Bitcoin Drops Below $108.6K — What’s Next?
Bitcoin was holding near $115K, but now it's fallen below the $108.6K level. The next support is around $105K. If that breaks, we could see further downside toward $100K.
To turn bullish again, Bitcoin needs to reclaim $112K as support. If that happens, it could retest $115K–$120K.
#PEACE
BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
BTC 25.09.25I'm looking for an accumulation in this area to turn the distribution from last week into a bigger one that takes out the extreme liquidity. BTC already had an accumulation here that hit it's target, distributed and deviated the low again. If this is intended to be a bigger accumulation it will need more time to develop. I'm waiting for model 2 POI's to get created and confirmation/invalidations of this idea. Confluence via USDT.D would be nice.
Can't say I didn't warn you! BTC and VIXI hate to say it, but it will be worse than I thought! I've been telling folks to watch out as history repeats itself and the market is way too hot esp. in this crappy environment. There is more room to bleed. If you have a position, take the inverse like this second! CBOE:UVIX CBOE:MSTZ $ BTCZ could be nice plays
Bitcoin Setup: Eyeing CME Gap at $113KBitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading in a Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) and near the Support zone($110,920-$109,900), Support lines, Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($110,430-$109,660).
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, Bitcoin seems to have completed a microwave 5, the reason for today's drop was the correction in the SPX500 index( SP:SPX ) and the release of US indices(Final GDP q/q, Unemployment Claims).
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys.
I expect Bitcoin to move back above 100_EMA(Daily) because the breakout volume was not enough, and attack the Resistance lines. If the Resistance lines are broken we can expect the CME Gap($113,380-$113,275) to fill.
First Target: $112,600
Second Target: $113,280
Stop Loss(SL): $109,280
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $114,866-$113,720
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
$BTC Bearish Short-Term (September 25, 2025)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bearish Momentum with Potential Short-Term Bounce
Overall Price Trend: The price has dropped from highs around 118,000 USDT at the start of the period, now reaching about 109,000-110,000 USDT. This is evident from the red (bearish) candlesticks at the end of the chart, with a strong drop in recent hours. There's a series of red signals indicating selling pressure.
Ichimoku Cloud:The price is fully below the cloud, which is a strong bearish signal—suggesting the downtrend is dominant.
The Tenkan-sen (red line) and Kijun-sen (blue line) have crossed bearishly (red below blue), and the cloud is thick and reddish (bearish). The Kijun-sen is declining, confirming the downward momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): In the bottom panel, RSI has fallen to low levels around 24 (oversold—over-sold), then recovered slightly to 30-40. This shows the market is fatigued from selling, but there's no strong rebound signal yet. An RSI below 30 usually warns of a potential bounce, but in this bearish context, it could just be temporary relief.
Volume and Momentum: From the candlesticks, volume appears high on the red drops, reinforcing strong selling. No clear signs of broken support (around 109k looks like a possible zone, but it's being tested).
Analysis Summary: The chart is Bearish overall. Downward momentum dominates, with the oversold RSI potentially leading to short-term relief, but not a major reversal.Forecast Until Tomorrow (September 26, 2025):Based on the 2H chart, the bearish trend may continue in the coming hours, but with a small chance of rebound due to the oversold RSI.
Here are the possible scenarios:Base Scenario (Bearish, 70% probability): Price could test lower levels around 107,000-108,000 USDT if selling persists (especially if the cloud remains resistant). This would happen without a positive Ichimoku crossover or a strong green candle.
Alternative Scenario (Mild Bullish, 30% probability): A short-term bounce to 111,000-112,000 USDT, if RSI climbs above 40 and price breaks the Tenkan-sen. This would be temporary, without changing the broader bearish trend.
To monitor, watch key levels: Support at 109k, resistance at 112k.
Deep Learning Model for 24-Hour BTC Price PredictionHi everyone,
I’ve developed a deep learning AI model designed to predict BTC's price movement over the next 24 hours on the 15-minute timeframe.
It’s important to note that this model does not directly provide exact entry points for trades. Instead, it indicates the likely direction of the market, meaning you’ll still need basic trading knowledge to apply it effectively.
After testing it over the course of one month, I achieved a success rate of around 90% in my trades when using the model as part of my strategy.
