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SPDR S&P 500 ETF TrustSPDR S&P 500 ETF TrustSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

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SPY trade ideas

SPY at a Critical Level! Key Trade Setups for Oct. 1 Market Structure (15m & 1h) SPY closed around 664.6, holding inside an ascending channel. Price made a strong push into the 666–667 zone before cooling off. On the 15m chart, MACD is rolling down and Stoch RSI is oversold, suggesting near-term weakness, but the 1h structure is still bullish as long as 658–660 trendline support holds. Support & Resistance Zones * Resistance: 667 → 668 (Gamma walls + overhead supply) * Support: 663–664, then 662, with stronger defense at 660–658 GEX / Options Sentiment * Highest positive GEX magnet: 665 * Call walls: 667–668 (heavy cluster, tough to crack) * Put walls: 662, 660 (strong downside lines) * Options flow still favors puts (63%), showing downside hedging is dominant. My Thoughts SPY is coiling in a tight pocket: * Bullish case: Holding 663–664 could bring another test into 667–668. A breakout over 668 with volume would open the door to 670+. * Bearish case: Losing 663 turns momentum back to sellers, targeting 662 → 660, with 658 trendline as last defense. Trade Setups for Oct. 1 * Bullish scalp: Long off 663–664 support, target 667–668, stop below 661.5. * Bearish scalp: Short rejection at 667–668, target 662–660, stop above 669. * Swing watch: Clear close above 668 → upside extension toward 670–672. SPY is pinned between 663–664 support and 667–668 resistance. Whichever side breaks first will likely define the day’s momentum. Bulls must reclaim and hold above 668 for continuation, while bears need a break under 663 to take control. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade safely and manage risk.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
2
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Oct 1, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Oct 1, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Jobs + factories double hit: ADP jobs and ISM Manufacturing kick off October with the labor + growth pulse. 📉 Q4 repositioning: Funds reset exposures after quarter-end — volatility risk elevated. 🛢️ Auto lens: Auto sales (TBA) add color on consumer durability. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:15 AM — ADP Employment (Sep) ⏰ 9:45 AM — S&P Final Manufacturing PMI (Sep) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Construction Spending (Aug) ⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — ISM Manufacturing (Sep) ⏰ TBA — Auto Sales (Sep) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #ADP #ISM #manufacturing #jobs #economy #Dollar #bonds #autos #megacaps
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Oct 14, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Oct 14, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Powell returns: The Fed Chair’s midday remarks anchor Tuesday — traders watch tone shifts after a light Columbus Day tape. 💬 Fed-heavy lineup: Bowman, Waller, and Collins fill out the day — policymaker divergence could move yields and risk assets. 📈 Small biz sentiment: NFIB optimism opens the day, giving early insight into Main Street labor and inflation pressures. ⚠️ Shutdown overhang: Broader data flow still limited — markets key off Fed speak and earnings momentum. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 6:00 AM — NFIB Small Business Optimism (Sept) ⏰ 8:45 AM — Michelle Bowman (Fed Gov) speech ⏰ 🚩 12:20 PM — Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech ⏰ 3:25 PM — Christopher Waller (Fed Gov) speech ⏰ 3:30 PM — Susan Collins (Boston Fed) speech ⚠️ Note: No high-tier macro data releases due to shutdown effects — Fed communication and earnings dominate the tape. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational / informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Powell #Fed #Waller #Bowman #Collins #NFIB #yields #bonds #shutdown #economy #megacaps
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Elliott Wave Forecast: SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)’s Path to Record PeaksThe Short-Term Elliott Wave analysis for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), starting from August 2, indicates an ongoing impulsive rally. From the August 2 low, the ETF surged in wave ((i)) to 647.04, followed by a dip in wave ((ii)) concluding at 634.92. The ETF then climbed in wave ((iii)) to 667.34. A corrective pullback in wave ((iv)) formed a zigzag Elliott Wave pattern. From the wave ((iii)) peak, wave (a) declined to 661.98, wave (b) rallied to 664.65, and wave (c) dropped to 654.42, completing wave ((iv)). The ETF has since resumed its upward trajectory in wave ((v)), exhibiting an impulsive structure with internal extensions. From the wave ((iv)) low, wave (i) reached 662.37, and a brief pullback in wave (ii) ended at 657.88. The ETF then nested higher, with wave i peaking at 665.8 and wave ii correcting to 660.93. Wave iii ascended to 670.74, followed by a wave iv pullback to 666.78. As long as the pivot low at 654.42 holds, the ETF should continue its upward momentum in the near term.
AMEX:SPY
by Elliottwave-Forecast
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Oct 2, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Oct 2, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Shutdown watch: Traders brace for possible delays in major data releases; only essential reports like jobless claims likely to print. 📉 Post-ADP/ISM digestion: Markets recalibrate after Wednesday’s jobs + factory data ahead of Friday’s 🚩 NFP. 💵 Fed chatter: Dallas Fed’s Logan adds to policy tone as markets parse shutdown + labor signals. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (weekly) (will publish even under shutdown) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Factory Orders (Aug) (at risk of delay if shutdown persists) ⏰ 10:30 AM — Fed Speaker: Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #joblessclaims #factoryorders #Fed #shutdown #bonds #Dollar #economy
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Waiting for the Stock Market to FallI’m expecting a decline in the stock market. Long positions are relevant only in the commodity sector — no stock longs! At the moment, I’m not entering any positions. I’m watching the market, monitoring major players (who, by the way, are closing their positions and moving into cash), and keeping an eye on the news flow. I believe that later this year or early next year, an opportunity to open a short position will appear. For now, I’m just observing. There have already been a few attempts to enter the market, but stop-losses got triggered. Thanks to stop-losses for existing — they prevent blowing up the account. Right now, there’s no rush. It’s all about waiting for the right trade. Meanwhile, I’m staying long in metals.
AMEX:SPYShort
by kventinka
4
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 30, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Tuesday, Sept 30, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Q3 closeout: Last trading day of September = quarter-end rebalancing flows in equities and bonds. 💵 Fed watch: Multiple Fed speakers across the day keep policy tone in focus. 💻 Mega-cap drift: NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:NVDA leadership remains sensitive to yields + growth data. 📊 Key Data & Events (ET) ⏰ 🚩 9:00 AM — S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (Jul, 20-city) ⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — JOLTS Job Openings (Aug) ⏰ 🚩 10:00 AM — Consumer Confidence (Sep, Conf. Board) ⏰ 9:45 AM — Chicago PMI (Sep) 🗣️ Fed Speakers: • 6:00 AM — Philip Jefferson (Fed Vice Chair) • 9:00 AM — Susan Collins (Boston Fed) • 1:30 PM — Austan Goolsbee (Chicago Fed) • 3:30 PM — Austan Goolsbee (Chicago Fed, TV appearance) ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only — not financial advice. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #Fed #Powell #JOLTS #ConsumerConfidence #CaseShiller #PMI #Dollar #bonds #megacaps
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao