BTC/USD – H1 Trading Plan | Key Levels in FocusBitcoin is still trading within a clear downtrend under the H1 descending trendline. After the recent drop, price is consolidating around short-term equilibrium zones, setting up potential sell continuation setups while leaving room for a possible short-term bounce from demand areas.
📊 Technical Outlook
113,393 → Key resistance (confluence of supply + descending trendline).
111,407 → Short-term support, could provide a reaction.
108,793 → Major demand zone, critical for potential bullish bounce.
📝 Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Sell the pullback (Primary Bias)
Entry: 113,000 – 113,400
Stop Loss: Above 114,000
Targets: 111,400 → 110,000 → 108,800
Scenario 2 – Buy from demand (Countertrend idea)
Entry: 108,800 – 109,000
Stop Loss: Below 108,300
Targets: 110,500 → 111,400 → 113,000
⚠️ Risk Notes
Main trend remains bearish – buy setups are only for short-term retracements.
A clean breakout above 113,400 may shift structure, opening the way towards 115,000+.
H1 may create false signals; wait for confirmation from price action before executing trades.
👉 What do you think? Will BTC continue its drop towards 108,800 📉, or will buyers defend demand and push for a rally back above 113k 🚀?
BTCMINI trade ideas
BITCOIN SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 110,667.26
Target Level: 118,641.66
Stop Loss: 105,402.24
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Bitcoin – Wedge at Wave 5, Exhaustion Signals RisingBitcoin’s multi-year rally from the 2022 lows has unfolded in a clean Elliott Wave impulse. The structure now appears to be entering its terminal phase, with wedge-like price action and weakening momentum suggesting exhaustion.
Wave Structure:
Wave 1 rose from the November 2022 bottom at 15,479 to 31,035.
Wave 2 corrected to 24,920.
Wave 3 extended sharply to 73,794.
Wave 4 pulled back to 49,577.
Wave 5 has pushed into new highs, reaching 124,517 so far.
Although 124,517 is a candidate top, the internal structure still leaves room for one final minor push higher before Wave 5 is truly complete.
Wedge Formation & Exhaustion:
The advance in Wave 5 is taking the form of a wedge-like structure with higher highs , a setup often associated with ending diagonals. Such patterns are typically found in the 5th of 5th wave position, signalling the final stretch of a trend.
At the same time, the RSI is diverging — price is making new highs while momentum prints lower highs. This bearish divergence reinforces the case that the rally is losing strength, even as it grinds upward.
Correction Outlook:
When the Wave 5 top is confirmed , correction targets can be mapped using Fibonacci retracements and prior support zones. Until that point, exact downside levels remain open. What matters is the process: once the rally exhausts, retracements are expected to be swift, and the initial reaction will help define the corrective path.
Risk Management:
The bearish view applies only after Wave 5 is complete. A sustained break and continuation above 124,517 would suggest Wave 5 is extending further before exhaustion sets in. Traders should respect the possibility of one more thrust higher before the corrective phase begins.
Summary:
Bitcoin’s 5th wave is nearing completion, likely in the form of an ending diagonal. Price has made higher highs, but RSI divergence points to fading momentum. Once the Wave 5 top is confirmed, correction levels can be projected using Fibonacci tools and prior support zones. Until then, the market remains in its final push, with exhaustion signals growing louder.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BTC Close to the Top, but not yet reachedBTC is currently in a corrective phase and will very likely continue its correction toward 100k.
There’s an 80% probability that 100k will hold as support because that’s where the big red line (200-day moving average) lies, alongside a very strong trendline, and by then it will most likely already be in oversold territory in RSI.
All of this would enable Bitcoin to start a new move toward a fresh ATH.
However, momentum is slowing down, and Bitcoin is not showing the same strength as before. This is evident because this time it failed to reach the strong upper trendline (the “thick blue line”) and instead stopped earlier. A rise by the end of the year is probable, but BTC is currently trading within a large rising wedge formation. A breakdown below the lower trendline would signal a move to at least 75k, if not lower.
For now, the outlook remains bullish. We’ll continue analyzing and see what happens after the upcoming bounce and the attempt at a new ATH.
Trade Setup AnalysisSHORT
Entry Price: 108,590 (limit on pullback)
Stop Loss: 108,840
Take Profit(s): TP1 108,200 · TP2 107,900 · TP3 107,500
Risk-to-Reward (RR): ~1.6:1 (TP1) · ~2.8:1 (TP2) · ~4.4:1 (TP3)
Asset: BTCUSD (3-min, Heikin Ashi)
Market Type: Crypto
Session (if visible): NY overlap
Rationale:
Structure: Clean intraday downtrend; price trades below fast & slow MAs with a sequence of lower highs/lows.
Smart Money / Flow: MTF Bias shows bearish 3/3; CVD deeply negative (strong sell) confirming dominant sell pressure; Vol Dominance favors sellers.
Momentum/Stats: WaveTrend sell, Z-Score & RSI oversold → expect reactive bounces; therefore prefer fade-the-bounce rather than chase lows.
Execution Logic: Enter on retest of the 108,560–108,650 supply/EMA pocket (fair-value gap fill from the impulsive drop). SL above the most recent LH/EMA cluster (108,840) to avoid noise.
Management: Reduce risk at TP1 (move SL to BE), scale at TP2, leave a runner to TP3 targeting the liquidity shelf below 107,600–107,500.
🔒 DISCLAIMER
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
Bitcoin Rising Wedge Breakdown – Is a Deeper Correction Coming?Bitcoin Rising Wedge Pattern – Daily Chart Analysis
🔹Bitcoin (BTC/USD) forming a Rising Wedge pattern, which is typically considered a bearish reversal pattern
Pattern Formation
Price has been making higher highs and higher lows, but the slope of the highs is flattening compared to the slope of the lows.
This indicates weakening bullish momentum.
Breakdown Signs
BTC broke below the lower wedge support, confirming a bearish breakdown.
Current price action is retesting around $114,000 – $116,000, acting as a possible resistance zone.
Notice the declining volume during the wedge formation, which strengthens the validity of the pattern.
A spike in volume during the breakdown adds further confirmation.
Target Levels
If the breakdown sustains, potential bearish targets could be around:
$108,000 (immediate support)
$100,000 (psychological level & major support)
On the upside, if BTC reclaims $120,000, the bearish outlook weakens.
BTCUSD – Testing the Floor Before the Next StepBitcoin is hovering around 108,457, sitting on a critical demand zone (108,900 – 109,800). Momentum is stretched on the downside (RSI near 33), hinting at exhaustion from sellers.
If this base holds, the market could stage a recovery back toward 111,500 – 112,188. Losing 108,900, however, would shift the focus to deeper retracement.
In short: This is a pressure point where the next impulse will be decided.
BTC Professional Market Movement Analysis🏗️ How Market Moves
Liquidity Grab at Support 🟢
Price dips into the 112K zone to collect liquidity (stop-hunts + institutional buys).
Market shows wick rejections & volume absorption.
This is where smart money positions for the next leg higher.
Expansion Phase 🚀
After liquidity grab → market expands upward.
Price pushes aggressively toward the 124K resistance.
This movement is fueled by trapped sellers covering shorts + buyers entering late.
Resistance Reaction 🔴
At 124K zone, market faces supply.
Either:
Rejects and falls back toward support (range continues).
Breaks through → signals strong bullish continuation (trend shift).
📉 If Support Fails
If BTC closes below 111K, it means liquidity is not enough.
Market will seek the next major demand zone (100K) where bigger orders sit.
This creates a stop-hunt + deeper accumulation before a new push higher.
🧠 Pro Definition
Market does not move randomly — it moves from liquidity pool to liquidity pool.
BTC is currently collecting orders at 112K support.
Expect a bounce → expansion → test of 124K supply.
If 112K fails, price will seek deeper liquidity near 100K before rebounding.
⚡ In simple terms:
👉 Market first hunts liquidity at support 🟢,
👉 then expands upward toward resistance 🔴,
👉 and finally decides — either reject back into the range or break higher for continuation.
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC on $110,423 support, $112,893 current resistance. Bearish engulfing on last 4h close - expect support test if followed thru. Previous Daily close with Bullish engulfing but lack of volume on current with weak buyers show no sign of follow thru, RSI dropping, $109,022 key support from here and then $106,586. $115,753 key resistance from here.
Bitcoin Bounce Loading | Long @ 110k → 115k+
# 🚀 BTC Mean-Reversion Play | Long @ 110.35k | Targeting 115k+ 🎯🔥
### 📊 Market Bias
* **Short-term**: Tactical LONG (bounce from lower BB near 110k)
* **Medium-term**: Neutral → Bearish (below EMAs); Bullish only vs SMA200 (\~101k)
* **Actionable Bias**: Scalp/Swing long → flip bearish if <109k
---
### 💡 Trade Setup
* 🎯 **Instrument**: BTC
* 📈 **Direction**: LONG (mean-reversion scalp)
* 💵 **Entry**: Limit 110,350 (stagger optional: 110,500 / 110,150 / 110,000)
* 🛑 **Stop**: 109,300 (below lower BB + liquidity buffer)
* 🎯 **Targets**:
• T1 = 114,976 (EMA21, 40%)
• T2 = 116,499 (30%)
• T3 = 122,528 (30%)
* ⚖️ **RR**: \~4.4:1 to T1
* 📊 **Size**: Risk 1% equity | ≤3x leverage
* 💪 **Confidence**: 60%
---
### ⚡ Rationale & Risks
✅ Sitting on lower Bollinger Band + SMA200 = strong mean-reversion zone
✅ RSI near oversold → bounce probability
✅ Good asymmetric upside vs downside
⚠️ Momentum (MACD & EMAs) still bearish
⚠️ Daily close <109k = invalidation → potential SMA200 test (\~100.9k)
⚠️ Macro shocks (CPI, DXY, Fed) can break levels fast
---
### 📌 Trade Management Rules
* Move stop → breakeven after 50% of T1 hit
* Exit fully if **daily close <109k**
* Cut exposure if ETH/alts roll over or funding spikes
---
### 🧾 JSON Trade Details
```json
{
"instrument": "BTC",
"direction": "long",
"entry_price": 110350.00,
"stop_loss": 109300.00,
"take_profit": 114976.00,
"size": 2.0,
"confidence": 0.60,
"entry_timing": "market_open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-08-26 08:22:18"
}
```
---
### 🔖 Tags
\#BTC #CryptoTrading #ScalpTrade #SwingTrade #MeanReversion #Bitcoin #DayTrading #RiskReward #TradingSignals #CryptoMarkets 🚀📈🔥