BTC/USDT Bearish Trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of BTC/USDT (4H timeframe) chart analysis:
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Bearish Bitcoin Setup
Trend: The market is clearly in a downtrend, with price respecting the descending channel.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Two FVG zones are highlighted where price retraced to fill imbalances.
Moving Averages:
50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue) are above price, confirming bearish momentum.
Key Resistance: Price is currently retesting the FVG supply zone around 111,000 – 111,500, which aligns with the descending trendline.
Rejection Expected: If sellers defend this zone, price is likely to continue its bearish trajectory.
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Target Point
A measured move suggests a potential drop towards 106,218 (next support / target zone).
This aligns with the channel’s lower boundary.
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Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Idea
Bias: Bearish.
Entry Zone: Around 111,000 – 111,500 (FVG supply & trendline confluence).
Target: 106,218.
Invalidation: A breakout above 113,000 (200 EMA) would weaken the bearish setup.
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BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
Bitcoin Recovery: Key Levels to Watch This WeekIn the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has shown a solid recovery — but will it continue?
This week’s pivot point is at 112,054 , while the risk level is 110,307 . If that breaks, there’s a high probability of seeing a move down toward 105K (explained in more detail in the video idea).
At the moment, the price is above key moving averages. The last breakout happened on increased volume, and as long as momentum holds, the outlook remains bullish. Still, the price can’t rise forever, so a local correction would be logical, with the support zone for such a move in the 111,400 – 110,700 range.
Targets for this week: 114,636 , 116,231 , and 118,813 .
BTC at a Crossroad: Path to 62.5k Is Conditional-Pick Your PlayI’m sharing a possible irregular flat correction that could pull BTC toward ~62,513—only if two key trend supports break.
Note: This Elliott count differs from my main count. It’s my secondary scenario—lower conviction, but it deserves close attention because the structure is developing cleanly. This does not mean BTC is going down (it's just a watch out scenario)
The story so far
From the Nov 22, 2022 low, BTC ran a full 5-wave impulse.
Wave 3 was the extended one.
Wave 4 formed a triangle.
Wave 5 ran hotter than expected (roughly the size of Wave 3). That’s unusual, likely fueled by extreme Bollinger Band Width compression before the final push.
Why this matters: when Wave 3 extends, Wave 5 is usually shorter. It isn’t a hard rule—just a guideline—so this count stays on the board, but it’s not a high-conviction setup.
What I think is happening now
The drop and bounce look like an expanded (irregular) flat: (A) down, (B) up which was our All time high, C down.
If the pattern completes, C could target ~62,513.
Quick pattern note (irregular flat): It’s a 3–3–5 structure — A = 3 waves, B = 3 waves (often pokes above the prior high), and C = 5 waves. On this chart, A and B already printed as 3 + 3. The setup isn’t confirmed until we see C unfold as a clear 5-wave move (1-2-3-4-5). No five-wave C = no completed irregular flat.
What would confirm it (the “if/then”)
Lose the first rising trend support (≈ 109k).
Then lose the second, deeper trend support.
If both break, the path toward ~62.5k could be opening up.
Between those two lines: BTC can go sideways for a weeks—that “range box” is important.
Why the range box matters (Altseason meter)
Altcoins usually need steady BTC to fly:
BTC sideways (not spiking up or dumping).
TOTAL2 (alt mkt cap) breaks ATH.
BTC.D rolls over (dominance falls).
If these three line up, we’ve got a real altseason setup. If not, it’s noise.
Bottom line
This is a watchlist scenario, not gospel.
I’ll respect the levels: no break = no bear target.
If we range between supports, I’ll look for alt strength while BTC stays calm.
BTC Accumulates in Downtrend - CorrectionBTC Analysis
BTC is currently moving in line with the broader trend structure. After a strong bearish leg, the price reacted precisely at the 108k demand zone, rebounding sharply by around +4,000 points. This confirms that buyers are still actively defending this critical level.
At present, BTC is trading near 112k, with the next resistance levels to watch at 113,925 – 116,132. A short-term bullish continuation into these zones is possible, but strong selling pressure is expected there.
If the price fails to hold above the 113k – 114k area, a pullback toward the 109k demand zone could follow. A deeper bearish continuation would then likely target 106k – 106.2k, which aligns with the next key Fibonacci extension and a major support area.
Key Notes:
• The broader trend remains intact; buyers successfully defended 108k.
• Watch resistance at 113.9k – 116.1k for potential reversal signals.
• Key support zones: 109k (demand) and 106k (major target).
BTC TREND CHANNEL - BITCOIN TRENDING UPTRENDBitcoin is in a new uptrend on the lower time frames. There is a high chance BTC will target between $112K and $113K in the short term. From there, we could see the daily trend of Bitcoin develop further.
Follow this channel for daily BTC updates
Thank you
BITCOIN SIGNAL: MOST PEOPLE ARE DOING THIS NOW (wrong)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are going through multi-timeframe analysis on Bitcoin as professional traders. We are using advanced technical indicators, and we are properly analyzing with an Elliot Wave perspective. We are digging deep into the sub-waves and structure. Enjoy.
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
28/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $115,537.51
Last weeks low: $108,606.86
Midpoint: $112,072.19
As BTC continued to trend down post FOMC the key HTF level of $108,500, after some chop at this level a late rally on Sunday has pushed BTC back to the Midpoint of the range for this week.
As September comes to a close we are at the point where banks window dress their balance sheets by de-risking going into Q4. Banks taking cash out of the market to appear there is less risk and more liquid to hide their true risk over the quarter. This lowers liquidity and for this reason I do not expect the bulls to be out of the woods yet and the weekly low ($108k) could be under attack again before the week closes.
