BTCUSDT Analysis: Breakout and Potential Growth👋Hello everyone, what do you think about BINANCE:BTCUSDT ?
Based on technical analysis, BTCUSDT has made a strong breakout from the descending channel. Currently, Bitcoin is facing strong resistance near the 124,000 USD level. After reaching the peak, the price may correct back to Fibonacci support levels (0.5 - 0.618) before potentially continuing its upward movement.
The next target for BTC is to reach 130,000 USD if the bullish trend continues. The key to achieving this target is for the newly established support to hold, along with a clear confirmation of a candle close above the current resistance zone.
As for me, I remain optimistic. What about you? 💬What do you think about the trend of BTCUSDT? Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments below.
Good luck!
BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
Avoid Market Traps and filter best trading setups.Hey whats up guys,
Let's have a look to the market narrative and building the potential scenarios of next outcome. It's not about predicting the market, but I would say rather about filtering out next potential outcomes of price action based on fixed criteria and price action laws.
📌 Basic Market Phases
But if that is so simple what is not everyone making money?
📌Its not that straight forward and every transition from range to expansion comes with manipulation's and false break outs.
to understand market dynamics we need to understand how the smart money operator works.
📌 Smart Money CLS company
This one institution trade over 6.5 Trillions daily volume on forex. Which is almost all the volume, they are Smart money trader and they trading for most of the central banks and investment banks. So these smaller players instead of trading against each other they make settlements via CLS and CLS finds the liquidity on the markets. How I know ? It's on their website. Just google it Now you know where comes my name for CLS Ranges. It's basically big range, high volume candles made by market maker which is CLS. Hence CLS range or range, name doesn't matter really.
🧪Smart money trader cant just simply press Buy or Sell Button like we do. If they do it, they will move the price without getting a fill at requested price for the all their orders the y need. In other words they will not have liquidity for their large operations. Hence they must follow specific framework to create liquidity and then load it.
🧩 For understanding more about a Liquidity visit the post below.
🔗Click to the picture to open learn more 👇 📌 Accumulation - Manipulation - Distribution
it is what help them to get liquidity. Its also called stop hunt, but they really dont care about your or mine stop loss. We are to small and mostly our brokers are B-book anyway.
Let's say they need to fill 1000 contracts (example number) futures contracts on the 6E1 Euro contract. But they can get just 600 at the current market, hence they need to accumulate in the range as much as they can. The rest they will buy bellow / above the range.
🧪 Bullish scenario AMD
Accumulating contracts in the range happening above the key level. False break up, will suck other market participants to the market and they will have liquidations bellow the range, thats is new liquidity created below the range. By hedging the positions, they manipulate price below the range to get the rest of contracts need by forcing early buyers to sell for the worse price. Then they close the hedge shorts in a profit and they start to move price up. If price is in the range you can spot it accumulation by seeing high volume on the lows.
❎ Action of less informed traders - bought early - stopped out, Sold the break of the low - wrong side of the trade. These traders were used as a liquidity. 🧪 Bearish scenario AMD
Accumulating contracts in the range happening below the key level. False break down, will suck other market participants to the market and they will have liquidations above the range, thats is new liquidity created below the range. By hedging the positions, they manipulate price above the range to get the rest of contracts need by forcing early buyers to buy for the worse price. Then they close the hedge longs in a profit and they start to move price down If price is in the range you can spot it accumulation by seeing high volume on the highs.
❎ Action of less informed traders - sold early - stopped out, Both the break of the top - wrong side of the trade. These traders were used as liquidity. 📌 H ow to avoid being caught in these traps?we need to focus on the basics which is buying lows and selling highs and not to fomo to the running market moves. Im not saying you cant be profitable with break out strategies. But with buying lows in uptrend and selling highs in downtrend is better idea.
🧩 How to do Buy low / Sell highs is explained this post below . 🔗Click to the picture to open lean more 👇 from the post above you understand market structure.
each phase of the structure has specific market dynamics. We don't want to trade every up and down move. Just expansions are giving best risk rewards. and vice versa for bearish scenario. 📌 How to know if there will be manipulation or not?
everything comes from the key level. Any pattern whatever we trade if there is no key level than its all invalid. Lets put the ranges and key levels together.
🧪 Bullish Scenario
if you see range just above the key level. Smart money are building liqudity and there will be manipulation. If price is already on key level deep manipulation is not necessary. 🧪 Bearish Scenario
if you see range just below the key level. Smart money are building liqudity and there will be manipulation. If price is already on key level deep manipulation is not necessary.
