the ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 47,458
- Strong overlap resistance
- 61.8% Fib retracement
- 61.8% FIb projection
Stop Loss: 47,801.28
- Swing high resistance
- 78.6% Fib retracement
Take Profit: 47,078.49
- Overlap support
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
plans change This setup is based on a bearish market structure visible on the 2-hour chart. The market has been forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating that sellers remain in control. A descending trendline connects the previous swing highs, confirming continued bearish pressure.
Recently, price pushed above a previous high (marked with the “$” symbol), likely sweeping liquidity and triggering stop-losses of early sellers. After that sweep, price failed to continue higher — a sign that buying momentum was exhausted and sellers might re-enter from that level.
US30: Short Signal Explained
US30
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell US30
Entry - 47023
Stop - 47146
Take - 46813
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
DowJones Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 48128
Resistance Level 2: 48280
Resistance Level 3: 48420
Support Level 1: 47385
Support Level 2: 47253
Support Level 3: 47090
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Is a Market Correction Coming? 10 Warning Signs You Can’t Ignore🚨 Markets look euphoric… but data says otherwise.
Hello @TradingView users, hope you are doing well
Here are 10 reasons why we think a sharp pullback could be near
(Not financial advice — just signals stacking up.)
1) Record yield-curve inversion: The 10y–2y spread was negative for a record ~783 days before ending in Sept 2024; such inversions have preceded every U.S. recession in recent decades.
2) Q1 2025 GDP dipped, Q2 rebounded: BEA shows real GDP fell in Q1 2025 (revised −0.6%), then rose +3.8% in Q2 2025. One more weak quarter would meet the “technical” definition, but Q2 strength complicates that path.
3) Cuts usually come with stress: Markets are pressuring the Fed to cut; historically, rate-cut cycles often start when growth/inflation risks tilt weaker (not typically in “booming” conditions).
4) LEI turned down again: After a tiny July uptick, the Conference Board’s LEI fell −0.5% in Aug 2025 and is −2.8% over the last 6 months, pointing to softer momentum (the “15+ straight months” stat is no longer current).
5) Valuations are stretched: The Shiller CAPE > 40, the highest since the dot-com era—historically linked to weaker forward returns.
6) Labor market showing cracks at the margin: Unemployment ~4.3% (Aug 2025) and job openings ~7.2M (Aug)—down from the 2022 peak—suggest some cooling, even if not severe. (I removed the unsourced “+35% layoffs” figure.)
7) Buffett’s record cash: Berkshire now holds roughly $381–$382B in cash & T-bills, an all-time high—interpreted by many as “waiting for better prices.” (Replaces the older $347.7B figure.)
8) Government shutdown risk/drag: The U.S. is in a prolonged federal shutdown (30+ days), with credible estimates of a material GDP hit if it persists—an added macro headwind.
9) Parabolic leaders, dot-com déjà vu vibes: Today’s rally is narrow and AI-led, and valuation gauges echo late-1990s extremes—a setup that can amplify drawdown risk on disappointments.
markets.businessinsider.com
10) Clustering of risks: Yield-curve history + LEI weakness + stretched valuations + policy uncertainty = elevated correction risk, even if timing is uncertain.
Please be cautious, more signals are starting to align, suggesting a potential market drop. From Warren Buffett holding significantly more cash, to the ongoing government shutdown, and even the recent sharp rally that mirrors patterns seen right before the dot-com bubble, the puzzle pieces are starting to fit together.
This message isn’t to cause panic, but rather to remind you to trade carefully and stay prepared either by keeping some cash ready to invest if the market drops, or by simply sticking to your existing long-term investment plan if you have any.
Comment below what YOU think, is this a healthy dip incoming or the start of something bigger?
@TradingView Appreciate it if you guys can feature this post so more traders and investors get the warning and stay safe if the drop happens.
Thank you
Alain M(Coach)
WTW Team
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