Trade ideas
NAS100 Future | The Bullish Liquidity RuTrading isn't about chasing green candles; it's about anticipating where the "smart money" needs to go to fill their orders. On this NAS100 1H chart, we are stalking a potential Bullish Model #1 setup by waiting for price to revisit the discount zone.
Here is the CRT (Candle Range Theory) breakdown of the projected path:
1. The Trap: Turtle Soup at CRTL 🐢
The chart projects a drop below the CRTL (Candle Range Theory Low) at 24,664. This is the classic "Turtle Soup" mechanic.
The Logic: As the book states, "Turtle Soup is when the market tricks traders by briefly breaking through a level, then reversing".
The Goal: Smart money needs to "run stops... below old lows" to accumulate a long position. We want to see price stab this low to trap late sellers.
2. The Confluence: Fair Value Gap (FVG) 🧲
Notice that the sweep of the lows aligns perfectly with a Bullish FVG (the grey box).
Why it matters: "When Model #1 appears with an FVG... it becomes even more powerful". This gap acts as a magnet to pull price down before the real expansion begins.
3. The Objective: CRTH 🎯
If the trap is set and price reclaims the level (confirming the reversal), the draw on liquidity becomes the CRTH (Candle Range Theory High) at 25,307.
The Cycle: Market moves from range to manipulation (Turtle Soup) to trend. The target is simply the opposing side of the range.
🧠 Trader's Mindset: "Patience is your greatest trading asset". Right now, the chart suggests we are in the waiting phase. Do not try to catch the falling knife. Wait for the sweep of the CRTL, look for the strong reaction (Model #1 confirmation), and then execute.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Candle Range Theory concepts for educational purposes. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Next Step: Set an alert at 24,720. Are you watching for the sweep or buying the dip early? Let me know your plan below! 👇
NASDAQ Analysis – Accumulating at Resistance With Bullish CorrelThe Nasdaq is currently accumulating right beneath a key resistance zone, showing strength despite last week’s volatility. A positive factor heading into today’s session is Bitcoin’s strong weekend recovery — a move that often correlates with green momentum in equity markets, especially tech.
If the Nasdaq manages to break this resistance with conviction, price could push toward the 25,000 trendline during the week, as we are still roughly 2.5% below that level.
The ideal scenario would be:
A strong breakout,
A clean retest of the broken resistance acting as new support, and
A controlled long-position continuation toward 25,000.
As long as accumulation holds and risk sentiment stays positive, the bias remains bullish — waiting for confirmation and a structured entry.
Next NAS100 TPVolume remains steady, which confirms the reliability of the ongoing trend.
These combined technical factors typically precede price appreciation in the Nasdaq 100 , suggesting the index will likely continue to declineshortly based on trend-following and momentum-based trading strategies with limited immediate overbought risk.
NASDAQ Analysis – Recovery Expected After an Overextended DropYesterday’s sharp Nasdaq drop was surprising, especially considering Nvidia’s exceptional earnings, renewed confidence that we’re not in a bubble, and the strong labor data from NFP. Under normal conditions, the market would likely have reacted with a 2%+ rally.
However, investors are now pricing in the idea that the Fed will not cut rates in December, which created fear-driven selling and an exaggerated move to the downside.
Today, I would like to see a relief recovery, as the index has started to form a double-bottom pattern, a typical structure before liquidity grabs to the upside. If confirmed, price could push back up to take out recent highs.
Historically, after large impulsive drops, the stock market tends to open in green, as investors take advantage of discounted prices. If momentum shifts, the Nasdaq could quickly reclaim lost ground.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Strong Bullish Pattern
There is a high chance that US100 will rise
after a formation of a cup & handle pattern on a 4h time frame
with a breakout of its neckline with a bullish imbalance.
Expect a rise at least to 24850
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NASDAQDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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NAS100 – Strong Order Block Explained | High-Volume Breakout & CA Strong Bearish Order Block formed on NAS100 after a powerful bearish Marubozu breakout candle, showing clear displacement and confirming aggressive institutional selling pressure.
1. Large Breakout Candle (Marubozu)
A strong bearish candle broke through previous structure with real displacement.
This is the first sign of a valid Order Block — a move driven by actual institutional flow, not just a liquidity sweep.
2. Clean Imbalance (IMB) Created
Right after the breakout, price left behind a clean Imbalance.
This IMB highlights urgency and confirms that big players were actively pushing the market.
3. Price Returned to the Strong Order Block
After the breakout, price slowly retraced back to the origin of the move — the Strong Order Block.
Once price tapped the OB, it reacted sharply and immediately moved lower, showing that institutional sellers were defending this level.
4. Volume Confirmation
Volume during the breakout was significantly higher than average.
