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BTC Inverse Perpetual Futures Contract

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BTCUSD.PI trade ideas

BTC eyes on $117,868: Semi-Major Genesis fib caused last TOPShown here is a single fib series in three different time-frames. The Genesis Sequence (from birth) has called all major turns. Now approaching a "semi-major" ratio of this life-cycle fib set. It is PROBABLE that we orbit this fib a few times. It is POSSIBLE that we break and retest for next leg. It is PLAUSIBLE that we reject and drop to sister fib. . See "Related Publications" for previous charts, such as this TOP CALL from October 2024: Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts. ========================================================= .
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
5
Bitcoin Bearish Supercycle 📉 Bearish Bitcoin Supercycle: 8-Year Bear Market Ahead? Ticker: BTCUSD Timeframe: Weekly/Monthly Sentiment: Bearish 🐻 💡 Main Thesis We are at a critical turning point in Bitcoin's supercycle. After years of bull market, we're seeing concerning signals that suggest the possible beginning of an extremely long-term bearish supercycle - double the standard 4-year cycle. 🏦 Institutional Concentration Major institutions, funds, and whales have accumulated massive amounts of BTC over recent years: MicroStrategy, Tesla, BlackRock ETF and others hold hundreds of thousands of BTC Approximately 20% of all bitcoins are now in institutional hands This concentration creates a dangerous situation for retail investors ⚠️ Coordinated Sell-off Risk Key Concerns: Liquidity trap: Institutions could coordinate massive sell-offs Market manipulation: Large players have the power to drastically influence price Systemic risk: Massive selling could trigger an avalanche of further sales 🏛️ Historical Context Traditional banking elites have long viewed Bitcoin as a threat: Decentralization undermines their monetary monopoly Several attempts to "kill" Bitcoin have failed Current situation provides them with an ideal opportunity 📊 Technical Indicators RSI: Overbought territory on higher timeframes On-chain metrics: Decreasing long-term holder activity Whale watching: Increased large wallet activity 🎯 Scenario If this supercycle unfolds, we can expect: Gradual institutional sell-off over first 2 years Massive break below all key support levels Extremely long-term bear market lasting 8 years Target level: $3,000 - $8,000 (return to pre-2017 levels) Complete market structure reset
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by bennycryptoguru
1
Bitcoin BTC: Watching for Support and Accumulation📊 Bitcoin (BTC) has been pushing lower and is now appearing overextended to the downside. Recently, price has staged a deep correction that may be nearing exhaustion. 🔎 I’ll be watching closely to see if BTC can hold key support levels and potentially begin forming an accumulation base 🏗️. 📈 Should price confirm strength with a bullish break of market structure, that would signal a possible long opportunity 🚀. Until then, patience is required to let the setup fully develop. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is educational analysis only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk carefully.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
just grok rate cuts"Based on historical analysis of Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycles since 1965, there have been 12 such cycles. In 10 of them, rate cuts began after equity markets had already peaked, meaning the bear markets started before the cuts. In the remaining 2 cycles, cuts preceded the market peak, so the bear markets began afterward.These instances are:September 2007: The Fed's first cut on September 18 came just weeks before the S&P 500's peak on October 9, kicking off the Global Financial Crisis bear market (a 56.8% decline to March 2009). July 2019: The initial cut on July 31 preceded the S&P 500's peak on February 19, 2020, leading to the COVID-19 bear market (a 33.9% drop to March 23, 2020). In most cases, rate cuts respond to existing economic weakness or market declines, so bears rarely start after them. The two exceptions involved cuts amid perceived stability that later gave way to shocks (subprime crisis and pandemic). This pattern highlights the Fed's typical lag in policy action relative to market turns."
