nas100 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
Trade ideas
US 100 Index – Potential Crunch Time for the Santa Rally!The US 100 has edged 0.2% lower to start this pivotal week as traders adjust positioning ahead of the final Federal Reserve meeting of 2025. This is a meeting at which the US central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25bps and with markets pricing around a 90% chance of this happening it could be argued that anything else would be a major shock to the financial system.
Putting that to one side, there could also be challenges for traders to navigate even if the Fed does cut rates as expected, and this is where assessing the price action once the decision is released at 1900 GMT on Wednesday could be crucial.
The US 100 has rallied strongly from its November 21st low at 23834 up to current levels around 25650 at time of writing (0700 GMT). This 1800-point rally coincided with Fed policymakers talking more positively regarding their views on the potential for a further ‘near term’ rate cut, so it could be argued that this is now already priced into US stock indices.
More specifically, the US 100 is up around 21.5% year to date and consideration may need to be given to how motivated investors may be to add to their directional exposure versus locking in gains on what has been a strong 2025 performance.
With this as the backdrop moving into the next 36 hours of trading, assessing the current technical trend, alongside identifying potential key support and resistance levels could help to determine whether a Santa rally or a nasty case of ‘bah humbug’ volatility is more likely moving into the final 3 weeks of 2025.
US 100 Index Technical Update: Stalling Against 25772 Resistance?
The US 100 index has staged an impressive 8.4% recovery from the 23834 November 21st low, yet the latest phase of strength may be stalling against potential resistance at 25772. This level, equal to the November 5th session high, has repeatedly capped attempts at fresh price strength throughout November and early December, as the chart below illustrates.
While much will depend on future price activity, traders may now view the 25772 resistance as something of a pivotal level. A successful close above 25772 might be required to open the way for further price strength. However, if 25772 continues to cap prices on a closing basis, the latest upside momentum may be seen as slowing with scope for downside weakness to emerge.
What Next if 25772 Is Broken on a Closing Basis?:
With resistance at 25772 potentially pivotal to future price activity, closing breaks above this level may now be required to sustain a push toward higher levels. Such moves, while not guaranteeing continued upside, could encourage further attempts to extend the latest strength.
Successful closes above 25772 could open the possibility of moves towards 26277, which is the October 30th upside extreme, and if this level were to also be broken, on further toward 27208, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci extension.
What Next if the 25772 Resistance Continues to Hold?:
With the 25772 resistance still intact on a closing basis, it is notable that the new week has once again seen selling pressure emerge around this level. The concern now for the bulls is that the longer 25772 continues to cap price strength, the greater the risk that downside momentum could begin to materialise.
If price weakness does emerge, trader focus may then shift to support offered by the rising Bollinger mid‑average, which currently stands at 25151. A closing break below 25151 could then raise risks of a deeper retracement of the November/December strength, with potential to test 25067, which is the 38.2% retracement, possibly even 24596, a level equal to the 61.8% retracement.
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US100 = NASDAQ INDEX big short coming soon ?i think we are at the very end of a very long impulsive wave, we might even be finished it not certain but one thing is certain, we will see a big short in the coming months after another small impulse wave or some range to target wave 5 maybe. gonna be on the watch on this one, my last year target already reached so, add to watch list, might give us very good entry for another long term buy.
Nas to ATHHere is the evidence from the chart supporting a "dip to POC and rally" scenario rather than a drop to VAL as I previously thought could happen:
firstly the change in Momentum (Min Delta Analysis)
The most telling clue is the Min Delta row (the lowest point of net selling during the session).
Previous Days: In the middle of the rally, sellers were able to push Delta down slightly (e.g., -1,291 or -273) before buyers took over.
Latest Session (Far Right int table ): The Min Delta is +1,479.1. This is extremely bullish. It means that from the moment the session opened, aggressive buyers were so dominant that the cumulative delta never even went negative.
my view is that Sellers are currently too weak to push price down deep. A drop to 25,100 would require significant selling pressure that simply isn't present right now.
secondly building a Floor with POCs
The Point of Control has been stepping up clearly, acting as a support ladder:
key points: Breakout started after 25,300 - Consolidated at 25,575 (held for two sessions) - Current POC moved up to 25,685.
If the price pulls back, it will likely find strong support at the 25,575 node (the high-volume ledge) or, at worst, the breakout origin at 25,300
in my view the The Likely Scenario
More Likely: Price dips into the 25,575 – 25,685 area (current and previous POCs) where passive buyers are waiting to reload, followed by a continuation up.
Less Likely: A drop to 25,300. This level is now far below the active auction. For price to visit there, we would need to see a day with massive negative Delta (e.g., -5k or more) to erase the last four days of buying progress.
