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Bitcoin - 66k in 2026 (but first a pump - watch this!)Bitcoin has been going down drastically, as I expected many, many weeks in advance. But this is not the end of the crash! We will see lower prices in 2026, specifically 66k and possibly 50k later in Q3 2026. This is my long-term vision, but in the short term I think Bitcoin should go up to retest the previous long-term trendline and the previous falling wedge pattern at 97k! Usually after a breakout/breakdown, we want to see a retest. These retests are very important because they give us a chance to sell Bitcoin at a better price and also to short Bitcoin on the futures market. Bitcoin did some pretty crazy movements in the past weeks, regardless of the seasonality patterns. Statistically Bitcoin is extremely strong in October and November—but this time it was the opposite. Even though seasonality patterns are helpful, you always need to look for more indicators and fundamentals. Moonboys that were screaming for 200k and 500k got liquidated, and soon they will disappear from the market for good. I have been trading for almost 10 years, and I have experienced many crypto crashes, and the moonboys are always here at the top. When I was bearish at 120k, everyone was screaming in the comment section and even spitting on my bearish predictions. So my plan for the next Bitcoin movements is as follows: First, Bitcoin should retest the 97k level (this will take some time). After that we should see another big leg to the downside to 66k. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
by Xanrox
180
How to build Discipline & Structured Trading HabitsDiscipline is not something you rely on in the moment; it is something you build through habits that remove emotional decision-making from your trading process. 1. Define Rules Before You Trade Traders without predefined rules rely on emotion. Traders with rules rely on structure. Clearly define your entry criteria, risk per trade, maximum daily loss, and exit strategy. When these rules exist before the session starts, you eliminate most impulsive behaviors. 2. Limit Your Daily Decisions Every decision drains mental energy. The more choices you make, the weaker your discipline becomes. Reduce the number of markets you watch, the number of setups you take, and the amount of chart time you expose yourself to. Fewer decisions lead to higher-quality decisions. 3. Use a Pre-Session Checklist A checklist forces you into a disciplined routine. It can include: • Reviewing your trading plan • Checking upcoming news releases • Confirming your bias or market conditions • Ensuring your risk settings are correct The act of going through the checklist prepares your mind to follow structure. 4. Implement a Hard Stop for the Day One of the fastest ways to lose discipline is to trade while emotional. Set a maximum daily drawdown. Once it is hit, the session ends. No exceptions. This protects both your capital and your psychology. 5. Track Your Rule Breaks Most traders only track wins and losses. Disciplined traders also track deviations. Write down every time you break a rule, why it happened, and how you plan to prevent it next time. Over time, this builds awareness and accountability. 6. Delay Impulsive Actions If you feel the urge to jump into a trade that does not fit your plan, delay the action by 30 to 60 seconds. Impulses lose power quickly. By introducing a pause, you give your rational mind time to regain control. 7. Keep Your Environment Clean Distractions destroy discipline. Silence notifications, close irrelevant tabs, and avoid multitasking. A clean trading environment supports clean decisions. 8. End Each Session With a Routine A consistent end-of-day routine reinforces discipline. Examples: • Rating your discipline on a scale from 1 to 10 • Reviewing whether you followed your rules • Logging emotional triggers Ending the day with structure makes it easier to begin the next one with structure. Conclusion Discipline is not built through motivation but through habits that create consistent behavior. A structured trading routine removes uncertainty, minimizes emotional influence, and helps you operate like a professional rather than a reactive participant.
