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BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas

Bitcoin: Mild Pullback Before Eyeing Fresh HighsHello everyone, Bitcoin continues to capture attention after reaching a peak of 120,324 USD before easing slightly to around 119,793 USD. This pullback is viewed as a technical pause within a broader uptrend rather than a sign of reversal. From a technical perspective, BTC remains above the Ichimoku cloud and is supported by FVG zones around 119,000–118,500 USD. Trading volume surged at the 120,000 USD level, highlighting strong institutional buying and reinforcing the bullish outlook. On the news front, the US dollar is weakening due to the risk of a government shutdown, while capital inflows from ETFs and major institutions continue to flow into the market. Combined with the current low interest rate environment, Bitcoin increasingly stands out as an attractive safe-haven asset. In the near term, Bitcoin is expected to hold support at 119,000–118,500 USD and rebound towards 122,000 USD, with extended targets at 125,000 USD and even 128,000 USD if momentum remains strong. Only a break below 118,500 USD would open the door for a deeper correction towards 117,800–116,500 USD before recovery attempts resume. What’s your view? Will BTC/USDT hold the line and move on to conquer 125,000 USD?
Long
by EmmaChartist
14
Btc going downBitcoin is currently trading around 122,000 – 123,000, approaching the key resistance zone of 124,500 – 123,300. I expect the price to show a rejection or a stop-hunt above this resistance before entering a bearish move. Bearish Targets: • 🎯 Target 1: 108,000 – 107,200 (short-term support) • 🎯 Target 2: 105,000 (key support) • 🎯 Target 3: 100,000 – 102,000 (major base zone) • 🎯 Final Target: 94,000 – 95,000 (liquidity pool below) Reasons for this scenario: • Liquidity resting above 124,500 with a high chance of stop-hunt • Presence of unfilled FVGs (fair value gaps) below • Untested base/support zones between 100K – 94K
Short
by kiimiia81885
8
BTCUSDT - 1 This chart reflects BTCUSDT price action on a short-term timeframe. The current price sits at 122,394.39, and based on candlestick structure, support/resistance zones, and trendlines, here are the key insights: 🔻 Overall Trend - Price is moving within a descending channel, marked by a downward trendline from top left to mid-right. - Selling pressure is evident in the red candles, though bullish reactions near support zones suggest buyer interest. 🟩 Support Zones - A strong support area is identified between 118,925.65 and 119,624.23. - Increased trading volume in this zone may indicate accumulation and potential reversal. 🟥 Resistance Zones - First resistance lies between 123,800 and 124,500. - A breakout above this level could pave the way toward 125,200. 📈 Possible Scenarios 1. Bullish Case: If price stabilizes above the descending trendline and breaks through 124,000, a rally toward 125,200 is likely. 2. Bearish Case: If support at 119,600 fails, price may drop further toward 118,800. 📌 Summary USDT is currently at a critical juncture. Its reaction to the lower support zone and behavior around the descending trendline will determine the next move. Traders are advised to monitor volume and price action closely, and apply proper risk management.
Long
by farshadrazzaghi
2
BTC vs. The Broader Market: A Dangerous Powerful Wave is Coming Today, we're taking a deep dive into the two most important charts in the crypto space: Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) and the Total Crypto Market Cap (TOTAL). Using an Elliott Wave framework on the weekly timeframe, we can see a clear bullish structure taking shape. However, some underlying weaknesses in key indicators warrant a cautious approach. Let's break it down. 1. Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): The Path to a new All-time high Hinges on a Key Level As we can see on the weekly chart, Bitcoin appears to have completed a major five-wave impulse cycle which topped out around the $108,000 mark. This was followed by a necessary ABC corrective phase. The exciting part is what comes next. We are potentially witnessing the beginning of a brand new five-wave impulse. Wave (1): Appears to have started from the $74,000 low and peaked near $124,000. Wave (2): A healthy correction followed, finding support around $107,000. If this count is valid, we are now in the early stages of Wave (3), which is typically the most powerful and extended wave in an impulse sequence. The Critical Condition: For this bullish count to remain the primary scenario, the current weekly candle must NOT close below $123,000. A weekly close below this crucial level would risk invalidating the start of this new impulse, suggesting that we may still be within a more complex corrective structure (such as a regular flat correction Check the article). Also during wave (3) the Weekly RSI must go beyond "80" showing strong momentum ( if it fails to do so then it's a caution signal to be strongly considered because a reversal could happen at any time!) Indicator Analysis: Bearish Divergences: We must note the lingering bearish divergences on both the RSI and MACD. These signals are suspicious and suggest that momentum is not fully confirming the recent price highs. They need to be monitored closely. Volatility Coiling: The Bollinger Band Width Percentile (BBWP) is showing significant contraction. This coiling of the bands indicates that weekly volatility is decreasing, which often precedes a massive price expansion in the coming weeks or months, However the lack of BBWP exhaustion (spectrum crossing 90%) remains a bullish sign combined with the contraction Trend Strength: The ADX is rising on the weekly chart, confirming that a strong trend is in progress. Volume: On-Balance Volume (OBV) and general volume profiles appear adequate for now. 2. Total Crypto Market Cap (TOTAL): The Broader Market Picture The Total Crypto Market Cap chart tells a very similar story, reinforcing our Bitcoin analysis. The bullish phase began in sync with BTC back in November 2022. The current Elliott Wave structure for the entire market is as follows: Wave (1): Completed in March 2024. Wave (2): Corrected into May 2024. Wave (3): Finshed on March 2024 Wave (5): Finshed on December 2024 Currently the Total market cap chart is closely alligned with BTC chart which confrims the BTC leadership is intact. The current Elliot count of TOTAL market cap indicated wave (1) started April 2025 but curretly wave 2 showing caution signals A Significant Red Flag - The Volume Divergence: While the price structure remains bullish, there's a concerning signal under the hood. On the weekly RSI, we see a double bottom pattern, which is typically bullish. However, looking at the On-Balance Volume (OBV) during the same period, the OBV printed a lower low. This is a classic bearish divergence between price/momentum and volume. It indicates that the recent push higher is not being supported by genuine, strong volume, suggesting conviction is weak. Alternative Scenario: If this volume weakness persists, we might see Wave (2) extenstion to around $3.23 Trillion. This would lead to a deeper Wave (2) correction, From that support, Wave 3 could launch that would still likely reach our ultimate ATH. Conclusion: Bullish Outlook with a Note of Caution Bringing both analyses together, the macro view for the crypto market remains decisively bullish. The Elliott Wave structures on both BTC and the TOTAL chart point towards significantly higher valuation, the lack of BBWP exhaustion on weekly charts of BTC & Total market cap remains a strong bullish indication combined with the BBWP expansion. However, the market is showing signs of fatigue. The bearish divergences on Bitcoin's indicators and the critical volume divergence on the TOTAL chart cannot be ignored. This suggests that while the overall destination is uptrend, the journey might include a corrective dip before the next explosive leg higher. Key Takeaways: Overall Bias: Bullish. Key Level for BTC: Watch the weekly close relative to $123,000. This is our line in the sand for the current impulsive structure. Key Concern: The lack of strong volume confirming the market's recent move up warrants caution. Volatility: Brace for a significant expansion in price movement. The compressed BBWP on both charts suggests a major move is brewing. Stay vigilant and manage your risk accordingly. The next few weekly closes will be critical in determining whether we blast off directly or take a detour first.
Long
by CryptoShip0
4
BTC Cycle Target 136–155K | Dominance, Alts, and Strategy Map🔹 Elliott Wave Outlook According to my Elliott Wave projections, the current Bitcoin cycle is expected to end around 136K–137K. Historically, past cycles showed an 8–10% deviation, which extends the possible top range to 136K–155K. 🔹 Q4 / Santa Rally View For a short-term window (Q4 / Santa period), altcoins could outperform Bitcoin — but selectively. There are over 35 million altcoins, and liquidity cannot support them all. Focus on: Strong market structure Historical trend data Consistent hold above the 200MA Only a few alts will actually capture capital rotation. 🔹 Bitcoin Dominance Watch BTC.D could rise toward 60–62% before a major shift. Until that happens → no rush for broad alt exposure. Patience will give better entries. 🔹 Strategy Zone If Bitcoin holds its bullish structure, a pullback toward 95K–105K would be an excellent long-term buy zone. If structure breaks, hold your current positions and hedge when you spot local weakness or reversal patterns. ⚠️ As always — this is not financial advice. Manage risk and stay adaptive.
by CH2o2
1
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October 05, 2025Hello everyone. I hope you are all having a peaceful day. Today, I am writing to share my Bitcoin short position view as of October 5th. The first basis is the 1.902 CRAB pattern. In a traditional Crab pattern, the 1.618 extension of the XA leg is regarded as the main PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), but in practice, it is often observed that additional extension values such as 1.902XA are formed. This zone is an area where the price, after an excessive extension, tends to reverse sharply, and it is one of the regions within harmonic patterns where strong volatility and reversal signals frequently appear. Currently, Bitcoin is encountering resistance around this 1.902XA level, which increases the probability of a short-term bearish reversal. The second basis is that wave N and wave M are forming a 1:1 length ratio. In other words, both waves are proceeding with equal length, which resembles the AB=CD structure—a fundamental form of harmonic patterns. Such wave symmetry indicates that the market is moving in a consistent rhythm, and when two waves complete with the same length, that point often acts as a reversal signal. Accordingly, the average target price is set around 119,168 USDT. As the chart continues to develop, I will provide updates to this idea to inform you about my position management. Thank you for reading.
Short
by SeoVereign
3
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #188👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s move on to the Bitcoin analysis. Today, after pulling back to its previous resistance, Bitcoin is ready to start its next move. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin continues its upward trend. Yesterday, after a pullback to the 122574 area and support from the channel’s bottom, it is once again ready to begin its next leg upward. ✨ The top formed at 125186 is Bitcoin’s new ATH resistance, and breaking this level would lead to further bullish continuation. ✅ Today, if this level breaks, we can have a long position on Bitcoin. If you already have an open position, there’s no need to re-enter at this point — it’s better to look for opportunities in other coins. 🎲 Since Bitcoin’s dominance trend is generally declining, if the next bullish leg begins, altcoins could also become attractive options. Therefore, it’s best to hold one position on Bitcoin and another on selected altcoins. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
1
Long BTC📊 BTC Market Update Weekly TF: BTC is closing with a bullish weekly candle, signaling strong momentum continuation. 4H TF: Price has broken above the range high and is now retesting it as support — a classic breakout-retest setup. ✅ Long Bias Structure and momentum align with a long entry, with favorable R:R as outlined in the chart. Breakout confirmation on the retest strengthens the case for continuation to higher targets. ⚠️ Key to Monitor Hold above the reclaimed range high. Volume confirmation on the retest for sustainability. Macro events and BTC dominance shifts that could affect follow-through. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
Long
by evasivesteering
2
BTCUSDT Long – Strong Reversal from Support, Trendline HoldingI’ve entered a long position on Bitcoin around 122,947, based on a clean technical reversal from the intraday support zone. Reasoning: 🔹 Trendline Support Holding: BTC respected the ascending trendline and quickly reversed after dipping below 122,669, showing that buyers are still in control. 🔹 False Breakdown & Recovery: The quick bounce back above the breakdown level indicates a liquidity grab followed by strong bullish pressure. 🔹 Overall Bullish Structure: On higher timeframes, Bitcoin continues to make higher highs and higher lows — confirming an ongoing uptrend. Trade Setup: 📍 Entry: 122,947 ⛔ Stop Loss: 122,235 🎯 Target: 125,000 and above As long as BTC holds above 122,600, I’ll maintain a bullish bias with expectations of a move toward 125K+. A strong breakout above 125K could open the next leg higher.
Long
by sachinjejurkar313
2
BTC ANALYSIS🔮 #BTC Analysis  🚀🚀 💲💲 #BTC is trading between support and resistance area. There is a potential rejection again from its resistance zone and pullback from support zone. If #BTC breaks the major resistance zone then we would see a bullish move or else we will get a downfall towards its major support zone 💸Current Price -- $1,21,800 ⁉️ What to do? - We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸 #BTC  #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
1
Let Bitcoin make a new ATHHi traders, My outlook on Bitcoin last week was wrong and I'm the first to admit it. I can't be 100% right. So we move on to the next possibility. Last week Bitcoin went up very impulsive from out of nowhere due to fundamental news. Now let price make a new ATH and wait for the (corrective or impulsive) move down to take a trade. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Let price make a new ATH and wait for the (corrective or impulsive) move down to take a trade bullish or bearish. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
by EduwaveTrading
1
The Process Notebook #1 — The Successful Trader’s RoutineThe Successful Friday's Trader Routine: Evaluate but Think in Blocks, Not Trades Another trading week is about to end. For most traders, Friday means checking wins and losses. For professional traders, it means evaluating the system. 💡 Remember: a single trade means nothing. Proper evaluation, to avoid emotional bias caused by variance, should always be done on blocks of trades (minimum 10–20). But here’s the real twist: If you’re judging your system only by Win Rate (WR) or Reward-to-Risk (RR)… you’re missing the real picture. A robust trading system needs to be monitored through a small set of key metrics that reflect not just how much you earn, but how consistent and reliable your edge truly is. Here’s the minimum you should be tracking 👇 📈 Return Metrics (How much your system makes) Expectancy (average return per trade): quantifies the true profitability of your edge. CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate): shows long-term compounding efficiency. Payoff Ratio (avg win / avg loss): evaluates quality of your wins vs. losses. 📉 V olatility & Risk Metrics (How stable your system is) Standard Deviation of Returns: measures the variability of your outcomes. Max Drawdown: identifies the deepest pain your account can face. Recovery Factor (Net Profit / Max DD): shows resilience and system efficiency. ⚙️ Consistency Metrics (How repeatable your process is) Sharpe Ratio: return per unit of volatility — higher = more efficient risk use. Win/Loss Streak Distribution: reveals your emotional endurance threshold. Trade Frequency Stability: checks if your system behaves consistently over time. 🧠 Why this matters When you evaluate your trading in blocks (using statistics, not emotions), you detach from the noise and connect with your system’s real performance. You stop judging yourself trade by trade… and start thinking like a risk manager. How do you evaluate your system — by emotion or by metrics?
Education
by CF_444
3