Community discussions
We were informed since yesterday that if we go below 249 it is dangerous. MSTR major support level was 270 which was broken when we hit below 249 to 242.xx. This caused a major imbalance in the structure. (Example: Just like in a gangster movie when the great God father dies, everyone want to capitalize on that either by being the next Great God father or join the master candidate to make most profits.) This imbalance triggered a new truce between bulls and bears to try and push price down to 190 area including 244 / 220 informed yesterday. This would be possible if BTC kept falling which is in a middle stage, BTC seemingly was / is planned to be pushed down to 95, 82 or worse. However, when it stopped falling and started going up, the bears are waiting to see if we break BTC 105 & 108 strong bear areas to confirm reversal. Once a market structure / decision is made at whales level it is harder to change it instantly / easily. So if we break 105 / 108+ on BTC then the reversal maybe confirmed and Bulls maybe back in power. So now MSTR whales are waiting and watching before reversing the market structure to go back up. Once we break 277 - 270 resistance which was support before next challenge maybe 300+ & mid 330s before we become strong upward bullish again. This is all for now. All the best.
Disclaimer: Words of an amateur.
Applying that to the mNav. With a mNav = 1 means, there is no prospecting of the company leveraging on acquiring more BTC / share. Then purchasing BTC directly makes more sense.
If your thesis is that MSTR is able to increase its BTC / share ratio (with loans or other instruments) then make sense to hold MSTR.
On the other hand, having a big reserve of BTC could provide new streams of revenue, specially if they can be used as collaterals for loans. In that case just looking at mNav does not reflect that potential revenue opportunities.
I think thelogman raises some very interesting points about MSTR’s decisions, and asks solid questions that would be great to have answered. Nevertheless, Strategy is in a unique position to leverage its BTC reserves and its ability to continue accumulating Bitcoin, which could bring significant upside value for shareholders.

Bias: Bearish 📉
Entry Zone (Layered Thief Style):
Sell limit layers → 300, 290, 280, 270, 260
(you can extend your layers based on your personal plan or volatility levels) 🧩
Stop Loss: Thief SL @ 320 🛑
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending you to use only my SL.
It’s your own trading journey — make money, take money 💰 — always manage risk your way.
Target Zone:
Primary Target → 210 🏁
(Strong support + oversold zone + possible liquidity trap 🕳️ — perfect area to escape with profits)
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending you to set only my TP.
Be flexible, secure profits when market gives the chance — trade smart, trade your plan 🧠.
🔗 Correlated Assets to Watch
Stay alert — MSTR often moves in sync with BTC-related sentiment 🪙 since its corporate balance sheet is Bitcoin-heavy.
BTCUSD → Direct influence on MSTR price action
COIN → Exchange-based sentiment correlation
NVDA → Tech momentum gauge 🧠
QQQ / NDX → Overall NASDAQ risk appetite barometer
TSLA → Volatility reflection for broader tech traders
Watch how risk-off flows hit these tickers — they often confirm or accelerate MSTR’s direction.
