BTC 4H – Order Block Entry, But Do 4H Highs Break or Reject?BTC’s recent structure shows a liquidity sweep followed by a clean break of structure (BOS). Price then retested a 1H order block, which offered a textbook long entry.
Confluence is reinforced by the 50 EMA crossing above the 200 EMA, a bullish confirmation aligning short- and long-term trend bias. From here, price is targeting the 4H highs at 117.2K, but this zone doubles as a potential liquidity grab area.
Key technicals:
Support: 114.8K (50 EMA), 113.6K (200 EMA).
Resistance: 117.2K (previous 4H highs).
Structure: Higher highs forming post-BOS, sustained above order block demand.
The question: do bulls extend through 117.2K for continuation, or does BTC reject at this liquidity pocket before resetting?
BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
#BTC is in heavy resistance, beware of a pullback📊#BTC is in heavy resistance, beware of a pullback ⚠️
🧠From a structural perspective, we've reached a significant resistance zone. It's also important to note that the CME gap near 116,600 has been filled, raising the possibility of a pullback.
➡️From a chart perspective, we're moving within an ascending channel. We encountered resistance at the upper edge of the channel and then fell back, so the support level to watch is near the lower edge.
⚠️Note that this week is the interest rate decision week, and expectations of a rate cut have already been released in advance. Be wary of "selling the news"!
Let's take a look 👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC/USDT Analysis. Caution: Rising Volatility
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics’ trader-analyst with your daily market update.
As expected, Bitcoin tested the recent local high yesterday. Before reaching the sell zone, sellers began to take control of the short-term momentum.
The current wave of selling is accompanied by increased negative delta, which signals strong selling pressure — however, the price reaction has been relatively muted so far. If buyers regain control near the POC of the recent consolidation at ~$116,000, we expect a full test of the $117,500–$119,000 sell zone (accumulated volumes). If there is no buying reaction, we could see a continuation of the decline toward the $114,300-$113,500 support zone (volume area).
Keep in mind that today at 21:00 (GMT+3), the US Federal Reserve will announce its key interest rate decision, which could trigger significant volatility and invalidate the current short-term scenario. Watch price reaction carefully at the mentioned zones.
Buy Zones:
$114,300-$113,500 (volume zone)
$111,600-$110,500 (accumulated volumes)
~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$117,500–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis Market Overview
Bitcoin is currently trading at $118,788, with an intraday high of $119,311. The market has recently tested a major resistance zone and is showing signs of a potential pullback toward a key demand zone before a possible continuation to higher levels.
Projected Scenario (Bullish Bias)
Expected pullback to the support zone around $105K – $108K.
If price holds and shows a bullish reversal, a breakout above $124K is expected.
Primary upside target: $142,807 (Fibonacci projection / potential new high).
BTCUSDT.P — 1D quick readTrend/Structure: Steady up-swing from early-Sep low inside a rising channel; price stalling at prior supply 117k–118k.
Confluence at resistance: Channel top + red supply band + cloud edge around 117.5k–118k.
Supports: 115.0k (intraday base), 112.5k–113.5k (MA cluster), 108k–106k (200-D + “Support-1”), then ~101k.
Momentum: RSI ~62 (bullish, not overbought). MACD near flat/positive; volume moderate.
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish while above 115k; market is accumulating beneath resistance.
Levels to act on (confirmation-based):
Breakout: Daily close >118k → room to 120k, then 124–126k (ATH zone).
Failure: Daily close <115k → pullback risk to 112k then 108k.
Educational summary — manage risk around 117–118k lid.
[BTC] Looking price to reach 117800This week, i'm looking the price to reach 117800. When the price have stand above 112000, i'll continue looking for a uptrend, still looking forward the price reach 130000.
USD / interest-rate expectations: Markets were pricing in U.S. Fed easing (Sep 2025), which weakens the USD and reduces opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. Rate-cut expectations have been correlated with BTC rallies recently
"Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. I am not a financial advisor, and the content presented here should not be taken as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or other financial instrument. Investing and trading involve a high degree of risk, and you may lose more than your initial investment. The strategies and opinions discussed are my own and do not guarantee future results. You should always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial professional before making any investment decisions. I may or may not hold positions in the securities mentioned."
