BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
BTC - 4H Elliott Wave Analysis - 20.08.25Welcome back to another update, today the 4H timeframe instead of the 1H.
We're going to update ETH, XRP and SOL tomorrow.
Main Case:
We have extended to the downside in the correction but we didn't invalidate the immediate bullish count yet.
Due the deep correction we can't count this as Wave 2 anymore so we removed the impulsive count. If we get a move up now we assume it to be a Wave C in white of a potentially bigger move up as an ending diagonal which would potentially mark the top of the bullrun.
We also added a trendline breaking it would be the first sign of an incoming reversal. The move down looks rather corrective as to impulsive on the lower timeframes. If we take out the 115847 level it would increase the probabilities for the low being in.
Back-up Case:
If we break down lower we added a Support area between the 0.5 FIB at 109994 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 103047 USD which is a bullish set up but we have to warn that it has lower probability to take out the ATH afterwards than our current set up as it increases the probabilities for a count in which the recent move up was an ending diagonal that we finished already. But we do expect at least a bounce from it and would need to see if it is of corrective or impulsive nature to get more clarity.
Next target would be the 1.382 FIB at 108763 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 106273 USD.
Be aware that we have high impact news tomorrow at 14.30 (UTC +2) we get Unemployment Claims and at 15.45 (UTC +2) we get the Flash Manufacturing PMI which can shake up the market.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BITCOIN PRICE OUTLOOK - 20 August 2025📈 BITCOIN PRICE OUTLOOK – August 20, 2025
Bias: Bullish | Looking for long setups on breakout & continuation
📊 Technical Overview:
BTCUSDT has formed a large Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, breaking above the neckline around $114K. The breakout projects a potential measured move toward $140K+, aligning with bullish momentum. Price is currently consolidating in a falling channel, setting up for a breakout continuation.
🔴 Sell Zone (Resistance): 140,000 – 141,000
Measured move target from H&S pattern
Major psychological round number resistance
Expect profit-taking near this zone
🟢 Buy Zone (Support): 112,000 – 115,000
Neckline retest + falling channel support
Strong confluence demand area
Ideal accumulation/buy zone for continuation setups
📌 Fundamentals & Macro Drivers:
USD Weakness:
Fed’s cautious stance and weaker U.S. data boosting risk assets.
Geopolitical Risk:
Ongoing Middle East instability but crypto showing resilience as alternative hedge.
Regulatory Updates:
Positive ETF inflows continuing to support BTC demand.
Upcoming Catalysts:
U.S. PCE inflation & Jackson Hole meeting later this week.
Institutional flows + ETF demand key near-term drivers.
📑 Trade Plan:
🟢 Long setups favored on dips into 112K–115K zone
🎯 Target = 140K+
❌ Invalidation = Daily close below 104,800
📝 Summary:
Bitcoin remains structurally bullish after confirming an inverse H&S breakout. As long as price holds above the neckline (112K–115K), upside continuation toward 140K is favored. Buy-the-dip strategy remains optimal in this setup.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #158👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin’s decline continued, and now, after finding support at its key support zone, it is showing an attractive entry point for opening a position.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin made another bearish leg and dropped close to the 112233 zone.
✔️ The recently closed 4-hour candle shows market indecision since it came with high volume and left large wicks on both sides, signaling a battle between buyers and sellers.
💥 The RSI oscillator still hasn’t dropped below the 30 zone and was supported there. Breaking this level would trigger another bearish leg toward 110000.
📊 If 112233 breaks, we can open a short position. It’s not a bad trigger, and the break of this zone would be the first sign of a trend change.
⚡️ However, I personally am still waiting for confirmation of the main trend and won’t open any position yet. For shorts, I think it’s still too early, and for longs, the structure hasn’t formed properly.
🔍 If today Bitcoin makes a bullish leg and climbs above 114790, then tomorrow we can consider opening a long position. But for now, no suitable trigger has been formed yet.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Continuation of Decline
Hello everyone! This is the trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here is the daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin once again tested the ~$115,000 level, but buyers showed no significant reaction, and selling pressure continued to dominate. At the moment, the price has dropped below the $115,300–$114,000 support (accumulated volumes) and is approaching the $112,000 level, which is likely to be tested soon.
