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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

Bitcoin Roadmap Before FOMC Minutes – Correction or New ATH?Today, we have one of the most important macro events — the FOMC Meeting Minutes Let’s quickly understand what it is and why it could shake the crypto market What are FOMC Minutes? They’re the detailed notes from the last Federal Reserve meeting, showing what members discussed about interest rates, inflation, and the economy. Markets carefully read every line to find hints about future rate cuts or continued tightening. Why does it matter for Bitcoin? When the Fed turns dovish (hinting at lower rates), risk assets like Bitcoin usually rally But when the tone is hawkish (worried about inflation), investors move to cash or bonds, causing crypto to dip. Let’s take a look at Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the 4-hour timeframe . Before analyzing the chart, let’s quickly review what defines a strong uptrend : 1-Higher Lows(HL): Each new low should form above the previous one, showing that buyers are stepping in earlier each time. 2-Higher Highs(HH): Each new high should be higher than the last, confirming that bullish momentum is still in control. 3-Structure Respect: The new low should not break below the previous high — if it does, it doesn’t necessarily mean the trend is over, but it indicates a weakening of the bullish structure. Based on the points above, Bitcoin failed to form a new Higher Low(HL) during the past 24 hours, and the previous high was retested . These signals indicate a loss of bullish momentum, suggesting that we might see at least a short-term correction from a technical perspective. Bitcoin has already started to bounce back nicely from the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) and is currently trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($124,474-$117,900) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that with the formation of a Lower Low(LL) , Bitcoin has completed at least a series of impulsive waves , and we can now expect corrective waves . I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($120,779-$119,957) before the FOMC Meeting Minutes start and could continue to rise or correct depending on the tone of the FOMC Meeting Minutes . Note: You should note that these days, Bitcoin has a higher correlation with the SPX500( SP:SPX ) index than before, so if there is a sudden movement in Bitcoin, one of the reasons could be a sudden movement in the SPX500. Do you think this bullish move could lead to a new all-time high (ATH) for Bitcoin again!? Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $124,350-$123,244 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $126,813-$125,000 CME Gap: $111,355-$109,915 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
17
BTCUSDT Analysis: Breakout and Potential Growth👋Hello everyone, what do you think about BINANCE:BTCUSDT ? Based on technical analysis, BTCUSDT has made a strong breakout from the descending channel. Currently, Bitcoin is facing strong resistance near the 124,000 USD level. After reaching the peak, the price may correct back to Fibonacci support levels (0.5 - 0.618) before potentially continuing its upward movement. The next target for BTC is to reach 130,000 USD if the bullish trend continues. The key to achieving this target is for the newly established support to hold, along with a clear confirmation of a candle close above the current resistance zone. As for me, I remain optimistic. What about you? 💬What do you think about the trend of BTCUSDT? Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments below. Good luck!
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
14
BTC – Eyeing a Retest of the $118K Structure!CRYPTOCAP:BTC broke above the $117K–$119K structure (blue zone) with strong momentum. I’m now watching for a pullback to this area to form a higher low and resume the uptrend. As long as price holds above $117K–$119K, I’ll look for trend-following longs toward $125K–$128K, then the $130K handle. If the blue zone fails, the next support sits at $106K–$110K (green zone), where bulls may regroup. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
8
