BTC/USDT Analysis. Moving Within the Scenario
Hello everyone! This is the trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here’s your daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin followed the primary scenario, entering a correction almost immediately after the post was published. Just $200 short of the $120,400–$119,400 (absorption of selling) zone, we saw clear signs of buy-side defense and noticeable absorption of selling pressure on delta.
At the moment, the shorts remain the priority until the buyer’s zone is tested. If strong protection appears at that level, the initial upside potential is around $124,000.
Buy zones:
• $120,400–$119,400 (selling absorption)
• $116,700–$115,000 (pushing volumes, strong graphical imbalance)
• $112,500–$111,500 (mirror zone, volume anomalies)
• $110,000–$108,800 (strong selling absorption)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC - Ultimate Swing Short TradeSwing Short setup below per my previous analysis posts (in depth explanations linked in related ideas).
Entry - 112,600 to 113,000
Stop Loss - 118,000
Target 1 - 97,600
Target 2 - 84,150
Target 3 - 63,400
Target 4 - 34,750
Target 5 - 20,000
Target 6 - 8,000
Expected retrace market between blue lines - potential long in this area.
- DD
BTC 1D Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 54☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Day timeframe .
👀 After the start of the trade war between the United States and China, news was released about a 100% tariff imposed by the United States on China. The crypto market experienced an unbelievable heavy drop (flash crash) last night, which from a technical point of view was completely unexpected and caused the biggest financial loss in the history of crypto.
👍 On the Bitcoin chart and in the daily timeframe, we can see that it is inside a very strong ascending channel, which even with last night’s drop has not closed below its channel body. Currently, Bitcoin is ranging with support at the bottom of the channel, and since it’s the weekend, the market volume has decreased sharply, and we are in a state of uncertainty until the new week’s open.
💡 Note that Bitcoin has not yet entered a trend reversal for the start of its heavy drop. The reversal zone that I specified in the analysis is between $108,960 and $107,521. With a break and confirmation below this zone, Bitcoin can experience a deeper correction and end its long-term primary trend and enter a secondary trend. We can also consider this zone as a distribution area.
Also note that Bitcoin’s return inside the channel has been supported by strong buyers, which has caused this uncertainty. In summary, Bitcoin has a very important resistance in the $114,351 zone, and with a break and confirmation above this area, it can move upward and turn the flash crash into a continuation move. In the continuation of the analysis, we will also use indicators and volume to reach the best conclusion.
🧮 In the RSI oscillator, we can see that after the selling pressure and increase in volatility, it moved downward and easily crossed the 50 zone. We have now defined two key RSI zones:
Zone 50 can be our long trigger area.
Zone 37, where if volatility passes below this level, Bitcoin can move toward the oversold area in its daily timeframe and experience a deeper correction.
🕯 First, let’s talk about volume — the selling pressure was so strong that it pushed the Bitcoin price near $102,000, and then it faced support from buyer makers (those who buy with market-type orders), which brought the price back above $110,000. The size of Bitcoin’s recent candle has been very strong and large, showing the great power of the sellers. With the increase in selling volume and continuation of the tariff war, the market can enter a risk-off state in higher timeframes, and investors may sell their Bitcoins, putting more selling pressure on BTC.
🧠 With the intensification of the tariff war between the U.S. and China, Bitcoin may start its secondary trend after weeks and months of bullish movement, but we still can’t make a definite decision about this issue. So we are waiting for the break of the defined zones in the analysis to make the best decision. Last night’s event was truly painful — a big experience and lesson for all of us that if we can manage our capital, we can have the best results relative to the market. However, last night will be remembered as the biggest financial loss in crypto history.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC bullish shark harmonicAfter yesterdays $20 billion worth of liquidations it was time to zoom out a little.
Here I'm posting this bullish shark harmonic, yes, it doesn't look bullish considering what we witnessed yesterday and for me there was a lot of manipulation involved, directly after the CME closed we saw a massive liquidation event that not even your SL could save.
President Trump posted something on Truth Social about China holding countries to ransom for their rare earth minerals, now, we all know that Trump won't take that lying down and will obviously set tarrifs against China (at time of posting, this hasn't happened yet) once it does then we could see a further drop.