Geopolitics & Energy Trading1. Historical Context: Energy as a Strategic Weapon
1.1 Oil in the 20th Century
The 20th century is often called the “Century of Oil.” With the rise of automobiles, aviation, and industrialization, oil replaced coal as the dominant fuel. The Middle East, home to massive reserves, became the strategic center of global energy politics.
World War II highlighted the importance of oil. Control over oil fields in the Middle East, the Caucasus, and Southeast Asia was a major military objective.
The U.S. emerged as both a top producer and consumer of oil, ensuring its military and economic supremacy.
1.2 OPEC and the Oil Shocks
In 1960, oil-exporting countries formed OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) to coordinate prices and policies. The OPEC oil embargo of 1973 against the U.S. and its allies caused oil prices to quadruple, leading to stagflation in Western economies. This event demonstrated how energy could be used as a geopolitical weapon.
1.3 Natural Gas and Russia’s Leverage
During the Cold War and beyond, the Soviet Union (later Russia) used natural gas pipelines to exert influence over Europe. Even in the 21st century, Russia’s dominance in supplying gas to Europe has made energy security a central geopolitical concern.
1.4 Rise of Renewables and Energy Security
In recent decades, climate change concerns and the instability of fossil fuel prices have pushed countries to diversify into renewable energy, nuclear power, and LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas). However, the geopolitical dimensions remain: rare earth minerals for solar panels, lithium for batteries, and uranium for nuclear power all introduce new trade dependencies.
2. Energy Trading: Mechanisms and Market Dynamics
Energy trading involves the buying, selling, and hedging of energy commodities such as oil, natural gas, coal, electricity, and increasingly, carbon credits.
2.1 Types of Energy Commodities Traded
Oil & Refined Products: Crude oil (Brent, WTI, Dubai) and products like gasoline, diesel, jet fuel.
Natural Gas: Pipeline gas and LNG, traded regionally and globally.
Coal: Still dominant in Asia, especially in China and India.
Electricity: Power trading through regional grids and spot markets.
Renewables & Carbon Credits: Certificates for green energy and emissions trading.
2.2 Energy Trading Hubs
Oil: Brent (London), WTI (New York), Dubai/Oman (Middle East).
Natural Gas: Henry Hub (U.S.), TTF (Netherlands), JKM (Japan-Korea Marker).
Coal: Newcastle (Australia), Richards Bay (South Africa).
Electricity: Nord Pool (Europe), PJM Interconnection (U.S.).
2.3 Financial Instruments in Energy Trading
Futures and Options: Used for hedging price volatility.
Swaps and Derivatives: Risk management tools.
Spot Trading: Immediate delivery transactions.
Energy trading is not only about physical barrels or tons moving—it is also about financial markets, where traders speculate on price movements, hedge risks, and create liquidity.
3. Geopolitical Dimensions of Energy Trading
Energy trade is influenced by multiple geopolitical factors.
3.1 Control of Supply Chains
Countries with abundant energy resources, like Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, use them as strategic tools. Controlling pipelines, shipping routes, and export terminals gives these countries leverage over consumers.
3.2 Chokepoints and Maritime Routes
Some key chokepoints in global energy trade:
Strait of Hormuz (Persian Gulf): About 20% of global oil trade passes here. Any blockade would send prices soaring.
Suez Canal (Egypt): Connects Middle Eastern oil to Europe.
Malacca Strait (Southeast Asia): Vital for oil flows to China, Japan, and South Korea.
3.3 Sanctions and Energy Wars
Iran: Subject to U.S. sanctions, limiting its oil exports.
Russia: Sanctions after the Ukraine war forced Europe to seek alternative gas suppliers.
Venezuela: Sanctions crippled its oil sector, reducing output drastically.
3.4 Energy as a Diplomatic Tool
Energy deals often accompany strategic alliances:
Russia–China gas pipelines strengthen political ties.
Middle East countries sign long-term supply contracts with Asia to ensure steady revenues.
The U.S. uses LNG exports to reduce Europe’s dependence on Russia.
4. Major Players in Global Energy Geopolitics
4.1 The United States
Largest producer of oil and gas (thanks to shale revolution).
Uses energy exports to project geopolitical influence.
Maintains military presence in the Middle East to secure energy supply routes.
4.2 Saudi Arabia and OPEC+
Saudi Arabia is the swing producer of oil, capable of increasing or reducing output to influence prices.
