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BTCMINI trade ideas

Bitcoin PA next 5 days, where to next?Hi everyone, This is my first trading idea. So, because this is the internet, feel free to criticize me in the comment section Before we get into the short term probabilities of Bitcoins price action, let's briefly discuss / lay out certain events and correlate them to the 4hr view. Going back to April 7th / 8th of this year, we had a 4hr oversold level on the RSi + PA which marked the local bottom of what was back then the first digestion by financial markets linked to Trumps tariffs. 23rd / 24th of June of this year, we had again a 4hr oversold level on the RSi + PA which again marked the local bottom of what as the climax of ISRAEL/IRAN conflict. Since then we had the movement up to 118.7k then short pause and a sharp run to 123.1k. During that time, our beloved boy Saylor tweeted "short Bitcoin if you hate money!" If you were smart enough to realise that every time this guy posts he then proceeds to quietly offload on you, then you made some nice short gains. Anyway, back to what most of us came here for - the short term TA perspective. We have yet again had an event which gave financial markets a reason to unload on our heads (de risk and clean up the overextended long leveraged positions) following the Jobs report data news, which sent BTC to 111990usd area. This so far yet again posted a 4hr oversold RSi + PA and gave a bounce. Because after all, this is also previous ATH retest zone. Later we had ISM Services PMI data, this again sent the markets into a tiny spin sending BTC to 112500usd area. Notice how the price was almost at same level as during the wick to 111990usd but RSi was notably higher? I guess, my overall point is - in this manipulative uptrend (which isn't truly bullish really) so far, when BTC touched 4hr oversold conditions and shortly after Rsi makes higher lows, price doesn't revisit that same level again. Market digests the bad news faster than most think. Now, on the chart I am sharing, you can see the 4hr oversold PA and RSi highlighted with a green color, the orange color for the higher low. The red color, is where I think price / rsi might go again. So maybe we retest 113.5 - 114k zone but then bounce from there to the upside. We all trade with a certain bias, up / down or sideways. Personally, I am trading with a bullish bias, but I also use intraday RVOL indicator, OBV and CVD (aside from PA & RSi) to confirm market intent. Tensor charts also useful to understand the orderbook a bit better. I believe that in the next 5 days we (roughly speaking) go up from here with potential retests of the lower side of the previous FVG around 114k. Of course, if price can't stay above 115k by Sunday close, then GGs, this would likely imply short term distribution. If we close above 115k, preferably towards 117k area, the chances of revisiting 111k will drop significantly. Unless our dear MM friends decide to trick us again ( lol). Final words - if this is a true bull market - we aren't revisiting 111k for a while. And if you read Arthur Hayes 100k Bitcoin call short term - then remember where he comes from. Stay safe out there. Also, for full transparency , I've already opened a Bitcoin long 50x at 115650usd with 2501usd margin and 4.9k usd collateral (lol!), held through this 111.9k wick and not ready to give up now. The long I have opened, is active since 25/07/2025 and eating 70usd per day in fees. So far that's already 1k usd in fees paid. Then again, for most this is poor risk management, but let's see.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Inspir3dby
2
BTC: Major RSI divergence - Next stop around $69K?Bitcoin is showing strong warning signals that the current bull run may be ending. On the weekly chart, we can clearly see a massive RSI bearish divergence, similar to what happened before previous cycle tops. Today’s BTC options expiry added extra pressure, and with no quick resolution in sight for the Ukraine war, alongside worsening global economic conditions (trade wars, inflation, tightening liquidity), the macro environment does not favor sustained risk-on sentiment. The chart highlights a likely correction path, with the next major support zone sitting around $64K–69K (previous resistance turned support). If this level breaks, further downside cannot be excluded. For now, caution is advised – this may mark the end of the bull run and the start of a new accumulation phase.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by cryptoTradingAnalytics
BTC/USD – Rising Wedge Breakdown + Double TopPrice action confirmed a bearish setup: Rising Wedge formed through June–July, showing slowing momentum. Double Top near 124K added further reversal pressure. Breakdown below wedge support + neckline confirms sellers in control. 📉 Key levels to watch: First downside target zone: 100K–98K If momentum continues, extended target: 82K–80K ⚠️ Reclaiming 115K–116K would invalidate this bearish structure and suggest potential recovery.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SpecuVisionary
Bitcoin – Next Buying Area in Focus📊 Zooming out to the daily chart, CRYPTO:BTCUSD is currently correcting against the April low, following the completion of that bullish cycle. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement near $105K stands out as a key technical zone where a higher low could form heading into September. Structure remains intact, and patience here could unlock a cleaner entry with better risk-reward. ⚠️ Reminder: The daily buying zone spans a wide range from $105K to $97K—this isn’t a pinpoint level for random entries. If you're a trader, you need a clear plan: defined entry levels, stop-loss, and exit strategy. No guesswork. No chasing. Let price come to you and act with precision.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by AlienOvichO
