BTCUST.P trade ideas
Bitcoin Price Flag Points to $122,000 TargetBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P price is trading near $115,300, and a bull flag has appeared on the 12-hour chart. A breakout above $115,900 would confirm the move, with the measured target projecting to $122,000. Key checkpoints sit at $116,700 and $120,700, where strong resistance may test buyers.
On-chain data adds weight to the breakout case. Exchange outflows surged from –2,531 BTC on September 8 to –18,323 BTC by September 15, while long-term holders flipped to net buyers, adding +591 BTC. This shift suggests traders are backing the breakout setup.
Still, the heavy supply wall of 714,302 BTC between $115,900–$120,700 remains the key hurdle. A drop under $115,000 would invalidate the flag, but as long as price holds above that level, bulls have the upper hand.
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Pressuring, Looking For Break of $117KBTC made another attempt at the bullish CME zone, showing buyers are still pressing for continuation. We’re hovering close to the $116K area, and once this zone is cleared, the next leg towards a new ATH becomes the focus. For now, pressure remains on the upside, and momentum looks to be building step by step.
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Analytics: Market outlook and forecasts
📈 WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, Bitcoin continued its upward movement to the resistance zones. However, the seller didn’t show any activity, and the market only paused.
We’re currently trading in a narrow sideways pattern, but the buyer still has the initiative, despite being in the selling zone.
When trying to resume sales, there was a confident absorption at the $115,000 level, as shown on the cluster chart. We noted this level in our review on TradingView.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
The priority scenario is an upward exit and a test of the next resistance level within today.
However, there is still a high probability of a sharp correction. Trading volumes have decreased, and seller activity could trigger a sharp downward move to the $111,000 level at any time.
The Federal Reserve meeting and interest rate decision on September 17 could increase volatility and the likelihood of a test of lower levels. Therefore, it is important to exercise caution when opening any positions this week.
Buy Zones:
$114,300–$113,500 (volume zone)
$111,600–$110,500 (accumulated volumes)
~$108,400 (cluster anomalies)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$117,500–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
This week, we’ll be following these macroeconomic events:
• September 16, Tuesday, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the volume and core index of US retail sales for August;
• September 17, Wednesday, 6:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for August;
• September 17, Wednesday, 9:00 (UTC) — publication of the Eurozone consumer price index for August;
• September 17, Wednesday, 13:45 (UTC) — announcement of the Canadian interest rate decision;
• September 17, Wednesday, 18:00 (UTC) — statement and economic forecasts from the US FOMC, as well as announcement of the US Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
• September 17, Wednesday, 18:30 (UTC) — US FOMC press conference;
• September 18, Thursday, 11:00 (UTC) — UK interest rate decision announcement;
• September 18, Thursday, 12:30 (UTC) — release of the US initial jobless claims and the US Philadelphia Fed's September Manufacturing Activity Index;
• Friday, September 19, 3:00 (UTC) — announcement of Japan's interest rate decision.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Bitcoin to 105K? Stop Talking Sh*t, Here’s the TruthEveryone’s screaming about a Bitcoin dump … but where’s the proof? 🤔
In this video, I break down the weekly, daily, 4H, and even 15m to show you the real triggers that matter for Bitcoin’s next move. Spoiler: the big picture is still bullish AF.
We’ll also look at Wednesday’s Fed rate decision and how it could shake the market.
Stay skeptical. Don’t FOMO. Manage risk.
Boost if it helped.
(P.S. Sorry for the voice — I’m fighting through a nasty cold :/)
BTC Long Setup (Post-Liquidation Reclaim)Hey Candle Fam,
The weak hands just got flushed harder than a memecoin rug—perfect. While retail panicked on the dip, smart money was quietly filling bags near $114k. Now it’s our turn to strike with precision.
🔥 BTC Long Setup (Post-Liquidation Reclaim)
🎯 Entry: $114,390–$113,800
🛡️ Stop Loss: $111,900
💰 Targets: $121k / $130k / $140k
📊 Strategy: Liquidity Grab + Weekly Demand Tap
– HTF bias: Still bullish, above key $115k zone
– LTF confluence: Sweep of lows + CHoCH forming on 12H/1H
– Footprint data: Volume absorption + delta flip confirm buyer interest
⚠️ Caution:
Breakdown below $110k would invalidate this setup and likely trigger a strong bearish leg. This is not a “to the moon” YOLO.
Stick to your system, manage risk, and remove emotion.
🧠 Final Note:
We don’t chase dreams—we execute plans.
All the hours we spend studying this game? It’s not for fun. It’s for freedom.
Financial independence is the goal—this is the craft.
Candle Craft | Signal. Structure. Execution.
Long Term Btc PlanI can see BTC going to take 85k.
People think "Below 90k bull run is over"
Would cause extreme fear/panic in the markets if broken below 90k. basically reaching 85-86k would be cause just by paper hands at the end being scared out of their positions.
Currently Looking for bigger shorts and small longs only. Exception if BTC breaks above 118.5k and shows bullish signals.
Will look for reenter spot below 90/100k depends on situation.
Want to see Diamond Top playout on 4h, then break above it or reject from 786/886 fibb and enter big short to 105/90s.
The Long/Short Positions on chart is worth looking at, I have alerts near all entries/SL/Tp and even S/R.
I had a thought that next big crash might be caused by an exchange going tits up at near top, and I have intuition it might be MEXC.
NOT YOUR KEYS NOT YOUR ASSETS.
BTC short at 116000 to 110500Short BTC116000 looks doable.
E: 116000
SL: 117500
TP1: 113555
TP2: 110500
TP3: 105000
Possibility of 96k, but I doubt it at this moment. would need to take 119k first in my belief, and now there is too many bearish signs for that.
Currently BTC moving after bearish Symmetrical Triangle, forming Diamond Top pattern, perfect entry would be around 116000.
Looks like February 2025
BTC: "Growth Control"On September 2, I opened a long on a 4-hour chart from $110,272 with 20x leverage. The movement was impressive: the price reached $116,579, and along the way I managed to fix three profit levels. The difference is almost $6,300 per coin — this is the maximum that the deal gave within the plan.
Here, the structure was decisive. The levels were highlighted in advance, and the deal developed step by step, without haste and chaos. This approach removes unnecessary emotions, makes trading transparent and manageable.
When the fixation zones and control points are clear in advance, it becomes easier to hold a position. Even with high leverage, the risk remains under control, and emotions do not interfere with logic. This allows you to take the result systematically, and not rely on chance.
The market always remains unpredictable. But discipline and consistency turn every move into part of a strategy, where the result is determined by the structure, not emotions.
#BTC: AI Review of the Trading Week Start. 2025/09/15Aloha, blockchain masters and trend tamers! NeuralTraderingPro is back to charge you up with insights for the new trading week. 🚀 Monday, September 15th, kicked off with a sharp move, and it's exactly what I warned you about on Sunday. Let's break down who drew first blood this week and what to expect from a market that's holding its breath for the main event: the Fed meeting.
📜 FORECAST REVIEW: THE BEARS STRIKE FIRST
My forecast from yesterday played out with surgical precision. I wrote that before heading higher, the market might trigger a "false move down to sweep liquidity." That's exactly what happened last night! The breakout from the tight consolidation was to the downside, in favor of the bears. The price broke the $115,000 level (target 🐻) and momentarily pushed towards $114,200 (target 🐻🐻). The correction scenario, to which I gave a 45% probability, was the one to play out first. Congratulations to those who heeded the warning and were prepared for this turn of events! Now, the main question is: was this just a stop hunt before a new rally, or are the bears serious about seizing the initiative?
📊 CURRENT SITUATION: CHART AND INDICATOR ANALYSIS
Current Price: 114,772.5 USDT
📈 Daily Chart (1D): Globally, the bullish trend is still intact. The price has corrected from the upper Bollinger Band and is now testing the support zone around the SMA 20 (blue line). The RSI has cooled off, dropping to 55, which alleviates local overbought conditions and creates room for a new move. The MACD histogram has started to decline, confirming the correction phase. The picture is "bullish, but in need of confirmation."
📉 4-Hour Chart (4H): Here, the bearish breakdown looks more apparent. The price has fallen below the SMA 20 and SMA 50, which may now act as dynamic resistance. The RSI is below the neutral 50 mark, indicating that sellers are currently in control. The MACD has crossed below the zero line—a classic bearish signal on this timeframe. The bull flag we discussed on Sunday was invalidated and broke to the downside.
⏱️ 30-Minute Chart (30m): On the lower timeframe, we see the full drama of the overnight drop. The price plummeted from ~115,800 𝑡𝑜 115,800 to 114,500 in just a couple of hours. The RSI dived into the oversold zone (below 30), from which it is now attempting to bounce. The Bollinger Bands expanded sharply and are now starting to contract, signaling that the downward momentum is fading and a short-term consolidation or bounce is possible.
📋 ORDER BOOK ANALYSIS: A WALL AT 114,750
The battle for initiative is unfolding at a key level.
🟢 Support Walls: The full force of the bulls is concentrated just below the current price. Note the colossal buy wall at 114,750 USDT—almost 12 BTC worth ~$1.36 million! This is rock-solid support that halted the overnight drop. There are a few more orders below, but this level is the main stronghold for buyers.
🔴 Resistance Walls: Sellers are responding with dense but less massive pressure. The largest sell order is right at the current price (5.2 BTC), and beyond that, liquidity is spread more thinly up to 114,825 USDT.
Conclusion: Buyers have built a formidable line of defense. Sellers will need to muster a lot of force to break through the wall at $114,750. As long as this wall holds, a bounce or sideways movement is highly likely.
📰 MARKET SENTIMENT AND KEY THEMES
The news background is filled with anticipation and caution. All eyes are fixed on one event.
🇺🇸 The Fed Meeting — The Event of the Week: This is the main theme. The market is frozen, awaiting the interest rate decision. Traders are citing key support and resistance levels that will remain relevant right up until the announcement. A hawkish tone from the Fed or a refusal to cut rates could trigger a new wave of selling. Conversely, dovish comments will give the bulls a green light.
🗓️ Bitcoin's Cyclicality: Some analysts suggest that September 17th could mark the beginning of a new local growth cycle for Bitcoin. This theory adds to the intrigue and could support buyers mid-week.
🐂 Long-Term Optimism: Despite the current correction, global forecasts remain positive. Analysts note the similarity of the current consolidation to patterns that have previously preceded powerful rallies and are predicting a potential surge to $125,000.
🇩🇪 European Outlook: German analysts from Kagels-Trading see today's trading range between $111,300 and $114,100, which supports the likelihood of a further test of lower boundaries after the recent drop.
🔮 FORECAST AND KEY TARGETS FOR THE WEEK (Sept 15-22)
The market is at an inflection point. On one hand, we have a bearish breakdown on the 4H chart. On the other, there's massive support in the order book and oversold conditions on the 30m chart. Most likely, leading up to the Fed announcement, we will see attempts at a bounce and a fight for the 114,750 - 116,000 range. The Fed's decision will be the trigger for the week's primary move.
Scenario Probability: Short 📉 (55%) / Long 📈 (45%)
🎯 Key Targets for the Coming Week:
Bullish Targets (if support holds and Fed news is positive):
🐂 116,000 USDT - A return to Sunday's consolidation zone, the first target for bulls.
🐂🐂 117,500 USDT - An important psychological level and the next stop.
🐂🐂🐂 119,000 USDT - Key resistance, a break of which would open the way to $120,000.
Bearish Targets (if support breaks and Fed news is negative):
🐻 114,000 USDT - A key round number just below the current support wall.
🐻🐻 112,500 USDT - A support zone that aligns with a previous analysis.
🐻🐻🐻 110,600 USDT - A strong support level and the potential low for the week.
💡 TRADING IDEAS
1. Long Positions — Betting on a Bounce
Long Idea 1 (Aggressive): Buy at current levels with a tight stop just below the support wall at 114,750. Target a quick bounce to 115,500 - 116,000. Stop-loss: 114,450 USDT.
Long Idea 2 (Conservative): Buy ONLY after a confirmed reclaim and hold above 116,200 USDT. This would signal that the drop was a false move. Targets: 117,500, 119,000 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,500 USDT.
2. Short Positions — Playing the Local Trend
Short Idea 1 (On a Retest): Sell on a bounce to the 115,500-115,800 zone, where the 4H SMAs are now located. Target: a retest of the wall at 114,750. Stop-loss: 116,250 USDT.
Short Idea 2 (On a Breakdown): Open a short position after a clean break and confirmed close below the support wall at 114,750 USDT. This would be a strong signal for continued decline. Targets: 112,500, 110,600 USDT. Stop-loss: 115,100 USDT.
🛡️ CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The start of the week has set a nervous tone. The key recommendation is to avoid making hasty decisions before the Fed meeting. The market will have thin liquidity and be susceptible to manipulation. The safest tactic is to trade off strong levels: buy from the massive support at $114,750 or sell if it breaks. Always use stop-losses 🛡️, especially during periods of high uncertainty. Patience is your greatest asset right now.
