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Bitcoin: Extreme support 91k! Big pump soon (easy, watch this)Bitcoin is in a critical situation because the price broke the falling wedge, and instead of a bullish breakout, we see a bearish breakdown! I expected this price action, please look at my previous posts. The falling wedge in general is a bullish pattern, but in bear markets they are bearish patterns. But soon Bitcoin will hit a key support level, and this is great hopium for the bulls! The key support level is 91k! Why? We have a very strong confluence to buy Bitcoin here, at least for a short-term bounce. First of all, there is an unfilled CME futures GAP on the daily chart. Second, there is an unfilled FVG (Fair Value Gap) between 91660 and 85320 on Binance. The next is the Fibonacci 0.618 FIB level on the LOG scale. This fibo is exactly at 91122. What is the plan? Now you know that there is very strong support at 91k, and that's a good upcoming trade! What you want to do is to put your limit order here and wait for the price to come to you and then take profit a little bit higher! Where to take profit? Don't forget to follow my TradingView account because I will inform you about a good level to sell/short BTC. What to do now? I would wait for Bitcoin to come to 91k, then I expect a bounce to higher levels! I think we will see a pretty nice pump in November/December, but be patient and wait for 91k. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Short
by Xanrox
164
Support and resistance key guide (Volume, Trendlines, FVG, MA)Support and resistance key guide (Volume, Trendlines, FVG, MA) 1️⃣ Importance of Support and Resistance in Highly Volatile Crypto Markets The cryptocurrency market operates 24/7/365, exhibiting far greater volatility than traditional financial markets. This volatility presents substantial profit opportunities, but it also triggers intense fear and greed among investors, creating significant psychological stress. Support and resistance serve as key milestones in this chaos, signaling zones where price reactions are likely. Beyond mere technical analysis, they reflect the collective psychology of countless traders. Understanding them is essential for success in crypto trading. 2️⃣ The Nature of Support and Resistance and Their Psychological Basis Support and resistance occur where buying and selling pressures strongly collide, slowing or halting price movement. Support: At this level, buyers see the asset as "cheap enough!" and stand ready, forming a psychological and physical barrier against further decline. Additionally, traders previously trapped in losing positions may sell at breakeven, adding resistance against further drops. Resistance: At this level, sellers perceive the asset as "expensive enough!" and offload positions, while traders previously trapped at highs may sell with a "better late than never" mindset, limiting upward movement. ※ Meaning of Support/Resistance Breakouts and “Fakeouts”: When a support level is breached, existing buyers may panic and trigger stop-loss selling. Conversely, breaking resistance may prompt buyers to enter, accelerating the trend. However, some breakouts can be “fakeouts,” designed to exploit trader psychology. Premature chasing of such moves should be avoided. 3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Pattern Analysis 📈 Trendlines and Consolidation Zones: The Psychology Behind Market Order Trendlines: Trendlines visually represent the shared expectation among traders that price will move in a certain direction. Touching an upward trendline triggers “buy at a bargain” psychology, while touching a downward trendline triggers “it can’t go higher” sentiment. Consolidation Zones (Boxes): These are zones where buying and selling pressures balance each other. Traders plan trades around these zones, dominated by the “waiting for breakout” psychology to capture significant moves. 📈 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Market Inefficiency and Smart Money Footprints FVGs occur when the market moves too rapidly through a price range, leaving a “price gap.” They often reflect sudden activity by smart money (institutions, whales). Gap Filling: Markets instinctively avoid leaving incomplete states (FVGs) unaddressed. When price re-enters an FVG zone, the players who drove the prior rapid move may close or re-enter positions, forming support/resistance. Beginners can treat FVGs as smart money footprints and follow their activity strategically. 📈 Moving Averages (MA): Collective Psychology and Trend Direction Moving averages reflect the average price perceived by the market over a period. Being widely monitored, they act as psychological support/resistance levels. Short-term MA (e.g., 50MA): Reflects short-term trader sentiment. Price below it can trigger “short-term trend broken?” anxiety, while above it fosters optimism. Long-term MA (e.g., 200MA): Represents long-term trader psychology and trend direction. Price below 200MA creates fear of a long-term downtrend, while above inspires hope of a sustained uptrend. When acting as support/resistance, MAs carry strong psychological consensus as a widely observed benchmark. 📈 POC (Point Of Control) Volume Profile: Market Consensus and the Power of Volume POC is the price level with the highest traded volume over a period. It indicates market agreement on price, with substantial volume concentrated there. Price below POC: POC becomes strong resistance. Buyers trapped in losing positions may sell at breakeven, and sellers actively resist upward moves. Price above POC: POC acts as strong support. Buyers believe “price won’t fall below this level,” and prior sellers may switch to buying. POC represents the market’s “expected price” and the zone where loss-aversion psychology is strongest. 📈 Fibonacci: Natural Order and Human Expectation Fibonacci retracements apply golden ratio mathematics to charts, reflecting the expectation that price will reverse at certain levels, forming support/resistance. These levels are not coincidental; many traders plan trades around them, causing real market reactions. Levels like 0.5 (50%) and 0.618 (61.8%) are psychologically significant, viewed by traders as buying or selling opportunities. Support/resistance forms through “herd psychology,” as many act in unison. 📈 CME Gap: Institutional Moves and Market Regression Instinct CME gaps occur in Bitcoin futures dominated by institutional investors. They happen when the spot market moves over weekends while futures are closed, and the market tends to “fill the gap.” Gap Filling: CME gaps represent periods without institutional activity, prompting the market to normalize these “abnormal” price zones. Traders anticipate “the gap will eventually be filled,” making these zones potential strong support/resistance, reflecting future-oriented market psychology. 4️⃣ Managing Trading Psychology Using Support and Resistance Even the best tools are ineffective without psychological discipline. Confirmation bias and stop-loss discipline: Ignoring losses due to selective perception leads to ruin. When support breaks, acknowledge your prediction was wrong and act decisively to exit. Overbought/oversold psychology and FOMO: Avoid chasing price surges out of fear of missing out (“everyone else is profiting, why not me?”). During crashes, resist panic selling at the bottom. Base trades on your rules derived from support and resistance. Partial trading for risk management: Avoid buying all at support or selling all at resistance at once. Splitting trades across multiple support/resistance levels provides psychological stability and reduces the impact of wrong predictions. 5️⃣ Comprehensive Strategy Formation and Practical Application Tips Multi-level Support/Resistance Confluence: Overlapping zones (e.g., Fibonacci 0.618 + 200MA + POC + FVG bottom) create very strong support/resistance. These reflect collective trader agreement and can be traded with higher confidence. Volume Analysis and Support/Resistance Strength: High volume at a zone confirms its significance. Reliable breakouts require strong volume, showing market participation and intent. Develop Your Own Trading Plan: Don’t blindly follow all patterns. Choose indicators and methods that suit you to establish personal trading rules. Adhering to these rules maintains psychological stability and long-term success. If you found this content helpful, please show your support with a Boost (🚀) and a comment (💬)! Your encouragement is a great motivation for us to create better analyses and content. You can also follow us to receive notifications about new posts.
Education
by BIGTAKER
36
Mastering RSI: A Complete Guide to Momentum🔵 Mastering RSI: A Complete Guide to Momentum, Regimes, Reversals & Professional Signals Difficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐳🐋 (Advanced) This article goes far beyond the basic idea of “RSI = overbought/oversold.” If you want to truly master RSI as a momentum gauge, trend filter, reversal tool, and structure confirmation model, this guide is for you. 🔵 WHY MOST TRADERS MISUSE RSI Most traders use RSI in the simplest way: RSI above 70 = sell RSI below 30 = buy This leads to shorting strong trends and catching falling knives. RSI is not a reversal button. RSI is a momentum translator. To master RSI, you must understand: Trend regimes Momentum pressure Acceleration and deceleration Failure swings Divergences Trend vs range behavior Multi-timeframe alignment Structure confirmation RSI shows the strength behind price, not just extremes. 🔵 1. RSI TREND REGIMES (CORE FOUNDATION) RSI moves in predictable zones depending on the type of market environment. Bullish RSI Regime RSI holds between 40 and 80 Pullbacks bottom around 40–50 Breaks above 60 show trend acceleration Bearish RSI Regime RSI holds between 20 and 60 Pullback tops form around 50–60 Breaks below 40 confirm bearish dominance These regimes tell you who controls the market before you even look at candles. 🔵 2. MOMENTUM PRESSURE (RSI AS A SPEEDOMETER) RSI measures the speed and pressure of price movement. Rising RSI with rising price = trend acceleration Falling RSI with rising price = momentum weakening Rising RSI with falling price = early strength Falling RSI with falling price = continuation pressure This is not divergence. It is momentum pressure, the earliest sign of trend shift. 🔵 3. FAILURE SWINGS (THE MOST RELIABLE RSI REVERSAL SIGNAL) Failure swings are powerful because they show internal momentum breaking before price reacts. Bullish Failure Swing RSI makes a low RSI rallies RSI dips again but stays above previous low RSI breaks the previous high Bearish Failure Swing RSI makes a high RSI pulls back RSI rallies but fails to break the previous high RSI breaks the previous low Failure swings often appear at trend tops and bottoms before candles reveal anything. 🔵 4. DIVERGENCES (REGULAR AND HIDDEN) Regular Divergence: Reversal Clue Bullish: price lower low, RSI higher low Bearish: price higher high, RSI lower high Hidden Divergence: Trend Continuation Bullish hidden: price higher low, RSI lower low Bearish hidden: price lower high, RSI higher high Hidden divergence is more powerful than regular because it confirms trend continuation. 🔵 5. RANGE RSI VS TREND RSI RSI behaves very differently in ranges versus trends. Range Environment RSI oscillates between 30 and 70 Reversals at extremes have high accuracy RSI 50 is the equilibrium Trend Environment RSI stays above 50 in bullish trends RSI stays below 50 in bearish trends 30 and 70 extremes lose meaning Always identify environment first. RSI signals change depending on regime. 🔵 6. RSI AS A STRUCTURE FILTER RSI combined with structure improves trade selection dramatically. Price makes higher highs + RSI rising = healthy trend Price makes higher highs + RSI flat = weak breakout Price makes higher highs + RSI dropping = exhaustion Support retest + RSI 40–50 = strong continuation potential Most false breakouts are avoided simply by checking RSI pressure. 🔵 7. MULTI-TIMEFRAME RSI ALIGNMENT Use higher timeframe RSI to validate lower timeframe setups. HTF RSI bullish + LTF RSI pullback = high-quality entry HTF RSI bearish + LTF RSI bounce = premium short area HTF RSI crossing 50 = long-term regime shift This is one of the most powerful RSI confluences. 🔵 EXAMPLE TRADING FRAMEWORK Bullish Setup Checklist RSI in bullish regime (above 50) Pullback into 40–50 zone Hidden bullish divergence or failure swing Structure forms a higher low Bearish Setup Checklist RSI in bearish regime Rejection from 50–60 zone Hidden bearish divergence or failure swing Structure forms a lower high 🔵 COMMON RSI MISTAKES Trading RSI extremes without trend context Ignoring RSI regimes Entering on regular divergences in strong trends Not using RSI midline (50) as a regime filter Relying only on overbought/oversold signals 🔵 CONCLUSION RSI is one of the most powerful indicators when used correctly. It provides a complete framework for: Reading trend strength Tracking momentum pressure Identifying early reversals Trading continuation setups Filtering breakout strength Aligning multi-timeframe bias Master RSI, and you gain a clearer view of momentum than most traders ever experience. How do you use RSI? Do you prefer divergences, trend zones, or failure swings? Share your approach below!
Education
by BigBeluga
36
The Market is at 80°C. What Happens at 100°C?Greetings, everyone. Today, I don't want to talk about the news. I want to talk about what truly matters: market structure. Many traders are currently looking for a news event to explain the current lull and predict Bitcoin's next move. They are looking in the wrong direction. Remember this: the news is not the cause of a move. It's just a convenient explanation handed to you after the move has already happened. For me, the chart is primary. And right now, it's telling a story that most people are not going to like. The Global Picture: An Economy of Bubbles and Boiling Water We live in an era of bubbles. We had the dot-coms, the tulip mania, and now we are witnessing the AI bubble. Yes, AI is a game-changer, and I am actively integrating it into all my processes - it would be foolish to deny this trend. But that doesn't change the fact that the markets are overheated. The entire global economy right now feels like water heated to 80 degrees Celsius. It’s not boiling yet, but the boiling point is near. Something is about to happen, and the steam is getting ready to burst out. The Market's Pulse: Where the Crowd Goes Wrong And what about the crowd? The crowd isn't in Bitcoin anymore. They are trapped in altcoins, having resigned themselves to being "forever waiters." They are praying for an altseason, not realizing that the brief 20-30% pump we saw - that was the altseason. It has already become a meme. I see endless posts about liquidations on social media. The sentiment is desperate. Most have already lost their futures positions or will lose them soon. What reigns in the market right now isn't fear or greed, but rather a slow realization that the bear market never really left. The Main Setup on the Chart: A Classic Liquidity Trap Now for the most important part - what is happening on the Bitcoin chart? As you can see, we are sitting on a critical trendline support. Everyone sees it. Novices and retail traders see this as a clear "buy the dip" signal. And that is part of the game. A deliberate trap is being set: Consolidation : The price is being intentionally held near the support line to create an illusion of strength and to accumulate buyers' positions. Stacking Stop-Losses : Market makers know that the crowd places their stops just below this obvious line. Execution : Once enough liquidity has been built up, a sharp breakdown will occur. This will trigger a cascade of stop-loss liquidations, which will only accelerate the fall. I remain fully on the bearish side until we see a confident break of the all-time high. I view any bounce from the current levels as an opportunity for a better entry into a short position. What's Next? What is my advice to myself for the next 2-4 weeks? Wait. The market is preparing for a great cleansing. A wave of delistings of junk projects and meme coins - which serve no one but the exchanges that use them for hype - is coming. After this cleanse, there will be incredible opportunities to buy at very attractive prices. Now is the time for deep research into the projects you truly believe in. It's time to get your limit orders ready and wait for the market to come to your prices. Thank you for your attention. Regards, Your EXCAVO.