Education
by Louigi_24
49
INTERVIEW: Hope phase - EXCAVO’s View 25/11/25 1. Do you believe the bear market has already begun? If yes - from what moment? Yes. The bear market started in November 2025. My cyclicality chart shows it clearly: not a single scenario points to continued upside. Every chart I posted on TradingView confirms the trend reversal. 2. What was the main signal confirming the reversal? The 153rd week of Bitcoin’s growth — a historic exhaustion point that almost always marks the end of a cycle. 3. What BTC levels are critical for the downside scenario? The key horizontal level is $74,000. At minimum, I expect a clean wick below it. 4. What fundamental factors accelerated the bear market? A massive overbought environment. The 2-year AI bubble pushed valuations far above fair value. The market became overheated — even though AI is here to stay. 5. Technical factors confirming the decline? We’re dropping without any real reason. Any small headline triggers selling. October 11 wasn’t about Trump — it was a whale manipulation on big exchanges. That’s how late-stage cycles behave. 6. Why did most traders fail to see this reversal? — Short memory — Conditioned for 3 years to “buy every dip” — No exit plan — No clear framework — And of course: they weren’t following EXCAVO 😉 7. Where could BTC go in the coming weeks? First: liquidation of short positions. We may even spike up to $94,000. But that would be a trap before continuation downward. In December, I expect the formation of one of the cycle bottoms. 8. Which scenario seems more likely — panic drop or step-by-step bleed? Most likely: a step-by-step bleed. 9. Is a fake bounce possible before further decline? Yes. I already mentioned it: a short squeeze → then a big drop. Practical Part 10. What are you personally doing in this market? I’m waiting. Observing. Studying. You don’t need to be in a trade every day. Overtrading destroyed more traders than any correction. 11. What should beginners do now? Exactly what professionals do: wait for their entry point. We’re hunters in the bushes — we shoot only when the target is close. 12. What should traders revise in their strategy right now? — Understand where we are in the macro cycle — Identify what’s working — Remove what’s not — Accept that the bear market will be long and exhausting Right now we’re in the hope phase. Disappointment is ahead. Best regards EXCAVO If you have any questions, feel free to ask. In the next post, I can do another interview based on the questions you leave under this one.
Short
by EXCAVO
31
Understanding Discipline in TradingWelcome back everyone to another post. In today’s article we will dive deeper into the 3 keys of Trading success! As attached below. Today we will be reviewing the Key “DISCIPLINE” Just like risk management and Psychology this is also a difficult skill to maintain. In the modern world it’s considered a skill now, because most of society doesn’t have any discipline in any field. Let’s get started. Definition: When it comes to Trading Discipline. Trading Discipline means one user has the mental ability ( strength ) to follow their system. Their Trading Plan, risk management and maintain their psychology regardless of what events happen. Trading Discipline separates profitable traders from the gamblers. (Below I have attached the article Trader or Gambler as it relates to this post, make sure to give it a read!) Discipline ensures that the user makes the right decisions based on strategy and logic instead of FOMO, ego and greed. It is not just about following rules though. Discipline relates to the outside world of cultivating habits, mindsets and self-control too. 1) Understanding Trading Discipline Firstly, you must truly grasp what it actually means. Most individual traders confuse it with stubbornness. They think it’s about holding on to trades or forcing a system. In reality, it’s only about consistency and self-control! Simple right? Example: Imagine, you have a system. A trading plan. It has the 1% rule where you don’t risk more than 1% of your account per trade. Understanding discipline means you must know why that rule is in place. It’s too protected your capital! Not breaking it after a few losses just to catch up. Real Life Analogy: A professional runner trains every day. They do it even when they are sad, tired, unhappy and unmotivated. This is discipline. Discipline drives long term results. Discipline is continuing it no matter what the current situation is. 2) Implementing Trading Discipline The process of implementation is nothing complicated. It’s only turning knowledge into action. Knowing about it won’t do anything, you must maintain the effort of consistently applying it to each step in your system. How to implement it: - Follow your plan: Before each trading day starts, read out your system and tell yourself you will follow it. Even if no set ups appear, you will still succeed because you followed your plan. - Set risk rules: Apply proper risk management and lot management so you don’t cave into fear. Apply the 1:3 Rule