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Bitcoin Pulls Back Toward Key Support as Momentum WeakensBitcoin (BTC/USD) has experienced a sharp decline after failing to sustain gains above the 123,200 resistance zone. The drop has brought price back toward the 111,000 area, a key horizontal support level that has previously acted as a pivot point within the broader range. The 50-day SMA (near 115,000) has now turned slightly downward, while the 200-day SMA (around 103,200) continues to trend higher, maintaining the longer-term bullish structure despite recent weakness. Momentum indicators reflect a clear shift in sentiment: The MACD has crossed below its signal line, suggesting bearish momentum may be building. The RSI has fallen toward 42, moving closer to oversold territory but not yet indicating exhaustion. If price stabilizes above 111,000, the current move may evolve into a consolidation phase within the existing range. However, a break below 107,300 would expose the next structural support near the psychological 100,000 level. -MW
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREXcom
BTCUSD corrective pullback support at 109,338 The BTCUSD remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader range trading. Support Zone: 109,338 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 109,338 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 113,780 – initial resistance 114,826 – psychological and structural level 116,000 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 109,338 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 118,550 – minor support 107,428 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 109,338 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
BTCUSD: Failing to recover, short setup near EMABTC analysis – october 14, 2025 At the moment, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has failed to sustain its recovery and is pulling back toward the 111,192 USD area. The overall trend remains bearish, as price is now trading below the EMA, indicating that sellers still have control over the market. Trading plan for today: Priority: look for short (sell) opportunities in line with the main trend. Wait for a pullback as price retests the EMA zone. Once price reaches that area, watch for one of the following price action setups: DD (Double Doji) SB (Second Break) → When either setup appears, consider a market entry. Trade management: Stop loss: above the nearest swing high of the pullback. Take profit: targeting a 2R – 3R reward-to-risk ratio, depending on price behavior. Summary: BITSTAMP:BTCUSD remains in a clear downtrend. Any short-term bounce is seen as an opportunity to sell with the trend. Patience is key wait for a clean setup around the EMA zone to secure a good entry and minimize risk. Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ZuperView
$BTC Correction : Watch for Double Bottom or Deeper Drop to 88kBitcoin faced a clear rejection around the 116,500 zone, marking a fresh lower high and confirming that a corrective phase is in play. At this stage, price action suggests a potential formation of a double bottom or a wick recovery setup — with nearly 70% of the wick zone likely to be filled as liquidity gets tapped. In the bullish case, a rebound from the current structure could fuel an upside move once the lower support holds. However, if BTC loses the 98,000 support, it opens the door for a deeper correction toward the 88,000–90,000 range. For now, short trades remain more favorable until we get a confirmed double-bottom or clear reversal signal. Once the market structure shifts and liquidity from the lower zones gets cleared, long setups can be reconsidered. Let’s see how Bitcoin reacts around these levels — the next few candles will define whether the correction deepens or reverses. #Bitcoin #BTCAnalysis
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by crypto_vulture_signals
Geopolitical Risks and Market Volatility1. Introduction Financial markets thrive on stability, transparency, and predictability. However, the world is rarely stable — political tensions, wars, trade disputes, and diplomatic breakdowns often disrupt this equilibrium. These disruptions, known as geopolitical risks, can trigger market volatility — sharp fluctuations in asset prices as investors react to uncertainty. In the modern interconnected world, where economies are tightly woven through trade and capital flows, even a local conflict can send ripples across global markets. The interplay between geopolitics and market volatility is not new. From oil shocks in the 1970s to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, geopolitical events have consistently tested global investors’ ability to manage uncertainty. Today, as the world faces new risks — shifting power dynamics, energy crises, cyber warfare, and climate-related security threats — understanding how geopolitics drives market behavior has become essential for policymakers, investors, and businesses. 