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by m3g4tr4d3r
Bitcoin: Volume Spike Signals Temporary ReliefFenzoFx—Bitcoin sold off early in the week, now trading near $112,670.00. A high-volume 4-hour candle tapped the bullish FVG and ended with a wick, suggesting partial profit-taking by bears. The short-term trend remains bearish due to displacement below $115,132.00 and active bearish FVGs. BTC/USD may consolidate near resistance before resuming its downtrend. If price rises toward the low-volume node near $115,132.00 and holds bearish momentum, it could target the equal lows at $107,507.00. The bearish outlook is invalidated if BTC/USD closes above the breaker block at $116,194.00.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by FenzoFxBroker
BTC H&S IN PROGRESS. WATCH FOR BULLISH SIGNS AROUND $111.3KMorning folks, So, everything has happened as we discussed last time. Minor H&S led us to the big one. And now price stands at the point, where it has to either start working or to fail. And for any trader, who would like to trade this pattern, it is a decision making moment. Thus, drop your time frame to 15 min chart and watch for market reaction around 111.3K support. If we get any bullish patterns there, then it is possible to try. Conversely, if H&S will fail - BTC probably will drop down to 100K area. Unfortunately currently I can't exactly tell whether this H&S will work or not, just because price has touched support level a few minutes ago. It needs time to show a reaction. Although fast drop is not good for bullish reversal pattern, but it not always leads to failure. I mark this idea as "bullish" but with some advance and mostly due to its nature. For position taking we still need clear patterns on lower time frames.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Continue to Fall?!Bitcoin is currently below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its descending channel. In the event of an upward correction towards the specified supply zones, it is possible to sell Bitcoin with a better risk-reward ratio. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Since early September, Bitcoin has shown a steady upward trend, largely fueled by expectations of a Fed rate cut at the FOMC meeting and optimism about its potential impact. When the Federal Reserve finally delivered the long-anticipated 0.25% rate reduction, Bitcoin declined by only about 1%. While the crypto market currently appears somewhat lackluster, the limited reaction can be viewed as a textbook example of the “buy the rumor, sell the news” dynamic. The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization remains above $4 trillion. According to CoinMarketCap data, the average performance of the top 20 cryptocurrencies was negative 0.43% during the past week. Meanwhile, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index stands at a neutral level of 51, down six points from last week, moving away from the “greed” zone. Fed Chair Jerome Powell characterized the rate cut as “risk management” rather than a measure to support a weak economy. This framing may explain the subdued market reaction. Given that markets had already priced in a 96% probability of a 0.25% cut before the official announcement, traders effectively executed the classic playbook of buying the rumor and selling the news. The political angle of the decision also added uncertainty. Steven Miran, the newly appointed Fed member and former economic adviser to Trump, cast the only dissenting vote, advocating for a larger 0.5% cut instead of the 0.25% reduction. A chart circulating in the market highlights potential liquidation zones. Prices below spot indicate long positions at risk of liquidation, while prices above spot point to short liquidations. At present, the Max Pain level for longs sits at $112.7K, while the Max Pain level for shorts is at $121.6K, with spot Bitcoin trading around $117.2K. This illustrates the market’s fragile balance—downward movement could trigger long liquidations, whereas an upward breakout may unleash a wave of short squeezes toward recent highs. Michael Saylor hinted at possible additional purchases, remarking: “The orange dots are moving upward.” He also described Bitcoin as a calm, fair, and impartial tool for resolving conflicts among people. Meanwhile, last week the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved new general standards that pave the way for broad-scale issuance of crypto-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These regulations allow exchanges such as NYSE, Nasdaq, and Cboe to list spot market crypto ETFs without case-by-case reviews. As a result, the approval timeline for ETFs has been shortened from over 240 days to around 75 days, greatly simplifying the process for asset managers. Dozens of new ETFs for cryptocurrencies like Solana, Ripple (XRP), and Dogecoin are expected to launch starting in October. This development effectively ends a decade-long case-by-case review process that dates back to the first Bitcoin ETF application in 2013. While the Trump administration supported progressive crypto regulation, this approach contrasts with the slower regulatory stance seen under Biden. Despite the regulatory breakthrough, firms stress that legal work, marketing efforts, and support services are still required to successfully launch these ETFs.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