or 1:4 Rule. - JOURNAL your TRADES Damn it: Record every trade, your reasoning, and whether you actually followed your rules. Don’t just add a screen shot and nothing else. YOU won’t succeed if you don’t journal your trades properly. Example: A novice trader may plan to place an entry when price is at $50 and exit at $55 with a 2% risk per trade. Even if it dips to price $48, they hold to the stop loss accepting the loss instead of moving it and hoping it “recovers” Real Life analogy: Think of it as budgeting every day, or for a holiday, or your next maccas run. You set a weekly budget plan and stick to it. Even when tempted by special deals, sticking to your budget allows for long term financial health to take place. Just like risk management but with real life. 3) Maintaining Trading Discipline Discipline can’t act overnight, it’s the process of small steps working your way up to solid consistency over time. Even when feelings run high – discipline isn’t one time. It’s daily practice. Some strategies are: - Reviewing your previous trades daily or at the end of each week during a market close. Assess your wins and losses. - Build up emotional awareness, be aware of what fear, greed and overconfident emotions take place. - Reward yourself to the rules of your system, not just profitable outcomes. If you reward yourself for not trading in one day because not a single set up appeared, you were still successful because you didn’t “force” a set up and take a gamble. Example: A trader might experience 3 losses in the first hour of the day, even if they were all A++ set ups. Instead of revenge trading, he sticks to his plan, accepts the L and leaves the charts for the rest of the day to reset mentally and gain a win in another field, eg – Gym. Real-life analogy: By maintaining a healthy lifestyle, you must apply the same approach. You don’t stop exercising after a few days off. Discipline keeps you aligned even when your motivation and mental strength fades. 4) Adapting without breaking your Discipline Long story short, Markets move, Markets change, Markets can and WILL evolve. Traders must adapt. Not just allows their system to adapt, but their psychological mindset of discipline. Adapting can be confusing but it can be done by: - Don’t switch up new strategies, adjust your current system slightly then back test and forward test it on demo accounts. Eg Paper trading. - Update your trading system based on data and monthly results, not emotions. - Avoid making sudden changes right after losses. Example: Let’s say a forex strat no longer works due to low volume and volatility. A strict trader tests adjustments in their demo accounts, then incorporates them into the plan after they have received positive data from tests. Real-life analogy: A chef might change his recipe based on a specific ingredient availability but will not ignore the core cooking principles. It’s about adapting strategically, not impulsively. 5) Reinforcing Discipline Through mindset and daily life. Discipline in the trading field is just amplified by the discipline process outside of trading. It follows the exact same process. Daily habits and mindset directly impact one’s trading performance. To reinforce discipline, you can: - Maintain routines: Wake up at consistent times. Don’t wake up at 3:00am to “grind” if you do that, you’re stupid – you’ll burn yourself out and make the process harder. Plan your day and review goals. Eg do a brain dump every morning, write down or type out all ideas, thoughts and emotions and sort it out. - Practice mental training: People suggest doing personal journaling or meditation. Just go for a walk in the morning for 5 minutes. First thing in the morning, feel the fresh breeze, air, sunlight and nature. You simulate the mind and body in a natural way allowing for you to think clearly and train your mind. - Change your environment: surround yourself with work dogs, people who are strict on routines, self-improvement, self-development, individuals who don’t slack off. Example: Traders who can control their time well, exercise, eat healthy can maintain their stress in trading better than one who does not focus on outside habits. Real-life analogy: A school student who studies consistently every day and night rather than squishing it all in before exams perform better. Just like a trader who can maintain structured habits inside and outside of the market. Conclusion: Trading discipline is more than following rules, it’s a mindset and a lifestyle, it relates to the world outside of trading. Just like psychology, if you can’t master it outside, you won’t master it inside. It's about understanding your own weaknesses and adjusting the system to hold structured rules that will allow it to be more easily achievable for yourself. Remember, trading is not sunshine and rainbows. It’s about building a system and following it. It is the hardest way to make “ easy ” money. To find out what the other 2 keys are, review the 3 posts below where I explain the 3 keys to trading success, and go deeper into each of them!