The model was trained using the following features:
Time-related: Hour, DayOfWeek
Price & volume lags: Close_lag_1, Close_lag_2, Close_lag_4, Close_lag_8, Close_lag_12, Volume_lag_1, Volume_lag_2, Volume_lag_4, Volume_lag_8, Volume_lag_12
Moving averages & statistics: MA_4, Std_4, Dist_MA_4, MA_16, Std_16, Dist_MA_16, MA_48, Std_48, Dist_MA_48, MA_96, Std_96, Dist_MA_96
Technical indicators: Return_log, MACD, RSI
Hourly Forecast for the Next 24 Hours
2025-09-25 10:00:00+00:00 111550.165640
2025-09-25 11:00:00+00:00 111376.971911
2025-09-25 12:00:00+00:00 111228.010503
2025-09-25 13:00:00+00:00 111113.808253
2025-09-25 14:00:00+00:00 111015.461229
2025-09-25 15:00:00+00:00 110924.218881
2025-09-25 16:00:00+00:00 110836.693056
2025-09-25 17:00:00+00:00 110752.812431
2025-09-25 18:00:00+00:00 110671.121547
2025-09-25 19:00:00+00:00 110589.284377
2025-09-25 20:00:00+00:00 110507.299785
2025-09-25 21:00:00+00:00 110426.231097
2025-09-25 22:00:00+00:00 110347.648529
2025-09-25 23:00:00+00:00 110272.293736
2025-09-26 00:00:00+00:00 110200.252059
2025-09-26 01:00:00+00:00 110128.568457
2025-09-26 02:00:00+00:00 110076.551644
2025-09-26 03:00:00+00:00 110033.237232
2025-09-26 04:00:00+00:00 109989.062884
2025-09-26 05:00:00+00:00 109942.853975
2025-09-26 06:00:00+00:00 109895.090788
2025-09-26 07:00:00+00:00 109846.533566
2025-09-26 08:00:00+00:00 109797.842122
$BTC Bearish Short-Term (September 24, 2025)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Summary of Price Action:
Recent Movement: In the last 24 hours, BTC has dropped by about 0.5% - 0.9%, reaching $112,479 this morning (UTC). This follows a slight recovery from $107,200 on September 23, but it's now retesting support at $112,000. In your 2H chart, we see a series of red candles (bearish) indicating selling pressure, with trading volume increasing during the decline, confirming seller interest.
Key Levels:Support: $112,000 (immediate level, tested today) and $110,000 - $107,200 as a stronger lower zone. If $112,000 breaks, we could see a drop toward $109,000.
Resistance: $115,000 - $117,000 (strong level with recent rejections). A break above $117,000 would signal recovery toward $120,000.
Volume and Liquidity: 24-hour volume is around $52 billion, with large liquidations ($1.7 billion in the last 24 hours), mostly long (bullish) positions. This shows smaller traders suffering from bearish pressure.
MACD Indicator Analysis :
In the chart you sent, the MACD line (blue) is slightly above the signal line (orange), but the histogram is turning negative (red bars growing). This indicates a bearish divergence – the price is weakening while momentum is losing strength. MACD is below the zero line, confirming a weak short-term trend. RSI (at similar levels) is around 44-55, signaling lightly oversold, but still without strong buy signals.
Overall Trend:
Bearish Short-Term, Bullish Long-Term
Short-Term (Today/Next Day): Bearish. The price is consolidating in a bearish channel, with predictions for further downside toward $110,000 - $107,000 today or tomorrow, due to fear sentiment (Fear & Greed Index at 43) and pressure from liquidations. This matches your chart, where we see a potential inverse "head and shoulders" pattern (but still uncertain). Avoid immediate buys – wait for confirmation below $112,000 for shorts or above $115,000 for longs.
BTC at Key Level: 110k Break or Bounce?Bitcoin is testing the 110,000 support zone after a strong bearish move.
🔹 If price closes below 110k → next downside targets are 108k – 106k.
🔹 Short-term bounce is possible towards 113k – 114k, but trend remains bearish unless we reclaim 116k+.
⚡️Key focus: Watch the reaction at 110k — it will decide the next big move.
Bitcoin & Market Overview Over the past few days, Bitcoin has shown a clear weakness. On the footprint chart, we can see aggressive selling pressure with almost no real buying response. Every small attempt to push higher gets absorbed immediately by sellers. In simple words – sellers are in control, buyers are silent.
Looking at the Volume Profile, the next meaningful target/support area sits around $109,000 per coin. If the current pressure continues, that’s the area where price could be heading to find balance.
From a Wyckoff perspective, Bitcoin is right in the middle of a Distribution phase – a stage where big players are unloading their positions onto retail traders. Usually, during this phase, the public still believes the market is strong, while in reality large players are preparing the ground for a bigger move down.
Zooming out to the broader picture, equity markets are also highly priced. The Buffett Indicator – which measures the ratio between the total stock market value and GDP – is currently sitting at historically high levels. This is one of the most reliable signals that markets are overvalued compared to the real economy.
Recent news also highlights the same point: valuations keep stretching, company P/E ratios are expanding, while economic growth is showing signs of slowing down. That combination – high valuations with slowing growth – has often been the recipe for sharp corrections.
Bottom line: Both Bitcoin and the stock market are showing stretched valuations and clear selling pressure. It doesn’t mean a crash tomorrow, but it does mean caution is needed. Small rallies shouldn’t be confused with strength – the risk of a meaningful correction is definitely on the table.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #180👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday Bitcoin continued its drop and made another downward move. Let’s check the market together.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe started a downward move and, with consolidation below the 114643 area, turned bearish in lower cycles.
⭐ After finishing the first bearish leg, the price formed a top around the 113110 area and made a deep correction up to above this area, which can be called a DBC, because after that a new downward move started.
✔️ At the moment the price is on the 110941 support, and during this downward move that happened after the break of 114643, the volume has completely increased and the volume of bearish candles has been much higher than bullish candles.
🔑 Breaking the 110941 area can start the next bearish leg. In this case the next move can be much longer and the price can move down with more bearish momentum.
✨ On the other hand, if this area holds as support, we can get the first sign of a trend change, but for now I don’t think the market is giving us any specific position because there is not a proper structure for a long and at the same time there isn’t enough bearish momentum for a short position either.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Zoom out and $BTC is dropping like a rockDon't shoot the messenger! Zoom out and we can clearly see there's a lot more room to fall! There's always a little pullback when it drops; whales make sure to get good price when retail investors become exit liquidity. BTC dropping below key indicators and just wait until it crosses 110k! Proceed with caution. Good play for inverse CBOE:BTCZ / $MTSZ since MSTR will likely drop below $300 very soon. Best of luck out there!
BTC/USDT Analysis. Moving Within the Expected Scenario
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update.
Yesterday, as expected, Bitcoin made a false breakout to the upside, testing the ~$113,800 zone (market imbalance, mirror level) and then quickly reversed downward. When testing the $113,000-$112,000 area, there was no significant reaction, and the price moved lower to test the more important $111,600-$110,500 zone (accumulated volumes).
At the moment, the primary scenario remains a resumption of buying. A local volume zone has formed above the current price at $112,000-$111,300 — breaking and consolidating above it would significantly increase the probability of moving toward the next major resistance. We are considering a long position either after consolidation above this zone or upon a retest with a clear buying reaction, which would be a more conservative entry.
If this level is rejected, we may see further downside movement toward $108,000.
Buy Zones:
• $112,000-$111,300 (potential local support)
• ~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
• $108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
• $115,000-$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $118,000–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Beings Taken Out | RectemberIt's Rectember, bloody markets all over the coins and also BTC. Despite the fact that the bull run has not ended yet, better is yet to come!
We have had a breakdown on BTC during the night, which broke the local support zone and might send the price back as low as the $108K zone, where the major support zone is currently sitting.
This is not yet confirmed, as the price might suprice us and buyers might reclaim the local support zone (the one we broke recently) and if they do so by the end of the week, then that's where we will be expecting a bounce to happen. If not, then our attention will be at the $108K zone.
Swallow Academy
BTC - Important UpdateWe have seen price fall again into our green box of support. This is also with a test of our green trendline.
The fact buyers have already started to step in at that trendline is a good sign. This could be another low point for the trend establishing another test of support upon that trendline.
However, if this trendline is broken watch the August 2025 swing low around $107,500. If we start seeing candles close below that level then it will create a lower low for our trend and most likely lead to sub $100k levels.
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Projection – Bullish Setup AheadBitcoin has recently completed a corrective ABC pattern, with the C leg finding strong support in the highlighted buy zone. At Level (A), a small bullish divergence appeared, signaling that the correction was nearing its end and a new impulsive cycle was likely to begin.
Wave Structure
Wave 1 has already formed, showing the first sign of strength after the correction.
Wave 2 is currently unfolding, retesting the buy zone and offering a strong accumulation opportunity.
The next major move is expected to be Wave 3, which is projected to extend toward 128300.
After a corrective pullback in Wave 4, the final push of Wave 5 could carry Bitcoin toward 134200.
Key Levels
Buy zone: 110000 – 112000
Wave 3 target: 128300
Wave 5 target: 134200
Summary
The bullish divergence, combined with the completed ABC correction and the developing impulsive wave structure, suggests that Bitcoin is preparing for a strong continuation to the upside. Holding above the buy zone keeps this bullish outlook intact, with significant upside potential in the coming weeks.
BTC
Bitcoin remains under pressure after a sharp drop from the 114,000 – 115,500 supply zone. On the 1H timeframe, sellers are still in control, highlighted by the failure to hold above 113,200 (BoS level).
The price is now testing the 110,800 – 111,200 demand zone, which serves as a short-term accumulation area.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish: If the 110,800 – 111,200 demand holds, BTC could rebound toward 113,200, with further upside potential to retest supply at 114,000 – 114,200.
Bearish: A breakdown below demand would confirm stronger bearish momentum, opening room for a decline toward 109,500 – 109,100.
Conclusion
The 110,800 – 111,200 zone is decisive. Holding this level keeps the chance of a short-term rebound, while a breakdown would likely extend the bearish trend to lower supports.
Redistribution Continues to 91.3-97.7kRegarding my last chart, I think we will continue much lower than 3600's for ETH and only bounce a decent amount somewhere between 91.3k - 97.7k
The current last point of supply has been tested, now we approach JAC phase
Holding shorts
ETH only bids are mid 2500's
Bitcoin Breaks Through Key Support Band — Price May Crash SoonAt the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $111,542, reflecting a 4.7% weekly decline. The crypto king remains stuck below the $112,500 resistance, unable to attract enough momentum to flip the level into support.
If bearish pressure persists, Bitcoin could break through $110,000 support, opening a path to $108,000. Continued selling could extend the drawdown further, dragging BTC to $105,000 in the near term.
However, if investors step in to stabilize price action, Bitcoin could reclaim $112,500 as support. A successful bounce from that level would challenge the prevailing bearish narrative, potentially setting the stage for recovery and invalidating the downside outlook.