OPEC+, which includes Russia, plays a decisive role in oil supply management.
4.3 Russia
Energy superpower with vast oil and gas reserves.
Uses energy pipelines as a tool of influence, especially in Europe.
Faces growing competition due to sanctions and LNG diversification.
4.4 China
World’s largest energy importer.
Invests in energy projects globally (Africa, Middle East, Latin America).
Pioneering renewable energy but still heavily reliant on fossil fuels.
4.5 The European Union
Highly dependent on imports, especially gas.
Leading in carbon trading and green transition policies.
Vulnerable to geopolitical disruptions like the Russia-Ukraine war.
4.6 India
Fastest-growing energy consumer.
Heavy reliance on Middle East oil and global coal imports.
Diversifying into renewable energy and nuclear power.
5. Risks and Challenges
Volatility in Prices: Geopolitical tensions cause massive swings in energy prices.
Supply Disruptions: Wars, sanctions, and blockades threaten global supply.
Climate Change Pressure: Fossil fuel dependence clashes with decarbonization goals.
Technological Shifts: EVs, renewables, and storage could undermine oil & gas dominance.
Energy Nationalism: Countries hoarding resources or restricting exports for domestic security.
Conclusion
Geopolitics and energy trading are inseparable. From oil shocks in the 1970s to today’s battles over LNG, rare earths, and carbon credits, the story of global energy is as much political as it is economic. Energy has been used as a weapon, a bargaining chip, and a diplomatic tool.
In the future, while renewable energy may reduce the dominance of oil and gas, new dependencies on rare earths, hydrogen, and clean technologies will create fresh geopolitical challenges. Energy will continue to shape the global order—deciding alliances, conflicts, and the very survival of economies.
The relationship between geopolitics and energy trading is, in essence, the story of power—economic power, military power, and environmental power. And as the world transitions to a greener future, this story will only grow more complex and dynamic.
BTC next movescurrently BINANCE:BTCUSDT seems to have found its bottom from the latest downwards move. within the past two weeks it established a little channel, currently it seems it even pops out of it above the channel for the first time since mid august. of course there can still be a further dump, but it's safe to say the bottom is imminent if not already in. also it's way bellow the current val of the past upmove so it's basically oversold territory.
I assume a first push above 112k again then further towards 117k. I still have my bitcoin trade open, added some to have an entry of a little above 109k and see how it goes. BINANCE:OPUSDT and BINANCE:ARBUSDT is still open as well. from 70cents and 48 cents respectively.
both once had a nice gain before but I guess I was to greedy to fully catch my tp, but well - the more you learn, the better you get.
BTC/USDT 4H Trend Structure: Price is moving inside a well‑defined ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a short‑ to mid‑term bullish bias.
Price is respecting both upper and lower bounds of the channel, suggesting controlled bullish momentum.
Higher Lows: Buyers are stepping in earlier on each pullback, showing strong demand.
Resistance Test: Price is approaching the 116,594 zone; a clean break with volume could open the path toward 118,000+ in the short term.
Support Strength: The 113,200 level aligns with the channel’s lower trendline, making it a key area for bulls to defend.
#BTC: Daily AI Market Breakdown. 2025/16/09Howdy, crypto-warriors and lords of volatility! NeuralTraderingPro is back on the air to decipher the language of charts and orders for you. It’s Tuesday, September 16th, and the market is charged with so much energy you could mine it! ⚡️ Let's see who's calling the shots today.
📜 FORECAST REVIEW: BULLS HELD THE LINE
My analysis from yesterday turned out to be a treasure map! I emphasized the rock-solid support wall at 114,750 USDT and suggested an aggressive Long 1 trade idea: "Buy at current values with a tight stop just below the support wall." This exact scenario played out perfectly! The bears couldn't breach the bulls' defense; the price bounced off that level and surged upward, reaching current marks around 115,800 USDT. The primary bearish breakout scenario was invalidated. Congratulations to everyone who took advantage of this idea and caught the bounce! It was a classic demonstration of how crucial it is to read the order book.
📊 CURRENT SITUATION: CHART AND INDICATOR ANALYSIS
Current Price: 115837.56 USDT
📈 Daily Chart (1D): The global bullish trend is undeniable. The price is confidently holding above the SMA 20 and SMA 50 moving averages. The RSI is at 60, indicating strong buying momentum but still leaving room for growth before hitting the overbought zone. The MACD histogram is rising in the positive zone, confirming the strength of the trend. The structure looks very confident for continued ascent.