Education
by King_BennyBag
41
Bitcoin Only after breakout chanel resistance bull market again Soon we can expect price broke above channel resistance now it is near 93K$ and after that market will face huge gain only. Step 1: Confirm the Breakout (The "Is It Real?" Check) Don't buy the first tiny wick above the line. Wait for confirmation to avoid a false breakout: Daily Close: Wait for a daily candle close (UTC) decisively above the $93K trendline. Volume Surge: The breakout should be accompanied by significantly higher buying volume than average . This shows conviction. Follow-Through: The price should hold above the trendline and not immediately fall back in. Step 2: The Trade Entry Strategy Aggressive Entry: Buy on the first strong 4-hour or daily close above $93K. Conservative Entry : Wait for a "retest" of the broken trendline. After breaking out, price often pulls back to touch the former resistance, which should now act as new support. This is a higher-probability, lower-risk entry. Step 3: MY Bullish Targets - A Realistic Roadmap my targets are logical and align with measured moves and previous all-time high extensions. First Target: ~$110,000 This is the first major psychological barrier and would represent a strong resumption of the bull market. Second Target: ~$120,000 - $125,000 This area is a common 1.618 Fibonacci extension from key swing points and represents the next significant resistance zone. Extended Target: ~$140,000+ This is the "blue sky" target that comes into play if the bullish momentum becomes parabolic, likely fueled by a FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) influx of new capital. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Long
by MMBTtrader
38
Bitcoin - Can the bulls break resistance?Bitcoin continues to stagnate after a strong sell-off. Market structure remains weak, and trading volume is declining as price keeps moving sideways within a tight range. Traders are uncertain about the next move, and both bulls and bears currently lack conviction. Overall sentiment is cool, with most attention focused on nearby resistance zones. Many eyes are on how BTC reacts to the current consolidation area. 4H Bearish FVG Just above the current price lies a clear bearish 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). This zone now acts as strong resistance. When BTC retests this area, a rejection is the most likely scenario. Only a breakout with strong volume would give bulls something to lean on. As long as this FVG holds, further downside remains the path of least resistance. 1H Timeframe The 1-hour timeframe shows ongoing consolidation and repeated struggles with the local 1H bearish FVG. Every attempt to break through this area is immediately rejected. As a result, the probability of BTC breaking to the downside increases, which would allow the market to collect the liquidity resting below. Bears are expected to keep defending this zone until the market breaks through with conviction. Consolidation may continue as long as the support level holds, but the underlying downside risk remains significant. Conclusion BTC remains technically pressured as long as there is no convincing breakout above the 4H FVG. The current range is vulnerable to a downward break, especially with weak volume and persistent resistance structures. Traders would be wise to wait for clearer signals or a new trend on higher timeframes before committing to a direction.
by Youriverse
36
BTC at Key Support Zone - Bullish Setup in Progress?BTC at Key Support Zone - Bullish Setup in Progress? Bitcoin has reached a major long-term support zone between 75,100 – 80,800, an area that previously acted as strong support in March 2024 and April 2025 on the monthly timeframe. The current monthly candle is testing this zone again, suggesting that buyers may step in to defend this historically important level. On the daily chart, BTC has formed a sharp decline toward this support area, but the recent reaction indicates early signs of accumulation. If buyers continue to hold this zone, a mid-term recovery could develop. As long as the 75,100 support holds, BTC maintains strong potential for a medium-term rebound. However, a clean break below this zone would invalidate the bullish outlook and expose deeper downside. Key Levels to Watch: Support: 75,100 – 80,800 Target 1: 98,000 Target 2: 107,500 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
22
Bitcoin: Final Pump Before the Fall?Over the past five to six days, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been attempting to recover from previous weekly declines, and it still appears to be in a corrective phase. This analysis builds on my previous idea, and if you’d like a deeper look at Bitcoin’s mid-term chart, you can check out the 4-hour timeframe in that previous analysis . Now, a key point for Bitcoin traders is that, despite the recent rally in the S&P 500 ( SP:SPX ) over the past few days, Bitcoin hasn’t been able to keep pace. While it had a good correlation with the S&P 500 in the past, it didn’t experience a similar upward movement this time. Therefore, once the S&P 500 corrects, we may also see Bitcoin resume its downward trend. Currently, Bitcoin seems to be near a resistance zone($92,200-$88,400) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($91,570-$89,660). It also appears to be forming an ascending channel over the past few days, indicating a corrective structure. From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin seems to be completing microwave C of the microwave Y of the main wave 4, and we can expect this corrective phase to end soon, leading to another downward move. A break of the lower line of the ascending channel would confirm the end of this Wave 4. I expect that after the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($91,570-$89,660), Bitcoin will resume its decline and move towards the Support zone($86,200-$85,130). Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,000-$85,000 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $83,249-$81,840 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131 First Target: $86,290 Second Target: $83,800 Stop Loss(SL): $92,229 Points may shift as the market evolves Note: At lower price levels, Bitcoin’s price includes several Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverages, each potentially causing further price drops. However, if the S&P 500 starts another correction, these levels may break more easily. Note: Overall, trading in crypto has become a bit challenging lately, with less volatility, so it’s wise to be cautious and manage your capital carefully. Note: If Bitcoin breaks through the resistance zone($92,200-$88,400) around $92,229, we can expect a renewed upward trend and hope for a bullish movement. 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Short