Short
by EXCAVO
38
Bitcoin Roadmap: Is This the Beginning of the Short-Term Rally?Today I want to share with you the Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) chart on the 15-minute time frame. This analysis is in line with the previous analysis (still valid) . These days, considering that Bitcoin is facing many parameters to analyze. One of the most important parameters is the SPX500 index ( SP:SPX ). I am long on the SPX500 index. Bitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($91,900-$88,400) and near the Support lines and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($91,131-$90,477) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory, it seems that Bitcoin completed wave 5 with an Expanding Ending Diagonal , and we can now expect the start of the bullish waves , at least in the short term . I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the Support zone($91,900-$88,400) and at least attack the Resistance lines . If the Resistance lines and the $95,700 level are broken with high momentum, we can expect further growth of Bitcoin. First Target: $93,921 Second Target: $95,273 Third Target: $97,477 Stop Loss(SL): $89,537 Points may shift as the market evolves Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $88,570-$87,227 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $94,500-$93,785 Where do you think Bitcoin’s correction will go? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
63
How to build a Healthy Trading MindsetMany traders underestimate how much psychology shapes their results. This guide outlines the foundations of a strong trading mindset that supports consistent and disciplined decision-making. 1. Understand That Emotional Discipline Is a Skill Trading naturally triggers emotions such as fear, frustration, greed, and impatience. These reactions are not weaknesses; they are human. What separates consistent traders from inconsistent ones is their ability to recognize emotions without acting on them. A resilient mindset comes from training, not talent. 2. Create Distance Between Yourself and Your Trades Do not tie your self-worth to the outcome of a single position. A loss does not mean you failed, and a win does not mean you are skilled. When traders begin to link identity to results, they make impulsive decisions. Use phrases like “this trade” instead of “my trade” to remove ownership bias. 3. Focus on Process, Not Profit Most traders sabotage themselves by obsessing over the end result. The market does not reward effort; it rewards alignment with probability. Instead of thinking “How much can I make?”, think “Did I execute according to my plan?” Your trading plan should define your entries, exits, risk, and market conditions. Follow it even when it feels uncomfortable. 4. Accept Uncertainty as Part of the Game No setup is guaranteed. Every trade, no matter how perfect, carries uncertainty. Accepting this prevents you from forcing control where none exists. When you fully accept uncertainty, you no longer fear it. 5. Build Consistency Through Routine A stable routine reduces mental noise. Examples include: • Reviewing your plan before each session • Limiting how many markets you monitor • Taking breaks after high-stress situations • Logging your trades with honest notes When your routine is consistent, your decisions become consistent. 6. Use Losses as Data, Not Drama A loss is not a personal attack from the market. It is information. Ask: “What does this loss teach me about my system or my mindset?” If you can extract value from losses, they become opportunities instead of obstacles. 7. Master Patience Most trading errors come from acting too soon, not too late. Patience means waiting for your setup without deviation. If you need to be in a trade at all times, it is no longer trading; it is compulsion. 8. Protect Your Mental Capital Mental capital is as important as financial capital. Overtrading, revenge trading, and excessive chart time drain your cognitive energy. Stop trading when you notice fatigue, frustration, or impulsiveness. A clear mind is an advantage. 9. Develop Long-Term Thinking Think in terms of series, not individual outcomes. A single win or loss means little. What matters is the overall direction of your equity curve. Professional traders think in months and years. Amateurs think in minutes. Conclusion A powerful trading mindset is built through consistency, self-awareness, and emotional control. By focusing on process and discipline rather than short-term results, you create a stable internal environment that supports longevity in the markets.
Education
by Louigi_24
41
The Prop Trader’s Guide: Win Challenges. Keep Funding. Scale upHey Traders, today we are going to look at the prop trading. It can be solution for traders who has tested and proven their strategies. In this article, we’ll break down the risk rules that keep traders funded, the habits that build consistency, and the mindset that separates steady growth from emotional gambling. If you can master this part of the game, the rest becomes much simpIer. 1️⃣ You must have your strategy well defined and proved on your capital. Prop firms are not solution to the poor financial situation. If you dont trade well and consistently on small capital, bigger capital is not solution. First you need to solve this and have strategy with good winning ration and risk reward. You can check my one. for inspiration I have described it in this post below. 👇 Click the picture to learn more 2️⃣ Understand that in prop firms you are not trading real capital. They just sold you a demo with strict rules and if you pass and earn, they will pay you from what they earned on others who lost challenges. Hence rules are set such that it's not easy to pass and keep the account - but it's not impossible if you adapt. 3️⃣ $100K capital is not $100K if your maximum drawdown is 10%. In the fact your account is 10K - the amount you can really risk. Hence making 10% to pass first phase with 10% max drawdown equals making 100% gain. And second phase 5% adds another 50%. So to get funded you literally need to make 150% not 15%. 📍 If we know that 90% of traders , loose 90% of capital in 90 days on the normal accounts. What will be statistics of prop firms ? Even worse. But you have a chance. if you have a good winning ratio. Which you achieve by filtering just to the best trade setups. I have made it multiple times and still Im funded in Crypto and Forex prop firms. Most important think it this game is risk management. But before I will explain my dynamic risk management for each phase and funded account I give you some tips from my experience. 🧩 Essential Rules for Prop Trading 🧪 1) Its not a straight forward game You must be ready to loose challenge and have money to buy another one. Don't expect get funded and keep the account forever. Unless you will risk 0,1% per trade. We want risk more, because you don't want spend passing challenge for a year. At some point you can loose account even with a good risk management. I lost over 30 challenges in different phases and funded accounts. My total investment was not small, but I withdrew multiple times more in 2025. 🧪 2) Reduce number of trades - Take only best trading setups I trade less on prop account than on my personal accounts. I take there only A+ setups the ones which are obvious and Im confident to taking them. In the fact I should trade like this on my personal ones also, but I trade more often.🤷‍♂️ Don't fall for a trap to trade every day every move up and down. Have your routines. For your inspiration you can check this article 👇 Click the picture to learn more 🧪 3) Grow prop capital not % gains If you would be hedge fund manager who deliver 3% a month consistently you would be considered as top star trader. However we as retail traders want more. Because we mostly don't have bilion dollars portfolio's. But if you work well in prop trading 3% Is life changing and its actually not difficult to achieve. ⁉️ How to achieve a 3% a month Is 3% gain a month difficult ? If you risking 0.5% per trade with 1:2 RR it actually means That you must win just 3 trades. Now look at your Trade journal, you definitely had 3 good wins in a month. Only thing you need to do is to eliminate those other unnecessary trades. $ 100K Funded account - 3% gain - 80% Profit split = $2400 payout How to make more ? Don't go for bigger % gains. Get another funded accounts and build your capital. If you pass another 4 x $100K challenges you will get $500K AUM capital. Then with your 3% gain and 80% profit split = $12 000 payout. Then you reinvest and you aim for $1000 000 funding to aim for $20K a month with making 3% a month. 🧪 4) Be patient and have a long term vision Don't expect this happen in month or two. Write down your plan how you will acquire and will work on your prop trader career. Getting funded $1000 000 is a work for at least a year. 🧪 5) Don't trade all challenges at the same time Yes you will be missing profits if you doing well, but if you loosing it will be affecting your portfolio completely. Take trades separately. I trade each pair on different props and Crypto also separately in the different prop firm. 