BBAI LONGLooking at the volume patterns, a little extended, $16.23 Target on LOG, Breaking out of recent highs with volume.
Trade ideas
BBAI - Big Bear on the tails of the Bull!=======
Volume
=======
-increasing
==========
Price Action
==========
- supported on the uptrend line
- inverted H&S
=================
Technical Indicators
=================
- Ichimoku
>>> price above cloud
>>> Green kumo budding
>>> Tenken + Chiku - above clouds and moving away
>>> Kijun - Above clouds and moving away
=========
Oscillators
=========
- MACD bullish
- DMI bullish
- StochRSI, bullish
=========
Conclusion
=========
- short to long term breakout swing
- price may reverse at current level, to enter spot or wait for pullback at entry 2.
$BBAI Weekend Analysis - October 2nd, 2025Looking at the weekly chart, BBAI is setting up for what could be another MACD bullish crossover, and that’s worth paying attention to. The last two times we had this setup, the moves were massive - around 800%+ in Aug 2024 and 125%+ in July 2025. So naturally, the big question is - can we get another 100%+ run if the crossover confirms again?
If that plays out, the next major target on the weekly timeframe sits around $13.83, which would line up with the kind of extension move we’ve seen before.
Now zooming into the daily chart, I’m seeing an ascending triangle forming, which is generally a bullish continuation pattern. There’s a small gap between $7.37 and $7.56, and that zone is acting as immediate resistance right now. If price manages to break out of the triangle and fill that gap, the measured move points toward $8.64 in the near term.
For entries, current levels look reasonable as long as price holds the structure. But if we see a daily close below the 50-day SMA, that would invalidate the bullish setup for me - at least in the short term.
Looking for a daytrade on BBAI! OptionsMastery:
🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
BBAI LONG SIGNAL Reasons why BigBear.ai could grow / be an interesting buy
• Strong positioning in AI + Defense / Government sector
BigBear.ai offers “decision intelligence” software, computer vision, biometrics, predictive analytics, etc. These are areas of increasing spend by defense departments, homeland security, etc. If governments increase budgets for AI, defense tech, border security, etc., BigBear is in a favorable tailwind.
Backlog of contracts / pipeline growth
• As of Q2 2025, BigBear.ai had a backlog of about $380 million. BigBear.ai
• Also their older backlog was ~$418 million at end of 2024. That gives revenue visibility.
• They’ve won government contracts (DoD, Navy, DHS, etc.) and some commercial / global contracts.
Cash position
• They have a relatively strong cash balance, which gives them runway for growth, R&D, or acquisitions. For example, as of June 30, 2025, they had ~$390.8 million cash.
• That gives them capital to invest and absorb short-term revenue misses or slow periods.
Potential upside via favorable government spending
• If the U.S. government passes or increases defense / homeland security / AI spending bills, BigBear.ai stands to benefit. There is news that $170B to DHS, $150B to DoD in some proposed or supplemental funding could help companies like BigBear.
Also expanding internationally; the company is pushing into UAE etc., which helps diversify revenue sources.
New product / platform launches
• They have several platforms: ConductorOS, Shipyard.ai, Pangiam (biometrics), etc. With further commercialization these could drive to revenue growth.
• The technology side seems advancing; if they can make products sticky, that supports higher margins long-term.
To be fair, here are significant risks / negatives, which could also limit upside or lead to downside.
• Missed revenue & lowered guidance
• BigBear.ai recently reduced its 2025 revenue guidance: from previous $160-180 million down to $125-140 million. BigBear.ai+2Investopedia+2
• Q2 2025 revenue was ~$32.5M, down ~18% YoY. BigBear.ai
• Profitability problems / large losses
• Big net losses, because of non-cash items, derivative liabilities, goodwill impairment, etc. For example, a net loss of $228.6 million in Q2 2025.
They withdrew full EBITDA guidance recently, citing uncertainty.
Dependence on government contracts & risks in those
• The company’s revenue is significantly impacted by U.S. Army contracts, DHS, etc. When there are disruptions (e.g. government reorganizations, efficiency measures, modernizing data architecture), this can cause delays / cuts. That’s exactly what has happened recently.