2. Understanding Geopolitical Risk Geopolitical risk refers to the probability that political, social, or military events will adversely impact the global economy or financial markets. These risks often arise from the actions of states, non-state actors, or changes in global governance systems. Unlike financial or operational risks, geopolitical risks are exogenous — they originate outside the economic system and are harder to predict or quantify. 2.1 Types of Geopolitical Risks Military Conflicts and Wars Wars directly disrupt trade, energy supply, and investment flows. For example, the 2022 Russia–Ukraine war reshaped global energy markets and led to inflationary shocks in Europe and beyond. Trade Wars and Economic Sanctions When major economies impose tariffs or sanctions, global supply chains are affected. The U.S.–China trade war (2018–2020) disrupted global technology and manufacturing sectors, reducing investor confidence. Political Instability and Regime Change Coups, elections, or political transitions can create uncertainty about policy continuity. Investors tend to withdraw capital from politically unstable regions, leading to currency depreciation and stock market sell-offs. Terrorism and Security Threats Terrorist attacks, such as those on September 11, 2001, can cause short-term panic and long-term risk repricing in financial markets. Resource Conflicts and Energy Security Countries competing for oil, gas, or rare earth minerals can destabilize markets. For instance, tensions in the Strait of Hormuz — through which 20% of the world’s oil passes — often cause crude prices to spike. Cyber Warfare and Information Attacks State-sponsored cyberattacks on financial institutions or critical infrastructure can disrupt global capital markets and reduce trust in digital systems. Global Alliances and Sanctions Regimes Shifting alliances like BRICS expansion, NATO dynamics, or Western sanctions can reshape global trade, currency reserves, and capital flows. 3. Mechanisms Linking Geopolitics to Market Volatility Geopolitical events affect markets through multiple channels, both direct and indirect. 3.1 Investor Sentiment and Risk Aversion When geopolitical tensions rise, investors tend to move from risky assets (equities, emerging-market bonds) to safer ones (U.S. Treasuries, gold, and the U.S. dollar). This phenomenon, called the “flight to safety”, leads to a sell-off in risk assets and a rally in safe havens. For example: During the Russia–Ukraine conflict, gold prices surged above $2,000 per ounce as investors sought refuge. U.S. Treasury yields fell as investors bought bonds, despite inflation concerns. 3.2 Impact on Trade and Supply Chains Wars, sanctions, or tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, raising production costs and slowing growth. For example: The Red Sea shipping disruptions and Taiwan Strait tensions have threatened semiconductor and energy transport routes. Higher logistics costs translate to inflation, which affects central bank policies and, in turn, financial markets. 3.3 Energy and Commodity Prices Energy markets are particularly sensitive to geopolitical risk. Oil prices react sharply to conflicts in the Middle East, OPEC decisions, or Russian production cuts. Since energy costs feed into nearly all economic sectors, geopolitical shocks often lead to global inflation. 3.4 Currency and Capital Flows Political instability often leads to currency depreciation as investors withdraw capital. Emerging markets are especially vulnerable — for instance, Turkey’s lira or Argentina’s peso tend to fall during domestic or regional instability. Conversely, “safe-haven” currencies such as the U.S. dollar, Swiss franc, and Japanese yen typically strengthen. 3.5 Central Bank and Policy Reactions Geopolitical risks force central banks to navigate between inflation control and financial stability. For example: The European Central Bank (ECB) struggled to balance energy-driven inflation with growth risks following the Ukraine war. The U.S. Federal Reserve may slow rate hikes during heightened uncertainty to prevent market collapse. 4. Historical Case Studies of Geopolitical Volatility 4.1 The 1973 Oil Crisis Triggered by the Arab–Israeli conflict and OPEC’s oil embargo, crude oil prices quadrupled within months. Global inflation soared, causing recessions in Western economies. Stock markets worldwide plunged, and the crisis redefined energy security as a core geopolitical concern. 4.2 The Gulf Wars (1990–1991, 2003) Both Gulf Wars caused spikes in oil prices and temporary global market corrections. While short-lived, these shocks reinforced the sensitivity of markets to Middle Eastern instability. 4.3 9/11 Terrorist Attacks (2001) The September 11 attacks led to the closure of U.S. stock exchanges for nearly a week. When trading resumed, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell over 7% in one day — the largest single-day drop at the time. The shock also reshaped global security spending and introduced new risk metrics into financial modeling. 