Bitcoin Analysis On Lower TimFrameBitcoin’s movement has truly become complex and trendless, and the drops are not happening with momentum. It’s worth taking a look at Bitcoin’s moves on the lower timeframes.
For opening a short position, we need to wait for the red-marked zone.
If the price reaches the red zone and we enter a position, we will not exit our short position in the green-marked zone, and in this analysis, we are not looking for long trades.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTCUST.P trade ideas
BTC 4H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 45😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin formed a lower low followed by a lower high and lost its key support around $115,115 at the start of the new week, pushing price further down. Currently, BTC is testing support at $112,500, and if this level breaks, it could move toward lower supports.
🧮 The RSI oscillator shows that BTC fell below the 40 level toward oversold territory, triggering significant selling pressure. Bitcoin is now attempting to stabilize above the 30 level. If it fails, further downward movement is likely.
🕯 Red candle sizes and volumes have surged sharply at the start of this week, generating considerable FOMO in the market. If a large candle forms, it is likely to be bearish. The key question: will buyers step in to defend Bitcoin at this level?
🧠 Focus on short positions; long positions are removed for now.
A break of the current support could trigger additional short opportunities.
Watch the RSI carefully: if it exits oversold in the higher timeframe, short positions can be opened with more confidence. RSI acts as a multi-timeframe indicator, helping indicate market direction.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC Weekly Update – Critical Zone Ahead!🚨 BTC Weekly Update – Critical Zone Ahead! 🚨
Bitcoin has just made a very dangerous move on the weekly chart. We’ve closed with a Doji candle right at a major weekly resistance level – and price already broke down from that candle’s range. ⚠️
Why is this dangerous?
👉 Because the market has only done a shallow retracement on the higher timeframe so far. If BTC had broken above the yellow line (Arrow #1), it would’ve been a strong bullish signal. But since the breakout failed, rejection here could send price back for a deeper retracement.
📍 The deeper retracement zone sits near 100k (Arrow #5) – a level to watch very closely.
At the same time, I’ve marked two critical decision points on the chart:
* 116,310 (Arrow #1)
* 113,460 (Arrow #2)
✅ Breaking above/below these levels will be the real decision point for Bitcoin’s next big move – whether we go higher or prepare for a deeper correction.
⚡️ Reminder: Mondays are usually manipulation-heavy days in crypto. Best strategy is to wait for today’s candle to close before deciding on a buy or sell.
Next step 👉 I’ll also publish the BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) chart to see how altcoins might react. Stay patient, stay sharp – the market is about to reveal its hand!
🔥 Discipline + Patience = Profit 🔥
BITCOIN DAILY/4HR THE daily trendline and 4hr trendline break out will be watched for forward guidance.
if we break the top layer resistance we buy and target 123k current all time and high and factor the possibility of 135-130k-128k zone for next sell.
And our sell will be on break of steep ascending trendline acting as dynamic support and we will watch 114k and 111.78k zone and further downslide wiill be 90k-100k zone.
zone by zone layer by layer.
the structure of the market is clear ,it will never lie.
trading is 100% probability and you need the mindset of a hunter, dont buy because others are buying.
your risk to reward ratio should be your trade reason.
GOODLUCK
@BTC shows thick red candles....yikesBTC is cross key technicals showing weakness across the board and there's a lot more to give! If you're holding and waiting, don't! Just sell and park before you become a bag holder or support lines. It's now moving downwards and that's the set direction. Always make trades with the flow with strength, not weakness. At this rate, it will cross below 110k this week (or lower).
Best of luck!
Bearish Setup in Bitcoin – Correction Before Deeper Drop?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to decline and broke the ascending channel and Support zone($114,820-$113,170) with the help of the Bearish Flag Pattern , as I expected in the previous idea update .
Do you think Bitcoin can go below $105,000 !?
Bitcoin is once again approaching 100_EMA(Daily) and the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) in the ascending channel, and now it seems that we should expect bearish waves .
I expect Bitcoin to FAIL to break the 100_EMA(Daily) with one attack and have an upward correction to Fibonacci levels and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($114,098-$113,229) , and then re-attack the Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) and 100_EMA(Daily) .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $111,850-$110,421
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $115,000, we should expect Bitcoin to rise again.