Market Hunter: NASDAQ-NAS100 Sell OpportunityMy friends, Good morning!☀️
For US100-NAS100, I will open a SELL position between 24,988 and 25,243, targeting 23,843.📊
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NAS100 4h SELLchart presents a medium-term bearish outlook, followed by a long-term bullish reversal. combining Fibonacci retracements, cycle timing (bars/days), moving averages, and wave projections to create a full market roadmap.
Below is a structured analysis:
1️⃣ Current Market Structure
NAS100 reached a major top near 26,000 before reversing.
Price broke below the short-term trendline and is dropping toward deeper support.
The red zig-zag pattern reflects your expectation of continued selling pressure.
This suggests the index is entering a medium-term correction.
NAS100 Trade Set Up Dec 3 2025Price failed to create a new HH and swept PDH so i will want to see how price reacts to PDL area, if it sweeps it and make 1m-5m bullish IFVG/CISD i will look for buys but if price trades through it and makes bearish internal structure i will look for a continuation lower to SSL
US100 Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 has rejected a major supply zone while breaking down from a bearish wedge, sweeping buy-side liquidity before shifting order-flow bearish. This SMC structure signals distribution at premium and a move toward discount levels below.
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Stop Loss: 25840
Take Profit: 25315
Entry: 25622
Time Frame: 4H
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Sell!
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NAS100 DAILYNAS100 Technical Analysis (Daily Chart)
chart presents a medium-term bearish outlook, followed by a long-term bullish reversal. combining Fibonacci retracements, cycle timing (bars/days), moving averages, and wave projections to create a full market roadmap.
Below is a structured analysis:
1️⃣ Current Market Structure
NAS100 reached a major top near 26,000 before reversing.
Price broke below the short-term trendline and is dropping toward deeper support.
The red zig-zag pattern reflects expectation of continued selling pressure.
This suggests the index is entering a medium-term correction.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels (Key Zones Identified)
chart uses multiple retracements:
Current swing retracement levels
0.25 – 23,869
0.5 – 21,383
0.75 – 18,993
These levels match the projected downward path.
Major support zone
Large green rectangular zone near 16,300 – 17,000
This is aligned with:
Long-term Fibonacci support
Previous accumulation zone
Blue dotted long-term rising trendline
This zone is likely the macro bottom of the cycle.
3️⃣ Moving Averages (Trend Signals)
using:
Green MA (short-term)
Red MA (medium-term)
Blue MA (200-day long-term)
Current price is:
Breaking below the green and red MAs
Approaching the 200-day MA around 21,000
A break under the 200-day MA confirms a total trend shift to bearish.
4️⃣ Cycle Timing (Bars/Days)
chart marks three key cycles:
🔹 From the top to first support:
31 bars, 43 days
🔹 Next consolidation period:
30 bars, 42 days
🔹 Full correction phase to the bottom:
105 bars, 147 days
This indicates a highly structured time cycle, showing the correction may last until August–September 2026.
5️⃣ Expected Bearish Phase (Primary Scenario)
red path suggests:
Continued decline from current levels
Multiple lower highs and lower lows
A temporary bounce around 21,800
Then deeper drops toward 18,600 – 19,000
Extended capitulation down to the 16,300 zone (major support)
This zone is highlighted heavily, suggesting it is final bearish target.
6️⃣ Recovery Phase (Bullish Scenario)
After the bottom:
🟦 Bullish reversal zone: 16,300
The blue dotted line indicates:
A multi-month recovery
Strong upside momentum
Reestablishment of a long-term bullish trend
Possible return to previous highs later
This forms a textbook "macro correction → macro rally" cycle.
7️⃣ Summary of Your Market View
📉 Short-Term Bias: Strongly Bearish
Market breaking structure
Cycle timing supports continued decline
Price heading for deeper Fibonacci levels
📉 Medium-Term Bias: Bearish
Expecting multiple waves of selling
Target zone: 18,600 then 16,300
📈 Long-Term Bias: Bullish
After the cycle completes, NAS100 should resume its uptrend
Blue dotted projection shows a long rally into late 2026 and 2027
✔️ Final Outlook
chart shows a well-planned, detailed scenario:
A multi-leg correction
Followed by a strong, long-term bullish cycle
The 16,300 zone is the “macro bottom”
Timing suggests bottoming around August–September 2026
analysis is consistent, logical, and follows smart technical principles.
Nasdaq : 24,000 Holds Strong — Next Stop 25,800?Price action on the Nasdaq 100 is telling a clear story: 24,000 (AVWAP + HVN confluence + Round number) is acting like a magnet for institutional buyers.
This suggests that accumulation is happening at these levels, positioning for a potential run toward 25,800 if momentum holds.
Are we front-running a breakout, or should we wait for confirmation above 25,000 first?