🧪 6) Start with small $10K account to practice Trading is performance discipline, dont put yourself under the stress by buying $100K or $200K challenge on the beginnings. Start with $10K just to practice and trade within their rules. Once you pass these easily you are ready to go big. 🧩 Dynamic Risk management for the Prop trading When it comes to successfully passing Crypto prop challenges, an effective risk management strategy is crucial. Finding the right balance between risking too little and too much is key. Both extremes have their downsides; risking too little may result in prolonged evaluation phases while risking too much can lead to blowing through challenges quickly and struggling with the emotional aspects of trading. Therefore, you can employ a dynamic risk management approach that combines the strengths of both methods. The specific risk management protocols may vary within different phases of the funded account, typically consisting of two evaluation phases and the funding stage upon successful completion of both. 1️⃣ The 1st Challenge Phase: In this phase, where a 10% profit target is required for quick progress, you can adopt an aggressive risk management approach. With the following dynamic risk management Start with risking 0.5% per trade if your balance increases +1% increaser risk pert trade to 1% if your balance increases +3% increaser risk pert trade to 1.25% if your balance drops back to 0% reduce risk to 0.5% If your balance drops below 3% reduce risk per trade to 0.25% If your balance drops below 5% increase risk to 1% You might wonder why the risk per trade increases to 1% even when the drawdown exceeds 5%. This is to minimize time opportunity costs. Rather than slowly trading out of drawdown, you can prefer to increase risk and attempt to either break even quickly or accept the possibility of losing the challenge. If you can not afford to lose a challenge, sticking to lower risk like 0.25% per setup until the account returns to break even might be a better option. 2️⃣ The 2nd Evaluation Phase – Verification Once phase 1 is completed, and a lower profit target is required, a less aggressive risk management approach is employed:https://www.tradingview.com/x/Lrf4f1XO/ Aim to keep our time-based opportunity costs relatively low in the 2nd evaluation phase. Losing the 2nd phase account would mean having to repeat the 1st phase, which is why we adopt a more cautious approach and strive to minimize potential drawdown. Risk is only increased when we have a cushion of at least +2%. If the drawdown falls below -2%, we maintain a risk of a quarter percent until the drawdown is fully recovered and back above the -2% threshold. This approach is designed to create a balance between preserving capital and meeting the objectives of the 2nd evaluation phase. 🎯 The Funded Account: In the funded account, where both phases have been passed, preserving the account becomes the top priority, followed by receiving the first pay-out and refund of the signup fee. Funded accounts should be approached conservatively, and the risk management protocol is adjusted as follows:https://www.tradingview.com/x/QncyMGOz/ Lowering the risk per setup as the drawdown increases serves as a protective measure to prevent breaching the maximum drawdown rule. This approach may result in a longer process of trading out of drawdown, but it is a more favorable alternative to losing the account Completely. As mentioned, your goal should be build longterm big capital and diversify between prop firms. For instance, you might allocate one account for swing trades and another for day trades. This diversification is just one example; there are various possibilities to explore. 👉 Prop Firms Selection Opening a prop firm is easy, you just need couple thousands and you buy complete setup with platform and system. Then you start selling demo accounts. Hence there is thousands of prop-firms these days. You want to go just with the serious ones. Which means not the easiest conditions and not the cheapest challenges. But these will most likely last longer. ‼️ Avoid Prop firm which has: - Cheap challenges or massive discounts - Easy conditions to pass challenges - Trailing Drawdown rules - Too big profits splits - Too many consistency rules - Restrictions trading news - Too many bad reviews (they will most like have more good reviews than bad - its Fake) - If you Trade Crypto look for prop firm on Crypto exchange. Not in CFD broker. Trading is not easy and prop firms makes it even more difficult, but its not impossible. Expect failures and frustration on your journey. You can handle it, you will handle everything, you will always find solution. Keep going re-invest profits and build portfolio. Main goal is to build personal account from their money without their rules. Good luck David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
Education
by David_Perk
33
BITCOIN → 100K broken. Consolidation in the short zone...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P broke through the 100K support level and is consolidating within the local range of 94,150 - 97,280. The decline may continue if the market does not receive support (news or other bullish drivers). Bitcoin is consolidating below the upward trend line of support and below 100K. The price has entered a zone of panic and sell-off. Before the fall, a “liquidity hunt” is possible - a retest of 97300 - 98900. The price is coming out of consolidation downwards, the bulls were unable to hold the 100K zone. The lack of a bullish driver and the negative fundamental background are doing their job... Resistance levels: 97280, 98900, 100700 Support levels: 94150, 91900 Before further decline, the market may test the previously broken support zone relative to the upward lower trend line. Focus on the 97280 - 98990 zone. A false breakout and lack of bullish momentum could form a reversal pattern and trigger a decline to 94150 - 91900. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
48
Bitcoin - Relief rally is imminent!Introduction Bitcoin (BTC) has shown strong downward pressure over the past several days, yet it is beginning to display early signs of stabilization within key higher-timeframe fair value gap zones. Even though the current market structure remains bearish, several technical elements are aligning that suggest the potential for a relief rally. With multiple patterns and liquidity levels converging, the market may be preparing for a temporary upside correction before determining its next major direction. Weekly FVG On the weekly timeframe, BTC recently tapped into the weekly fair value gap and filled roughly fifty percent of this imbalance. This partial fill often indicates that the market is collecting liquidity before initiating a larger move. As a result, this weekly FVG acts as a strong demand zone where buyers tend to become active again, offering an area where price often stabilizes, even if only temporarily. The reaction here suggests that BTC may be forming a short-term base. Daily FVG On the daily timeframe, another fair value gap is present, and it aligns almost perfectly with the weekly zone. Above current price action lies a clear descending trendline, which is likely to act as resistance on any upward push. The combination of the daily FVG and the downward trendline creates a technically significant decision point. If BTC reaches this area, it may face renewed selling pressure, making this zone crucial for determining whether the market can extend higher or whether the downtrend will reassert itself. 4H Timeframe On the 4-hour chart, BTC has formed a falling wedge, a pattern that is typically considered bullish. Initially, price broke downward out of the wedge, which seemed like a continuation of weakness. However, BTC quickly moved back into the structure, signaling a fake-out. This type of movement often occurs when liquidity is collected beneath the pattern before a reversal begins. The return into the wedge strengthens the case for a short-term upward correction, suggesting that buyers may be gaining traction. Relief Rally The first zone to watch lies just above the current price level, where a 4-hour bearish FVG overlaps with the descending trendline. This confluence is likely to act as immediate resistance, making an initial rejection from this level highly plausible. After a potential rejection, price may revisit the bullish 4-hour FVG below, where buyers are expected to step in again. From this supportive zone, BTC could attempt to break through the descending trendline and continue higher toward the upper 4-hour bearish FVG around the 98,000-dollar region. This serves as a logical target for a relief rally, should momentum continue to build. Conclusion BTC is currently positioned within an important higher-timeframe demand zone, strengthened by the overlap of both the weekly and daily FVGs. Although the broader market structure remains bearish, the fake-out within the falling wedge on the 4-hour chart signals that a relief rally may be developing. The immediate resistance above price will provide the first major test. If Bitcoin finds renewed momentum from the bullish 4-hour FVG and successfully breaks the descending trendline, an upward move toward 98,000 dollars becomes increasingly realistic. For now, BTC appears to be setting the stage for a corrective bounce, with key levels offering clear guidance on how this scenario could unfold.
