BTC trendWe’ve had a general uptrend from the end of 2022 until mid-August this year. Each time, BTC executed an almost perfect flip 7 times in a row, and then, for the first time during this period, the flip was broken. This potentially means there’s a chance we won’t stay within the marked range in the coming period.
You can notice that from the 1st to the 3rd flip we had a 100% increase (±1%), and from the 3rd to the 5th flip also 100% (±1%). I don’t think that’s a coincidence :)” ✅
BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
BITCOIN SIGNAL: IS IT ABOUT TO GET WORSE??!! (scary) Yello Paradisers!
Together, we go through multiple timeframes. We are going through an ultra-long timeframe, breaking of the channel. How proper reclaims look, what the preceded price action is that is going to happen next and what preceded before that, and what the cycles are. We are taking a look at the bearish divergence, a shooting star which increased the truncation probability on lower timeframes.And that we are in the first motive mode wave of a higher-degree impulse.
On a high time frame chart, we are going through the secondary wave, the bearish divergence, resistances, and with the highest probability, the secondary wave is not yet finished. We are looking for confirmations from a high time frame perspective.
On a medium timeframe, we are deeply calculating the sub-waves. I'm sharing with you the fourth wave that, with the highest probability, is finishing, and we are about to have a fifth corrective mode wave because we are in an ending diagonal.
On a low timeframe chart, I'm sharing with you the expanding triangle and the upcoming price action with the highest probability.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN SIGNAL: ANOTHER PERFECT PREDICTION (warning) Yello Paradisers! As always, as professional traders in this video, once again, we will go through multi-timeframe analysis. We are using Elliot Wave, indicators, advanced technical tools, and price action reading. Enjoy it. I love you.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTC potential short zone
**“Potential short zone, which contains the 0.5 Fibonacci level of range A, a flip, 1h cluster box, and at the same time it’s the zone that defends the entire imbalance, as well as the Golden Pocket of range A.”** ✅
“The R is 1/1 when fees are included, the profit is smaller but the trade is safer, since the TP is before the order block for a new long swing.”
Bitcoin bounce as we expected and here is the first target🔥 As we expected in the previous idea, after retesting the lows at the start of the week, the price reversed upward. Target #1 — to close the GAP up to $115,200.
But will the price manage to close it fully, or will a reversal happen earlier? Let’s take a look at what the chart is telling us:
✅ Buying volumes are slowly growing, which means buyers are stepping in. However, overall buying volumes are still low compared to selling volumes. Once higher price levels are reached, sellers may become active and easily take back control.
✅ Since Monday, the price had been moving in a descending channel and today it broke upward with a strong impulse, which is usually a signal of a trend reversal to growth.
✅ Money Flow — an indicator showing inflows of money into the asset. Here we see a strong pump on the 1H timeframe chart, showing a sharp liquidity inflow. This is one of the key signs that the growth is supported by fresh liquidity, along with the rising buying volume.
📌 Conclusion:
Right now the price growth looks organic and healthy. All metrics are in harmony with the price direction. But things can quickly change this Friday with the CPE data. The market is extremely sensitive to any negative input right now. Still, if everything continues as it is now, we could see $114,000 today or tomorrow, while $115,000 will depend on Friday’s CPE data.
✍️ Drop a comment — are you long or already shorting?
$BTC fake pump, you won't be savedSo there's some consolidation taking place, and that's normal at these levels. But let's zoom out for a bit and see the forest vs. the trees. What do we see? Downward channel SMAs / support resistance levels. What does that mean? it will bounce within the downward channel. The direction is way too strong moving it down to it's true support levels. Liquidity is down for retailers and institutions don't have the appetite to experiment with ultra high volatility esp. with YoY diminishing returns. Blackrock is dumping, and some are looking to get luck and hope for an upside. Hope is not a strategy! Maybe one day it will go up higher, but first it will cross 75k and many will get completely wiped out. I've see this many times before. Best of luck and always do your own dd!
BTC Correction targeting 100k?> Bitcoin is showing bearish RSI divergence on the August high, while the recent low shows no divergence, signaling potential weakness in momentum.
> I´m interpreting the current structure as an ABC correction, which may still be unfolding.
> The 100% Fibonacci extension aligns with the key psychological support at $100k, making it a high-probability target if the correction continues.
> The $115k level could act as resistance, setting the stage for further downward legs.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #179👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. After a few days, it’s time to resume our updates.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
After breaking the 116,960 zone, Bitcoin failed to hold above it and the upward move turned out to be a fake breakout.
⚡️ Following that, a corrective move began. After consolidating below 114,819, the price continued its correction down to 111,524.
✔️ So far, the reaction to this level has been positive, with several green candles forming off this support.
🔑 However, the key point is that volume hasn’t increased, which is not a good sign for buyers.
🔍 If 111,524 breaks, the downtrend could extend toward the main support floor below.
💥 On the other hand, if price manages to create higher highs and higher lows above 111,524 and volume starts to pick up, a confirmed close above 114,819 could offer a long entry setup.
📈 A breakout of 116,960 will remain the primary long trigger. A clean break above that level will confirm the start of a new bullish leg.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC - Current Levels Post Rate CutIt has been a week since we saw the fed cut rates. Now it is time to reexamine price action compared to our pre-rate cut chart. That post can be found here:
After the rate cut (Vertical Purple Line), we saw price dump sharply while Powell was speaking. Once he stopped, BTC rallied all the way to our red box (mid term resistance). As expected, price then started to sell off from that level of resistance.
The buyers started to regain control of price action in our green box (current main support). As expected we saw many wicks into this box that were quickly eaten up by buyers. Currently, we are trying to see a break above our micro resistance level of $113.5k. If this level can be broken, the upwards momentum should continue.
However, We do not want to see BTC start closing 4H candles below our green trendline (Support Trendline). That would indicate this support we are building will be negated and further downside price action will ensure.
But based on the current technicals, BTC looks primed for a move back to the upside.
Deep Learning Model for 24-Hour BTC Price PredictionHi everyone,
I’ve developed a deep learning AI model designed to predict BTC's price movement over the next 24 hours on the 15-minute timeframe.
It’s important to note that this model does not directly provide exact entry points for trades. Instead, it indicates the likely direction of the market, meaning you’ll still need basic trading knowledge to apply it effectively.
After testing it over the course of one month, I achieved a success rate of around 90% in my trades when using the model as part of my strategy.
The model was trained using the following features:
Time-related: Hour, DayOfWeek
Price & volume lags: Close_lag_1, Close_lag_2, Close_lag_4, Close_lag_8, Close_lag_12, Volume_lag_1, Volume_lag_2, Volume_lag_4, Volume_lag_8, Volume_lag_12
Moving averages & statistics: MA_4, Std_4, Dist_MA_4, MA_16, Std_16, Dist_MA_16, MA_48, Std_48, Dist_MA_48, MA_96, Std_96, Dist_MA_96
Technical indicators: Return_log, MACD, RSI
Hourly Forecast for the Next 24 Hours
2025-09-22 16:00:00+00:00 112868.108911
2025-09-22 17:00:00+00:00 112757.054106
2025-09-22 18:00:00+00:00 112557.937320
2025-09-22 19:00:00+00:00 112373.151712
2025-09-22 20:00:00+00:00 112210.080137
2025-09-22 21:00:00+00:00 112064.107080
2025-09-22 22:00:00+00:00 111933.244060
2025-09-22 23:00:00+00:00 111814.787805
2025-09-23 00:00:00+00:00 111705.927459
2025-09-23 01:00:00+00:00 111607.475843
2025-09-23 02:00:00+00:00 111524.840873
2025-09-23 03:00:00+00:00 111437.635095
2025-09-23 04:00:00+00:00 111343.749129
2025-09-23 05:00:00+00:00 111246.298540
2025-09-23 06:00:00+00:00 111147.683271
2025-09-23 07:00:00+00:00 111049.586709
2025-09-23 08:00:00+00:00 110950.490318
2025-09-23 09:00:00+00:00 110849.816470
2025-09-23 10:00:00+00:00 110747.656416
2025-09-23 11:00:00+00:00 110644.007192
2025-09-23 12:00:00+00:00 110539.209243
2025-09-23 13:00:00+00:00 110433.590563
2025-09-23 14:00:00+00:00 110327.417880
2025-09-23 15:00:00+00:00 110221.241699
2025-09-23 16:00:00+00:00 110115.552154
BTC/USDT Analysis – Rotation Continues
Hello everyone! This is the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market review.
Yesterday we expected rotation within two key zones with a priority on grabbing upper liquidity, but instead, price moved for lower liquidity and tested the $111,600–$110,500 buy zone (accumulated volumes), from which we again saw a strong reaction.
Our current focus remains on capturing the upper liquidity and testing the market imbalance near ~$113,800. After that, we expect another selling wave into the $113,000–$112,000 zone. If we see a strong reaction there, we will consider long setups targeting the higher sell zone at $115,000–$116,000.
Buy Zones:
• $111,600–$110,500 (accumulated volumes)
• ~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
• $108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
• ~$113,800 (market imbalance, mirror zone)
• $115,000–$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $118,000–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
⚠️ This publication is not financial advice.
BTC/USDTAnalysis:
BTC/USDT is currently showing weakness after breaking below a key support level, which has now turned into resistance (highlighted zone). Price is retesting this area, and if it fails to break above convincingly, it may confirm continuation to the downside.
Key Points:
The highlighted red zone is a strong supply area where sellers previously took control.
Price is forming lower highs, showing bearish momentum.
A rejection from this zone could trigger another leg down.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Wait for bearish confirmation around the resistance zone.
Target: Next support levels below.
Stop Loss: Above the red zone to protect against invalidation.
This setup is based on a classic support-turned-resistance scenario and market structure continuation.
btc long The market is setting up a potential long opportunity from a Bill Williams perspective. Here's the breakdown:
Fractal Analysis: Price is coiling above a significant bullish fractal support zone near $112,500. We need a bullish fractal to break above the recent consolidation to confirm a new upward impulse.
Awesome Oscillator (AO): The key will be watching for the next AO histogram bar to turn green and ideally see a three-peak buy signal forming. This would indicate accelerating bullish momentum.
Alligator's Mouth: Price is currently dancing around the Alligator's lips (the blue line). A strong push and sustained move above the Alligator's teeth (red line) would signal the Alligator is "awakening" and starting a new trending move to the upside.
Market Logic: The current squeeze suggests we are in a balance zone (trading range). The bias is for an upward breakout from this balance, targeting the next equilibrium zone.
Bias: LONG (on confirmation)
Confirmation Trigger: A clear break above the Alligator's teeth ($113,200 area) accompanied by a green AO bar.
Ideal Entry Zone: $113,200 - $113,400 (on confirmation).
Target: The previous fractal high near $114,200, with a stretch target to the $115,000+ zone if momentum is strong.
Stop Loss: A close below the recent fractal low support (below $112,500).
Trade in the direction of the Chaos!
The BTC cycle that started at 84K is projected end at 114K This is a cycle update for BTC/USDT. Based on the cycle data, the cycle that started at 84K has ended at 114K. This indicates that we are now entering a new major trend breakdown in the cycle. It can take time, but when there is a new uptrend cycle, we will add.
This time frame and action made the end of the cycle that started from 84K
This could mean that btc can enter below 110K in the coming time. We have seen more times in the history of BTC that by the cycle end, the trend breaks down in steps.
BTCUSDT Perpetual 4h closed 07:00 base scenarioSnapshot of the last 4h candle (and what it means)
• Price (Close): ~112,537.6. The current market price is the base for all levels.
• VWAP (whole period): ~114,780.7; z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −1.08. The price is below the "fair" one by volume; moderate discount → increased chance of medium return.
• aVWAP (anchors): start 114 780.7, 60d 114 679.5, from swing low 112 288.2, from swing high 112 294.3. We are below the "long" anchors and close to the swing anchors → the local seller is even stronger, but the risks of a rebound are increasing for the swing aVWAP.
• Donchian 20/55:
— 20: High 115 779.6 / Mid 113 341.9 / Low 110 904.2
— 55: High 117 884.0 / Mid 114 394.1 / Low 110 904.2
Meaning: trading between Mid and Low — often rotation to Mid.
• Volume Profile (~60d): POC ~115 112.5, VAL ~110 059.0, VAH ~120 963.9. We are between VAL and POC → a frequent "magnet" up to POC. HVN at 111–115k; LVN — thin zones at 116–117k and above 121k.
* RSI(14): ~40.9. Below 50 — seller's advantage, but not oversold (<30).
* MFI(14): ~34.4. Cash flows are weak, close to the "cheap" zone.
* CMF(20): ~-0.04. Slight capital outflow, but not extreme.
• MACD(12/26/9): line −940 below signal −886, hist. −54 → bearish momentum weakening, but still strong.
• ADX/DMI(14): ADX ~43; +DI ~8.6 / −DI ~31.7. Strong downward trend (−DI≫+DI).
• ATR(14): ~984 $. Basic 4h range for buffers/stops/triggers.
• Keltner: Upper 115 132 / Mid 113 250 / Lower 111 367 — we are closer to KC-Lower, a zone of frequent rebounds.
• Bollinger(20,2): Upper 116 482 / Mid 113 454 / Lower 110 426 — above BB-Lower; potential for medium return to BB-Mid.
• BB-Squeeze: OFF — volatility is not compressed, and a trend has already been established.
• z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −1.08. Discount to the "fair price" — mean-reversion in priority, unless a new inflow of shorts occurs.
* OBV z-scores: z50 −1.60 / z100 −2.32 / z200 −2.42, OBV ROC(10) ~ +0.12 → distribution on large windows, but stabilization locally.
• Open Interest: ~67.8k, z(168) ≈ −1.07, ROC(5/10) ≈ +0.01 / +0.01 → no aggressive shorting on the decline (more like degrossing).
⸻
Latest divergences (auto-detector)
• RSI: bullish on 22 Sep 07:00 → 22 Sep 19:00, bullish on 22 Sep 19:00 → 23 Sep 19:00
• MACD: bearish on 15 Sep 07:00 → 16 Sep 19:00, bearish on 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00
• OBV: bearish 16 Sep 19:00 → 17 Sep 07:00, bearish 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00
• MFI: bullish 22 Sep 07:00 → 22 Sep 19:00, bullish 22 Sep 19:00 → 23 Sep 19:00
Meaning: a series of old bearish divergences has been worked out downwards; fresh bullish ones on RSI/MFI support a rotational rebound to the averages, unless a new inflow of shorts appears (OI↑).
⸻
What does it mean now
1. The downward trend is strong (ADX≈43), but the move is "pulled" to the lower envelopes (KC-Lower/BB-Lower near) with a moderate discount to VWAP and fresh bullish RSI/MFI divergences → the basic risk scenario is a rotation to the averages.
2. Volume profile: we are trading between VAL 110.1k and POC 115.1k — historically, POC is drawn to.
3. Derivatives: OI is below normal and barely growing ⇒ it is difficult for the downward trend to accelerate without a fresh set of shorts.
⸻
Key levels
Resistances: 113.25–113.45k (KC-Mid / BB-Mid) → 113.34k (Donch-20 Mid) → 114.39k (Donch-55 Mid) → 115.11k (POC) → 115.78k (Donch-20 High) → 116.48k (BB-Upper) → 117.88k (Donch-55 High) → 120.96k (VAH).
Supports: 111.37k (KC-Lower) → 110.90k (Donch-Low 20/55) → 110.43k (BB-Lower) → 110.06k (VAL) → lower — by LVN passes (see btcff_levels.json).
⸻
Scenarios and triggers (not the financial council)
A) Basic - rotation up to the middle / POC
• Trigger: 4h-close above 113.3–113.5k (Donch-20 Mid / BB-Mid) + RSI > 45, MFI > 40, hist. MACD → 0, CMF ≥ 0.
• Targets: 114.4k (Donch-55 Mid) → 115.11k (POC) → at impulse 115.78k → 116.48k.
• Invalidator: fast rollback < 112.3k (area of swing aVWAP) or 4h-close < 111.37k (KC-Lower).
B) Continuation of the downward trend (deepening)
• Trigger: 4h-close < 111.37k together with: ADX > 35, OBV z50 ≤ −2, and an increase in OI on a red candle.
• Targets: 110.90k → 110.43k → 110.06k (VAL); below — according to LVN from the profile.
• Invalidator: return inside the channel and hold > 112.3–112.6k.
C) Quick short-squeeze
• Trigger: breakout and hold > 114.39k (Donch-55 Mid) or > 115.11k (POC) with a fall in OI on a green candle and an increase in OBV.
• Targets: 115.78k → 116.48k → 117.88k → 120.96k.
• Invalidator: return < 113.25k after breakdown.
⸻
Tactics (example of logic)
• Impulse long: after fixing > 113.3–113.5k. Partial fixation at 114.4k and 115.1k, then trail to 116.5–117.9k; stop at 112.3k or 1.0–1.5×ATR ≈ 0.98–1.48k$.
• Reversal long (conservative): zone 111.4–111.9k with signs of demand (RSI↑, MFI↑, CMF ≥ 0, candle reaction). Stop under 110.4k, targets 113.3 → 114.4 → 115.1k.
• Contra-trend short: only if 115.1–116.1k is rejected (RSI < 50, hist. MACD ↓). Stop at 116.6k, targets 114.0 → 113.3 → 112.3 → 111.4k.
⸻
Briefly: what to expect
The base scenario is a rotational rebound to 113.3–115.1k (to the averages/POC).
• We will consolidate above 114.4–115.1k → probably continue to 115.8–116.5k and test 117.9k.
• We will leave and hold below 111.37k with the growth of OI → road to 110.9 → 110.4 → 110.06k
BTC continues selling pressure, correctionBTC Analysis
1. Trend Structure:
BTC has broken down from its ascending channel after failing to hold above the 115,000 zone, signaling that bearish momentum is in control.
2. Key Resistance Levels:
• 113,925 and 116,132 remain strong resistance zones where sellers are likely to defend.
• Price action is currently trading below major moving averages, further supporting the bearish outlook.
3. Support & Downside Targets:
• Immediate support lies at 111,722 (Fibo 1.618).
• If selling continues, the next downside levels are 108,937 and 106,298.
4. Expectation:
A short-term bounce toward 113,900 – 114,000 is possible, but the broader structure favors further downside, with likely moves toward 109,000 – 106,000.
⸻
✅ Conclusion:
BTC remains in a bearish phase after the channel breakdown. Unless buyers reclaim 116,000+, selling pressure is expected to dominate.