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Lemon Tree Hotels Ltd.

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LEMONTREE trade ideas

LEMON TREELEMON TREE Trade Plan (MTF & ITF Analysis) 1. Multi-Timeframe (MTF) & Intermediate-Timeframe (ITF) Analysis Timeframe Trend Demand Zone Proximal Distal Avg Support Yearly UP Yearly Demand (Rally-Rally) 127 113 120 Half-Yearly UP 6M Demand (Rally-Rally) 127 113 120 Quarterly UP Qtrly Demand (DMIP) 148 121 135 Monthly UP Monthly Demand (Support) 161 137 149 Weekly UP Weekly Demand (DMIP) 149 141 145 Daily UP Daily Demand (DMIP) 158 141 150 ITF 240M / 180M / 60M UP Demand (DMIP) 149 141 145 👉 HTF Average Support: 125 👉 MTF Average Support: 148 👉 ITF Average Support: 145 2. Trade Setup Entry: 149 Stop Loss (SL): 141 Target: 190 Risk (per share): 8 Reward (per share): 41 Risk-Reward (RR): ~5.12 3. Position Sizing & Risk Planned Qty: 20,000 shares Total Buy Value: ₹2,980,000 Capital Required (40% MTF basis): ₹1,192,000 Potential Loss (if SL hit): ₹160,000 Potential Profit (if Target hit): ₹820,000 Brokerage & Taxes (0.49%): ₹14,607 Net Profit after charges: ₹805,393 Net RR: ~4.61 4. ROI Calculation Trade Duration Assumption: 4 months Capital Deployed (MTF): ₹1,788,000 Interest Cost (9.69% p.a.): ₹56,961 Net Profit after Interest: ₹748,431 Real ROI (in 4 months): 63% ✅ Summary: LEMON TREE is showing a clear bullish structure across HTF, MTF, and ITF with strong demand clustering between 141–149. Entry at 149 is well-aligned with demand, and the SL at 141 is tightly placed below demand zone. Target at 190 provides 5:1 risk-reward and a 63% ROI in 4 months after costs.
NSE:LEMONTREELong
by pradyammm
Amazing breakout on WEEKLY Timeframe - LEMONTREECheckout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe, macroscopically seen in Daily timeframe. Having a great favor that the stock might be bullish expecting a staggering returns of minimum 25% TGT. IMPORTANT BREAKOUT LEVELS ARE ALWAYS RESPECTED! NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!! #No complicated chart patterns #No big big indicators #No Excel sheet or number magics TRADE IDEA: WAIT FOR THE STOCK TO BREAKOUT IN WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ABOVE THIS LEVEL. Checkout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe. Breakouts happening in longer timeframe is way more powerful than the breakouts seen in Daily timeframe. You can blindly invest once the weekly candle closes above the breakout line and stay invested forever. Also these stocks breakouts are lifelong predictions, it means technically these breakouts happen giving more returns in the longer runs. Hence, even when the scrip makes a loss of 10% / 20% / 30% / 50%, the stock will regain and turn around. Once they again enter the same breakout level, they will flyyyyyyyyyyyy like a ROCKET if held in the portfolio in the longer run. Time makes money, GREEDY & EGO will not make money. Also, magically these breakouts tend to prove that the companies turn around and fundamentally becoming strong. Also the magic happens when more diversification is done in various sectors under various scripts with equal money invested in each N500 scripts. The real deal is when to purchase and where to purchase the stock. That is where Breakout study comes into play. Check this stock which has made an all time low and high chances that it makes a "V" shaped recovery. > Taking support at last years support or breakout level > High chances that it reverses from this point. > Volume dried up badly in last few months / days. > Very high suspicion based analysis and not based on chart patterns / candle patterns deeply. > VALUABLE STOCK AVAILABLE AT A DISCOUNTED PRICE > OPPURTUNITY TO ACCUMULATE ADEQUATE QUANTITY > MARKET AFTER A CORRECTION / PANIC FALL TO MAKE GOOD INVESTMENT DISCLAIMER : This is just for educational purpose. This type of analysis is equivalent to catching a falling knife. If you are a warrior, you throw all the knives back else you will be sorrow if it hits SL. Make sure to do your analysis well. This type of analysis only suits high risks investor and whose is willing to throw all the knives above irrespective of any sectoral rotation. BE VERY CAUTIOUS AS IT IS EXTREME BOTTOM FISHING. HOWEVER, THIS IS HOW MULTIBAGGERS ARE CAUGHT ! STOCK IS AT RIGHT PE / RIGHT EVALUATION / MORE ROAD TO GROW / CORRECTED IV / EXCELLENT BOOKS / USING MARKET CRASH AS AN OPPURTUNITY / EPS AT SKY. LET'S PUMP IN SOME MONEY AND REVOLUTIONIZE THE NATION'S ECONOMY!
