$AMAT...Chips are not finishedWhen the tariffs scares are over This stock will start to soar.
1) Inverse Head & Shoulders
2) Gap fill to 186.00
3) Just posted great earning and remain cautious during tariff talks and guidance dropped
keeping a close eye on this. When other chip stocks start to rise this will follow suit. I'd like to see it build support around this yellow block area.
AMAT trade ideas
Trading AMAT to $165Applied Materials has been playing the earnings beat game fine for the past two quarters, but the forecast for Q4 is a full stop on optimism. The demand slump in China and export license chaos has them guiding way below expectations. Pretty sure investors didn’t appreciate the plot twist—stock fell between 11% to 14% depending on the source.
Applied Materials ($AMAT) experienced a sharp decline Applied Materials ( NASDAQ:AMAT ) experienced a sharp decline of over 13% in the past 24 hours following an otherwise strong quarterly report.
The market reaction was driven by a weaker-than-expected forecast, which triggered heightened selling pressure and contributed to a significant decline this week.
From a technical standpoint, the $160 level is acting as a critical psychological and structural support zone, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
While there remains potential for further downside, I have initiated a buy position. Should the price continue to decline, I plan to add to my holdings using a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy.
As always, trade with caution.
I welcome your thoughts in the comments — and don’t forget to like and share for more market insights.
Applied Materials: Trendline Breakout?Applied Materials recently hit a nine-month high, and now it’s pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is June 27's weekly close of $183.21. The chip-equipment company has bounced above that level, which may suggest new support is in place.
Second is the series of lower highs since mid-July. AMAT began this week by jumping above that trendline. Could the move be viewed as a breakout?
Third, stochastics are rebounding from an oversold condition.
Fourth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained above the 21-day EMA. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) also had a “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA about two weeks ago. Those patterns may be consistent with bullish trends in the short and long terms.
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Applied Materials | AMAT | Long at $169.75Republican Ashley Moody recently dropped $200k-$500k on Applied Materials $NASDAQ:AMAT. The semiconductor boom may not be over...
Price-to-earnings: 21.68x (great in comparison to others...)
Debt-to-equity: 0.34x (low)
Cash flow: $10.4 billion (FY2024)
Insiders awarded options recently
Unless NASDAQ:NVDA brings the market down, NASDAQ:AMAT is in a personal buy zone at $169.75. While the price may dip in the near-term to the $140s, bullish until the semi boom dies...
Targets:
$195.00
$215.00
$240.00
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Applied Materials Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 050925Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 148/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Applied Materials (AMAT) Stock Analysis ReportApplied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) is a global leader in materials engineering solutions for semiconductor manufacturing. The company provides equipment, software, and services to help produce advanced chips used in various high-tech applications, including AI, 5G, and automotive industries. As a key player in the semiconductor equipment sector, AMAT competes with companies like ASML (ASML), KLA Corporation (KLAC), Lam Research (LRCX), Teradyne (TER), and Tokyo Electron.
Financial Performance Analysis
Profitability Metrics
Gross Margin:
47.46% (AMAT) vs. KLAC (61.19%), ASML (49.82%), Teradyne (54.83%)
Operating Margin:
28.95% (AMAT) vs. ASML (31.92%), KLAC (39.03%), Teradyne (19.46%)
AMAT maintains a strong gross margin but lags behind KLAC and ASML. However, its operating margin of 28.95% demonstrates effective cost control and efficient operations.
Return on Equity & Capital Efficiency
Return on Equity (ROE):
40.61% (AMAT) vs. KLAC (87.85%), ASML (48.19%), Teradyne (20.29%)
Cash-to-Debt Ratio: 1.43
While AMAT’s ROE is strong, KLAC significantly outperforms. AMAT’s cash-to-debt ratio of 1.43 suggests a manageable debt level, ensuring financial flexibility.
R&D Investment Efficiency
R&D-to-Revenue Ratio :
11.9% (AMAT) vs. ASML (13.95%), KLAC (13.06%)
A lower R&D-to-revenue ratio indicates AMAT is able to generate high revenue with relatively lower R&D spending, signaling operational efficiency and competitive advantages in innovation management. While ASML and KLAC invest more heavily, AMAT’s ability to maintain growth with a lower R&D ratio demonstrates strong execution.
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow Margin : 27.55%
With a free cash flow margin of 27.55%, AMAT generates solid cash, supporting dividends and buybacks.
Industry Outlook & Growth Potential
The semiconductor industry is poised for strong growth due to increasing demand for AI chips, high-performance computing, and electric vehicles. However, the U.S. government’s new tariffs on Chinese semiconductor-related imports may impact AMAT’s global sales, particularly if China retaliates.
Despite this, AMAT remains well-positioned due to:
Its strong presence in leading-edge chip manufacturing.
Expansion in AI-related semiconductor production.
High free cash flow generation, allowing for reinvestment and shareholder returns.
Risks & Challenges
Impact of U.S.-China Trade Tensions
New U.S. tariffs on semiconductor equipment could reduce AMAT’s revenue from Chinese customers. If China restricts access to key materials, AMAT may face supply chain disruptions.
Competitive Pressure
ASML dominates the lithography equipment market, while KLAC and Lam Research lead in process diagnostics and wafer fabrication. AMAT must continue innovating to defend its market position.
Semiconductor Industry Cyclicality
Downturns in semiconductor demand could hurt AMAT’s revenue, as seen in previous industry cycles.
Investment Outlook & Valuation
Current Price: $155.68
Intrinsic Value: $207.38 (Safety Margin 24.93%)
Earnings Yield: 4.91%
Dividend Yield: 0.81%
AMAT’s intrinsic value suggests the stock is undervalued by 24.93%, making it an attractive long-term investment.
Bullish Case
Strong profitability and efficiency despite lower R&D spending.
High cash flow generation supporting shareholder returns.
Undervalued stock with strong upside potential.
Bearish Case
U.S. tariffs could impact sales in China.
Competition from ASML, KLAC, and Lam Research remains intense.
Semiconductor demand cycles may cause short-term volatility.
Final Verdict: Buy, Hold, or Sell?
Given AMAT’s undervaluation, strong margins, and efficient R&D spending, the stock presents a Buy opportunity for long-term investors. However, geopolitical risks should be monitored closely.
Investment Strategy:
Accumulate AMAT on dips, targeting a price range of $190-$210 over the next 12-18 months.