TSLA Short1. May/June Inside Bar: Broke to the upside on September with no re-test of break.
a. Higher timeframes take longer for this to re-test.
b. I have found that 18 days is an average re-test, but this is not 100%.
2. Daily chart shows pullback, but its extremely important to understand that the weekly and monthly show bullish momentum.
3. I have started a TSLQ short position adding slowly, with TSLA shares targeting ATH's.
4. The target is for TSLA to move back into the 5% buffer, where I will start looking for a long position. The inside bar is usually re-tested. If bullish momentum is still there, which the weekly and monthly still show, then the 5% buffer and 25% quadrant are entry zones. However, if something changes, then 50% quadrant should be the target.
Happy trading!
TSLA trade ideas
Is this Tesla / Palantir fractal showing both will hit ATH soon?Fractals are a mathmatical anomaly, if you understand linear equations (and believe the market is "random"). All assets are doing the same patterns over and over, on all time frames. You just need to see it for what it is.
May the trends be with you.
Tesla's New Range. Hello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are revisiting Tesla (TSLA).
Last article we identified the Key seller before this big extension. Today I have identified the last key seller, and how you can capitalize.
Price has now entered into the Light Supply Zone , a place where sellers will try to slow things down.
It is likely that you will want to play TSLA at the Extremes. Strong Supply , and Strong Demand levels are going to give you the best chance at a stronger reaction. So if you are playing the short term, These two plays marked on the chart will be your best bet.
If the Strong Buyers hold at around 417, This will put a lot of pressure on that last strong seller at 461. A push through them should see you ATH's (not without a strong reaction from the Strong Supply first).
Missed out on the move and want to add TSLA to your long term?
Long Term
These Prices should match your conviction on TSLA:
Aggressive : 409 - 419.50 (Top of Demand, even better if you get into those strong buyers)
Value : 333-344
Extreme Value : 288-294 or the Conservative Trendline.
Expect big things from TSLA in the coming years. I would not be surprised to see TSLA reach over 1,000 again.
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
TESLA - Expected drop to 350 area following newswassup guys its Tommy here, its been a while i know.
With less time on my hands to scalp gold as i did, i have been looking at stocks and applying my skills in different areas like swing trading and investing short and long term.
Its easier on the mind for me as i can research in my own time and not a slave to the charts as i once was.
Tesla has faced some news today of the new model Y problems and falling of european sales, along with hitting major resistance, i think we can come down to lower prices.
I have shares in tesla that i will be selling at this price and leaving the majority in just in case.
Should we get the pull back to 350 i will buy again.
Hope you're all good out there my beloved gold gang! im coming back for you soon
Tommy <3
$TSLA: Sierpinski Fibs (RAW)Documenting in interactive the geometry of movements for research purposes to learn how future outcomes deviates in respect to angles from original measurements. Since the periods are vast, the corresponding price axis also spans large magnitudes. This uncovers the long-term confluence points and provides basic texture of systemic behavior.
You will ask yourself "how did he know Tesla would do that"?On July 29th I suggested Telsa would follow a predicatble path. Price action has unfolded as anicipated every step of the way.
After a long run up, on Oct 1st I suggested that Tesla had topped at my green T1 and would retrace into my red support zone and bonce.
Now that this has played out, the only question that remains is Tesla going lower into my red T1...or simply all time highs from here?
Either way, Tesla may be about to melt faces (few & small retracements). For the next 2-10 weeks Tesla may form a blow off top (*"IF" Telsa continues this pattern). This blow off, will be the end of this bull pattern that I have been following since the April lows. Once Tesla hits my next range ($570-980) I expect a huge dump. I will monitor price action closely, once Tesla is in this next range.
May the trends be with you.
TSLA TeslaToday’s session printed a dark candle with heavy pressure and big price action — not the best look from a candlestick perspective. The immediate support sits at the uptrend line near 433. If price can hold that level tomorrow, the uptrend remains intact. But if we get a decisive close below, expect a sharper drop. First downside target would be 405, and if that fails, we could see an extension toward 370–360, lining up with the previous lower uptrend line. Tomorrow’s price action at that 433 support is critical — watch it closely. follow me on X Enginv777
Shorted TSLA 319 Look at TSLA hit 50 day and 200 day MA and failed and know under them
Look at the lower highs and see the stoch heading down
Know lets look weekly stoch heading down and lower highs
Target is 100 day ma 294.22 take some off. When it breaks will add back on
Have trailing stop in place
TSLA Up 5.45% Amid Mixed Q3 Deliveries—Undervalued AI Play?TSLA – Financial Performance & SWOT Analysis
TSLA Up 5.45% Amid Mixed Q3 Deliveries—Undervalued AI Play?