BTC/USD | BTC Crashes to $102K, Then Bounces Back – Still UnstabBy analyzing the Bitcoin (BTC) chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that last night, following Trump’s tweet, the market faced a sharp sell-off, with BTC dropping all the way down to $102,000. After hitting this key demand zone, Bitcoin bounced back strongly, rallying up to $115,000, and is now trading around $110,000. However, BTC still looks unstable, struggling to hold steady — to continue its bullish trend, it must stay above $110K. If it fails to hold this level, we could see the price dip below $100K again. This analysis will be updated soon as the market develops. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
8
Using DXY to Predict Manipulation on BitcoinIn this post it’s important to view and relate to the linked, related idea called “DXY - Major Breakdown of Ascending Channel” I’ll keep this short and to the point since we are actively in the war zone now. 1. Identify major patterns or structure shifts on DXY. For 8 years I’ve used these same ascending channel supports on DXY and it’s made very clear this is the way it trades, as we can duplicate the line angle and move it near infinitely to any area and see how price respects it. 2. Identify major DXY events in relation to the DXY pivot. In this case, we are witnessing a bearish retest of a major bearish signal. 3. Understand what it all means. DXY falling / correcting for 4-7 years translates to BULL MARKET of the same duration on stocks, equities, and securities. Now you may be thinking - “Okay but that means, Bitcoin will go up then?” WRONG The reason is, Bitcoin and Crypto is a manipulated game and it’s all rigged and intentional. What does this really mean then? 4. If we will see a natural bullish trend on Bitcoin for the next 4-7 years, that means the market makers want their money back. Since Bitcoin has been only moving up since late 2022, this has set up a massive chain reaction of long stop losses / sell orders, paving a path to these lower zones on my BTC chart. What this should tell you is - FLASH CRASH COMING. Manipulated crash before the true bull run. Now you may be wondering - “No way, the world would have to see an apocalypse for 8,000 to be hit” WRONG Stop loss orders are in place already as a natural consequence of traders decisions over the last 3+ years. These are sell orders. Once these sell orders start filling, bitcoin will see an automatic wick down to these low levels. No active selling is required, and therefor no black swan required. Now - If DXY was retesting a bullish pattern, I’d be longing as that signals extended bear market. And rest assured - THIS MARKET IS ALL MANIPULATION. We can use DXY to predict the trigger of it all. Happy trading. - DD
Short
by DickDandy
5
BTC – Bulls Still in Control, As Long As the Intersection Holds!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is retesting a major confluence zone, the intersection of the rising red trendline and the previous ATH structure around $110K–$112K. This zone has acted as a strong pivot multiple times, and as long as it holds, the overall bullish trend remains intact. Bullish scenario: Look for trend-following longs near the current intersection, targeting the upper red trendline around $125K. Bearish invalidation: A daily close below $107K would break the confluence and signal a potential shift in momentum. 📈 The structure is still clean, a healthy correction within an ongoing bullish cycle. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
10
The Bitcoin bearish era has begun (1D)First of all, you should know that in our previous analyses, we had identified a large triangle. However, the market makers created another bullish wave, increasing the chart’s error margin (The scenario you see in the related ideas section.). This sharp move indicates the beginning of new bearish branches! It is expected that with a pullback to the red zone, the correction will continue, and we will be involved in it for at least a few months. Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Short
by behdark
5
BITCOIN BULLISH MOMENTUM CONTINUATION? 125K Still possible?BTC/USDT 1H – Breakout Setup Cup & Handle forming right under FVG zone, showing early bullish intent. Recent tariff crash created the swing low and possible reaccumulation zone. POC: 121K — strong magnet if price breaks higher. Key Levels: 🔹 115K → Breakout confirmation level 🔹 120K → Mid FVG / Resistance 🔹 121K → POC target 🔹 125K → Next liquidity zone 🔹 110K / 105K / 100K → Downside supports Bullish case: Close above 115K = breakout → target 121K–125K (FVG fill + liquidity grab). Bearish case: Fail to hold 115K → drop to 110K → 105K → 100K possible. Summary: Cup & Handle under FVG + tariff crash low = potential bullish reversal zone. Watch 115K — that’s the key trigger for direction.
