BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
Where can Bitcoin Go? Part 2🌟 Bitcoin's Breakout Surge: Professor's Big Charts Revealed 🌟
Part1 was a Legendary one with amazing, pin-point precision from miles away:
📈 Live Analysis
Watch thean in-depth journey through Bitcoin's latest surge as we go live on TradingView. Get ready for a session packed with insights and the unveiling of the Professor's big chart. Join us: Live Stream: www.tradingview.com
🚀 The Breakout Chart Breakdown
Witness the bullish momentum as Bitcoin smashes past the $47,650 barrier. With my analysis, we're looking at a bull run targeting $59.9K,
69K
, and the ambitious $79K. 🎯 Stay bullish and watch as the charts unfold the story live!
💹 Historic Patterns: A Roadmap to $79K
Reflect on the last breakout at $31,100 and its staggering rise to $46,000. Our charts have been the compass leading us to these profitable winds. Don't miss out as we dissect the potential climb to $79K, live!
🔍 Last Year's Chart: The Trendline Triumph
Cast your minds back to January 2023, when Bitcoin was a humble $18,000. Fast forward, and we're witnessing a breakout reminiscent of December 2020's rally from $7,500 to $24,000. Could we be on the cusp of reaching new all-time highs? Let's explore together.
⏱️ Halving Cycles: This Time It's Different
Every cycle writes its own story, and this one's no exception. We're approaching the halving with a market more aware and ready to advance. Tune in as we analyze why we might see an all-time high sooner than the previous cycles.
🌐 Join the Live Stream for the Full Picture
There's much more to cover, from halving cycles to breakout patterns. Ensure you're part of the live session for a comprehensive analysis that could redefine your trading strategy.
Catch the full live session and secure your front-row seat to Bitcoin's exciting journey: Join the Live Stream: www.tradingview.com
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion🌋🚀 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion. 🔓💥
The breakout over 114900 has happened.
After 2 rejections, years of preparation, and countless fakeouts… Bitcoin has finally cleared the $114,921 barrier.
We are now officially in price discovery mode within the upper resistance channel.
📍 As long as BTC stays above $114,900 – we are long.
This level is now our trigger line. Lose it? Flip back to short bias. Hold it? There’s only one word: 🚀
🔑 Context:
We’ve tracked this structure since 2023 using a 1-2-3 model based on macro highs. The third test is always the decider — and this time, we broke through.
✅ Test 1: Rejected (2021)
✅ Test 2: Rejected (2025)
✅ Test 3: Breakout confirmed (July 2025)
Now compare that to previous cycles:
2016 halving → ATH in 2017
2020 halving → ATH in 2021
2024 halving → ATH coming by end of 2025?
🧭 Based on this map, BTC’s next structural targets are:
→ $137K
→ $160K
→ $182K+
But there’s a catch: if we fall back below 114,900, the entire breakout thesis is at risk. This is now a binary zone.
⚠️ What to Watch:
📌 Support Retests:
Expect volatility around the 114.9–116K level. This zone will now be stress-tested.
📌 Media Frenzy vs Structure:
As hype increases, stick to levels — not noise.
📌 Ultimate FOMO vs Breakdown:
Hold structure = ATH potential
Lose structure = Down we go, potentially hard.
🎥 Missed the full structural breakdown?
👉 Watch “Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8” for the blueprint
👉 This is now Part 9 – The terminal move has begun
We are now playing for cycle maturity – this could be the final leg before topping out in late 2025.
Let’s trade it with clarity, not emotions.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
🚨 BITCOIN HAS BROKEN OUT but keep in mind: under 114900 be OUT!
Trigger: 4h-close above 114,826 (Donch-H20)Snapshot of the last 4h candle + what does it mean
Price: ~114 314.7
VWAP (the entire period): ~114 199.5, z(Price−VWAP) ≈ 0.36 — the price is moderately higher than the "fair" price over 100 candles; there is no overheating according to VWAP, but there is a positive slope.
aVWAP (multiple anchors): start 114 199.5 / 60d 114 096.5 / from swing low 112 682.1 / from swing high 112 128.1 — trading above all aVWAP, trend support from below.
Donchian 20/55:
20: H 114 825.7 / M 111 969.8 / L 109 113.9 — channel of the last 20 candles; exit above H = update of the loc. extremum.
55: H 115 623.8 / M 112 086.9 / L 108 550.0 — wider context of the range.