4.4 The U.S.–China Trade War (2018–2020) The imposition of tariffs on billions of dollars of goods disrupted supply chains, hurt technology stocks, and weakened global growth forecasts. Investors fled emerging markets, and volatility indices like the VIX surged repeatedly during trade negotiations. 4.5 Russia–Ukraine Conflict (2022–Present) This conflict triggered one of the largest market disruptions since 2008. Energy prices soared, European equities dropped sharply, and inflation rose globally. The war accelerated global de-dollarization trends, strengthened NATO alliances, and spurred defense sector growth — all while increasing market uncertainty. 5. Measuring Geopolitical Risk 5.1 The Geopolitical Risk Index (GPR) Developed by Caldara and Iacoviello (2018), the GPR Index quantifies geopolitical tensions using newspaper coverage of wars, terrorist acts, and political crises. It provides a statistical measure to correlate geopolitical shocks with financial volatility. 5.2 Market Volatility Index (VIX) Known as the “fear index,” the VIX measures implied volatility in S&P 500 options. During geopolitical crises, the VIX typically spikes — reflecting investors’ anxiety about future price swings. 5.3 Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and Bond Spreads When geopolitical risks rise, sovereign bond spreads widen, and CDS prices increase — signaling that investors demand higher premiums for holding risky debt. 6. Asset Class Responses to Geopolitical Shocks 6.1 Equities Short-term reaction: Immediate sell-offs due to uncertainty. Medium-term: Recovery often depends on how the conflict evolves. Sector performance: Defense, energy, and cybersecurity stocks often outperform during crises. 6.2 Fixed Income Government bonds — especially U.S. Treasuries — act as safe havens. Yields typically fall as bond prices rise. However, inflation-linked bonds may perform better when geopolitical shocks cause price spikes. 6.3 Commodities Gold, silver, and oil are the most sensitive commodities to geopolitical risk. Gold = hedge against uncertainty. Oil = reflects conflict-related supply fears. Agricultural commodities = affected by sanctions or export bans (e.g., Ukraine’s grain crisis). 6.4 Currencies Safe-haven currencies (USD, JPY, CHF) gain during crises, while risk-sensitive ones (AUD, emerging-market FX) weaken. Sanctions can cause currency collapses, as seen with the Russian ruble in early 2022. 6.5 Cryptocurrencies Bitcoin and other digital assets have shown mixed reactions — sometimes acting as alternative hedges, though volatility remains high. During the Russia–Ukraine war, crypto transfers surged as citizens sought to bypass banking disruptions. 7. The Role of Media, Information, and Speculation In the digital age, information speed amplifies volatility. News outlets, social media, and algorithmic trading systems react instantly to geopolitical headlines. False or exaggerated reports can cause flash crashes or speculative bubbles. For instance, a single tweet about potential military action or sanctions can trigger billions in market movements within seconds. This information-driven volatility underscores the role of behavioral finance — where investor psychology magnifies reactions to uncertainty. 8. Managing Geopolitical Risk in Investment Strategy 8.1 Diversification Geographically diversified portfolios can cushion against regional shocks. Holding assets across continents or currencies reduces exposure to any single geopolitical event. 8.2 Safe-Haven Allocation Investors often include gold, U.S. Treasuries, or defensive stocks (utilities, consumer staples) in portfolios to offset riskier holdings during crises. 8.3 Hedging Instruments Options, futures, and currency forwards allow investors to hedge geopolitical risk. For instance, crude oil futures can protect against energy price spikes. 8.4 Scenario Analysis and Stress Testing Institutional investors model “what-if” scenarios (e.g., China–Taiwan conflict, Middle East escalation) to assess portfolio resilience. Stress testing helps anticipate extreme outcomes. 8.5 Political Risk Insurance Multinational corporations use political risk insurance to mitigate losses from expropriation, contract breaches, or civil unrest. 9. Emerging Geopolitical Themes Affecting Markets 9.1 U.S.–China Rivalry Beyond trade, competition extends into technology (AI, semiconductors, 5G) and global governance. “Tech decoupling” may reshape global supply chains and capital flows. 9.2 The Rise of Multipolarity The post-Cold War unipolar world is giving way to a multipolar one — where the U.S., China, Russia, India, and regional powers like Saudi Arabia assert influence. This creates overlapping alliances and uncertainty in global trade. 9.3 Energy Transition and Green Geopolitics As nations shift toward renewable energy, control over critical minerals (lithium, cobalt, nickel) becomes strategic. The geopolitical race for green resources could replicate past oil conflicts. 