• Government spending is political, cyclical, subject to regulation, budget constraints, etc.
• BigBear.ai is a high risk / high potential stock. It has many of the ingredients for a strong growth story: AI + defense / government exposure + large backlog + strong cash.
• But there are serious headwinds: revenue declines this year, guidance cuts, accounting restatements, dependence on a vol
If you are very bullish on AI, national security, and believe government contract spending will accelerate — and are comfortable with the risks — then BBAI could offer significant upside.
If you are very bullish on AI, national security, and believe government contract spending will accelerate — and are comfortable with the risks — then BBAI could offer significant upside.
BBAI Back To $9 or more.Big Bear AI is looking great and should be able to get back to $9 IMO.
BigBear.ai (BBAI) has several powerful catalysts backing a bullish thesis, including recent defense contracts, new AI deployments, expanding biometric partnerships, and increasing institutional ownership—all factors that signal substantial potential upside for the stock in the evolving AI sector.
Defense and Security Catalysts
BBAI recently announced a high-profile partnership with the U.S. Naval Forces at UNITAS 2025, deploying advanced AI and orchestration tools for maritime operations—positioning the company as a strategic asset in defense tech.
BigBear.ai’s collaboration with DEFCON AI further enhances its role in military logistics, while additional contracts across the U.S. and the UAE signal global expansion and diversified defense revenue streams.
These partnerships showcase BBAI's operational AI capabilities and may lead to future government and defense contract wins, a major growth vertical relative to most small-cap AI peers.
Real-World AI Deployments
BBAI has moved beyond speculative hype with real, revenue-generating businesses—its biometric veriScan technology is active in major airports like Nashville, streamlining customs, reducing congestion, and signaling a viable commercial pathway outside of defense.
Cargo security solutions with Narval Holding Corp in Panama and expansion in sports-related analytics (Washington Commanders partnership) demonstrate application diversity, with recurring revenues and growing brand presence.
Financials, Institutional Support, and Technical Strength
While Q2 revenues declined and losses widened, BBAI finished June with a record cash balance of $390.8M for future investments.
Updated guidance is for $125-140M in 2025 revenues, reflecting confidence in contract momentum and pipeline growth.
Major institutions, including Goldman Sachs, have recently added positions—GS increased its stake by 570%, now holding over 2 million shares, alongside Rhumbline Advisers, NewEdge Advisors, and ETFs. Total institutional ownership is over 7% of the float, indicating strong stakeholder confidence unlikely for most micro and small-cap AI names.
Technically, the stock trades above its 50- and 200-day moving averages, maintains bullish momentum, and saw a 14% breakout after defense announcements; volume trends are surging, with moves that mirror AI sector momentum leaders.
Unique Growth Profile in AI Sector
BBAI offers real-world, mission-driven AI solutions rather than speculative research, standing apart from many AI 'penny stocks.' Its expanding contract base and real deployments help justify re-rating potential from both AI sector excitement and actual revenue growth.
Because the U.S. and allied defense markets increasingly depend on AI, BBAI's "mission-ready" tech gives it first-mover advantages that could turn short-term volatility into substantial long-term rewards.
For risk-tolerant investors, the company's strategic pivot, cash position, institutional interest, and recurring revenue opportunities suggest a strong probability of market revaluation if contract flow and partnership growth continue.
BBAI is a compelling AI growth play with real contracts, strong defense sector exposure, expanding commercial applications, and increasing institutional support—ingredients for long-term bullish conviction despite short-term volatility.
NFA, DYOR.
BBAI - Bullish Daily TF - HarmonicsBBAI is currently exhibiting a bullish structure on the daily timeframe, supported by the completion of a harmonic pattern (XABC). With XABC legs already formed, the price action is now advancing towards the potential D point, suggesting further upside momentum.
Trade Parameters
Entry: 7.15 (CMP)
Stop Loss (SL): 4.62 (below C point / last lower high)
Take Profit (TP1): 8.81 (recent swing high)
Take Profit (TP2): 11.00 (AB=CD projection)
Take Profit (TP3): 12.20 (XABCD harmonic projection)
Technical Rationale
The harmonic pattern completion signals a potential bullish reversal/continuation phase.