by pejman_zwin
31
Bitcoin’s 125k Dream or 80k Nightmare, Who Wins This GameAre you buying the top at 125k and panicking at 80k Ever wondered why someone else always takes the profit Let’s uncover who wins this long term Bitcoin survival match Hello✌️ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: In my view, Bitcoin usually drops around the New Year and Christmas, and this has happened almost every year. This is normal because people are buying during this time. So we might see another small drop. But this time, unlike before, Bitcoin may not go into a long multi-year “winter.” It could bounce back to higher levels, or even new highs, much faster than in the past. Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🌋 The Real Nature of Bitcoin Bitcoin rewards those who understand the market’s true behavior It acts like digital hard money with massive upside potential Higher risk than gold yes but the payoff can be life changing Without knowledge risk becomes panic and panic becomes loss 🏛 Hard Money vs Fiat Traps Fiat money constantly loses value through inflation silently People ignoring inflation stay trapped in financial decline Bitcoin exists to protect wealth from this invisible theft 📈 Ten Years of Proof Buying small every month would have changed your net worth Hype buyers get wrecked but consistent buyers get rewarded History shows deep crashes but even higher recoveries Every major dip eventually turned into new all time highs 🏆 The Two Traits of Real Winners First understand fiat is designed to inflate forever Second stay consistent for years not weeks or months Long term players always get the long term rewards 😰 Who Loses This Game Those who see price only not the asset’s purpose Those with hype not strategy fall at every dip Oversized positions amplify fear and destroy accounts 🎭 Fear and Greed Control Weak Hands Greed at the top creates bad entries no patience Fear during crashes triggers the worst possible exits Market simply transfers money from emotional to patient traders 🛠 Tools of TradingView for Smarter Bitcoin Plans Set price alerts to avoid decisions made in panic Volume Profile reveals where strong hands accumulated Bitcoin Supply and demand zones highlight high probability reactions Multiple timeframes prevent tunnel vision during volatility Summary Understand the game stay consistent and Bitcoin can serve you Inflation won’t stop but your wealth doesn’t have to shrink Three Key Recommendations Think in decades not in daily candles to stay rational Use DCA and never invest more than your true capacity Protect emotions first because the market pays the calm ones ✨ Need a little love! We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thank s, Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.
Education
by MadWhale
25
Bitcoin Weakens After H&S Pattern: Next Stop, 89k?Hi! It looks like price recently formed a pretty clean Head & Shoulders pattern on the 15m timeframe. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all well-defined, and price has already broken beneath the neckline with a clear shift in structure. Momentum is leaning bearish. The chart also shows a large supply zone above (the red area), which rejected price strongly adding confluence that the top may be in for now. The projections on the chart make sense: if the neckline continues to hold as resistance, we could see a move down toward the blue demand zone around 88.7k–89k. That’s the next major liquidity pool and likely where buyers might step in again. Unless price reclaims the neckline with strength, the bias stays short-term bearish with continuation lower.
Short
by melikatrader94
17
Bitcoin is falling via the Descending channel As observed in typical market behavior, a descending channel often emerges as a corrective structure following significant upward movements—precisely the pattern currently visible on the Bitcoin chart. This channel reflects a near-term consolidation phase, allowing the market to absorb previous gains and establish a new equilibrium. A decisive breakout above the upper boundary of this channel, particularly when supported by increasing volume, would signal the resumption of the primary bullish trend. In such a scenario, a renewal of upward momentum could propel the market toward new all-time highs, aligning with the broader bullish market structure. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Long
by MMBTtrader
42
Bitcoin - H1 Breakout Alert – Bulls Taking Control!BTC/USDT - Bitcoin has officially broken its descending trendline and completed a successful retest from the demand zone. This shift signals a potential momentum reversal, with buyers stepping in aggressively after weeks of corrective price action. BINANCE:BTCUSDT 🔍 Technical Overview ✔️ Clean trendline breakout on H1 timeframe ✔️ Strong retest at demand zone → buyers defended perfectly ✔️ Price now trading above the trendline, indicating bullish structure ✔️ First target: $95,000 (psychological level + key resistance) ✔️ Second target: $100,000 (major psychological level) If bullish pressure continues, liquidity grabs above these zones could fuel an extended move. 📊 Fundamental Insight Institutional interest rises, especially around accumulation zones ETF inflows remain positive, boosting overall sentiment #BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Crypto #CryptoTrading #BitcoinAnalysis #TradingSetup #Breakout #TrendlineBreakout #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Binance #CryptoMarket #Bullish 💬 Support the Idea If you found this analysis useful, 👉 Please LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬 Your support helps me share more setups daily! ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk (1–2% per trade) and follow your trading plan.
