DJ30 trade ideas
US30 hits new all-time high amid robust AI fever
US equities rallied to fresh record highs, fueled by the Fed’s rate cut, resilient US economic data, and optimism over progress in US-China trade negotiations. Ongoing enthusiasm for AI also boosted technology stocks.
Nvidia (NVDA) drove the strongest market reaction after announcing a \$5 bln purchase of more than 4% of Intel (INTC). Sentiment was further buoyed by reports that Chinese regulators halted their antitrust probe into Google (GOOGL), ending a long-running investigation into Android’s dominance.
US30 maintained a solid uptrend within the ascending channel, setting a new high. The index holds above both EMAs, indicating the potential continuation of the bullish momentum. If US30 breaches above the 46415 high, the index may gain upward momentum toward the psychological resistance at 47000. Conversely, if US30 breaks below EMA21 and the channel’s lower bound, the index could retreat toward 45000.
US30 - Bullish Path Toward 48,000The market remains strongly bullish with no clear signs of correction, even in lower timeframes.
Active targets are 46,550, 47,300 (key level), and 47,690, with the next major target at 48,000.
Beyond this, 48,920 has also been identified as a potential extension.
While higher targets exist, they belong to a larger fractal and are not yet confirmed.
The deepest possible correction could reach the 45,300 area, which may provide a good long opportunity.
Short positions are not recommended due to high risk and strong buying pressure.
Key Levels & Trend Confirmation – US30US30 Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, US30 is holding above the breakout zone (46,177 – 46,214), showing early signs of continuation.
Key levels:
46,214 → first support on the low time frame. Holding this level keeps bullish momentum intact.
46,177 → important confirmation level for the main uptrend. If US30 closes below this, it could trigger a deeper pullback.
As long as price holds above these zones, US30 remains in a bullish structure with potential to push higher.
Downside risk: A breakdown below 46,177 would invalidate the current momentum and open space for correction toward 45,796 support.
Major cycle level: 41,097 remains the cycle start and must-hold support in the bigger picture. Losing this level would shift the cycle to red.
📌 Summary
Above 46,214 – 46,177 → bullish continuation remains in play.
Break below 46,177 → correction risk, watch 45,796 as next support.
Cycle start at 41,097 → key long-term level to keep the broader bullish cycle alive.
US30 4H📊 Dow Jones (4H) Analysis
The Dow just broke through the 45,700 resistance and is now pulling back to retest that same level as support.
✅ Key points:
The 45,700 zone, which acted as resistance before, could flip into strong support now.
Fibonacci retracements (0.5 & 0.618) line up right in this area, adding more confluence.
The ascending trendline and moving average are also sitting below price, keeping the bullish structure intact.
🎯 Targets:
Short-term: 46,200 – 46,400
Medium-term (measured move from the ascending triangle): 47,000 – 47,200
⚠️ Invalidation:
If price loses the 45,500 – 45,600 zone, we could see a deeper correction back to 45,000 – 45,200.
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📌 Summary:
As long as the pullback into 45,700 holds, the bullish scenario stays in play and higher targets remain on the table.
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🔥 What do you think? Is this just a clean retest before a push to 47,200, or will the Dow drop back below support?
US30 (Dow Jones CFD) Forecast📊 US30 (Dow Jones CFD) Forecast 🔮
Closing Price: 46,279.7 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔥 Technical Outlook (Intraday + Swing)
⏱ Intraday Analysis (5m – 4H)
✅ Buy Zone: 46,050 – 46,150 🎯
🚀 Upside Targets: 46,420 → 46,580 → 46,750 🏆
❌ Sell Zone: 46,600 – 46,700 📉
📉 Downside Targets: 46,380 → 46,200 → 45,950 ⚠️
🔔 Watch for MA Golden Cross & VWAP bounce intraday.
📆 Swing Trading Analysis (Daily – Weekly)
🛡 Major Support: 45,800 – 45,500 🪙
📈 Swing Buy Entry: 45,600 – 45,800
🎯 Swing Bullish Targets: 46,950 → 47,320 → 47,900 🌟
📉 Swing Sell Entry: Below 45,480 ❗
🎯 Swing Bearish Targets: 45,200 → 44,780 → 44,350 🕳
📚 Methodology Applied
📌 Chart Patterns: Head & Shoulders ⚠️, potential Bull Trap 🚨.
📌 Harmonics & Fib Levels: 0.618 pullback aligns near 45,950.
📌 Elliott Wave Count: Wave 3 extension may still be active 🔄.