Long
by Youriverse
37
Bitcoin - Approaching the Make or Break ZoneBitcoin continues to bleed lower after multiple liquidity sweeps, and the decline is beginning to compress into a more controlled down move. The chart shows a clear shift in sentiment after the all time high sweep, then another daily sweep that helped close both the daily and 4H imbalance. Since losing the mid range zone and treating it as resistance, the market has been trending toward the next major area of interest. Consolidation Structure The structure is currently defined by a clean series of lower highs combined with sharp impulsive down legs. These moves are driven by liquidity grabs followed by displacement, which fits the narrative of a market hunting demand. The previously supportive gray zone has now flipped into resistance, confirming that the current trend remains heavy until a deeper demand zone is reached. Key Support Zone and Expectations The most important area beneath price sits around the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand range, which is the closest meaningful support left on the higher time frame. This zone has been untested since the last major accumulation phase, and as long as price reaches it with a clean move, the reaction can form the base for a bullish leg. If this zone fails to hold, the next meaningful support sits deeper, and the downside extension could accelerate before any recovery starts. Bullish Scenario If Bitcoin reaches the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand range and prints a clear rejection with displacement back upward, the market can set the foundation for a strong bullish bounce. Ideally, we see a final liquidity sweep beneath that range, followed by a sharp market structure shift on the lower time frames. That would open the door for a sustained recovery toward the mid range inefficiencies left behind during the selloff. Bearish Scenario If the key zone does not hold, the current support gives way and the market moves into a much deeper discount. That would shift the bias toward continuation lower, targeting untouched liquidity pools further down. In this scenario, any attempt to bounce would likely be corrective rather than the start of a true reversal. Conclusion I expect Bitcoin to deliver a meaningful bullish bounce once the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand zone is tapped, as long as the level holds cleanly. If it fails, the decline continues into a deeper support, but the higher time frame idea remains that the next strong reaction will come from that region. Until then, patience is key while the market completes the move into higher time frame demand. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
48
Understanding Risk Management in TradingWelcome everyone back to Trading view article by King_BennyBag. In today’s post we will discuss how one can understand risk management in trading, and action it. We will start off by defining what risk management is. Risk management definition: Risk management is the process of identifying your current capital and assessing what you can afford to invest and lose. Never to see again. It involves identifying risks, assuming risks and ensuring you have a planned response for before, during and after a trade. CAPITAL IN RISK MANAGEMENT: In the past, I have stated that the goal of trading is to “PROTECT” your capital first. Once you know how to protect it, you can then multiply it and risk bit by bit. To take on proper risk management, you must decide what amount you will allocate to your investments or trades. For example – you risk only 1% of your capital on every trade. INVEST WHAT YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE: You should only do trading with the funds that you can AFFORD to lose, even then you must be cautious and apply the process above to the same capital. Doing this eliminates the emotional pressure factor and avoids decisions that are driven by Fear of Missing Out. (FOMO) Before Trading, set a clear number on what you can lose (NEVER to see again) without it affecting your life. IDENTIFYING RISKS: Relating to my previous posts, you must have a defined trading plan/edge. This plan must allow you to identify market volatility, news events, psychological mistakes, or technical invalidation points. These are risks that must be identified BEFORE trading. Knowing these will allow you to apply the right position size correctly. ASSUMING RISKS: When it comes to assuming risks, (most people don’t factor this in) it means to accept the potential scenario of you losing, before the trade is actioned. Your stop loss (always use a stoploss!) must be defined in a way that will not get yourself liquidated. You must calculate the right position size and learn to accept the outcome of the trade, and the mental effects it has on you. Doing this, the trades & the process becomes mechanical. No longer would it be emotional. If the loss is too big and you take it anyway. You should not be taking that trade as it will encourage revenge trading. PLANNING RESPONSES BEFORE, DURING and AFTER RISKS: With trading & risk management, you must have a pre-defined response for before, during and after trades. Your risks must be set. Before the trade, you should have an entry, SL & TP set. Along with an invalidation level (if price hits a specific point, you DON’T take the trade) and a maximum risk, eg “I’ll risk max $5,000 on this trade” During the trade, you must stick to the plan, don’t adjust your SL, or TP if it’s not part of your strategy. After the trade, if you win, or lose, find out why. Was it a valid trade, did it follow your edge? Or did you take a blind gamble. If you lose, figure out why, if you won, figure out how you could have scaled it upwards. Applying these 3 factors allows the cycle of discipline to develop and grow. It then removes randomized decision making. Risk management is a crucial Key in trading. Without it – you have already lost. I have attached the 3 KEYS to trading success below. Here I go in depth on what an individual must master to be successful in trading.
by King_BennyBag
53
Trading Success Starts With How You Live, Not How Much You TradeHey whats up guys, today I wanna share trading routines which has helped me to bet back my life and saved me from the false trap and from possible disaster. Trading is reflection of our life. Literally how you live, will reflect in your trading results. When I was starting I had a 9 - 5 job and learning trading as a hobby. I was in shape, doing the gym 4 times a week, running, swimming in the sea every day, Kitesurfing, Eating healthy, reading self development books. I was in perfect position to simply acquire another skill. But, after some time as most of us, I wanted to get into full time trading. I thought that having more time for trading and working harder than everyone else will mean more money. Which could allow me to being my own boss and live the life in my terms and have some unnecessary material things in my live. So I did exactly that, I went full time (with only $10K ) and started to literally live behind the charts for 14 hours a day. Trying to catch every move up and down and with 28 FX pairs on my watchlist. All of that without any structure or fixed schedule. Plan was just to trade. This is will kill you 👇 Here is what has happened - I slowly socially disconnected from friends - I was visiting the gym less often, because I didn't want to miss anything on markets - When I woke up, I immediately sit to the charts - Some days I forgot to drink water and eat - Instead of eating healthy, fast food delivery became the choice - I was even eating by the PC and still switching between the pairs - Sometimes I didn't leave the flat for few days - My sleep was ruined. I went from regular 8 hours to 5 hours - I stopped reading books - I gained almost 10kg and my physique was overall bad - Developed back pain from sitting and shoulder pain from mouse Did I made more money ? In the end I made pretty much same as when I was trading part time. Only instead of having a few good winning trades in a week. I had 100 trades a month but was totally exhausted and my health was completely destroyed. overall result was similar in terms of %. But the cost I payed with my health , time and stress didn't worth What has happened later is unbelievable story and I will share it the one of the next planned posts. Follow me if you don't want to miss them. I speak from own experiences. And yeah I made every possible mistake. 📍 One year later I realized: - Life out of the charts is most important - Trading is a tool for our desired freedom and life, not a goal - Without strong body, health and good sleep you will not trade well - Discipline in the trading starts in the disciplined life - More time spent on charts and more traders doesn't equal more profits - 10K for full time trading is not enough Trading is lifestyle - Build your life around it Being disciplined is easier when you run on autopilot. Routine beats discipline. You have to create habits which repeats on the daily basis. So you eliminate hesitations of what to do next and just focus just on executing your daily schedule. And mainly not multitasking and focusing on one thing you planed to do at specific time. 🧪 This is my current weekly schedule These are activities and times which keeps my balance between work / life and Digital worlds. It keeps me Fit, Mentally strong, Continuously improving myself and not being overtrained or burned out from any of these. 📝 Weekly Preparation - Sundays (2 Hours) Every successful week and trading week starts with planing in advance. Hence every Sunday I spent 2 with planing. 