BTC fell sharply todayBTC has sharply dropped to around 111672 today, its lowest position since September 10 in a sudden flash crash. Judging from the recent data, the BTC price closed at 115699 on September 20 and 115231 on September 21. And on September 22, the price broken below the support level and continued to decline and further declined to around 111672, showing a continuous downward trend. Currently, BTC is fluctuating around 112800, and we can seize the opportunity to go short. Sell 113000 - 113500 TP 112000-111500 - 111000 Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CarterJordan
BTC Looks Bearish (12H)From the point marked as **Start** on the chart, it seemed that a bullish phase had begun on Bitcoin. This bullish phase formed a triangle, and now we are at the end of this triangle. With a pullback to the red zone, a further drop could occur. The main target of this bearish move appears to be the 88K channel. This view remains valid unless a daily candle closes above the invalidation level. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by behdark
1
BTCUSD Swing Trade – Buy SetupBTCUSD is showing support around the 115,500 level, with price respecting the 4H EMA zone. The setup favors a continuation move if buyers hold this level. A clear bullish structure suggests potential for upward momentum toward resistance. Key Levels: Buy Entry Point: 115,500 Stop Loss: 114,000 Take Profit: 117,500 Reasoning: Price is testing a key support area with moving averages holding as dynamic support. If buyers defend this level, a swing move toward the 117,500 resistance zone becomes probable. Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis idea shared for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage your own risk before trading.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
1
As long as I am here, Bitcoin isn't going anywhere!''We still see downward targets to at least 92,425$ in the medium term and even lower in the long term to 45,379$. The alts such as XRP and ETH, should follow suit with BTC. SPX should continue to see a pump to 6,860$ before a massive sell off occurs..... I don't know what will cause this sell off a war, financial crisis or trump opening his mouth but something will kick off a set of domino chains that should make us see a financial crash as bad as the 2008 crash....... you heard it here foretold first and a lot of you will laugh but I will document this whole journey to the ground, with every twist and turn.'' >>>>>>> THIS WAS STATED IN OUR MOST RECENT POST. >>>>>>> NOTHING CHANGES ON OUR CHARTS, WE CAN SEE WEEKS AND MONTHS AND YEARS INTO THE FUTURE. I WILL PROVE ALL DOUBTERS WRONG, YOU STILL HAVE TIME TO OFFLOAD BEFORE THE BIGGEST CRASH IN CRYPTO AND STOCK HISTORY OCCURS WITHIN SUCH A SHORT SPACE OF TIME. Things have been sped up x100 over this weekend. I am not here spreading FUD, I am here warning everyone. Go on our page and follow price for the past 2 months, you'll realise we have this all under control. and yes, we have been predicting the pumps too including on SPX, but we are near the top and things have become exhausted.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Goldstandard212
5
The SWIFT Network’s Role in Global Trade and Finance1. History and Evolution of SWIFT SWIFT was created in 1973 in response to the limitations of older systems like Telex, which were slow, unreliable, and prone to fraud. The founding banks recognized the need for a standardized, secure, and reliable messaging system that could operate globally. Headquartered in La Hulpe, Belgium, SWIFT began as a cooperative of banks sharing a common infrastructure. Over time, SWIFT has evolved from a simple messaging platform into a complex global network supporting diverse financial activities, including: Payments and fund transfers Securities settlement Trade finance Treasury and cash management Compliance and regulatory reporting SWIFT has also kept pace with digital transformation, adopting standards like ISO 20022, which allows richer, more detailed financial messages. 2. How SWIFT Works At its core, SWIFT is a messaging system. It doesn’t actually move money; instead, it allows banks to securely communicate instructions about financial transactions. Here’s a simplified breakdown: A bank wants to pay another bank in another country. It sends a SWIFT message with instructions (amount, currency, recipient bank details). The message travels through SWIFTNet, a secure private network. The recipient bank receives the message and executes the payment. SWIFT messages come in standard formats: MT (Message Types): Traditional format used for decades. ISO 20022: Modern standard offering richer data and flexibility. These standardized messages ensure that every bank “speaks the same language,” reducing mistakes and delays. 3. SWIFT’s Role in Global Trade Trade between countries is complex. Companies need to pay suppliers, receive payments, manage letters of credit, and track shipments. SWIFT plays a critical role in this ecosystem. 3.1 Cross-Border Payments Without SWIFT, international payments would be slow and error-prone. SWIFT standardizes instructions, ensuring payments: Are secure Reach the right bank and account Can be traced in case of issues SWIFT’s Global Payments Innovation (GPI) initiative allows payments to be tracked in real time, offering speed, transparency, and predictability—a massive improvement for international businesses. 