Long
by King_BennyBag
11
Why MY “Big Dump” THESIS STILL STANDS. BITCOIN WILL BLEEDHappy Monday traders, I’ve reviewed the latest data again and nothing has changed my view. The structure still looks weak underneath the surface and the setup for downside remains strong. Summary: • Price rising → Market pushing higher, looks strong on the surface. • Stablecoin OI increasing → New leveraged perp positions opening. Speculative money is driving the move, not real buyers. • Coin-margined OI dropped, then slightly increased → Shorts were closed during the breakout, and now new shorts are opening near the highs. • Spot CVD flat or slightly negative → Real demand is still missing. Spot traders aren’t supporting this move. • Stablecoin CVD rising → Perp traders are aggressively buying, lifting price artificially. • Long/Short ratio falling (2.05 → 1.02) → Fewer longs and more shorts entering. Shorts are fading strength while price keeps rising. • Price up + OI up + Spot CVD flat → Buyers are being absorbed by new shorts. This is distribution forming at the highs. • Possible short-term move to 126K → Could sweep weekend highs during RTH for liquidity before a potential reversal. • If Spot CVD stays flat while OI rises on that move → That would likely be the final squeeze before a deeper dump. ------------------- 1️⃣ The same leverage-driven structure The breakout on September 25 looked impressive, but it was built on leverage rather than real spot demand. Stablecoin OI (aggregated) increased from 257K → 285K contracts (+10.9%) This shows fresh leveraged exposure coming from perps, not genuine buyers Coin-margined OI dropped from 7.58B → 7.29B during that breakout as shorts were closed out It has now started to rise slightly again at current prices, meaning new coin-margined positions are opening near the highs, most likely shorts fading strength 2️⃣ Spot demand is still missing Spot CVD moved from -18.38K → -16.44K (about +10.5%), while futures OI rose almost the same amount. That tells you everything: the breakout was driven by futures leverage, not real spot buying. Everyone’s renting Ferraris (perp longs), but no one is actually buying one (spot BTC). Once the rental stops, the cars vanish and prices drop. 3️⃣ The long-short ratio collapse On September 25, the aggregated long/short ratio (Binance + Bybit) was 2.05, meaning twice as many longs as shorts. Today it sits near 1.02, even though price is higher. Early breakout longs have been closed or liquidated New traders entering the market are mostly shorts OI is still rising, showing new short positioning, not liquidation exits Stablecoin-perp CVD is still climbing, meaning buyers are pushing price up but every uptick is met with new short liquidity This is a classic case of perps pushing while smarter money fades. 4️⃣ Why I still think Bitcoin will bleed This looks like distribution, not accumulation. Perp traders are driving the move Spot buyers still haven’t shown up Shorts are building into the highs That’s not a healthy uptrend. It’s a top-heavy market waiting for the bid to dry up. When it does, the unwind will likely be quick as leveraged positions are forced out. Think of it like a rubber band. The more it’s stretched by leverage without real demand, the harder it snaps when buying power runs out. ⚖️ TL;DR Stablecoin OI +10.9% → leverage driven Coin OI fell, then rose slightly → shorts covered, new shorts forming near highs Spot CVD flat → no real buyers Long/Short ratio 2.05 → 1.02 → longs out, shorts in The move up was built on leverage, not ownership. Spot hasn’t confirmed, and shorts are stacking into strength. 🎯 Short-term note There’s a chance we see one more push toward the 126K region during RTH to sweep the weekend highs before rolling over. If that happens with spot CVD still flat and OI climbing, it’ll likely be the final liquidity grab before a larger move down. Until spot CVD turns positive and OI stabilizes, my view remains the same: Bitcoin will bleed. Interested in the Order Flow data that I used for this Analysis? Check it out here => ibb.co
Short
by ThetaNomad
10
BTC Pullback: Key Support at $99,800 – Next Move?#Bitcoin is currently experiencing a pullback, likely triggered by news, such as President Trump’s tariff announcement on China. The price is hovering around $110,500, but it doesn’t look strong enough to hold at this level, so a move toward $99,800 is possible. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $99,800 acts as a key demand zone. However, the RSI isn't oversold yet, which means there’s potential for further downside if this support breaks. In my opinion, the best approach right now is to wait for some confirmation. Stay tuned and follow for more updates, and if you're stuck in any coin, feel free to DM me I’ll do my best to help you out. CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
3
06/10/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $125,735.08 Last weeks low: $111,559.20 Midpoint: $118,6547.14 New All Time High for Bitcoin in the first week of "Uptober", really impressive strength since flipping $117,500. BTC still finds itself within a range between ATH and $108,000 but with such strength on the bounce from range lows, could we see price discovery going into the last leg of the year? From a macro perspective month/quarter end is now over and done with, banks have completed their window dressing/de-risking and we can expect liquidity to flow back into the risk markets. Rate cut cycle continues, M2 Global money supply at ATH with seemingly no plans to stop in the near future. For now I am still treating trading BTC as it is in a range until we get price acceptance above $125,000. If there is a breakout above and a rally altcoins should follow. In terms of news releases this week because of the US Government shutdown there is a disruption on data releases but overall nothing of great importance is disrupted. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