This shark harmonic is showing the way and a possible drop into the CME gap between $97k-$96k, at time of posting btc is currently at $111,770 which if given there's still a possible $15k drop to come, yesterdays liquidations saw btc dump around the same levels.....
This is only my thoughts and not financial advice
Stay safe......
Is the #BTC rally over? Can 120k hold?📊 Is the #BTC rally over? Can 120k hold?
🧠From a structural perspective, we've established a bearish structure after hitting a new all-time high. This structure targets 118,500-120,377. The neckline support zone is also nearby, so consider monitoring the support strength here to identify potential long trades.
➡️After the uptrend support line was broken, we're currently testing the yellow support zone. Therefore, shorting here is not recommended. Instead, consider looking for long positions in anticipation of a rebound.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC; Aiming For A New (ATH) At $140k ?Bitcoin is set to break this resistance level and scale toward $140k before the year end. it have been moving within this momentum region of $109k-$123k for this couple of weeks, which we experienced a new ATH at $126k this week.
However according this structure our SMA 80 and SMA 200 the chances of this new ATH clearly high, also the "uptober" psychology actually nails the current market movement.
My fellow traders and investors do think we would see a plane climb to $140k by December..?
Like and share your thoughts
Thanks for reading.
126K is like a wall!With Bitcoin clinging to the upper end of its daily range, the chart offers a mix of bullish afterglow and bearish skepticism. Traders are watching key support and resistance levels as the market teeters on the brink of a breakout or breakdown.
Bitcoin remains in a post-uptrend pause following its recent breakout above $126,000. While the macro trend is bullish, price action is cooling, with two consecutive indecisive candlesticks suggesting momentum may be fading.
A pullback to the $122,000–$121,000 range could offer an attractive long-term setup—assuming bulls emerge with volume. Resistance still lurks around $126,000–$127,000, and without a strong catalyst, upside is likely to be limited in the short term. For now, this looks like a market taking a breather.
If you're following the trend, bulls still have the upper hand. Every major moving average, from the 10-day to the 200-day, is firmly in buy mode, and price action is consolidating above key support levels—not breaking down below them. A rebound from the $124,000 area could trigger another push towards $126,000 or higher, especially if volume picks up again. For now, this pullback is a breather, not a breakdown. I still believe $120,000 is a key level!!! A decisive break below $120,000 could open a trap door to $110,000—or even lower.
Bitcoin the price is still in range zone The price is still bounded with this support and resistance of range zone which is also mentioned on the chart too and soon i believe we can expect breakout of 125K$ to the upside and then targets like 127K$ & 132$ are easy to hit as new ATH.
But also we should remember this that if 110K$ break to the downside then market is bearish after a months and dump can be huge.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
BTC - All Important Trendlines and Liquidity ZonesAs of the current Bitcoin trend, I have outlined 3 key trendlines as well as the two major liquidity zones we need to keep an eye on right now.
The "Upper Resistance Trendline" has so far marked our three recent all time highs (red arrows). This has been a series of higher highs, which is normally a good sign in a bull market, the only problem is we are started to see some early signs of bearish divergence.
The "Middle Trendline" has acted as a key level mainly for the candle bodies. It has been a support/resistance flip level, but may have confluence in the future.
The "Lower Support Trendline" has acted as our three recent lows. It has helped to create a series of higher lows which is a good sign in an uptrend. The trend needs to maintain this series of higher lows, once we see the confirmation of this trend broken, the bear market will have begun.
Now let's focus on the two main liquidity zones right now.
The first is our "Important Liquidity Zone". This represents all the resistance that was built up from July-August 2025. Ideally, for this uptrend to continue to make new higher highs, this important liquidity zone is a crucial area to hold as a new support level. It ranges from $119.3k-$120.4k. A flip of this zone into new support would indicate that Bitcoin is ready for new all time highs. That is the first thing to watch for.
However, the "Middle Liquidity Zone" represents the $116k-$118k level. This level marked many support/resistance levels for our current trend. Therefore, if our main liquidity zone is breached this could come in confluence with our middle trendline.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #186👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. Bitcoin is still pushing upward, so let’s review the market conditions together.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached the next resistance level at 117,812.