3.2 Trade Finance Trade finance involves letters of credit, guarantees, and documentary collections, which are critical in global trade. SWIFT enables banks to exchange these documents electronically, reducing: Manual paperwork Delays in transaction approval Risk of errors and fraud This speeds up trade and builds trust between trading partners. 3.3 Supply Chain Financing Global supply chains rely on timely payments. SWIFT helps finance providers quickly access transaction data, enabling them to offer loans or early payments to suppliers. This keeps supply chains running smoothly, especially in industries like manufacturing, electronics, and energy. 4. SWIFT’s Role in Global Finance Beyond trade, SWIFT underpins the broader financial system. 4.1 Secure Messaging The security of SWIFT is legendary. It uses: Advanced encryption to protect messages Secure private networks (SWIFTNet) Fraud monitoring systems Even though SWIFT has faced high-profile cyberattacks, its continuous upgrades keep it central to secure financial communications. 4.2 Enabling Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) As countries explore digital currencies, SWIFT is exploring ways to integrate them into its messaging network. This could allow banks to exchange CBDCs across borders securely, paving the way for faster, more transparent international payments in the digital age. 4.3 Regulatory Compliance SWIFT helps banks comply with global regulations: Anti-Money Laundering (AML) Know Your Customer (KYC) Sanctions screening It provides data standards and reporting tools that make compliance easier, reducing risks for banks and regulators alike. 5. SWIFT in the Context of Global Trade Challenges Despite its importance, SWIFT faces challenges: 5.1 Cybersecurity Threats SWIFT has been targeted in cases like the 2016 Bangladesh Bank heist, where hackers attempted to steal $81 million. These incidents highlight the importance of constant security upgrades and institutional vigilance. 5.2 Geopolitical Risks SWIFT can become a tool of international sanctions. Excluding a country’s banks from SWIFT effectively cuts it off from the global financial system, as seen with Iran and Russia in recent years. This demonstrates SWIFT’s strategic influence on geopolitics. 5.3 Competition from Alternatives Countries are developing alternatives to reduce reliance on SWIFT: CIPS (China) for renminbi transactions SPFS (Russia) as a domestic alternative These alternatives challenge SWIFT to innovate while maintaining trust and global acceptance. 6. Advantages of Using SWIFT Standardization: All members follow the same messaging format. Security: Robust encryption and network monitoring. Speed: Transactions are executed faster than older systems. Global Reach: Connects banks in over 200 countries. Transparency: With GPI, payments can be tracked in real time. 7. Future of SWIFT SWIFT is not standing still. Its future initiatives include: Digital Integration: Exploring blockchain, AI, and real-time settlements. Interoperability: Working with CBDCs and alternative payment systems. Sustainability: Supporting green finance and ESG reporting standards. These initiatives aim to maintain SWIFT’s dominance in global finance while adapting to a rapidly changing world. Conclusion SWIFT is the invisible thread connecting the global financial system. It doesn’t handle money, but it ensures that money can move securely, efficiently, and reliably. From trade payments and supply chain financing to regulatory compliance and the future of digital currencies, SWIFT is foundational to global trade and finance. Without SWIFT, modern global commerce would grind to a halt. As the world moves toward digital currencies, faster payments, and more complex trade networks, SWIFT’s role will only become more critical.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
BTC/USD Supply Zone Rejection – Short Setup Towards 111,450Pair & Timeframe BTC/USD on the 1-hour chart. The chart is showing intraday to short-term trading levels. 2. Current Market Structure Price has been moving in a downward channel (bearish trend). Multiple lower highs and lower lows confirm the downtrend. Recently, price broke a bit above the channel but got rejected in the supply zone. 3. Supply Zone Marked between 115,318 – 116,118 USD. This is an area where sellers are expected to step in (previous breakdown zone). Price reacted from this zone and is showing bearish continuation. 4. Trade Setup Entry Point: ~115,337 USD Stop Loss: 116,118 USD (just above supply zone to protect against false breakout) Target Point: 111,468 USD This gives: Risk (SL – Entry) ≈ 781 USD Reward (Entry – Target) ≈ 3,869 USD Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) ≈ 1:5, which is very favorable. 5. Current Price Action BTC currently trading around 114,614 USD (below entry). If price retests supply zone again but fails to break above, bearish continuation is likely. If BTC breaks and closes above 116,118 USD, this short setup becomes invalid. 6. Outlook Bearish bias as long as BTC stays under 116,118 USD. High probability move toward 111,450 – 111,468 USD support zone. If price holds above 116,118 USD, it could flip bullish and retest 117k+ levels. ✅ Summary: This is a short setup based on supply zone rejection within a broader downtrend. The risk-to-reward is excellent (1:5), but watch for a false breakout above 116,118 USD.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING