BTC Top Down Analysis! Let's break it out logically. Starting with Weekly TF CRYPTOCAP:BTC swept its ATH and dropped.
Two main reasons:
1- Liquidity grab (took out SLs above ATH)
2- Hit strong Weekly Bearish OB and reversed.
Now Weekly & Daily TFs are still bullish this is just a pullback so no panic scene.
Question is: how far can it go?
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is moving toward Weekly Breaker Block (117.9k) and Weekly Bullish OB (115.3k) right now it’s trading inside a 4H Bullish OB (Green Zone)
I’ll wait for reversal signs (CHOCH or Bullish OB) on STF to buy again. If confirmed I’ll buy with SL below 113.5k - 112.5k zone.
For now, STF is still bearish so I’ll wait I’m already in a CRYPTOCAP:BTC buy from 110k zone.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is sitting in a 4h demand zone just wait for confirmation.
Trade ideas
Using DXY to Predict Manipulation on BitcoinIn this post it’s important to view and relate to the linked, related idea called “DXY - Major Breakdown of Ascending Channel”
I’ll keep this short and to the point since we are actively in the war zone now.
1. Identify major patterns or structure shifts on DXY. For 8 years I’ve used these same ascending channel supports on DXY and it’s made very clear this is the way it trades, as we can duplicate the line angle and move it near infinitely to any area and see how price respects it.
2. Identify major DXY events in relation to the DXY pivot. In this case, we are witnessing a bearish retest of a major bearish signal.
3. Understand what it all means. DXY falling / correcting for 4-7 years translates to BULL MARKET of the same duration on stocks, equities, and securities.
Now you may be thinking - “Okay but that means, Bitcoin will go up then?”
WRONG
The reason is, Bitcoin and Crypto is a manipulated game and it’s all rigged and intentional.
What does this really mean then?
4. If we will see a natural bullish trend on Bitcoin for the next 4-7 years, that means the market makers want their money back. Since Bitcoin has been only moving up since late 2022, this has set up a massive chain reaction of long stop losses / sell orders, paving a path to these lower zones on my BTC chart. What this should tell you is - FLASH CRASH COMING. Manipulated crash before the true bull run.
Now you may be wondering - “No way, the world would have to see an apocalypse for 8,000 to be hit”
WRONG
Stop loss orders are in place already as a natural consequence of traders decisions over the last 3+ years. These are sell orders. Once these sell orders start filling, bitcoin will see an automatic wick down to these low levels. No active selling is required, and therefor no black swan required.
Now - If DXY was retesting a bullish pattern, I’d be longing as that signals extended bear market.
And rest assured - THIS MARKET IS ALL MANIPULATION.
We can use DXY to predict the trigger of it all.
Happy trading.
- DD
BTC/USDT | BTC Correction in Play – Will $117K Hold the Line?By analyzing the Bitcoin (BTC) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after rallying up to $126,000 and setting a new all-time high (ATH), the price faced a sharp correction and is now trading around $119,000.
This drop could extend further toward $117,000, which is a key level to watch closely. If Bitcoin manages to hold above this zone, we could see the next bullish wave begin. Otherwise, the next major demand zones are at $115,000, $113,500, and $112,120.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Why BTC will drop at EXTREME SPEED to 8,000This is a Segway off of all my recent posts, and here we will apply the same understanding of stop loss and liquidation order blocks to the 1 Month.
Bitcoin has been moving in a straight upwards consolidation with no actual retrace since Dec 2022.
What this does, is attract mass amount of stop loss orders, intact and left in place, through the whole movement.
These stop loss orders will create a natural cascading drop as they all fill, exponentially moving more and more liquidity out of BTC and into USD/ USDT.
Bitcoin will drop, at exceptional speed, and the chart tells us the whole story.
Be safe.
- DD
BTC - Use Order Blocks to Predict if Price with move UP OR DOWNI will give a practical demonstration here on how to draw your own order blocks and heat maps to predict if price will move up or down from this 121,400 current level.
First understand that stop loss order blocks are opposite to what we have learned as traders.
We are told that buy orders are below price (limit buys) and sell orders are above us (limit sells).
The truth of Bitcoin however is the exact opposite is true. The stop loss orders carry much more power than limit orders, as they are filled for the “whole leveraged position size”, not for only the margin used.
While limit buys will automatically fill if price is below that price, or limit sells will automatically fill if price is above that price - this is not true for stop loss orders or liquidation orders.
Stop Losses and Liquidations only FILL if price CROSSES the level.
This means we can use order blocks from open candle sets, extended out past price currently, to understand where these gaps of orders are located.
Green boxes for BUYS above price.
Red boxes for SELLS below price.
When price enters into these boxes zones, these orders will start filling - acting as a type of propellant that’s implanted in the chart from traders previous choices. This creates “wicks” and fast movements.
WILL PRICE GO UP OR DOWN FROM 21,400?
In this example from 121,400 I drew both long stops and sell stops.
The emptied green boxes have already been reclaimed. The filled in green boxes are left unreclaimed and contain these orders.
For price to go up, it would have to move past the previous wick, and enter into these zones - which have a significant gap in between them.
For price to DROP, we can look at the boxes of long stops or sell orders.
Note that these order blocks are neatly placed one after the next, with no significant gaps between them.
Therefor, there is much better odds of price dropping from 121,400 - entering into these sell order blocks, and naturally dropping as those orders are filled one into the other.
It would be a good day trade strategy to SHORT the 121,400 level, and expect the price to move down through these blocks.
It would be a bad day trade strategy to LONG the 121,400, as the orders are very few compared to the downside, therefor, lower odds.
This is really the only strategy you need to scalp trades on Bitcoin and predict where price is going.
If you find these helpful, please let me know below.
Yours truly,
- DD
“BTC: The Green Gamble"111,500 — that’s where the game begins.
Next stop: 105,500 … the so-called green zone.
maybe from here or from 113.700
If that zone breaks down, forget “support.”
It’s not support — it’s a massacre waiting to happen. 🩸
And the numbers below aren’t just lower, they’re darker.
But… if that green gets hunted above the diagonal,
don’t be shocked when BTC slings higher than your imagination.
This isn’t about trendlines or candles.
It’s about blood, patience, and who rules the board.
The wolf doesn’t guess.
The wolf just waits… and takes. 🐺🌑
BTC - All Important Trendlines and Liquidity ZonesAs of the current Bitcoin trend, I have outlined 3 key trendlines as well as the two major liquidity zones we need to keep an eye on right now.
The "Upper Resistance Trendline" has so far marked our three recent all time highs (red arrows). This has been a series of higher highs, which is normally a good sign in a bull market, the only problem is we are started to see some early signs of bearish divergence.
The "Middle Trendline" has acted as a key level mainly for the candle bodies. It has been a support/resistance flip level, but may have confluence in the future.
The "Lower Support Trendline" has acted as our three recent lows. It has helped to create a series of higher lows which is a good sign in an uptrend. The trend needs to maintain this series of higher lows, once we see the confirmation of this trend broken, the bear market will have begun.
Now let's focus on the two main liquidity zones right now.
The first is our "Important Liquidity Zone". This represents all the resistance that was built up from July-August 2025. Ideally, for this uptrend to continue to make new higher highs, this important liquidity zone is a crucial area to hold as a new support level. It ranges from $119.3k-$120.4k. A flip of this zone into new support would indicate that Bitcoin is ready for new all time highs. That is the first thing to watch for.
However, the "Middle Liquidity Zone" represents the $116k-$118k level. This level marked many support/resistance levels for our current trend. Therefore, if our main liquidity zone is breached this could come in confluence with our middle trendline.
Bitcoin Parallel Channel Master Analysis🟦 Parallel Channel Overview
The chart reveals a well-established ascending parallel channel, guiding Bitcoin’s price action over an extended period.
The upper and lower bounds have been respected multiple times, validating the strength and consistency of this trend structure.
Price currently hovers near the midline, following a bounce from the lower boundary, indicating the channel remains intact and bullish momentum is supported.
🧭 Current Price Action
A recent dip tested the lower boundary and was met with strong buying interest — a bullish sign.
Price is now pressing up against the midline, which acts as a crucial pivot:
A successful flip of the midline to support could propel the price toward the upper channel boundary.
A failure here may trigger another retest of the lower support.
📌 Key Structural Levels
Lower Channel Support: The primary demand zone; a breakdown here could suggest a broader structural change.
Midline (Median): The dynamic pivot — the battleground for bulls and bears.
Upper Channel Resistance: Where profit-taking or breakout acceleration typically occurs.
🔁 Repeating Breakout Pattern: Timeline & Insights
🔹 1st Breakout – February 2024
Price breaks above the channel and sets a new high.
Eventually retraces back into the channel.
In August 2024, the break out area from February becomes midline support, validating the zone.
🔹 2nd Breakout – November 2024
Another breakout occurs, reaching a peak roughly equal to the first breakout.
In April 2025, price once again retests the midline, mimicking the previous August retest behavior.
🟡 Pattern Recognized
Breakout → Peak → Pullback to Midline Support → Reaccumulation → Breakout
With this repeating structure, a 3rd breakout is likely, assuming midline support holds.
Based on historical intervals:
Feb to Nov 2024 = ~9 months
Aug to Nov = ~3 months
This positions the next breakout for June 2025, following the April retest.
🔮 Projected Outcome: 3rd Breakout
If the vertical breakout range repeats:
3rd breakout peak could mirror the height of previous breakouts.
⚖️ Summary & Strategic Implications
✅ Structure is bullish as long as Bitcoin trades within or above the channel.
✅ Midline bounces have reliably preceded breakouts — current April 2025 retest strengthens that thesis.
✅ June 2025 becomes a critical breakout watch window.
❌ Break below the midline would invalidate the repeating breakout structure and shift focus to lower support zones.
BTCUSDT 1DOk guys, let’s take a look at what’s happening on Bitcoin’s daily chart. We currently have a resistance zone and a support zone, and #BTC is moving between them.
Since Bitcoin is trading below the Ichimoku cloud and the SMA50, while both MACD and RSI are showing bearish signals — combined with the market fear caused by Trump-related news — there’s a chance BTC might retest the support zone around $108,377 ~ $107,146. This area aligns with the daily SMA200, where #Bitcoin could potentially bounce.
For a bullish scenario, Bitcoin needs to break above the resistance zone around $123,306 ~ $124,658. As long as it remains below this area, the market is considered to be in a bearish phase.
Additionally, due to market manipulation and both real and fake news, #BTC could briefly dip to the weekly support zone around $102,620 ~ $101,109, or even make a short-lived shadow below $100,000. As long as Bitcoin doesn’t close a weekly candle below $100,000, the market can still be considered safe and capable of reversing upward.
So, pay close attention to the support and resistance zones marked on the chart.
Important Recommendations:
1- Avoid opening any long or short positions for now.
2- In the spot market, don’t go hunting for coins or tokens just because they look cheap — sometimes the “bottom” you’re buying might actually be the top!
3- Be patient and let the market find its direction and stabilize. Sometimes, waiting and watching is the biggest profit.
4- If you’re an experienced trader, you can buy strong coins with a small portion of your capital while keeping most of your funds in stablecoins to enter at the right moment.
We hope this overview answers the questions many of you have sent us in private messages.
Stay safe! Don’t let fear take over — and don’t act emotionally!
BTC 1D Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 54☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Day timeframe .
👀 After the start of the trade war between the United States and China, news was released about a 100% tariff imposed by the United States on China. The crypto market experienced an unbelievable heavy drop (flash crash) last night, which from a technical point of view was completely unexpected and caused the biggest financial loss in the history of crypto.
👍 On the Bitcoin chart and in the daily timeframe, we can see that it is inside a very strong ascending channel, which even with last night’s drop has not closed below its channel body. Currently, Bitcoin is ranging with support at the bottom of the channel, and since it’s the weekend, the market volume has decreased sharply, and we are in a state of uncertainty until the new week’s open.
