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TSLA trade ideas

TSLA path to 550/650 USD Breakout Still Pending🔥 What specifically drives TSLA into 550–650 📦 Deliveries + mix surprise If unit volumes beat whisper numbers and mix favors higher-trim/FSD attach, you get more gross profit per vehicle without needing price hikes. Watch the cadence of regional incentives and shipping vectors; strong NA/EU mix plus improving China utilization is the sweet spot. 🛠️ Margin stabilization → operating leverage Gross margin base effect + opex discipline = powerful flow-through. Even a 100–150 bps lift in auto GM, coupled with energy GM expanding as Megapack scales, can push operating margin into low-mid teens. That alone recodes the multiple market is willing to pay. 🔋 Energy storage stepping out of auto’s shadow Megapack/Powerwall growth with multi-GW backlogs turns “side business” into a credible second engine. As deployments and ASP/contract mix normalize, investors begin modeling $10–$15B annualized energy revenue with attractive GM — this is multiple-expanding because it looks more like infrastructure/software-tinted industrials than cyclical autos. 🤖 Autonomy & software monetization bridges Two things move the needle fast: (1) clear progress toward supervised autonomy at scale (drives FSD attach + ARPU), and (2) licensing (FSD stack, charging/NACS, drive units). Even modestly credible paid-miles/seat-based models (think $50–$150/month vehicles on fleet) transform valuation frameworks. 🦾 Optimus/robotics as a real option, not sci-fi The market doesn’t need commercial ubiquity — it needs line-of-sight to pilot deployments and unit economics where labor-substitute ROI < 3 years. A few high-credibility pilots (warehousing, simple assembly, logistics cells) can tack on optionality premium that pushes the multiple toward the top of the range. 💹 Options-market reflexivity Flows matter. Elevated call demand near ATH turns dealers short gamma, forcing delta hedging that lifts spot, which triggers more call buying → a familiar feedback loop. On breakouts, watch open interest skew to short-dated OTM calls, and put-call ratios compressing; these magnify upside in a tight float day. 🌍 Macro & liquidity If indices hold highs and the rate path doesn’t tighten financial conditions, growth duration gets rewarded. TSLA’s beta + story premium thrives in that regime. ________________________________________ 🧠 Outside-the-box accelerants 🛰️ “Software day” packaging A coordinated showcase that bundles FSD progress, energy software (fleet, VPP), service/insurance data, and Optimus pilots into a single capital-markets narrative could reframe TSLA as a platform. The Street responds to packaging; it compresses time-to-belief. 🤝 Third-party FSD/charging licensing headlines A single blue-chip OEM announcing software licensing + NACS deep integration reframes the competitive landscape. The equity market pays a software multiple for recurring seats. 🏗️ Capex signaling for next-gen platform without GM hit Announcing a modular, high-throughput manufacturing scheme (cell to structure, gigacasting tweaks, logistics compression) with proof that unit economics are accretive from ramp can flip skeptics who anchor to past ramp pain. ⚡ Grid-scale contracts + financing innovation If Tesla pairs utility-scale storage with project-level financing (think repeatable ABS-like channels for Megapack), you de-risk cash conversion cycles and unlock a new investor constituency (infrastructure/green income). That tightens the multiple. ________________________________________ 🏎️ Comparative playbook: RACE (Ferrari) & NVDA (NVIDIA) 👑 RACE — the scarcity & brand ROIC lens Ferrari’s premium multiple rests on scarcity, orderbook visibility, and brand pricing power. TSLA doesn’t have scarcity, but it can borrow the RACE lens via (a) limited-run, ultra-high-margin trims that anchor halo pricing, (b) waitlist-like energy backlogs that create visibility, and (c) bespoke software packages that mimic “personalization” margin. In bull phases, RACE trades as a luxury compounder rather than an automaker; TSLA can earn a slice of that premium when the energy + software story dominates. 🧮 NVDA — the flywheel & supply-constrained S-curve NVIDIA’s explosive run blended (1) clear demand > supply, (2) pricing power, (3) ecosystem lock-in. TSLA’s battery and compute stacks can echo that dynamic: limited 4680/cell supply + Megapack queues + proprietary autonomy data moat. The moment the market believes TSLA is supply-gated (not demand-gated) in energy/AI, it will award NVDA-like scarcity premia. Add toolchain stickiness (training data, fleet miles, Dojo/AI infra), and you get ecosystem multiples rather than auto multiples. 📊 What the comps teach for TSLA’s 550–650 zone • RACE lesson: visibility + pricing power boost the quality of earnings → higher P/E durability. • NVDA lesson: credible scarcity + platform control turbocharge EV/Sales and compress the market’s time-to-future state. • Translation for TSLA: blend of luxury-like quality (energy contracts + premium trims) and platform scarcity (cells/AI stack) → multiple rerate into our target band. ________________________________________ 🧾 Valuation outlook 🧮 Earnings path • Units up mid-teens % Y/Y; ASP stable to slightly higher on mix; energy + software up strongly. • Auto GM +100–150 bps; Energy GM expands on scale; opex +SMC disciplined → op margin 12–15%. • Share count glide modest. Forward EPS ≈ $9–$11. • Multiple: 50× (conservative growth premium) → $450–$550; 60× (software/autonomy visibility) → $540–$660. • Why the market pays up: visible recurring high-margin lines (FSD, energy software, services) + AI/robotics optionality. 📈 EV/Sales path • Forward revenue $130–$150B (auto + energy + software/services). • Assign blended EV/Sales 6.5–7.5× when energy/software dominate the debate. • Less net cash → equity value per share in $550–$650. • Check: At 7× on $140B = $980B EV; equity ≈ $1.0–$1.1T with cash, divided by diluted shares → mid-$500s to $600s. Momentum premium and flow can extend to upper bound. ________________________________________ 🧭 Technical roadmap & market-microstructure 🧱 Breakout mechanics A decisive weekly close above prior ATH with rising volume and a low-volume retest that holds converts resistance to a springboard. Expect a “open-drive → pause → trend” sequence: day 1 impulse, 2–5 sessions of rangebuilding, then trend resumption. 🧲 Volume shelves & AWVAPs Anchored VWAPs from the last major swing high and the post-washout low often act like magnets. Post-break, the ATH AVWAP becomes first support, then the $500 handle functions as the psychological pivot. Above there, $550/$590/$630 are classical measured-move/Fib projection waypoints; pullbacks should hold prior shelf highs. 🌀 Options & dealer positioning On a break, short-dated OTM calls populate 1–2% ladders; dealers short gamma chase price up via delta hedging. Expect intraday ramps near strikes (pin-and-pop behavior) and Friday accelerants if sentiment is euphoric. A steepening skew with heavy call open interest is your tell that supply is thin. ________________________________________ 🧨 Risks & invalidation 🚫 Failed retest below the breakout shelf (think: a fast round-trip under the $4-handle) downgrades the setup from “trend” to “blow-off.” 🧯 Margin or delivery disappointments (e.g., price-war resumption, regional softness) break the EPS/EV-Sales bridges. 🌪️ Macro shock (rates spike, liquidity drains) compresses long-duration multiples first; TSLA is high beta. 🔁 Flow reversal — if call-heavy positioning unwinds, gamma flips to a headwind and accelerates downside. ________________________________________ 💼 Trading & portfolio expressions for HNWI 🎯 Core + satellite Hold a core equity position to capture trend, add a satellite of calls for convexity. If chasing, consider call spreads (e.g., 1–3 month $500/$600 or $520/$650) to tame IV. 🛡️ Risk-managed parity Pair equity with a protective put slightly OTM or finance it with a put spread. Alternatively, collars (write covered calls above $650 to fund downside puts) if you’re guarding a large legacy stake. ⚙️ Momentum follow-through Use stop-ins above key levels for systematic adds, and stop-outs below retest lows to avoid round-trips. Size reduces into $590–$630 where target confluence lives; recycle risk into pullbacks. 💵 Liquidity & slippage Scale entries around liquid times (open/closing auctions). For size, work algos to avoid prints into obvious strikes where dealers can lean. ________________________________________ 🧾 Monitoring checklist 🔭 Delivery run-rate signals (regional registration proxies, shipping cadence). 🏭 Margin tells (bill of materials trends, promotions cadence, energy deployment updates). 🧠 Autonomy milestones (software releases, safety metrics, attach/ARPU hints). 🔌 Licensing/partnership beats (NACS depth, FSD/AI stack interest). 📊 Options dashboard (short-dated call OI ladders; put-call ratio shifts; gamma positioning). 🌡️ Macro regime (rates, liquidity, risk appetite). ________________________________________ ✅ Bottom line 🏁 The 550–650 tape is not a fairy tale — it’s a stacked-catalyst + rerate setup where energy/software/autonomy rise in the narrative mix, margins stabilize, and options-market reflexivity does the rest. Execute the breakout playbook, respect invalidation lines, and use convex expressions to lean into upside while protecting capital. esla (TSLA) — Breakout Playbook 🎯 Core Thesis • Insider conviction: Musk’s ~$1B buy. • Risk-on macro: equities at highs, liquidity supportive. • Options reflexivity: call-heavy flows can fuel upside. • ATH breakout (~$480–$490) = gateway to price discovery. ________________________________________ 🚀 Upside Drivers to $550–$650 • Deliveries & Mix: Surprise beat + higher trim/FSD attach. • Margins: GM stabilization + energy scaling → op margin 12–15%. • Energy: $10–15B rev potential with infra-like multiples. • Autonomy/Software: FSD attach, ARPU, licensing. • Optimus/Robotics: Pilot deployments → ROI < 3 yrs adds optionality. • Licensing Headlines: OEMs adopting NACS/FSD stack. • Capital Markets Narrative: Packaged “software + energy + robotics” story reframes Tesla as a platform. ________________________________________ 🏎️ Comparative Bull Run Lens • Ferrari (RACE): Scarcity, orderbook, luxury multiples. • NVIDIA (NVDA): Scarcity + ecosystem flywheel → EV/Sales premium. • Tesla Parallel: Blend of luxury quality (energy backlogs, halo trims) + AI scarcity (cells, fleet data, Dojo). ________________________________________ 📊 Valuation Bridges • EPS Path: $9–$11 EPS × 50–60× = $450–$660. • EV/Sales Path: $130–150B revenue × 6.5–7.5× = $550–$650. ________________________________________ 📈 Technical Roadmap • Breakout > $490 → retest holds → next legs: o $550 / $590 / $630 / stretch $650–$690. • Watch anchored VWAPs; ATH shelf flips to support. • Options chase accelerates above round strikes.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ProjectSyndicate
47
Tesla - Here we goooooo!🚗Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out: 🔎Analysis summary: Finally, after a consolidation of four years, Tesla is attempting another all time high breakout. With the bullish triangle coming to an end, bulls are dominating this stock. It just comes down to the next couple of months but a triangle breakout remains far more likely. 📝Levels to watch: $400 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
21
TESLA - Robotaxi will drive the price above 1000This is not a short-term trade as you know from me on FX, Crypto and Indices. This is buy and hold investment. I got already good bag of share and Im still adding without trying to time if perfectly, but now I think its time to buy bigger positions. Tesla is my 3rd biggest position after the Bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy). Many people see it only as an EV cars company, but it's not all what they do, just read bellow to see why I see a huge potential in this company. 📍Why Tesla is Considered a Top Investment Tesla stands out as a leading player in the EV market, with a strong brand and a history of delivering innovative products. In 2024, it produced about 459,000 vehicles and delivered over 495,000 in the fourth quarter alone, showcasing its ability to meet growing demand Tesla Fourth Quarter 2024 Production, Deliveries & Deployments. 💾Financially, Tesla reported $97,690 million in total revenue for 2024, with the automotive segment contributing $87,604 million and energy solutions adding $10,086 million Tesla, Inc. Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2024. This diversification into energy, alongside investments in autonomous driving, positions Tesla for long-term growth, making it attractive for investors seeking exposure to future trends in sustainability and technology. 📍What Tesla Does Beyond EV Cars Beyond EVs, Tesla is deeply involved in energy solutions: 📍Solar Products: Offers solar panels and solar roofs for clean energy generation. 📍Energy Storage: Provides Powerwall for homes and Megapack for large-scale projects, helping stabilize grids and manage energy costs. 📍Charging Infrastructure: Operates a network of Supercharger stations, increasingly open to other EVs. Services: Includes vehicle maintenance through service centers and body shops. 📍Robotaxi: Plans to launch a fully autonomous ride-hailing service in June 2025 in Austin, Texas, potentially opening new revenue streams Tesla's robotaxis by June? Musk turns to Texas for hands-off regulation. 📍Tesla Optimus: Developing a general-purpose robotic humanoid for tasks like household chores or industrial work, which could lead to new markets. This expansion into energy and services, along with unexpected ventures like Robotaxi and Tesla Optimus, enhances Tesla's role in the transition to sustainable energy and technology, offering benefits like grid stability and potential robotics applications. The growth in the energy segment, with a 67% increase from 2023 to 2024, highlights Tesla's expanding role in sustainability, potentially attracting investors focused on long-term trends. Additionally, Tesla's commitment to innovation, particularly in autonomous driving technology, is noteworthy. The company is developing features like Full Self-Driving (FSD), which could open new revenue streams, such as robotaxi services, enhancing its investment appeal. 🤔I think Optimus and Robotaxi will exceed rapidly exceed their EV cars revenue. Elon musk is predicing over 1000% growth in 5 years. Which would be way above $2900 without stocks splits. I m a bit conservative and I think we can go somewhere between 3 - 4 standard deviations. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Perfectly nailed bottom around 200 and our positions are now 50% in profit good luck David Perk ⚔
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by David_Perk
116