3
BTC Trading Plan after the sweeping of liquidity BTC dropped crazy and swept all liquidy Price touched 102130 which is the demanzd zone and formed a Suuuuuuper Long Pin bar. Therefore we can long BTC from here and Im 121081 SL below 108200 Apply 2% risk rule and always remember to set a Protective Stop loss Don't be killed by the sudden strike where the market is crazy! It's your own choice whether you want to put all your money at risk while no stop loss is set or you are willing to risk only 2% of your capital each time you find out an traidng opportunity After my 15 years trading expereience, I would like to share with you guys Remeber : Your behavior determines the result. If you have a bad result in trading check out whether you have these 7 incorrect behavior which will lead you to the failure: 1. Miss out: you are not participating at all! 2 Close trade too early: every time you just win a little 3 Close trade too late: you want to hold for a long period , but when market turns agains you ,you are still holding and all the floating profit is gone 4 trapped in a losing trade: you just don't want to admit the trend is goen, and you want to wait for the floating loss back to zero and the market just keep falling until your encounter huge loss. 5 Oversize gambling: after losing so much money, you just want to win all loss back in one single trade, and you decide to all in again and again. but the market will kill you just by one losing trade. 6 lack of patience: you choose to take intraday trading and over trade , but you just can't wait for the market to move into a trend and you will be shaken out before the big strike 7 emotional trading: since you can't fix the 6 above problems or enemies, you will often feel sad, or frustraed, anxious, and worried, regret, angry, emmo etc. the more emo you become, the worse decision you will make.
by tntsunrise
3
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #191👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s get into Bitcoin analysis. The market is still in a ranging phase, so let’s take a look at today’s triggers together. ⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe In this timeframe, Bitcoin is still consolidating and has formed a new range high around 124,094. ✔️ Right now, the price is near the bottom of the range box it has created and is on the verge of breaking below it. ✨ If the bottom of the box breaks, price could move toward lower levels. 📊 If selling volume continues to increase, the downward move could extend further, and Bitcoin may correct to even deeper zones. 🎲 However, if this move turns out to be a fake breakdown, and we see reversal structures such as a V-pattern, we could look for a long trigger. 🔑 I still don’t see Bitcoin as being in a downtrend. In my view, every correction the market makes is still healthy and supports the continuation of the broader bullish structure, helping maintain the strength of upcoming legs. ⭐ For now, since momentum has turned bearish on the lower cycles, I don’t have any new triggers to give based on my strategy. In this phase of the market, I prefer to wait until price builds more structure. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
6
Bitcoin the price is still in range zone The price is still bounded with this support and resistance of range zone which is also mentioned on the chart too and soon i believe we can expect breakout of 125K$ to the upside and then targets like 127K$ & 132$ are easy to hit as new ATH. But also we should remember this that if 110K$ break to the downside then market is bearish after a months and dump can be huge. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
by MMBTtrader
11
BTC Price maintains higher lows and breaks above 114KBitcoin is currently consolidating around the 111K level, following significant market losses in October driven by escalating U.S.–China trade tensions. The price is down 9.45% on the weekly chart and remains 12.16% below its all-time high During this corrective phase, BTC appears to be stabilizing. Technically, if BTC maintains higher lows and breaks above 114K, we could expect a potential shift toward a short-term uptrend targeting 116K–120K. Conversely, a break below 111K could expose further downside risk. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support.
Long
by MrMartin_11
7
Bitcoin STRONG Weekly Bounce - What's Next?Hello BTC Watchers 📈 📢 Bitcoin was trading right on top of a crucial support zone. But the price has successfully bounced in the weekly and made a strong comeback from the support zone. The weekly moving averages The daily moving averages This is telling for a number of reasons. In the weekly we see a strong bounce above the moving averages as well as in the daily, and in the daily we had just bounced back from a correction which took us to the 100d MA (which is the general zone for a correction, or at least a wick towards that area. This indicate that in the short and longer term, the chart is looking up and bulls are in control. What are you thoughts, new ATH or just a fakeout?
