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BTCUSDT Liquidity Grab at Resistance – Bearish Reversal SetupBitcoin is currently ranging between a well-defined resistance zone near 88,000–88,400 and a support zone around 86,700–86,300. Price action shows repeated rejections at the top of the range, suggesting strong selling interest. 🔵 Resistance Zone (88,000–88,400) This blue block has acted as a major supply area. Each time price taps into this zone, sellers quickly push the market back down. The circle on the chart highlights a potential final liquidity grab before a move lower. • Expectation: Price may spike back into the resistance block to collect liquidity before reversing. 🟡 Support Zone (86,700–86,300) This area has held multiple times and remains the primary demand zone of the range. However, the reactions here are becoming weaker, suggesting buyers are losing strength with each test. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Most Probable) • Price likely moves back into the 88,000–88,400 resistance to fill liquidity. • From there, a rejection is expected as sellers dominate. • A break below the support zone opens the path toward your target area around 86,400. This aligns perfectly with the downward arrow drawn on your chart. 📌 What Confirms Bearish Continuation? • Bearish rejection candles inside the resistance zone • Break of structure below 86,700 • Increased sell volume on the push down ❌ Bullish Invalidations The bearish outlook is invalidated only if price: • Breaks and closes above 88,400, • Sustains new higher highs on the 15m. Until then, the setup remains bearish within a range-bound market.
Short
by Hamza_Gold
(BTC) Update — Three-Drive Pattern Forming at Key SupportBitcoin is consolidating within the $75,000–$78,000 support cluster, where a potential three-drive reversal pattern may be taking shape. Price is trying to stabilise after a strong bearish expansion wiped out major structural levels. Although downward momentum remains dominant, this region is historically significant for Bitcoin. The emerging three-drive structure, combined with early signs of compression, suggests the market may be preparing for a potential shift in direction. Key Points - Bitcoin stabilising inside the $75K–$78K support cluster - Early signs of a potential three-drive reversal structure - Market showing initial compression after extended downside What to Expect If Bitcoin completes the third drive and reclaims the $78K zone with momentum, a stronger recovery may form. Failure to hold this support could lead to deeper downside continuation.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
Bitcoin at Extreme Discount , Hidden Bull Signal AppearsBTC has now reached a major extreme discount zone, completing a deep retracement into one of the strongest demand regions on the chart. This level aligns perfectly with key Fibonacci supports, making it a high-value area from a technical perspective. Price has tapped the 0.618 – 0.786 Fibonacci cluster, which historically provides strong reactions during corrective phases. Combined with a clearly defined demand block, this forms a confluence that often marks the end of a corrective leg rather than the beginning of a deeper breakdown. At the same time, the RSI is showing a hidden bullish divergence, where price makes a higher low while RSI makes a lower low. This pattern typically appears during continuation setups and suggests that underlying bullish strength may be returning despite the aggressive downside move. These elements together create a scenario where the market is positioned in a high-probability reaction zone. As long as BTC holds above the key demand structure, the technicals support the idea of an upward continuation forming from here. Key Technical Highlights: • Strong confluence between the 0.618 – 0.786 Fibs • Price is inside a major discount demand zone • RSI showing hidden bullish divergence (continuation signal) • Structure still supportive of an upside bounce as long as demand holds • Market conditions resemble previous early-reversal zones In simple terms: BTC is sitting inside a major discount area, touching the strongest Fibonacci supports, and RSI is flashing a hidden bullish signal. If this zone holds, it may mark the beginning of a recovery phase.
by CryptoCoinsCoach
BTC – Inside Monday’s Range During a Holiday WeekWe are currently trading inside the Monday range, and given the holiday conditions, price action is likely to stay contained. 🎯 Base case: Trading the range until it breaks makes the most sense. With the bullish opening of the day and 0.5 retracement of the range holding, the most probable scenario is a sweep of Monday’s high. However, once Monday high is taken, we also have resistance there. If we get a bearish daily open afterward, I would look for shorts. These remain the highest-probability plays for me. If we get a strong bullish close after taking Monday high AND hold above TWO, then something may be shifting. Until then, I’m keeping decisions strictly based on the scenarios above.
by gabbietrades
BTCUSDT.P - November 26, 2025Bitcoin is consolidating in a choppy range after early gains, with price repeatedly testing support at 86,547 and resistance around 88,200. A breakout above the upper boundary signals momentum toward the next major resistance at 91,882, while failure to hold current support risks a push to the stop level near 83,866. The current price action reflects indecision, as neither bulls nor bears control trend structure. Technicals suggest trend confirmation will depend on a decisive move away from the 86,547–88,200 range.