Below that lies a key zone — $110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes), where a buyer’s reaction is to be expected. It’s worth noting that the decline is accompanied by weak volumes and ongoing limit absorption of sell orders, which makes $118,000 the main “liquidity magnet.” In the case of a full rebound, this will be the primary upside target, while other resistance levels are viewed only as local corrective zones.
For now, buyer activity remains insufficient for a trend reversal, so in the coming days we expect a test of the recent lows.
Buy Zones:
$110,000–$105,000 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$114,700–$116,000 (seller’s market activity)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buyer absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin · Short-Term, Flash Crash & The Altcoins (1000% vs 100%)We've been tracking Bitcoin's retrace but it is wise not to lose focus on the noise, the short-term. Bitcoin is doing great based on its price but after growing a nice 67% since 7-April it needs a break. This is exactly what I mean when I say that an altcoin can grow 300% when Bitcoin grows 20%.
Here we have Ethereum growing more than 245% in the same period of time Bitcoin used to grow 67%. This is normal, Bitcoin has a bigger market capitalization, but Ethereum is the queen, #2. While it isn't Bitcoin it is still big. Some smaller altcoins have grown even more and have more potential for growth. And that's my main point.
Regardless of what happens in the short-term, Bitcoin will continue growing because the bull market is not over. Bitcoin growing more means the altcoins still have so much more to give. Lots to give. Just think about it. What one does, the rest follows.
So Ethereum did what Bitcoin did and XRP did what Bitcoin did and Solana also did the same, they all went to hit a new all-time high while remaining high up in price. Another bullish signal.
When the market is bearish and set to crash, just hitting a new all-time high produces a major bearish reaction. What we are seeing now is shy action, sideways, consolidation at resistance and small retraces; all classic bull market action.
The main support range is $100,000 to $110,000. Trading above it simply means super-bullish for the entire market. If Bitcoin were to drop to $100,000, nothing changes at all, truly. There will be some blood short-term but such an event would only last days, literally 1-3 days and that's it, the next day we get growth.
For example, 5-August 2024. A major crash and market flush but never again one new low. Once Bitcoin hit bottom 5-August 2024 around $49,600, it started to grow long-term. The same is true with 7-April 2025, the bottom was hit at $74,400 and no new lows, what followed was long-term growth.
Present day, think of the same. Bitcoin is retracing to move higher. Any major low would be the last and final low before long-term growth. If a new low does not happen, even better; regardless of the short-term, flash crash or no flush, Bitcoin is going up.
Focus on the bigger picture, buy those trading low.
When Bitcoin grows 100%, all the potential left in this bull market, a smaller altcoin project can grow 1,000% or more. Choose wisely, we are in this market to grow.
Namaste.
BTCUSDT 1H🔎 Chart Context
• Pair: BTC/USDT
• Exchange: Binance
• Timeframe: 1H (intraday)
• Date: 20 August 2025
• Current price: ~113,578
The chart uses Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Change of Character (CH), Supply/Demand blocks, and liquidity sweeps to track short-term moves.
📊 Key Observations
1. Overall Structure
• BTC is in a clear short-term downtrend on the 1H timeframe.
• Price broke down from 116,500–117,000 supply block, confirming a bearish CH 1H.
• Since then, the structure has been forming lower highs and lower lows.
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
• An FVG is marked near ~115,500–115,800.
• Price is currently trading well below this zone.
• Typically, market tends to retrace into FVG zones before resuming the main direction (here: bearish).
3. Liquidity Levels
• Above: Liquidity around 115,000–115,800 (FVG) → potential pullback target.
• Below: Liquidity pools near 112,000–111,000 demand block.
• A deeper liquidity sweep could reach 110,500–111,000, marked as the downside magnet.
4. Support & Demand Zones
• 113,000–112,000: Nearest minor support.
• 111,000–110,500: Major demand block, strong liquidity resting here.
5. Resistance & Supply Zones
• 115,000–115,800 FVG zone: Key intraday supply area.
• 116,500–117,000: Higher timeframe supply where the breakdown started.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Countertrend Relief Rally)
• If BTC defends 113,000 support, expect a bounce into 115,000–115,800 FVG.
• This would be a retracement move, not a trend reversal.
• Path: 113,000 → 115,000–115,800 → rejection.
• Only a clean reclaim of 117,000 CH zone would flip short-term bias bullish again.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability)
• Trend is already bearish, so the likely path is:
1. Short retracement into 115,000–115,800 FVG.
2. Continuation lower toward 112,000.
3. Final sweep into 111,000–110,500 demand zone (major liquidity target).
• This scenario is also drawn on your chart with the projected arrow.
⚡ Trading Plan
• Short Setup (Preferred):
• Entry: 115,000–115,800 FVG zone.
• TP1: 113,000
• TP2: 112,000
• TP3: 111,000–110,500 demand
• Stop: Above 117,000 (CH invalidation).
• Long Setup (Risky, Countertrend):
• Entry: 111,000–110,500 demand zone.
• TP1: 113,000
• TP2: 115,000 FVG
• Stop: Below 110,000
BITCOIN PREDICTION: HERE IS WHERE THE CRASH WILL STOP!!! (deep) Yello Paradisers! In this video, I'm sharing with you an Ultra High Time Frame: the double-top shooting star candlestick pattern formation plus bearish divergence, plus that we are trying to break below our channel.
On a high timeframe chart, I'm sharing with you the ABC zigzag, explaining that right now we are in the C wave, which is a motive mode wave. That means five waves to the upside, and with the highest probability, right now we are in the secondary wave that on its primary waves is creating a zigzag formation.
The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level needs to hold, and the channel can't be reclaimed. I'm sharing with you the kind of confirmations for both short and long positions we are waiting for with the ParadiseTeam.
On a medium timeframe, we are seeing the first bullish signs and a bullish divergence, where we need to wait for confirmations before taking action. We are also looking at the Fibonacci support that is supporting the finishing of Wave 2.
On the low timeframe chart, we are analyzing the higher degree secondary wave, which is a zigzag. A and C waves are motive mode waves, so we are waiting for the completion of the five-moonstone downside inside of the C wave. This might perfectly confluence with the 0.618 Fibonacci's extension of Wave A, which is usually where the C Wave ends.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: BIGGER CRASH INCOMING!?? (warning) Yello Paradisers! In today's video, I'm revealing the truth to you. I'm sharing the Ultrahigh timeframe chart, which includes the shooting star double top formation, plus bearish divergence and the channel. And I'm revealing the Elliot wave theory on the Ultrahigh timeframe.
On the high timeframe chart, I'm revealing to you the ABC zigzag and the possibility that we have already concluded the five moves to the upside. I'm sharing with you the bearish divergence and the confirmation that is needed, and what needs to happen for us to go down to $108,000.
On a medium timeframe, we are seeing the triangle reclaim on low volume, but we are also checking the bullish divergence where we are waiting for confirmation. If the Elliott Wave breaks below $112,000, we will go lower toward $108,000. Then, the structure from an Elliott Wave perspective is going to turn bearish, and we will be treating the market as bearish and looking for short opportunities. But if you are able to reclaim it, we are looking for buying opportunities if you are able to defend the low. I'm sharing with you what kind of confirmations I'm waiting for so you can tactically also approach the market.
On the low timeframe chart, we are concluding the wave structure and waiting for its next move.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 17💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that Bitcoin, after losing the $115,000 support zone, moved toward its next support at $113,000 .
⚙️ Our key RSI zone is 27.89, and if this level is lost, Bitcoin will face more selling pressure. The next key RSI zone is 49.74, and breaking above this level could push Bitcoin higher .
🕯 The size of the red candles has increased, and with each rise in trading volume, selling pressure grows stronger. Step by step, as supports are lost (big money in whale wallets and unrealized positions being released), Bitcoin faces heavier selling pressure .
💵 USD.D on the 1-hour timeframe is moving upward and is facing a strong resistance around 4.5%. If this resistance is broken, Bitcoin will likely come under even more selling pressure .
🔔 Our Bitcoin alert zone is set at $113,000: if this zone is broken, Bitcoin could fall to lower support levels. Our alert zone for a long trade is $115,000, and by observing price action around these two zones, we can identify the best type of trade .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC - Following Crash PlanBTC has been following my analysis of predicting a potential crash here.
We can use DXY to anticipate when a significant liquidity grab / flash crash will occur.
Since DXY is retesting a major breakdown on the weekly - monthly, it would be wise to watch for volatility today on Bitcoins price, noting these liquidity regions if we are about to enter a bull run ranging out 3-5 years.
Targets and potential corrective patterns marked on this chart.
Happy trading.
Bitcoin Short Setup & Long-Term Buy ZonesMy next BTC trade: short from 114,910 with a target of 111,375.8 and stop at 115,902.6.