TESLA about to start a parabolic rally to $600.Exactly 3 months ago (June 06, see chart below) we called a bottom buy on Tesla (TSLA) right when it was trading at $284.70: The price followed this prediction precisely, got out of the Bull Flag and eyes now a new 4-month High above $368. This would be a break above the 4-month Ascending Triangle, a pattern we last saw during the stocks previous Bullish Leg in mid-end 2024. As you can see, that break-out delivered the Higher High test of Tesla's 3-year Channel Up at $488. At the same time we are about to form a 1D Golden Cross, which makes the bullish sentiment even stronger. As with our June 06, we still expect the price to reach $600 and price a new Higher High on the long-term Channel Up ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
3
Every counter has a sweet spot. Every counter has a sweet spot. The only question: are you trading it at the right time? Most traders obsess over what to trade, but few stop to ask when to trade it. Timing is the difference between a setup that compounds consistently… and one that bleeds capital. That’s exactly why I built thenexxtradealpha — Adaptive Opening Framework. It’s designed to identify the optimal timeframe for any counter, so you’re not second-guessing whether you should be looking at the 5-minute, 15-minute, or daily chart. The framework adapts to the counter itself — helping you trade in alignment with its natural rhythm, not against it. Because once you know the right time, you stop forcing trades… And start trading with precision.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by nexxtrade
2
$TSLA Financials: Q2 vs Q1🏛️ Research Notes A climb to even sub-ATH levels signals profound market irrationality, implying Tesla not only recovered its losses but has also reversed a widespread, likely permanent, client boycott across its key markets (US, EU, Canada). The closer examination of Q2 fundamentals ahead of the Q3 2025 release would be a great help. ⚖️ Q2 vs Q1 Revenue Decline : Revenue fell -12% YoY, automotive sales down -16% → confirms weakness in U.S., EU, and China. Gross Margins : Erosion continued as price cuts + BYD competition intensified. Operating Income : Dropped -42% YoY, reflecting higher expenses + lower leverage. Net Income : Down -16% YoY → analysts’ earnings downgrades justified. Cash Flow & Liquidity : Free cash flow fell, inventory buildup worsened liquidity strain. Balance Sheet : Inventory levels rising as deliveries lag production. Short-term : Bounce faces major resistance near supply zones — failure to break higher could trap late buyers. Mid-term: With Q2 confirming Q1 risks, the bull case weakens unless Q3 shows clear recovery in demand and margins. Long-term: Competitive pressures (BYD, Chinese EVs, European slump) + high CapEx needs keep pressure on liquidity and valuation. 🛟 What to Watch in Q3 Delivery Numbers : Any rebound in U.S., China, or Europe sales will be critical to reversing revenue decline. Margin Stabilization : If Tesla can offset price cuts with cost savings or improvement in production efficiency Cybertruck Performance : Demand recovery and reduced recall issues are needed to restore confidence in new models. Inventory Levels : Watch if inventory growth slows - otherwise more discounting and margin erosion likely. Cash Flow Trends : Improvement in operating cash flow would ease liquidity fears. CapEx & R&D : How much Tesla spends on batteries, autonomy, and AI vs. how much cash it burns will be closely watched. Institutional Sentiment : If big funds divest, rallies may keep fading at resistance. Tesla’s bounce still looks more like a retail-driven relief rally than the start of a sustainable reversal. Q2 earnings show deterioration across key financial metrics. In Q3, watch whether Tesla can stabilize sales, margins, and cash flow failure to do so keeps the path of least resistance to the downside.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by fract
2
TSLA: Mild Pullback but Uptrend Remains IntactHello everyone, Tesla’s share price (TSLA) slipped slightly today, closing at 416.66 USD, down 5.78 USD or 1.37% compared to the previous session’s high. After a strong rally earlier, the market is now watching closely to see whether Tesla can sustain its upward momentum or enter a deeper correction. The main driver of this dip has been profit-taking after the stock approached the 430 USD level, creating selling pressure. Alongside this, Tesla’s prior upward moves have left several Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), which may serve as support zones if price revisits them, helping traders identify potential entry levels. In addition, trading volume has picked up significantly in recent sessions, showing strong inflows and active participation from major investors. Looking ahead, despite the current mild pullback, Tesla shares are expected to extend their uptrend if they can hold above the 416 USD support. This is a crucial threshold—if it holds, price could revisit 430 USD and potentially move toward 440 USD in upcoming sessions. The reasoning lies in the sustained capital inflows, the supportive role of FVG zones, and the Ichimoku cloud structure, which continues to back the bullish trend as long as price stays above it. So, what’s your view? Will Tesla keep pushing higher toward 430–440 USD, or is a deeper retracement likely?