Long
by miljedtothemoon
BTC/USDT Building an Early Base, High Chance to Retest 93K-108+BTC/USDT — Building an Early Base, High Chance to Retest 93K → 108K+ Bitcoin is forming a stabilization zone between 80K and 93K, which could mark the start of a deeper recovery phase. The recent bounce off the lower boundary suggests that buyers may be re-entering, setting up a potential long-term trend shift. Key Technical Points: 📉 Support Zone: The lower range around 80.6K has held, showing strong demand at these levels. 🔁 Current Structuring: BTC’s price action shows a gradual range build — this isn’t just a short-term bounce, but a possible formation of a base. 🎯 First Upside Target: A clean breakout above 93K would signal renewed strength and is likely to trigger further buying. 🚀 Extended Target Potential: If momentum confirms and volume supports the move, BTC could aim for the 100K+ region. This would align with a multi-wave recovery to reestablish higher long-term structure. Trade Outlook: Holders: This could be a key accumulation setup — building on strength around the base may pay off if the breakout runs. Short-term traders: Watch for a breakout above 93K with volume as your trigger for re-entry or scaling in. Risk: If BTC fails to reclaim 93K decisively, a retest of the 80K base is still possible. Summary: There’s a realistic and structurally sound scenario where BTC could recover from this base and push toward 93K, with a strong shot at going 100K+ if the breakout materializes. Conditions are setting up for a potential multi-wave uptrend, but confirmation will be critical.
Long
by SatochiTrader
Bitcoin’s Overshoot Zone: Panic, Patience or Both?Bitcoin didn’t crash.It unwound. Not with one dramatic candle — but through weeks of slow bleed, where every bounce gave hope and every rejection drained it further.And now price sits in a place most people don’t know how to act in: The Overshoot Zone. ....................................................................................................... This isn’t a buy zone. It’s a psychology zone. Price has travelled from mid structure all the way down into the extreme −125% to −150% Projection Range. This zone isn’t about calling bottoms.It’s about watching behavior. Historically, this area attracts two types of players: Those leaving out of exhaustion Those entering with patience The problem is — you can’t tell which side is winning until the structure changes.And that’s where most traders lose emotional control. ............................................................................................................ What the channel is telling us - This wasn’t random selling.Price followed a clean descending channel for weeks. Every recovery stalled at the channel top.Every bounce turned into distribution. But now there’s a shift: Momentum is slowing. The slope is flattening. Candles are compressing. This isn’t strength yet — but it is a change of energy.And energy always changes before structure does. ............................................................................................... Why this zone matters psychologically? Most retail psychology moves like this: Hope Confusion Frustration Capitulation Numbness The Overshoot Zone usually lives between stage 4 and 5. Where: Fear gets quieter Volume spikes or dries Everyone starts waiting instead of reacting Not because price reversed but because most participants are simply exhausted. ..................................................................... What to observe instead of predict • If price stabilizes in this band → it’s not bullish, it’s absorption. • If price expands below it → it’s not weakness, it’s unfinished fear. Either way, this zone isn’t for excitement. It’s for observation. .............................................................................................. Chart structure presented using Projection Levels + NeuroPolynomial Channel. These are structural frameworks, not prediction tools. .............................................................................................. #BTC #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #MarketPsychology #PriceAction #CryptoTrading
by NeuralMarkets
2
BTC - NEW ATH in December or DROP?Hello BTC Watchers 📈 Bitcoin has, historically, been very bullish in Decembers. We see the most drastic increase in 2020, when BTC climbed over 140%. During the times that BTC corrected over December, it's been 10% and 31%. This makes it hard to predict seeing that it seems to be different every year with one year even trading in a tight range. A few things we can do to clarify the possible direction of BTC This December: 1️⃣ Check the Macro From a macro perspective, Bitcoin has increased and been increasing since April, with the hard drop only showing now in November. This could mean two things - the correction before a final leg up or, the beginning of the bearish cycle. 2️⃣ Check Technical Indicators a) The moving averages is pointing towards short-term BEARISH, since we are trading UNDER the 200d Moving averages(green line): b) The Bollinger bands are showing an expansion (aka widening) but to the bottom, as the price is trading on the lower BBands, also indicating strong selling pressure for the short to near term: 3️⃣ Watch the News Bitcoin has been coming up in many seemingly "bullish" articles. This is usually a bad sign before the liquidation - create hype, and then short the market. Conclusion: I'm leaning towards a soft pump in December to soften the blow of the current correction , but not a new ATH. The next increase will likely be a "fake-out" before the real bearish season starts in the new year.