📌E xpansion + Key Level
if range occurs not just right above the key level but is a bit more far, we can expect expansion to reversal profile. Expansion to the key level is tradable and reversal also if there was range. This. knowledge give us possible expansion trade towards key level.
🧪 Bearish scenario 🧪 Bullish scenario there are also tricks with false reversal just below / above key level, market maker often leave double top and bottom , just round a key level and make it looks like ar reversal. Dont fall for this trap. Its done on purpose to put you early in to trade and you will put SL exactly where you they need liquify - followed by expansion to the key level and reveal. Targeting double top / bottom is high probability trade.
🧪 Bearish Scenario 🧪Bullish Scenario 📌 Summary of Key Level and Profiles
Avoid trading range , manipulation and retracements
Trade only expansion and Reversal profiles
This might sound complicated, but if you spend time with this. You will be filtering just best trade setups , trading less and more accurately.
David Perk aka DaveFXHunter
BTC still in range zone wait for breakout firstAs we can see price is still bounded with major support 110K$ and major resistance 125K$.
we need a valid breakout here on this range zone with high volume candle and at least +-3% breakout then the path pump to 135K$ or dump to 90K$ will continue.
also possibility of rise and pump now is a little more and it is 65% bullish one in my mind.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
BTCUSDT Bullish Momentum: Will It Break Through Resistance?👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on the current trend of BINANCE:BTCUSDT ?
Bitcoin has recently experienced a strong surge, breaking through key resistance levels and pushing toward new highs. The main drivers of this bullish move are the expectations of a Fed rate cut and the increasing involvement of institutional players in the cryptocurrency market. As of writing, BTCUSDT is trading around $122,000, which is a strong resistance zone.
At this level, the price may experience a slight pullback to the Fibonacci support levels at 0.618 – 0.5, which could present a good opportunity for the next buying entry. If these levels hold, we could witness a strong breakout above the resistance zone.
With the market structure remaining highly positive, Bitcoin’s uptrend could continue and push to even higher levels. Do you agree with this view?
Why MY “Big Dump” THESIS STILL STANDS. BITCOIN WILL BLEEDHappy Monday traders,
I’ve reviewed the latest data again and nothing has changed my view. The structure still looks weak underneath the surface and the setup for downside remains strong.
Summary:
• Price rising → Market pushing higher, looks strong on the surface.
• Stablecoin OI increasing → New leveraged perp positions opening. Speculative money is driving the move, not real buyers.
• Coin-margined OI dropped, then slightly increased → Shorts were closed during the breakout, and now new shorts are opening near the highs.
• Spot CVD flat or slightly negative → Real demand is still missing. Spot traders aren’t supporting this move.
• Stablecoin CVD rising → Perp traders are aggressively buying, lifting price artificially.
• Long/Short ratio falling (2.05 → 1.02) → Fewer longs and more shorts entering. Shorts are fading strength while price keeps rising.
• Price up + OI up + Spot CVD flat → Buyers are being absorbed by new shorts. This is distribution forming at the highs.
• Possible short-term move to 126K → Could sweep weekend highs during RTH for liquidity before a potential reversal.
• If Spot CVD stays flat while OI rises on that move → That would likely be the final squeeze before a deeper dump.
-------------------
1️⃣ The same leverage-driven structure
The breakout on September 25 looked impressive, but it was built on leverage rather than real spot demand.
Stablecoin OI (aggregated) increased from 257K → 285K contracts (+10.9%)
This shows fresh leveraged exposure coming from perps, not genuine buyers
Coin-margined OI dropped from 7.58B → 7.29B during that breakout as shorts were closed out
It has now started to rise slightly again at current prices, meaning new coin-margined positions are opening near the highs, most likely shorts fading strength
2️⃣ Spot demand is still missing
Spot CVD moved from -18.38K → -16.44K (about +10.5%), while futures OI rose almost the same amount. That tells you everything: the breakout was driven by futures leverage, not real spot buying.
Everyone’s renting Ferraris (perp longs), but no one is actually buying one (spot BTC). Once the rental stops, the cars vanish and prices drop.
3️⃣ The long-short ratio collapse
On September 25, the aggregated long/short ratio (Binance + Bybit) was 2.05, meaning twice as many longs as shorts. Today it sits near 1.02, even though price is higher.