📌 Ichimoku Cloud: Price above Kumo = bullish bias ☁️✅.
📌 Wyckoff: Distribution signals visible at 46,700 zone 🏦.
📌 RSI: 63 intraday → nearing overbought, but not extreme.
📌 Bollinger Bands: Upper band hit near 46,750 = resistance 🎯.
📌 VWAP: Anchored VWAP support ~46,100 = key intraday pivot.
⚖️ Market Context
📰 US Fed stance & inflation numbers remain catalysts.
🌍 Geopolitical tensions add volatility risk.
💵 Dollar Index strength can cap upside.
🎯 Trading Plan Summary
📊 Intraday Bias: Range-bound → Scalps between 46,100 – 46,700.
🚀 Swing Bias: Bullish above 45,800, bearish below 45,500.
🔑 Risk Mgmt: Always apply SL 80–120 pts (intraday) & 200–300 pts (swing).
⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes 📚. Trade with discipline, risk management, and DYOR 🔍.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY/SPX
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
US30 (Dow Jones) Update
US30 (Dow Jones) Update
✅ Reversal entry played out perfectly from support around 45,750.
🎯 Target zone at 46,433 reached with precision.
📌 Clean bullish move respecting market structure – trade delivered perfect results.
📊 Professional Technical Style
US30 respected the reversal zone around 45,750 and pushed higher in line with expectations. Price action confirmed the bullish structure, leading to a strong rally into the 46,433 resistance area, successfully hitting target. A textbook reversal setup that delivered clean results.
Dow Jones is back in playThe rotation from tech stocks back to the industrial sector is the main trend in late September: Dow Jones gets back in play. The price consolidates in the ascending wedge, and ready to break it to the upside as shown on the chart, with a potential target area above $48000.
The alternative scenario would be a false breakout with a continuation of a consolidation and another attempt to break it closer to PCE index publication on September 25th, 2025.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage yoru risk.
Most probable scenario (Rates remain unchanged)Ever since my last year's downward correction projection on Dow, the market has been steadily going upward forming our wave 5.
For past couple weeks, I have been monitoring the Expanding Triangle forming in market ever since the major RSI drop in July downward swing, which was our wave C.
22 August was the day most people like me were expecting the drop in market which would have been our Wave E, but since the GDP news pumped the market turning an ABC zigzag into an Impulse with the 5th wave being the pump upon news release, the wave D was hence prolonged and we had to wait for another 5 wave structure to complete the wave D zig-zag as shown in the image below.
Now, we can see that even though wave D has traced more than 200% of wave B, it is still a valid Triangle. The ending diagonal further strengthens this scenario to play out.
Even though this scenario's success is dependent upon the news, which is impossible to predict. The price action so far we have seen along with the GDP and other news reports suggest that even though market is highly anticipating 25 basis points cut or even 50 basis points, the likelihood of Interest rates remaining unchanged is still very high because the US economy is still strong and does not necessarily require rate cuts yet.
After this wave E, we can enter our usual end of year pump.
US30 US30 is bullish.
Trading above last week’s open.
Momentum is pushing higher highs.
US30 is showing a bullish bias, trading comfortably above last week’s open. The market is forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong upward momentum. Pullbacks to key levels, like the current week open, may offer good entry opportunities in line with the trend.
U30 Trade Set Up Sep 17 2025www.tradingview.com
price is trading in between PDH/PDL but just inverted a 1h FVG so will want to see if price can continue making internal bullish structure on the 5m-15m to target PDH or continue its 1h bearish structure and target PDL. But will have to be careful due to FOMC news coming out at 2pm
US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/17/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 09/17/2025
US30 failed to hold above 46,000 and has started to drift lower, now trading around 45,720 🟥. Yesterday’s momentum stalled, and sellers are stepping in at resistance.
Price is sitting right at EMA support — this zone decides whether buyers step back in or if we see a deeper pullback.
📊 Current Market Behavior:
📉 Rejected at 46,000–46,112
🔄 Pulling back toward 45,700 support
⚡ EMA cluster acting as short-term magnet
🧱 Mid-range chop after breakout high
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
45,930–46,000 → Rejection zone
46,112 → Breakout high
46,250 → Next bullish target
🔹 Support Zones:
45,700 → EMA + intraday support
45,456 → Strong support floor
45,320 → Key demand zone
44,988 → Deeper support
🧠 Bias:
Neutral → Bearish leaning
Below 45,700 = sellers in control
Above 46,000 = bullish continuation
US30: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 45,713.96 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 45,654.62 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️