Short
by Crypto-Check-
14
“BTC Pressure Point – Rising Channel Losing Steam ”🌊 BTC Channel Watch – Trendline Under Pressure 🏄‍♂️📉 BTC’s flow is pretty straightforward right now. Price has been climbing inside that small ascending channel, but today it’s leaning hard against the lower trendline — and the candles look tired. No strength, no conviction, just soft taps drifting downward 🌬️. Above us, the 90K block is still the major supply zone. Every time price even peeks at that area, sellers show up instantly. It’s a ceiling that hasn’t cracked once, and BTC isn’t even close to giving it another test yet 🧱🚫. If this rising channel breaks down — and honestly, structure already looks weak — we could see a clean continuation lower. There’s no strong demand pocket sitting in between, just open space for price to glide down smoothly 📉🌊. So right now I’m focused on how BTC behaves around this trendline: 👉 If bulls defend it with real momentum, we may get another push inside the channel. 👉 If not, the next wave looks aimed lower — the red curve on the chart basically shows the flow 🔻. Not predicting, not trying to force the market. Just reading structure, staying patient, and letting the waves speak for themselves 🏄‍♂️🌬️. 💬 What do you think about this scenario? Only share your idea if you’ve got another opinion — otherwise just hit that button 👍 #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
by peyfx
BITCOIN:LIVE TRADEHello friends considering the decline we had, the sellers made a bottom and the buyers came in. The sellers again broke the previous bottom with strength and made a bottom, and the buyers came in and raised the price and succeeded in hitting a higher ceiling. And in the pullback, the open price is supported and here we can enter a buy transaction considering the support of buyers and hitting a higher ceiling, of course with risk and capital management and be careful not to make emotional decisions. *Trade safely with us*
Long
by TheHunters_Company
BTC Weekly – Potential Buy Zones **BTC Weekly – Potential Buy Zones** Based on the BTC.w chart, the yellow zones appear to be suitable areas for those planning long-term investment and considering the possibility of a deep correction. With this approach, you can place laddered buy orders around: $75K – $65K – $50K and even $28K If Bitcoin behaves similarly to previous cycles and corrects around 77%, reaching the $28K range is not unrealistic. This scenario is fortunate for those holding cash, but unfortunately difficult for those who bought Bitcoin or altcoins at higher prices—although smart dollar-cost averaging** can help reduce losses. In the most pessimistic scenario, we must also consider one point: There is a gap in the $12.5K–$15K range. Major global events—such as **wars, geopolitical crises, or internet disruptions**—could easily push the market toward that zone. Everything ultimately comes down to three key actions: Patience… Selling… Buying… and knowing *what you will do, and where. What’s your opinion?
by LexOsay
Bitcoin (BTC) Swing Structure UpdateBitcoin is beginning to form early consolidation around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, which sits in clean technical confluence with VWAP support pulled from a key swing low. This region is now acting as a major accumulation zone, hinting at a potential pivot in momentum. As long as BTC continues to hold above this support cluster, the structure favors a possible rotation back toward the previous highs and potentially toward a new all-time high. The $74,000 level remains a critical swing point, and maintaining this zone is essential for Bitcoin’s broader bullish market structure. Key Points = BTC consolidating above 0.618 Fibonacci + VWAP confluence - Accumulation structure forming at a key swing zone - $74,000 remains a major pivot level for trend continuation What to Expect If Bitcoin holds this support region, a swing-long continuation toward prior highs becomes increasingly likely. Losing the level, however, may open the door to deeper corrective structure.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