1 Hour charts, checking news calendar, COT data etc...I do HTF top down analysis and mark out Monthly, Weekly, Daily levels. At this stage Im not looking for a trades, just updating the charts. I trade 4 FX pairs, 4 crypto. I don't spend more than 8 minutes with each chat. Goal is to project highest probability and direction of the next weekly candle. I got this tabs in my journal with the plan for each pair Second hour I plan my business tasks and family stuff for the week. Everything is planed so I do not have to overthink when Im going to sleep. 💤 Sleep time 21:30 (7 Hours) Every successful day start with good sleep. Make sure you have down window from your business & charts. Put your brain to calm mode and mainly put your phone away at least 1,5 hour before you go sleep to avoid blue light. Always go sleep at the same time. You should aim for 8 hours. I sleep just 7 but it's enough for me. 🧘‍♂️ Meditation(20 minutes) Waking up at 4:30 (without alarm). Quickly check my daily plan and immediately start with meditation. I project and visualize my day. It sets my intentions and I start the day strongly. Never touch your phone as first thing on the morning. Short content and news are programed to distract you. Try meditate and visualize your plan. You will see difference in a focus. When you meditate thoughts will be coming, just try to come back to present moment. You will become better and better when you practice this improve your focus and sleep. 🚶‍♂️‍➡️ Morning Walk(1 Hour) Once I finish meditation and hygiene. Before the breakfast. Im going out for the 1 hour walk. Yes before the breakfast. Because if you are walking fasted your body takes energy from fats. So it's kind of fat burning walk. On a work out field I do a bit calisthenic few pull ups, pushups , squats, dips etc and a bit of stretching. I don't take Phone and No music, Nothing. Just me conscious absorbing waves of nature. It's also kind of meditation and again improving my focus. ✍️ Book / Notes(45 minutes) When I come back home. I make breakfast it's mostly eggs or oats with protein and I read books and manually take some notes of what I found interesting. 📈 4x Backtests (30 minutes) Backtesting is not optional and it's not only for developing and testing a new strategy. It's training for traders same as training for UFC fighters. There is no point when you should stop your training even when you are profitable. But I don't want to spend 2 hours on the weekend backtesting. So I do 4 backtested hindsight trades in day. It takes less than 30 minutes and Im building my library of trade examples and mainly my Risk reward and Win ration statistical data which keeps me confident on what Im doing. And practicing market context 🇬🇧 London Session (2 Hours) This is my main trading time. I update the charts every day and look for the setups. Im swing trader so it doesn't mean Im actively entering and exiting many positions. It's a time when Im fully focus on trading and price action. I don't go below M15 TF. But it doesn't mean that I have opened another Tabs or multitask with other things. Full focus just to charts. I simply follow my mechanical strategy . Click the picture bellow to learn more 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT.P/PkQJvVm4-Complete-system-for-Day-Swing-Traders/ My setups occurs often on Tuesdays , Wednesdays, Thursdays. I often skip trading on Mondays and not opening new trades on Fridays. Friday NY session Im not even by PC. 💪 GYM / SAUNA (80 min) Every weekday after London Session I take a break form the PC and I leave the house to the Gym. Focusing on strength and mobility training a bit cardio also. Im not trading every day as in my 40s recovery is not so fast as it was in my 20s. So every second day I do Sauna which has many health benefits. 🫁 Breath-work (15 min) before the NY session. Im doing a Breath-work. You can find these guided breath works on the YouTube. Perfect training for your parasympathetic system it switches you from reactive to a strategic thinking. It's basically a small ritual that empower you and again increase your focus. 🇺🇸 New York Session I always have charts updated from the London and got set alarms n the price levels. So just some final updates and being focused on price action. If I have trades from the London. Im looking to other pairs, but I never want to have trades on more than 4 instruments at the time. So NY session is kind optional for me, sometimes Im not even by PC and as I got Tradingview notifications if the levels are hit. I execute from the phone, while Im outside with the family or friends or doing some other activities. I don't trade NY session at Fridays. 💊 Social Media (30 min) You might thinking why I have social media in my plan. Well at 5PM when Im done with trading and business It's the first time I go to check social media for some time. I scroll a bit to feed my dopamine, look what new on X etc... and thats it. Social media are big distraction and checking them multiple times a day is bad. Hence I got plan for them for 30 minutes a day and thats it. All notifications are turned off and I don't let myself bother and interrupt during the day. ✍️ Journaling / Daily Planing (30 min) Every day at 7:30 PM. I do journal with pen and paper. Writing down what Im grateful for , what I have achieved, where I can improve and planing next day. Since Im done with this. I don't think about a business and charts anymore. It used to be difficult when you have running positions, but I got stop loss and risk under control . I know how much I can loose if Im wrong. So no need to check anything anymore. I can live present evening with family. 🧩 Weekly Review (2 Hours) I mostly stop trading at Fridays London session. Then gym and massage and thats when my weekend starts. But on the Saturdays early mornings before my family wakes up. I do My Weekly review. Going thru my trades and charts and comparing it with the plan. Doing the self reflections, noticing what I did right so I can repeat it next time but also what I did wrong and trying to find where I can improve. I also review my week from personal development side and checking if Im still on the right path with my longterm goals. ⁉️ This is questions Im asking myself when going thru past trades. - Was there a type of trade that did/didn’t work well? - Was there a particular market that I did/didn’t trade well? - Was there a particular day/time that I did/didn’t trade well? - Did I enter trades too soon? - Did I enter trades too late? - Did I take profits too soon? - Did I take profits too late? - Did I put my stops loss too tight? - Did I use an unnecessarily big stop loss? - Did I take take any trades with poor Risk:Reward ratio? - Did I risk too much? - Did I risk too little? - Did I deviate from my trading model? - Did I deviate from my plan? Since I live balanced life for past few years not only that my trading has exponentially improved but Im also more healthy , less stressed and overall happy and enjoy the life. ‼️Note : Life happens and not every time it goes as you plan. There will be things, people or situations which will take you away from your journey. If that happens come back to schedulle as soon as possible. Learn to say No, without explaining yourself. Prioritize your time and goals. If it's not within your long term journey say NO. No-one except your kids or family and your health is more important than your mission. Adapt, useful , reject useless and add something specifically your own - Bruce Lee David Perk and Dave FX Hunter
Education
by David_Perk
39
Bitcoin – A Gentle Slide Into A Strong ReactionBitcoin continues to trade inside a clean falling channel, moving lower in a controlled manner as it approaches a major support zone. The overall flow remains bearish in the short term, however the structure suggests we are nearing an area where a short term bullish reaction becomes highly probable. Momentum remains soft, but the market is clearly hunting liquidity beneath the channel, which aligns with the expectation of one more drive lower before a meaningful bounce forms. Channel Structure And Liquidity Behavior The descending channel is guiding price efficiently, with every lower high respecting the upper boundary and confirming that sellers are still in control for now. This controlled descent usually signals that the market is preparing for a sweep of the lows rather than a sudden break. As price presses toward the channel’s lower boundary and the highlighted support zone, liquidity becomes the focus. A sweep beneath the most recent lows is the type of inducement that often precedes a strong reversal. Support Zone Reaction Expectations The green support zone marked on the chart remains the key area of interest. It aligns with previous accumulation behaviour and prior reactive turning points, giving it weight as a zone where traders expect a bounce. Once price pierces into that zone, the probability of a short term bullish response is high. The ideal reaction would be a sharp rejection from the lows, followed by a move back into the body of the channel and a gradual push upward as the market begins absorbing sell orders. Retest And First Resistance Layer If the support holds and price bounces, the first significant obstacle will be the red resistance zone above. This area represents the first real test of whether buyers have the strength to absorb supply. A clean move into that zone, followed by a higher low, would confirm the shift in momentum and support the idea of a short term bullish continuation. Failure at this level would simply keep Bitcoin inside the same corrective structure. Short Term Bullish Scenario The most probable bullish path is simple: a liquidity sweep into the support zone, a strong rejection, a move back toward mid channel levels, and then a steady climb into the first resistance area. The market does not need to break any major structure immediately. A clean reaction from support is enough to anchor a short term bullish leg, even if the larger trend is still corrective. Conclusion Bitcoin is approaching the point where a short term bullish bounce becomes increasingly likely. The falling channel, the upcoming liquidity sweep, and the depth of the support zone all point to a reaction that should materialize soon. Patience remains important, as the bounce is expected only after the market completes its liquidity objective in the support area. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
41
Bitcoin last chance before the market bull season endThe market is at a critical technical juncture. A decisive breakdown and sustained close below the $90,000 support zone would signal a confirmed shift into a sustained bearish cycle. In such a scenario, the next significant structural support is projected near the $60,000 level, representing a potential depreciation of over 30% from current levels. Conversely, this level also presents a pivotal opportunity for the bulls to defend the market structure. A strong rejection and consolidation above $90,000, forming a robust base, would be the first step towards stabilization. Following this, a recovery and sustained break above $110,000 would be required to invalidate the bearish outlook and signal the probable start of a new bull phase. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Long
by MMBTtrader
29
Technical analysis of bitcoin key levels and wedge chart pattern1. Trend Structure The descending trendline (Resistance line) at the top of the chart remains valid. The price has repeatedly faced rejection at this level, indicating that the medium-term downtrend is still intact. 2. Key Price Levels and Indicators 50-week EMA The price has recently recorded its third downward break below the 50-week EMA. From a traditional technical perspective, this is viewed as a signal that strengthens the possibility of a medium- to long-term bearish shift. POC (Point of Control) The mid-range POC is acting as a strong supply zone, and recent rebound attempts have also failed to break above this level decisively. 3. Liquidity Zones Two major liquidity zones are marked in the upper and mid sections of the chart. Liquidity zone near 112k (upper zone) A cluster of large liquidity pockets and liquidation points If a short-term rebound occurs, this is the first upside target likely to be tested Liquidity zone near 102k (mid zone) Overlaps with the 4h FVG, making it a level closely watched by both buyers and sellers 4. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Multiple FVGs are present on the 4-hour timeframe, with some already filled. Unfilled FVGs have a high probability of being revisited as the market corrects in the future. 5. CME Gap All weekday CME gaps have already been filled and may act as short-term resistance. A weekend gap forms when Monday’s CME opening price starts above 95.4K. 6. Current Market Structure Interpretation The price is currently attempting a rebound from the lower boundary of the downtrend. However, several resistance layers overlap—POC, FVG zones, and trendline resistance—raising the likelihood of heavy selling pressure on any upward move. In the short term, volatility consolidation is expected within the 96k–100k range. 7. Potential Formation of a Lower Wedge Pattern The price has broken below the lower boundary of the wedge pattern, accompanied by rising volume. A short-term rebound is likely, and if the price re-enters the wedge, further upside momentum may follow. If the lower trendline is not reclaimed, the structure may shift into a range after a retest. 8. USDT.D Chart Analysis The price has once again touched the upper boundary of a downtrend line that has persisted for over a year. Downward pressure on the USDT dominance chart suggests potential upward momentum for Bitcoin. Technically, this zone offers conditions supportive of a short-term rebound. 9. Summary The medium-term trend remains bearish, with the ongoing breakdown below the 50-week EMA reinforcing a sustained bearish outlook. A short-term bottoming attempt is visible, but dense supply overhead limits the strength of any rebound. FVGs, POC, and liquidity zones overlap near the current price region, increasing the probability of heightened volatility. If you found this content helpful, feel free to support with a boost (🚀) and a comment (💬). Your encouragement helps drive better analysis and more valuable content. Follow the page to receive notifications (🔔) for future posts.
by BIGTAKER
30
Liquidity Basics: Equal Highs/Lows, Inefficiencies & POIsPrice doesn’t move randomly, it is always attracted towards liquidity. Every wick, breakout, and fake-out tells a story of orders being filled. If you can read where those orders are hiding, you stop trading noise and start trading intention. Equal Highs & Lows — The Obvious Targets Retail traders love to mark equal highs and lows as “strong support/resistance.” Smart money sees them as fuel. Above equal highs = cluster of buy stops. Below equal lows = cluster of sell stops. When price reaches them, it’s a collection of accumulated liquidity as a main driver behind that move. Inefficiencies — Fair Value Gaps Also known as Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or imbalances, these occur when price moves too quickly, leaving unfilled orders behind. Price often revisits these zones later to rebalance. Spot them between large candles with no overlap, they often mark where institutions filled partial orders. Points of Interest (POIs) POIs are areas where liquidity and inefficiency converge , the zones of intent. Look for: Liquidity sweep of equal highs/lows Return to imbalance or order block Shift in market structure That’s where high-probability setups occur. Note: Stop chasing every candle. Start mapping why price moves. Equal highs and inefficiencies are magnets, with proper plan and confluence this can represent your strong side of trading.
Education
by HyroTrader
14
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) – Short-Term Bearish StructureHi! The chart shows BTC moving inside a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows confirming a controlled downtrend. Recent price action attempted to push back into the QML (Quasimodo Level) area, but the reaction there shows clear rejection, suggesting supply remains in control. Price is now falling toward the lower boundary of the channel, where a short-term bounce is possible. However, unless BTC breaks above the QML zone and the descending trendline, the broader expectation remains bearish. The projected path suggests: A drop into the channel low, A corrective pullback, And then a continuation lower toward the next major support zone around 89,700 – 89,800. Overall, momentum and structure both support a bearish continuation unless buyers manage to reclaim the supply zone above.
Short
by melikatrader94
15
Bitcoin Roadmap: Major Support Ahead — Bounce or Breakdown?As expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has dropped to $93,040(Target done) . The question now is whether Bitcoin will continue its downward trend or not. Currently, Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($93,200-$87,340) and key Support lines . From the perspective of Elliott Wave Theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing Wave 5 , with the Wave 3 being extended . I expect Bitcoin to start rising again by entering the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($92,869-$91,763) and possibly from the lower line of the descending channel. There is a possibility of a fake breakout , but be careful of the momentum of the decline. First Target: $95,297(near the upper line of descending channel) Second Target: $96,831 Stop Loss(SL): $90,727 Points may shift as the market evolves Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $98,338-$96,913 CME Gap: $92,525-$91,415 Note: Since Bitcoin has had a high correlation with the S&P 500( SP:SPX ) recently, and if the S&P 500 continues to decline, we can expect Bitcoin to follow suit. Another important note is that rising tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela could also impact the crypto market, so we should keep that in mind. Where do you think Bitcoin’s correction will go? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
34
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on BITCOIN? Bitcoin has dropped into the marked support zone, where a bullish reaction is likely in the short term. From this area, price may attempt a move back toward the descending trendline. The key focus will be on how price reacts once it reaches the trendline and the overhead resistance zone. A confirmed breakout above this resistance could trigger further upside momentum toward higher levels. Until this breakout occurs, any upward movement will simply be considered a correction. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
by HAMED_AZ
12