NSE:LEMONTREELong
by Yoyohoneysingh93
lemon tree stockChart Analysis (Daily Timeframe) Current Price: ₹166.34 (up +6.92% today with strong volume ~15.5M). Resistance Zones: Around ₹157–160 → previously a strong resistance, now broken convincingly. Next major resistance around ₹170–175 → stock is testing this zone now. Support Zones: Immediate support: ₹157.92 (recent breakout level). Stronger support: ₹141.74 (old base). Trend: The stock has been in a long consolidation (sideways) for almost a year and just gave a breakout with volume → this is usually a bullish sign. 🟢 Positives Fresh breakout after long consolidation (a strong bullish pattern). Volume is very high on the breakout → confirms buying interest. Structure suggests possibility of a new uptrend if ₹157+ is sustained. 🔴 Risks Price is near resistance zone (₹170–175). A pullback is possible. If it falls back below ₹157 with volume, breakout may fail. ✅ Conclusion (Simple) Good for buying if looking for swing/medium-term. Ideal entry: On dips near ₹157–160 (with stop-loss below ₹141). Upside targets: ₹180 → ₹200+ possible in coming months if momentum continues. Stop-loss: ₹141 (below support). 👉 In short: Stock looks bullish after a long consolidation, but better to buy on dips near ₹157–160 rather than chasing at ₹166-170. There is no any Buy/Sell recommendation, only for learning purpose as stock market is very risky
NSE:LEMONTREE
by skg7777711
LEMON TREE – TRENDLINE BREAKOUT! After a prolonged consolidation phase beneath the trendline, Lemon Tree has finally broken out with strong volumes, setting the stage for a potential upside move. 🔹 The breakout, backed by high participation, signals a possible shift in momentum and fresh buying interest. This setup could offer a favourable risk–reward opportunity for short-term traders. 📌 Disclaimer: All insights shared are meant solely for educational and guidance purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ⚠️
NSE:LEMONTREELong
by ritesh7554
Amazing breakout on WEEKLY Timeframe - LEMONTREECheckout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe, macroscopically seen in Daily timeframe. Having a great favor that the stock might be bullish expecting a staggering returns of minimum 25% TGT. IMPORTANT BREAKOUT LEVELS ARE ALWAYS RESPECTED! NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!! #No complicated chart patterns #No big big indicators #No Excel sheet or number magics TRADE IDEA: WAIT FOR THE STOCK TO BREAKOUT IN WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ABOVE THIS LEVEL. Checkout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe. Breakouts happening in longer timeframe is way more powerful than the breakouts seen in Daily timeframe. You can blindly invest once the weekly candle closes above the breakout line and stay invested forever. Also these stocks breakouts are lifelong predictions, it means technically these breakouts happen giving more returns in the longer runs. Hence, even when the scrip makes a loss of 10% / 20% / 30% / 50%, the stock will regain and turn around. Once they again enter the same breakout level, they will flyyyyyyyyyyyy like a ROCKET if held in the portfolio in the longer run. Time makes money, GREEDY & EGO will not make money. Also, magically these breakouts tend to prove that the companies turn around and fundamentally becoming strong. Also the magic happens when more diversification is done in various sectors under various scripts with equal money invested in each N500 scripts. The real deal is when to purchase and where to purchase the stock. That is where Breakout study comes into play. LET'S PUMP IN SOME MONEY AND REVOLUTIONIZE THE NATION'S ECONOMY!
NSE:LEMONTREELong
by Yoyohoneysingh93
1
Key Support / Resistance Breakout - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. Key Support & Resistance Breakout. Stock has give Breakout of Resistance level. Keep in watch list. Buy above the high. Suitable for Swing Trade. Stop loss & Target Shown on Chart. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think.