The story is the same for much of the altcoin market, after continued downtrend majors are bouncing off key HTF S/R levels but conviction is still low due to quarter end.
This week I am looking at how BTC finishes the week once the month/quarter end is out of the way. If their is renewed optimism October.
In terms of seasonality October has an average return rate of 21.89% since 2019.
Should price break below weekly low the bullish HTF trend would be questioned and would open the door to a deeper correction. With the 4-year cycle predicted to end in late October there would be huge talk of the cycle repeating and the bear market beginning.
Good luck this week everybody!
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – September 30, 2025Today, as of September 30, I am writing to share my bearish perspective on Bitcoin with a short position.
In this idea as well, I am leaning toward a decline. There are two main reasons for this.
First, the 1.13 ALT BAT pattern. This harmonic pattern has already been confirmed, but since the detailed Fibonacci ranges do not fully match, we cannot rule out the possibility of one more upward wave. Therefore, I am first entering a short position with only a small portion, and then plan to flexibly increase the position depending on the price action. In other words, if the decline unfolds immediately, my analysis will be accurate; on the other hand, I also judge that there is a sufficient possibility of one more short-term wave forming before a reversal to the downside.
Second, the downward breakout of the trendline. Rather than analyzing the harmonic pattern independently, I prefer to combine it with trendline analysis. This is due to the flexible nature of harmonic theory, and through trendlines I can measure both the reference points for position sizing and the strength of momentum.
For these reasons, I entered the first short position, with an average target price set at 110,500 USDT.
Recently, not only the stock market but also the cryptocurrency market as a whole has been in poor condition. I hope that those who are experiencing losses will soon encounter better conditions, and I also hope that sharing my perspective can provide even a small help.
I will continue to update my ideas in line with the chart developments and transparently share my thoughts.
Thank you for reading.
BTCUSDT Review September 29 2025Short-term price movement ideas.
The price reached a weekly Break of Structure (BtS), which was later confirmed on the daily chart, initiating a bearish Order Flow (OF). At the moment, we’ve seen an aggressive bullish reaction that brought price into a daily zone of interest. If this zone receives confirmation on the 4H chart, we can then consider opening short positions with the target of updating the previous low.
Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
BITCOIN BTCUSDT WE ARE DONE WITH BITCOIN. Now we announce a buy zone with triple confluence at 98k-100k zone .this zone i will be watching it from 15min chart for my POE.
BUT the sell down hinges on the break and close of 107,347k demand floor ,on technical you cant sell or buy now.
if you want to sell ,the best to sell with less loss is in the zone of 112,780 zone ,a 2hr break and retest level
the bullish flag breakout ROOF AND FLOOR WILL BE OUR NEXT DEMAND ZONE.
THE ROOF IS PROVIDING A BUY AT 98K-100K AND THE FLOOR AROUNDWAY BELOW .
CAUTION IS KEY .
DONT SELL OR BUY BITCOIN UNTIL CLOSE OF 107,347K.
SELL FROM HIGER ZONE.
#BITCOIN #BTC #BTCUSDT
BTC Trade Plan 27/09/2025-Where to Buy BTC !!!! Dear Traders,
📊 Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Analysis
BTC is currently trading around 109,000 and remains under bearish pressure within a corrective channel. Price is approaching the major support zone (103,000–101,000), which also aligns with the long-term ascending trendline.
🔻 If the price reaches this area and holds, we could see a strong bullish rebound and continuation of the long-term uptrend.
⚠️ But if Bitcoin breaks down with a daily close below this support, further decline toward 95,000–92,000 would be likely.
🟢 Key Support: 101,000 – 103,000
🔴 Key Resistance: 112,000 – 115,000
💡 The upcoming move into the support zone will be crucial in shaping Bitcoin’s mid-term trend.
Regards,
Alireza!
#BTCUSDT.P (15m Chart)#BTCUSDT.P
(15m Chart)
🔹️ Bitcoin Futures Analysis 🔹️
✅ Entry Zone: 109,800 – 109,500
❌ Stop Loss: 108,000
🎯 Targets:
🔰 Target 1: 111,000
🔰 Target 2: 111,800
🔰 Target 3: 112,400
🔰 Target 4: 113,600
🔰 Target 5: 114,500
📌 Based on the current conditions of Bitcoin and USDT dominance, I expect a bullish move in the market this week.
📍 This is the setup I expect to play out for Bitcoin.
⚠️ Important Notes:
Keep leverage below 10.
Follow risk management strictly.
Do not place pending orders. I’m monitoring the market myself, and if the entry zone is reached and conditions look good, I’ll announce the entry.
🆔 @Rasoolahmadi
The only trades you need this week In this space you will find the highest probability zones to set your alerts, an entry and exit model that you can execute in your sleep and a trading philosophy that stands the test of time.
As we play in this range, one must prepare for another rotation to the range low or a range break.
#BTCUSDT.P (4H Chart)#BTCUSDT.P
(4H Chart)
🔹 Bitcoin Short-Term Outlook 🔹
Resistance zones: $110,800–111,800 and $114,000
Key support: $102,596–100,425 (yellow box)
Bullish extension: Potential rally to $118K–119K after a rebound
Major correction: From $118K–119K, larger drop expected toward $85K (green box)
📌 Scenario
1️⃣ Short-term push to $111K–114K
2️⃣ Pullback toward $100K
3️⃣ Another rally to $118K–119K
4️⃣ Final bearish leg toward $85K
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading
🆔 @Rasoolcrypto