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EmmaChartist
5
TSLA Breakout Play: Time to Steal Some Profits?🚨 TESLA INC (TSLA) HEIST PLAN - BULLISH SWING/Day LAYUP! 🚨 Yo, Thief OG's! 🐱‍👤🤑 Time to swarm the TSLA vault. The blueprint is set for a major bullish score. Our intel says the cops (bears) are losing their grip. Let's get this money! 💰💸✨ 🎯 THE MASTER PLAN: BULLISH BREAKOUT (PENDING ORDERS) Based on the Thief Trading Style™ technical analysis, we're plotting a bullish heist on TSLA. We wait for the breakout confirmation, then we strike with precision using our layered entry strategy. Asset: TESLA INC (TSLA) Trade Type: Swing / Day Trade Bias: BULLISH ⬆️⚡ 📍 ENTRY: THE HEIST INITIATES (SET YOUR ALARMS! ⏰) Primary Entry: Breakout and close above $355.00 ⚡ THIEF'S LAYERED ENTRY STRATEGY: 🎯 Don't go all in at one price! We use multiple limit orders to layer into the position after the breakout confirms the move. This is how the pros (and thieves) do it! Layer 1: Breakout Entry @ $355.00 Layer 2: Pullback Entry @ $350.00 Layer 3: Pullback Entry @ $345.00 Layer 4: Pullback Entry @ $340.00 Layer 5: Pullback Entry @ $335.00 (You can add more layers based on your own capital and risk appetite, you savage!) 📌 IMPORTANT: SET A TRADINGVIEW ALARM at $355.00! This is your signal that the heist is a GO! Don't get caught sleeping. 🛌💤 🛑 STOP LOSS: THE ESCAPE ROUTE Thief SL for Breakout Entry: $320.00 ⚠️ HEAR ME, HEAR ME! Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's), adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk! I am not your financial advisor; I'm just the guy with the blueprint. 🗺️ Place your SL ONLY AFTER the breakout happens. Protect your capital at all costs! 🎯 TARGET: CASH OUT & VANISH Primary Target: $400.00 🚀 The police barricade is thick up there! 🚓🚧 Once the money is in the bag, don't get greedy! Escape with the stolen profits before they catch you! Note: Dear Thief OG's, I am not recommending you use only my TP. Take profits at your own risk and based on your own analysis. Secure the bag when YOU feel comfortable! 💼🔥 💎 THIEF'S FINAL WORDS: This is not a gamble; it's a calculated heist. Follow the plan, manage your risk, and let's eat! 🍽️ Hit the LIKE button if you're riding with us! ✅ BOOST this idea to empower the thief community! 💪❤️ Follow for more daily heist plans! 🎯 Stay sharp, stay profitable, and remember... in the market, be a thief, not a victim! 🐱‍💻🚀 NASDAQ:TSLA #TradingView #StockMarket #TradingPlan #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Investing #Bullish #TESLA #ThiefTradingStyle
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by The-Thief
5
You will ask yourself, "how did he know Tesla would do that"?On July 29th, I posted this chart suggesting that I anticipated a typical pattern to emerge. Things are going according to what I was expecting. Congratulations to everyone who has been making some gains here based on everthing that was discussed in the charts. The most important thing in my opinion is a trading strategy...and these strategies have made us incredible gains across the board. Only question remains, will Tesla hit my T2. What do you think? May the trends be with you.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Strangely-accurate
3
Tesla Short: Stop above $368, TP at $298In this video, I re-initiated the short idea for Tesla. Reason being that I observed that around $367-ish is an important price point (although I have no idea why). Also, the move up has been more corrective in nature (since I drew ABCDE). The move also resembles a rising wedge. In any case, the most important point in this idea is the stop loss which should be set above $368. The ultimate Take Profit Target for me is $298 with a short-term target of $344. Good Luck!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by yuchaosng
3
Tesla Pops on Musk’s $1 Trillion Bonus. Here’s How Insane It Is.The mother of all KPIs. Elon Musk has a new carrot dangling in front of him, and it’s not a Mars colony or a flamethrower. Tesla’s board is asking investors to approve a bonus so massive, so absurd, so galaxy-brained, that it makes past compensation packages look like pocket change. Ready? We’re talking about the potential for a $1 trillion payday if Musk manages to drag Tesla to an $8.5 trillion valuation. In ten years. That’s nearly eight times where it is today. So let’s unpack just how unhinged this deal really is, why Tesla stock popped on the news, and what it would take for Musk to collect. 