Trade ideas
Big Bearish Day- A Weakness or Buying OpportunityNasdaq is in a strong uptrend. It broke above 23,966 and shot up to 25,191
As it has been taking support at 50EMA multiple times on daily chart, the recent fall of more than 1200 points was contained exactly near the same level.
From the price action point of view-
The fall ceased near the previous breakout zone near 23966, previous resistance acted as support.
A single candle on the daily chart with no continuation has to be an attempt to sweep liquidity below important swing lows near 24200 and 24000 (see 4H chart).
The action near 24250 is also reflecting absorption.
The psychological round number of 25000 could stay as resistance for some time and again push it back in the 24,400 to 24,500 zone offering a short-term low risk buying opportunity.
In this backdrop, 24000 to 24250 zone, accompanied by the strong trend in the background, may again cushion the price back to new highs.
What is your point of view?
Is the recent fall a sign of weakness or an opportunity to buy?
#Educational post not a recommendation to buy or sell.
NAS100 Technical Outlook (18–25 Oct 2025)Trend Summary:
NASDAQ 100 remains in a corrective phase after rejecting near the 25,200–25,300 resistance zone. Recent price action forms a potential Wave 4 retracement within a medium-term bullish Elliott structure.
1D Chart View:
The index is hovering around key support at 24,750, aligned with the 3 8.2% Fib retracement of the prior leg and near daily EMA50. A bullish reversal from this zone would confirm continuation toward 25,800–26,000.
4H Structure:
A descending channel is observed, acting as a corrective pullback. Ichimoku Cloud shows price testing the lower edge; a break above 25,050 could signal momentum recovery. Volume divergence hints at accumulation beneath.
1H / 30M:
RSI forming a higher low while price prints a lower low — a bullish divergence setup. Bollinger Bands are tightening, suggesting volatility expansion ahead. Watch VWAP reclaim above 25,000 for confirmation of short-term trend reversal.
15M / 5M Intraday Bias:
Short-term traders should monitor the 24,800–24,750 zone for a bounce. Failure below this area exposes 24,620, while a decisive break above 25,050 may trigger an intraday rally targeting 25,250–25,300.
🎯 Trading Plan
Bullish Scenario:
Buy Zone: 24,750–24,800
Targets: 25,050 → 25,250 → 25,800
Stop Loss: 24,580 (below structure low)
Bearish Scenario (alternative):
Sell Zone: 25,250–25,300 (resistance rejection)
Targets: 25,000 → 24,750 → 24,620
Stop Loss: 25,400
🔍 Confluence Factors:
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction likely ending.
Fibonacci: 38.2–50% retracement aligning with structure support.
Ichimoku: Testing lower cloud — potential bullish crossover setup.
RSI Divergence: Positive momentum building.
VWAP: Reclaim signals early buyer strength.
Volume: Accumulation noted during low volatility phase.
📘 Outlook Summary:
Bias remains cautiously bullish above 24,750, targeting 25,800–26,000.
Break below 24,620 invalidates bullish structure and opens path to 24,300–24,200.
NAS100 traders should monitor intraday reactions and volume confirmations near key zones. This week may define whether the correction phase transitions into a new impulsive wave or deeper retracement.
US100: Needs a healthy pullback before breaking highs🧭 SKILLING:US100 (30-Min Chart) – The Market Needs a Pause Before the Breakout
After a strong recovery from the 24,200 area , the US100 has shown an impressive upward acceleration, forming a steep speed line that pushed price back toward the previous highs around 25,150 – 25,250 — a major resistance zone where sellers previously dominated.
However, as price reaches this area, the bullish momentum is starting to fade. Smaller candles and indecisive movements reveal hesitation — buyers are still in control, but the strength that carried the market this far is beginning to weaken.
If we look closely at the market structure, it’s clear that the index has been trying to reclaim the entire prior range, but that effort hasn’t come easy. After such a fast rally, the market looks overextended, and bulls may need a healthy pullback to gather enough energy for a real breakout.
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🔍 Technical Outlook
• The 25,150 – 25,250 zone remains the key resistance area. If price keeps getting rejected here, short-term sellers might step in.
• A corrective move toward 24,850 – 24,950 (the pink zone) would not be surprising.
• That area should be watched closely — if buyers defend it strongly, it could become the launchpad for another push toward new highs.
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🎯 Personal View
The overall structure still favors the bullish side, but momentum needs a reset.
A short-term pullback shouldn’t be seen as weakness — it’s an opportunity for the market to rebalance before the next leg up.
If the 24,850 zone holds, the probability of a true breakout above 25,250 increases significantly, potentially opening room toward 25,400 – 25,500 in the next sessions.
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💬 In summary:
The US100 has worked hard to reclaim lost ground, but breaking above the previous top will require fresh momentum. A short-term correction could be exactly what the market needs to build a stronger foundation for a sustainable rally.