Long
by AM_AlphaTrading
19
Trend Exhaustion: How to Spot a Reversal Before It HappensReversals rarely start with dramatic candles. They begin quietly, through subtle shifts in momentum and structure that most traders overlook. A strong trend doesn’t collapse all at once. It loses strength in stages, and those stages are visible long before price turns in the opposite direction. The first sign of exhaustion is weakening impulse strength. In a healthy trend, impulsive moves are clean and decisive, and retracements are controlled. When each new push produces smaller higher highs or lower lows, it signals reduced participation. Buyers or sellers are still present, but the force driving the trend is fading. The second clue lies in how price interacts with liquidity. Strong trends break key levels with conviction. Exhausted trends start reaching above highs or below lows only to reject immediately. These sweeps show that the market is clearing liquidity without gaining follow-through, often trapping late entries and signaling that larger players are offloading positions. A third indication appears when structure begins to fracture. An uptrend losing its higher-low sequence or a downtrend failing to maintain lower highs is a shift in narrative. A single break is not confirmation, but when it aligns with slowing impulses and liquidity failures, momentum is clearly changing. Volatility then begins to compress. Candle ranges shrink, movement becomes less directional, and price enters a tightening pattern. This compression often precedes expansion in the opposite direction. When a decisive candle breaks out of this cluster, the reversal typically accelerates. Trend exhaustion is about recognizing when the conditions that supported continuation no longer exist. By reading momentum, liquidity, and structure together, you can anticipate shifts earlier, manage risk more effectively, and position yourself on the right side of the next move.
Education
by HyroTrader
14
Why This Time Is Not Different — BTC Could Still Drop >50%Bitcoin is moving into a phase where long-term cycles matter more than whatever the market narrative happens to be this week. And if you look at those cycles, one thing becomes clear: BTC has never avoided a major drop after making a new ATH. 1. The timing keeps repeating — almost to the day Every big drawdown in Bitcoin’s history has lasted almost exactly the same amount of time: Cycle 1: 371 days Cycle 2: 378 days Cycle 3: 378 days again That kind of symmetry doesn’t happen by accident. It’s a pattern driven by liquidity, leverage, miner economics and investor behavior. Right now, BINANCE:BTCUSDT is lining up with that same timing structure once more. 2. The size of corrections is falling… but still huge Past drawdowns: –83% –77% The market is more mature now — more liquidity, more derivatives depth, more institutional money — so the volatility is naturally lower. But “lower volatility” in Bitcoin still means: 👉 –50% to –70% corrections And a drop in that range would land BTC somewhere around $40k–$50k, which is consistent with the historical pattern. 3. Market maturity doesn’t erase Bitcoin’s cycles Even with ETFs, institutional flows, and a stronger market structure, BTC still reacts to: leverage resets liquidity tightening miner selling pressure sentiment washouts These things don’t disappear just because the market grows. 4. What the full cycle is pointing to If the cycle keeps rhyming with the past: Potential bottom: roughly late 2026, at the end of another ~370–380 day drawdown Next peak: around 2028 Long-term target: $120k–$150k+ The rhythm remains the same: big drop → long consolidation → explosive recovery. Takeaway This time isn’t different. Even in a more “institutional” Bitcoin, the cycles still point to a >50% reset before the next major expansion.
Short
by OrbisInvestment
21
Bitcoin Eyes Technical Pullback Before Next Upward MoveHello everyone, Bitcoin is pausing after a rebound from the 86,000 USD area, but upward momentum faces resistance around 92,000 USD—where a red FVG, old supply zones, and heavy volume converge. Every approach to this area triggers downward pressure, producing red candles near supply zones, showing that selling pressure remains significant. Nonetheless, the macro backdrop supports buyers: a weaker USD, declining US bond yields, and expectations of Fed rate cuts in 2025–2026 help Bitcoin hold higher levels. ETF inflows are returning, institutions are buying on dips, while the broader market remains neutral without FOMO. Technically, lower FVGs at 89,500–90,000, 88,000–88,500, and 86,500–87,000 USD provide reasonable retracement areas before the next breakout. The structure has yet to form a new high, upward momentum is weak, and selling pressure has slightly recovered; this technical correction is an opportunity for the market to gather liquidity. Forecast: BTC may retrace to 89,500 USD, and if selling remains strong, it could test 88,000–88,500 USD. Subsequently, buying pressure should return, pushing BTC back toward the 92,000–93,000 USD resistance, continuing the long-term uptrend.
Short
by Momonoo
15
Bitcoin recovers rise again moveBitcoin is showing signs of bullish consolidation after a prolonged decline into key support. Based on the current range structure, the market may be preparing for an upward move. The recovery aligns with broader market sentiment, as U.S. stock indices recorded their fourth consecutive session of gains, driven by expectations of potential Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts. From a technical perspective, if Bitcoin can hold bullish momentum and secure a 4H candle close above the 90,000 level, it would strengthen the case for continuation to the upside. After the recent long fall, price may look to retest overhead resistance in the 98,000 – 105,000 zone. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck buddies. Ps; support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
Long
by MrMartin_11
19
BTC - Bulls Watching the Channel Support!📈Bitcoin remains overall bullish, trading cleanly inside its rising channel. Each dip toward the lower bound has acted as a strong springboard for the next impulsive move, showing clear demand from buyers. ⚔️As BTC approaches the lower trendline of the channel and the green demand zone, we will be looking for trend-following longs. This confluence area has held multiple times and continues to act as a key decision point for market structure. 🏹As long as BTC remains above this zone , the bullish scenario remains intact, and another push toward higher highs becomes the most likely outcome. Only a break below the demand zone would weaken the bullish outlook. Now it’s all about the retest… will the bulls defend structure once again? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
by TheSignalyst
13
Final 2025 Forecast for BTCUSDT 24th November 2025 (Updated)Same idea as previous post, just zoomed in to see the potential gyrations towards to move towards ~$128k and hopefully beyond ✌️ 1. Friday session dip to around ~$81k 2. Pump to around ~$87k over the weekend 3. Dump down to ~$80k for Monday Trap 4. Black Friday Pump to ~$89k 5. Max Pain Dump to ~$75k-$79k 6. Final pump to ~$128k to end the cycle If we are lucky and price pullbacks from ~$128k and then exceeds it. Here are the targets I would be looking at; Target #1 $140k-$145k, Target #2 $170k-$175k Target #3 $200k-$205k This of course could be 100% wrong so remember (as always) to ruthlessly ✂️ cut your losers when wrong, and hold ✊ onto your winners when right. -- I might also add, come early December 1st - 5th the following celestial events will take place which support the run up to $128k (and possibly beyond); 1. Super Full Moon (“Cold Moon”) 🌖 • On December 4, 2025, there’s a nearly full moon (~98% illuminated).  • This will be a supermoon, meaning the Moon appears slightly larger and brighter than average.  • The Moon is in Taurus, and near the Pleiades (M45) — Taurus is represented no other than the Bull. Supermoons correlate with: • spikes in emotion • increased speculative behavior • temporary liquidity expansions • bigger candles (up OR down) A near-super full moon tends to: • mark volatility apexes • precede relief rallies • create short-term “energy reversals” 2. Moon–Jupiter conjunction (Dec 7) — traditionally expansive 🌖 Jupiter is symbolically linked with: • expansion • optimism • big moves • risk-on thinking • growth • speculation When the Moon (sentiment) aligns with Jupiter (expansion), it often coincides with: • higher risk appetite • FOMO • bullish short-term flows In Summary; 1. Moon–Jupiter conjunction (Dec 7) → Expansive, optimistic, risk-on symbolism 2. Super Full Moon (Dec 4) → Volatility peak → Reversal → Upward burst
by MrTobiasRieper
11
BTC: The Bitcoin bounce is not a trend reversal🚫 The Bitcoin bounce is not a trend reversal Here’s why the current move looks more like a liquidity trap than a real bullish reversal: - Momentum is lagging — the rebound isn’t supported by strength. - Liquidity spikes look engineered to squeeze short positions rather than coming from genuine buyers. - ETFs are selling while BTC is pumping → classic exit liquidity behaviour. - We remain in a bearish trend, and the current flag pattern is on the verge of breaking. Statistically, these patterns break down, with targets equal to the size of the previous leg. - Price is rising while volume is falling → this is a hidden bearish divergence on volume. 🎯 What I’m seeing It looks like many institutions were caught off guard by the depth of this downtrend, and now they’re trying to reduce exposure. They appear to be engineering a bounce to attract retail FOMO, allowing them to exit with smaller losses — a classic liquidity extraction move. As I’ve mentioned several times already: 👉 The primary trend remains bearish until Q2 2026, though we should expect bounces and manipulative moves along the way. ⚠️ My advice Don’t deploy all your capital into a fake FOMO rally and become the institutions’ exit liquidity. Wait for a proper bottom confirmation, such as: A W pattern, followed by a successful retest with a higher low. ❌ Invalidation This analysis becomes invalid only if the current pattern breaks upward with strong volume. DYOR