Note: There is also a possibility that the SPX500 index( SP:SPX ) will also correct and, given Bitcoin's correlation with this index, cause Bitcoin to correct further.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): Uptrend ReinforcedHello everyone, after a brief pullback around 113,000 USD, Bitcoin has maintained its strength as it remains above the Ichimoku cloud – a clear signal that the uptrend has not weakened. The support zones at 111,000 USD and 110,000 USD are acting as crucial foundations, and if they hold, BTC could easily break above 113,000 USD to target 115,000 USD, with the potential to extend further toward 120,000 USD.
On the news side, the Fed’s continued high-rate policy has led many investors to view Bitcoin as an alternative safe-haven asset to the USD. At the same time, institutional involvement from companies such as MicroStrategy, Tesla, and particularly BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF filing continues to strengthen confidence. With global uncertainties ranging from banking to trade, Bitcoin is standing out as a safer decentralised asset. Therefore, as long as the 110,000–111,000 USD zone remains intact, the primary bias for BTC continues to lean firmly to the upside.
Bitcoin Analysis: Critical Support LevelsBitcoin's current price action presents an interesting technical setup that can be analyzed through the lens of the fan principle. This approach reveals multiple key support levels that deserve attention, particularly the crucial 109-110K zone where Bitcoin currently finds itself.
Understanding the Fan Principle
The fan principle is a technical analysis concept that uses multiple trendlines emanating from a common point, creating successive support and resistance levels. In Bitcoin's case, these fan lines have developed over several years and now present a clear hierarchy of critical price levels that the market must respect or break.
The most immediate and important of these levels sits at 109-110K. This zone represents more than just another support level - it serves as the foundation for Bitcoin's current market structure. How Bitcoin reacts at this level will likely determine the near-term direction and set the tone for what could be a significant move in either direction.
The 8-Year Resistance: Two Rejections and Counting
A critical element in Bitcoin's current technical picture is the 8-year resistance trendline, clearly visible as the red line on the chart. This long-term resistance has proven its significance through price action, having already rejected Bitcoin twice upon contact. These two previous rejections demonstrate the strength and importance of this multi-year technical level.
The pattern of rejection followed by renewed approach is a classic technical setup. Each time Bitcoin has touched this 8-year resistance, it has been turned away, creating a well-defined ceiling that has influenced price action over an extended period. However, repeated tests of resistance levels often lead to eventual breaks, as the selling pressure at these levels can become exhausted over time.
Should Bitcoin manage to hold the current 109-110K support zone and mount another attempt at this 8-year resistance, a successful break would represent a major shift in market structure. Given the two previous rejections, a third attempt that results in a clean break could open the door to new all-time highs, as it would finally eliminate this long-standing technical barrier that has capped Bitcoin's upward movement.
Multiple Scenarios at Play
The fan principle suggests several potential outcomes from the current position. If the 109-110K level holds as support, Bitcoin could use this as a springboard for higher prices, potentially testing and breaking the 8-year resistance. The orange and yellow fan lines extending upward provide potential targets in such a scenario, with projections reaching into 2026 and beyond.
Conversely, a failure to hold the 109-110K zone would shift focus to lower fan support levels. The fan structure provides a roadmap for where Bitcoin might find its next significant support should the current level fail to hold.
Market Structure Considerations
The convergence of multiple technical factors at current levels makes this period particularly noteworthy. The fan principle, combined with the 8-year resistance test, creates a situation where Bitcoin faces both significant support below and meaningful resistance above. This compression often leads to decisive moves in one direction or the other.
The long-term nature of these technical levels also suggests that any major move from here could have lasting implications for Bitcoin's price trajectory. Breaks of multi-year technical levels tend to trigger substantial follow-through in the direction of the break.
Looking Ahead
Bitcoin's position relative to these fan-based support levels and the 8-year resistance creates multiple potential paths forward. The key will be monitoring how price action unfolds around these critical levels, as they provide a technical roadmap for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
The fan principle analysis suggests that maintaining the 109-110K level is crucial for any bullish continuation, while a break of this support could lead to a test of lower fan levels. Meanwhile, any eventual break of the 8-year resistance would represent a significant technical development with potentially far-reaching implications for Bitcoin's long-term trajectory.
As with any technical analysis, these levels provide guidance rather than guarantees, and market participants should monitor price action closely as it unfolds around these critical zones.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Beings Taken Out | RectemberIt's Rectember, bloody markets all over the coins and also BTC. Despite the fact that the bull run has not ended yet, better is yet to come!
We have had a breakdown on BTC during the night, which broke the local support zone and might send the price back as low as the $108K zone, where the major support zone is currently sitting.
