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SIGNS OF WEAKNESS ON NASNAS100 1H - This pair is showing signs of weakness, it looks as though price is respecting these areas of Supply and is continuing to trade us lower. We have also been delivered with a higher timeframe break to the downside. This is indicating further bearishness in this market, I would personally be looking for short temporarily with this pair, as you can see price is approaching an area of Supply now, this could act as an entry point. We need to wait for price to trade in, clear this area and give us some kind of entry confirmation before getting involved. We would need to see price break structure to the downside before taking us lower. I have set an alert and will keep you all updated on whether or not I vet a valid short entry for this pair moving forward, its important we treat this pair with caution.
FX:NAS100Short
by Lukegforex
NAS100 Intraday Market Structure AssessmentActionable Trading Framework Bullish Scenario (Probability: 60%) Entry: 24,595-24,620 (consolidation breach confirmation) Target 1:24,680 (+$62 risk/reward) Target 2: 24,750 (+$132 profit extension) Stop Loss: 24,550 (-$45) Trigger: Break above 24,650 with volume confirmation on 5/15-min charts Bearish Scenario (Probability: 40%) Entry: 24,680-24,710 (rejection candle formation) Target 1: 24,600 (-$80 to +$30 range) Target 2: 24,520 (-$160 reversal) Stop Loss: 24,760 (+$50) Trigger: Failed breakout attempt + RSI divergence on 1-hour chart Key Technical Confluences ✓ EMA 20/50 Crossover Zone → Dynamic support (1-hour timeframe) ✓ VWAP Alignment → Acts as pivot point at 24,635 ✓ Harmonic Pattern → Potential bullish AB=CD completion near current zone ✓ Ichimoku Tenkan-sen → Resistance pressure at 24,705 Execution Rules 1. Entry Confirmation: Engulfing or Pin Bar + Volume Spike on 5-min chart 2. Risk Management: Maximum risk per trade = 1% account size 3. Time Window: Optimal trading 08:00-15:00 UTC+4 (high liquidity period) 4. Exit Protocol: Trail stop at 15-pips after Target 1 achievement
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by sunya
Nasdaq 100: Bulls on the Back Foot as 50DMA Gives WayOur Nasdaq 100 contract is looking heavy. Very heavy. The price action has been increasingly unconvincing for bulls in November, culminating on Monday with the price closing beneath the 50-day moving average for the first time since April. That’s a noticeable departure from what was seen when tested in the recent past, with the price often reversing higher immediately after. Not on this occasion. Should the price remain below the 50-day moving average, the next focal point is uptrend support that’s been in place for over six months. In each of the past two sessions the price has traded through the level only to reverse higher, attracting buyers on dips beneath 24650—that’s the battleground to watch in the near term. If the price were to close beneath uptrend support and 24650, it would bolster conviction that a deeper downside flush may be coming, allowing for shorts to be established with a stop above the uptrend to protect against reversal. 24000 provided support and resistance earlier this year, making it a potential initial target. Of course, should the price remain above the uptrend, the setup could be flipped with longs set above it or the 50DMA, should the price reclaim it. 25200, downtrend resistance from the record highs, or 25715 are all potential targets. Given the unconvincing price action recently, an obvious bullish reversal signal would be preferable before considering long setups. The message from RSI (14) and MACD is tilted lower when it comes to directional bias, with the former trending beneath 50, indicating building bearish pressure. MACD remains in positive territory, although having already crossed the signal line from above, at the very least it’s indicating waning topside strength. Given its trajectory, it may soon confirm the bearish signal. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by FOREX.com
NAS100 Future: The Model #1 Bounce at CRTL SupportTimeframe: 15M | Model: CRT Model #1 / Turtle Soup Reversal The Nasdaq Index is presenting a high-probability Candle Range Theory (CRT) setup after an aggressive drop. The price action perfectly encapsulates the Manipulation (Candle 2) phase and is setting up for the explosive Distribution (Candle 3) move. The market has completed a textbook Turtle Soup (TS), aggressively pushing below the structural support to liquidate short-term positions. This hunt was contained by the confluence of the CRTL (Candle Range Theory Low) and a strong underlying Fair Value Gap (FVG). Here’s the step-by-step breakdown (The CRT Checklist): Liquidity Sweep: The deep wick confirms the Turtle Soup, clearing the stops below the previous support area around 24,862.53. Confluence: The reversal attempt is happening right off the FVG area, giving high confidence to the long thesis, as outlined in the CRT Secrets Series (Episode 5: Key Levels). The Trigger: We are now waiting for the final confirmation—the bullish Model #1 candle close. This candle must reverse the market structure and close decisively above the manipulation low (back into the range). Targets: Primary Objective (CRTH): The target is the CRTH (Candle Range Theory High) at 25,217.65, aiming to fill the liquidity above the initial range high. Mindset: As the chart suggests, this reversal setup has the potential for a swift expansion move, seeking higher liquidity pools. Discipline: Avoid the temptation to enter early. We must wait for the Model #1 candle to close and confirm the shift in control from sellers back to buyers. Trade what you see, not what you think! Trade Smart. Trust the Candle Close. Greetings, MrYounity