(1/9)
Good Morning, folks! TSLA is climbing 🚀, at $ 453.25 up 12.24% YTD per October 07, 2025. Mixed deliveries shake up this EV stock play, let’s dive in! 📊🔥 Tag a friend who needs this investing hack!
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE
• Last week: $ 453.25, up 5.45% on deliveries 📈
• YTD 2025: up 12.24%, lagging S&P slightly 🔄
• Q3 2025: 497K deliveries, production 447K 🚀
This EV stock’s volatility? Delivery beats pop! 💥
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION
• Market Cap: $ 1.507T, global leader 🏆
• Avg Volume: 89.59M shares, high liquidity 💧
• Trend: forward P/E 172.41, undervalued per AI hype 👑
This asset’s dominance? Holding tight! 🔒
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS
• Q3 deliveries: 497K vehicles, record amid tax credit 💰
• Stock surge: +5.45% on report 🏭
• AI hype: Robotaxi event looms, institutional buys 📈
This EV stock’s momentum? Tech rally push! ⚡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS
• Mixed reports: production lags deliveries ⚠️
• Competition rising: EV market rivals 🆚
• Volatility: beta 2.09 swings 📉
This ticker’s exposure? Watch these twists! ⚠️🔄
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• AI integration (FSD/Robotaxi): growth driver 🌟
• EV leadership: market share 🤖
• Institutional interest: bullish sentiment 👥
This asset’s edge? Built tough! 💪
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: high P/E, delivery inconsistencies ⚖️
• Opportunities: EV recovery, AI expansion 🌍
Can this ticker beat the odds? 🎲 Reply with your take!
(8/9) – POLL TIME!
TSLA’s $ 453.25 surge—your vibe?
• Bullish: $500+ soon, AI beats 📈🚀
• Neutral: Steady, risks balanced ⚖️🛡️
• Bearish: $400 looms, demand dips 📉⚠️
Chime in below! 💬 Tag a friend for this poll!
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
TSLA’s $ 453.25 climb shows resilience 💪, AI fuels it ⚡. Risks bite 🦈, yet dips are DCA gold 💎. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust? See dcalpha.net for our algorithm edge, not advice, just our spin!
#TSLA #Investing #Markets #Trading #Finance #ETF #Commodities #DCA #Trends
Demystifying TSLA's Volatility into Gains**
TSLA is potentially undervalued as of October 07, 2025, at $ 453.25, up 12.24% YTD per Yahoo Finance. Mixed deliveries shape its path in the EV space.
**Financial Performance**
Price Movement: YTD at $ 453.25, up 12.24%. Broader period shows 5.45% gain amid tech rally. Q3 adds upside, with 497K deliveries.
Volume & Market Cap: Avg volume 89.59M shares. Market cap at $ 1.507T.
Key Metric: Forward P/E 172.41, beta 2.09.
**SWOT Analysis**
Strengths:
- EV market leadership.
- AI and Robotaxi integration.
- Institutional and bullish sentiment.
Weaknesses:
- Mixed delivery reports.
- High volatility.
- Production inconsistencies.
Opportunities:
- EV market recovery.
- AI hype and Robotaxi.
- Broader tech rally.
Threats:
- Competition in EV/AI.
- Tax credit expiration impact.
- Market cycles.
**TSLA vs. SPY: Key Comparisons**
| Aspect | TSLA | SPY |
|--------|------|-----|
| Purpose & Scope | EV and AI innovation focus | Broad market index tracking |
| Dynamics | Beta 2.09 volatility vs. lower 1.00 | Steady benchmark |
| Market Position | Up 12.24% YTD, undervalued hype vs. S&P gains | Stable exposure |
**Outlook & Risks**
TSLA’s $ 453.25 position shows AI edge, with delivery records. Competition looms, yet dip grabs turn volatility into gains. AI wins or EV recovery could sway it, but time’s our edge. Gem or fade? Depends on AI adoption.
Tesla - The massive triangle breakout!🪩Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
Last month, we witnessed an incredible but expected rally of about +35% on Tesla. Furthermore, with this move Tesla is attempting to break above the previous all time highs. After bullish confirmation, this would also lead to a massive triangle breakout.
📝Levels to watch:
$400
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Tesla: breakout mode, Elon’s rocket fuel for the chartTechnically , Tesla broke out of a symmetrical triangle while holding above EMA/MA supports, which confirms bullish control. The breakout unlocks targets at 368.46 (Fibo 1), followed by 411.38, 432.03, and the 1.618 extension at 464.30. Volume profile confirms strong accumulation below, leaving the upside path less crowded.
