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United Parcel Service, Inc.United Parcel Service, Inc.United Parcel Service, Inc.

United Parcel Service, Inc.

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UPS trade ideas

$UPS Announced Plans to Cut 12,000 Jobs In a strategic move responding to disappointing annual revenue forecasts and the evolving landscape of the logistics industry, United Parcel Service ( NYSE:UPS ) recently announced plans to cut 12,000 jobs and explore options for its Coyote truckload freight brokerage business. The decision comes as UPS grapples with weaker-than-expected demand in the e-commerce sector and a shifting market dynamic. Earnings Result The courier giant, often considered a bellwether for the U.S. economy, reported a 6.9% decline in international revenue and a 7.3% dip in domestic revenue for the fourth quarter. These two segments, which constitute a significant portion of UPS's revenue, have seen continuous declines for the past several quarters. The company's struggles reflect broader challenges in the industry, with customers increasingly favoring ground-based delivery over more expensive air-based services. CEO Carol Tome addressed the company's outlook, noting that the small package market in the U.S. (excluding Amazon) is expected to grow by less than 1%. This, coupled with customers shifting to ground-based services, has put immense pressure on both UPS and its competitor, FedEx. The fourth-quarter revenue of $24.9 billion fell short of analysts' estimates of $25.43 billion, marking a 6.9% decline from the previous year. Adjusted profit also saw a significant drop, falling to $2.47 per share from $3.62 a year earlier. However, this figure slightly surpassed analysts' estimates of $2.46 per share. The company's struggle is further exacerbated by labor contract-related costs, expected to be approximately $500 million more than initially estimated in the second half of 2023. The recently negotiated labor deal, effective from August 1, is anticipated to impact the company's profitability in the first half of 2024 due to increased wage costs. NYSE:UPS is now eyeing a future marked by efficiency improvements and a shift towards higher-profit deliveries, such as medical supplies. The company is determined to recover business lost during contentious union talks last summer and combat the impact of changing consumer behavior, including increased in-store holiday shopping and reduced buying power due to inflation. Challenges As NYSE:UPS faces headwinds in the air freight sector, it has reduced flights in response to slack demand, particularly from China. The recent disruptions in shipping routes, such as those caused by Houthi rebel attacks in the Suez Canal and a drought restricting ship movements in the Panama Canal, pose uncertainties about potential shifts in business towards air cargo. Future Outlook Looking ahead, NYSE:UPS CEO Carol Tome plans to outline long-term goals in an investor meeting scheduled for March. The company's 2024 revenue forecast of $92 billion to $94.5 billion falls below analysts' expectations of $95.57 billion, reflecting the challenges and uncertainties that lie ahead. Conclusion NYSE:UPS finds itself at a critical juncture, navigating a complex web of challenges ranging from shifting market dynamics and weaker demand to labor cost pressures. As the company charts its course for the future, stakeholders will be closely watching the strategic decisions and innovations that will shape NYSE:UPS 's trajectory in the ever-evolving logistics landscape.
NYSE:UPS
by DEXWireNews
$UPS Fibonacci Support LevelsTo determine Fibonacci retracement levels: Identify the Recent Range: You need to identify the most recent significant peak and trough on the stock's chart. Draw the Levels: Using those two points, you draw horizontal lines to indicate where potential support and resistance levels should be. These are based on key ratios identified by Fibonacci which are: 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%. Analysis: Once these levels are identified, they can be used to identify potential support levels where the stock might find "floor" prices and rebound, or potential resistance levels where the stock might start to face selling pressure.
NYSE:UPS
by AlgoTradeAlert
UPS ready for a 20% moveUnited Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) having previously closed below key support, showing potential weakness. However, there is significant support below present price levels. Holding above secondary support, (UPS) is susceptible to recovery over the months ahead. A weekly settlement above near-term resistance would place (UPS) in a buy signal where gains of 20% would be expected over the next 3 - 5 months. Inversely, closing below support would elicit a sell signal where losses of 20% would be expected over the same time horizon.
NYSE:UPS
by SpecialeAnalysis
UPS has some, uh, GAPSI was looking into UPS as a possible investment, and wanted to get a price, but after looking at the chart, I'm not sure it's worth it. There seems to be a lot of potential downside, including a pretty sizeable gap around $120. With almost everyone telling me the market is going to crash, I'm thinking we won't see it crash just yet, which does allow for some return in UPS's price to around $223-$225. The question, does it bounce there or keep going? I'm not sure, which is why I'll wait for confirmation of price action, but it's looking like UPS needs to cool off a bit. The move to $108 would be around a 45%-50% drop, which really isn't out of the question as it brings us back to pre-covid levels, when the shipping craze started. Thoughts?
NYSE:UPSShort
by nicktussing77
1
Down Weeks Ahead for UPSWeekly chart of UPS UPS in the third impulse wave of its Corrective Wave (red coloured wave). However, we are only half-way into the third impulse corrective wave. UPS had a support at 155 level, which it lost yesterday. UPS is below 50 and 200 SMAs. During the third impulse wave of the Motive Wave (green coloured wave), UPS made a large gap from 125 to 135. There is a support just below this region. That's where UPS is likely to stop its current downtrend.
NYSE:UPSShort
by RS3175
UPS Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 091323 Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 162/61.80% Chart time frame : C A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress : B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) Hit the bottom D) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provide these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NYSE:UPS
by fibonacci6180
What's happening with UPS? AnalysisLabor Relations and Employee Concerns: A recent article by UPS employee and bargaining committee member, Jill Dunson in Newsweek, discusses the UPS contract. Many workers have issues with the contract, specifically over starting wages, wage hikes, working conditions, and pension contributions. UPS has settled with the International Brotherhood of Teamsters, representing approximately 330,000 workers. Some part-time employees have expressed discontent with the new agreement. Steps have been taken by UPS to prevent strike effects, which includes training non-union delivery personnel. By January 2024, UPS plans to implement better working conditions by equipping delivery vehicles with air conditioning and other safety features. Amazon's Impact on UPS and FedEx: Amazon is restarting a third-party logistics effort, causing nervousness among investors in logistics stocks. Amazon plans to roll out more than 300 electric delivery vehicles in Germany and aims to have 100,000 on the road globally by 2030. Amazon's logistics program poses competition for UPS and FedEx, leading to a decline in their shares. Some analysts suggest that Amazon could become a shipping giant by acquiring FedEx. Increased shipping rates imposed by UPS and FedEx have caused concern, and Amazon may believe it can perform more efficiently or less expensively. FedEx CEO, Raj Subramaniam, believes that Amazon's attempt to compete directly will be difficult. Price action: UPS stock price is hovering near the support range of $165 and showed a breakdown of the rising wedge pattern. The stock is trading in a narrow congestion range due to negative sentiment from mixed Q2 earnings results. Multiple bearish patterns have formed, with the stock slipping below the 38.2% Fib level and lower Bollinger band. The RSI is in the oversold region, showing bearish divergence. The MACD indicator formed a bearish crossover and red bars on the Histogram. The stock closed below the trendline of $170, and support levels are at $160 and $150, while resistance levels are at $180 and $190. Analysts maintain a neutral rating with a yearly target price of $191.54.
NYSE:UPSLong
by HayeTrading