💡 Note that Bitcoin has not yet entered a trend reversal for the start of its heavy drop. The reversal zone that I specified in the analysis is between $108,960 and $107,521. With a break and confirmation below this zone, Bitcoin can experience a deeper correction and end its long-term primary trend and enter a secondary trend. We can also consider this zone as a distribution area.
Also note that Bitcoin’s return inside the channel has been supported by strong buyers, which has caused this uncertainty. In summary, Bitcoin has a very important resistance in the $114,351 zone, and with a break and confirmation above this area, it can move upward and turn the flash crash into a continuation move. In the continuation of the analysis, we will also use indicators and volume to reach the best conclusion.
🧮 In the RSI oscillator, we can see that after the selling pressure and increase in volatility, it moved downward and easily crossed the 50 zone. We have now defined two key RSI zones:
Zone 50 can be our long trigger area.
Zone 37, where if volatility passes below this level, Bitcoin can move toward the oversold area in its daily timeframe and experience a deeper correction.
🕯 First, let’s talk about volume — the selling pressure was so strong that it pushed the Bitcoin price near $102,000, and then it faced support from buyer makers (those who buy with market-type orders), which brought the price back above $110,000. The size of Bitcoin’s recent candle has been very strong and large, showing the great power of the sellers. With the increase in selling volume and continuation of the tariff war, the market can enter a risk-off state in higher timeframes, and investors may sell their Bitcoins, putting more selling pressure on BTC.
🧠 With the intensification of the tariff war between the U.S. and China, Bitcoin may start its secondary trend after weeks and months of bullish movement, but we still can’t make a definite decision about this issue. So we are waiting for the break of the defined zones in the analysis to make the best decision. Last night’s event was truly painful — a big experience and lesson for all of us that if we can manage our capital, we can have the best results relative to the market. However, last night will be remembered as the biggest financial loss in crypto history.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
$BTC BULL CHARGE AHEAD!!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Saw its biggest liquidation event in its entire history.
Has already bounced off 10% from the bottom.
Defended multiple supports on the closing basis.
This looks good for 125k$ again and then 132k$ as long as 105k$ gets defended.
Bigger and better moves are yet to come
Btc As expected, the drop has occurred.
While most traders were waiting for higher prices, our team was focused on finding an entry point for a sell position.
We had a confirmation candle for the drop, followed by a pullback confirmation.
Now, we can expect a possible return to the pullback candle, but only if confirmation is provided — otherwise, the price may first move toward the 94–92K range
BTC market snapshot$17 billion in long positions were liquidated on BTC within 24 hours. Altcoins have crashed up to 70%, but Bitcoin is holding strong. We’re currently testing support, with a wedge pattern (a reversal formation) and a monthly MACD divergence starting to play out.
If price consolidates below $108K, the next level is in the $78K–80K zone.
In a bearish scenario, the next zone is around $60K.
A close below $105K would significantly increase the probability of a trend reversal.
I’m not taking any long positions.
BITCOIN BTCUSDT The bitcoin daily loss is part of trading strategy, gains and losses is what comes with trading any instrument.
Macroeconomic Jitters Intensify Crypto Volatility as Global risk sentiment turned sharply negative after the U.S. announced new 100% tariffs on Chinese tech imports, reigniting fears of a prolonged trade conflict.
the current crypto downturn reflects a complex mix of macroeconomic headwinds, leveraged liquidations, and cooling sentiment after record-breaking highs.
key demand floors 107,829-107,500
key demand floor is 100,067 break and close sell into next demand structure.
key demand floor 98,849-98,733
key demand floor 94400-93760
#bitcoin #btc
BITCOIN BTCUSDTThe bitcoin daily loss is pat of trading strategy,gain and losses is what comes with trading any instrument.
Macroeconomic Jitters Intensify Crypto Volatility as Global risk sentiment turned sharply negative after the U.S. announced new 100% tariffs on Chinese tech imports, reigniting fears of a prolonged trade conflict.
the current crypto downturn reflects a complex mix of macroeconomic headwinds, leveraged liquidations, and cooling sentiment after record-breaking highs.
key demand floor is 100,067 break and close sell into next demand structure.