BTC Trade Plan (December 08, 2025)No financial advices / Just a trading diary 💸 Daily Intra-Day Reports powered by an institutional-grade pipeline (SMC + orderflow + derivatives + multi-timeframe confluence). Link: t.me BTC Trade Plan (December 08, 2025) (D1 Bearish / H4 Sell Rallies → Compression / H1 Neutral / M15 Chop) ⬛️ 1. Higher Timeframe Context (D1 and H4) • D1 bias: bearish (descending channel post-ATH) • D1 range (approx): 84,000 – 126,000 (current lower third) • Key D1 zones: • Supply: 100–105k (broken) • Demand: 88–90k channel low • H4 bias: sell rallies turning compression (ascending triangle forming) • H4 zones of interest: • H4 Sell Zone 1: – recent rejection + supply cluster • H4 Buy Zone 1: – weekend low + trendline Active setups counter-trend long on dip (whale accumulation support), trend-aligned short only on clear rejection. ⬛️ 2. Preferred Setups by Horizon 🔳 2.1 Swing Setup (D1/H4) Counter-trend long the channel low / whale accumulation zone. Time horizon: multi-day to weeks. 🔲 2.2 Intraday Setup (H1 focus) Buy dips to 89.5-90k or breakout above 92k. Time horizon: intraday to overnight. ▫️ 2.3 Scalp Setup (M15 focus) Scalp range 90-92k or absorption plays — higher risk in chop. ▪️ 2.4 Arbitrage/Pairs: BTC dominance rising → BTC outperforming alts short-term. 🟩 3.1 Long Setup (Trend-Aligned with On-Chain / Swing-Intraday) • Execution timeframe: H4/H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Pattern tags: Trigger conditions: • Successful defense 88-90k zone + CVD higher low • H1/H4 BOS up on volume • Whale accumulation continuation 🟥 3.2 Short Setup (Counter-Trend / Scalp Only) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Pattern tags: Trigger conditions: • Clear rejection with delta divergence high • Failure to break 94k pre-FOMC 🔴 4. Stops (Invalidation Levels) Long setups: 87,500 (channel break = bear confirmation) Short setups: 94,500 (breakout = squeeze) 🟢 5. Targets Long (swing/intraday): • TP1: 92,000 (VWAP/H1) • TP2: 94,000-95,000 (supply test/H4) • TP3: 100,000+ (HVN/D1 optional) Short (scalp): • TP1: 90,000 • TP2: 88,500 ⬛️ 6. Position Sizing • Baseline trend-aligned long (on-chain supported): 1.0% • Counter-trend short: 0.4% • Adjustments: +20% (whale buying + clean lev + Fed tailwind) → Effective: longs 1.2% risk, shorts 0.3% max ⬛️ 7. Risk Flags • FOMC Wednesday → vol expansion risk • Thin liquidity mid-week • Residual weekend trauma → fake moves possible • Macro correlation re-assertion if equities dump ⬛️ 8. Flip Conditions Bull → bear flip: clean close below 88k with volume + funding negative Bear → bull flip: H4 close >94.5k + CVD reset + whale continuation ⬛️ 9. Alternative Scenario Reject hard at 92-94k → descending triangle breakdown → fast move to 84-87k LVN void (bear trap completion, high risk short only with tight stop). ⬛️ 10. Model Self-Critique • Assumptions: whale accumulation continues, Fed delivers dovish cut, no macro shock • Vulnerabilities: sudden risk-off equities dump, whale distribution resumption, FOMC hawkish surprise • Behavioural: do not chase breakouts pre-FOMC, do not average into losing shorts against whales ⬛️ 11. Uncertainty and Constraints Uncertainty: medium → require flow + pattern confirmation, no high lev, prefer size on confirmed absorption only.
by BTC_ETH_Intra_Day_Analysis
EcoByG Bitcoin Daily Analysis #5 — Daily BTC Market UpdateWelcome to My Analysis. Now, let’s break down today’s Bitcoin structure. Bitcoin isn’t bullish yet — it’s just ranging inside a downtrend. And unless one level breaks, the market is preparing for another move down. Here’s the breakdown. Market Structure The primary trend is still bearish — price is trading below broken structures and several major resistances. The current move is mostly a corrective rally inside the downtrend, not the start of a new uptrend. Price action & candle behavior Price is currently oscillating inside a tight range between 89,800 and 93,700. The recent upward move is a correction wave inside the bearish structure. The last pullback bounced exactly off 88.7K support, and price is now heading back toward the range top. Volume There was a strong volume spike at the 88.7K bottom → indicating buyer entry. However, volume has declined during the recent rise, which shows the rally lacks full conviction. RSI RSI bounced from the range bottom (near 30). A small bullish divergence is visible. Still, RSI remains well below buyer power (below 70) → the upside is not yet fully confirmed. Final summary Overall structure: still bearish. We are inside a corrective range within a downtrend. 93,700 is the key level for either breakout or reversal. Until 93,700 is cleanly broken, the range continues and the probability of another drop back to 88.7K is high. Deeper supports: 84K → 82K. ⚠️ Risk Alert ⚠️ Futures are not beginner-friendly. These triggers require solid experience. Before using them, study risk management and practice with the learning content here.