Saylor’s Master Plan at Risk? MSCI Drops the HammerMSCI May Exclude Crypto-Heavy Companies: What It Means for MicroStrategy and the Market MSCI recently published a proposal that could dramatically reshape how global indices treat companies with large crypto exposure. According to the framework, companies holding more than 50% of their market capitalization in digital assets may be excluded from national and international indices. This sounds technical - but the consequences are huge. What This Means in Practice If the rule is implemented, companies like MicroStrategy, Bitfarms, Marathon, Hut8, Coinbase, or any firm holding a large percentage of crypto on their balance sheet, may: be excluded from major indices, lose exposure to institutional investors, be off-limits for pension funds, insurers and conservative hedge funds, face reduced liquidity and forced selling. This is not a small development. This is a structural shift. 🧩 Why MicroStrategy Is the Most Exposed MicroStrategy’s business model has been extremely straightforward: issue new shares raise debt (including convertible notes) use the proceeds to buy Bitcoin rising BTC → rising MSTR rising MSTR → more borrowing capacity A perpetual loop. But if MSTR gets excluded from key indices, the loop breaks: passive funds must sell institutional investors face compliance risk liquidity dries up volatility increases borrowing costs rise And remember: MicroStrategy currently trades below the fair value of its Bitcoin holdings. A forced outflow amplifies the structural imbalance. ⚠️ Why Institutions Bought MicroStrategy Instead of Bitcoin Many funds legally cannot buy Bitcoin. They also cannot buy high-risk crypto exchange stocks like Coinbase. But they can buy: reputable corporate debt convertible notes equity from a listed U.S. corporation Michael Saylor gave them a regulatory loophole: “Want Bitcoin exposure? Buy my convertible debt. If BTC rises, convert the notes into shares.” This workaround is now cracking. Convertible Debt Holders Are in a Tough Spot If MSTR is excluded from indices: index funds sell → share price drops falling price → convertible notes lose value institutions holding the debt face losses the balance sheet risk increases This is why regulatory decisions matter so much. Insider Selling: VP of Bitcoin at MicroStrategy Sells ~$19.7M Worth of Stock The timing is… interesting. Started selling on September 18 Sold options-based shares in multiple lots Continued selling until November 14 Total realized profit: ~$19.69M Selling into regulatory uncertainty is not random behavior. It’s a signal. Key Takeaways 1. MSCI’s proposal changes the rules: companies with >50% crypto exposure may become “non-indexable”. 2. MicroStrategy’s core model—borrowing to buy BTC—depends on institutional inflows. Index exclusion disrupts it. 3. Convertible note investors may face severe pressure. 4. Insider selling suggests internal awareness of structural risk. 5. If MSTR is removed from indices, forced selling could create significant downside pressure. 📉 Conclusion MicroStrategy has long been a “Bitcoin ETF before ETFs existed”. Institutions bought MSTR because they couldn’t buy BTC directly. But now: Bitcoin ETFs exist, regulations are tightening, index providers are updating risk frameworks. MicroStrategy may become a victim of its own success strategy. Best regards EXCAVO
by EXCAVO
14
Bitcoin - Is This Where The Pain Finally Ends?Bitcoin has been grinding lower for about a month after sweeping the previous all time high, which created the shift that kicked off this broader downtrend. Since that sweep, every push up has been met with selling, and the market has slowly bled its way back into a major support zone that has been significant in earlier cycles. This is the kind of level where the market usually makes a statement, either by holding and reversing or by breaking and opening the door to a deeper move. Support Structure and Key Reaction Point Price is sitting inside a wide support band that has given strong reactions in the past. It is a level traders know well and one that typically slows the market down. The difference this time is the structure leading into it. The downtrend has been consistent, with a string of lower highs showing that sellers remain in control for now. How the daily candle closes inside this zone will tell us a lot about whether buyers still have enough strength to defend it or if this level finally gives way. Recent Liquidity Events and Daily Gap Behavior Before dropping into this support, Bitcoin ran a recent daily high and instantly filled the gap above it, making it clear that the move was more about collecting liquidity than shifting the trend. After that, price slid lower again and retested the inside of the daily imbalance, but the retest failed to spark any meaningful demand. That kind of behavior often hints at a market that is still hunting lower levels rather than building upside structure. Bullish Scenario For sentiment to turn, Bitcoin needs to close back above the midline of this zone. That level is the one that would show buyers are actually stepping back in and absorbing the sell side. If the market can reclaim it, a short term reversal becomes possible, and the first targets would be the inefficiencies left behind during the recent selloff. From there, the market would still need to break a series of lower highs before a proper shift is confirmed on the daily timeframe. Bearish Scenario If the daily candle fails to close above that internal level highlighted on the chart, viewers should expect continuation lower to become the more probable scenario. A failed close there tells you buyers did not manage to hold the midpoint of the range, which usually means the market is preparing to reach for deeper liquidity. In that situation, the next major support zone below becomes the logical draw, and the path shown on the chart, a small bounce followed by another leg down, fits well with the current momentum. Conclusion Bitcoin is sitting at a decision point. Either this support zone does its job again and gives the market enough fuel for a recovery, or the daily close confirms that the level has weakened and the market is ready to reach for the next higher timeframe support. Until that close gives clarity, patience is key, since this is typically where traders get chopped if they try to force a direction too early. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
by TehThomas
68
Bitcoin Hits Heavy Support Zone — Is the Next Big Crash Coming?Recently, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) experienced another decline of over -10%, largely due to the sudden drop in the S&P 500( SP:SPX ). As I mentioned in previous ideas, in recent weeks, Bitcoin and the crypto market, especially Bitcoin, have shown a strong correlation with U.S. indices, particularly the S&P 500. This means that even technically sound analyses for Bitcoin can fail if we don’t consider these external factors, which is quite normal. Therefore, it’s crucial to incorporate all parameters—news, fundamentals, on-chain data, and relevant indices—to get an accurate Bitcoin analysis. This complexity can make things a bit challenging. Over the past ten days, Bitcoin has swiftly broken through several support levels. Many factors have contributed to Bitcoin’s decline recently, but it’s now approaching a heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280). This zone is crucial because if Bitcoin loses it, we could see even larger declines, affecting altcoins as well. Altcoins, in general, haven’t matched Bitcoin’s gains in recent months, so a significant drop in Bitcoin could lead to severe losses for them. It’s essential to manage your investments carefully and stay alert. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the recent decline suggests that Bitcoin might be in the midst of a five-wave downward, which isn’t positive news. There’s a chance that the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) might be breached. However, considering that weekends typically have lower trading volumes, it’s less likely that the support will break in the next couple of days. Still, we must remain vigilant and prepared for any scenario. In terms of Elliott Waves, it seems Bitcoin has completed its main wave 3, and we might be looking at the completion of the wave 4 over the weekend, with another push towards the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) at the start of next week. Also, the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart looks bullish, which could not be good news for Bitcoin. I expect that after a brief rebound, Bitcoin will resume its decline and test the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) again. Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,642-$88,079 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131 First Target: $78,523 Second Target: $75,123 Stop Loss(SL): $92,123(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves Note: The S&P 500 also might face downward pressure in the coming days, which could further impact Bitcoin’s support levels. It’s essential to manage your investments carefully and wait for strong reversal signals in higher timeframes. You might miss out on some short-term gains, but it will allow for more confident entries later on. Note: Tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela are escalating day by day. Should these tensions intensify to the point of direct confrontation, it could act as a trigger for another Bitcoin decline. It’s important to keep this in mind. Note: Additionally, there have been some suspicious transfers involving the Mt. Gox exchange recently. It’s worth monitoring these developments closely. 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Short
by pejman_zwin
20
BTC/USDT: Bullish Divergence Forms at 92K Support ZoneBTC/USDT is testing the 92,000 key support, a level that previously triggered a major reaction. A bullish divergence is forming as price compresses at the bottom of a downward channel, hinting at a potential corrective rebound. If buyers defend the zone, a move toward 100,500 resistance is likely. While overall momentum remains bearish, the divergence supports a short-term bullish swing before the broader trend resumes. ❗️ Risks: – Break below 92,000 opens deeper downside. – Macro trend continuation may invalidate divergence. – Failure at mid-range resistance could cap the rally early.
Long
by RTED_Investing
10