Fundamentally , Tesla keeps investor attention alive. EV sales stabilized, but the focus has shifted to AI and robotaxi — Musk’s latest promises of disruption. With Fed rates peaking and yields easing, growth stocks regain momentum. Risks remain from Chinese competitors, yet Tesla’s margins are still leading the industry.
Tactical plan : entry zone stands at 323–336. As long as price holds above it, buyers target 368.46 → 411.38 → 464.30. A break below 323 would flip the bias back toward 291.
Bottom line: Tesla’s chart looks ready for lift-off. Musk might be dreaming of Mars, but for now, bulls are happy if he just launches the stock a few hundred dollars higher.
Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Rises Ahead of Earnings ReportTesla (TSLA) Share Price Rises Ahead of Earnings Report
On 16 September, we noted signs of a strong market for Tesla (TSLA) shares, including:
→ The price remaining above the psychological level of $400;
→ Reaching the highest levels since late January.
We also identified an ascending channel and suggested that the long-term outlook remained optimistic, although a correction could not be ruled out.
Since then, TSLA shares have stabilised near the upper boundary of the channel, holding above the $400 level. On Friday, they were among the market leaders, rising by more than 4%. This brings the gain since the start of September to around +30%.
Why Are TSLA Shares Rising?
Key factors supporting a bullish outlook include:
→ Sentiment ahead of the quarterly Production and Deliveries report, expected this week. According to recent forecasts, actual figures could exceed expectations (although still showing a decline compared to the previous year).
→ Target price upgrades. Dan Ives of Wedbush, one of Tesla’s most prominent bulls, last week raised his target price to $600 — the highest on Wall Street — citing substantial potential in AI and robotaxi development.
→ The “Musk factor”: Discussions around Elon Musk stepping away from politics are seen as a long-term positive driver.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Shares
The ascending channel remains intact. However, the chart suggests that the upper boundary now acts as resistance — unsurprising given the exceptional gains in September (noting that TSLA’s price has doubled since its yearly low). A slowdown in momentum is signalled by a bearish divergence on the RSI indicator.
Resistance at the upper boundary is further reinforced by a strong bearish reversal from late 2024. A similar pattern was recently observed when the price struggled to break above the bearish reversal zone at $345–355, resulting in an extended sideways movement in August and early September.
By analogy, the $445–465 zone may also act as resistance — meaning a correction remains a plausible scenario. For example, TSLA stock price could pull back to test the psychological $400 level, which is supported by the median of the current channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TSLA At a Crossroads: Bounce or Breakdown for Oct 3? Intraday Technical Outlook (15m Chart)
Tesla (TSLA) saw a sharp selloff, sliding from the mid-$470s to close near $439.35. On the 15-minute chart, the structure is now hugging a descending support line:
* MACD: Still deep in bearish territory but showing early signs of momentum cooling as histogram bars lighten.
* Stoch RSI: Reset from extreme oversold levels, suggesting potential for a relief bounce.
* Key Levels: Immediate support rests around $435–432, with a breakdown exposing $425–420. On the upside, first resistance is $445, followed by a more critical level at $452.5.
Intraday takeaway: Short-term traders should watch if TSLA holds above $435. A sustained bounce can spark a retrace to $445–452, while failure risks another leg lower toward $425.
Options Sentiment & GEX Outlook (1H Chart)
The 1-hour GEX map paints a decisive risk zone for tomorrow’s trade:
* Gamma Walls:
* $452.5–460: Strong call resistance cluster, where sellers likely re-emerge.
* $439.5: Key gamma pivot — trading below this opens up bearish flows.
* $432 / $425 / $420: Heavy put walls acting as magnets if weakness persists.
* Implications:
* Holding above $439.5 can squeeze shorts toward $445–452.5, offering upside for quick calls.
* Losing $435 confirms dealer hedging pressure lower, opening room to $425–420, favoring puts.
* Volatility Context: IVR at 26.9 vs IVx avg 65.2 shows premiums are mid-range but still elevated. This means intraday traders may prefer spreads over outright calls/puts to balance risk/reward.
My Thoughts & Recommendation
For Oct 3 trading, Tesla is sitting right at a critical gamma pivot.
* Intraday (scalping/trading): Look for a bounce play off $435, with upside targets at $445–452 if momentum aligns. A breakdown below $432 favors continuation toward $425–420.
* Options trading (swing/0DTE): Call positions only make sense above $439.5, with tight stops and targets capped near $452. Put strategies (vertical spreads or debit puts) look stronger if price fails at $439.5 and rolls back toward $425.
Bias heading into Oct 3: Cautiously bearish unless $439.5 is reclaimed with volume.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk before trading.
Can $TSLA push to new highs?TSLA looks like it's still bullish as it retested this support level and is now pushing back above it.