🔍 On the lower timeframes, there was a small rejection from this zone, but on the 4-hour chart, price managed to hold above it and is now moving toward the 120,036 level.
🔔 Given the strong buying power and the heavy volume in the market, I believe the probability of continuation to the upside is very high, and price could push to even higher zones.
💥However, the RSI oscillator is currently deep in the overbought zone, sitting around 80. That’s quite an extreme level, and a correction in RSI is almost certain soon.
✔️ This doesn’t necessarily mean the uptrend is over. Price can still continue upward while RSI corrects.
⚡️ As long as RSI remains above 70 and stays in overbought territory, I expect the bullish leg to continue. Once RSI stabilizes below 70, price may enter a corrective phase.
⭐ In that case, we can look for long triggers during the price correction to catch the next bullish wave.
📊 If Bitcoin keeps rallying, the next zone to watch as a potential trigger will be 120,036. A reaction at this level could give us a new long setup.
💫 That said, on the first touch of 120,036, I personally won’t be opening a position—even if it breaks. I’ll wait for more structure to form before making an entry.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Price Overview from 19Oct till 26Oct or Oct MonthCOINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD GEMINI:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BYBIT:BTCUSD.P OKX:BTCUSDT.P MEXC:BTCUSDT.P BITGET:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD.P DELTAIN:BTCUSD.P BINGX:BTCUSDT.P BITMEX:BTCUSD.P DERIBIT:BTCUSD.P KRAKEN:BTCUSD.P COINBASE:BTCUSDC.P
COINBASE:USDTUSD KRAKEN:USDTUSD
🧭 General Overview
Timeframe: 4H
Asset: USDT-BTC
Current Price: ≈ 111,300 USDT
Major Resistance Zone: 116,000–116,400 USDT
Major Support Zone: 108,000–108,350 USDT
Recent High: 126,159 USDT
Recent Low: 101,549 USDT
Price recently rejected from the resistance zone after a strong breakdown, suggesting momentum has turned bearish in the short term.
🧩 Structure & Key Zones
1️⃣ Resistance Zone: 116,000–116,400 USDT
This zone acted as previous support that broke down sharply.
On retest, it now serves as major supply/resistance.
A strong bearish candle initiated from this zone, showing seller dominance.
📉 Expect:
Sellers to re-enter aggressively if price tests this level again.
A lower high formation below 116K = confirmation of short-term bearish bias.
2️⃣ Support Zone: 108,000–108,350 USDT
This is a major demand area, visible from the past bounce.
Price has wicked into it but hasn’t closed below yet — buyers are still defending.
⚠️ If this zone breaks (close below 108K):
Opens room for a deeper correction toward:
106,200 → 103,000 → 101,500 (recent swing low)
📅 Next Week’s Outlook
🔹 Bullish Scenario (Short-Term Relief Rally)
If price holds above 108K and breaks above 112K, we could see:
Short-term bounce toward 114.5K–116K (Resistance Retest)
Watch for rejection candles or weakening momentum there.
Suitable for short-term scalp longs, but risky for swing trades due to strong overhead supply.
🔹 Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias)
Given:
Strong downtrend continuation
Failed recovery attempts
Rejection from prior demand turned supply zone (116K)
If 108K fails, expect:
Acceleration to 105K–102K
Possible overshoot wicks below 101.5K before consolidation or reversal attempt.
Bearish targets for next week (if breakdown occurs):
TP1 → 106,200
TP2 → 103,000
TP3 → 101,500
🕐 Short-Term Perspective (Next 24–72 Hours)
Price is currently consolidating sideways between 111K–108K.
Watch for a range break:
Above 112K → short-term bullish relief
Below 108K → confirmation of bearish continuation
Volume and candle body analysis suggest that sellers are stronger, but buyers are still defending 108K strongly.
🔍 Key Takeaways
The trend is bearish, but we’re at critical support.
Watch 108K closely — it’s the line between correction & collapse.
Any bounce toward 114–116K is likely a sell opportunity.
A breakdown below 108K opens path toward the 100–102K zone.
BTC LONG SETUP 1HAfter a sharp drop, BTC has formed a clear reversal pattern around the demand zone (110–111k).
Currently, price is consolidating in a bullish flag structure right above support — indicating potential continuation to the upside.