Volume Profile (~60d): POC ~115 112.5 / VAL ~109 261 / VAH ~120 964 — currently slightly below POC, within the value zone (VAL↔VAH). POC is a magnet; VAH is the top of the demand corridor.
HVN/LVN landmarks: maximum volume nodes near POC ~115k and in the area ~121k (closer to VAH); thin spots (LVN) — ~109–110k.
RSI(14): ~67.5 — close to the overbought zone, bullish momentum.
MFI(14): ~81.1 — overbought by money, the movement was driven by volume inflow.
CMF(20): ~+0.27 — steady positive cash flow (buyers control).
MACD(12,26,9): 838 > 558, hist +280 — bullish momentum persists.
ADX(14): ~41.4; +DI 33 / −DI 15 — the trend is strong and upward.
ATR(14): ~928$ — average true range; used for buffers/stops.
Keltner: Upper 114 202 / Mid(EMA20) 112 377 / Lower 110 553 — we are standing right above the upper edge, a sign of a trend "throw."
Bollinger(20,2): Upper 115 722 / Mid 111 760 / Lower 107 798 — there is still room for the BB-Upper; there is no compression.
z(Price−VWAP) : 0.36 — a small premium to the "fair" price, allows the trend to continue without mandatory unloading.
OBV z-scores: z50 +1.54 / z100 −0.43 / z200 −0.96 — short-term inflow, medium-/long-term — not yet fully confirmed (traces of previous outflow). OBV ROC(10) ≈ −0.28 — the inflow rate has cooled locally.
Open Interest: ~67.44k, z(168) ≈ −0.79, ROC(5/10) ≈ −1% / +4% — OI is below average: some of the growth may have been due to the covering of shorts rather than the addition of fresh longs. For a sustained uptrend, it would be desirable to see a stabilization/growth in OI.
Latest divergences (by auto-detector)
RSI: bullish 22 Sep 07:00 → 22 Sep 19:00, bullish 22 Sep 19:00 → 23 Sep 19:00
MACD: bearish 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00
OBV: bearish 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00
MFI: bullish 23 Sep 19:00 → 25 Sep 23:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00
How to interpret: a bullish divergence increases the likelihood of a rebound/continuation upwards; a bearish divergence increases the risk of a rotation/correction. Signals are more reliable when confirmed by a candlestick pattern + OBV/CMF.
What does this mean now
The momentum is strong: MACD↑, ADX>40, CMF>0, and the price is in a trending mode at Keltner-Upper.
Position relative to the profile: we are inside the VA and close to POC ~115k, which is an area of equilibrium; the market likes to test/balance around POC.
Risks of "hotness": RSI≈68 and MFI>80 indicate short-term overheating of money; without OI support, there may be откаты к средним значениям перед новым импульсом.
VWAP context: z(Price−VWAP) is low (≈0.36), and all aVWAP are lower, indicating that buyers are in control.
Key levels
Resistances: 114 826 (Donch-H20) → 115 113 (POC) → 115 624 (Donch-H55) → ~118k (inter-nodal zone) → 120 964 (VAH).
Supports: 114 202 (Keltner-Upper/Return boundary) → 114 096 (aVWAP 60D) → 112 377 (EMA20/Keltner-Mid) → 112 087 (Donch-Mid55) → 111 970 (Donch-Mid20) → 109 261 (VAL) → 109 114 / 108 550 (Donch L20/L55).
Scenarios and triggers (not the financial council)
A) Continuation of the upward trend is the basic trend.
Why is it the basic trend: convergence of momentum metrics (MACD+, ADX>40, CMF>0, aVWAP control), moderate z(Price−VWAP), and proximity to POC (often broken by the trend).
Trigger: 4h-close above 114,826 (Donch-H20) with buffer ≈ +0.1·ATR ≈ +93$ → > 114,920, with CMF>0 and OBV z50 ≥ 1.0.
Targets: 115 113 (POC) → 115 624 (H55) → ~118k → 120 964 (VAH) with normalization/growth of OI.
Invalidator: quick rollback and fixing below 114 202 (return to Keltner) and below aVWAP 60d 114 096.
B) Rotation to the averages / reload.
Trigger: 4h-closing below 114 202, RSI < 60 / MFI < 70, weakening of the MACD histogram, while OI↑ on the fall.