I think it's possible that we see a large move, potentially up to the $600 levels, but I've marked off key resistances to the upside as well incase we stop before that.
Let's see how it plays out over the coming weeks.
TSLA Oct 7 – At the Edge of a Breakout! Bulls Eyeing $460+ Zone15-Min Chart Analysis (Intraday Trading Setup):
TSLA is riding a sharp ascending wedge structure after a strong rally from the $420s. Price is consolidating near $453.84, right beneath the upper channel line around $455–$456, hinting at a potential breakout or short-term exhaustion.
The MACD remains elevated but is losing histogram momentum — suggesting that while buyers are still in control, short-term strength is cooling. Stoch RSI near 25 shows a possible reset before the next leg higher, a classic pattern after a big push.
If TSLA maintains support above $446.60–$448.00, bulls should watch for continuation toward $454.91 → $460. However, a break below $436.70 would invalidate the bullish micro-structure, potentially sending price toward $430–$428 to retest liquidity.
The 15-min chart shows buyers defending dips aggressively — indicating that institutions are still supporting price action within this rising wedge.
1-Hour GEX Confirmation (Options Sentiment Insight):
The 1-hour GEX data strongly supports the bullish thesis:
* Highest positive NETGEX / CALL resistance sits near $450, which TSLA has already reclaimed — a bullish confirmation that gamma is now supportive, not suppressive.
* CALL walls cluster between $455–$465, forming the next target zone if momentum persists.
* PUT walls remain heavy around $410–$420, providing a sturdy gamma floor.
This configuration reflects a bullish gamma landscape, where dealer positioning favors upward drift as long as TSLA holds above $445. The $450 reclaim may act as a launchpad toward the $460 gamma pocket.
My Thoughts:
TSLA’s recovery from sub-$430 levels shows aggressive reaccumulation and gamma reinforcement from institutions. The near-term wedge consolidation is a healthy pause — not weakness. If buyers can break above $455 with conviction, the next run toward $460–$465 could unfold quickly.
However, caution remains if TSLA slips below $446, as that would reintroduce downside gamma pressure, likely driving a retest of $436–$430 before finding demand again.
Options Outlook (Oct 7–11):
* Bullish setup: Consider 455C or 460C (Oct 11 expiry) if price breaks and holds above $455 with rising volume.
* Bearish scalp: Buy 440P only if price fails at $454.91 and loses $446.60 structure support.
* IV note: IVR 30.5 with IVx 70.1 — volatility remains high, so option premiums are rich; ideal for momentum plays, not range trades.
Conclusion:
TSLA is coiled for a decisive move. The 15-min wedge suggests momentum compression, while the 1-hour GEX map shows strong support below $440 and bullish gamma flow above $450. A confirmed breakout above $455 opens room toward $460–$465, with potential to squeeze higher this week.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Hello trader, for tomorrow, TSLA: 453.25 10/07/2025 amBullish entry above 456.00/460.00 if the open is in this area. If the open is below 452.00, we can expect this to be the 440.00 area with a possible rebound, providing an upside opportunity. If the 440.00 level is lost, we can only enter bearishly below 436.00/432.00 (a possible downside target of 419.00) (a possible upside target of 488.54)
$TSLA - possible move pre product launchTSLA - Stock moving higher pre product launch tomorrow. Seeing multiple call buyer coming in as well. Stock is in a triangle pattern on the 4 hour time frame bouncing off bottom of the channel. Stock has top of the channel is at $470. bigger move about that level. Stock is decent at the indicator level.
TSLA: As planned...If it isn't obvious to us all by now why we're receiving "surprises", and major company updates after EV credit's are removed, and while sitting at the precipice of all time highs ... These announcements have been prepared long in advance and in anticipation of the EV tax credit's being removed. These "more affordable" vehicles are already in production... The prices are set... FSD v.14 will go mainstream.
This is all just another step towards supplying the roads with as many Tesla's as possible (whilst maintaining profitability on vehicle sales) to continue the ramp towards autonomy at scale.
Perhaps 10/7 is a sell the news event, but this news cycle is worth its shot to push past resistances and sell side pressure.
All I can say is that I am buying as much as I can in this range and definitely anything below the range.
These are my long term perspectives.
$TSLA to $5,000 #CathiesBack!!! #Bullflag #AlwaysHasBeenSome Bull #corn for the PermaBulls out there after this V recoVery on Indices...
Just some log scale mathematical measurements from one flagpole to the next...
#AnythingIsPossible if Physics allows... Tesla at 5k is simply tesla at 5Trillion valuation... once self driving fulfilled? Odds increasing with GPU/AI capabilities...
NASDAQ:NVDA should be a major green light for the next leg up in markets or rejection... definitely leaning bullish still after V , dips to be bought in this environment...