NSDQ100 positive lead from futures and improving risk sentimentUS markets saw a modest risk-on tone yesterday as stronger-than-expected labour data pushed investors to price in fewer Fed rate cuts for next year. That supported equities, with the S&P 500 extending its winning streak, and futures are pointing to further upside this morning. This provides a supportive near-term backdrop for the Nasdaq 100 into today’s session.
However, the hawkish repricing in rates is a growing headwind for tech. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to a two-week high of 4.10%, and global bond yields continued to climb, amplified by renewed expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike. Rising long-end yields typically pressure rate-sensitive growth stocks, which could cap upside in the Nasdaq despite positive futures.
The drop in jobless claims to 191k reinforces the view that the US labour market remains resilient, supporting risk appetite but also reducing the urgency for Fed easing. That combination often favours cyclicals over long-duration tech when yields are rising.
On the corporate side, Netflix is in focus following reports of exclusive talks to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and HBO Max. This could drive sector-specific volatility across streaming and media names, with potential spillovers into Nasdaq sentiment.
Broader risk sentiment remains constructive, with the VIX slipping to a two-month low, and the continued rally in US transport stocks signalling confidence in economic momentum. That supports equities overall, but the Nasdaq’s direction today is likely to hinge on bond yields:
Stable or lower yields would allow tech to participate in the broader rally.
Further yield upside risks triggering profit-taking in mega-cap growth.
Bottom line: The Nasdaq 100 opens with a positive lead from futures and improving risk sentiment, but rising global bond yields remain the key short-term risk to sustained upside. Streaming and large-cap tech could see elevated volatility today.
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NSDQ100 - Soft ADP employment figuresUS equities showed tentative stabilisation, with the S&P 500 up modestly and Nasdaq futures also edging higher this morning. Markets remain cautious ahead of a heavy US data slate and next week’s FOMC, with rate-cut expectations already priced at over 90%, limiting upside momentum for growth stocks.
Focus today is firmly on ADP private payrolls and the ISM services survey, especially the prices paid component, which is seen as an important inflation proxy in the absence of official CPI data. A soft ADP print would reinforce the view of a cooling labour market and be supportive for rate-sensitive Nasdaq tech, while any upside surprise risks pressuring the index via higher yields.
Treasury yields are drifting lower, offering some support to mega-cap tech, but overall trading conditions remain fragile. Crypto volatility continues to spill into risk sentiment after sharp moves in Bitcoin and crypto-related equities.
Geopolitics adds background risk, with no breakthrough on Ukraine talks and renewed threats from Russia, but for Nasdaq traders the near-term direction is likely to hinge almost entirely on today’s US data and its implications for Fed policy next week.
NAS100 Trade Opportunity: Will Buyers Defend the Pullback?📊 NAS100 (NASDAQ-100) Swing Trade Opportunity 🚀
Bullish Pullback Setup | Super Trend ATR + TMA Confirmation
🎯 TRADE SETUP OVERVIEW
Instrument: NAS100 (NASDAQ-100 Index)
Timeframe: Swing Trade (4H-Daily)
Bias: BULLISH ✅
Setup Type: Super Trend ATR Line Pullback + Triangular Moving Average (TMA) Confirmation
🎬 ENTRY STRATEGY - "LAYERING METHOD" 📍
This strategy employs multiple limit order placement (Layer Entry Technique) to optimize entry points during the pullback phase.
Recommended Layer Entry Points:
🔵 Layer 1: 24,500
🔵 Layer 2: 24,600
🔵 Layer 3: 24,700
🔵 Layer 4: 24,800
⚡ Pro Tip: Scale layers based on your account size and risk tolerance. Each layer reduces average entry price.
🛑 STOP LOSS (SL)
Primary SL Level: 24,300
Strategy: Placed below the latest swing low + Super Trend confirmation
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This SL is a guideline only. You must adjust based on your personal risk management strategy and account equity. Risk is YOUR responsibility.