Early breakout longs have been closed or liquidated
New traders entering the market are mostly shorts
OI is still rising, showing new short positioning, not liquidation exits
Stablecoin-perp CVD is still climbing, meaning buyers are pushing price up but every uptick is met with new short liquidity
This is a classic case of perps pushing while smarter money fades.
4️⃣ Why I still think Bitcoin will bleed
This looks like distribution, not accumulation.
Perp traders are driving the move
Spot buyers still haven’t shown up
Shorts are building into the highs
That’s not a healthy uptrend. It’s a top-heavy market waiting for the bid to dry up. When it does, the unwind will likely be quick as leveraged positions are forced out.
Think of it like a rubber band. The more it’s stretched by leverage without real demand, the harder it snaps when buying power runs out.
⚖️ TL;DR
Stablecoin OI +10.9% → leverage driven
Coin OI fell, then rose slightly → shorts covered, new shorts forming near highs
Spot CVD flat → no real buyers
Long/Short ratio 2.05 → 1.02 → longs out, shorts in
The move up was built on leverage, not ownership.
Spot hasn’t confirmed, and shorts are stacking into strength.
🎯 Short-term note
There’s a chance we see one more push toward the 126K region during RTH to sweep the weekend highs before rolling over. If that happens with spot CVD still flat and OI climbing, it’ll likely be the final liquidity grab before a larger move down.
Until spot CVD turns positive and OI stabilizes, my view remains the same: Bitcoin will bleed.
Interested in the Order Flow data that I used for this Analysis? Check it out here => ibb.co
BTCUSD NEW OUTLOOK According to H1 analysis gold market running in buying pressure from last few days now market almost at RESISTANCE LEVEL market will soon touch the resistance level and it will falling soon
you have good chance to go sell from resistance level dont be greedy
TRADE AT YOUR OWN RSK
REGARD ALBERT
06/10/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $125,735.08
Last weeks low: $111,559.20
Midpoint: $118,6547.14
New All Time High for Bitcoin in the first week of "Uptober", really impressive strength since flipping $117,500.
BTC still finds itself within a range between ATH and $108,000 but with such strength on the bounce from range lows, could we see price discovery going into the last leg of the year?
From a macro perspective month/quarter end is now over and done with, banks have completed their window dressing/de-risking and we can expect liquidity to flow back into the risk markets. Rate cut cycle continues, M2 Global money supply at ATH with seemingly no plans to stop in the near future.
For now I am still treating trading BTC as it is in a range until we get price acceptance above $125,000. If there is a breakout above and a rally altcoins should follow. In terms of news releases this week because of the US Government shutdown there is a disruption on data releases but overall nothing of great importance is disrupted.
Good luck this week everybody!
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin reached a new all-time high earlier this week but failed to hold above it, leading to a rejection and a short-term corrective phase.
The price is now undergoing a healthy pullback, and we expect the correction to continue until the previous breakout zone is retested.
Once this pullback completes, Bitcoin may resume its upward momentum and attempt to form a new higher high.
The broader trend remains bullish, and this correction is viewed as a buying opportunity within the ongoing uptrend.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
What are your thoughts on the current trend ? At this level, the price may experience a slight pullback to the Fibonacci support levels at 0.618 – 0.5, which could present a good opportunity for the next buying entry. If these levels hold, we could witness a strong breakout above the resistance zone BINANCE:BTCUSD
What’s a Wedge Pattern?What's up traders! 👋
Wedge patterns are a powerful tool in technical analysis that can give you a heads-up about potential price moves. Whether you’re spotting a falling wedge or a rising wedge, these formations can reveal key signals about market direction.
What’s a Wedge Pattern?
A wedge pattern forms when price moves between two converging trendlines, creating a shape resembling a triangle. These patterns usually appear when the market is slowing down or consolidating before making a bigger move. Wedges can slope upwards or downwards, and the key difference lies in whether the trendlines are converging in an uptrend (rising wedge) or a downtrend (falling wedge).
Falling Wedge Pattern: Bullish Reversal 📈
The falling wedge pattern is a bullish reversal signal. This formation occurs when price moves between two downward-sloping trendlines, creating a series of lower highs and lower lows. The downward momentum weakens as the trendlines converge, indicating that sellers are losing strength, which sets up the potential for a bullish breakout.