This is not yet confirmed, as the price might suprice us and buyers might reclaim the local support zone (the one we broke recently) and if they do so by the end of the week, then that's where we will be expecting a bounce to happen. If not, then our attention will be at the $108K zone.
Swallow Academy
BTC Bearish Targets – 108k Next?Bitcoin failed to hold above 110k and the structure remains bearish.
Any bounce into 111k–113k is likely just corrective before more downside.
Main bearish targets are:
🔹 108k – first support zone
🔹 106k – key liquidity area
🔹 104k – deeper target if weakness continues
If 106k breaks on higher timeframes, the psychological 100k zone could be tested.
⚠️ Bias stays bearish as long as price trades below 114k.
Bitcoin Price Analysis and PredictionIn my opinion, $124k was the highest price BINANCE:BTCUSD would see in this cycle, and the downtrend has started a long time ago.
The colored dots you see on the chart represent the main pivots of the weekly candles that were forming the bullish structure. Now we are seeing this structure being broken one after the other. You can see the key/legend for the colored dots on the chart.
Current Situation
Bitcoin broke the first weekly candle's Higher Low (HL) on August 22nd. Since then, we've seen a Lower Low (LL) and a Lower High (LH) on the weekly chart.
Now, the price is moving back towards that LL to break this LOW and form a new LL.
Last time, we saw good support at $107K and this area could be a support zone this time as well. However, the bearish structure has formed, and we will likely only face temporary reactions. In this area, we will either see the price range or a break of support and the start of a larger trend towards $85k.
Please note that this is just my opinion and it could be completely wrong. Even if it is correct, it might take a long time, or perhaps we'll move towards it with a sharp move!
Bitcoin Outlook: From Support Bounce to Short Liquidation TargetBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in my previous idea ( Long and Short positions hit their targets ).
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($114,820-$113,170) , Resistance line, and the Monthly Pivot Point , and seems to have failed to break 100_EMA(Daily) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin completed wave 5 as I expected by attacking 100_EMA(Daily) and Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) , and we can expect more bullish waves .
I expect Bitcoin to break the Resistance line in the coming hours and attack the Resistance zone ($114,820-$113,170) and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage ($114,334-$113,400) .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $110,950-$110,350
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $115,000, we should expect Bitcoin to rise again.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
#BTC/USDT WEEKLY CHART UPDATE !!#BTC/USDT is in a strong uptrend, currently trading around $111,700. Key resistance is at $120,000, and a breakout above this level could push the price towards $130,000–$135,000. On the downside, support lies at $105,000–$108,000, with major support near $100,000. Staying above $105,000 maintains the bullish trend, while a drop below $100,000 could lead to a decline towards $92,000–$95,000.
Bitcoin (BTC): Accumulation Has Started | Ready For BreakoutCalm before the storm is what we see on BTC, where lots of liquidity grabs are happening yet the price remains inside some kind of sideways accumulation channel, potentially getting ready for an upcoming breakout.
That's what we are looking for as well, a breakout from that channel, which would then give us the opportunity to reclaim the $116K.
Swallow Academy
Deep Learning Model for 24-Hour BTC Price PredictionHi everyone,
I’ve developed a deep learning AI model designed to predict BTC's price movement over the next 24 hours on the 15-minute timeframe.
It’s important to note that this model does not directly provide exact entry points for trades. Instead, it indicates the likely direction of the market, meaning you’ll still need basic trading knowledge to apply it effectively.
After testing it over the course of one month, I achieved a success rate of around 90% in my trades when using the model as part of my strategy.