Targets: 112 377 (EMA20) → 112 087 / 111 970 (Donch Mid 55/20) → 109 261 (VAL) → 109 114 / 108 550 (L20/L55).
Cancel: return and hold above 114 826 with OBV recovery.
C) Quick short squeeze up.
If a set of shorts (OI↑) starts near POC and the price does not give back, a breakout > 114 920 with a fall in OI on a green candle ⇒ closing shorts and accelerating to 115.6k → 118k → 121k.
Tactics (example of logic)
Impulse long: after fixing > 114 920. Partial fixation at 115 113 and 115 624, then a trawl to the zone 118k → 121k. Stop under 114 202 (or under the retest level).
Reversal long (conservative): zones 112.4k–112.1k (EMA20 / Donch-Mid55) at signs of demand (CMF>0, candle reaction, OBV z50 turns up). Stop — below 111.9k, targets — 114.2k → 114.8k/115.1k.
Contra-trend short: only if 114.8k–115.6k is rejected + RSI/MFI reversal down and weak MACD histogram. Targets are 114.2k → 112.4k → 111.9k, stop at 115.7k.
In short: what to expect
The bullish trend is active, but the money is overheated (MFI>80), and the OI is below average.
If we consolidate above 114.9k, it is logical to break through to 115.1k → 115.6k → 118k, and with a good flow, to 121k (VAH zone).
If we return below 114.2k, a rotation/reboot to 112.4k–112.0k is likely; a deep scenario leads to VAL ~109.3k.
$BTC Sunday Update Bitcoin dumped over 8K, exactly as I warned CRYPTOCAP:BTC Sunday Update
Bitcoin dumped over 8K, exactly as I warned many times at 115K. This is now the 2nd time price has rejected and fallen below 110K. I’m still holding shorts, and if we push back to 115K again, I’ll add more. My downside targets haven’t changed: 105K, 100K, 95K, 90K or below. Altcoin pumps are only traps before the bigger drop.
BTCUSDT Bullish Rebound Setup From Support RetestTrade Setup Analysis
Pair: BTCUSDT
Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
Position Type: Long (Buy)
Entry Point: 115,554.94
Positioned exactly between the stop loss and take profit zones, providing an optimal entry after a pullback to support.
Stop Loss (SL): 112,693.78
Placed below the key support zone to limit downside risk. Risk is approximately -2.48% from entry.
Take Profit (TP): 124,843.07
Target set at a recent swing high, offering a potential upside of around +8.04% from entry.
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.25
A favorable setup offering more than triple the potential reward compared to the risk.
Technical Outlook:
BTCUSDT experienced a sharp pullback after testing highs, now retesting a support level that aligns with previous consolidation. This could present a buying opportunity if bullish momentum resumes.
Bullish Scenario: Holding above 115,554.94 and forming higher lows could trigger a rally toward 124,843.07.
Bearish Invalidation: A break below 112,693.78 would invalidate the setup and may open the door to further downside.
Summary:
This setup targets a rebound from support with a clearly defined stop loss and a strong reward potential, making it suitable for swing traders seeking favorable R/R conditions.
#BTCUSDT 4H ChartPrice is currently retesting the S/R Flip at 113k where it is bouncing from as well as the 100MA. MACD is showing some bullish weakness, RSI is bought and EMAs are turning bullish. Price is expected to keep pushing up aiming towards the 115.5k area where we have a minor supply zone.
Bitcoin HOLDING THE MAIN TREND.. UPDATE 30-09-2025BTC/USDT Update
🔻 Bitcoin is currently trading below the low time frame zone, showing short-term weakness.
✅ However, BTC is still holding the main trend, which keeps the bigger picture positive.
📊 As long as the main trend support (around $110K) is defended, the market structure remains intact.
🚀 A rebound from this area could bring BTC back into the low time frame range and open the way toward $115K+.
📌 Summary:
BTC lost the low time frame, but the fact that it’s holding the main trend is a key positive signal. This level is crucial for maintaining the bullish outlook.
BTC - 1D Elliott Wave Analysis - 28.09.25Welcome! Enjoy the Analysis and read carefully ;)
We did some adjustments and changes to the counts which do not affect the short term analyses and counts by much.
We assume that the last ATH was the end of a Wave 3 in blue and we are now looking for another Wave 4 into Wave 5. The Wave 4 support area is between the 0.236 FIB at 113187.3 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 101704.4 USD. Technically we could go a bit lower but preferably we do not break the 0.618 FIB at 96955.9 USD substantial.