🚀 The Trillion-Dollar Tease Tesla stock NASDAQ:TSLA climbed 3.6% Friday on the back of this announcement, not because anything happened then and there, but because something could happen ten years out. The board dropped the proposal in a securities filing, outlining that Musk could receive up to 423 million shares – worth over $1 trillion – if Tesla smashes through a series of market cap and operational milestones. In other words, the board is looking to lock Musk in and make sure he doesn’t get distracted by rocket launches, robot brains, or tweeting memes about NPCs at 2 a.m. 💰 What’s the Catch? The catch is that this isn’t free money. To claim the full $1 trillion, Musk has to lead Tesla into uncharted corporate territory: Boost Tesla’s market cap from $1 trillion to $8.5 trillion by 2035. That’s more than double Nvidia’s NASDAQ:NVDA current valuation ($4.2 trillion) and equal to the GDP of Japan, Germany, and the UK, combined. Deliver 12 million more EVs (as of this summer, Tesla has managed about 8 million in its entire history). Land 10 million autonomous driving subscriptions. Register and operate 1 million robotaxis (Not on the market right now). Sell 1 million AI robots (Not on the market right now). Increase adjusted earnings from $13 billion to $400 billion. That’s a 24x jump in profit. Next stop? Tesla’s earnings report ( Earnings Calendar for reference) in about a month from now. 🪄 The Board’s Spin Tesla Chair Robyn Denholm called the package “fundamental to Tesla becoming the most valuable company in history.” Translation: Elon, please. In a letter to shareholders, the board said the award “aligns extraordinary long-term shareholder value with incentives that will drive peak performance from our visionary leader.” Which is corporate-speak for: We know he’s mercurial, but this should keep him tethered for at least a decade. ⚡ The Stakes for Tesla Tesla’s stock reaction says investors are cautiously optimistic – emphasis on cautiously. Shares have been down nearly 30% since mid-December, plagued by slowing EV sales , rising competition, and Musk’s very public political feuds (including an ongoing rift with President Trump that’s cost Tesla federal EV incentives). To make matters trickier, Tesla’s brand halo isn’t as shiny as it used to be. EV rivals like BYD, Rivian, Hyundai, and Mercedes are cutting into Tesla’s dominance, while price cuts have compressed margins. Analysts expect Tesla to deliver 1.6 million vehicles this year, down from last year’s totals. On top of that, revenue continues to slide, lower by 12% in the last quarter , indicating a shrinking business. So why the big gamble? Because if this plan works, Tesla wouldn’t just catch up – it would become the undisputed king of EVs, autonomous driving, AI robotics, and energy storage. In other words, a full-blown tech empire. 💰 Musk’s 25% Solution Part of Musk’s motivation here isn’t just about the money – though a trillion-dollar payday to one person is actually insane. Musk has repeatedly said he wants at least 25% voting control over Tesla to feel “comfortable” keeping his focus there. Under the proposed plan, if Musk hits every target, his stake in Tesla would rise to 25% from his current holdings of 12%, giving him outsized influence over its future direction. That means if Tesla’s valuation is at $8.5 trillion, he’d be holding shares worth $2.12 trillion. But if he misses? He gets nothing. Zero. It’s a high-wire act for both Musk and shareholders: reward him with historic wealth if he delivers, but don’t overpay if he falls short. 🤖 Robotaxis, Humanoids, and AI Dreams A key piece of this plan hinges on Musk’s boldest vision yet: turning Tesla into an autonomous AI platform. Forget just cars – think fleets of robotaxis generating recurring subscription revenue and Optimus humanoid robots replacing repetitive labor in warehouses, factories, and maybe even households. If this strategy pays off, Tesla won’t just be an automaker – it’ll be an AI-powered infrastructure company. But right now, that future is priced into a present that still depends on selling Model Ys and Cybertrucks. 🔍 The Market’s Split Personality Wall Street’s reaction has been mixed, and here’s why: The bulls argue that Tesla has the innovation engine, the brand, and, yes, the Musk factor to make the impossible happen. They point to SpaceX’s reusable rockets and Nvidia’s AI dominance as proof that moonshots sometimes land. The bears see the trillion-dollar pay package as monopoly money that’ll never be real. Between slowing EV demand, Tesla’s underwhelming Q2 deliveries, and Musk’s penchant for side quests, they’re skeptical Tesla can hit even half of these KPIs. 🏁 The Bottom Line Tesla’s proposed Musk mega-package is nothing short of audacious. It’s an all-in bet on: Explosive growth in EVs and autonomous driving Turning Tesla into an AI + robotics powerhouse Keeping Musk’s focus locked on Tesla instead of Mars, memes, or political campaigns Is the plan bold? Absolutely. Is it risky? Without a doubt. Off to you : Do you believe Musk deserves the “One-Trillion-Dollar Man” (or $2T) title? Or is all that a desperate move to keep him around? Share your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingView
26
You will ask yourself, "how did he know Tesla would do that"?I wrote this on my July 29th chart description (below): "Price action really has less to do with the news making Elon a hero, then a villain and then back and forth...but moreso to do with price action patterns that just keep repeating". Since then, the pattern has played out exactly as anticipated, and my 1st take profit target just hit (+22%). July 29th chart: Now the question remains, will Telsa hit my next target range (T2). Although it is a much larger range than my T1, I will monitor price action closely and use TA to get out near the top before the next major retracement. Let me know if you're into Tesla and if you are interested in me charting the top of this run. May the trends be with you.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Strangely-accurate
2
Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Rises Above $400Tesla (TSLA) Stock Price Rises Above $400 As the chart shows, Tesla (TSLA) stocks are displaying strong market momentum. In particular, the price: → is above the psychological level of $400; → has reached its highest levels since late January; → has gained around 25% since the beginning of September. Why Is TSLA Rising? The main news driving the price surge was a media report that Elon Musk had purchased $1 billion worth of Tesla stock. The market interpreted this as commitment and confidence in the company’s future from its founder, which sharply increased demand for the shares. Other factors contributing to TSLA’s rise include: → Expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut to stimulate the economy. This makes growth stocks such as Tesla more attractive to investors. → Reduced tensions between Elon Musk and President Trump’s administration. This removes some of the political risks that had weighed on the stock. Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock In our August analysis of the TSLA chart, we: → noted that the price had broken through the upper boundary of a broad contracting triangle with its axis around $317; → suggested that a correction might follow after the rally in early August. Since then: → the price made a minor pullback before reversing upwards (as shown by the arrow); → the bullish trend resumed, providing anchor points to construct a rising (blue) channel. Thus, the chart confirms: → a shift in sentiment in favour of buyers; → an improving fundamental backdrop (as highlighted in the news) and growth prospects linked to robotaxis and other innovations. From a bullish perspective, the breakout of $355 followed by accelerated growth points to strong demand. From a bearish perspective: → the RSI indicator has spiked into overbought territory; → the price is near the upper boundary of the rising channel; → the seven-month high could prompt profit-taking by investors – already reflected in yesterday’s pullback. Taking this into account, we could assume that while the long-term outlook remains optimistic, a correction is possible, for example: → towards the 50% retracement level of the A→B impulse; → into the price expansion zone (a bullish imbalance signal, as described by the Fair Value Gap pattern in the Smart Money Concept methodology). This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
1
TSLATechnical Analysis (Weekly Chart – TSLA, NASDAQ): Current Price: $395.94 (+12.85% in the latest session), showing strong bullish momentum. Support Zone (Buy Area): The chart highlights an attractive buying range between $300–330, where multiple moving averages converge, acting as dynamic support. Stop-Loss: Placed at $200, which sits well below the long-term trendline and previous key support. This ensures risk control in case of a major reversal. Target Zone: The bullish projection is toward the $608–650 area, aligning with previous resistance levels and a strong supply zone from 2021–2022. Trend & Structure: The stock recently broke out of a consolidation pattern (A–B–C–D) with strength, supported by high volume and upward momentum. Long-term moving averages (200-week shown in black) are flattening and turning up, signaling a potential multi-year bullish reversal. If price sustains above $330, the bullish scenario remains valid with the probability of continuation toward $600+. Outlook: Short-term: Possible minor retracement to $330–350 before resuming the uptrend. Medium- to Long-term: Bullish trend continuation toward $608–650. Risk: A breakdown below $300 would weaken the bullish case, and a fall under $200 would invalidate it completely. 📌 Summary: Tesla shows a strong bullish setup on the weekly chart. Entry zone is $300–330 with stop-loss at $200. The first major target is $608–650, offering an excellent risk–reward ratio for long-term investors.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by IbrahimTarek
1
Tesla's $395.94 Price: Bullish Cup-and-Handle Setup Suggests Bre Current Price: $395.94 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $410.00 - T2 = $430.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $385.00 - S2 = $375.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The cup-and-handle formation in Tesla's price chart has generated considerable attention among seasoned investors, who generally consider it a strong bullish continuation pattern. This consensus suggests that Tesla's stock has robust momentum approaching critical breakout points. Observing key support levels while aligning with price trends is the cornerstone of this thesis. **Key Insights:** Tesla has been trading within a consolidative range over recent weeks, forming a bullish cup-and-handle chart pattern. The "handle" phase, indicative of a slight correction or pause after the cup-like curve, suggests that investor sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, waiting for key resistance levels to break. The $400 psychological barrier acts as interim resistance, but once breached, technical indicators point to the possibility of upward momentum extending toward $410 and beyond. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) remains below overheated levels, indicating room for further bullish movement. Volume-weighted price action reinforces Tesla's resilience, as buyers appear to regain control after each minor dip. Furthermore, institutional traders have indicated increasing interest around this asset, implying confidence in Tesla’s long-term trajectory. **Recent Performance:** Tesla’s price has climbed steadily over the past month, rebounding from a low of $365 and rallying toward the current price of $395.94. The stock has exhibited an impressive ability to recuperate losses following volatility spurred by macroeconomic developments. Despite temporary periods of nervous selling, Tesla has surpassed its 50-day moving average with signs of continued strength. This movement has been aided by lower-than-expected inflation data, which fuels broader equity market optimism. **Expert Analysis:** Technical analysts have underscored Tesla’s structural integrity, specifically pointing at the cup-and-handle pattern as a textbook bullish configuration. Experts note that a sustained close above $400 could trigger aggressive buying interest from trend-following traders. Meanwhile, fundamental investors remain focused on Tesla’s growth prospects in EV battery technology and autonomous driving innovations, which support the company’s narrative as a potential market disruptor. On the technical front, Tesla’s MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator has started to turn positive, supporting upward price action. **News Impact:** Tesla recently announced advancements in its full self-driving (FSD) software and increased its footprint in international markets. These developments have sparked optimism among investors, particularly as governments worldwide tighten regulations on emissions and favor green technology initiatives. Moreover, reports of Tesla’s cost-cutting measures in battery production have strengthened its competitive advantage within the EV market. These factors provide a compelling narrative for bulls seeking to capitalize on its technological edge and market dominance. **Trading Recommendation:** Given Tesla’s bullish technical setup and fundamental resilience, initiating a LONG position at the current price of $395.94 is recommended. Targeting $410 and $430 ensures alignment with major resistance points, while employing stop levels at $385 and $375 protects against market retracements. Combining price action analysis with Tesla’s growing market visibility supports this trading recommendation. Traders should monitor volume levels closely for confirmation of a breakout beyond key psychological resistance zones. Do you want to save hours every week?
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
1