BTC Weekly Update – Critical Zone Ahead!🚨 BTC Weekly Update – Critical Zone Ahead! 🚨
Bitcoin has just made a very dangerous move on the weekly chart. We’ve closed with a Doji candle right at a major weekly resistance level – and price already broke down from that candle’s range. ⚠️
Why is this dangerous?
👉 Because the market has only done a shallow retracement on the higher timeframe so far. If BTC had broken above the yellow line (Arrow #1), it would’ve been a strong bullish signal. But since the breakout failed, rejection here could send price back for a deeper retracement.
📍 The deeper retracement zone sits near 100k (Arrow #5) – a level to watch very closely.
At the same time, I’ve marked two critical decision points on the chart:
* 116,310 (Arrow #1)
* 113,460 (Arrow #2)
✅ Breaking above/below these levels will be the real decision point for Bitcoin’s next big move – whether we go higher or prepare for a deeper correction.
⚡️ Reminder: Mondays are usually manipulation-heavy days in crypto. Best strategy is to wait for today’s candle to close before deciding on a buy or sell.
Next step 👉 I’ll also publish the BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) chart to see how altcoins might react. Stay patient, stay sharp – the market is about to reveal its hand!
🔥 Discipline + Patience = Profit 🔥
BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
Bitcoin | Falling Wedge Breakout – Bulls Eye $123K📖 Bitcoin has been consolidating inside a falling wedge on the 4H timeframe.
A breakout has just occurred, with the first target zone near $117,000.
Multiple CHoCH + BOS signals hint at a possible bullish trend reversal.
If momentum holds, upside continuation toward $123K is on the table.
🔹 Invalidation: Below $107K (wedge low).
🔹 Confluence: Liquidity sweep + market structure shift.
BTC Testing Critical Levels: Will $110K Hold the Line?What we said earlier, I hope many of you are safe.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has broken down from the rising wedge and already sliced through the $115K support zone. The next major level to watch is the psychological support at $110K. If buyers defend that area, the market could stabilize, but if $110K fails, we’re looking at a deeper correction ahead.
In short: $115K is gone, $110K now becomes the crucial line in the sand.
BTC: Don’t Panic — The Bull Market Isn’t Over YetMaybe you’re scared right now, thinking Bitcoin is crashing, the market is over, and there’s no more altseason ahead. But don’t jump to conclusions so fast — one candle doesn’t end the market.
👉 In my view, as long as BTC doesn’t make a lower low below $107,394, the bullish trend is still intact.
🚫 Don’t fall into the trap of panic sellers. Usually, when everyone is afraid and thinks the market is doomed, that’s exactly when the next move starts — and if you panic, you’ll miss it.
⏳ My plan: I’ll wait and see if this whole drop reverses quickly. If not, then maybe we’ll enter a ranging phase for a while. But my overall bias stays bullish.
BTC - Short Initiated from Channel Breakdown Short Update going to plan.
Updated numbers and anticipated 3 wave corrective drop marked on chart.
113,000 to 35,000 (SHORT)
35,000 to 84,000-85,000 (LONG)
84,000 to 8,000 (SHORT)
For my personal trade I will be closing roughly 80% of short at 40,000-45,000
I will then look for a hold and rise from the 35,000 region to validate that we will see this corrective move. I believe there is a high probability of this - reasons I will detail more as the trade progresses. Chart would be too messy if I included all information on future confluences and pivot points.
If I see this rise occur, I will hold the 20% original short - and hedge with a long as well to 80,000 - 35,000 to 80,000
The reason the market is dropping is once again:
1. The significance of DXY breaking down a major multi month bearish channel
2. The fact that this is a bearish retest on BTC HTF - not a bull market or bull pattern
3. There is a mass amount of liquidity held in open longs in Bitcoin - we need to see a severe deleveraging of these low zones to remain bullish
Happy trading - please see related linked ideas.
Short: BTC Liquidity SweepIdea: Short
Conviction Medium
Bitcoin rejected off its highs on the daily timeframe and is currently stalling from the golden pocket fib retracement level. There are many equal lows and a daily FVG gap below which I think could be a magnet for price. Entry condition is a sweep of last week's high, stop loss at the range high.TP targets are the equal lows and daily FVG shown on the chart.
Deep Learning Model for 24-Hour BTC Price PredictionHi everyone,
I’ve developed a deep learning AI model designed to predict BTC's price movement over the next 24 hours on the 15-minute timeframe.
I t’s important to note that this model does not directly provide exact entry points for trades. Instead, it indicates the likely direction of the market, meaning you’ll still need basic trading knowledge to apply it effectively.
After testing it over the course of one month, I achieved a success rate of around 90% in my trades when using the model as part of my strategy.
The model was trained using the following features:
Time-related: Hour, DayOfWeek
Price & volume lags: Close_lag_1, Close_lag_2, Close_lag_4, Close_lag_8, Close_lag_12, Volume_lag_1, Volume_lag_2, Volume_lag_4, Volume_lag_8, Volume_lag_12
Moving averages & statistics: MA_4, Std_4, Dist_MA_4, MA_16, Std_16, Dist_MA_16, MA_48, Std_48, Dist_MA_48, MA_96, Std_96, Dist_MA_96
Technical indicators: Return_log, MACD, RSI
Hourly Forecast for the Next 24 Hours
2025-09-20 11:00:00+00:00 115890.237853
2025-09-20 12:00:00+00:00 115943.081176
2025-09-20 13:00:00+00:00 116014.252095
2025-09-20 14:00:00+00:00 116084.471819
2025-09-20 15:00:00+00:00 116148.363092
2025-09-20 16:00:00+00:00 116204.096861
2025-09-20 17:00:00+00:00 116252.705901
2025-09-20 18:00:00+00:00 116296.543995
2025-09-20 19:00:00+00:00 116336.916180
2025-09-20 20:00:00+00:00 116374.647329
2025-09-20 21:00:00+00:00 116410.200147
2025-09-20 22:00:00+00:00 116443.943414
2025-09-20 23:00:00+00:00 116476.401907
2025-09-21 00:00:00+00:00 116508.167029
2025-09-21 01:00:00+00:00 116536.594784
2025-09-21 02:00:00+00:00 116576.987672
2025-09-21 03:00:00+00:00 116623.614951
2025-09-21 04:00:00+00:00 116669.962257
2025-09-21 05:00:00+00:00 116715.120757
2025-09-21 06:00:00+00:00 116759.292877
2025-09-21 07:00:00+00:00 116802.591505
2025-09-21 08:00:00+00:00 116845.061769
2025-09-21 09:00:00+00:00 116886.657031
2025-09-21 10:00:00+00:00 116927.449662
2025-09-21 11:00:00+00:00 116967.677829
“Two possible scenarios for BTC if the bull cycle continues”“In the two wave count scenarios, there’s an overlap that suggests the upcoming bullish wave could be the last upward move of this market. This wave may unfold in either three waves or five waves (with a slightly higher probability for three). For now, BTC could retrace down to 102k or even 98, but our dynamic trendline must hold. Even in case of further upside, I don’t expect targets above 140. The reason I still consider a higher top possible is mainly due to the conditions of other coins; if a correction starts from here, the charts of many altcoins would get heavily disrupted, and it’s unlikely that the market maker would allow that to happen.”
BTCUSDT – 4H Harmonic pattern📉 BTCUSDT – 4H
Harmonic pattern reacting bearish from D.
Trendline break → upside losing strength.
🔺 Resistance: 115K–116K
🔻 Support: 111K–112K → 105K–107K
✅ Main view: correction extends to 105K–107K
⚠️ Only a strong break above 116K opens bullish continuation.
❌ Not financial advice.
BTC Daily Wave Check🌊 BTC Hangin’ at a Crucial Wave
📊 Current Setup
BTC’s chillin’ around 112.7k after sliding off that bounce. We already saw the uptrend line snap, but bulls are throwin’ down an inverse H&S attempt (check the arrows + curve).
🚦 Scenarios
👉 If price holds that 112k–114k support box, this wave’s still got juice for a bullish flip 🚀.
👉 But if that zone cracks, momentum could get sketchy fast and bears might drag us deeper.
🧭 My Take
This level’s the line between catchin’ the wave or wipin’ out 🏄♂️. I’m watchin’ to see if bulls can keep their balance here.
❓ What’s Your Read?
Are we about to ride this reversal wave, or do you see the tide pulling lower? Drop your vibe below 👇
BTC: Changed To Bearish For The MomentBTC: Changed to the downside for now
At the moment, it looks like BTC reached a short-term high at 17830
The price completed a bearish pattern over the weekend, indicating that a small downward move may begin soon.
It could also be time for a larger correction, but so far it is too early to say that with the data we have.
I expect BTC to fall to 112970, 110660 and 108700
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Bitcoin (BTC): Back Near 100EMA | Still Waiting For ConfirmationBitcoin on the daily timeframe saw sharp liquidations today, which pushed price back onto the 100EMA. This reaction shows how buyers are being tested, but so far, the structure is intact. As long as we hold above this EMA, the bullish outlook remains valid. The target zone stays $140K–$150K, but for continuation, buyers need to recover momentum and secure a break above current consolidation levels. Otherwise, further retests of lower liquidity zones may follow before the next push.
Swallow Academy
Analytics: Market Outlook and Forecasts
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, Bitcoin spent most of its time trading sideways. Towards the end of the week, there was a long entry, and Bitcoin reached the resistance zone of $117,500-$119,000 (accumulated volumes).
There was a rebound from this range, but we didn’t observe any selling initiative. Therefore, the scenario was based on a repeated, deeper filling of the aforementioned zone. However, the situation took a different turn.
Tonight, there was an impulsive breakout of two support levels. Below one of them, a large number of liquidations were released, leading to the formation of a new key volume support point and disrupting the long-term trend structure.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
It’s important to closely monitor the buyer's reaction.
Today, we may see a resumption of buys and a test of the mirror sales level of ~$113,800 (market imbalance). This may be followed by a re-test of the current volume anomaly zone.
If the $113,000-$112,400 zone is successfully defended, there is a possibility of recovery to the $116,000 level. However, the focus remains on sales.
Alternative scenario: test of the buyer zone below the level of $111,600-$110,500 (accumulated volumes) and the development of a local sideways pattern between the two nearest volume zones.
Buy Zones:
$111,600–$110,500 (accumulated volume)
~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volume)
Sell Zones:
~$113,800 (market imbalance, mirror zone)
$115,000–$116,000 (accumulated volume)
$118,000–$119,000 (accumulated volume)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
This week, we expect the following macroeconomic events:
• September 23, Tuesday, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the US Manufacturing and Services PMI for September;
• September 23, Tuesday, 16:35 (UTC) — speech by US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell;
• September 24, Wednesday, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of US August New Home Sales data;
• September 25, Thursday, 7:30 (UTC) — announcement of the Swiss interest rate decision;
• September 25, Thursday, 8:00 (UTC) — press conference of the National Bank of Switzerland;
• September 25, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the US GDP for the second quarter of 2025 and the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the US;
• September 25, Thursday, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on US second-hand housing sales for August;
• September 26, Friday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the US basic price index for personal consumption expenditures for August.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTC - WEEKLY OUTLOOK - ON POINT!!#BITCOIN - Weekly Outlook 🚨
Mastercall again! 🔥
As expected, we saw a solid rejection with a dump towards the $112,000 mark mentioned in my previous outlook ✅🎯
H1 trend: Still bearish in the short term 📉Price action remains weak below key resistance zones.
Key support to watch:
🔸Primary support: $110,500 – $110,000
🔸Clean break below $110,000 (with volume) could trigger a sharp move down toward $107,000+
However, the broader trend remains bullish on the weekly and monthly timeframes.
Above $110,000, bulls retain control according to my previous updates. A consolidation above $110,000 would be a positive signal for #alts recovery.
Scenarios:
⚠️ Loss of $110k support = possible accelerated drop to 107k+
🟩 Hold/Consolidation above $110k = base for #alts to rebound
Stay nimble, manage your risk!