NSE:LEMONTREE
by AnsariTV
1
Lemon Tree hotel: , breakout awaited for 3rd wave rallyAnalysis: - Wave Structure: - From March 2020 low of ₹16, the stock has completed a 5-wave Elliott Wave pattern, peaking at ₹158 (all-time high). - Currently in an ABC correction, likely the second corrective wave of the primary wave cycle. - Breakout Confirmation: - A price breakout above ₹158-160 (ATH) will confirm the start of the third primary wave, which is typically the strongest upward wave. - Target for Wave 3: Minimum reasonable target is ₹226. Here’s a clear summary of the current Elliott Wave analysis for Lemon Tree Hotels (LTH): - 1st Primary Wave: The stock completed its 1st primary wave consisting of 5 intermediate waves as shown in chart number marked in white color, which started at ₹16 in March 2020 and peaked at ₹158 (all-time high). - 2nd Primary Wave: Currently, the price is in the 2nd primary wave, which is a corrective phase. - This correction is forming an ABC flat pattern, where the stock is consolidating before the next move. - What’s Next?: - If the price breaks out above ₹158-160 (ATH), it will confirm the start of the 3rd primary wave, which is typically the strongest upward trend in Elliott Wave theory. - The minimum target for the 3rd primary wave is estimated at ₹226. This structure aligns with Elliott Wave principles, where corrections after major rallies provide opportunities for the next bullish trend my Action : I will definitely wait for breakout from 158 to 160 for conformation, those who are already invested be in the game ,and it would be prudent to wait for breakout those who want to be in the game Positive Fundamentals: - Strong Industry Growth: Increasing demand in the Indian hospitality sector, driven by domestic travel and rising disposable incomes. - Market Leadership: Lemon Tree is one of the largest hotel chains in the mid-market and economy segments in India, with a growing brand presence. - Expansion Plans: Aggressive expansion with new properties and partnerships, including asset-light models, ensuring long-term growth potential. - Operating Leverage: Improved operational performance due to higher occupancy rates and RevPAR (Revenue per Available Room). - Post-COVID Recovery: Strong recovery in travel and tourism after the pandemic, boosting revenue and profitability. - Cost Control: Efforts to reduce debt and improve margins through operational efficiency. Negative Fundamentals: - High Debt Levels: Significant debt on the balance sheet, increasing interest costs and financial risk. - Sector Sensitivity: The hotel industry is cyclical and sensitive to economic slowdowns, inflation, or geopolitical issues. - Competition: Intense competition from other established hotel chains and new players, especially in the mid-market segment. - Vulnerability to Disruptions: Any resurgence of pandemics or global uncertainties could adversely impact occupancy rates and revenues. - Capex Heavy Model: Expansion plans require heavy capital investments, which could stretch financials if growth does not meet expectations. This balanced view gives you a clear perspective on the company's strengths and challenges. Fundamental Positives (Numbers): 1. Revenue Growth: Strong recovery post-pandemic, with revenue growing by over 25% YoY in FY2024. 2. Operating Efficiency: EBITDA margins improving; EBITDA/EV ratio is 25.73, reflecting better cost management. 3. Return on Equity (ROE): Healthy at 12.11%, indicating good returns for shareholders. 4. Asset Turnover Ratio: Improved to 0.29, showing better utilization of assets compared to prior years. 5. Market Position: Lemon Tree is the largest player in the mid-market segment, driving consistent long-term growth. Fundamental Negatives (Numbers): 1. High Debt Levels: - Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 1.42, indicating a heavy reliance on debt, though slightly better than prior years. - Debt/EBITDA Ratio: 4.03, showing significant debt pressure relative to earnings. 2. Valuation Concerns: - PE Ratio: Elevated at 77.16, suggesting the stock is expensive compared to earnings. - PB Ratio: High at 11.51, indicating a steep valuation compared to its book value. 3. Liquidity Constraints: - Quick Ratio: Weak at 0.31, reflecting short-term liquidity challenges. 4. Sector Sensitivity: Highly vulnerable to economic and travel disruptions due to cyclical nature of the hospitality sector. DISCLAIMAR : Not SEBI registered , On Good to Know basis or Know your chart category type, due diligence required
NSE:LEMONTREE
by chartgola
1
Ascending triangle pattern on LEMONTREELEMONTREE formed an ascending triangle pattern on daily chart. With multiple support and resistance tested. Price broke out of resistance today with strong volume. Also note the low volume during consolidation and when price goes down indicating sellers are not willing to sell at lower price. This forms a good support for long opportunity. Moreover, the momentum has been on rise on every swing with a gap up on breakout indicating bulls are out there. Ideal risk reward with stop just below last breakout candle low. Hope you like this idea, if so please boost this idea or leave a comment below on what you think. I'll be glad to hear from you. otherwise happy trading :-)
NSE:LEMONTREELong
by digijagan
3
LEMONTREE- AnalysisEntry above 138 safe can buy when closes above 151 small Stoploss 123 or as per your risk Management Expect target 168 , 201, 237, 276 strong level then 316 Keep trailing stoploss when in profit as per your risk management . Kindly do your due diligence before trading or investment *Comment or message me if you wish to see my analysis for any stocks. **Disclaimer -  I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
NSE:LEMONTREELong
by PrashantTaralkar