We count the blue Wave 4 as an WXY in red of which we finished Wave W and most likely Wave X and currently we are forming Wave Y as an ABC. We have a yellow ABC which theoretically could be the whole Wave Y but it seems a bit shallow in time and regarding price we would like to see another low for that scenario. For that reason we also have a red ABC on the chart which would be the extended correction of Y in this case the yellow ABC would be only the red Wave A of the extended correction.
If the yellow C goes lower the next targets for it would be the 1 to 1 FIB at 107189.9 USD and then the 1.382 FIB at 104733.8 USD. The Wave B resistance area would be between the 0.382 FIB at 112045.6 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 116799.6 USD. Be aware that B Waves are hard to predict.
The target for the Wave Y is the 0.618 FIB at 107448.1 USD which is in confluence with the 1 to 1 FIB target of the yellow Wave C as well as the 0.382 FIB of the support area. The next target would be the 1 to 1 FIB at 101496.5 USD which is at confluence with the 0.5 FIB of the support area.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BTC 4H – Rejection at 114k, Eyes on 113k SupportBitcoin bounced strongly from the 109k demand zone, but faced a clear rejection at the 114k resistance.
🔹 Current 4H Outlook:
Price is testing 113k support after the pullback.
Losing 113k could trigger a deeper move toward 111k → 109k demand zone.
If bulls reclaim 114k and hold, upside targets are 116k → 118k.
📊 Scenarios:
✅ Bullish:
Hold above 113k and reclaim 114k → continuation to 116k – 118k.
❌ Bearish:
Break below 113k → correction down to 111k and possibly 109k demand zone.
🎯 Key Levels:
Supports: 113k / 111k / 109k
Resistances: 114k / 116k / 118k
⚡️ 113k is the key level to watch — decision point for the next move.
$BTC not too late to get outWe've been seeing a downward channel and bounce down off the top wedge. Technicals confirm this as well as UltraShort signals. There's a bit more to give (bleed). If you're up now, it's a good time to get out and stay on the sides. With the looming gov shutdown and ultra high markets, the recipe for a good pullback is high. Inverse ETFs CBOE:MSTZ CBOE:UVIX could play nicely.
BTC to go Parabolic to $333K, ~100 oz Gold by EOY 2025 Gold and Bitcoin are both valuable hard assets and from my observation, the Bitcoin chart to Gold is much better predictable than it's price to USD. The reason might be because Gold holds it's purchasing power over time through the history, and in fact it is the base line for the purchasing power, but Dollar depends on how much it gets printed and cannot be reliably predicted. That's why when you look at BTC/Gold chart, most of the times you see exact double tops or exact double bottoms.
I was predicting BTC would get to $100K USD when it hits it's previous top to Gold (37 oz) and so I was predicting about 8 month before it happens that BTC will be $100K when Gold is 2650 and it happened. I was surprised myself that it held true.
Looking into Gold price history, we can reliably say that Gold will not stop here and will march to $8000 within couple of years. However I think it has hit it's top for the year, or max $4000 will be the 2025 top. Then when Gold pulls back, BTC will get the chance to go parabolic, and has it's last rise of this bull market, and I expect it should take BTC to near 100 oz Gold. So if we want to put all together, Gold = 3350 where it pulls back and BTC= 100 oz = $335,000. I know the Bitcoin whales are playful sometimes, so we might get into $333,333 per BTC.
I remember in Nov 2013 everyone was talking about bitcoin flipping gold (1 BTC getting to 1 oz Gold) and well, it didn't happen at that time and it had to come back in 2017, but it got close enough. We might have the same kind of situation here so starting to drop anywhere from $270k to $330k might be what we get.
I don't publish many analysis's on TV, but I thought I'd put this here, it might get me famous ;)
Daily Bitcoin Signal: Watching the 110,500 Breakout, target 113KBitcoin Technical Signal
Bitcoin is currently showing signs of strength as it tests the key resistance level around 110,500. A confirmed breakout above this zone could trigger fresh bullish momentum, opening the door for higher targets in the short term.
Here’s my personal trade plan:
If the price breaks and closes a 1H candle above 110,500, I will enter a long position.
🎯 Target 1: 111,650
🎯 Target 2: 113,200
🛑 Stop-loss: 109,500
Please note:
This is not financial advice – I’m only sharing my personal trades.