9.4 Cyber and Information Warfare Modern conflicts often occur in cyberspace — targeting infrastructure, elections, or corporate systems. The financial cost of cyber incidents can exceed physical warfare impacts. 9.5 Middle East and Energy Stability Tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Gulf states continue to influence oil and gas supply expectations, shaping inflation and central bank decisions. 9.6 Climate and Migration Pressures Climate-induced displacement, food insecurity, and water scarcity are emerging geopolitical flashpoints that can trigger political instability and financial disruption. 10. Long-Term Implications for Global Markets Geopolitical risks are no longer isolated shocks — they are structural forces shaping long-term investment strategy. Globalization is evolving toward “selective interdependence”, where nations collaborate in some areas but compete fiercely in others. Investors must adapt to a world where volatility is structural, not temporary. 10.1 Regionalization of Trade and Finance Global supply chains are being reconfigured toward “friend-shoring” — producing goods in politically aligned countries. This reduces efficiency but enhances resilience. 10.2 Defense and Security Spending Boom Nations are ramping up defense budgets, benefitting aerospace and cybersecurity sectors. Investors view these as long-term growth areas. 10.3 Inflationary Geopolitics Energy and commodity disruptions keep inflation structurally higher, challenging central banks and altering interest rate expectations. 10.4 Financial Fragmentation The global financial system may divide along geopolitical lines — with parallel payment systems, currency blocs, and reserve diversification away from the U.S. dollar. 11. Conclusion Geopolitical risks and market volatility are inseparable components of the global financial ecosystem. From oil shocks and trade wars to cyber conflicts and power shifts, political dynamics shape investor sentiment, asset prices, and capital flows. While technology has made markets faster and more efficient, it has also magnified the speed at which geopolitical uncertainty spreads. The challenge for investors is not to avoid geopolitical risk — which is impossible — but to understand, anticipate, and adapt to it. In a world where power is diffused, alliances are shifting, and crises are increasingly interconnected, the ability to interpret geopolitical signals will define the next generation of successful investors and policymakers. Ultimately, geopolitical awareness is not optional — it is a strategic necessity in managing portfolios, protecting economies, and ensuring stability in an unpredictable global landscape.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
Chart Analysis: Bitcoin Holds Critical Support at $107,450Bitcoin has dropped by almost 10% after Trump announced that he would impose 100% tariffs on China. The largest liquidation event in cryptocurrency history to date, totaling $19 billion, has also occurred. On the weekly timeframe, there is a chance for a breakout below the 8-day moving average (EMA8) even though the price movement of Bitcoin has rejected the 21-day moving average (EMA21). As a result, traders and long-term investors will be able to predict whether the price will reject the typical support area at $107,450 and continue its upward trajectory, or whether it will breakout below it and start a bear market.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by POLARMARKET
Bitcoin → Overall weak, focus on 113K supportBitcoin is currently trading at 114.2K. The market has now shown a clear downward trend. From a technical perspective, the bearish engulfing pattern appearing on the daily timeframe has formed a strong resonance with the bearish arrangement of the moving average system. This signal further confirms the market's bearish bias, and short-term rebound momentum is significantly insufficient. In terms of the performance of key levels, although there is strong buying support at the 113K level on the daily timeframe, the current price is still suppressed by the short-term trend, and the effectiveness of this support level needs continuous observation. On the hourly timeframe, after forming a local high near 116K, the price entered a downward channel and is currently in a consolidation phase. No clear signal of stopping the decline has emerged yet, and the overall trend remains relatively weak. Resistance Levels: 116K, 118 KSupport Levels: 113K, 109.6K For detailed trading decisions, please follow my live updates. I publish my trading ideas and strategies daily. If you lack a plan or clear direction in cryptocurrency and are struggling to achieve consistent and stable profits, you can refer to and follow my updates as a reference and guide to help you avoid mistakes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Matthew_8888
ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 - (14/10/2025, ASIA SESSION)BTC is trading around 115,700, consolidating after a strong recovery from 110,000. Price has broken above intraday structure and is now approaching a key confluence resistance zone near 116,000–116,250. ⸻ 🔍 Technical Outlook Daily Structure (1D): • The pair continues to recover from the previous sweep at 107,700, forming a clear higher low on the daily. • Momentum indicators (MACD and RSI) show bullish continuation, though still below the main descending trendline from 126,000. • The Fibonacci retracement (126,000 → 102,200) highlights the Golden Zone at 116,700–118,800, where sellers could return. 1H Structure: • Market structure flipped bullish after BOS at 114,400. • EMA50 and EMA200 are showing early bullish crossover, confirming momentum shift. • The 1H MACD is widening positively, and RSI near 67 suggests BTC is building strength but nearing intraday overbought conditions. 15M + 5M (Intraday Setup): • Price is forming a rising channel with higher highs and higher lows. • MACD histogram shows bullish momentum continuation; RSI is consolidating near the 70 zone. • Current resistance: 115,950–116,250 (FVG + weak high) • Strong support: 114,400–114,800 (EQL + 200 EMA + trendline support) This zone is ideal for a break and retest setup confirmation. ⸻ 📌 Breakout Levels to Continue Trend Bullish continuation: • Break above 116,250, retest 115,900–116,000 → targets 116,900 / 117,800 / 118,800 (Golden Zone) Bearish correction: • Break below 114,400, retest 114,600–114,800 → targets 113,600 / 112,900 / 111,800 ⸻ 📅 Fundamental Watch • Asia session expected low volatility, but volume could build ahead of London open. • Focus remains on U.S. CPI (Wednesday) — volatility likely to increase midweek. • No major Asian economic events today. ⸻ ⚠ Key Levels to Monitor Resistance zones: 116,250 / 116,900 / 117,800 / 118,800 Support zones: 115,000 / 114,400 / 113,600 / 111,800 ⸻ ✅ Summary BTC remains bullish short-term after reclaiming 115k support, but momentum is slowing near 116,200 — a key supply area. A break and retest above 116,250 opens continuation toward 117.8k–118.8k (Fibonacci Golden Zone), while a rejection at 116,000 could send price back toward 114.4k support for re-entry. Bias: Bullish with caution near 116k–118k resistance.
VANTAGE:BTCUSD
by ELDORADOFX
WHO WRE EXPECTING THAT BITCOIN WILL MOVE UP 118K...?Chart Overview The chart shows Bitcoin trading between a strong support zone near $108,000–$112,000 and a resistance zone around $122,000–$123,000. After a sharp decline (“Falling Down”), BTC rebounded with a clear “Bullish Back” movement before facing resistance again. Key Observations 1. Support Zone (108K–112K USD): BTC has tested this zone multiple times, confirming strong buyer interest. The recent bounce suggests accumulation pressure is building. 2. Resistance Zone (122K–123K USD): Price faced rejection from this level previously. A break and close above this resistance would confirm a bullish continuation pattern. 3. Pattern Formation: A potential rounded bottom / cup shape appears to be forming, indicating bullish reversal potential. The “eye” and “arrow” symbol in the chart highlight market observation before a possible breakout attempt. 4. Short-Term Outlook: Expect sideways consolidation between 112K–118K USD before a possible bullish leg higher. The next target levels on breakout: 120K, then 122.5K. Support retest below 112K could delay recovery. Bullish Scenario Price holds above 115K and pushes past 118K, signaling momentum for a breakout. Confirmation above 122.5K could open room toward 125K–128K.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Zickey_11
BTC/USD BITCOIN NOW SHOWING DOUBLE TOP ON DAILY CHART!Hey Traders another week in the trading game well this week the play looks like Bitcoin. Man what a difference a week makes talking about market volatility.😁 I think I had said at the end of August the charts where looking like a top had formed. I will post that below if anyone would like to revisit it. Well now not only was there a top but market tried to rally back to original top point of 124,646 and the hit the brakes and completely reversed. Talk about support and resistance being significant! This is why I always say you don't need indicators are you need to do is look at price action because that is best indicator of all! So where are we now? Well not only did the 1st resistance in the 123 top hold but now by reversing that that same level and breaking support again it has now created a double top! Which imo looks like Bitcoin is going to probably fall at least back to 50% retracement of 99,530. Therefore Scenarios for today imo would be.... Bullish- Not at all imo this thing is about to enter a downtrend any day now. The only way I would even consider ever becoming bullish is if it broke above the double top at 124,646. Then maybe I would consider buying a pullback. Bearish- Yes 100% bearish these rallies should be sold if market can rally back to 118,000 and try to sell it at good price then put risk stop above resistance at maybe 126,500 or 127,000. Seem like market has alot of pressure in that area. Commitment of Traders- Interestingly that funds right now are nuetral which means they can start buying or selling but even if they start buying that would still be bearish imo because the charts are showing strong top formations. Also with US Dollar showing bottom on charts this could lead to more pressure on BTC. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford RISK DISCLOSURE TRADING IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKET INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK. ALWAYS CONSULT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AS HIGH RISK ASSET CLASSES MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY ASSETS. ALL IDEAS ARE MADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TradeTheIndex
BITCOIN — STRUCTURE SHIFT INSIDE BEARISH RANGEBitcoin has filled the 116.3 to 114.9 imbalance and is now trading inside a defined bearish range. Lower-timeframe structure has shifted downward with significant volume left behind, which suggests this is not a place to buy into strength. Price has completed the imbalance fill, and the next question is whether this area becomes a market-maker trap or a true continuation leg. If smart money continues to build short positions, distribution could follow. If liquidity dries up and buyers absorb, the trap scenario takes shape. Patience remains the correct position. Focus on the 15-minute to 1-hour range for confirmation. A break of structure, a clean rejection, or a failed retest around 116.3 will define the next directional move. Until that occurs, any trade inside this zone is a low-probability action. On the macro side, the U.S. Dollar Index continues higher, signaling risk aversion and tighter global liquidity. Bitcoin does not move in perfect correlation, but capital still follows the path of safety when the dollar strengthens. In the current environment, the edge lies in observation and precision, not anticipation. Let structure confirm before committing. Probabilities always favor the patient.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CORE5DAN
Bitcoin: Bull Trend Intact, Wedge Breakout Setting UpWe’re pivoting back to Bitcoin (BTCUSD) this week after its recent breakout to fresh all-time highs. It’s a strong reminder that the broader trend remains bullish, and the bulls are still very much in control. 🔍 On the daily chart, we’re watching a new wedge formation develop. BTC is currently consolidating just beneath a major resistance zone. A break and daily close above the $124K–$125K range would likely confirm the next leg of this bull cycle. 📈 If the breakout holds, the measured move from the wedge projects a rally into the $138K–$140K zone. That’s our near-term upside target, contingent on momentum and confirmation. 📉 On the downside, support holds firm between $112K–$114K. As long as price remains above this level, the path of least resistance is still higher.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Richtv_official
BTC/USD — Market Under Pressure Amid U.S.–China Trade EscalationBTC/USD corrected sharply last week amid profit-taking and trade tensions between China and the U.S. After touching 102,100, price recovered to 115,625, testing resistance at Murray . Sentiment remains cautious while uncertainty over Fed policy and tariffs persists. ⸻ Technical Outlook • Bitcoin remains within a medium-term descending channel, now attempting an upside breakout. • Break above 116,600 → potential rally toward 121,875 and 125,000. • Break below 112,500 → continuation to 106,250 and 103,125. Indicators: • Bollinger Bands — flattening, showing consolidation. • MACD — turning bearish near zero. • Stochastic — rebounding from oversold zone. ⸻ Trade Setups 🟢 Long Setup Entry: 116,800 TP1: 121,875 TP2: 125,000 SL: 113,200 🔴 Short Setup Entry: 112,350 TP1: 106,250 TP2: 103,125 SL: 115,700 ⸻ Key Levels Support: 112,500 • 106,250 • 103,125 Resistance: 116,600 • 121,875 • 125,000 ⸻ 💬 BTC is consolidating below resistance. A close above 116.6K may trigger a bullish continuation, while losing 112.5K opens deeper downside toward 106K.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by John_Isige
BITCOIN AT A CRITICAL SUPPORT:-107500From the crash on Friday last week BTC found support just above 107500 after a drop of around 12%. As you can see the price has reached a very strong support zone that dates back to December 2024 This is a critical moment for BTC as this zone is currently holding the price up So far BTC remains bearish but is still supported as long as the price stays above 107,500 ------BULLLISH SCENARIO As long as BTC holds above 107,500 it has a potential to rise again toward 121,300 and possibly rich a new record high around 135,000 ---------BEARISH SCENARIO If BTC breaks below 107500, support the chances of a deeper correction increases with potential targets around 93,500 and 80,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by enwemadufranklyn1989