This reinforces that the move was driven by institutional order flow, not retail traders.
🔑 Key Takeaways
This setup is a textbook Strong Bearish Order Block, meeting all core criteria:
Clear displacement
Clean Imbalance formation
Strong volume confirmation
Price returning to the OB and reacting decisively
A high-probability bearish setup built on structure, volume, and institutional footprints.
NASDAQ Santa Rally back to 26000 started?Nasdaq (NDX) rebounded on Friday after marginally breaching below its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since May 09! The continuation today is a sign of a potentially strong rebound, the traditional end-of-year rally that is know as 'Santa's rally'.
Based on the 2021 Bull Cycle, which after touching its own 1D MA100 it started a final rally that almost tested its ATH Resistance, we can expect Nasdaq to now rise towards the end of the year to potentially 26000.
Could this be the last rally before a new Bear Cycle in 2026?
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USNAS100: Key Breakdown Levels Ahead — 24150 Next?USNAS100 | Technical Overview
The Nasdaq index continues to show weakness below 24460, keeping bearish pressure dominant in the short and medium term.
Technical Outlook
As long as the price remains below the pivot line at 24460, the bearish momentum is expected to continue toward 24150.
A break below 24150 opens the door for a deeper move toward 23930.
If the market closes a 4H candle below 23930, this will confirm a stronger bearish trend targeting 23700.
On the other hand, bullish momentum will only be activated if the price closes a 1H or 4H candle above 24760, which would signal a reversal toward higher levels.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 24460
Support: 24150 · 23930 · 23700
Resistance: 24580 · 24760 · 25200
Nasdaq NAS100 Analysis: The Conditions I Need Before Going ShortI'm keeping a close eye on NAS100 (Nasdaq) right now. 📉✨ On the 4H timeframe, price remains in a clean, sustained bearish trend, and I'm anticipating a potential continuation lower.
If price rejects the current level and fails to retrace through the 1H imbalance, and we see a rotation followed by a bearish break of structure, I'll be preparing for a short opportunity. 📊🔻
Not financial advice.
Bullish signalsThe price is bouncing from 100-day EMA and VWAP from late June low on US100 chart (not on NDX though). WXY correction structure looks complete. It can still go lower to test 0.618 fib from August 1 low to top or August 13 peak. RSI shows 2h bullish divergence on all Nasdaq and S&P500 charts. A reversal to new ATH is highly probable from this area (or atleast a high bounce to draw another right shoulder).
NAS100 Professional Technical Analysis
Asset: NAS100 (CFD SPOT INDEX)
Current Price: 24,434.00
Date: November 24, 2025
Market Sentiment: The NAS100 is currently testing a critical psychological barrier at the 24,450 level. Volatility is expected to increase as we approach the US session open.
📊 Technical Indicators & Trend Analysis
Trend Direction: The primary trend remains BULLISH 🐂 on the 4H timeframe, though signs of exhaustion are appearing on the 15m chart.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently reading at 72.5 , indicating overbought conditions. A divergence is forming, suggesting a potential short-term pullback before continuation.
Bollinger Bands: Price is hugging the upper band, with a "squeeze" formation likely resolving in a high-momentum breakout or rejection.
📐 Fibonacci & Harmonic Patterns
Fibonacci Retracement: Key support lies at the 0.382 level (24,380) and the Golden Pocket 0.618 level (24,310) from the recent swing low.
Harmonic Pattern: A potential Bearish Bat Pattern is completing near 24,460. This harmonic reversal zone (PRZ) aligns with our immediate resistance.
🛡️ Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance 1: 24,460 (Daily High / Harmonic Completion)
Resistance 2: 24,525 (Weekly Extension)
Support 1: 24,380 (0.382 Fib)
Support 2: 24,310 (Key Pivot Zone)
🎯 Trade Setup & Forecast
Scenario A: Reversal (Short)
If price rejects 24,460 with bearish engulfing candle:
Entry: Below 24,440
Target 1: 24,380
Target 2: 24,310
Stop Loss: 24,485
Scenario B: Breakout (Long)
If price closes above 24,465 on 1H volume:
Entry: Retest of 24,465
Target: 24,550
Stop Loss: 24,420
⚠️ Summary: Watch for a reaction at the 24,460 zone. The confluence of the Bearish Bat pattern and RSI overbought conditions favors a short-term correction, but the overall trend remains strong. Trade with caution. 📉📈
US100 Reversal Map – Hull MA + Heikin Ashi Confirmation🧠 US100 / NASDAQ100 Profit Pathway Setup — The Thief’s Bullish Escape Plan! 💰🚀
📊 Market Bias: Bullish (Day Trade Setup)
The Thief Trader has spotted a golden pathway in the NASDAQ100 (US100)!
Here’s the breakdown of the plan — straight from the thief’s vault 🕵️♂️📈
🎯 Plan Overview
Bias: Bullish continuation confirmed
Technical Confirmation:
✅ Double Pullback on Hull Moving Average
✅ Retest Zone successfully defended
✅ Heikin Ashi Bullish Doji signaled a trend reversal confirmation
💡 Momentum is shifting upward — the trend has officially changed!
💎 Entry Strategy (Layered Thief Style)
The Thief Strategy applies a layered entry method — multiple buy limits to average into strength.
📥 Buy Limit Layers:
25,300
25,400
25,500
25,600
(Traders can adjust or add more layers based on risk appetite and confirmation zones.)
🛡️ Stop-Loss Setup
This is the Thief SL @ 25,100
⚠️ Note to Thief OG’s:
I’m not recommending my SL as your SL — always customize risk and secure your own bag. Manage your position with discipline and independence! 💼
🎯 Take-Profit Zone
Target: 26,200
🚨 The Police Barricade Zone acts as a strong resistance — overbought levels spotted and potential bull trap alert!
Kindly exit with profit before the officers arrive. 😎
⚠️ Note: Profit-taking is at your discretion. Book and Run!
📈 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insight)
NASDAQ:NDX / CAPITALCOM:US100 / NASDAQ:QQQ : All mirror NASDAQ movement.
SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY : Often correlate with NASDAQ’s momentum (watch divergence for clues).
TVC:VIX : If volatility spikes, expect pullbacks on tech-heavy indices.
TVC:DXY : A weak dollar often fuels US100 bullish legs — keep an eye on it.
NASDAQ:AAPL / NASDAQ:MSFT / NASDAQ:NVDA : Leading drivers of NASDAQ — if they pump, the index follows. 💪
🧩 Key Insights
Hull MA alignment confirms momentum shift.
Retest + bullish Heikin Ashi Doji = market reversal confirmation.
Layered entries give flexibility in volatile intraday conditions.
Dynamic risk management is key — never marry a position.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#US100 #NASDAQ100 #ThiefTrader #DayTrading #IndexTrading #HullMA #HeikinAshi #LayeredEntries #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #PriceAction #MarketReversal #TradingCommunity #BullishPlan #SmartMoneyFlow #TradeIdeas #ThiefStrategy
NASDAQ DEC 2025, Next week will unveil it all.I often like to use this approach, where I start from the most generic timeframe that still carries importance, moving into smaller timeframes narrowing the timeframe at each step, finally concluding with a short-term trade opportunity.
This post focuses solely on technical analysis, price action and trend behavior on the NDX. No fundamental expectations or macroeconomic interpretations are included.
I will be updating this post as trade opportunities develop.
A summary of this idea is provided at the end.
--- Long-Term Behavior ---
Long term outlook indicates that NDX had a strong bullish momentum until now, it pushed above the almost 5 year bullish trend marked with orange lines.
However, before it pushed above, NDX experienced a sharp decline. (marked with yellow circle)
But price carried back up with the yellow trend and created a much stronger bullish movement which managed to push further.
Now that stronger bullish movement is also over, NDX should be falling back for a retest. The last monthly candle was possibly the beginning of that retest movement.
After the retest two scenarios are possible, either it continues the bullish movement with a much higher pace or price fails to hold the retest and falls back toward the lower boundary of the previous long-term trend.
-- Short-Term Behavior --
In this section, I will be investigating the short-term movements to better predict a possible trade opportunity.
If we zoom into the yellow trend, the price was following a path estimated with the purple lines. Which also justifies the last months harsh fallback.
I expect NDX to start moving towards the lower boundary of the trend marked with yellow. (also, weekly RSI shows clear decrease in bullish momentum, indicating the yellow trend is coming to an end)
With all these in mind, to further predict the next 2-3 weeks movement, zooming into the last couple of months. NDX's last bearish movement, which I have shown with blue trend, can go two ways which the next weeks price movement will unveil. If the next week starts up bullish and the price fails to go down further NDX may rapidly rise. On the other hand, If it forms a steeper downtrend which I have shown in the second snapshot, it may possibly keep moving down for the long-term retest.
note that the trend drawings are estimations and may not be totally accurate.
-- Summary and Final Verdict --
Next week, we should see a clear directional bias for NDX
Bearish scenario: If price continues downward and establishes a steeper trend (as shown in the image), NDX is likely heading toward a full retest of the long-term breakout area.
Target: ~22,000
Bullish scenario: If the index shows clear signs of reversal and rejects further downside, a swift recovery toward previous highs is possible.
Target: ~26,500
I will be updating the post as we get a clearer image...






