How to Trade the Falling Wedge
Entry: Wait for the price to break above the upper trendline. This is your signal to enter long.
Target: Measure the height of the wedge at its widest point and project it upwards from the breakout point.
Stop Loss: Place it just below the most recent swing low to protect your position if the breakout doesn’t happen.
The chart illustrates a falling wedge pattern on the Bitcoin / Tether US pair with a 1-hour timeframe. Price action is contained within two converging downward-sloping trendlines, suggesting weakening bearish momentum. The breakout above the upper trendline signals a bullish reversal, and the subsequent uptick in price confirms the shift in momentum.
In rare cases, a breakout failure can lead to a bearish falling wedge pattern, but this scenario is less common. Keep an eye on the price action for signs of continued upward momentum.
Rising Wedge Pattern: Bearish Reversal 📉
The rising wedge pattern is a bearish reversal signal. This formation happens when price moves between two upward-sloping trendlines, creating higher highs and higher lows. The rising wedge indicates weakening buying pressure and a potential reversal to the downside.
How to Trade the Rising Wedge
Entry: Enter a short position once the price breaks below the lower trendline.
Target: Measure the height of the wedge and project it downward from the breakout point.
Stop Loss: Set it just above the most recent swing high to protect your trade.
Wedge Chart Pattern Trading: Key Tips ⚡
Context is everything when trading wedge patterns. If a bullish wedge pattern appears in an uptrend, it’s more likely to break to the upside. If a bearish wedge shows up in a downtrend, expect a breakdown.
Here are a few quick tips to improve your wedge trading pattern game:
Trendlines are key: Ensure your trendlines are drawn accurately. Properly drawn trendlines lead to better trades.
Breakout confirmation: Confirm breakouts with increased volume and, ideally, by checking for confluence with other indicators like RSI or MACD. A breakout without volume is often a false signal.
Risk management: Always use a stop loss to protect your capital.
Use other indicators: Wedge patterns work well with additional tools such as RSI, moving averages, or MACD. The more confluence, the better!
Final Thoughts 🏁
Wedge patterns, whether it’s the falling wedge pattern signaling a bullish reversal or the rising wedge pattern trading indicating bearish pressure, are some of the most reliable chart formations out there. But remember: no setup is perfect, so always use a stop loss and never rely on a single indicator.
With practice, you’ll get better at spotting these setups and timing your entries and exits like a pro. Happy trading, and may the charts be in your favor! 💰📊
BITCOIN’S FINAL TRAP – THE SENTIMENT SWITCH IS COMING FASTIn my last BTC post I said a dump was likely based on data, and that thesis still stands. If anything, it’s even stronger now. .
On 13 August, CME made a high at 123,590.
That high was weak, no excess, flat TPO top, unfinished auction.
Binance topped at 124,474, Coinbase at 124,522.
CME opened with a gap down, leaving that poor high unrepaired with unfinished business and clean liquidity sitting above.
From 26 September, BTC started grinding up.
I expected a run of the 18 September high and a reversal around 118–119K, but price extended the move to the 1.618 extension. See my last analysis.
Structure was weak, spot CVD flat, futures CVD ripping, open interest climbing.
That shows perps were driving it, not real spot demand.
This week CME finally cleaned it up.
CME ripped through 125,025, taking out the August high at 123,590.
That level matched the old highs on Binance and Coinbase almost perfectly.
CME swept the old poor high left behind by spot and perps, completing the auction.
This is typical CME behavior, it hunts untested reference points during RTH and often reverses right after.
Flow data confirms the setup:
Spot CVD down means real buyers not following.
Stablecoin CVD pushing up means overleveraged longs chasing.
Coin-margined CVD rolling means profit taking or hedge flow.
Open interest flat at the top means trapped longs with no squeeze left.
The move looks like a leveraged markup driven by perps, cleaned up by CME liquidity, and now hanging on air.
CME repaired the August inefficiency, swept the prior spot high, and left another weak high with no excess, a textbook sign of distribution.
There’s still a chance we see one more SFP around 126K before momentum flips, but unless spot demand picks up aggressively, that should be the final liquidity grab.
My targets are 104K and 99K if 104K fails to hold, with potential for an even deeper drop beyond that level.
Bulls are on the rise, with the MACD, SMA, and EMA all bullish!