The model was trained using the following features:
Time-related: Hour, DayOfWeek
Price & volume lags: Close_lag_1, Close_lag_2, Close_lag_4, Close_lag_8, Close_lag_12, Volume_lag_1, Volume_lag_2, Volume_lag_4, Volume_lag_8, Volume_lag_12
Moving averages & statistics: MA_4, Std_4, Dist_MA_4, MA_16, Std_16, Dist_MA_16, MA_48, Std_48, Dist_MA_48, MA_96, Std_96, Dist_MA_96
Technical indicators: Return_log, MACD, RSI
Hourly Forecast for the Next 24 Hours
2025-09-25 10:00:00+00:00 111550.165640
2025-09-25 11:00:00+00:00 111376.971911
2025-09-25 12:00:00+00:00 111228.010503
2025-09-25 13:00:00+00:00 111113.808253
2025-09-25 14:00:00+00:00 111015.461229
2025-09-25 15:00:00+00:00 110924.218881
2025-09-25 16:00:00+00:00 110836.693056
2025-09-25 17:00:00+00:00 110752.812431
2025-09-25 18:00:00+00:00 110671.121547
2025-09-25 19:00:00+00:00 110589.284377
2025-09-25 20:00:00+00:00 110507.299785
2025-09-25 21:00:00+00:00 110426.231097
2025-09-25 22:00:00+00:00 110347.648529
2025-09-25 23:00:00+00:00 110272.293736
2025-09-26 00:00:00+00:00 110200.252059
2025-09-26 01:00:00+00:00 110128.568457
2025-09-26 02:00:00+00:00 110076.551644
2025-09-26 03:00:00+00:00 110033.237232
2025-09-26 04:00:00+00:00 109989.062884
2025-09-26 05:00:00+00:00 109942.853975
2025-09-26 06:00:00+00:00 109895.090788
2025-09-26 07:00:00+00:00 109846.533566
2025-09-26 08:00:00+00:00 109797.842122
Deep Learning Model for 24-Hour BTC Price PredictionHi everyone,
I’ve developed a deep learning AI model designed to predict BTC's price movement over the next 24 hours on the 15-minute timeframe.
It’s important to note that this model does not directly provide exact entry points for trades. Instead, it indicates the likely direction of the market, meaning you’ll still need basic trading knowledge to apply it effectively.
After testing it over the course of one month, I achieved a success rate of around 90% in my trades when using the model as part of my strategy.
The model was trained using the following features:
Time-related: Hour, DayOfWeek
Price & volume lags: Close_lag_1, Close_lag_2, Close_lag_4, Close_lag_8, Close_lag_12, Volume_lag_1, Volume_lag_2, Volume_lag_4, Volume_lag_8, Volume_lag_12
Moving averages & statistics: MA_4, Std_4, Dist_MA_4, MA_16, Std_16, Dist_MA_16, MA_48, Std_48, Dist_MA_48, MA_96, Std_96, Dist_MA_96
Technical indicators: Return_log, MACD, RSI
Hourly Forecast for the Next 24 Hours
2025-09-24 13:00:00+00:00 113187.886528
2025-09-24 14:00:00+00:00 113166.087645
2025-09-24 15:00:00+00:00 113073.892346
2025-09-24 16:00:00+00:00 112978.206348
2025-09-24 17:00:00+00:00 112883.998556
2025-09-24 18:00:00+00:00 112796.765538
2025-09-24 19:00:00+00:00 112723.646122
2025-09-24 20:00:00+00:00 112663.771152
2025-09-24 21:00:00+00:00 112613.883389
2025-09-24 22:00:00+00:00 112571.205400
2025-09-24 23:00:00+00:00 112533.084434
2025-09-25 00:00:00+00:00 112497.620988
2025-09-25 01:00:00+00:00 112464.608684
2025-09-25 02:00:00+00:00 112438.388997
2025-09-25 03:00:00+00:00 112409.348295
2025-09-25 04:00:00+00:00 112374.666791
2025-09-25 05:00:00+00:00 112334.960094
2025-09-25 06:00:00+00:00 112292.571287
2025-09-25 07:00:00+00:00 112248.481242
2025-09-25 08:00:00+00:00 112202.961260
2025-09-25 09:00:00+00:00 112156.047936
2025-09-25 10:00:00+00:00 112107.635662
2025-09-25 11:00:00+00:00 112057.822715
2025-09-25 12:00:00+00:00 112006.340060
2025-09-25 13:00:00+00:00 111953.576911
BTC/USDT Outlook – Volatility Rises After Sharp DeclineBTC/USDT Market Report
Bitcoin recently faced heavy selling pressure, pushing the market into a sharp decline. This drop reflects a shift in sentiment where earlier stability has been replaced by increased volatility and downside momentum.
Price action shows signs of exhaustion after the fall, suggesting the possibility of a short-term rebound attempt. However, broader behavior still reflects uncertainty, with buyers needing stronger participation to shift momentum back in their favor.
If downward pressure continues, deeper corrections could emerge before any meaningful recovery. In the near term, traders should expect sharp swings as the market tries to stabilize.
BTC Strong resistance around 110k! only one direction -> downBTC is having a tough time crossing 110k due to strong resistance. It's now under SMA9/50 and there's a lot of room for it to continue dropping. With the gov shutdown looming next week, it could be a good recipe for BTC to continue dropping. Proceed with caution!