#bitcoin #btc
Bitcoin Reclaims Channel Support After Sharp Liquidity CascadeBitcoin recently experienced a sharp correction, sweeping through major swing lows in a widespread liquidity cascade. Despite the heavy drawdown, the market has shown early signs of recovery, with price action reclaiming the lower boundary of the trading channel. This development could set the stage for a short-term relief rally — provided the reclaimed level holds as support.
Key Technical Points:
- Channel Reclaim: Price has recovered the lower boundary of the trading channel after a liquidity sweep.
- Fresh Structure: The current rebound remains early-stage and requires further confirmation through consolidation.
- Relief Rally Potential: Sustained support above the channel low could lead to a bullish rotation toward higher levels.
Following the liquidation-driven drop, Bitcoin has stabilized above the channel’s lower limit — a critical technical threshold for directional bias. This region now acts as a pivot between continuation lower or recovery toward the mid-range. Market structure suggests that post-liquidation consolidations often trigger countertrend rallies as selling pressure exhausts and new buyers step in.
For this scenario to unfold, Bitcoin must continue closing candles above the reclaimed level while volume and momentum gradually improve. A sustained defense of this area could push price action higher into mid-range targets, signaling the beginning of a broader recovery. However, if the market fails to maintain this base, another sweep of recent lows could follow before a more stable reversal forms.
Market Crash Was Beyond Our Control — Stay Calm and FocusedSometimes, things happen that are completely out of our control — and the recent market crash was one of them. Everyone’s feeling the pain right now, but it’s important not to lose your composure.
News events don’t define the market’s long-term trend; they only create temporary shocks. Think back to the COVID-19 crash — the market dropped sharply, consolidated for a while, and then began a massive bullish recovery.
If you’ve taken losses, don’t get discouraged. Stay focused and keep monitoring the market, because this is not the time to give up. It’s entirely possible that, just like in 2020, after a brief recovery period, the market will start climbing again.
When fear drives the market down, remember — a single piece of positive news can turn everything around.
⚠️ One key lesson: Always expect the unexpected in high-risk markets.
If you trade futures, make sure to use isolated margin mode to protect your capital and prevent total liquidation.
#BITCOIN ANALYSIS I have been warning you for the last 45 days #BITCOIN ANALYSIS
I have been warning you for the last 45 days that a big dump was coming and now it’s playing out exactly. Bitcoin has already dumped around $20K and is now trading near 112K, right at the major resistance zone that has triggered every big correction since 2018.
A small bounce to 115K–116K is possible, but after that I expect another leg down toward 100K, and potentially lower to 90K.
I’m still holding my 50% short position. If anything changes or I close my position, I’ll update you. Remember I mentioned earlier that if BTC went back to 125K–128K, I would add more shorts and that plan hasn’t changed.
Till Monday, I expect some volatility, but Monday’s price action will give a clearer direction.
🔸 Weekly:
BTC touched the long-term trendline again → clear rejection happened.
👉 Until we get a weekly close above 125K, the risk of a major pullback stays high.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
🔸 Daily:
Price is inside the 110K–125K supply zone. Structure is weak.
If price breaks and resists below 110K, then 100K is the next target.
📊 My Trade:
✅ First target 105K hit
Holding 50% shorts, expecting a bounce to 115K, then lower.
📌 Downside Targets: 105K ✅ → 100K → 95K → 90K
Buy Stop ideaThe liquidity grab caused by trumps 100% tariffs on china has fueled enough liquidity for price to revert back to 120k.
If price doesn’t trigger our stop order before 21st of October then price has more liquidity inducement to carry out before the move so we delete the untriggered order
BtcUsd - Decision Point SetupBTCUSDT is currently hovering around a key Decision Point, following a structure shift marked by a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) on the 1H timeframe. After the recent bullish correction during the Tokyo session, price is retesting the previous supply zone, which will decide the next directional move.
If price rejects from the Decision Point, we can expect a bearish continuation targeting the lower liquidity area around the Target Zone. However, a strong breakout and sustained momentum above this level could signal bullish intent, shifting market structure upward.
This area serves as a crucial confirmation zone for either continuation to the downside or reversal toward higher highs.