Let's not beat around the bush; this daily chart is a stark illustration. After breaking through resistance near $110,000, Bitcoin surged to $125,725 on increasing volume, demonstrating textbook breakout behavior. But just when bulls thought it was safe to celebrate, smaller candlesticks—tiny signals of uncertainty—slowly appeared like unwelcome party guests.
With support at $120,000 and $116,000, bottom-fishing opportunities could emerge between $120,000 and $122,000. But let's be clear: if Bitcoin fails at $125,725 again, it could call the bears out again.
If Bitcoin breaks through $125,725, the target will be $130,000. All technical indicators point to a bullish outlook, and any dip near $120,000 could simply be the market's "final announcement" that Bitcoin is ready to take off. However, a failure to break above $125,000 and a break below $120,000 could signal a reversal. With momentum peaking and several oscillators flashing warning signs, a breakdown of $120,000 support would be a good time to sell.
#BITCOIN SUNDAY ANALYSIS $BTC the daily and monthly charts are#BITCOIN SUNDAY ANALYSIS
CRYPTOCAP:BTC the daily and monthly charts are now confirming that view. Bitcoin is trading around 123K, right at the upper resistance zone that has triggered every major correction since 2018.
🔸 Weekly Chart View:
BTC has once again touched the long-term trendline that has acted as a selling for every bull cycle top (2018, 2021, and now 2025). Each red arrow marks a rejection, and this latest test looks no different. Until we see a clean weekly close above this trendline, the risk of another major pullback remains high.
🔸 Daily Chart View:
On the lower timeframe, price is trading inside the green supply box between 110K and 125K, the same area that rejected BTC multiple times this year. Structure remains weak, holding below 125K still high chances of big correction.
And it’s not just the trendline or resistance we’re also seeing typical top signals: overly bullish headlines, extreme optimism, and calls for “1M BTC soon.” These usually show up near market tops, not bottoms.
📉 My Trade:
I’m still holding my shorts. All limit orders are filled and my average entry is around 122K. I’ll share updates if I make any changes or close the position.
📌 Downside Targets:
105K → 100K → 95K → 90K
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #191👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into Bitcoin analysis. The market is still in a ranging phase, so let’s take a look at today’s triggers together.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
In this timeframe, Bitcoin is still consolidating and has formed a new range high around 124,094.
✔️ Right now, the price is near the bottom of the range box it has created and is on the verge of breaking below it.
✨ If the bottom of the box breaks, price could move toward lower levels.
📊 If selling volume continues to increase, the downward move could extend further, and Bitcoin may correct to even deeper zones.
🎲 However, if this move turns out to be a fake breakdown, and we see reversal structures such as a V-pattern, we could look for a long trigger.
🔑 I still don’t see Bitcoin as being in a downtrend. In my view, every correction the market makes is still healthy and supports the continuation of the broader bullish structure, helping maintain the strength of upcoming legs.
⭐ For now, since momentum has turned bearish on the lower cycles, I don’t have any new triggers to give based on my strategy. In this phase of the market, I prefer to wait until price builds more structure.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Bulls Eye $148K–$160K Targets as IHS Pattern Takes ShapeBitcoin faced rejection from a strong supply zone currently acting as the neckline of a potential Inverse Head & Shoulders (IHS) structure. The right shoulder appears to be forming within the $113K–$116K range, and this zone will be crucial in determining the next major directional move.
If the $113K–$116K support range manages to hold the price, we could see a bullish rebound back toward the neckline region around $126K–$127K, setting the stage for a breakout continuation. A successful neckline breakout could propel price toward the primary setup target near $148K, with an extended blow-off top possibly reaching $160K.
However, this bullish formation becomes invalidated if price closes below $107K, which would negate the IHS structure and reopen lower retracement possibilities.
Do you agree with this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Risk On/Off: How Global Correlations Tell You Money Flow🔵 Risk On / Risk Off: How Global Correlations Tell You Where Money Is Flowing
Difficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐋🐋 (Intermediate+)
This article is for traders who want to understand how global capital flow affects market behavior — from equities and crypto to gold and bonds. Learning to read “Risk On” and “Risk Off” regimes helps you anticipate big shifts before they hit your chart.
🔵 INTRODUCTION
Markets are not independent islands — they are connected by one universal force: liquidity flow .
When investors feel confident, they move capital into riskier assets like stocks and crypto — this is called Risk On .
When fear dominates, capital flows back into safety — bonds, gold, and the U.S. dollar — known as Risk Off .