Risk is managed with SL placed strategically below the C point, maintaining favorable R:R.
Profit targets are structured progressively—first at the recent trend high, followed by Fibonacci-based projections (AB=CD and XABCD completion).
Conclusion
This setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward opportunity for swing traders, with multiple target levels aligned with technical projections. Conservative traders may secure partial profits at TP1, while aggressive traders can trail stops to capture extended moves towards TP2 and TP3.
BBAI seems to have support on intermediate trendlineBigBearAI seems to have found support on the rising intermediate trendline, and the price is moving upward from there. However, the Kaufman Moving Average above is the key level to clear. If the price breaks through and closes above it today or tomorrow, we can expect the upward move to continue.
Ichimoku patternlooks like a prime time to scalp. First green is usually the biggest gamble but as long as you close above the cloud watch the next 2 candles very carefully.
if there are 3 green confirmed candles above the cloud then we are ready for a run, hold safely until exit sign shows
If there are no 3 consecutive green candles above the cloud, then scalp the trade as soon as possible
XABCD pattern playing out $12 targetBBAI is looking like it will play out the XABCD butterfly pattern if it continues to rally from the .382 of the pull back from previous $2.35 lows and 8.73 highs.
Breaking down and close below the $6.06 daily candle will potentially expose the previous consolidation POC at $3.87, which is a .75 pull back.
Using Fib time, I am expecting a $12 range around this year in December.
Will look to open a 7/12 bull call spread at Jan 2027 exp.
$BBAINYSE:BBAI had a very stong move so far. these levels are to watch not to trade. If we have any close above 8.62 levels with some risk management we can target previous ATH at 10.25 and next fibo level at and 12.47
BBAII to the Moon 🚀 BigBear.ai (BBAI) is heating up the charts! 📈 Dive into this gem from "thecryptoleo" (Sep 23, 2025, 08:58 UTC)! From a gritty $1.20 low in mid-2025, it’s soared to $6.05 today (+3.81%, 134M vol! 💥). The 4 EMAs (5.69, 5.35, 6.16, 4.72) and Madrid Ribbon flipping green 📊 scream bullish momentum! That upward trendline from the bottom? It’s eyeing $10+ by 2027—dream big! 🤞 The "buying more options" dip is a savvy play 🎯. AI hype and Fed rate cuts have juiced 275% YTD gains 🎉, but hold tight—Q2 revenue slipped 18% to $32.5M with widening losses 😬. High risk, high reward vibes—perfect for wave-riding traders! 🌊 Watch for resistance at $7.20-7.30! #BBAI #TradingView #AIStocks
2 green candles after cloud for BBAI = super bullishsomeone asked in one of my earlier posts what's the cloud?
the cloud is the big GREEN or RED function based on ichimoku trading.
I previously stated if there are 3 greens candles after the ticker crosses the cloud, we are in for a very strong positive uptrend that we should follow by increasing our stop losses to the 50MA. (or if you're super conservative the 21MA)
Super bullish outlook for me, if you were buying below the blue as I said, you're golden. but we can also skim short term trades if thats what you desire by buying inside the blue channel and selling at or above yellow. I am quite convinced we will be trading in this zone for the rest of the year into next.
I am ~1000 shares deep
BBAI - Analyse Update - Soon 8.50?Good Evening Everyone,
For this Weekend last one i would like to share is Analyse Update for BBAI - Big Bear AI
My previous analyse you can find it below:
It got the good support in 4.75 - 4.80 level and then gained approx %40 and get in the Trend channel again. Yellow path is from my previous analysis and red and green ones are new ones.
So First strategy to wait to pull back till 6.00 - 6.10 then from this level buy and sell in 8.50 which is approx %40 gain .
Second one , if it breaks to resistance level which is 7.05 - 7.10 and stay above from this level for 2 days then i would try to buy and target is same 8.50 which is approx %20 gain.
There is a potential to see 10.50 for me and i will watch BBAI tomorrow then i will decide what to do. For a long term i am planning to put some money on it as they are doing good things to provide long term success and next 2 - 3 years we can make good money on BBAI.
For short term you can watch the levels that i shared ;)
This is just my thinking and it is not invesment suggestion , please do not make any decision with my anaylsis.