🎯 Targets: 117.3k – 119.4k – 123.2k
🛑 Invalidation: Below 110k zone
💡 As long as this structure holds, expecting bullish continuation towards the upper supply region.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #PriceAction #CryptoTrading #TradingSetup #LongSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
Bitcoin Still Has Strong Support Zones — Don’t Lose Hope YetDuring the recent drop from $121,000, Bitcoin didn’t find any strong support levels to hold the price. As I’ve mentioned before, a healthy uptrend must include corrections — otherwise, when correction finally comes, it tends to be deep and aggressive.
That said, there’s still room for further downside, but this time, we have several key support zones that won’t be easily broken:
$108,551 – $109,227
$107,045 – $107,419
$104,783 – $105,395
The reason I’m highlighting these areas is to remind you that each of these zones could act as a potential reversal point, providing buyers with a chance to support the market. So, the situation is not hopeless — the market can still recover from these levels.
If you decide to take a short position, make sure to take profit quickly, close your position, or at least set it to breakeven, since we’re approaching strong demand zones.
As for long positions, I believe it’s still too early — I prefer to wait and see how Bitcoin builds its next price structure before entering.
If Bitcoin dominance starts showing green candles, altcoins might perform better for short trades.
BTCUSDT: Trend in 4-H time frameBitcoin has dropped to around $102,300. The key support level and the 50 MV in weekly time frame are both located near $99,700. It’s important to note that there’s a $3,000 price gap, which makes a retest of that zone quite possible.
Looking at Bitcoin’s current setup, there’s also a chance it could retest the 200 MV in daily time frame, situated near $106,800.
A major resistance level can be found around $115,800, and price action around that zone should be watched closely.
Overall, market conditions remain uncertain and unsettled, making it difficult to define a clear trend for Bitcoin or the broader market. That said, the overall trend remains bearish, with potential downside targets across different timeframes around $91700, $81200, $75100, and $70300. Reactions at these levels are to be expected — but if this downward trajectory continues, altcoins are likely to suffer more severely, possibly testing even lower price levels.
The color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the two accurate trends, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
BTC at the China's Mercy$19,000,000,000 liquidated from the crypto market last Friday Oct.10,2025 at the closing of the NYSE Session as Trump's threatens to impose new 100% Tariffs for China. This event recorded the biggest liquidation in Crypto History.
China also warns the US government of countermeasures if Trump doesn’t walk back tariff threat that will be effective Nov.1,2025.
BTC declines to $104,782 as a reaction to fear. Now the scenario is at China's Mercy if they will continue the tariff war between the US or make a truce.
Interest rates announcement gains has been wiped out by this bold declaration of added tariffs.
Upcoming rate cuts can move the BTC to $115K but another fall can happen this week if the tension grows expecting at $100k .
This is not the 1st time Trump has moved the market for Tariff war declaration for China and other countries. Tariffs has been Trump's weapon against China and his main way to raise US revenues.
The Trade war between two countries has massive economic impact on stocks, crypto and other investment vehicles as seen on the market's Fear index.
Can Trump really stand against China?
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October 05, 2025Hello everyone.
I hope you are all having a peaceful day.
Today, I am writing to share my Bitcoin short position view as of October 5th.
The first basis is the 1.902 CRAB pattern. In a traditional Crab pattern, the 1.618 extension of the XA leg is regarded as the main PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), but in practice, it is often observed that additional extension values such as 1.902XA are formed. This zone is an area where the price, after an excessive extension, tends to reverse sharply, and it is one of the regions within harmonic patterns where strong volatility and reversal signals frequently appear. Currently, Bitcoin is encountering resistance around this 1.902XA level, which increases the probability of a short-term bearish reversal.
The second basis is that wave N and wave M are forming a 1:1 length ratio. In other words, both waves are proceeding with equal length, which resembles the AB=CD structure—a fundamental form of harmonic patterns. Such wave symmetry indicates that the market is moving in a consistent rhythm, and when two waves complete with the same length, that point often acts as a reversal signal.
Accordingly, the average target price is set around 119,168 USDT.
As the chart continues to develop, I will provide updates to this idea to inform you about my position management.
Thank you for reading.