💹 4-Hour Chart (4H): Here, we see a picture of bullish triumph. The price didn't just bounce; it broke through local resistance and is now trading above the SMA 20 and SMA 50, which have transformed into dynamic support. Bollinger Bands have begun to expand, and the price is hugging the upper band—a clear sign of buyer strength. RSI is above 60, and MACD is confidently rising above the zero line. All signals point to preparation for the next upward impulse.
⏱️ 30-Minute Chart (30m): On the smaller timeframe, we see the current phase: consolidation after yesterday's rally. The price is moving in a narrow sideways channel, accumulating strength. RSI is oscillating around the neutral zone, and MACD shows a fading momentum. This is a typical breather before the next move. The key support zone here is 115,500 USDT.
📋 ORDER BOOK ANALYSIS: THE BATTLE FOR 115,837
The main battle of the day is unfolding right now!
🟢 Support Walls: Below the current price, buyers have placed several support levels in the 115,822 - 115,804 USDT range. They don't look massive, but their purpose is to cushion small pullbacks.
🔴 Resistance Walls: And here's where it gets interesting! Right at the current price of 115,837.56 USDT, there's a colossal sell wall of over 12 BTC (worth approximately $1.4 million)! This is the main barrier preventing the price from taking off right now. Sellers have concentrated all their power at one point.
Conclusion: The fate of the immediate movement is being decided here and now. If buyers "eat through" this $1.4 million wall, it will be a powerful signal of their strength and could trigger a sharp price surge upward (short squeeze), as the next significant resistance is higher up.
📰 MARKET SENTIMENT AND KEY THEMES
The news background is clearly favoring the bulls and is filled with expectations of growth.
1. 💳 PayPal is lighting the fire! The integration of BTC and Ethereum for P2P payments in PayPal is fundamentally powerful news. It significantly expands cryptocurrency use cases for millions of users and is a long-term growth driver.
2. 💵 Dollar under pressure. Ahead of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar is weakening. The market is pricing in expectations of an interest rate cut, which historically makes risky assets like Bitcoin more attractive.
3. 🐂 Analysts are sounding the horn. Several sources are pointing to bullish technical signals and pattern formations, forecasting a rally to $122,000. In particular, the importance of breaking the $117,500 level to confirm the rally is noted.
4. 🚀 Historical optimism. Renowned analyst Tom Lee predicts a "grand rally" in Q4, fueling long-term bullish sentiment. Interestingly, historically, September is often a turning point. For example, in September 2021, the market was also actively discussing Ethereum valuations and its approach to new highs, creating a generally positive mood.
5. 😐 Fear & Greed Index in neutral zone. The market is not overheated with euphoria nor paralyzed by fear. This is an ideal state for forming a strong and healthy trend movement.
🔮 FORECAST AND KEY TARGETS FOR THE WEEK (September 16-23)
All factors—technical analysis, news background, and sentiment—point to a high probability of continued growth. The only obstacle is the huge sell wall at the current price. A breakthrough of this level will be the main bullish trigger of the week.
Scenario Probability: Long 📈 (65%) / Short 📉 (35%)
🎯 Key targets for the upcoming week:
UP Targets (in case of resistance wall breakout):
1. 🐂 117,500 USDT - Key level mentioned by analysts. Its breakthrough will confirm the start of the rally.
2. 🐂🐂 119,000 USDT - Important psychological resistance, the next target for profit-taking.
3. 🐂🐂🐂 122,000 USDT - Optimistic target for the week, based on technical patterns.
DOWN Targets (in case of rejection from the wall and correction):
1. 🐻 115,000 USDT - Return to the psychological mark and recent support zone.
2. 🐻🐻 114,200 USDT - Local low from September 15th, an important support level.
3. 🐻🐻🐻 112,500 USDT - Deep correction in case of a shift in market sentiment.
💡 TRADING IDEAS
1. Long Positions (Long) — playing the breakout.
Trading Idea Long 1 (Aggressive): Buy immediately after a break and sustained price above the wall at 115,900 USDT. This would signify buyers have won. Target: 117,500. Stop-loss: 115,450 USDT.