US Federal Reserve & Central Bank Policies1. Introduction Every economy in the world runs on money – but money is not just about paper notes or coins. Behind every financial system stands a central authority that manages the flow of money, credit, and liquidity. In the United States, that authority is the Federal Reserve System, commonly known as “The Fed.” The Federal Reserve doesn’t just print money – it plays a much bigger role. It manages interest rates, regulates banks, provides stability during crises, and sets the overall monetary policy that affects the stock market, bond market, inflation, employment, housing, and even global trade. To truly understand the global economy, traders, investors, and policymakers must understand how the Federal Reserve works and what central bank policies mean. 2. The Birth of the Federal Reserve Before the Fed was established in 1913, the U.S. economy was chaotic. The country suffered repeated banking panics in the late 1800s and early 1900s. Banks failed often, depositors lost money, and there was no central authority to stabilize markets during crises. The panic of 1907 became the turning point. With no central bank, private financiers like J.P. Morgan personally organized rescues for failing banks. This made it clear that America needed a central institution. Thus, in December 1913, Congress passed the Federal Reserve Act, creating the Federal Reserve System. Its goals were: Provide stability to the banking system Act as a “lender of last resort” Manage monetary policy to prevent panics Support sustainable economic growth 3. Structure of the Federal Reserve The Fed is not a single building or a single person. It’s a networked system designed to balance independence with government oversight. The Main Parts: Board of Governors – Based in Washington D.C., made up of 7 members appointed by the U.S. President. They guide overall policy. Federal Reserve Banks – 12 regional banks across major U.S. cities (like New York, Chicago, San Francisco). They implement policies and interact with commercial banks. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) – The most important decision-making body for monetary policy, particularly interest rates. Member Banks – Thousands of commercial banks that hold reserves with the Fed and borrow when needed. This system ensures checks and balances: the Fed is independent in decision-making but still accountable to Congress and the public. 4. Objectives of the Federal Reserve (Dual Mandate) Unlike many central banks that focus only on inflation, the Federal Reserve has a dual mandate: Price Stability – Keep inflation under control (not too high, not too low). Maximum Employment – Ensure that as many people as possible have jobs in a healthy economy. Additionally, financial stability and moderate long-term interest rates are also implicit goals. 5. Tools of the Federal Reserve The Fed has several powerful tools to shape the economy: (A) Monetary Policy Tools Open Market Operations (OMO) – Buying and selling U.S. government securities (like Treasury bonds) to control money supply. Buying securities → injects money → lowers interest rates → boosts growth. Selling securities → absorbs money → raises interest rates → slows inflation. Federal Funds Rate (Interest Rate Policy) The Fed sets a target for the rate banks charge each other for overnight loans. Lowering rates → cheaper borrowing → more spending & investing. Raising rates → expensive borrowing → cooling the economy. Reserve Requirements The percentage of deposits banks must keep as reserves. Lower requirements → more lending. Higher requirements → less lending. Rarely used today, as OMO and interest rates are more effective. Discount Rate The interest rate charged when commercial banks borrow directly from the Fed. (B) Unconventional Tools (Used in Crises) Quantitative Easing (QE) – Large-scale purchase of government bonds or mortgage-backed securities to inject liquidity (used after the 2008 crisis and COVID-19). Forward Guidance – Communicating future policy intentions to influence market expectations. Emergency Lending Programs – Special facilities to rescue banks, companies, or markets (example: COVID-19 corporate bond buying programs). 6. How Fed Policies Influence the Economy The chain of influence looks like this: Fed Actions → Interest Rates & Liquidity → Consumer & Business Borrowing → Investment & Spending → Employment & Inflation → Stock & Bond Markets → Overall Economy Example: If inflation is too high, the Fed raises rates → mortgages, car loans, business loans become expensive → spending falls → demand cools → inflation comes down. If unemployment is high, the Fed cuts rates → cheaper credit → businesses expand → jobs increase. 7. Historical Policy Examples (A) Great Depression (1930s) The Fed failed to act aggressively, allowing banks to collapse. Lesson: Central banks must act as lenders of last resort in crises. (B) 1970s Inflation Inflation reached double digits due to oil shocks and loose policy. Fed Chair Paul Volcker (1979–1987) raised interest rates dramatically, even up to 20%, to crush inflation. Short-term pain but long-term stability. (C) 2008 Financial Crisis Housing bubble burst, banks collapsed (Lehman Brothers). Fed slashed rates to near 0%, launched QE worth trillions, and bailed out the system. Critics said it encouraged risk-taking, but it prevented a depression. (D) COVID-19 Pandemic (2020) Fed cut rates to 0%, launched unlimited QE, provided emergency loans, and stabilized global dollar liquidity. Prevented a financial collapse during lockdowns. 8. Impact on Global Markets The Federal Reserve’s policies don’t just affect the U.S.—they impact the entire world because: The U.S. dollar is the global reserve currency. Most international trade, commodities (like oil), and debt are priced in dollars. When the Fed raises rates, capital flows back to the U.S., causing emerging markets to suffer currency weakness and capital outflows. When the Fed cuts rates, global liquidity rises, and risk assets (stocks, crypto, real estate) boom worldwide. This is why traders globally watch every FOMC meeting, speech, and policy announcement. 9. Criticisms & Challenges of the Fed While the Fed is powerful, it faces criticism: Too much influence on markets – Investors often say markets are addicted to “easy money.” Delay in action – Policies work with a time lag, so the Fed sometimes reacts late. Political pressures – Even though independent, Presidents often criticize Fed decisions. Income inequality – QE and asset purchases often benefit wealthy investors more than ordinary citizens. Global ripple effects – Rate hikes in the U.S. can trigger crises in developing nations. 10. The Future of Central Bank Policies As economies evolve, central banks face new challenges: Digital Currencies (CBDCs) – The Fed is studying a “digital dollar.” Climate Risks – Some argue central banks should consider environmental stability. Geopolitical Pressures – Sanctions, trade wars, and global fragmentation may test Fed policy. Technology & AI – Data-driven finance could change how monetary policy is transmitted. Conclusion The U.S. Federal Reserve is not just an American institution – it’s a global financial powerhouse. Its policies affect inflation, jobs, housing, stock markets, currencies, and even geopolitics. Understanding the Fed means understanding how money moves, how economies grow or shrink, and how financial markets react. For traders and investors, following Fed decisions is as important as tracking company earnings or global news. Every rate hike, cut, or policy signal from the Fed sends ripples across the world’s financial oceans. In short, the Federal Reserve is like the captain of the world’s financial ship – sometimes steering smoothly, sometimes making hard turns, but always holding the power to influence the course of global markets.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Bitcoin Strategy SharingBitcoin has been fluctuating within a range recently. After breaking through the 110,000 mark, it quickly recovered, indicating strong buying at 110,000, providing some support. Currently, the price is constrained near 113,500. I previously suggested a short position at this level, as I explained yesterday. This is because Bitcoin remained sideways at resistance for several hours, unable to break through. This continued sideways movement inevitably triggered selling pressure. As bullish momentum waned, the price eventually fell steadily, reaching the current level of 111,300. The strategy of opening a short position at resistance yesterday was entirely correct. Bitcoin Strategy After several hours of continuous decline, the short-term trend has weakened. Today, I believe the primary strategy is to open a short position on a rebound. If the price rebounds above 112,000, consider opening a short position with a target of 111,000. If you open a long position, you should be prepared to wait for the price to fall below 110,000. Otherwise, it's better to wait than to open a long position.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Violet_Trading_Strategy
Bitcoin Reclaims Support Zone – Potential Move Toward $117KBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is rebounding from a key dynamic support zone within its descending channel, with price action now testing the mid-range of the EMA cloud structure. This bounce suggests potential short-term upside continuation if momentum holds. ✅ Bullish Confluences: Fibonacci Retracement Support: Price respected the 38.2%–61.8% retracement zone between ~$111,330 and ~$110,218, confirming strong demand. EMA Cloud Reclaim: Current price action is attempting to reclaim the EMA cluster, signaling improving bullish pressure. Trend Structure: Short-term higher low forming after the recent sell-off, keeping the possibility of a reversal alive. Candlestick Reaction: Strong rejection wicks from support levels indicate buyers stepping back in. 🎯 Fibonacci-Based Targets: TP1 – ~$114,442 (38.2% retracement resistance). TP2 – ~$115,555 (61.8% retracement / mid-supply zone). TP3 – ~$117,356 (full retracement / key resistance). 🛡️ Stop-Loss: Just below $110,800 (61.8% support breakdown), invalidating the bullish scenario.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by VisionaryInsights
BTC/USD Pulls Back from Resistance—Eyes on Support BelowBTC/USD is testing a previous high (PDH) zone after a strong rally supported by an upward trendline. Price has faced resistance near 112,641 and is now pulling back, threatening to break below the trendline. If sellers take control and the trendline fails, BTC could retrace further, with major support and the previous daily low (PDL) near 110,374 as the next target. Watch for confirmation of trendline rejection to signal potential bearish momentum. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk—please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by HFXAcademy