by ecobyg1
08/12/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $94,171.14 Last weeks low: $83,809.87 Midpoint: $88,990.51 Bitcoin performs a double Swing Fail Pattern (SFP) as price sweeps both extremities of the range before closing out near the midpoint. After such a dramatic drawdown during Q4 so far, the possibility of a V-shape reversal as the year comes to a close was never going to be a high probability. With that we have seen a steady base being built and a higher low printed, certainly a more bullish structure than last weeks opening. This week we have FOMC on Wednesday: Previous: 4.0% Forecast: 3.75% (-25bps) Actual: ?% A 25bps cut is forecast with an 87% chance. Could this finally reignite some buyside volume? The timing of year end doesn't help, I think volume stays relatively subdued until 2026 where the Fed ending QT & lowering rates help risk-on assets. For now I will maintain that a $80,000-$100,000 range is where Bitcoin stays for some time, thin orderbooks creating short term volatility but not necessarily strong moves in either direction.
by ProR35
Analytics: market overview and forecasts WHAT HAPPENED? Last week, for bitcoin, we reached the upper limit of a significant support zone and almost immediately received a powerful boost. This led to a change in the local trend to an upward one. As part of the growth, the resistance of $94,000-$97,500 (volume zone) was reached, from which the correction began. Now we've pushed off from the support of $87,800-$86,400 (volume zone) and maintain the upward context. WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT? The movement potential is aimed at updating the local maximum. To fully reverse the trend, the buyer needs to demonstrate more strength. The $94,000-$97,500 zone remains relevant, as a significant part of it hasn't been tested. The implementation of a positive scenario is possible both through a confident breakdown of this range, and through the formation of a weak correction in terms of volume and price action. A negative factor for the development of the long rally this week is the selling pressure on the spot market, as seen by the cumulative delta. The situation is better in futures, but the market needs more "fuel" for a final turnaround. Alternative scenario: with a strong defense of the nearest resistance, a sideways trend may form in the range of $84,000-$94,000. Buy Zones $87,800–$86,400 (volume zone) $84,000–$82,000 (volume anomalies) Sell Zones $94,000–$97,500 (volume zone) $101,000–$104,000 (accumulated volumes) $105,800–$106,600 (local resistance) IMPORTANT DATES We're following these macroeconomic developments this week: • Tuesday, December 9, 15:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the labor market (JOLTS) USA for October; • Wednesday, December 10, 2:45 (UTC) — announcement of Canada's interest rate decision; • Wednesday, December 10, 19:00 (UTC) — US FOMC statement and economic forecasts, as well as the announcement of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision; • Wednesday, December 10, 19:30 (UTC) — US FOMC press Conference; • Thursday, December 11, 9:00 (UTC) — press conference of the National Bank of Switzerland; • Thursday, December 11, 13:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States for the week; Friday, December 12, 7:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK GDP for October, as well as the German consumer price index for November. *This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience. #analytics
by Crypto_robotics
BTC: $105K on the HorizonI’m assuming we’re seeing a reversal Head and Shoulders forming on BTC, with a potential retest of 106k. In that case, there’s a strong chance of seeing a new all-time high. I opened a few scout positions and still believe the bulls are in control. A retest of the local low (around the 80k zone) is possible, but I’m staying in long positions for now. The price action from here will be telling: if we can move up right away, the probability of a new high increases sharply. Stepping away from the hourly charts — now we wait.
Long
by Juliia
Vanguard Turns Pro Crypto | Bitcoin Responds InstantlyBitcoin surged massively on Dec 2–3 after Vanguard ( a $11T asset manager long known for its anti-crypto stance ) opened its platform to spot ETFs for BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL. This gives 50M+ traditionally conservative investors direct access to crypto products for the first time The shift follows the appointment of new CEO Salim Ramji, formerly at BlackRock and involved in launching IBIT, a clear signal of strategic realignment Market response was immediate: - BTC jumped minutes after the U.S. open - IBIT hit Billions $ in volume in the first few minutes - Analysts noted a “ wave of Vanguard clients moving at once ” Despite the Coinbase Premium Index still negative, U.S. spot demand is improving. A move back to neutral or positive premium could set up the next leg toward the $100K zone With Vanguard now engaged, this is not a short-lived catalyst. Even a 0.5% allocation of its AUM would mean $55B in potential flows, larger than the entire first year inflow of the 2024 ETF cycle Vanguard joining the market marks the true beginning of institutional scale crypto adoption
by FortuneAI