Trading Idea Long 2 (Conservative): Buy on a pullback to the support zone of 115,000 - 115,200 USDT, if the market provides such an opportunity. Targets: 117,500, 119,000 USDT. Stop-loss: 114,400 USDT.
2. Short Positions (Short) — playing against the trend.
Trading Idea Short 1 (Risky): Sell at current values, betting that the $1.4 million wall will hold. Target: 115,000. Stop-loss: very tight, at 115,950 USDT.
Trading Idea Short 2 (On structural breakdown): Short only if the price falls below the 4H chart support and consolidates below 114,800 USDT. This would signal a false breakout upward. Targets: 114,000, 112,500 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,500 USDT.
🛡️ CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The market is bullish. Positive news and a strong technical picture create favorable conditions for growth. The key is whether buyers can absorb the massive sell order. This will determine short-term movement. I recommend acting situationally: either join the breakout or catch a pullback to strong support. Control your risks and always use stop-losses 🛡️, as volatility can be high.
May your deposits multiply! 💰 Don't forget to like 👍 this analysis and subscribe to always stay on top of the hottest trends!
Bitcoin Price Flag Points to $122,000 TargetBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P price is trading near $115,300, and a bull flag has appeared on the 12-hour chart. A breakout above $115,900 would confirm the move, with the measured target projecting to $122,000. Key checkpoints sit at $116,700 and $120,700, where strong resistance may test buyers.
On-chain data adds weight to the breakout case. Exchange outflows surged from –2,531 BTC on September 8 to –18,323 BTC by September 15, while long-term holders flipped to net buyers, adding +591 BTC. This shift suggests traders are backing the breakout setup.
Still, the heavy supply wall of 714,302 BTC between $115,900–$120,700 remains the key hurdle. A drop under $115,000 would invalidate the flag, but as long as price holds above that level, bulls have the upper hand.
Bitcoin to 105K? Stop Talking Sh*t, Here’s the TruthEveryone’s screaming about a Bitcoin dump … but where’s the proof? 🤔
In this video, I break down the weekly, daily, 4H, and even 15m to show you the real triggers that matter for Bitcoin’s next move. Spoiler: the big picture is still bullish AF.
We’ll also look at Wednesday’s Fed rate decision and how it could shake the market.
Stay skeptical. Don’t FOMO. Manage risk.
Boost if it helped.
(P.S. Sorry for the voice — I’m fighting through a nasty cold :/)
BTC Long Setup (Post-Liquidation Reclaim)Hey Candle Fam,
The weak hands just got flushed harder than a memecoin rug—perfect. While retail panicked on the dip, smart money was quietly filling bags near $114k. Now it’s our turn to strike with precision.
🔥 BTC Long Setup (Post-Liquidation Reclaim)
🎯 Entry: $114,390–$113,800
🛡️ Stop Loss: $111,900
💰 Targets: $121k / $130k / $140k
📊 Strategy: Liquidity Grab + Weekly Demand Tap
– HTF bias: Still bullish, above key $115k zone
– LTF confluence: Sweep of lows + CHoCH forming on 12H/1H
– Footprint data: Volume absorption + delta flip confirm buyer interest
⚠️ Caution:
Breakdown below $110k would invalidate this setup and likely trigger a strong bearish leg. This is not a “to the moon” YOLO.
Stick to your system, manage risk, and remove emotion.
🧠 Final Note:
We don’t chase dreams—we execute plans.
All the hours we spend studying this game? It’s not for fun. It’s for freedom.
Financial independence is the goal—this is the craft.
Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.
Long Term Btc PlanI can see BTC going to take 85k.
People think "Below 90k bull run is over"
Would cause extreme fear/panic in the markets if broken below 90k. basically reaching 85-86k would be cause just by paper hands at the end being scared out of their positions.
Currently Looking for bigger shorts and small longs only. Exception if BTC breaks above 118.5k and shows bullish signals.
Will look for reenter spot below 90/100k depends on situation.
Want to see Diamond Top playout on 4h, then break above it or reject from 786/886 fibb and enter big short to 105/90s.
The Long/Short Positions on chart is worth looking at, I have alerts near all entries/SL/Tp and even S/R.
I had a thought that next big crash might be caused by an exchange going tits up at near top, and I have intuition it might be MEXC.
NOT YOUR KEYS NOT YOUR ASSETS.