May the profits be with you! 💰 Don't forget to like this analysis 👍 and subscribe to stay one step ahead of the market all week long!
Bitcoin Price’s Grip on $115,000 Weakens—Here's the RiskBitcoin is trading at $114,770, slipping below the $115,000 support level in the process. Should bearish sentiment persist, BTC may fall further, potentially testing the uptrend line that has supported its rise since the start of the month. This would mark a crucial point for investors.
If selling pressure intensifies, Bitcoin could struggle to hold $115,000 as support and slide toward $112,500. This would represent a critical setback, reinforcing the ongoing distribution phase observed among holders and limiting near-term upside potential for BTC.
On the other hand, if Bitcoin absorbs the selling pressure and regains momentum, reclaiming $115,000 as support could trigger another rally. In this case, BTC would target $117,261 in the coming days, reaffirming its bullish outlook and reinforcing investor confidence.
BTC 1HOn the one-hour chart, the market has been consolidating in a sideways range for some time, forming a clear box structure between support and resistance. Recently, price failed to break above the range and quickly rejected from the upper boundary, showing weakness from buyers. Now, the market is testing the lower boundary of the box.
If the structure confirms a breakout to the downside, we could see a shift in momentum towards a bearish trend, with potential continuation after a possible retest of the broken support. This pattern represents a classic range-to-breakdown scenario, where prolonged consolidation often leads to a strong move once one side is taken out.
What do you think: will the market respect the range again or are we about to see a confirmed bearish breakout?
Sep 15, 2025 - BTCUSDT 4H Chart Analysis-05
After being supported around 107,500, Bitcoin printed a bullish leg on the daily timeframe, which can be considered the first impulsive wave of a potential uptrend. This move was confirmed by rising volume on green candles and decreasing volume on red corrective candles — a healthy sign for bullish continuation.
Now that I’m back at the charts, I’m looking for entry triggers to position myself.
* The first key resistance in the 4H timeframe is at 116,600, where price has already been rejected twice. The second rejection hasn’t fully developed on the 4H yet, but is more visible on the lower timeframes.
* A confirmed breakout above this level will be my signal to consider long positions — either on Bitcoin or altcoins — depending on how Bitcoin dominance reacts.
* Currently, both BTC and BTC.D are printing green candles simultaneously on the 4H, which adds weight to the bullish side.
⚠️ The stronger the rejection from 116,600, the more significant it becomes for me — as long as price doesn’t fall below 113,150. Additionally, if BTC consolidates for an extended period around this zone, the breakout will carry more significance.
BTC.D 4H Chart
Bitcoin: Top 3 Questions & AnswersBitcoin: Features, Benefits, Problems, and Solutions
Top 3 Features of Bitcoin
Decentralization – No government or central bank controls it.
Limited Supply – Only 21 million Bitcoins will ever exist.
Peer-to-Peer Transactions – Send and receive money globally without intermediaries.
Top 3 Benefits of Bitcoin
Hedge Against Inflation – Scarcity protects purchasing power.
Borderless Transactions – Transfer funds anywhere, anytime.
High Liquidity – Easy to buy, sell, or trade worldwide.
Top 3 Problems of Bitcoin
Volatility – Prices swing dramatically.
Scalability – Network congestion can slow transactions.
Regulatory Uncertainty – Governments may impose restrictions.
Top 3 Solutions to These Problems
Volatility → Use risk management strategies like stop-loss and profit-taking.
Scalability → Layer-2 solutions (e.g., Lightning Network) improve transaction speed.
Regulation → Stay updated with global crypto laws and trade within compliance.
Top 3 Questions & Answers
Q1: Is Bitcoin safe?
A1: Yes, the blockchain is secure, but always store BTC in a trusted wallet.
Q2: Can I use Bitcoin for daily purchases?
A2: Increasingly yes, as more businesses accept Bitcoin worldwide.
Q3: Should I hold or trade Bitcoin?
A3: That depends on your goals—long-term investors hold, traders use short-term strategies.
✅ Final Word: Buy Bitcoin
Bitcoin is the pioneer of digital money, with strong fundamentals, growing adoption, and huge upside potential. If you believe in the future of decentralized finance, buy Bitcoin and hold it as a long-term asset.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always learn risk management, profit-taking strategies, and practice first with a simulation trading account before committing real money.