Recognizing this rotation allows traders to align their bias with the flow of global capital rather than fighting it.
🔵 WHAT IS “RISK ON”
Risk On is a market environment where investors seek higher returns, volatility is subdued, and capital flows into assets with greater reward potential.
Typical Risk-On behavior:
S&P 500, Nasdaq, and other equities trend higher
Bitcoin and crypto assets outperform traditional markets
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) weakens as money moves abroad
Bond yields rise moderately as investors leave safe assets
Gold often consolidates or declines
In simple terms: Money chases opportunity.
🔵 WHAT IS “RISK OFF”
Risk Off describes defensive conditions — fear rises, volatility expands, and liquidity seeks safety.
Typical Risk-Off behavior:
S&P 500 and risk assets decline
Bitcoin and altcoins drop sharply
DXY strengthens as investors move into USD
Bond yields fall as money enters treasuries
Gold rallies as a safe-haven hedge
In simple terms: Money runs to safety.
🔵 HOW TO DETECT RISK SHIFTS
Market regimes don’t flip instantly — they rotate through correlated behavior.
To identify the shift between Risk On and Risk Off, monitor key macro instruments together:
DXY (Dollar Index): Rising DXY = Risk Off sentiment, Falling DXY = Risk On.
SPX / NASDAQ: Strong uptrends = Risk On, persistent weakness = Risk Off.
BTC vs DXY: Inverse correlation; BTC strength with DXY weakness = liquidity expansion.
Bond Yields (US10Y): Rising = optimism, Falling = risk aversion.
VIX Index: Below 15 = complacent Risk On, Above 25 = fearful Risk Off.
🔵 THE GLOBAL LIQUIDITY CYCLE
Liquidity always moves in phases — expansion, acceleration, contraction, and reset.
Phase 1 – Liquidity Expansion: Central banks inject liquidity → Risk On begins.
Phase 2 – Overextension: Assets rally strongly, leverage increases, volatility stays low.
Phase 3 – Liquidity Contraction: Monetary tightening or policy shocks trigger Risk Off.
Phase 4 – Repricing & Reset: Markets bottom as new liquidity returns.
Understanding this rhythm helps traders avoid confusion when markets seem “irrational” — because they’re not, they’re simply rotating through the liquidity cycle.
🔵 USING RISK ON/OFF IN TRADING
Even technical traders benefit from recognizing global risk regimes.
By aligning with the dominant liquidity direction, setups gain higher probability.
Crypto traders: Use SPX, DXY, and VIX correlations to confirm momentum.
Stock traders: Track gold and yields to gauge investor confidence.
Forex traders: Trade USD pairs according to global sentiment.
Swing traders: Filter trade bias by checking the current global regime.
Tip: When correlations align (e.g., DXY up, SPX down, BTC down), expect trend continuation.
When they diverge, volatility or reversals are likely.
🔵 ADVANCED TOOLS TO WATCH
Global Liquidity Index: Track combined balance sheets of the Fed, ECB, BOJ, and PBC.
Stablecoin Supply (Crypto): Expanding supply = liquidity entering market.
Yield Curve (10Y–2Y spread): Falling = caution, Rising = recovery.
Funding Rates: Confirm risk sentiment via leverage buildup.
🔵 CONCLUSION
All markets are connected through liquidity.
Risk On and Risk Off regimes describe how that liquidity rotates between return and safety. By tracking global correlations — equities, bonds, gold, DXY, and crypto — traders gain a powerful macro filter to stay on the right side of momentum.
Liquidity creates direction. Correlation confirms conviction.
If you learn to read the global flow, your technical analysis will finally make sense in the bigger picture.
Do you track global correlations in your analysis? What’s your favorite Risk-On or Risk-Off indicator?
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #187👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s go over Bitcoin’s analysis — today, Bitcoin has recorded a new ATH. Let’s review the market conditions together.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, Bitcoin is moving inside an ascending channel with a steady upward slope.
⭐ After a corrective move from the top of the box, the price made a fake breakdown of the channel’s bottom and then, with the bullish momentum that followed, moved upward and managed to set a new ATH.
✔️ During the correction, the volume was decreasing, but after the price was supported at the key support zone and the fake breakdown occurred, buying volume entered the market.
✨ The main confirmation of the bullish continuation could be taken after breaking above 117056. Currently, the next confirmation trigger is a price stabilization above 123433.
💥 In my opinion, since RSI is getting rejected from the 70 level and the price has reached a strong resistance zone, there’s a high chance that the market will range below this resistance for a few days to test it.
🧩 At the moment, the main RSI resistance level seems to be 75.38 — if this level breaks, the main market momentum could start, leading to a sharp move upward.
📊 It’s completely normal for the trend to show weakness after reaching an ATH, because this level is Bitcoin’s largest supply zone. These wicks hitting the resistance zone don’t necessarily mean trend weakness — it’s typical for the price to form such candles when testing its all-time high.
🔑 What really matters is how the price reacts in the next few attempts at this zone, which will tell us whether we have an actual trend weakness or not.
💫 Right now, the most important support Bitcoin has built is around 107000. If a bearish move begins, the first confirmation of a downtrend will be breaking this area. However, the main confirmation of a full bearish reversal would be the break of 100961.
🎲 Overall, since the price is currently at the top of the market, finding precise triggers on Bitcoin is difficult. But considering Bitcoin dominance has the potential to drop, altcoins could provide excellent trading setups in the coming days if that dominance decline begins.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Using DXY to Predict Manipulation on BitcoinIn this post it’s important to view and relate to the linked, related idea called “DXY - Major Breakdown of Ascending Channel”
I’ll keep this short and to the point since we are actively in the war zone now.
1. Identify major patterns or structure shifts on DXY. For 8 years I’ve used these same ascending channel supports on DXY and it’s made very clear this is the way it trades, as we can duplicate the line angle and move it near infinitely to any area and see how price respects it.
2. Identify major DXY events in relation to the DXY pivot. In this case, we are witnessing a bearish retest of a major bearish signal.
3. Understand what it all means. DXY falling / correcting for 4-7 years translates to BULL MARKET of the same duration on stocks, equities, and securities.
Now you may be thinking - “Okay but that means, Bitcoin will go up then?”
WRONG
The reason is, Bitcoin and Crypto is a manipulated game and it’s all rigged and intentional.
What does this really mean then?
4. If we will see a natural bullish trend on Bitcoin for the next 4-7 years, that means the market makers want their money back. Since Bitcoin has been only moving up since late 2022, this has set up a massive chain reaction of long stop losses / sell orders, paving a path to these lower zones on my BTC chart. What this should tell you is - FLASH CRASH COMING. Manipulated crash before the true bull run.
Now you may be wondering - “No way, the world would have to see an apocalypse for 8,000 to be hit”
WRONG
Stop loss orders are in place already as a natural consequence of traders decisions over the last 3+ years. These are sell orders. Once these sell orders start filling, bitcoin will see an automatic wick down to these low levels. No active selling is required, and therefor no black swan required.
Now - If DXY was retesting a bullish pattern, I’d be longing as that signals extended bear market.
And rest assured - THIS MARKET IS ALL MANIPULATION.
We can use DXY to predict the trigger of it all.
Happy trading.
- DD
#BITCOIN ANALYSIS For the last 40 days I’ve been telling you #BITCOIN ANALYSIS
For the last 40 days I’ve been telling you guys I’m bearish on $BTC. We already dropped almost 8K twice, but every time Bitcoin reclaimed the levels again. Right now it’s trading around 18K to 119k but nothing has changed for me. I’m still bearish.
I’ve said many times that the 115K to 124K region is a short zone, not a long zone. If you’re still holding longs, I’d strongly suggest you flip to shorts because the chart is flashing multiple top signals.
Don’t get trapped by hype like “Bitcoin to 1 million by the end of this year.” That’s just noise. The structure is weak, liquidity is being engineered, and the bigger downside move is still ahead.
📌 Downside Targets:
105K → 100K → 95K → 90K
Btc going downBitcoin is currently trading around 122,000 – 123,000, approaching the key resistance zone of 124,500 – 123,300. I expect the price to show a rejection or a stop-hunt above this resistance before entering a bearish move.
Bearish Targets:
• 🎯 Target 1: 108,000 – 107,200 (short-term support)
• 🎯 Target 2: 105,000 (key support)
• 🎯 Target 3: 100,000 – 102,000 (major base zone)
• 🎯 Final Target: 94,000 – 95,000 (liquidity pool below)
Reasons for this scenario:
• Liquidity resting above 124,500 with a high chance of stop-hunt
• Presence of unfilled FVGs (fair value gaps) below
• Untested base/support zones between 100K – 94K