VANTAGE:NAS100FTLong
by MrYounity
1
Tech Sector Pauses|USNAS100 Awaits Direction Between 25430–25700USNAS100 | Overview The price is currently consolidating between 25430 and 25570, showing a slight bearish bias as momentum weakens near resistance. As long as the index trades below 25570 and 25700, the outlook remains bearish, with downside potential toward 25430 and 25220. A confirmed break below 25220 would accelerate losses toward 25010. However, if the price closes a 4H candle above 25700, it would signal a bullish reversal, opening the path toward 25820 and 25985. Pivot Line: 25570 Resistance: 25700 · 25820 · 25985 Support: 25430 · 25230 · 25010
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ Can the 1D MA50 give one more rally??Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 6-month Channel Up and Friday saw the price breaking below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the pattern, but managed to close back above it for the 2nd time in a week (blue circles). This resembles the September 02 break, which eventually also closed above it and initiated a +9.59% Bullish Leg. With the 1D RSI also testing a similar Support Zone with September's, we expect the index to initiate the new Bullish Leg, as long as it continues to close its daily candles above the 1D MA50. Our Target is 26900 (+9.59%). --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
US 100 Index – NVIDIA Earnings and September Payrolls To Keep TrNovember has been a choppy and volatile period for the US 100 index. After opening the month with a push to a high of 26154 on November 1st concerns about lofty valuations of AI companies, more hawkish than expected Federal Reserve speakers and a US government shutdown have all combined to weaken prices which has seen the index twice dip and recover from support at 24608 (more on this in technical update below). Now looking forward, sentiment towards technology stocks is going to face potentially its toughest test so far with the release of AI bellwether NVIDIA’s earnings after the close on Wednesday, which is closely followed by the delayed September US Non-farm Payrolls report on Thursday. Expectations for NVIDIA’s results are high, with Reuters reporting analysts on average expecting the company to post a 54% year-on-year rise in Q3 earnings per share, with optimism for future revenue being driven higher by recent chip supply deals the company has announced with a string of companies such as Samsung. NVIDIA carries a huge 10% weighing in the US 100 index so these results could have a big impact on the direction of prices into the weekend, perhaps even further. The reopening of the US federal government last Thursday has restarted the release of key economic data updates on the labour market and inflation. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has confirmed the September Non-farm payrolls report, originally due in early October, will now be released on Thursday November 20th at 1330 GMT. This update could be important for traders as they try and work out whether the US labour market has weakened enough for Federal Reserve policymakers to be swayed to cut interest rates by 25bps (0.25%) again at their final meeting of the year on December 10th. Recent commentary from Fed speakers has been more hawkish than expected by markets only a month ago, so there may be an extra level of US 100 price sensitivity to the outcome of this release on Thursday. US 100 Index Technical Update: 24608 Support Holds Again Last week’s US 100 activity began with price strength on Monday, but this quickly reversed, seeing a retreat of nearly 5% into Friday’s low at (24542, November 14th). Importantly, that decline tested support at 24608, which is the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the August to October advance. This level holding last week maintains potential for prices to stabilise to begin the new week. Interestingly, a similar rally emerged the previous Friday (November 7th) following tests of the same 24608 retracement support, reinforcing the possibility that buyers are currently still active around this area. While not a guarantee of future price strength, with this level now limiting selling pressure on 2 occasions, this may be viewed as the first important support level for traders to focus on this week. Potential Support Levels: With 24608 established as a potential support, closing breaks below this level might be needed to suggest renewed downside pressure, leading to a further phase of price weakness. A close below 24608 if seen, could then turn the focus toward 24221, which is the deeper 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, with the possibility for extension of price declines to 24004, which is the October 10th session low, increasing if this 24221 support level were to give way. Potential Resistance Levels: If 24608 continues to hold selling pressure, fresh attempts at price strength might result. However, it could prove to be the still rising Bollinger mid‑average at 25490 that marks an initial resistance level, with a close above this level needed to suggest risks for the possibility of fresh upside momentum. If the 25490 mid‑average does give way to the upside on a closing basis, renewed price strength could be the result. Such moves may then open scope for tests of 25742, the November 12th session high, and possibly toward 26277, the October 30th all‑time high. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone