BTC Buy Plan - What do you think? Reasons I believe MEXC:BTCUSDT can pump:
1- Overall BTC trend is still bullish.
2- Price has already swept Monday low.
3- Bullish Harmonic Shark pattern’s D leg is completed.
4- Price is currently respecting Monday low.
What are your thoughts? Share them in comments!
BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 46👋🏻 Hi, how are you?
❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
Shall we jump into the Bitcoin analysis?
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after the recent drop, Bitcoin has formed a trading structure between a resistance and a support zone. A breakout from this structure — either to the upside or downside — could provide a trading opportunity. Currently, Bitcoin is trading near its resistance at $113,146, while holding support around $111,780. A break of either level may trigger the next move.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after exiting oversold conditions, it’s now hovering near the 50 zone. Two key RSI levels to watch are 40 and 56; breaking above or below these levels could set the stage for Bitcoin to start moving out of its current structure.
🕯 The candle size and volume have increased when testing the $11,780 support, indicating the presence of buyers. However, the issue is that the number and volume of red candles are still dominant. The key question is whether buyers will step in strongly this time to defend support.
🧠 For positioning, it’s worth keeping a close eye on altcoins such as AVAX, which has shown strong upward momentum and recovered much faster compared to Bitcoin. Recently, Google search trends also indicate stronger interest in altcoins and the broader bull run narrative. That’s why Bitcoin might not be the best option for long-term positions right now. Even if you take a BTC trade, the potential might only extend to reward ratios like 1:2 or 1:3. Instead, focus more on altcoins that are showing bullish trends against Bitcoin.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC/USDT Analysis – Is the Bullish Cycle Over?
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market review.
Yesterday we considered two possible scenarios, and the second one played out — price tested the $111,600–$110,500 support zone (accumulated volumes) and then returned back into the current value area.
At the moment, we are seeing clear selling pressure on the spot market (based on delta), but it is not leading to further downside. The volume positioning and the quick reaction from the mentioned support zone point to at least a short-term bullish bias.
We expect rotation within two key areas:
$111,600–$110,500 (accumulated volumes) and $113,000–$112,400 (volume anomalies, liquidations).
A liquidity grab near ~$113,800 (market imbalance, mirror zone) is likely. If price returns into the $113,000–$112,400 range, we will look for potential long setups targeting the upper sell zones.
Buy Zones:
• $111,600–$110,500 (accumulated volumes)
• ~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
• $108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
• ~$113,800 (market imbalance, mirror zone)
• $115,000–$116,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $118,000–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
• $121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTCUSDT - end of the partyA parachute is a device designed to slow an object's descent through an atmosphere by creating drag or aerodynamic lift. It is primarily used to safely support people exiting aircraft at height, but also serves various purposes like slowing cargo, aiding in space capsule recovery on Earth, landing spacecraft on other planets, and stabilizing vehicles or objects. Modern parachutes are typically made from durable fabrics like nylon and come in various shapes, such as dome-shaped, rectangular, and inverted domes, depending on their specific function.
September Is Almost Gone — Cheer Up! September Is Almost Gone — Cheer Up! 🌤️📈
We’re at the tail end of September, Bitcoin’s historically weakest month — and yet, structure remains beautifully intact. 📊
Let’s bring the focus back to what matters:
🔸 The major S/R level at $117,800 is still leading the dance.
But here’s what makes it important:
👉 It’s the same level from the “Big Chart” — the 2-Day view from my Where Can Bitcoin Go? series first shared in March 2023.
📌 Link:
Back then, Bitcoin was at $24K. That same level — $117,800 — continues to hold weight years later . This is not coincidence. It’s structure.
📊 Technical Snapshot – Sept 23, 2025:
• Price has bounced from $107,200 — same zone it respected at the start of September
• We’re sitting just below $113K
• If price flips $117,600–$118K cleanly, there’s a 60% probability we test the channel top at $126K
• A smaller bounce could play out around $114K–$115K (30% probability)
• A break below $108,500 brings back the bearish case down to $100,600 (10% scenario)
🎯 Key Levels:
• Support: $112,000 / $108,500 / $100,600
• Resistance: $117,800 / $120,900 / $126,000
From $24K to $124K? The journey’s not over. Structure is the compass — and that yellow level hasn’t lied to us yet. Yet again yes, both targets have been reached but the cycle is still ON and October is on the way!
Perspective Shift 🔄
“Markets have memory. The same levels can guide multiple cycles — if you’re patient enough to listen.” 🔄 here..click on play and think! 🔄
Disclaimer
Disclaimer: Everything shared here is opinion-based and for discussion purposes. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly. and unfortunately some where making fun and 24k, at 45k at 78k at 100k... 138k is my next personal target for Bitcoin.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoin’s Breaking Point: Why Price Needs To Stay Above $111,500At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $112,960, holding slightly above the $112,500 support level. Within the last 24 hours, BTC slipped from $115,100 and touched $111,478 during its intra-day low. This volatile action underscores the importance of maintaining current levels.
The crypto king has so far managed to stay above $111,400, the STH cost basis. By securing $112,500 as support, Bitcoin has the potential to bounce back toward $115,000, which would help prevent a bear market structure from taking shape.
However, any renewed selling pressure could drag Bitcoin through $112,500 and toward the $110,000 support. If that occurs, the bullish thesis would be invalidated, and BTC could slide further, officially marking the onset of bearish momentum.
Bitcoin Price Update and Trading Plan
**Current Situation**:
Bitcoin (BTC) is at a critical level, and its weekly closing price is highly important for traders. A strong bounce from the current price, followed by a weekly close above **$114,500**, is needed to confirm bullish momentum. This could lead to a significant upward move, allowing traders to capitalize on the next strong price movement. However, BTC should first retest its key support level, which it previously broke, to confirm its strength. If rejected at this support, a downward move toward **$108,000** is possible.
**Trading Plan**:
1. **Bullish Case**:
- **Condition**: If BTC bounces from its current level and closes above **$114,500** on the weekly chart, it signals strong bullish momentum.
- **Action**: Enter a long position targeting higher levels, such as **$117,200-$120,000**.
- **Stop Loss**: Place below **$114,000** to manage risk.
- **Rationale**: A close above **$114,500** confirms support and sets the stage for the next upward move.
2. **Bearish Case**:
- **Condition**: If BTC fails to hold above **$114,500** and breaks below the key support, it may retest the **$108,000-$110,000** zone, where it previously found support.
- **Action**: Wait for confirmation of a bounce at **$108,000** for a potential long trade, or short if rejection occurs at this level.
- **Stop Loss**: For shorts, place above **$115,000** to limit risk.
- **Target**: A downward move could target **$108,000**, with further declines possible if selling pressure increases.
- **Rationale**: A rejection at **$108,000** after breaking key support indicates bearish pressure, potentially leading to a deeper correction.
**Key Levels to Monitor**:
- **Support**: **$114,500** (immediate), **$108,000-$110,000** (major support zone).
- **Resistance**: **$117,200-$118,000** (immediate), **$120,000+** (next target).
- **Weekly Close**: The weekly close on September 28, 2025, will determine whether BTC confirms bullish strength or signals a deeper pullback.
**Conclusion**:
For a bullish outlook, BTC needs to close above **$114,500** to confirm a bounce and target higher levels. If it fails, traders should prepare for a potential retest of **$108,000**, where a rejection could lead to further downside. Monitor price action closely and use tight risk management due to BTC’s volatility.
*Disclaimer*: Cryptocurrency trading is highly risky. This is not financial advice; always conduct your own research before trading.
BTC: Bullish range below 114,472, 111,809 remains key__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC is holding a constructive 110k–115k range after rejection below 117k, with buyers defending 111,809 and supply capping under 114,472–116,217. The HTF trend remains intact, but breakouts need volume confirmation.
Momentum: 📈 Bullish-in-range — building above 111,809, but capped until 114,472 breaks.
Key levels:
- Resistances (4H/12H): 114,472; 116,217–117,966; 124,278 (W).
- Supports (4H/1D): 111,809; 110,000; 107,286–107,299 (1D).
Volumes: Very high on 1H/30m (pivot validation), normal on 1D — acts as a breakout catalyst.
Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H trend up; 6H/4H “neutral buy” below 114,472; 2H/1H recovering; 30m/15m impulsive but close to resistance.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRAL BUY (STRONG BUY on 15m) → moderate long bias, consistent with momentum while 111,809 holds.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Trading Playbook
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategy context: HTF trend is bullish, range in play; favor tactical longs while 111,809 holds and fade clean rejections below 116,217.
Global bias: NEUTRAL BUY above 111,809; invalidation if daily close < 111,809.
Opportunities:
- Range long: re-accumulate 112.05k–112.3k if 111,809 holds cleanly; add on break & hold > 114,472.
- Breakout: buy the close and successful retest > 114,472 targeting 116,217 then 117,966.
- Tactical short: sell a clear rejection at 114,472/116,217 (wick + volume), manage tight and take profits fast.
Risk zones / invalidations: A confirmed loss of 111,809 reopens 110k then 107,286 (bull bias invalid). A 12H/1D close > 116,217 invalidates fade shorts.
Macro catalysts (Twitter, Perplexity, news):
- Powell’s speech: potential trigger for break or fakeout.
- US PMIs: can spark the 114,472 break or a rejection.
- Hard assets strong (gold at records) and oil lower: mixed “inflation/sentiment” that shapes risk appetite.
Action plan:
- Long (range/break): Entry 112.05k–112.3k or > 114,472 / Stop 111,650 / TP1 114,472, TP2 116,217, TP3 117,966 / R:R ~2–3.
- Short (tactical): Entry 114.3k–114.5k (rejection) / Stop 114,800 / TP1 113.1k, TP2 111,809 / R:R ~1.5–2 (reduced size).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Insights
__________________________________________________________________________________
Overall, HTFs (1D/12H) stay bullish, while LTFs rebound but still face nearby resistance.
1D/12H: Uptrend above 111,809 and 107,286 pivots; reclaim of 114,472 would open 116,217 then 117,966 with volume confirmation.
6H/4H: “Neutral buy” below 114,472; active range 111,809–114,472; a close > 114,472 should target 116,217.
2H/1H: Ongoing rebound, strong 1H volumes at the pivot; need a close > 114,472 to convert into impulse.
30m/15m: Intraday impulse (strong risk-on on 15m) but immediate friction at 114,472; beware fake breaks without a successful retest.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro & On-Chain Drivers
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro is mixed: Fed speak and PMIs are in focus, hard assets strong and oil easing — likely to polarize breaks on the key technical levels.
Macro events: Powell can trigger a break/reversion; US PMIs may add volatility; record gold and softer oil adjust the “inflation/sentiment” lens.
Bitcoin analysis: 110k–115k range with 117–117.5k rejection; the 112k–110k support cluster is pivotal to preserve the structural bull bias.
On-chain data: Not provided here — no actionable on-chain extremes mentioned in this set.
Expected impact: If Powell/PMIs validate risk-on, a close > 114,472 should extend to 116,217–117,966; otherwise, expect a return to 111,809 then 110k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Key Takeaways
__________________________________________________________________________________
BTC trades a bullish range above a key pivot while dense resistance sits overhead.
- Trend: moderately bullish while 111,809 holds; need a close > 114,472 to re-ignite upside.
- Prime setup: buy the defense of 111,809 or the break & hold > 114,472, aiming 116,217 then 117,966.
- Macro: Powell/PMIs can trigger the break or produce intraday traps.
Stay disciplined: wait for close-and-retest confirmations to size up, and de-risk quickly if macro flow contradicts the signal.
Decision time for BitcoinHi traders,
I show you week after week what price will do.
Last week Bitcoin continued the corrective upmove to the orange B area exactly as I've said in my previous outlook.
Now we could see this pair go down again.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for the small (corrective) upmove to trade shorts. If the upmove is impulsive we could see more upside.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
BTC USDT 4H -BULLISH Current Bias: LONG
BTC is holding strong above $113,000 with a higher low formation. The close at 113,147.5 (above open) shows buyers are defending key levels.
Key Bullish Confluences:
Higher Low Confirmed: Price respected 112,000.0 as demand zone → now pushing higher
Break of Structure (BOS) Imminent: A clean break above 113,390.2 confirms bullish continuation toward 115,863.7
Smart Money Entry Zones:
Aggressive Long: Current zone (113,100–113,200) with tight stop below 112,800 (FVG support)
Optimal Long: Retest of 112,500–112,800 (FVG) with bullish rejection → high probability entry
Breakout Long: Clear break & close above 113,390.2 targeting 115,863.7 (liquidity pool)
Liquidity Targets:
TP1: 114,500.0 (previous resistance)
TP2: 115,863.7 (swing high liquidity)
TP3: 116,500.0 (psychological level)
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below 112,000.0 (invalidates bullish structure)
Position Size: Risk only 1-2% per trade
Confirmation: Wait for 4H candle close above key levels
DeGRAM | BTCUSD is testing the $110k📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD remains within the rising channel, with the current pullback testing the 110,000–109,700 support cluster. This aligns with both the mid-channel trendline and prior demand.
● A bounce from this zone would confirm the complex correction as complete, setting the stage for a retest of 117,686 and, on breakout, a drive toward the 126,961 resistance band.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● On-chain data highlights persistent whale accumulation during this dip, while ETF inflows remain robust despite market pullbacks. This structural demand continues to exceed miner supply, keeping the broader trend supportive.
✨ Summary
Bullish above 109,700; rebound eyes 117,686 → 126,961. Invalidation below 109,700.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Bitcoin (BTC): Seeing Small Signs of RecoveryWhat a sharp start to the week we've had so far, where after we filled the bullish CME from previous TAs, buyers failed to break out from the major area and instead we had a strong rejection.
That being said, after a wipeout, we had a price that inside an accumulation area for a full 24 hours, which might give us a good opportunity for upside movement from here, potentially filling those bullish CME gaps on many altcoins that were left unfilled!
Swallow Academy
Exchange Rate Volatility vs. Stability in World MarketsThe Concept of Exchange Rates
An exchange rate is the value of one currency expressed in terms of another. For example, if 1 U.S. dollar (USD) equals 83 Indian rupees (INR), the USD/INR rate is 83.
Types of Exchange Rate Systems
Fixed exchange rate: A currency is pegged to another (e.g., USD pegged to gold under Bretton Woods, or the Hong Kong dollar pegged to USD).
Floating exchange rate: The currency value is determined by supply and demand in forex markets (e.g., USD, EUR, JPY).
Managed float: A hybrid where central banks intervene occasionally to reduce extreme volatility (e.g., India, China).
The choice of system heavily influences whether a country experiences volatility or stability.
Exchange Rate Volatility vs. Stability
Volatility: Large, unpredictable swings in currency values over short periods. For instance, if the British pound moves from 1.20 to 1.30 per USD in a few weeks, that’s volatile.
Stability: Predictable, small movements over time, often maintained by policy interventions. For instance, the Saudi riyal’s peg to USD has kept it stable for decades.
In reality, most currencies lie on a spectrum between volatility and stability. The degree depends on economic fundamentals, policy frameworks, and global conditions.
Historical Examples
The 1997 Asian Financial Crisis: Currencies in Thailand, Indonesia, and South Korea collapsed when investors lost confidence, highlighting dangers of volatility.
The Eurozone Stability (1999–present): By adopting the euro, member countries reduced volatility among themselves but transferred adjustment risks to a shared monetary system.
Swiss Franc Shock (2015): When Switzerland abandoned its euro peg, the franc surged 30% in one day — a classic case of sudden volatility.
Turkey (2018–2023): Chronic inflation and unorthodox policies created extreme lira volatility, scaring off investors.
Causes of Exchange Rate Volatility
Macroeconomic fundamentals: Inflation, growth, interest rate differentials.
Monetary policy shifts: Central bank rate hikes or cuts often move currencies sharply.
Trade balances: Deficits can weaken a currency, surpluses strengthen it.
Political instability: Elections, wars, sanctions, and coups cause sudden volatility.
Speculation and capital flows: Hedge funds and carry trades can amplify swings.
Global shocks: Oil crises, pandemics, or financial collapses ripple across forex markets.
Benefits of Exchange Rate Volatility
While volatility often carries risks, it is not purely negative.
Efficient price discovery: Volatility reflects real-time changes in fundamentals.
Flexibility for adjustment: Floating currencies can adjust to shocks (e.g., absorbing oil price increases).
Profit opportunities: Traders and investors benefit from arbitrage and hedging strategies.
Encourages discipline: Countries with poor policies face currency depreciation, which pressures reforms.
Risks of Exchange Rate Volatility
Trade uncertainty: Exporters/importers cannot predict costs, discouraging trade.
Investment risk: Foreign investors fear sudden losses due to currency depreciation.
Debt crises: If debt is in foreign currency, volatility can raise repayment costs dramatically.
Inflation pass-through: A falling currency makes imports expensive, fueling inflation.
Financial instability: Volatility can spark capital flight and banking crises.
Benefits of Exchange Rate Stability
Predictability for trade and investment: Businesses can plan long-term without worrying about currency swings.
Investor confidence: Stable currencies attract foreign direct investment.
Monetary discipline: Pegs force countries to align policies with anchor currencies.
Inflation control: Pegging to a stable currency helps control domestic inflation.
Risks of Exchange Rate Stability
Loss of flexibility: Pegged systems cannot adjust to shocks, leading to painful crises.
Speculative attacks: Maintaining stability invites hedge funds to test central banks (e.g., George Soros vs. Bank of England, 1992).
Hidden imbalances: Stability can hide structural weaknesses until they break suddenly.
Dependence on reserves: Countries need large forex reserves to maintain stability, which is costly.
Role of Central Banks and International Institutions
Central banks:
Use interest rates, interventions, and forward contracts to reduce volatility.
Sometimes allow controlled depreciation to maintain competitiveness.
IMF:
Provides emergency funding for countries in currency crises.
Promotes exchange rate stability through surveillance and policy advice.
Regional systems:
The euro stabilizes intra-European rates.
Asian countries hold large reserves to self-insure against volatility after the 1997 crisis.
Impact on Global Trade and Investment
Volatility reduces global trade by 5–10%, according to empirical studies, as exporters face uncertainty.
Stable currencies encourage long-term contracts, supply chains, and cross-border investment.
Multinationals hedge volatility through derivatives, but small firms often cannot, making stability more valuable for them.
Exchange rate regimes influence foreign direct investment: investors prefer predictable environments.
Current Trends (2025 Context)
U.S. dollar dominance: Despite de-dollarization talk, USD remains the anchor of global stability.
Rising multipolarity: Yuan, euro, and rupee are gradually gaining share, creating more currency blocs.
Geopolitical volatility: Wars, sanctions, and U.S.–China rivalry add new shocks.
Digital currencies & CBDCs: These may reduce transaction costs and volatility in cross-border trade.
AI & algorithms: Automated trading amplifies short-term volatility, but also deepens liquidity.
Climate and commodity shocks: Energy transitions and climate risks drive new volatility patterns.
Conclusion
Exchange rate volatility and stability are two sides of the same coin in world markets. Volatility provides flexibility and adjustment, while stability creates predictability and confidence. Neither extreme is ideal: too much volatility destroys trust, while too much artificial stability builds unsustainable pressures.
The challenge for policymakers, businesses, and investors is to manage this delicate balance. Central banks must allow enough flexibility for currencies to reflect fundamentals, while cushioning extreme shocks. International institutions must provide backstops against crises. Businesses must hedge risks, and investors must recognize the trade-offs.
As the world moves toward a more multipolar currency system, with digital innovations and geopolitical uncertainty reshaping forex dynamics, the question of volatility vs. stability will remain central. The future of trade, growth, and global financial stability depends on getting this balance right.
#BITCOIN UPDATE!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is still moving inside the ascending channel.
Strong demand held at $108,200 (0.618 Fib), and price is now around $112,500 above key support at $111,300.
A push above $114,400–$118,300 could open the way toward $120K–$124K.
As long as BTC stays above $112K, trend bias remains bullish.
#Bitcoin
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin appears to be moving within a descending channel. Upon reaching the upper boundary of the channel, which coincided with the major resistance zone at 117,000 – 120,000 USDT (and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ), the price entered a corrective move.
The short-term ascending trendline has already been broken.
As long as the price stays below 118,000 – 120,000, the correction is likely to continue.
Despite the short-term selling pressure, the medium-term trend remains bullish.
The ongoing correction could serve as a healthy pullback before the larger uptrend resumes.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bitcoin Holds $112,580 Support as Price Nears 0.618 FibonacciBitcoin is testing high-time-frame support at $112,580 while approaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. A bullish wick reaction hints at possible reversal, but market structure shows signs of corrective weakness.
Bitcoin’s recent trading activity has brought the market to a critical juncture. Price is consolidating near high-time-frame support around $112,580, with wicks forming a bullish SFP-type pattern. This interaction with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level has technical traders watching closely, as it could define the next major move. While the broader market has shifted into corrective territory, buyers are attempting to defend this region to maintain bullish momentum.
Key Technical Points:
- Support: $112,580 high-time-frame zone aligned with Fibonacci 0.618.
- Resistance: $115,000 high-time-frame resistance and key reversal area.
- Pattern: ABC corrective structure after negation of impulsive uptrend.
The recent retracement has introduced a corrective ABC structure into Bitcoin’s chart, signaling that the impulsive uptrend may have temporarily lost strength. However, the appearance of an SFP-type pattern at the $112,580 support zone suggests that buyers are not yet willing to concede this level.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement plays a pivotal role in this setup. Historically, Bitcoin often gravitates toward these golden pocket regions before staging stronger reversals. Above this level, the next key resistance lies around $115,000, where internal confluence strengthens the likelihood of a reaction. A push into this zone could magnetize price action before deciding the next directional move.
If Bitcoin fails to reclaim $112,000 with a bullish retest, downside risks remain in play, and the corrective structure may deepen. Conversely, a clean reclaim and retest of $112,000 would invalidate the bearish case and open the door for continuation higher.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action:
Bitcoin’s immediate future hinges on whether $112,580 can hold as support. If defended, the market may attempt a rotation toward $115,000 resistance. However, failure to maintain this zone risks extending the correction lower.