Have a good start a Weekend to All.
$BBAI Weekend analysis - 21st September, 2025Textbook move last week - price broke out of the falling wedge, filled the gap between 5.99 - 7.03 (missed the top by just 9 cents), and kept momentum strong. I still expect upside to continue, though we might see some consolidation along the way.
Next resistance levels/targets I’m watching are 7.33 and 7.9–8.3 (previous S/R zone). For those eyeing a re-entry, a pullback into the 6.17–6.3 area looks solid - that’s where the daily 50 SMA and 4H 9 EMA line up.
BBAI (BigBear.ai Inc.) 1H TF Long Setup
BBAI printed a strong impulsive move back in June–July, rocketing from the $2.30s to highs of ~$8.70. This parabolic leg showed heavy momentum and FOMO-driven inflows. Since topping out in early July, the stock retraced deeply into a corrective descending channel, printing lower highs and lower lows, respecting a key downtrend resistance (dotted red).
Now, price just tagged a confluence demand zone:
Rising long-term trendline from April lows
A bullish engulfing candle just printed at demand, indicating smart money reaction and potential trend reversal. Price broke out of the falling wedge, hinting at the end of the correction.
BBAI is often grouped in with AI sympathy plays (alongside PLTR, C3.ai)
Any defense contracts or AI policy headlines can spark aggressive upside moves
Trend & Breakout Analysis
Downtrend broken (falling wedge breakout)
Currently retesting the breakout level
Bounce from the demand zone aligns with trendline and horizontal support
Key Zones
Demand Zone: $4.60–$4.80 (tested + bounce confirmed)
Supply Zone: $8.00–$8.70 (profit-taking zone / target)
📈 Trade Setup
Entry $5.13 (current breakout retest)
Stop Loss $4.65 (below demand zone + trendline)
Take Profit $8.70 (previous high + supply zone)
Risk/Reward 1:7.35
Capital Risk % Max 1–3% per trade
Trade Management Move SL to break-even at 1:1 RR (~$5.60)
Scale in on confirmation candles above $5.30 (to avoid fakeouts)
Scale out 50% near $7.00, rest near $8.50–$8.70
"The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." – Warren Buffett
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do your own research and only risk what you can afford to lose.
#BBAI #AIstocks #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrade #ElliottWave #SupplyAndDemand #TrendlineBounce #RiskManagement
BBAI - Time to add after a strong reboundNYSE:BBAI is coming back strong and is likely to see strong rally ahead after rebounding at US$5.00 psychological level. Stochastic has crossover near the oversold region and 23-period ROC has just turned positive. Ichimoku shows two out of three bullish crossover. Given the momentum, BBAI is likely to break through the gap resistance between 6.20-6.82. Target over the long-term is at 16.00
My long buy for BigBear AIMy long buy for BigBear AI.
BigBear.ai (BBAI) rose today largely due to a mix of speculative and fundamental factors.
Investors are also reacting positively to the company’s deployment of biometric passenger processing technology at major ports and its positioning to benefit from rising government and defense spending on AI solutions.
Although BigBear.ai’s recent financial results showed revenue declines and reduced guidance, today’s surge reflects strong market optimism about its future opportunities rather than immediate earnings strength.
My Buy View:
Entry: $6.3
Target TP: $9.5
Expected return: approx 50%
Mid to long-term holding: 3 months or more
BigBear.ai, Inc. (BBAI) Expands AI Defense SolutionsBigBear.ai, Inc. (BBAI) provides artificial intelligence-driven decision support solutions for government, defense, and commercial markets. Its technology helps organizations process complex data, improve forecasting, and optimize operations in real time. BigBear’s growth is fueled by rising demand for AI in national security, partnerships with U.S. defense agencies, and expanding applications of its platforms in commercial industries seeking smarter, data-driven insights.
On the chart, a confirmation bar with rising volume highlights bullish sentiment. The price has tested the corrective zone after moving off of the .618 Fibonacci level. A trailing stop can be placed just below this Fibonacci line using the Fibonacci snap tool, helping traders secure profits while leaving room for more upside potential.