Long
by Crypto-Check-
13
BTC/USDT | BTC Correction in Play – Will $117K Hold the Line?By analyzing the Bitcoin (BTC) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after rallying up to $126,000 and setting a new all-time high (ATH), the price faced a sharp correction and is now trading around $119,000. This drop could extend further toward $117,000, which is a key level to watch closely. If Bitcoin manages to hold above this zone, we could see the next bullish wave begin. Otherwise, the next major demand zones are at $115,000, $113,500, and $112,120. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
5
The key is whether the upward trajectory can continue Hello, fellow traders. If you "Follow," you'll always get the latest information quickly. Have a great day. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The price rose after forming a DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, and is now forming a HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, showing a upward trajectory. Trend-wise, a decline below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is likely to initiate a downtrend, and a decline below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is expected to initiate a downtrend. Therefore, when the price falls to the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range, it's important to identify support and resistance levels formed at the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. - Therefore, it's important to maintain the price above the 116259.91-119086.64 range. The next important range is the 104463.99-108353.0 range. - To break above these key levels or ranges, - The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it's best to avoid entering the overbought zone. - The On-By-Signal (OBV) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line. - The TC (Trend Check) indicator should show an upward trend. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level. If the above conditions are met, an upward breakout of the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range is expected. The next period of volatility is expected around October 14th (October 13th-15th). - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
2
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #193👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s analyze Bitcoin, yesterday, a phenomenon called a Flash Crash occurred, and the market experienced a massive drop. Let’s review what happened and where the market stands now. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Before diving into the chart, let’s first understand what happened in the broader market. 🔍 Yesterday, the U.S. restricted the sale of certain computer chips to China, and in response, China halted exports of five rare elements to the U.S. 📰 Then, the U.S. reimposed heavy tariffs on China, and China raised duties on American ships. ✨ These escalating tensions severely impacted global markets — and we witnessed the largest Flash Crash in Bitcoin’s history. 📉 A total of $19 billion worth of positions were liquidated, marking the highest figure ever recorded in crypto history. To put that into perspective, during the COVID crash, only about $3 billion was liquidated — a massive difference. 🔔 Interestingly, Bitcoin dropped less compared to most altcoins and managed to recover partially. However, altcoins like TON, AVAX, ARB, and SUI (each with their own networks) saw brutal crashes, many with wicks of 60–70% downward. 📊 Now, looking at the chart, yesterday, Bitcoin was ranging above the $120,835 zone. 🧮 Once the geopolitical tension began, the price started a strong downward move, breaking below its key support. 🔽 After two large red candles and a close below support, the third candle formed a 12% wick, dropping as low as $102,000. ✔️ Following that, the price quickly recovered and is now consolidating above the $109,000 support zone. 💡 At the moment, in such a highly volatile environment, finding valid triggers and opening new positions isn’t ideal. 🔑 The price action has been driven mostly by news and panic, so it’s best to wait until the market stabilizes and the effects of these developments fade away. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
1
Bulls are on the rise, with the MACD, SMA, and EMA all bullish! Let's not beat around the bush; this daily chart is a stark illustration. After breaking through resistance near $110,000, Bitcoin surged to $125,725 on increasing volume, demonstrating textbook breakout behavior. But just when bulls thought it was safe to celebrate, smaller candlesticks—tiny signals of uncertainty—slowly appeared like unwelcome party guests. With support at $120,000 and $116,000, bottom-fishing opportunities could emerge between $120,000 and $122,000. But let's be clear: if Bitcoin fails at $125,725 again, it could call the bears out again. If Bitcoin breaks through $125,725, the target will be $130,000. All technical indicators point to a bullish outlook, and any dip near $120,000 could simply be the market's "final announcement" that Bitcoin is ready to take off. However, a failure to break above $125,000 and a break below $120,000 could signal a reversal. With momentum peaking and several oscillators flashing warning signs, a breakdown of $120,000 support would be a good time to sell.
Long
by PalmerRobert6064
3