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
13
BTC at Key Support Zone - Bullish Setup in Progress? - UPDATEBTC at Key Support Zone - Bullish Setup in Progress? - UPDATE Bitcoin has reached a major long-term support zone between 75,100 – 80,800, an area that previously acted as strong support in March 2024 and April 2025 on the monthly timeframe. Currently, BTC reacted as we expected from our previous analysis and has already reached 92000. Yesterday, during the European evening, the price broke out of the triangle pattern and started the upward movement. A small pause is possible before BTC moves further. I would not be surprised if this is the beginning of another upward wave, at least towards our targets, or if it can retest the all-time high price zone. The retest of the monthly 75100 - 80800 zone was very important for the bulls to join BTC at a better price. Key targets: 94150 98000 106500 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
10
BITCOIN → Retest of the 94,000 zone of interest...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is rebounding from its interim low of 80,000. However, it is still too early to talk about a bull market, as a countertrend correction is forming under the current circumstances. Globally, Bitcoin is in a downtrend, with the zone of interest for a countertrend correction being 94,000-95,000. The market structure is bearish, and a retest of the break-even zone could trigger a downward movement within the trend. After a strong liquidation to 80K, the market is forming a pullback, which is a basic phenomenon. There is no confirmation of a trend reversal yet, and the fundamental background is neutral, without clear support. Various analytical services suggest that the market is in a cleansing phase and has so far only liquidated short-term traders, reaching a cumulative average break-even price. A classic pullback. Technically, the zone of interest or magnet for the medium-term market is 75K (on the daily timeframe). Resistance levels: 93,000, 94,000, 97,300 Support levels: 89,000, 86,000 In the current situation: a bearish trend, weak purchasing power, and a weak fundamental background, I consider a pullback to be the primary reaction to the 93-94K zone. However, the market is not constant, and if support appears (news or other drivers) and Bitcoin manages to stay above 95K, then growth can be expected. Sincerely, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
9
BTCUSDT: Bullish Push to 98500?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is eyeing a bullish reversal on the 4-hour chart , with price rebounding from a broken level near cumulative long liquidation, converging with a potential entry zone that could trigger upside momentum if buyers defend against further dips. This setup suggests a recovery opportunity after recent pullback, targeting higher resistance levels with excellent risk-reward.🔥 Entry between 87500–88500 for a long position (entry at current levels with proper risk management is recommended). Targets at 95000 (first), 98500 (second). Set a stop loss at a close below 85000 , yielding a risk-reward ratio up to 1:3 overall. Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with rising volume, leveraging Bitcoin's resilience post-correction.🌟 Fundamentally , Bitcoin is consolidating around $89,000 in late November 2025 after a sharp retreat from its all-time high of $126,000, driven by fading momentum and institutional caution amid a 15%(from top) October decline contrary to historical patterns. Despite dipping below $85,000 recently (trough at ~$80,553), fundamentals remain strong with institutional investors holding steady, reduced Fed rate cut expectations supporting USD strength, and long-term forecasts eyeing upside to $240,000 driven by macro asset behavior and cycle highs. Bitcoin correlates with the S&P 500 , and recently we've seen growth in the S&P 500. 💡 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Long): 87,500 – 88,500 (Entry at current levels with proper risk management is also valid) 🎯 Targets: • 95,000 (first) • 98,500 (second) ❌ Stop Loss: • 4H close below 85,000 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • Up to 1:3 on full run 👇 Share your thoughts below! 👇
Long
by Master_Hunter
13