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Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
US100 | Expansion Phase Alignment
The Market Flow | Oct 23, 2025
Technical Overview
• Price confirms a breakout above the active countertrend trigger (green).
• All observed timeframes are in bullish alignment — wave structure expanding higher.
• Immediate resistance lies near 25,175 , where the 100% Fibonacci projection aligns.
• Clearing this zone opens continuation toward higher Fibonacci extensions — 25,353 , 25,418 , 25,464 , and 25,583+ .
• Structural pivots remain supportive above 24,763 and 24,613.7 (daily pivot zone).
Trade Structure & Levels
• Bias: Long above 24,613.7
• Trigger = 25,095–25,143 breakout zone
• Primary Invalidation = 24,613.7 (daily pivot)
• Secondary Invalidation = 24,323.5 (H4 pivot)
• Targets → Fibonacci extensions: 25,353 → 25,418 → 25,464 → 25,583
• Phase: Expansion
Risk & Event Context
• Focus remains on U.S. macro data and yield repricing.
• Short-term volatility expected around key data prints; sustained closes above the trigger confirm momentum continuation.
Conclusion
The US100 shows multi-timeframe bullish alignment, initiating an expansion phase above the countertrend trigger. As long as price holds above the daily pivot at 24,613.7, the structure supports progressive upside toward the Fibonacci expansion cluster.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a recommendation. Market conditions and price behavior may change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ Short There is a lot of resistance, as it is at an all-time high and is unable to break this level
There are 2 patterns on M15 and M30 showing a potential reversal zone
This is against the H4 trend; however, it is overbought on H1
RSI is showing strong divergence with a triple top on H1
Stoploss above 21300
First target 24870 or when M15 is oversold
NAS100 Why I'm Watching for a Countertrend Short on US100The NASDAQ (US100) has pushed aggressively into fresh all-time highs, tapping into a key liquidity zone where buy-side liquidity sits above previous swing highs. 📈💧
Price has extended without any meaningful pullback, suggesting we may soon see exhaustion and a corrective move. As we approach the end of the week, institutional traders often rebalance or close positions, which can trigger short-term retracements. 🏦🔄
If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll be watching for a counter—
residing in a premium zone to—butter to the downside swings—for a potential countertrend—but—
🛑 Not financial advice. For educational purposes only.
BIAS UPDATED: RECAP OF ORIGINAL BIASSOMETIMES WE GET IT WRONG:
This week was a clear indication of why I lean on IF-THEN forecasts (If price does this, then I do that):
- Study my notes in the chart to understand the change of bias and the change in the state of price delivery.
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All investment ideas are provided in accordance with the scope of the FSP's license and applicable regulatory requirements. Derivative instruments is a leveraged products that carry high risks and could result in losing all of your capital, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
This idea and any attachments are informational/education and does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell.
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If you choose to accept this idea, please do so at your own risk.
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Enjoy Trading ;)
two scenarios for NQ on October I currently have two scenarios for NASDAQ, and both are bearish.
Scenario 1: The downtrend has already started. If we see a pullback around the 0.5 Fibonacci level, I’ll look to short again and keep stacking sell positions
Scenario 2: NASDAQ might retest the previous high — the one where the sharp drop started — move sideways for a while, and then start another leg down.
P.S. Success depends on proper risk management.
#NASDAQ #NASDAQ100
NASDAQ ready to continue up.We are positioning for long entries in the Nasdaq, anticipating that the VIX will continue its decline toward calmer levels at Monday’s open. This aligns with the observed rotation out of defensive sectors and the increasing risk appetite in cyclical and growth-oriented sectors.
The setup suggests a risk-on environment, with potential for sectoral leadership shifts favoring tech and high-beta equities, as implied volatility contracts and market sentiment improves.
NAS100 H4 | Bullish Bounce from Key SupportNAS100 is falling towards the buy entry at 24,804.95, which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 24,423.43, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 25,500.67, which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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US100 (NDQ): Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trends, colored levels,
and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
USTEC rebounds on trade optimism. Potential for further gains?USTEC rose as confirmation of the Trump–Xi meeting lifted sentiment and offset mixed corporate earnings. Tesla (TSLA) rebounded despite uneven results, while IBM (IBM) slipped on softer software revenue. However, the company's broader performance remained resilient, with strong demand in AI and automation services driving solid growth in its infrastructure and hybrid cloud segments. Investors remain cautious ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, with sentiment hinging on upcoming policy signals and trade developments.
From a technical perspective, USTEC rebounded from the ascending channel's lower bound and support at 24000. A break above the 25200 resistance may prompt further upside toward the channel's upper bound and 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at 26000. Conversely, a bearish breakout of the channel and a close below 24000 may prompt a further decline toward the following support at 23000.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness






