Always do your own research before taking action.
👍 Don’t forget to boost my trading idea if you found this useful, and feel free to follow me for more analysis of this kind.
Best of luck 🌹
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – September 30, 2025Hello everyone,
Today, as of September 30, I would like to share my perspective on a Bitcoin short position. Once again, I am leaning toward the possibility of a decline, and the basis for this view consists of two main points.
First, from the perspective of Elliott Wave Theory, the ongoing 5th wave shows a 0.786 length ratio relative to the 1st wave. Traditionally, the 5th wave often has a specific proportional relationship with the 1st or 3rd wave, with the most ideal ratios being known as 0.618, 1.0, or 1.618. However, in actual markets, more unconventional ratios frequently appear, and one of these is precisely the 0.786 ratio structure of the 5th wave. While this ratio is not the textbook standard, it reflects market participants’ psychology and is repeatedly observed, which makes it a sufficiently valid analytical basis. In particular, at the current stage, the strength of the 5th wave’s advance is gradually weakening, and the typical characteristics of the end of a wave, such as the fading of buying momentum, are also being observed.
Second, a 1.13 ALT BAT pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, has formed. While the standard BAT pattern is based on the 0.886 level, the modified ALT BAT pattern sets the 1.13 point as the critical turning area, forming a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). In the current chart, a price reversal is indeed observed at the 1.13 point, which can be regarded as a strong signal where pattern theory and real market movement align. This situation is not a mere coincidence but indicates that selling pressure has intensified in an area where supply zones and psychological resistance are concentrated.
Based on these two factors, I set the average target for this decline around 111,633. Of course, since the market is fluid, I will continue to verify the validity of this idea as the chart develops and update it as necessary.
Thank you for reading.
BTC Update – Monday, 29.09.2025🚀 BTC Update – Monday, 29.09.2025 🚀
Bitcoin gave us some real fireworks over the weekend! 🎇 After hunting stop losses on both buy and sell sides, price quickly reversed and pumped back into the zone of indecision.
📌 In my last analysis, I mentioned two key levels:
* 113,460
* 116,310
Last week, BTC broke downside of 113,460, which was the first confirmation of a downtrend wave. But guess what? The market didn’t confirm the breakout – instead, price snapped back up, showing that bulls are still alive and fighting! 🐂🔥
👉 My view remains the same:
* If BTC breaks above the Yellow Line (Arrow #1) → we enter super bullish mode 🟢 and momentum can explode higher.
* If BTC fails to break and gets rejected from there → we could see a drop towards 100K 🔻.
* On the higher time frame, BTC is still in a range between Arrow #1 and Arrow #3. Until one side breaks cleanly, we stay patient and let the market decide the real direction.
💡 Reminder for all traders: Sometimes the best trade is no trade. Let the price confirm – don’t rush. Patience = Profits! 🧘♂️💰
⚡Stay focused, stay motivated, and remember – market shakeouts are designed to test weak hands. Strong hands win in the long run. 💪🔥
BITCOIN → Stagnation. A brief overview of the current situation.BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is consolidating after breaking through the trend line support. Despite the positive fundamental background and bullish trend, the market is forming a countertrend correction.
The decline in interest rates in the US has had a negative impact on the cryptocurrency market. Can this be called manipulation? Most likely, yes. But the cryptocurrency market needs a constant driver to keep it alive; calm or neutral conditions lead to corrections and retests of intermediate lows...
As for Bitcoin, I have identified several key areas: the boundaries of the current consolidation at 109,850 and 108,575. Accordingly, a breakout and close above or below one of these boundaries could trigger a move in the corresponding direction. But within the local trend, we can expect a decline to the intermediate bottom of 107,400, from which an attempt at growth could form. In addition, an important zone is the conglomerate of resistance at 110K and the ascending support line. If the price can form an upward momentum and close above the trend support, the market may react positively.
Resistance levels: 109,850 - 110K, 111,500
Support levels: 108,500, 107,400
After breaking through the trend support, there is no momentum and the price is consolidating. This suggests that the market does not believe this premise and a battle for the area is forming. If the bulls can hold their ground and bring the price back within the boundaries of the uptrend, then it may be worth looking for a buying opportunity. Otherwise, it is worth waiting for a retest of the intermediate bottom at 107,400 before looking for an opportunity to open long positions.
Best regards, R. Linda!