Demand Zone Rejection vs. Trendline Breakout📚 Trading Education:
Demand Zone Rejection vs. Trendline Breakout Entries
In trading, where you enter makes a massive difference in your Risk-to-Reward (RR) ratio. Two common approaches:
🔹 Scenario 1: Entry at the Trendline Breakout
Wait for confirmation → price breaks the downtrend line.
Entry: $5.14
Stop Loss: $4.65 (below demand)
Risk: 0.49
Target: $8.74
Reward: 3.60
RR = ~1:7.3
✅ Higher probability (confirmation from breakout).
❌ Smaller RR because you’re entering later.
🔹 Scenario 2: Entry at the Demand Zone Rejection
Enter aggressively on the first demand zone bounce.
Entry: $4.85
Stop Loss: $4.65
Risk: 0.20
Target: $3.90 upside → $8.74
Reward: 3.90
RR = ~1:19.5
✅ Insane RR potential.
❌ Higher risk of fakeouts (price might pierce deeper before breakout).
The Takeaway
Breakout Entry = safer, confirmed, good RR (~1:7).
Demand Rejection Entry = aggressive, riskier, but monster RR (~1:19).
👉 The best traders scale in: small position at demand, add on breakout. That way you capture the high RR edge while also waiting for confirmation.
⚖️ Risk Management Rule
Always risk just 1–3% of account equity.
Huge RR setups don’t mean overleveraging — stick to risk discipline.
"Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble." – Warren Buffett
follow up to older BBAI postlook at that, we hit the bottom of the blue channel like i mentioned.
Like i said before thats that Cash Secured Puts line. Buy below or within the blue and sell in the yellow.
Not sure what else to tell yall. the proof is in the pudding
BBAI – Cup & Handle Breakout Potential | Watching the $6 Level
BigBear.ai (BBAI) is developing a **classic Cup & Handle formation** after months of consolidation and accumulation.
The stock is currently trading around **$5.3–5.4**, sitting right above its long-term ascending trendline, and approaching a critical resistance zone.
---
## 🔹 Technical Setup
- **Pattern:** Well-defined Cup & Handle, historically a bullish continuation pattern.
- **Support:** Trendline around **$5.0** has been tested multiple times and held.
- **Resistance / Breakout Zone:** **$5.8–6.0** → key level to watch.
- **Upside Targets:**
- 🎯 First target: **$6.8–7.0**
- 🎯 Secondary: **$7.5–8.0**
- 🎯 Extension: **$8.5–9.0** if momentum continues
- **Invalidation:** Breakdown below **$4.9** negates the setup.
---
## 🔹 Fundamental & Sentiment Context
- 💰 **Cash Position:** ~$390M cash on hand.
- 📦 **Backlog:** ~$380M in contracted revenue.
- 📉 **Challenge:** Q2 showed an **18% YoY revenue decline** and lowered FY2025 guidance ($125–140M vs. $160–180M). Profitability remains an issue.
- 📊 **Market Sentiment:** High short interest (~70M shares) → potential for a **short squeeze** if breakout confirms.
- 🛡️ **Competitive Landscape:** Palantir secured large contracts, but BBAI still has niche opportunities in AI/defense.
---
## 🔹 Trading Thesis
The setup is clear: **Cup & Handle nearing breakout**.
If BBAI **closes above $6.0 with strong volume**, probability for a continuation move toward **$7.5+** increases significantly.
Risk/reward looks attractive for swing traders, but discipline and risk management are critical.
---
## 📈 Conclusion
BBAI is approaching a **technical inflection point**.
A confirmed breakout could unlock strong upside momentum, fueled by technical structure, liquidity, and short interest dynamics.
However, fundamentals remain mixed → this is primarily a **technical swing setup** rather than a long-term investment thesis.
---
⚠️ **Disclaimer:** This idea is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Always conduct your own due diligence and manage risk accordingly.
BBAI falling wedge breakoutI usually dont like trading low priced stocks - barrier to entry is too low and weak hands cause noise. Technicals look good: falling wedge breakout with a dragonfly Doji candle (if youre a nerd), MACD trying to cross over, RSI and Williams lower indicators curling off lows. I would not go nuts deep to start. Target 5.90ish and gap fills at 6.74...
Overall, im cautious the market at these levels.