Bitcoin (BTC): Bloody Monday and Start of Week | Still BullishBloody Monday hit the markets, and Bitcoin is showing weakness after the recent breakout attempt. Buyers failed to secure above $117K, and we’ve now pulled back slightly from that push. The zone to watch is still $116K–$117.8K, where we look for a BOS. As long as this level is not secured by buyers, momentum stays capped, and the struggle continues.
Swallow Academy
$BTC Crucial range!BTC attempted to break above the lower resistance zone and the descending channel, but failed to sustain momentum. ⚠️
📉 If rejection continues from this level, we could see a move towards the lower side of the channel, where multiple support zones await around:
$114,700
$112,000
$110,400
This will be a key area to watch for potential bounce setups or further breakdown confirmation.
🔎 Stay cautious — until BTC reclaims and holds above $116,700–117,300, downside pressure remains in control.
22/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $117,904.04
Last weeks low: $114,383.99
Midpoint: $116,144.01
A very interesting start to the week to say the least! In the opening hours of this week BTC has plunged 3% to tag $112,000, this comes off the rejection of $117,500 key level post FOMC.
The FED cut interest rates by 25bps as was expected by most, the resulting rally failed to break $117,500 resistance and rejected back to the origin of the rally at the 0.25 line. The dip from the opening hours of this week is in my opinion continuation of this rejection level. It is clear the bulls still don't have the firepower to break the range and push on, the question this week is where will BTC find support?
For me there are some key levels, 1D 200 EMA is still an option at $106,000, the daily local how at $107,500 could provide double bottom support. The Monday close will provide more context to this move, should the reaction be minimal and the daily candle closes as it is now the September curse could continue.
This week I'll be closely monitoring how altcoins react to this move, I believe the general consensus is that altcoins will outperform BTC in Q4. Historically the final quarter of the year has provided some great returns over the years, however that does not necessarily mean that will be the case this time around. If it does happen this dip may provide some good entries.
Good luck this week everybody!
BTC 17.09.25I'm seeing descend marked maker involvement in this current range. If this does not get invalidated by the FOMC meeting later, i'm looking for a potential distribution in this area, which grabs liquidity and reaccumulates. I would want to see a demand mitigation followed by a slow move up to create a good looking liquidity trail to the downside. This could be the beginning of a bigger distribution that creates a lower high on BTC, but thats for the future.
#BTCUSDT 12H ChartPrice moved down and swept the support at around 113k and it is currently bouncing off the 200MA. MACD turned bearish, RSI is sold and EMAs are neutral. If price breaks below the 200MA then i would expect it to sweep the liquidity below the support line at around 110k as a short-term target.
BTC Looks Bearish (12H)From the point marked as **Start** on the chart, it seemed that a bullish phase had begun on Bitcoin. This bullish phase formed a triangle, and now we are at the end of this triangle.
With a pullback to the red zone, a further drop could occur. The main target of this bearish move appears to be the 88K channel.
This view remains valid unless a daily candle closes above the invalidation level.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Pullback Provides Buying OpportunityBINANCE:BTCUSDT has broken down from its range after rejecting the 117k resistance and forming a clear lower high. The sharp selloff has brought price back toward the 111k support zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci golden pocket. Holding above this area could trigger a short-term rebound, but the structure remains fragile. If 111k fails, the next key support sits at 108k, pointing to deeper downside risk.
⚠️ Risks:
A breakdown under 110k confirms bearish continuation toward 108k.
Market sentiment around Fed policy could accelerate volatility.
Only a sustained break back above 116k would negate the bearish setup.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
BITCOIN Update: Stay Alert (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Read the analysis carefully
Given the loss of the trendline, Bitcoin stalling, and decreasing momentum, the previous Bitcoin analysis needed to be updated.
If Bitcoin fails to make a valid breakout above the yellow line at $116,520 and does not sustain above it, a bearish scenario will emerge, and the price will drop significantly
A bullish outlook toward the supply zone shown on the chart above is only valid if Bitcoin executes a confirmed breakout above $116,520.
So stay alert and follow the chart closely.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You