🎁 PROFIT TARGETS (TP)
PRIMARY TARGET (TP1): 25,700 🎯
First resistance zone
Ideal for taking partial profits
Recommended exit: 30-50% position
SECONDARY TARGET (TP2): 26,200 🔥
Strong resistance + Historical overbought zone
⚠️ TRAP ALERT: Expect potential reversal or consolidation
Recommended exit: Remaining 50-70% position
Use trailing stop for final portion
📈 TECHNICAL CONFIRMATION
✅ Super Trend ATR: Aligned bullish
✅ TMA (Triangular MA): Pullback to key level confirmed
✅ Higher Lows Pattern: Intact
✅ Volume Analysis: Supporting move
🔗 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 💡
Positive Correlation (Move Together):
🔴 SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - $380-395 Range
Correlation: +0.92 | Often leads NAS100 lower-cap stocks
Key Point: If SPY breaks $390, expect NAS100 momentum confirmation
Watch for divergence signals
🔴 QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust - Nasdaq 100 ETF) - $450-470 Range
Correlation: +0.99 | DIRECT tracking of NAS100
Key Point: Primary barometer for Nasdaq sentiment
Use for volume + volatility confirmation
🔴 TECH Sector ETF (XLK) - $205-215 Range
Correlation: +0.88 | Tech-heavy holdings overlap
Key Point: Tech rotation affects Nasdaq flow
Monitor for sector strength/weakness
Inverse Correlation (Move Opposite):
🔵 DXY (US Dollar Index) - $103-106 Range
Correlation: -0.65 | Stronger dollar = Risk-off mood
Key Point: If DXY spikes, expect NAS100 pullback extension
Monitor Fed rate expectations
🔵 TLT (20+ Year Treasury ETF) - $75-80 Range
Correlation: -0.58 | Rising yields hurt growth stocks
Key Point: Check 10Y yield trend for rate pressure
Watch Fed policy announcements
Key Monitoring Points:
📌 Earnings Season Impact: Tech earnings can create ±2% moves
📌 Fed Minutes/Announcements: Watch for rate guidance changes
📌 Market Breadth: Compare Advance/Decline lines for confirmation
📌 Volatility Index (VIX): Levels above 20 = Caution; Below 15 = Risk-on
📋 BEFORE YOU TRADE - CHECKLIST ✅
Is price currently at/near Layer 1 entry (24,500)?
Does current 4H chart show TMA pullback + Super Trend confluence?
Is volume confirming the setup?
Have you set your SL below 24,300?
Do you understand you're risking X to make Y?
Is this aligned with your trading plan?
🎓 FINAL NOTES
This is a mechanical swing trade setup designed for traders who use limit orders and layering technique. The confluence of Super Trend ATR + TMA creates higher probability entries during bullish pullbacks.
Remember: Trading involves substantial risk of loss. This idea is shared for educational analysis. Your trading decisions are YOUR responsibility alone.
Happy Trading! 🚀💎
US100 Daily Chart AnalysisSimilar to DJI, US100 Showing:
🔹 Price testing channel resistance
🔹 Rejection seen from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone
🔹 Previous uptrend support line now acting as resistance
🔹 RSI showing early signs of exhaustion near key 60–70 zone
🔹 Bearish divergence forming potential — caution advised
All these confluences hint at a possible pause or reversal unless we get a strong breakout with volume confirmation.
#US100 #NASDAQ100 #PriceAction #RSI #Fibonacci #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #ChartsDriven
NAS100 LONG setupNas has been ranging for over a month back in Sep-Oct, buyers won the battle and pushed price to 26,3k.
Sellers kicked in again and price corrected for another month.
Recently price has broken back above the level and from here I'm looking for buys, as long as it keep making HHs and HL's during the next couple of weeks, during next New York sessions.
2 DEC 2025: US100 MARKET RECAPJUST JOURNALLING
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Nasdaq — Current Setup & What Could Happen Next📈 Nasdaq — Current Setup & What Could Happen Next
🔹 Technical Setup
Nasdaq has been accumulating between 25,600–25,650 since Tuesday, marking a clear base where buyers stepped in.
I’m watching for a break to the upside with pullback entries, aiming to complete the fractal toward 25,770, a level with previous supply/resistance.
Yesterday’s -1% drop after negative news from Microsoft was gradually erased by steady buying — a sign that underlying demand remains resilient.
The accumulation and rebound off that base may signal a renewed bullish leg, provided we see clean technical confirmation.
🌎 Fundamental & Market Context
Rate-cut hopes are returning: Traders are increasingly betting on a potential cut by the Federal Reserve next month, which tends to support growth and tech sectors.
That expectation has helped lift sentiment across U.S. equities, including the Nasdaq.
On the flip side, rising Treasury yields and macroeconomic uncertainty remain a risk; any hawkish Fed hints or weak corporate earnings could challenge the bullish view.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
➡️ Bullish:
Break of accumulation zone → long entries on pullback → target 25,770.
⚠️ Bearish / Cautious:
Failure to break up, or a sharp reversal → fallback toward lower liquidity zones/Potential PDL.
TVC:DXY SP:SPX CAPITALCOM:US100
BUY ZONE NAS100All timeframes are bullish
On 4 hr there is a CHoC - buyers took control
The CHoC comes from the OB that is imbalanced (30 min OB - IMB)
Inside the OB imbalanced 30 min fair value gap making zone a POI (point of interest)
Looking to take buys from 30 min OB - IMB
Before taking buys, will drop to lower time frame for execution
Consider the liquidity zone when taking an entry
TRADE WHAT YOU SEE & NOT WHAT YOU FEEL - GOOD LUCK






