Setup comes from the 4H order block above FVG in NY session. Expect a pullback here, then a possible next leg up toward 140K.
Also a great SPOT buy level after the short.
Key supports to watch:
110,000–109,000 (critical to hold)
Below that: 99,000–103,000
Final long-term support: 88,000–89,000.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — only my next BTC trade plan.
Bitcoin (BTC): Seeing The Correction as Fire Sale | BullishBTC has had a rough week so far, where the price has failed every attempt to form that market structure break (MSB) that we are looking for.
Sellers show good dominance so we are not rushing in but rather waiting patiently. The plan remains the same; we need to get back above the support zone, which would open for us a good buying opportunity!
Swallow Academy
BTC recovers, maintains long-term growth💎 MIDWEEK BTC PLAN UPDATE (20/08)
BTC Technical Outlook (Daily)
Current Trend:
BTC is in a corrective phase after failing to break above the 120,000 – 120,500 zone. The price has tested the key support area around 112,000 – 113,000, where it converges with the 200 EMA and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement.
Main Scenario:
If the 112,000 – 113,000 zone holds, BTC is likely to rebound, first targeting 116,000 – 117,500, and then 120,000 – 120,500. This will be a strong resistance area to watch.
Alternative Scenario:
If 112,000 breaks, BTC could drop deeper to the 108,000 – 109,000 zone, and potentially further down to 104,000 (Fibo 0.786).
Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: 116,000 – 117,500 and 120,000 – 120,500
• Support: 113,000 – 112,000 and 108,000 – 109,000
Overall Outlook:
BTC is currently at a sensitive level. If the 112k support holds, the bullish trend remains intact, but a deeper break below this zone could extend the downside risk toward 108k and lower.
Afterlife 1 - Life after BTC>$100KHere are my thoughts laid out briefly. I feel there are 3 possible moves to the market:
1. Bullish - 50 bp rate cut into September followed by a mild bull season into $140K, followed by mania in December. Alts see 2x-3x (HYPE at $100)
2. Neutral/Slightly bearish that will murder alts - BTC drops to $100K or lower to reset the RSI and kill momentum. Alts -50% across the board. HYPE at $20. This builds confidence for BTC to be at $300K at the end of 2027 and will provide massive long term entry opportunities.
3. Full bear case - Strategy/Saylor unable to keep mNAV>1, stock tanks forcing Saylor to either dilute stalk or change paths meaningfully into bidding less(which is kind of already happening)/selling BTC. Alts -99% (think HYPE at $5)
I know this is a wide range but I think volatility will expand meaningfully very soon to fix the matter of RSI consolidation above $100K. This is a test for BTC in a sense - we are expecting BTC to show resilience to rate cuts, macroeconomic factors and the "eternal" institutional demand/supply game. It is a tough ask for any asset.
My current positioning is stabled out fully awaiting one or more of the above to be true.
BTC will dump to 90k (MAJOR CRACH)I think the big Bitcoin rally ended at $124,500. I knew Bitcoin should hit a new record high above $123,200 and I thought it should be 130k but it didn’t happen. Primary wave 3 is over and now we have to wait for a correction to the 90k range to complete Primary wave 4. Altcoin season didn’t start because Bitcoin didn’t give it a chance! . This is my analysis on the weekly time frame. I have been long since the 80k range and if you look at my ideas they are mostly long but in my opinion Bitcoin has completed its main wave 3 and I am entering a short position.
Bitcoin: This Simple Indicator Predicts Crash AheadThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a simple yet effective indicator, especially when it doesn't follow the market. This situation is called Divergence.
It has recently appeared on the Bitcoin chart as Bearish Divergence. This occurs when the market price makes a new peak, but the RSI, on the contrary, forms lower highs.
Looking back at the same chart, we can rewind to 2021, where a similar Bearish Divergence played out, pushing Bitcoin’s price down heavily from $69k to $15k.
This time, the Bearish Divergence on RSI is more pronounced, as it consists of 3 ascending peaks on the price chart, contrasted with 3 falling tops on the RSI sub-chart.
There are 4 key supports that could underpin the anticipated crash:
1) $74.5k - This year’s bottom
2) $49k - Consolidation low in 2024
3) $31k - Consolidation top in 2023
4) $15.5k - 2022 minimum
Where do you think the crash will stop?